A population-based study of immunohistochemical detection of p53 alteration in bladder cancer

Proliferation and immunohistochemistry for p53, CD25 and CK20 in predicting prognosis of non-muscle invasive papillary urothelial carcinomas

Non-muscle invasive papillary urothelial carcinoma is a prevalent disease with a high recurrence tendency. Good prognostic and reproducible biomarkers for tumor recurrence and disease progression are lacking. Currently, WHO grade and tumor stage are essential in risk stratification and treatment decision-making. Here we present the prognostic value of proliferation markers (Ki67, mitotic activity index (MAI) and PPH3) together with p53, CD25 and CK20 immunohistochemistry (IHC). In this population-based retrospective study, 349 primary non-muscle invasive bladder cancers (NMIBC) were available. MAI and PPH3 were calculated manually according to highly standardized previously described methods, Ki-67 by the semi-automated QPRODIT quantification system, p53 and CD25 by the fully automated digital image analysis program Visipharm® and CK20 with the help of the semi-quantitative immunoreactive score (IRS). Survival analyses with log rank test, as well as univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed for all investigated variables. Age and multifocality were the only significant variables for tumor recurrence. All investigated variables, except gender, were significantly associated with stage progression. In multivariate analysis, MAI was the only prognostic variable for stage progression (p<0.001).

Matched analysis of detailed peripheral blood and tumor immune microenvironment profiles in bladder cancer

Background: Bladder cancer and therapy responses hinge on immune profiles in the tumor microenvironment (TME) and blood, yet studies linking tumor-infiltrating immune cells to peripheral immune profiles are limited. Methods: DNA methylation cytometry quantified TME and matched peripheral blood immune cell proportions. With tumor immune profile data as the input, subjects were grouped by immune infiltration status and consensus clustering. Results: Immune hot and cold groups had different immune compositions in the TME but not in circulating blood. Two clusters of patients identified with consensus clustering had different immune compositions not only in the TME but also in blood. Conclusion: Detailed immune profiling via methylation cytometry reveals the significance of understanding tumor and systemic immune relationships in cancer patients.

Genome-Scale Methylation Analysis Identifies Immune Profiles and Age Acceleration Associations with Bladder Cancer Outcomes

BACKGROUND

Immune profiles have been associated with bladder cancer outcomes and may have clinical applications for prognosis. However, associations of detailed immune cell subtypes with patient outcomes remain underexplored and may contribute crucial prognostic information for better managing bladder cancer recurrence and survival.

METHODS

Bladder cancer case peripheral blood DNA methylation was measured using the Illumina HumanMethylationEPIC array. Extended cell-type deconvolution quantified 12 immune cell-type proportions, including memory, naïve T and B cells, and granulocyte subtypes. DNA methylation clocks determined biological age. Cox proportional hazards models tested associations of immune cell profiles and age acceleration with bladder cancer outcomes. The partDSA algorithm discriminated 10-year overall survival groups from clinical variables and immune cell profiles, and a semi-supervised recursively partitioned mixture model (SS-RPMM) with DNA methylation data was applied to identify a classifier for 10-year overall survival.

RESULTS

Higher CD8T memory cell proportions were associated with better overall survival [HR = 0.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.93-0.98], while higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.23-1.50), CD8T naïve (HR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.04-1.41), neutrophil (HR = 1.04, 95% CI = 1.03-1.06) proportions, and age acceleration (HR = 1.06, 95% CI = 1.03-1.08) were associated with worse overall survival in patient with bladder cancer. partDSA and SS-RPMM classified five groups of subjects with significant differences in overall survival.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified associations between immune cell subtypes and age acceleration with bladder cancer outcomes.

IMPACT

The findings of this study suggest that bladder cancer outcomes are associated with specific methylation-derived immune cell-type proportions and age acceleration, and these factors could be potential prognostic biomarkers.

p53/TP53 Status Assessment in Gastroesophageal Adenocarcinoma

Chromosomal instability (CIN) is very frequent in gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma (GEA) and it is characterized by TP53 deletions/mutations resulting in p53 nuclear accumulation, as revealed by immunohistochemistry (IHC), which considers the cases with "high" staining levels to be positive. Aiming to improve aberrant TP53 detection, droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) was used to evaluate TP53 deletion in formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded DNA (FFPE-DNA) and cell-free DNA (cfDNA). To further investigate the mutational TP53 profile, next-generation sequencing (NGS) was performed in a subset of FFPE samples. After combining "low" and "high" IHC staining level groups, the proportion of deletion events was significantly higher compared to the "intermediate" group (72.9% vs. 47.5%, p-value = 0.002). The ddPCR TP53 deletion assay was feasible for cfDNA but only had good agreement (72.7%, Cohen's kappa = 0.48) with the assay performed with FFPE-DNA of the "low-level" group. NGS analysis confirmed that, in the "low-level" group, a high percentage (66.7%) of cases were aberrant, with disruptive mutations that probably led to p53 loss. Data suggested that p53 IHC alone underestimates the CIN phenotype in GEA and that molecular analysis in both solid and liquid biopsies could be integrated with it; in particular, in cases of completely negative staining.

p53 null phenotype is a "positive result" in urothelial carcinoma in situ

The concept of a "p53 null phenotype" (complete loss of staining) is well-recognized in the gynecologic pathology literature, implicitly reflecting that this staining pattern represents a TP53 mutation. However, in the genitourinary pathology literature, a p53 null phenotype has only been addressed regarding the prognosis of invasive urothelial carcinoma, and not as a diagnostic biomarker for urothelial carcinoma in situ (CIS). Herein, 25 cases of urothelial carcinoma in situ [diagnoses made on hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) stained sections] showing null pattern p53 staining were retrieved from 22 different patients (16 males and 6 females, age range 52-85 years; average 69.6 years), most commonly showing large cell pleomorphic pattern morphology. One representative tissue block per case was selected for next-generation DNA sequencing (NGS). All 21 cases (100%) passing quality control for NGS showed at least 1 TP53 mutation (majority nonsense or frameshift mutations), including 3 cases with 2 mutations and 3 cases with 3 mutations. Three patients with multiple available samples harbored 1 or more shared TP53 mutations at 2 different time points, indicating clonality of the temporally distinct lesions. Additionally, 2 patients had an additional unique TP53 mutation at a later time point, suggesting intratumoral heterogeneity and/or temporal clonal evolution. While urothelial CIS remains an H&E diagnosis in most cases, a p53 immunostain may be useful in a subset of challenging cases. This study demonstrates that a p53 null phenotype represents an aberrant result in urothelial CIS with supportive molecular analysis showing a previously unknown level of complexity for TP53 mutations among these noninvasive lesions. Adequate recognition of the p53 null phenotype as a "biologically supportive result", similar to strong and diffuse staining with p53, is important and may warrant a formal consensus statement for recommended p53 reporting (i.e., "wild type" versus "aberrant or mutant").

p53 Immunohistochemistry and Mutation Types Mismatching in High-Grade Serous Ovarian Cancer

High-grade serous carcinoma (HGSCa) of the ovary is featured by TP53 gene mutation. Missense or nonsense mutation types accompany most cases of HGSCa that correlate well with immunohistochemical (IHC) staining results—an all (missense) or none (nonsense) pattern. However, some IHCs produce subclonal or mosaic patterns from which TP53 mutation types, including the wild type of the gene, cannot be clearly deduced. We analyzed a total of 236 cases of ovarian HGSCa and tumors of other histology by matching the results of p53 IHC staining and targeted next-generation sequencing (TruSight Tumor 170 panel). Ambiguous IHCs that do not belong to the conventional “all or none” groups were reviewed to distinguish the true wild type (WT) from potentially pathogenic subclonal or mosaic patterns. There were about 9% of sequencing-IHC mismatching cases, which were enriched by the p53 c-terminal encoding nuclear localization signal and oligomerization domain, in which the subcellular locations of p53 protein were affected. Indeed, mutations in the oligomerization domain of the p53 protein frequently revealed an unmatched signal or cytosolic staining (L289Ffs*57 (Ins), and R342*). We conclude that both mutation types and IHC patterns of p53 are important sources of information to provide a precise diagnosis of HGSCa.

Immune profiles and DNA methylation alterations related with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer outcomes

BACKGROUND

Non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) patients receive frequent monitoring because ≥ 70% will have recurrent disease. However, screening is invasive, expensive, and associated with significant morbidity making bladder cancer the most expensive cancer to treat per capita. There is an urgent need to expand the understanding of markers related to recurrence and survival outcomes of NMIBC.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used the Illumina HumanMethylationEPIC array to measure peripheral blood DNA methylation profiles of NMIBC patients (N = 603) enrolled in a population-based cohort study in New Hampshire and applied cell type deconvolution to estimate immune cell-type proportions. Using Cox proportional hazard models, we identified that increasing CD4T and CD8T cell proportions were associated with a statistically significant decreased hazard of tumor recurrence or death (CD4T: HR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.97-1.00; CD8T: HR = 0.97, 95% CI = 0.95-1.00), whereas increasing monocyte proportion and methylation-derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (mdNLR) were associated with the increased hazard of tumor recurrence or death (monocyte: HR = 1.04, 95% CI = 1.00-1.07; mdNLR: HR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.04-1.20). Then, using an epigenome-wide association study (EWAS) approach adjusting for age, sex, smoking status, BCG treatment status, and immune cell profiles, we identified 2528 CpGs associated with the hazard of tumor recurrence or death (P < 0.005). Among these CpGs, the 1572 were associated with an increased hazard and were significantly enriched in open sea regions; the 956 remaining CpGs were associated with a decreased hazard and were significantly enriched in enhancer regions and DNase hypersensitive sites.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results expand on the knowledge of immune profiles and methylation alteration associated with NMIBC outcomes and represent a first step toward the development of DNA methylation-based biomarkers of tumor recurrence.

Bladder cancer prognosis using deep neural networks and histopathology images

Background

Recent studies indicate that bladder cancer is among the top 10 most common cancers in the world (Saginala et al. 2022). Bladder cancer frequently reoccurs, and prognostic judgments may vary among clinicians. As a favorable prognosis may help to inform less aggressive treatment plans, classification of histopathology slides is essential for the accurate prognosis and effective treatment of bladder cancer patients. Developing automated and accurate histopathology image analysis methods can help pathologists determine the prognosis of patients with bladder cancer.

Materials and methods

In this study, we introduced Bladder4Net, a deep learning pipeline, to classify whole-slide histopathology images of bladder cancer into two classes: low-risk (combination of PUNLMP and low-grade tumors) and high-risk (combination of high-grade and invasive tumors). This pipeline consists of four convolutional neural network (CNN)-based classifiers to address the difficulties of identifying PUNLMP and invasive classes. We evaluated our pipeline on 182 independent whole-slide images from the New Hampshire Bladder Cancer Study (NHBCS) (Karagas et al., 1998; Sverrisson et al., 2014; Sverrisson et al., 2014) collected from 1994 to 2004 and 378 external digitized slides from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database (https://www.cancer.gov/tcga).

Results

The weighted average F1-score of our approach was 0.91 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.86–0.94) on the NHBCS dataset and 0.99 (95% CI: 0.97–1.00) on the TCGA dataset. Additionally, we computed Kaplan–Meier survival curves for patients who were predicted as high risk versus those predicted as low risk. For the NHBCS test set, patients predicted as high risk had worse overall survival than those predicted as low risk, with a log-rank p-value of 0.004.

Conclusions

If validated through prospective trials, our model could be used in clinical settings to improve patient care.

Characteristics and Management of TP53-Mutated Diffuse Large B-Cell Lymphoma Patients

Background/Aim

TP53 mutation is recognized as a negative prognostic factor for patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Here, we present the characteristics of TP53^mut DLBCL patients following investigation of the effect of a treatment approach on survival of TP53^mut DLBCL patients.

Methods

A total of 44 DLBCL patients with TP53^mut and treated with an R-CHOP regimen were included for analysis. Patients who failed to achieve a complete response (CR) to initial treatment or relapsed in the first 6 months after initial CR were deemed to have primary refractory disease.

Results

Among 44 patients harboring TP53 mutations who underwent upfront R-CHOP or R-CHOP–like treatment, 21 (47.7%) had limited-stage and 23 (52.3%) presented advanced-stage disease. Apart from the seven patients receiving upfront surgical resection, 37 had measurable disease under the R-CHOP regimen, with 59.1% (n=26) developing primary refractory disease. Seven limited-stage patients after early complete resection and one with residue resection remained event-free at median follow-up of 37 months. Multivariate analysis revealed that elevated baseline lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), extranodal involvement (two or more), Ann Arbor stage, and locoregional treatment (surgery or radiation therapy) were independent indicators for progression-free survival (PFS). After adjustment for baseline LDH and extranodal involvement, adding locoregional treatment including surgery and radiation to the R-CHOP regimen significantly improved PFS (p=0.008) and overall survival (p=0.017) in limited-stage TP53^mut DLBCL patients compared to R-CHOP–only treatment.

Conclusion

This study presents the characteristics of TP53-mutated DLBCL and implies a potential benefit of locoregional treatment in limited-stage DLBCL patients with TP53 mutations.

Reassessment of p53 immunohistochemistry thresholds in invasive high grade bladder cancer shows a better correlation with TP53 and FGFR3 mutations

FGFR3 mutations are frequently mutually exclusive of TP53 mutations in invasive high grade urothelial carcinoma (HGUC) and p53 immunohistochemistry is often used as a surrogate for TP53 mutations. A 10 % staining cut off has been used in HGUC for designation as p53 positive or negative however, a novel contemporary method we have previously proposed (0% or >50 % - abnormal vs. 1-49 % - wild type) has shown significant correlation with oncologic outcome as well. We aimed to compare how a ≥10 % vs. 0 % and ≥ 50 % cut off p53 assessment method correlates with TP53 and FGFR3 mutation status. Tissue microarrays created from three retrospective cohorts (two cystectomy cohorts (cohort A, n = 206 and cohort B, n = 91; one T1 transurethral resection cohort (cohort C, n = 47)) were stained with p53 and scored by two blinded reviewers using both p53 scoring schemes. 50 cases from cohort A were assessed for TP53 and FGFR3 mutation status using next generation sequencing and FGFR3 mutation status was separately assessed in cohorts B and C using SNaPshot methodology. 202 (58.7 %) and 142 (41.3 %) cases showed abnormal and wild type p53 staining, respectively. Using the 10 % cut off, 254 cases were positive (73.8 %) and 90 cases were negative (26.2 %). 27 (14.4 %) and 15 (30 %) assessed cases demonstrated FGFR3 and TP53 mutations, respectively; 19/27 FGFR3 mutated showed a wild type pattern of p53 expression while 15/15 TP53 mutated tumours showed an abnormal pattern of p53 expression. There was a significant correlation between the contemporary p53 scoring scheme and TP53 and FGFR3 mutations (p < 0.0001 and p = 0.002, respectively). Improved sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for TP53 mutation was also seen compared to the 10 % cut off; specifically, the sensitivity and negative predictive value were 100 %. These findings might be of clinical relevance in the era of precision medicine.

Effect of low-energy shock wave therapy on intravesical epirubicin delivery in a rat model of bladder cancer

OBJECTIVES

To study the efficacy of low-energy shock wave therapy (LESW) on enhancing intravesical epirubicin (EPI) delivery in a rat model of bladder cancer (BCa).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 100 female Fischer rats were randomly allocated into five groups: control; BCa; LESW; EPI; and EPI plus LESW. After BCa induction by N-butyl-N-(4-hydroxybutyl)nitrosamine, EPI (0.6 mg/0.3 mL of EPI diluted in 0.3 mL saline) or saline (0.6 mL) was administered and retained in the bladders for 1 h with or without LESW treatment (300 pulses at 0.12 mJ/mm² ). This was repeated weekly for 6 weeks. Survival was then calculated, rats were weighed and their bladders were harvested for bladder/body ratio estimation, histopathological examination, p₅₃ immunostaining, miR-210, hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF)-1α, tumour necrosis factor (TNF)-α and interleukin (IL)-6 relative gene expression and fluorescence spectrophotometric drug quantification. Heart and blood samples were also collected for assessment of the safety profile and toxicity.

RESULTS

The EPI plus LESW group had significantly lower mortality rates, loss of body weight and bladder/body ratio. Histopathological results in terms of grossly visible bladder lesions, mucosal thickness, dysplasia formation and tumour invasion were significantly better in the combined treatment group. The EPI plus LESW group also had statistically significant lower expression levels of p₅₃ , miR-210, HIF-1α, TNF-α and IL-6. LESW increased urothelial concentration of EPI by 5.7-fold (P < 0.001). No laboratory variable exceeded the reference ranges in any of the groups. There was an improvement of the indicators of EPI-induced cardiomyopathy in terms of congestion, hyalinization and microvesicular steatosis of cardiomyocytes (P = 0.068, 0.003 and 0.046, respectively) in the EPI plus LESW group.

CONCLUSIONS

The combined use of intravesical EPI and LESW results in less BCa invasion and less dysplasia formation, as LESW increases urothelial permeability of EPI and enhances its delivery into tumour tissues, without subsequent toxicity.

A Machine Learning Approach for Long-Term Prognosis of Bladder Cancer based on Clinical and Molecular Features

Improving the consistency and reproducibility of bladder cancer prognoses necessitates the development of accurate, predictive prognostic models. Current methods of determining the prognosis of bladder cancer patients rely on manual decision-making, including factors with high intra- and inter-observer variability, such as tumor grade. To advance the long-term prediction of bladder cancer prognoses, we developed and tested a computational model to predict the 10-year overall survival outcome using population-based bladder cancer data, without considering tumor grade classification. The resulted predictive model demonstrated promising performance using a combination of clinical and molecular features, and was also strongly related to patient overall survival in Cox models. Our study suggests that machine learning methods can provide reliable long-term prognoses for bladder cancer patients, without relying on the less consistent tumor grade. If validated in clinical trials, this automated approach could guide and improve personalized management and treatment for bladder cancer patients.

Transcriptional Analysis of Immunohistochemically Defined Subgroups of Non-Muscle-Invasive Papillary High-Grade Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma

Immunohistochemical (IHC) staining for CK5/6 and CK20 was reported to be correlated with the prognosis of early urothelial carcinoma in a way contrary to that of advanced tumors for unknown reasons. We aimed to characterize the gene expression profiles of subgroups of non-muscle-invasive papillary high-grade upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) classified by CK5/6 and CK20 expression levels: group 1 (CK5/6-high/CK20-low), group 2 (CK5/6-high/CK20-high), and group 3 (CK5/6-low/CK20-high). Expression of group 3 was predictive of worse prognosis of non-muscle-invasive papillary high-grade UTUC. Transcriptional analysis revealed 308 differentially expressed genes across the subgroups. Functional analyses of the genes identified cell adhesion as a common process differentially enriched in group 3 compared to the other groups, which could explain its high-risk phenotype. Late cell cycle/proliferation signatures were also enriched in group 3 and in some of the other groups, which may be used as a prognostic biomarker complementary to CK5/6 and CK20. Group 2, characterized by low levels of genes associated with mitogen-activated protein kinase and tumor necrosis factor signaling pathways, was hypothesized to represent the least cancerous subtype considering its normal urothelium-like IHC pattern. This study would facilitate the application of easily accessible prognostic biomarkers in practice.

Pretreatment levels of serum osteoprotegerin and p53 protein and urine telomerase as prognostic factors affecting survival in Egyptian bladder cancer patients

A non-invasive marker is required for the diagnosis and follow-up of patients with bladder cancer. The aim of the current study was to evaluate the potential prognostic significance of serum osteoprotegerin (OPG), p53 protein and urine telomerase in patients with bladder cancer. For all patients, serum levels of OPG and p53 protein were determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and urine telomerase was assessed using a polymerase chain reaction ELISA technique. Patients were assigned into group 1 (cystectomy and adjuvant radiotherapy) or group 2 (transurethral resection and chemoradiotherapy). The results revealed that serum OPG and p53, and urine telomerase levels were significantly higher in bladder cancer patients compared with in healthy individuals (P<0.0001). High serum OPG was associated with significantly lower overall survival and disease-free survival rates (both P=0.001), and was correlated with advanced tumor stages (P<0.0001), high tumor grades (P<0.0001) and the occurrence of disease relapse (P=0.001). Serum p53 and urine telomerase did not demonstrate prognostic significance. These findings indicate that serum OPG level may be used as a diagnostic tool and a prognostic variable for patients with muscle invasive bladder cancer. Future trials are required to elucidate its therapeutic role in such patients.

Cell-cycle control in urothelial carcinoma: large-scale tissue array analysis of tumor tissue from Maine and Vermont

BACKGROUND

Cell-cycle proteins are important predictive markers in urothelial carcinoma but may also exhibit exposure-specific heterogeneity.

METHODS

Tumor tissue from 491 bladder cancer cases enrolled in the Maine and Vermont component of the New England Bladder Cancer Study was assembled as tissue microarrays and examined for aberrant expression of p53, p63, p16, cyclin D1, Rb, and Ki-67. The association between expression and histopathology, demographics, and cigarette smoking was examined using χ(2) tests, multivariable Poisson, and multinomial regression models.

RESULTS

We found that overexpression of p53 and Ki-67 was associated with high-stage/grade tumors [relative risk (RR), 1.26; P(trend) = 0.003; and RR, 3.21; P(trend) < 0.0001, respectively], whereas expression of p63 and p16 was decreased in high-stage/grade tumors (RR, 0.52; P(trend) < 0.0001; and RR, 0.88; P(trend) = 0.04, respectively). No significant aberrations of cell-cycle proteins were identified using various smoking variables and multiple statistical models.

CONCLUSION

The results of this population-based study of histologically confirmed urothelial carcinomas show significant aberration of cell-cycle proteins p53, p63, p16, and Ki-67, but not Rb or cyclin D1. p53 showed the most significant heterogeneity with respect to tumor stage and grade, especially when stratified for different staining intensities using novel digital image analysis techniques. Our findings do not support that smoking modifies expression of cell-cycle proteins.

IMPACT

Our study shows significant heterogeneity in the expression of key cell-cycle proteins that are associated with disease progression in bladder cancer. Further studies may lead to the identification of biomarkers and their multiplexed interactions as useful prognostic and therapeutic targets.

Chemopreventive efficacy of Atorvastatin against nitrosamine-induced rat bladder cancer: antioxidant, anti-proliferative and anti-inflammatory properties

To investigate the anti-carcinogenic effects of Atorvastatin (Atorva) on a rat bladder carcinogenesis model with N-butyl-N-(4-hydroxibutil)nitrosamine (BBN), four male Wistar rat groups were studied: (1) Control: vehicle; (2) Atorva: 3 mg/kg bw/day; (3) Carcinogen: BBN (0.05%); (4) Preventive Atorva: 3 mg/kg bw/day Atorva + BBN. A two phase protocol was used, in which the drug and the carcinogen were given between week 1 and 8 and tumor development or chemoprevention were expressed between week 9 and 20, when the bladders were collected for macroscopic, histological and immunohistochemical (p53, ki67, CD31) evaluation. Serum was assessed for markers of inflammation, proliferation and redox status. The incidence of bladder carcinoma was: control 0/8 (0%); Atorva 0/8 (0%); BBN 13/20 (65%) and Atorva + BBN 1/8 (12.5%). The number and volume of tumors were significantly lower in the Atorva + BBN group, with a marked reduction in hyperplasia, dysplasia and carcinoma in situ lesions. An anti-proliferative, anti-inflammatory and antioxidant profile was also observed in the preventive Atorva group. p53 and ki67 immunostaining were significantly increased in the BBN-treated rats, which was prevented in the Atorva + BBN group. No differences were found for CD31 expression. In conclusion, Atorvastatin had a clear inhibitory effect on bladder cancer development, probably due to its antioxidant, anti-proliferative and anti-inflammatory properties.

Bladder cancer or bladder cancers? Genetically distinct malignant conditions of the urothelium

Despite the fact that the current histopathologic classification for bladder cancer has led to improved concepts for the clinical management of the disease, key questions with regard to assessment of risk for recurrence and/or progression to invasive disease remain. In addition, response to specific therapies cannot be predicted accurately. Bladder tumors comprise a heterogeneous group with respect to both histopathology and clinical behavior. Thus, it is anticipated that a thorough knowledge and interpretation of the molecular alterations involved in tumor development and progression will lead to greater prognostic and predictive power. This may not only lead to better comprehension of the biology of the disease, but may also lead to the development of novel individualized therapies. Novel means of stratification are urgently needed to provide a new subclassification of urothelial lesions. This review discusses and summarizes the genetic alterations that have been reported in bladder cancer and relates these to the current 2-pathway model for tumor development. The molecular pathogenesis of high-grade noninvasive papillary tumors and of T1 tumors is not yet clear, and possibilities are discussed.

Identification of methylated genes associated with aggressive bladder cancer

Approximately 500,000 individuals diagnosed with bladder cancer in the U.S. require routine cystoscopic follow-up to monitor for disease recurrences or progression, resulting in over $2 billion in annual expenditures. Identification of new diagnostic and monitoring strategies are clearly needed, and markers related to DNA methylation alterations hold great promise due to their stability, objective measurement, and known associations with the disease and with its clinical features. To identify novel epigenetic markers of aggressive bladder cancer, we utilized a high-throughput DNA methylation bead-array in two distinct population-based series of incident bladder cancer (n = 73 and n = 264, respectively). We then validated the association between methylation of these candidate loci with tumor grade in a third population (n = 245) through bisulfite pyrosequencing of candidate loci. Array based analyses identified 5 loci for further confirmation with bisulfite pyrosequencing. We identified and confirmed that increased promoter methylation of HOXB2 is significantly and independently associated with invasive bladder cancer and methylation of HOXB2, KRT13 and FRZB together significantly predict high-grade non-invasive disease. Methylation of these genes may be useful as clinical markers of the disease and may point to genes and pathways worthy of additional examination as novel targets for therapeutic treatment.

Arsenic exposure predicts bladder cancer survival in a US population

PURPOSE

Chronic arsenic exposure at levels found in US drinking water has been associated with bladder cancer. While arsenic is a known carcinogen, recent studies suggest that it is useful as a therapeutic agent for leukemia. This study examined the relationship between arsenic exposure and bladder cancer mortality.

METHODS

We studied 832 cases of bladder cancer diagnosed in New Hampshire from a population-based case-control study. Individual exposure to arsenic was determined in home drinking water using ICP-MS and in toenail samples by instrumental neutron activation analysis.

RESULTS

Among the high arsenic exposure group, found using toenail arsenic level or arsenic consumption, cases experienced a de-escalated survival hazard ratio (HR) [high (> or =75 percent) versus low (<25th percentile) toenail arsenic overall survival HR 0.5 (95% CI 0.4-0.8)], controlled for tumor stage, grade, gender, age and treatment regimen. This association was found largely among invasive tumors, in smokers and was not modified by TP53 status. Bladder cancer cause-specific survival showed a similar trend, but did not reach statistical significance [HR 0.5 (95% CI 0.3-1.1)].

CONCLUSIONS

Arsenic exposure may be related to the survival of patients with bladder cancer.

Glucocorticoid therapy and risk of bladder cancer

Background:

Use of immunosuppressive drugs post organ transplantation, and prolonged use of glucorticoids for other conditions have been associated with subsequent risk of certain malignancies, that is, skin cancers and lymphoma. There is evidence that the incidence of bladder cancer is also elevated among organ transplant recipients, however, it is unknown whether other groups of patients, that is, those taking oral glucocorticoids, likewise are at an increased risk.

Methods:

In a population-based case–control study in New Hampshire, USA, we compared the use of glucocorticoids in 786 bladder cancer cases and in 1083 controls. We used unconditional logistic regression analysis to compute adjusted odds ratios (ORs) associated with oral glucocorticoid use.

Results:

In our analysis, the risk of bladder cancer was related to a history of prolonged oral glucocorticoid use (OR=1.85, 95% CI=1.24–2.76, adjusted for age, gender and smoking). Associations with oral glucocorticoid use were stronger for invasive tumours (OR=2.12, 95% CI=1.17–3.85) and tumours with high (3+) p53 staining intensity (OR=2.35, 95% CI=1.26–4.36).

Conclusion:

Our results raise the possibility of an increased risk of bladder cancer from systemic use of glucocorticoids, and a potential role of immune surveillance in bladder cancer aetiology.

Evaluation of p53 Nuclear Accumulation in Low- and High-Grade (WHO/ISUP Classification) Transitional Papillary Carcinomas of the Bladder for Tumor Recurrence and Progression

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the association of p53 nuclear accumulation with recurrence and progression in transitional cell carcinomas of the bladder and to examine the distribution of p53 in low-grade and high-grade transitional cell carcinomas according to the World Health Organization/International Society of Urological Pathology classification.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Nuclear accumulations of p53 were examined in a total of 99 patients with transitional cell carcinoma between May 1995 and October 1999. The mean age was 64 years. There were 94 (95%) men and 5 (5%) women. Following resection, surgical specimens were examined, and p53 accumulation with a 20% cutoff value was accepted as positive staining. Of the 99 patients, 52 (53%) had histologically superficial bladder tumors, and 47 (47%) had invasive tumors. Data concerning grade, stage, number of recurrences, and disease progression were available for each patient.

RESULTS

The median follow-up period was 55 months. 60 of the 99 patients (61%) had p53 overexpression. The difference for p53 overexpression between low-grade and high-grade tumors was significant (p < 0.05). In low- and high-grade tumors, there was no significant relationship for recurrence between p53-positive and p53-negative groups. But there was a statistically significant relationship between progression and histological grade of the tumors. p53 had no significant relationship with tumor recurrences (p > 0.05), but its relationship with progression was statistically significant (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

We did not find a correlation between tumor recurrence and p53 overexpression, but p53 overexpression has a predictive value in determining tumor progression. High-grade tumors had higher p53-positive values than low-grade tumors. This group of patients should be considered for radical therapies on the basis of other prognostic parameters.

Selenium and risk of bladder cancer: a population-based case-control study

Emerging evidence indicates a potential role of selenium in the prevention of several types of cancer, including bladder cancer. We investigated the association between toenail selenium concentrations and bladder cancer risk in a population-based case-control study in New Hampshire. We analyzed data from 857 incidence cases diagnosed between July 1, 1994 and June 30, 2001 and 1,191 general population controls. Newly diagnosed cases of bladder cancer were identified from the New Hampshire State Cancer Registry, which operates a rapid reporting system. Controls were selected from population lists (driver's license and Medicare enrollment). We used logistic regression analyses to generate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), controlling for age, sex, and pack-years of smoking and conducted separate analyses according to the intensity of p53 immunohistochemical staining of the tumor. Overall, toenail selenium concentrations were not significantly related to bladder cancer [OR Q4 versus Q1, 0.90 (95% CI, 0.68-1.19); P(trend) = 0.15]. However, within specific subgroups there were inverse associations, i.e., among moderate smokers [OR, 0.61 (95% CI, 0.39-0.96); P(trend) = 0.004], women [OR, 0.66 (95% CI, 0.40-1.10); P(trend) = 0.11], and those with p53-positive cancers [OR Q4 versus Q1, 0.57 (95% CI, 0.34-0.94); P(trend) = 0.01]. Our results indicate that selenium is not inversely related to risk of bladder cancer overall; however, they raise the possibility that selenium may be preventive in certain molecular phenotypes of tumors (e.g., p53 positive) or within certain subsets of a population (e.g., women or moderate smokers).

Analysis of the relationship between p53 immunohistochemical expression and risk factors for lung cancer, with special emphasis on residential radon exposure

BACKGROUND

Indoor radon exposure has been postulated as the second risk factor of lung cancer after tobacco. The objective of this work is to analyze if there exists any effect on p53 immunohistochemical expression mainly due to radon exposure and other risk factors for lung cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The tumor samples of a case series of 163 lung cancer cases were analyzed to know the p53 staining. The staining was classified into four categories from no staining to intense staining (>60%). This staining was correlated with radon exposure, tobacco consumption, having worked in risk occupations for lung cancer and alcohol consumption.

RESULTS

Only 72 samples could be analyzed for immunohistochemistry and some of these samples were sequenced from exons 4-8. No association was observed for staining intensity and radon exposure and also for tobacco and occupation. A slight association with a more intense staining was observed for high alcohol intake. In the four samples with a staining >60% that could be sequenced from exons 4 to 8, no mutation was observed in the p53 gene.

CONCLUSION

There is no association between radon exposure and p53 expression, indicating that maybe the effect of radon is not mediated through p53 alterations.

Analgesic and anti-inflammatory drug use and risk of bladder cancer: a population based case control study

Background

Use of phenacetin and other analgesic and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) potentially influences bladder cancer incidence, but epidemiologic evidence is limited.

Methods

We analyzed data from 376 incident bladder cancer cases and 463 controls from a population-based case-control study in New Hampshire on whom regular use of analgesic drugs and NSAIDs was obtained. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were computed using logistic regression with adjustment for potentially confounding factors. Separate models by tumor stage, grade and TP53 status were conducted.

Results

We found an elevated odds ratio (OR) associated with reported use of phenacetin-containing medications, especially with longer duration of use (OR _{>8 years} = 3.00, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.4–6.5). In contrast, use of paracetamol did not relate overall to risk of bladder cancer. We also found that regular use of any NSAID was associated with a statistically significant decrease in bladder cancer risk (OR = 0.6, 95% CI = 0.4–0.9), and specifically use of aspirin. Further, the association with NSAID use was largely among invasive, high grade and TP53 positive tumors.

Conclusion

While these agents have been investigated in several studies, a number of questions remain regarding the effects of analgesic and NSAID use on risk of bladder cancer.

Arsenic salts induced autophagic cell death and hypermethylation of DAPK promoter in SV-40 immortalized human uroepithelial cells

Arsenic is a well-known toxic and carcinogenic agent, and associated with various human malignancies, including skin, lung and bladder cancers. Paradoxically, arsenic trioxide has been used successfully in the treatment of patients with acute promyelocytic leukemia. In addition, arsenic could induce cell apoptosis or autophagy in malignant cells. However, the underlying mechanism of arsenic-induced carcinogenesis is still unclear. In this study, we demonstrated an increase of autophagosomes was produced in arsenic-treated SV-HUC-1 cells by using electron microscopy. In addition, increase of Beclin-1, an important regulator for the formation of autophagosome, protein expression in a dose-dependent manner was also found. By using methylation specific PCR, we revealed hypermethylation of CpG sites in the promoter region with decreased DAPK protein expression in arsenic-treated SV-HUC-1 cells. As epigenetic silencing of tumor suppressor genes by promoter hypermethylation has been found in a variety of malignancies including bladder cancer, our results provide new insights for the understanding of the mechanism of arsenic-induced carcinogenesis in urothelial cells.

Promoter hypermethylation is associated with current smoking, age, gender and survival in bladder cancer

Hypermethylation of tumor suppressor genes is central to the pathogenesis of human malignancy, yet this alteration's etiology remains unclear, and its clinical impact has not yet been studied using an approach that can yield directly generalizable results. Therefore, we sought to examine both of these issues in bladder cancer, seeking to understand the characteristics of epidemiologically well-defined patient tumors with differing levels of methylation silencing. We analyzed epigenetic silencing of 16 genes in a population-based incident case series of 331 bladder transitional cell carcinomas. We utilized a novel item response theory (IRT) model, to examine, in an unbiased fashion, the relationship of patient characteristics, carcinogen exposure history and tumor characteristics with the underlying propensity for gene hypermethylation. Age, male gender and current cigarette smoking were significantly positively associated with the methylation latent trait. Promoter hypermethylation as a latent trait significantly predicted both non-invasive/high-grade and invasive stage disease and was also significantly associated with survival, with each unit increase in the latent trait resulting in a 30% increase in the risk of death. This work, studying all stages and grades of incident bladder cancer, provides definitive evidence that carcinogen exposures play a critical role in selecting these alterations in tumorous clones and that epigenetic silencing is a strong and significant predictor of tumor stage and overall patient survival. Finally, our novel approach provides insight into the etiology of promoter hypermethylation, suggesting that selected, carcinogen-exposed individuals have a greater propensity for hypermethylation that is associated with more aggressive, fatal disease.

The p53 pathway and outcome among patients with T1G3 bladder tumors

PURPOSE

The aim was to analyze Tp53 and HDM2 in T1G3 bladder tumors and to determine the prognostic value of their alterations.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Tumors (n = 119) were extracted from a prospective study of 1,356 bladder cancers. Tp53 mutations (exons 4-9) were assessed by sequencing of PCR products. HDM2 dose was assessed by quantitative PCR. p53, HDM2, and the products of p53 target genes were analyzed by immunohistochemistry. Cases were distributed in three categories. The association with prognosis was determined using Kaplan-Meier and Cox analyses.

RESULTS

Eighty-five percent of tumors harbored alterations in Tp53 or HDM2. In group 1 (n = 77), 69 tumors had inactivating Tp53 mutations (58%), and 8 had HDM2 gains (7%). Group 2 (n = 24) comprised tumors overexpressing p53 in the absence of mutations (20%). Group 3 tumors (n = 18) had no alterations. HDM2 gains were associated to HDM2 overexpression and to wild-type Tp53. Expression of type 1 insulin-like growth factor receptor, 14-3-3 sigma, and cyclooxygenase-2 was similar in groups 1 and 2 and significantly different from group 3. Survivin was expressed in the majority of tumors regardless of p53 pathway status. Taking group 3 as reference, the hazard ratios (HR) for recurrence, progression, and death were not significantly different in the other patient groups. HRs for recurrence were 1.13 for group 1 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 0.25-5.03] and 1.40 for group 2 (95% CI, 0.27-7.20). HRs for progression were 0.50 for group 1 (95% CI, 0.18-1.40) and 0.25 for group 2 (95% CI, 0.05-1.29).

CONCLUSIONS

The p53 pathway is inactivated in most T1G3 bladder tumors. These genetic alterations do not independently predict patient's prognosis.

Carcinogen exposure and epigenetic silencing in bladder cancer

Tobacco smoking, certain occupational exposures, and exposure to inorganic arsenic in drinking water have been associated with the occurrence of bladder cancer. However, in these tumors the exposure-associated pattern of somatic alterations in genes in the causal pathway for disease has been poorly characterized. Animal and in vitro studies have suggested that arsenic, tobacco carcinogens, and other exposures may act through epigenetic mechanisms. We, therefore, examined, in a population-based study of human bladder cancer (n = 351), the relationship between epigenetic silencing of the tumor-suppressor genes, p16(INK4A), RASSF1A, PRSS3, and the four SFRP genes and exposure to both tobacco and arsenic in bladder cancer. Promotor methylation silencing of each of these genes occurred in approximately 30-50% of bladder cancers. Epigenetic silencing of RASSF1A and PRSS3 and any of the SFRP genes were each significantly associated with advanced tumor stage (P < 0.001, P < 0.04, and P < 0.005, respectively). Arsenic exposure, measured as toenail arsenic, was associated with RASSF1A (P < 0.02) and PRSS3 (P < 0.1) but not p16(INK4A) or SFRP promotor methylation, in models adjusted for stage and other risk factors. Cigarette smoking was associated with a greater than twofold increased risk of promotor methylation of the p16(INK4A) gene, with greater risk seen in patients with exposures more recent to disease diagnosis, and smoking was also significantly associated with any SFRP gene methylation (P < 0.01). These results from human bladder tumors, add to the body of animal and in vitro evidence that suggests bladder carcinogens play a crucial role in the induction of important epigenetic alterations.

Osteoclast-rich undifferentiated carcinomas of the urinary tract

Osteoclast-like giant-cell neoplasms of the urinary tract are rare. They are composed of ovoid or spindle-shaped mononuclear cells with evenly spaced osteoclast-like giant cells. Terminology, histogenesis, and biologic behavior of these tumors remain controversial. Six cases of osteoclast-like giant-cell neoplasms of the urinary tract were identified from the consultation files of two of the authors. Patients were all male and elderly (range 65-82), with the exception of one 39-year-old male. In all, 3/6 tumors developed in the bladder and 3/6 in the renal pelvis. Size ranged from 5 to 11 cm. One bladder and three renal pelvis tumors were high stage (pT3) at time of presentation. Adjacent to the osteoclast-like giant-cell neoplasm in the same specimen, all patients had urothelial carcinoma in situ and/or high-grade papillary urothelial carcinoma. Multinucleated cells had identical morphological and immunohistochemical properties of osteoclasts; positive for CD-68, LCA, CD51 and CD54, and negative for cytokeratins and EMA. Varying percentages of mononuclear cells expressed alpha-smooth muscle actin (4/6), desmin (1/6), S-100 (4/6), LCA (2/6) and CD68 (6/6). However, mononuclear cells were also positive for epithelial markers in 4/6 tumors (cytokeratins AE-1/AE-3, Cam 5.2, CK7 and/or EMA). p53 stained mononuclear tumor cells in three cases, paralleling the staining on the accompanying urothelial carcinoma. Ki-67 stained mononuclear tumor cells, but not osteoclast-like giant cells. Follow-up data were available in five cases. One patient developed recurrence of noninvasive urothelial carcinoma and is still alive. Four patients were dead due to disease within 15 months, three with distant metastases. The intimate association of these tumors with urothelial carcinoma along with their immunohistochemical profile supports an epithelial origin for the mononuclear cells and non-neoplastic reactive histiocytic lineage for the osteoclast-like giant cells.

FGFR3 and Tp53 mutations in T1G3 transitional bladder carcinomas: independent distribution and lack of association with prognosis

FGFR3 and Tp53 mutations have been proposed as defining two alternative pathways in the pathogenesis of transitional bladder cancer. FGFR3 mutations are associated with low-grade tumors and a favorable prognosis. Tp53 alterations are associated with advanced tumors and, possibly, with a poor prognosis. We focus here on the subgroup of T1G3 superficial tumors because they are a major clinical challenge. Patients (n = 119) were identified from a prospective study of 1,356 cases. Mutations in FGFR3 (exons 7, 10, and 15) and Tp53 (exons 4-9) were analyzed using PCR and direct sequencing. All cases were followed for recurrence and death. Survival was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier curves and multivariable Cox regression. FGFR3 mutations were detected in 20 (16.8%) tumors; 100 mutations in Tp53 were found in tumors from 78 (65.5%) cases. Multiple alterations in Tp53 were present in 19 tumors (16%). Inactivating mutations were present in 58% of tumors. The combined mutation distribution (FGFR3/Tp53) was: wt/wt (34.5%), mut/wt (7.6%), wt/mut (48.7%), and mut/mut (9.2%), indicating that the presence of either mutation did not depend on the other (P value = 0.767). FGFR3 and Tp53 mutations were not associated with clinicopathologic characteristics of patients and did not predict, alone or in combination, recurrence or survival. Taking the risk of the wt/wt group as reference, the mutation-associated risks of cancer-specific mortality were: mut/wt 1.42 (0.15-13.75), wt/mut 0.67 (0.19-2.31), mut/mut 1.62 (0.27-9.59). These molecular features support the notion that T1G3 tumors are at the crossroads of the two main molecular pathways proposed for bladder cancer development and progression.

TP53 alterations and patterns of carcinogen exposure in a U.S. population-based study of bladder cancer

The molecular pathology of bladder cancer has been the subject of considerable interest, and current efforts are targeted toward elucidating the interrelationships between individual somatic gene loss and both etiologic and prognostic factors. Mutation of the TP53 gene has been associated with more invasive bladder cancer, and evidence suggests that TP53 mutation, independent of stage, may be predictive of outcome in this disease. However, there is no consensus in the literature that bladder carcinogen exposure is associated with inactivation of the TP53 gene. Work to date has been primarily hospital based and, as such, subject to possible bias associated with selection of more advanced cases for study. We examined exposure relationships with both TP53 gene mutation and TP53 protein alterations in a population-based study of 330 bladder cancer cases in New Hampshire. Tobacco smoking was not associated with TP53 alterations. We found a higher prevalence of TP53 inactivation (i.e., mutation and nuclear accumulation) among hair dye users (odd ratio [OR] = 4.1; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2-14.7), and the majority of these mutations were transversions. Men who had "at risk" occupations were more likely to have mutated TP53 tumors (OR = 2.9; 95% CI 1.1-7.6). There also was a relative absence of TP53 mutation (OR = 0.4; 95% CI 0.0-2.9) and TP53 protein alterations (OR = 0.6; 95% CI 0.3-1.4) in bladder cancers from individuals with higher arsenic exposure. Our data suggest that there is exposure-specific heterogeneity in inactivation of the TP53 pathway in bladder cancers and that integration of the spectrum of pathway alterations in population-based approaches (capturing the full range of exposures to bladder carcinogens) may provide important insights into bladder tumorigenesis.

Loss of heterozygosity on chromosome 9q and p53 alterations in human bladder cancer

BACKGROUND

Somatic loss of the 9q allele as well as alteration of the tumor suppressor p53 occurs commonly in bladder cancers. Although alteration of p53 has been strongly associated with invasive stage disease, the prognostic significance of 9q loss of heterozygosity (LOH) and the relations between these alterations are less well defined.

METHODS

The 9q LOH was examined at five microsatellites and p53 alterations (mutation and persistent immunohistochemical staining) in a population-based case series of 271 newly diagnosed bladder cancer patients. Loss of heterozygosity was scored quantitatively and p53 mutation completed using single-strand conformation polymorphism screening followed by sequencing.

RESULTS

Overall, allelic loss at 9q was detected in 74.5% (202/271) of cases and allele loss was associated with invasive disease (P < 0.05). Although based on small numbers, all nine in situ lesions contained 9q LOH. Age, gender, and smoking were not significantly associated with chromosome 9q allele loss. Both intense persistent p53 staining and LOH at 9q were independently associated with invasive disease (P < 10(-14) and P < 0.05, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

These data, using a population-based sample, suggest a relation between 9q LOH and invasive stage bladder cancer, and thereby suggests that a tumor suppressor gene at this loci, in addition to p53, may be important in the development of this more aggressive form of the disease.

Epigenetic inactivation of SFRP genes and TP53 alteration act jointly as markers of invasive bladder cancer

In the United States each year, almost 13,000 deaths are attributable to bladder cancer, with the majority of these deaths related to higher stage, muscle-invasive solid tumors. Epigenetic silencing of the secreted frizzled receptor proteins (SFRP), antagonists of the WNT pathway, leads to constitutive WNT signaling, altering cell morphology and motility. Identifying alterations in this pathway in bladder cancer may prove useful for defining the invasive phenotype and provide targets for guiding therapy. Using a population-based study of bladder cancer (n = 355), we examined epigenetic alterations, specifically gene promoter hypermethylation, of four SFRP genes in addition to immunohistochemical staining of TP53, which has been previously shown to be a predictor of invasive disease. We observed a significant linear trend (P < 0.0004) in the magnitude of the risk of invasive disease with the number of SFRP genes methylated. Both TP53 alteration and SFRP gene methylation showed significant independent associations with invasive bladder cancer. Strikingly, in examining the joint effect of these alterations, we observed a >30-fold risk of invasive disease for patients with both altered SFRP gene methylation and intense TP53 staining (odds ratio, 32.1; P < 10(-13)). Overall patient survival was significantly poorer in patients with any SFRP genes methylated (P < 0.0003) and in proportional hazards modeling, patients with methylation of any SFRP gene had significantly poorer overall survival (hazard ratio, 1.78; P < 0.02) controlled for TP53 staining intensity and other survival-associated factors. Classifying tumors based on SFRP methylation status and TP53 protein staining intensity may be a clinically powerful predictor of invasive, deadly disease.

P53 as a prognostic marker for bladder cancer: a meta-analysis and review

BACKGROUND

P53 is the most widely investigated molecular marker in bladder cancer. We aimed to review comprehensively the evidence for use of changes in P53 to predict bladder-cancer recurrence, progression, and mortality.

METHODS

We reviewed 168 publications from 117 studies. Estimates of significance were extracted from association tests, and hazard ratios with 95% CI from actuarial curves and Cox regression analyses. A meta-analysis was done on the studies that applied Cox models.

FINDINGS

The methods used to assess significance varied widely between studies. 27% (nine of 34) of studies that assessed the prognostic value of P53 overexpression in recurrence by use of multivariate tests showed a significant association. The corresponding values for progression and mortality were 50% (12 of 24) and 29% (ten of 35), respectively. In the studies that used Cox models, the overall risk of recurrence was 1.6 (95% CI 1.2-2.1), of progression was 3.1 (1.9-4.9), and of mortality was 1.4 (1.2-1.7). These findings could be overestimates because of publication and reporting bias.

INTERPRETATION

After 10 years of research, evidence is not sufficient to conclude whether changes in P53 act as markers of outcome in patients with bladder cancer.

Carcinogen exposure and gene promoter hypermethylation in bladder cancer

Tobacco smoking, certain occupational exposures, and exposure to inorganic arsenic in drinking water have been associated with the occurrence of bladder cancer. However, in these tumors the exposure-associated pattern of somatic alterations in genes in the causal pathway for disease has been poorly characterized. In particular, the mechanism by which arsenic induces bladder cancer and the effects of lower environmental levels of exposure remain uncertain. Animal and in-vitro studies have suggested that arsenic and other exposures may act through epigenetic mechanisms. We, therefore, examined, in a population-based study of human bladder cancer, the relationship between epigenetic silencing of three tumor suppressor genes, p16(INK4A), RASSF1A and PRSS3, and exposure to both tobacco and arsenic in bladder cancer. Promoter methylation of each of these genes occurred in approximately 30% of bladder cancers, and both RASSF1A and PRSS3 promoter methylation were associated with advanced tumor stage (P<0.001 and P<0.04, respectively). Arsenic exposure, measured as toenail arsenic, was associated with RASSF1A (P<0.02) and PRSS3 (P<0.1) but not p16INK4A promoter methylation, in models adjusted for stage and other factors. Cigarette smoking was associated with a >2-fold increased risk of promoter methylation of the p16INK4A gene only, with greater risk seen in patients with exposures more recent to disease diagnosis. These results, from human bladder tumors, add to the body of animal and in vitro evidence that suggests a role in epigenetic alterations for bladder carcinogens.

Loss of heterozygosity of chromosome 3p21 is associated with mutant TP53 and better patient survival in non-small-cell lung cancer

Allelic loss of chromosome region 3p21.3 occurs early and frequently in non-small-cell lung cancer, and numerous tumor suppressor genes at this locus may be targets of inactivation. Using an incident case series study of non-small-cell lung cancer, we sought to determine the prevalence of loss of heterozygosity (LOH) in the 3p21.3 region and to examine the associations between this alteration and patient outcome, exposure to tobacco smoke, occupational asbestos exposure, and additional molecular alterations in these tumors. We examined LOH at 7 microsatellite markers in the chromosome 3p21.3 region, and LOH was present in at least one of the loci examined in 60% (156 of 258) of the tumors, with the prevalence of LOH at individual loci ranging from 15 to 56%. Occupational asbestos exposure and TP53 mutation were significantly associated with more extensive 3p21 LOH. In squamous cell carcinomas, measures of cumulative smoking dose were significantly lower in patients with LOH at 3p21, particularly in TP53 mutant tumors. Examining patient outcome, we found that in squamous cell carcinomas, having any LOH in this region was associated with a better overall survival (log-rank test, P < 0.04). Together, these results indicate that allelic loss at 3p21 can affect patient outcome, and that this loss may initially be related to carcinogen exposure, but that extension of this loss is related to TP53 mutation status and occupational asbestos exposure.

Molecular markers for predicting recurrence, progression and outcomes of bladder cancer (do the poster boys need new posters?)

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Molecular markers for bladder cancer recurrence and progression continue to drive many research programmes. Translating the laboratory findings into the clinical environment where these markers are used in clinical decision making has proved problematic. In the clinical arena, stage and grade are still the main focus for decisions about patient management. There is however an evolution in bladder cancer research from single-marker/single-pathway research to a more global assessment of the tumour cell with DNA microarrays and proteomics.

RECENT FINDINGS

In the last year, DNA microarray assessment has revealed several interesting molecular markers such as p33ING1 and DEK. Parallel "conventional" single-pathway research has focused on new novel markers such as HER2/neu, survivin and matrix metalloproteinase 2 (MMP-2). Molecular markers that have a long-standing association with bladder cancer progression such as p53, E-cadherin and Ki-67 have been reviewed by both single-marker studies and by microarray studies and their status remains important.

SUMMARY

It is an exciting time in the molecular biology research of bladder cancer as the focus changes to assess the global genetic and protein expression within tumour cells. From such a wealth of information it is likely that molecular markers will make the translation from benchside to bedside.