The burden of COPD mortality due to ambient air pollution in Guangzhou, China

Impacts from air pollution on respiratory disease outcomes: a meta-analysis

Introduction

Air pollution is widely acknowledged as a significant factor in respiratory outcomes, including coughing, wheezing, emergency department (ED) visits, and even death. Although several literature reviews have confirmed the association between air pollution and respiratory outcomes, they often did not standardize associations across different studies and overlooked other increasingly impactful pollutants such as trace metals. Recognizing the importance of consistent comparison and emissions of non-exhaust particles from road traffic, this study aims to comprehensively evaluate the standardized effects of various criteria pollutants and trace metals on respiratory health.

Methods

We conducted a comprehensive meta-analysis of peer-reviewed journal articles on air pollution and respiratory outcomes published between 1 January 2000, and 1 June 2024. The study included children (age < 18 years), adults (age ≥ 18 years), and all age groups exposed to criteria pollutants established by the US Environmental Protection Agency National Ambient Air Quality Standards and over 10 trace metals. Using databases, such as PubMed, MEDLINE, Web of Science Core Collection, and Google Scholar, we identified 579 relevant articles. After rigorous screening and quality assessment using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, 50 high-quality studies were included. We converted various reported outcomes (e.g., odds ratios, relative risk, and percent increase) to a standardized odds ratio (OR) for comparability and performed meta-analyses using R 4.4.0 and related packages, ensuring the robustness of our findings.

Results

Our meta-analysis indicated significant associations between air pollutants and respiratory outcomes. For particulate matter with diameter ≤ 2.5 μm (PM2.5), the overall ORs for children, adults, and combined age groups were 1.31, 1.10, and 1.26, respectively, indicating a consistent positive association. Similar positive associations were observed for particulate matter with diameter ≤ 10 μm (PM10) and other pollutants, with children showing higher susceptibility than adults. The analysis of trace metals also showed significant associations; however, these findings require cautious interpretation due to the small number of studies.

Conclusion

Our study supports associations between air pollutants, including non-exhaust trace metals, and respiratory outcomes across different age groups. The findings underscore the need for stringent environmental health policies and further research, especially in regions with higher pollution levels. The future studies should consider long-term and short-term exposures separately and include diverse populations to improve the accuracy and generalizability of the results.

Short-term effects of high-resolution (1-km) ambient PM2.5 and PM10 on hospital admission for pulmonary tuberculosis: a case-crossover study in Hainan, China

Introduction

There is limited evidence regarding particulate matter (PM)'s short-term effects on pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) hospital admission. Our study aimed to determine the short-term associations of the exposure to ambient PM with aerodynamic diameters <2.5 μm (PM2.5) and < 10 μm (PM10) with hospital admission for PTB in Hainan, a tropical province in China.

Methods

We collected individual data on patients hospitalized with PTB, PM2.5, PM10, and meteorological data from 2016 to 2019 in Hainan Province, China. Conditional logistic regression models with a time-stratified case-crossover design were used to assess the short-term effects of PM2.5 and PM10 on hospital admission for PTB at a spatial resolution of 1 km  ×  1 km. Stratified analyses were performed according to age at admission, sex, marital status, administrative division, and season of admission.

Results

Each interquartile range (IQR) increases in the concentrations of PM2.5 and PM10 were associated with 1.155 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.041-1.282) and 1.142 (95% CI: 1.033-1.263) hospital admission risks for PTB at lag 0-8 days, respectively. The stratified analyses showed that the effects of PM2.5 and PM10 were statistically significant for patients aged ≥65 years, males, married, and those residing in prefecture-level cities. Regarding seasonal differences, the associations between PM and hospital admission for PTB were statistically significant in the warm season but not in the cold season. The effect of PM2.5 was consistently stronger than that of PM10 in most subgroups.

Conclusion

Short-term exposure to PM increases the risk of hospital admission for PTB. The potential impact of PM with smaller aerodynamic diameter is more detrimental. Our findings highlight the importance of reducing ambient PM level to alleviate the burden of PTB.

Health effects of exposure to sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, ozone, and carbon monoxide between 1980 and 2019: A systematic review and meta-analysis

The burden of disease attributed to the indoor exposure to sulfur dioxide (SO₂ ), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂ ), ozone (O₃ ), and carbon monoxide (CO) is not clear, and the quantitative concentration-response relationship is a prerequisite. This is a systematic review to summarize the quantitative concentration-response relationships by screening and analyzing the polled effects of population-based epidemiological studies. After collecting literature published between 1980 and 2019, a total of 19 health outcomes in 101 studies with 182 health risk estimates were recruited. By meta-analysis, the leave-one-out sensitivity analysis and Egger's test for publication bias, the robust and reliable effects were found for SO₂ (per 10 μg/m³ ) with chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases (COPD) (pooled relative risks [RRs] 1.016, 95% CI: 1.012-1.021) and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) (RR 1.012, 95%CI: 007-1.018), respectively. NO₂ (per 10 μg/m³ ) had the pooled RRs for childhood asthma, preterm birth, lung cancer, diabetes, and COPD by 1.134 (1.084-1.186), 1.079 (1.007-1.157), 1.055 (1.010-1.101), 1.019 (1.009-1.029), and 1.016 (1.012-1.120), respectively. CO (per 1 mg/m³ ) was significantly associated with Parkinson's disease (RR 1.574, 95% CI: 1.069-2.317) and CVD (RR 1.024, 95% CI: 1.011-1.038). No robust effects were observed for O₃ . This study provided evidence and basis for further estimation of the health burden attributable to the four gaseous pollutants.

Air Pollution Increased the Demand for Gym Sports under COVID-19: Evidence from Beijing, China

Air pollution may change people's gym sports behavior. To test this claim, first, we used big data crawler technology and ordinary least square (OLS) models to investigate the effect of air pollution on people' gym visits in Beijing, China, especially under the COVID-19 pandemic of 2019-2020, and the results showed that a one-standard-deviation increase in PM2.5 concentration (fine particulate matter with diameters equal to or smaller than 2.5 μm) derived from the land use regression model (LUR) was positively associated with a 0.119 and a 0.171 standard-deviation increase in gym visits without or with consideration of the COVID-19 variable, respectively. Second, using spatial autocorrelation analysis and a series of spatial econometric models, we provided consistent evidence that the gym industry of Beijing had a strong spatial dependence, and PM2.5 and its spatial spillover effect had a positive impact on the demand for gym sports. Such a phenomenon offers us a new perspective that gym sports can be developed into an essential activity for the public due to this avoidance behavior regarding COVID-19 virus contact and pollution exposure.

Ambient nitrogen dioxide and years of life lost from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in the elderly: A multicity study in China

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, and nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) is a potential environmental risk factor for COPD. However, association between ambient NO₂ and COPD risk remains underrecognized, especially in the elderly. This study aimed to explore association between NO₂ and years of life lost (YLL) from COPD in the elderly from 2013 to 2017 in 37 major cities in China.

METHODS

Ambient NO₂ data and COPD morality information were obtained from the National Urban Air Quality Real-time Publishing Platform and the Chinese Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, respectively. City-specific relative changes in YLL were estimated by generalized additive models, and meta-analysis was used to combine city-specific results. Potential modifications were evaluated. Economic loss due to excess YLL from COPD associated with ambient NO₂ was evaluated.

RESULTS

An increase of 10 μg/m³ in NO₂ for 2-day moving average led to 0.94% (95% CI: 0.56%, 1.31%) relative increase in COPD YLL. The associations were significantly higher in South than North China. Higher estimated effects were found in the warm than the cool season in the southern region. The relevant economic loss accounted for 0.04% (95% CI: 0.02%, 0.05%) of the gross domestic product (GDP) in China during the same period.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings provide evidence on the impact of short-term NO₂ exposure on COPD YLL in the elderly, which indicated more stringent control of NO₂ pollution and highlighted the need to protect the elderly during the warm season in South China.

Nitrogen dioxide increases the risk of mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

Ambient air pollution is associated with the prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) patients. We aimed to identify the impacts of individual exposure to particulate matter with a 50% cut-off aerodynamic diameter of 10 μm (PM₁₀) and nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) on IPF patients' mortality.1114 patients (mean age 65.7 years; male 80.5%) diagnosed with IPF between 1995 and 2016 were included in this study. Individual-level long-term concentrations of PM₁₀ and NO₂ at residential addresses of patients were estimated using a national-scale exposure prediction model. The effect of PM₁₀ and NO₂ on mortality was estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for individual- and area-level covariates.The median follow-up period was 3.8 years and 69.5% of the patients died or underwent lung transplantation. When adjusted for individual- and area-level covariates, a 10 ppb increase in NO₂ concentration was associated with a 17% increase in mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 1.172, 95% CI 1.030-1.344; p=0.016). When IPF patients were stratified by age (≥65 versus <65 years) or by sex, NO₂ was a significant prognostic factor for mortality in the elderly (HR 1.331, 95% CI 1.010-1.598; p=0.010). When stratified by age and sex jointly, NO₂ showed the stronger association with mortality in elderly males (HR 1.305, 95% CI 1.072-1.598; p=0.008) than in other groups. PM₁₀ was not associated with IPF mortality in all patients and in subgroups stratified by age or sex.Our findings suggest that increased exposure to NO₂ can increase the risk of mortality in patients with IPF, specifically in elderly males.

The effect of consecutive ambient air pollution on the hospital admission from chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in the Chengdu region, China

Hospitalisation risks for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have been attributed to ambient air pollution worldwide. However, a rise in COPD hospitalisations may indicate a considerable increase in fatality rate in public health. The current study focuses on the association between consecutive ambient air pollution (CAAP) and COPD hospitalisation to offer predictable early guidance towards estimates of COPD hospital admissions in the event of consecutive exposure to air pollution. Big data analytics were collected from 3-year time series recordings (from 2015 to 2017) of both air data and COPD hospitalisation data in the Chengdu region in China. Based on the combined effects of CAAP and unit increase in air pollutant concentrations, a quasi-Poisson regression model was established, which revealed the association between CAAP and estimated COPD admissions. The results show the dynamics and outbreaks in the variations in COPD admissions in response to CAAP. Cross-validation and mean squared error (MSE) are applied to validate the goodness of fit. In both short-term and long-term air pollution exposures, Z test outcomes show that the COPD hospitalisation risk is greater for men than for women; similarly, the occurrence of COPD hospital admissions in the group of elderly people (> 65 years old) is significantly larger than that in lower age groups. The time lag between the air quality and COPD hospitalisation is also investigated, and a peak of COPD hospitalisation risk is found to lag 2 days for air quality index (AQI) and PM₁₀, and 1 day for PM_2.5. The big data-based predictive paradigm would be a measure for the early detection of a public health event in post-COVID-19. The study findings can also provide guidance for COPD admissions in the event of consecutive exposure to air pollution in the Chengdu region.

Immunomodulatory Effects of Hydrolyzed Seawater Pearl Tablet (HSPT) on Th1/Th2 Functionality in a Mice Model of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) Induced by Cigarette Smoke

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is predicted to become the third leading cause of death around the world. The present study is designed to investigate whether hydrolyzed seawater pearl tablet (HSPT) has immunoregulatory effects on the Th1/Th2 functionality in cigarette smoke-induced COPD model mice. The determination of the amino acid composition of HSPT was carried out by high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) with precolumn phenylisothiocyanate (PITC) derivatization. COPD model mice were constructed by cigarette smoking (CS) treatment and HSPT was administered. HSPT inhibited the infiltration of inflammation in the airway of the lung, reduced influx of eosinophils (EOSs), lymphocytes (LYMs), neutrophils (NEUs), and macrophages (MACs) in the bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF), decreased the levels of IFN-γ, IL-2, IL-4, and IL-10 in the serum and lung, and decreased the expression of aforementioned cytokines in the spleen and lung in CS-treated mice. Besides, HSPT also had the ability to reduce the amount of CD3⁺CD4⁺ T cells and modulate the Th1/Th2 balance. Taken together, this study supports the consensus that CS is a critical factor to induce and aggravate COPD. HSPT could regulate the balance of Th1/Th2 in CS-induced COPD model mice, indicating its effects on inhibiting the development of COPD.

Air pollution enhances susceptibility to novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infection - an impact study

On concurring to the current evidence, the myriad of vulnerable COVID-19 (Coronavirus Disease 19) transmission is acquiring through human-to-human transmission through droplets, which is depicting devastating pandemic. Urbanization and industrialization are the major contributing factors to the on-going change in global climate, with increased air pollution and poor air quality. As the global climate and air quality deteriorate, air pollutants remain as a fundamental concern to public health. Air pollution has been globally acknowledged as a major influence and exacerbating factor for human morbidity and mortality influenced on various respiratory diseases such as lung cancer, bronchitis, chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases, pneumonia, asthma, and influenza. Patients by long - term exposure to polluted air leads to chronic lung and heart conditions are less able to fight off lung infections and likely to die. Polluted air in developed countries is causing heart and lung damage and is responsible for early deaths in a year. This is also likely the case for COVID-19. The more severe impact by COVID-19 on city dwellers and those exposed to toxic fumes leads to the primary health damage such as respiratory infections than on others. The health damage inflicted on people by long-standing air pollution in cities is likely to increase the death rate by COVID-19. By lowering air pollution levels probability to reduce the spread of most vulnerable viruses by aerosol to fight against any possible future pandemics.

Diabetes mortality burden attributable to short-term effect of PM10 in China

Ambient air pollution may be associated with diabetes mellitus. However, evidence from developing countries is limited although the concentrations of air pollution are disproportionably higher in these countries. We collected daily data on diabetes mortality, air pollution, and weather conditions from 16 Chinese provincial cities during 2007-2013. A quasi-Poisson regression combined with a distributed lag model was used to quantify the city-specific mortality risk of PM₁₀ (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter < 10 μm). Then, a random-effect meta-analysis was conducted to pool effect estimates from 16 cities. We also calculated the attributable fraction and attributable number of diabetes mortality due to PM₁₀. Effects of PM₁₀ were found to be acute and limited to 3 days. Harvesting effect of PM₁₀ was found during lag 4-10 days on diabetes mortality. An increase of 0.17% (95%CI: 0.01-0.34), 0.48% (95%CI: 0.22-0.73), and 0.53% (95%CI: 0.27-0.80) in diabetes mortality was associated with per 10 μg/m³ increase in PM₁₀ at lag 0, 0-4 and 0-10 days, respectively. Totally, 5.76% (95%CI: 2.59-8.00%) and 5878 (95%CI: 2639-8163) deaths due to diabetes could be attributable to PM₁₀. If the concentration of PM₁₀ attained the Chinese government and WHO targets, the reduction in number of PM_2.5-attributed diabetes deaths was 2016 and 5528, respectively. Higher effect estimates of PM₁₀ were observed among females and those aged 0-64 years old at lag 0 day, while greater cumulative effects of PM₁₀ were among males, the elderly aged 75 or over, and the illiterate at lag 0-10 days. However, the between-group differences were not statistically significant. It is one of the few studies on examining the attributable burden of diabetes mortality caused by particulate matter. Our findings indicated that effective efforts on controlling air pollution could reduce a prominent number of air pollution-related diabetes deaths.

Peak Outpatient and Emergency Department Visit Forecasting for Patients With Chronic Respiratory Diseases Using Machine Learning Methods: Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The overcrowding of hospital outpatient and emergency departments (OEDs) due to chronic respiratory diseases in certain weather or under certain environmental pollution conditions results in the degradation in quality of medical care, and even limits its availability.

OBJECTIVE

To help OED managers to schedule medical resource allocation during times of excessive health care demands after short-term fluctuations in air pollution and weather, we employed machine learning (ML) methods to predict the peak OED arrivals of patients with chronic respiratory diseases.

METHODS

In this paper, we first identified 13,218 visits from patients with chronic respiratory diseases to OEDs in hospitals from January 1, 2016, to December 31, 2017. Then, we divided the data into three datasets: weather-based visits, air quality-based visits, and weather air quality-based visits. Finally, we developed ML methods to predict the peak event (peak demand days) of patients with chronic respiratory diseases (eg, asthma, respiratory infection, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease) visiting OEDs on the three weather data and environmental pollution datasets in Guangzhou, China.

RESULTS

The adaptive boosting-based neural networks, tree bag, and random forest achieved the biggest receiver operating characteristic area under the curve, 0.698, 0.714, and 0.809, on the air quality dataset, the weather dataset, and weather air quality dataset, respectively. Overall, random forests reached the best classification prediction performance.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed ML methods may act as a useful tool to adapt medical services in advance by predicting the peak of OED arrivals. Further, the developed ML methods are generic enough to cope with similar medical scenarios, provided that the data is available.

The effect and burden modification of heating on adult asthma hospitalizations in Shijiazhuang: a time-series analysis

Background

Previous studies have found associations between asthma morbidity and air pollution especially in young population, (PLoS One 12:e0180522, 2017; Can J Public Health 103:4-8, 2012; Environ Health Perspect 118:449-57, 2010; Am J Respir Crit Care Med 182:307-16, 2010; J Allergy Clin Immunol 104:717-22, 2008; J Allergy Clin Immunol 104:717-22, 1999; Environ Res 111:1137-47, 2011) but most of them were conducted in areas with relatively low air pollutant level. Moreover, very few studies have investigated the effect and burden modification of heating season during which the ambient air pollution level is significantly different from that during non-heating season in north China.

Objectives

This study aimed to evaluate the effect and burden modification of heating on short-term associations between adult asthma hospitalizations and ambient air pollution in the north China city of Shijiazhuang.

Methods

Generalized additive models combined with penalized distributed lag nonlinear models were used to model associations between daily asthma hospitalizations and ambient air pollutants from 1 January 2013 to 16 December 2016 in Shijiazhuang city, adjusting for long-term and seasonality trend, day of week, statutory holiday, daily mean air pressure and temperature. Attributable risks were calculated to evaluate the burden of asthma hospitalizations due to air pollutants exposure. The effect of pollutants on hospitalization and the attributable measures were estimated in heating and non-heating season separately and the comparisons between the two seasons were conducted.

Results

All pollutants demonstrated positive and significant impacts on asthma hospitalizations both in heating season and non-heating season, except for O₃ in heating season where a negative association was observed. However, the differences of the pollutant-specific effects between the two seasons were not significant. SO₂ and NO₂ exposure were associated with the heaviest burden among all pollutants in heating season; meanwhile, PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 were associated with the heaviest burden in heating season.

Conclusions

In conclusion, we found evidence of the effect of ambient air pollutants on asthma hospitalizations in Shijiazhuang. The central heating period could modify the effects in terms of attributable risks. The disease burden modification of heating should be taken into consideration when planning intervention measures to reduce the risk of asthma hospitalization.

Applying the concept of "number needed to treat" to the formulation of daily ambient air quality standards

The World Health Organization sets up the Ambient Air Quality Guidelines mainly based on short-term and long-term health effects of air pollution. Previous studies, however, have generally revealed a non-threshold concentration-response relationship between air pollution and health, making it difficult to determine a concentration, below which no obvious health effects can be observed. Here we proposed a novel approach based on the concept of "number needed to treat", specifically, we calculated the reduction in air pollution concentrations needed to avoid one death corresponding to different hypothetical concentration standards; the one with the smallest value would be the most practical concentration standard. As an example, we applied this approach to the daily standard of ambient PM_2.5 (particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm) in four Chinese cities. The calculation was based on the association between daily mortality and ambient PM_2.5, which was examined by a generalized additive model with adjustment of important covariates. Significant associations were observed between PM_2.5 and mortality. Our analyses suggested that it is appropriate to have 50 μg/m³ as the daily standard of ambient PM_2.5 for the study area, compared to the current standard of which were directly adopted from the national standard of 75 μg/m³. This novel approach should be considered when planning and/or revising the ambient air quality guidelines/standards.

A tensor product quasi-Poisson model for estimating health effects of multiple ambient pollutants on mortality

BACKGROUND

People are exposed to mixtures of highly correlated gaseous, liquid and solid pollutants. However, in previous studies, the assessment of air pollution effects was mainly based on single-pollutant models or was simultaneously included as multiple pollutants in a model. It is essential to develop appropriate methods to accurately estimate the health effects of multiple pollutants in the presence of a high correlation between pollutants.

METHODS

The flexible tensor product smooths of multiple pollutants was applied for the first time in a quasi-Poisson model to estimate the health effects of SO₂, NO₂ and PM₁₀ on daily all-cause deaths during 2005-2012 in Guangzhou, China. The results were compared with those from three other conventional models, including the single-pollutant model and the three-pollutant model with and without first-order interactions.

RESULTS

The tensor product model revealed a complex interaction among three pollutants and significant combined effects of PM₁₀, NO₂ and SO₂, which revealed a 2.53% (95%CI: 1.03-4.01%) increase in mortality associated with an interquartile-range (IQR) increase in the concentrations of all three pollutants. The combined effect estimated by the single-pollutant model was 5.63% (95% CI: 3.96-7.34%). Although the conventional three-pollutant models produced combined effect estimates (2.20, 95%CI, 1.18-3.23%; 2.78, 95%CI: 1.35-4.23%) similar to those of the tensor product model, they distorted the estimates and inflated the variances of the estimates when attributing the combined health effects to individual pollutants.

CONCLUSIONS

The single-pollutant model or conventional multi-pollutant model may yield misleading results in the presence of collinearity. The tensor product quasi-Poisson regression provides a novel approach to the assessment of the health impacts of multiple pollutants by flexibly fitting the interaction effects and avoiding the collinearity problem.

Health damage assessment of particulate matter pollution in Jing-Jin-Ji region of China

Jing-Jin-Ji is the largest and most dynamic economic region in northern China, and its air pollution has attracted much public attention. Scientific evaluation of health losses caused by air pollution can provide decision-making basis for formulation and improvement of pollution reduction policies in the Jing-Jin-Ji region. This paper estimated the adverse effects of particulate matter pollution on health in the Jing-Jin-Ji region in 2016 by using logarithmic linear exposure-response function, and monetized the health effects by adjusting human capital method and disease cost method. The results show non-ignorable health hazards and economic impacts caused by atmospheric particulate pollution. The economic losses relevant to health hazards by PM2.5 in the Jing-Jin-Ji region are 122.40 billion yuan, and those relevant to PM10 are 118.34 billion yuan, accounting for 1.62% and 1.56% of the region's GDP, respectively. Similar evaluations previously conducted in other countries yielded figures within the same order of magnitude. Considering the difference in economic losses per unit among disease types, the economic losses caused by air pollution in the Jing-Jin-Ji region mainly come from premature deaths. Infants and elderly people are the main victims of particulate matter. Affected by population, pollutant concentration, industrial structure, and other factors, the economic losses of particulate matter pollution in Beijing, Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, Tangshan, and Baoding are large. In order to reduce health hazards and economic impacts caused by particulate matter pollution, this paper put forward to guide the urban population diversion, reduce the outgoing frequency of susceptible groups such as infants and the elderly in haze weather, adopt high-efficiency particulate matter air purifier indoors, and develop public transportation to reduce motor vehicle exhaust emissions. In Tianjin and Hebei, promoting cleaner production in industries such as steel and cement and reducing coal use in the power industry are also suggested.

Long-term exposure to ambient fine particles associated with asthma: A cross-sectional study among older adults in six low- and middle-income countries

BACKGROUND

Ambient PM_2.5 is considered harmful to the respiratory system. However, little has been shown about the long-term association between ambient PM_2.5 and asthma.

METHODS

A survey from 2007 to 2010 was conducted among adults over 50 years of age in six low- and middle- income countries (including China, India, Ghana, Mexico, Russia, and South Africa), which belonged to one part of a prospective cohort study - the Study on global AGEing and adult health. The yearly mean PM_2.5 concentrations of the residential communities of participants were estimated from remote sensing data. A mixed effects model was applied to investigate the association between ambient PM_2.5 and asthma.

RESULTS

A total of 4553 asthma patients were identified among the 29,249 participants in this study, producing a prevalence of 15.57%. For each 10 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5, the adjusted prevalence ratio of asthma was 1.05 (95% Confidence Interval: 1.01, 1.08) after controlling for the effects of sex, age, BMI, education attainment, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and occupational exposure. Further analyses showed that males and smokers might be particularly vulnerable populations. Additionally, it was estimated that about 5.12% of the asthma cases in the study population (95% Confidence Interval: 1.44%, 9.23%) could be attributed to long-term PM_2.5 exposure.

CONCLUSION

Long-term exposure to PM_2.5 might be an important risk factor of asthma. Effective air pollution reduction measures should be taken to reduce PM_2.5 concentrations in order to reduce the associated asthma cases and disease burden.

Spatiotemporal Changes in PM2.5 and Their Relationships with Land-Use and People in Hangzhou

Increases in the extent and level of air pollution in Chinese cities have become a major concern of the public and burden on the government. While ample literature has focused on the status, changes and causes of air pollution (particularly on PM_2.5 and PM₁₀), significantly less is known on their effects on people. In this study we used Hangzhou, China, as our testbed to assess the direct impact of PM_2.5 on youth populations that are more vulnerable to pollution. We used the ground monitoring data of air quality and Aerosol optical thickness (AOT) product from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) for the spatiotemporal changes of PM_2.5 by season in 2015. We further explored these distributions with land cover, population density and schools (kindergarten, primary school and middle school) to explore the potential impacts in seeking potential mitigation solutions. We found that the seasonal variation of PM_2.5 concentration was winter > spring > autumn > summer. In Hangzhou, the percentage of land area exposed to PM_2.5 > 50 µg m⁻³ accounted for 59.86% in winter, 56.62% in spring, 40.44% in autumn and 0% in summer, whereas these figures for PM_2.5 of <35 µg m⁻³ were 70.01%, 5.28%, 5.17%, 4.16% in summer, winter, autumn and spring, respectively. As for land cover, forest experienced PM_2.5 of 35–50 µg m⁻³ (i.e., lower than those of other cover types), likely due to the potential filtering and absorption function of the forests. More importantly, a quantitative index based on population-weighted exposure level (pwel) indicated that only 9.06% of the population lived in areas that met the national air quality standards. Only 1.66% (14,055) of infants and juveniles lived in areas with PM_2.5 of <35 µg m⁻³. Considering the legacy effects of PM_2.5 over the long-term, we highly recommend improving the monitoring systems for both air quality and people (i.e., their health conditions), with special attention paid to infants and juveniles.

Air pollutants and early origins of respiratory diseases

Air pollution is a global health threat and causes millions of human deaths annually. The late onset of respiratory diseases in children and adults due to prenatal or perinatal exposure to air pollutants is emerging as a critical concern in human health. Pregnancy and fetal development stages are highly susceptible to environmental exposure and tend to develop a long-term impact in later life. In this review, we briefly glance at the direct impact of outdoor and indoor air pollutants on lung diseases and pregnancy disorders. We further focus on lung complications in later life with early exposure to air pollutants. Epidemiological evidence is provided to show the association of prenatal or perinatal exposure to air pollutants with various adverse birth outcomes, such as preterm birth, lower birth weight, and lung developmental defects, which further associate with respiratory diseases and reduced lung function in children and adults. Mechanistic evidence is also discussed to support that air pollutants impact various cellular and molecular targets at early life, which link to the pathogenesis and altered immune responses related to abnormal respiratory functions and lung diseases in later life.

Exposure to nitrogen dioxide and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO2) has long been linked to elevated mortality and morbidity from epidemiological evidences. However, questions remain unclear whether NO2 acts directly on human health or being an indicator of other ambient pollutants. In this study, random-effect meta-analyses were performed on examining exposure to nitrogen oxide (NOx) and its association with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The overall relative risk (RR) of COPD risk related to a 10 μg/m3 increase in NO2 exposure increased by 2.0%. The pooled effect on prevalence was 17% with an increase of 10 μg/m3 in NO2 concentration, and 1.3% on hospital admissions, and 2.6% on mortality. The RR of COPD cases related to NO2 long-term exposure was 2.5 and 1.4% in short-term exposure. The COPD effect related with a 10 μg/m3 increase in exposure to a general outdoor-sourced NO2 was 1.7 and 17.8% to exposure to an exclusively traffic-sourced NO2; importantly, we did observe the effect of NO2 on COPD mortality with a large majority in lag0. Long-term traffic exerted more severe impairments on COPD prevalence than long-term or short-term outdoor effect; long-term mortality effect on COPD was serious in single model from this meta-analysis. Overall, our study reported consistent evidence of the potential positive association between NO2 and COPD risk.

The Burden of COPD Morbidity Attributable to the Interaction between Ambient Air Pollution and Temperature in Chengdu, China

Evidence on the burden of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) morbidity attributable to the interaction between ambient air pollution and temperature has been limited. This study aimed to examine the modification effect of temperature on the association of ambient air pollutants (including particulate matter (PM) with aerodynamic diameter <10 μm (PM₁₀) and <2.5 μm (PM_2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), carbon monoxide (CO) and ozone (O₃)) with risk of hospital admissions (HAs) for COPD, as well as the associated morbidity burden in urban areas of Chengdu, China, from 2015 to 2016. Based on the generalized additive model (GAM) with quasi-Poisson link, bivariate response surface model and stratification parametric model were developed to investigate the potential interactions between ambient air pollution and temperature on COPD HAs. We found consistent interactions between ambient air pollutants (PM_2.5, PM₁₀ and SO₂) and low temperature on COPD HAs, demonstrated by the stronger associations between ambient air pollutants and COPD HAs at low temperatures than at moderate temperatures. Subgroup analyses showed that the elderly (≥80 years) and males were more vulnerable to this interaction. The joint effect of PM and low temperature had the greatest impact on COPD morbidity burden. Using WHO air quality guidelines as reference concentration, about 17.30% (95% CI: 12.39%, 22.19%) and 14.72% (95% CI: 10.38%, 19.06%) of COPD HAs were attributable to PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ exposures on low temperature days, respectively. Our findings suggested that low temperature significantly enhanced the effects of PM and SO₂ on COPD HAs in urban Chengdu, resulting in increased morbidity burden. This evidence has important implications for developing interventions to reduce the risk effect of COPD morbidity.

Short-term effects of ambient fine particulate matter pollution on hospital visits for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Beijing, China

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the effect of ambient fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in China. The objective of this study was to explore the short-term effects of PM_2.5 on outpatient and inpatient visits for COPD in Beijing, China.

METHODS

A total of 3,503,313 outpatient visits and 126,982 inpatient visits for COPD between January 1, 2010, and June 30, 2012, were identified from the Beijing Medical Claim Data for Employees. A generalized additive Poisson model was applied to estimate the percentage change with 95% confidence interval (CI) in hospital visits for COPD in relation to an interquartile range (IQR) (90.8 μg/m³) increase in PM_2.5 concentrations.

RESULTS

Short-term exposure to PM_2.5 was significantly associated with increased use of COPD-related health services. There were clear exposure-response associations of PM_2.5 with COPD outpatient and inpatient visits. An IQR increase in the concurrent day PM_2.5 concentrations was significantly associated with a 2.38% (95% CI, 2.22%-2.53%) and 6.03% (95% CI, 5.19%-6.87%) increase in daily outpatient visits and inpatient visits, respectively. Elderly people were more sensitive to the adverse effects. The estimated risk was higher during the warm season compared to the cool season.

CONCLUSIONS

Short-term exposure to PM_2.5 was associated with increased risk of hospital visits for COPD. Our findings contributed to the limited evidence concerning the effects of ambient PM_2.5 on COPD morbidity in developing countries.

Short-term associations of ambient air pollution and cause-specific emergency department visits in Guangzhou, China

BACKGROUND

Evidence of association of ambient air pollution with cause-specific emergency department visits in China is still limited. This study aimed to investigate short-term associations between exposures to air pollutants and daily cause-specific emergency department visits using a large-scale multicenter database involving a total of 65 sentinel hospitals in Guangzhou, the most densely-populated city in south China, during 2013-2015.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We obtained data on 162,771 emergency department visits from 65 hospitals from the Emergency Medical Command Center in Guangzhou between January 1, 2013 and December 31, 2015. Daily air pollution data on particulate matter (PM) of aerodynamic diameter<10 and 2.5μm (PM₁₀, and PM_2.5, respectively), sulfur dioxide (SO₂), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) and ozone (O₃) were collected from the Daily Quality Report of the Guangzhou Environmental Protection Bureau during the study period. Visits for neurologic, respiratory and circulatory diseases were assessed in relation to air pollutants using Poisson generalized additive models.

RESULTS

Mean daily number of emergency department visits for neurologic, respiratory and circulatory diseases was 89, 24 and 35, respectively. After adjustment for other pollutants (PM_2.5, PM₁₀, NO₂ and O₃), meteorological factors and time-varying confounders, a 7.98-μg/m³ (interquartile range) increment in 2-day moving average of same-day and previous-day SO₂ concentrations was associated with the statistically significant increase of 4.89% (95% confidence interval: 2.86, 6.95) in neurologic emergency department visits; elevation in SO₂ level (per 7.98μg/m³) was linked to a 5.19% (95% confidence interval: 2.03, 8.44) increase in circulatory emergency department visits. Most positive links were seen during the cold season.

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this study contribute to the evidence of the significant associations between SO₂ and specific neurologic and circulatory conditions, and also provide insight into the planning of clinical services and emergency contingency response for air pollution exposures in Guangzhou.

Measuring the impact of air pollution on respiratory infection risk in China

China is now experiencing major public health challenges caused by air pollution. Few studies have quantified the dynamics of air pollution and its impact on the risk of respiratory infection. We conducted an integrated data analysis to quantify the association among air quality index (AQI), meteorological variables and respiratory infection risk in Shaanxi province of China in the period of November 15th, 2010 to November 14th, 2016. Our analysis illustrated a statistically significantly positive correlation between the number of influenza-like illness (ILI) cases and AQI, and the respiratory infection risk has increased progressively with increased AQI with a time lag of 0-3 days. We also developed mathematical models for the AQI trend and respiratory infection dynamics, incorporating AQI-dependent incidence and AQI-based behaviour change interventions. Our combined data and modelling analysis estimated the basic reproduction number for the respiratory infection during the studying period to be 2.4076, higher than the basic reproduction number of the 2009 pandemic influenza in the same province. Our modelling-based simulations concluded that, in terms of respiratory infection risk reduction, the persistent control of emission in the China's blue-sky programme is much more effective than substantial social-economic interventions implemented only during the smog days.

Using daily excessive concentration hours to explore the short-term mortality effects of ambient PM2.5 in Hong Kong

We developed a novel indicator, daily excessive concentration hours (DECH), to explore the acute mortality impacts of ambient fine particulate matter pollution (PM_2.5) in Hong Kong. The DECH of PM_2.5 was calculated as daily concentration-hours >25 μg/m³. We applied a generalized additive models to quantify the association between DECH and mortality with adjustment for potential confounders. The results showed that the DECH was significantly associated with mortality. The excess mortality risk for an interquartile range (565 μg/m³*hours) increase in DECH of PM_2.5 was 1.65% (95% CI: 1.05%, 2.26%) for all natural mortality at lag 02 day, 2.01% (95% CI: 0.82%, 3.21%) for cardiovascular mortality at lag 03 days, and 1.41% (95% CI: 0.34%, 2.49%) for respiratory mortality at lag 2 day. The associations remained consistent after adjustment for gaseous air pollutants (daily mean concentration of SO₂, NO₂ and O₃) and in alternative model specifications. When compared to the mortality burden of daily mean PM_2.5, DECH was found to be a relatively conservative indicator. This study adds to the evidence by showing that daily excessive concentration hours of PM_2.5 might be a new predictor of mortality in Hong Kong.

Attributable risks of emergency hospital visits due to air pollutants in China: A multi-city study

Air pollution is associated with risks of mortality in China, but the evidence is still limited for morbidity. This study aims to examine overall effects of ambient air pollutants on emergency hospital visits (EHVs) at the national level in China and calculate corresponding attributable risks. We collected daily data for EHVs from 33 largest hospitals in China between Oct 2013 and Dec 2014, as well as daily measurements of particulate matter (PM₁₀ and PM_2.5: particles with aerodynamic diameter < 10 μm and 2.5 μm, respectively), nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) and sulphur dioxide (SO₂) from 31 cities where the hospitals were located. Firstly, quasi-Poisson regression with a constrained distributed lag model (CDLM) was employed to examine city-specific associations of EHVs with each pollutant. Then, the effects at the national scale were pooled with a random-effect meta-analysis. Daily EHVs was significantly associated with a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM_2.5 at lag 0-2 days [cumulative relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.006 (1.002, 1.009)], PM₁₀ at lag 0-1 days [1.004 (1.002, 1.006)], NO₂ at lag 0-1 days [1.015 (1.010, 1.019)] and SO₂ at lag 0-2 days [1.022 (1.014, 1.030)]. The effect estimates were not modified by sex, but stronger effects were observed among children than adults. Overall, 3.34% of EHVs may result from exposure to ambient PM_2.5, 3.96% to PM₁₀, 5.90% to NO₂ and 5.38% to SO₂. Exposure to outdoor air pollution has acute effects on EHVs. Effective measures to control air pollution levels in China could potentially reduce demands for emergency hospital services.

The short term burden of ambient fine particulate matter on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Ningbo, China

BACKGROUND

Numerous studies have found associations between ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) and increased mortality risk. However, little evidence is available on associations between PM2.5 and years of life lost (YLL). We aimed to estimate the YLL due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) mortality related to ambient PM2.5 exposure.

METHODS

A time-series study was conducted based on the data on air pollutants, meteorological conditions and 18,472 registered COPD deaths in Ningbo, China, 2011-2015. The effects of PM2.5 on YLL and daily death of COPD were estimated, after controlling long term trend, meteorological index and other confounders.

RESULTS

The impact of PM2.5 on YLL due to COPD lasted for 5 days (lag 0-4). Per 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with 0.91 (95%CI: 0.16, 1.66) years increase in YLL. The excess YLL of COPD mortality were 8206 years, and 0.38 day per person in Ningbo from 2011 to 2015. The exposure-response curve of PM2.5 and YLL due to COPD showed a non-linear pattern, with relatively steep at low levels and flattened out at higher exposures.. Furthermore, the effects were significantly higher in the elderly than those in the younger.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings explored burden of PM2.5 on YLL due to COPD and highlight the importance and urgency of ambient PM2.5 pollution control and protection of the vulnerable populations.

Ambient PM2.5 and Stroke: Effect Modifiers and Population Attributable Risk in Six Low- and Middle-Income Countries

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Short-term exposure to ambient fine particulate pollution (PM_2.5) has been linked to increased stroke. Few studies, however, have examined the effects of long-term exposure.

METHODS

A total of 45 625 participants were interviewed and included in this study, the participants came from the Study on Global Ageing and Adult Health, a prospective cohort in 6 low- and middle-income countries. Ambient PM_2.5 levels were estimated for participants' communities using satellite data. A multilevel logistic regression model was used to examine the association between long-term PM_2.5 exposure and stroke. Potential effect modification by physical activity and consumption of fruit and vegetables was assessed.

RESULTS

The odds of stroke were 1.13 (95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.22) for each 10 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5. This effect remained after adjustment for confounding factors including age, sex, smoking, and indoor air pollution (adjusted odds ratio=1.12; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.21). Further stratified analyses suggested that participants with higher levels of physical activity had greater odds of stroke, whereas those with higher consumption of fruit and vegetables had lower odds of stroke. These effects remained robust in sensitivity analyses. We further estimated that 6.55% (95% confidence interval, 1.97%-12.01%) of the stroke cases could be attributable to ambient PM_2.5 in the study population.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that ambient PM_2.5 may increase the risk of stroke and may be responsible for the astounding stroke burden in low- and middle-income countries. In addition, greater physical activity may enhance, whereas greater consumption of fruit and vegetables may mitigate the effect.

Health burden attributable to ambient PM2.5 in China

In China, over 1.3 billion people have high health risks associated with exposure to ambient fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) that exceeds the World Health Organization (WHO) Air Quality Guidelines (AQG). The PM_2.5 mass concentrations from 1382 national air quality monitoring stations in 367 cities, between January 2014 and December 2016, were analyzed to estimate the health burden attributable to ambient PM_2.5 across China. The integrated exposure-response model was applied to estimate the relative risks of disease-specific mortality. Disease-specific mortality baselines in province-level administrative units were adjusted by the national mortality baseline to better reveal the spatial inequality of the health burden associated with PM_2.5. Our study suggested that PM_2.5 in 2015 contributed as much as 40.3% to total stroke deaths, 33.1% to acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI, <5yr) deaths, 26.8% to ischemic heart disease (IHD) deaths, 23.9% to lung cancer (LC) deaths, 18.7% to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) deaths, 30.2% to total deaths combining IHD, stroke, COPD, and LC, 15.5% to all cause deaths. The population weighted average (PWA) attributable mortality rates (10^-5 y^-1) were 112.0 in current year analysis, and 124.3 in 10-year time lag analysis. The Mortality attributable to PM_2.5 in 10-year time lag analysis (1.7 million) was 12% higher than the current year analysis (1.5 million). Our study also estimated site-specific annual PM_2.5 concentrations in scenarios of achieving WHO interim targets (ITs) and AQG. The mortality benefits will be 24.0%, 44.8%, 70.8%, and 85.2% of the total current mortalities (1.5 million) when the PWA PM_2.5 concentrations in China meets the WHO IT-1, IT-2, IT-3, and AQG, respectively. We expect air quality modeling and cost-benefits analysis of emission reduction scenarios and corresponding health benefits in meeting the site-specific annual PM_2.5 concentrations (WHO IT-1, IT-2, IT-3, and AQG) this study raised.

Ambient fine and coarse particulate matter pollution and respiratory morbidity in Dongguan, China

We estimated the short-term effects of particulate matter (PM) pollution with aerodynamic diameters ≤2.5 μm (PM_2.5) and between 2.5 and 10 μm (PM_c) on hospital outpatient visits due to overall and specific respiratory diseases, as well as the associated morbidity burden in Dongguan, a subtropical city in South China. A time-series model with quasi-Poisson link was used to examine the association between PM pollution and morbidities from respiratory diseases, COPD, asthma and pneumonia in Dongguan during 2013-2015. We further estimated the morbidity burden (population attributable fraction and attributable morbidity) due to ambient PM pollution. A total of 44,801 hospital outpatient visits for respiratory diseases were recorded during the study period. Both PM_2.5 and PM_c were found to be significantly associated with morbidity of overall respiratory diseases, COPD, and asthma. An IQR (interquartile range) increase in PM_2.5 at lag₀₃ day was associated with 15.41% (95% CI: 10.99%, 20.01%) increase in respiratory morbidity, and each IQR increase in PM_c at lag₀₃ corresponded to 7.24% (95% CI: 4.25%, 10.32%) increase in respiratory morbidity. We did not find significant effects of PM_2.5 and PM_c on pneumonia. Using WHO's guideline (25 μg/m³) as reference concentration, about 8.32% (95% CI: 5.90%, 10.86%) of respiratory morbidity (3727, 95% CI: 2642, 4867, in morbidity number) were estimated to be attributed to PM_2.5, and 0.86% (95% CI: 0.50%, 1.23%) of respiratory morbidity, representing 385 (95% CI: 225, 551) hospital outpatient visits, could be attributed to coarse particulate pollutant. Our study suggests that both fine and coarse particulate pollutants are an important trigger of hospital outpatient visits for respiratory diseases, and account for substantial respiratory morbidity in Dongguan, China.

The impacts of air pollution on maternal stress during pregnancy

To investigate the association of air pollution with maternal stress during pregnancy, we enrolled 1,931 women during mid-to-late pregnancy in Shanghai in 2010. The “Life-Event Scale for Pregnant Women” and “Symptom-Checklist-90-Revised Scale” (SCL-90-R) were used to evaluate life event stress and emotional stress, respectively. Air pollution data were collected for each district where pregnant women lived during pregnancy. We associated ambient air pollution with stress scores using multivariable logistic regression models. After adjusting for relevant covariates, an interquartile-range (IQR) increase in sulphur-dioxide (SO₂) (OR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.11–1.52) and particulate-matter with an aerodynamic-diameter <10 μm (PM₁₀) (OR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.02–1.34) concentrations on the recruitment day, and in the 5-day moving average concentrations of nitrogen-dioxide (NO₂) (OR = 1.34, 95% CI: 1.05–1.70) were associated with high Global-Severity-Indices (P75-P100) of the SCL-90-R. These associations were stronger among women bearing high levels (P25-P100) of air pollutants than among women experiencing low levels (P1-P25) of pollutants. The stronger associations and higher levels of pollutants were observed in the cool season than in the warm season. SO₂ increases on the recruitment day were also associated with an increased risk of high depression scores (P75-P100). Our findings supported a dose-dependent association between air pollution and emotional stress during pregnancy.

Mortality burden of ambient fine particulate air pollution in six Chinese cities: Results from the Pearl River Delta study

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological studies have reported significant association between ambient fine particulate matter air pollution (PM_2.5) and mortality, however, few studies have investigated the relationship of mortality with PM_2.5 and associated mortality burden in China, especially in a multicity setting.

METHODS

We investigated the PM_2.5-mortality association in six cities of the Pearl River Delta region from 2013 to 2015. We used generalized additive Poisson models incorporating penalized smoothing splines to control for temporal trend, temperature, and relative humidity. We applied meta-analyses using random-effects models to pool the effect estimates in the six cities. We also examined these associations in stratified analyses by sex, age group, education level and location of death. We further estimated the mortality burden (attributable fraction and attributable mortality) due to ambient PM_2.5 exposures.

RESULTS

During the study period, a total of 316,305 deaths were recorded in the study area. The analysis revealed a significant association between PM_2.5 and mortality. Specifically, a 10μg/m³ increase in 4-day averaged (lag₀₃) PM_2.5 concentration corresponded to a 1.76% (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.47%, 2.06%) increase in total mortality, 2.19% (95% CI: 1.80%, 2.59%) in cardiovascular mortality, and 1.68% (95% CI: 1.00%, 2.37%) in respiratory mortality. The results were generally robust to model specifications and adjustment of gaseous air pollutants. We estimated that 0.56% (95% CI: 0.47%, 0.66%) and 3.79% (95% CI: 3.14%, 4.45%) of all-cause mortalities were attributable to PM_2.5 using China's and WHO's air quality standards as the reference, corresponding to 1661 (95% CI: 1379, 1946) and 11,176 (95% CI: 9261, 13,120) attributable premature mortalities, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This analysis adds to the growing body of evidence linking PM_2.5 with daily mortality, and mortality burdens, particularly in one Chinese region with high levels of air pollution.