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Kheifetz Y, Scholz M. Individual prediction of thrombocytopenia at next chemotherapy cycle: Evaluation of dynamic model performances. Br J Clin Pharmacol 2021; 87:3127-3138. [PMID: 33382112 DOI: 10.1111/bcp.14722] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2020] [Revised: 12/02/2020] [Accepted: 12/20/2020] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
AIMS Thrombocytopenia is a common major side-effect of cytotoxic cancer therapies. A clinically relevant problem is to predict an individual's thrombotoxicity in the next planned chemotherapy cycle in order to decide on treatment adaptation. To support this task, 2 dynamic mathematical models of thrombopoiesis under chemotherapy were proposed, a simple semimechanistic model and a comprehensive mechanistic model. In this study, we assess the performance of these models with respect to existing thrombocytopenia grading schemes. METHODS We consider close-meshed individual time series data of 135 non-Hodgkin's lymphoma patients treated with 6 cycles of CHOP/CHOEP chemotherapies. Individual parameter estimates were derived on the basis of these data considering a varying number of cycles per patient. Parsimony assumptions were applied to optimize parameter identifiability. Models' predictability are assessed by determining deviations of predicted and observed degrees of thrombocytopenia in the next cycles. RESULTS The mechanistic model results in better agreement of model prediction and individual time series data. Prediction accuracy of future cycle toxicities by the mechanistic model is higher even if the semimechanistic model is provided with data of more cycles for calibration. CONCLUSION We successfully established a quantitative and clinically relevant method for assessing prediction performances of biomathematical models of thrombopoiesis under chemotherapy. We showed that the more comprehensive mechanistic model outperforms the semimechanistic model. We aim at implementing the mechanistic model into clinical practice to assess its utility in real life clinical decision-making.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuri Kheifetz
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
| | - Markus Scholz
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
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2
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Agur Z, Elishmereni M, Foryś U, Kogan Y. Accelerating the Development of Personalized Cancer Immunotherapy by Integrating Molecular Patients' Profiles with Dynamic Mathematical Models. Clin Pharmacol Ther 2020; 108:515-527. [PMID: 32535891 DOI: 10.1002/cpt.1942] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/25/2020] [Accepted: 06/03/2020] [Indexed: 01/08/2023]
Abstract
We review the evolution, achievements, and limitations of the current paradigm shift in medicine, from the "one-size-fits-all" model to "Precision Medicine." Precision, or personalized, medicine-tailoring the medical treatment to the personal characteristics of each patient-engages advanced statistical methods to evaluate the relationships between static patient profiling (e.g., genomic and proteomic), and a simple clinically motivated output (e.g., yes/no responder). Today, precision medicine technologies that have facilitated groundbreaking advances in oncology, notably in cancer immunotherapy, are approaching the limits of their potential, mainly due to the scarcity of methods for integrating genomic, proteomic and clinical patient information. A different approach to treatment personalization involves methodologies focusing on the dynamic interactions in the patient-disease-drug system, as portrayed in mathematical modeling. Achievements of this scientific approach, in the form of algorithms for predicting personal disease dynamics in individual patients under immunotherapeutic drugs, are reviewed as well. The contribution of the dynamic approaches to precision medicine is limited, at present, due to insufficient applicability and validation. Yet, the time is ripe for amalgamating together these two approaches, for maximizing their joint potential to personalize and improve cancer immunotherapy. We suggest the roadmap toward achieving this goal, technologically, and urge clinicians, pharmacologists, and computational biologists to join forces along the pharmaco-clinical track of this development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zvia Agur
- Institute for Medical Biomathematics (IMBM), Bene Ataroth, Israel
| | | | - Urszula Foryś
- Faculty of Mathematics, Informatics and Mechanics, University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland
| | - Yuri Kogan
- Institute for Medical Biomathematics (IMBM), Bene Ataroth, Israel
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3
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Abdela J. Current Advance in Thrombopoietin Receptor Agonists in the Management of Thrombocytopenia Associated With Chronic Liver Disease: Focus on Avatrombopag. PLASMATOLOGY 2019; 12:1179545X19875105. [PMID: 31673229 PMCID: PMC6804364 DOI: 10.1177/1179545x19875105] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2019] [Accepted: 08/20/2019] [Indexed: 12/22/2022]
Abstract
Chronic liver disease (CLD) is a condition that progresses over time toward advanced disease state which is known as liver cirrhosis. Liver cirrhosis leads to dangerous health problems among people living across the world. One such problem that observed in about 75% of cirrhotic patients is thrombocytopenia; which in turn associated with poor prognosis and recovery from CLD. Beyond these, thrombocytopenia in cirrhotic patients led to impairment of coagulation cascade and significantly influenced the utilization of effective mechanism in the management of CLD. By nature, treatment of CLD involves invasive diagnostic and treatment procedures; therefore, in the presence of thrombocytopenia implementing these methods put the lives of patients in a critical health problem due to increased risk of bleeding and mortality. Because of these reasons, prophylactic transfusion of platelets is considered to be one of the most effective options that reduce the risk of bleeding in patients with CLD that required to undergo an invasive procedure. Although platelet transfusion presented with significant advantages in facilitating the invasive procedure in patients with CLD, refractoriness with repeated use and various problems associated with its transfusion limit the continuous utilization of this important option. With these challenges and current advance in the knowledge of thrombopoiesis, the development of relatively safe and alternative drugs that enhance the production of platelets by interacting with thrombopoietin receptor agonists provides a promising option to platelet transfusion. The discovery and approval of romiplostim and eltrombopag in August 2008 and November 2008, respectively, for the treatment of chronic immune thrombocytopenia paved a way and followed by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval of 2 potentially advantageous drugs, lusutrombopag, and avatrombopag, in 2018 for the treatment of thrombocytopenia in patients with CLD that required to undergo elective surgery. Therefore, this review aims to assess pathogenesis of thrombocytopenia and its challenges in the management of liver-related issues and, more importantly, gives emphasis to address the potential use of avatrombopag in the treatment of thrombocytopenia underlying CLD, its pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics, as well as its toxicological profiles by presenting the most commonly reported adverse events in various trials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jemal Abdela
- Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology, School of Pharmacy, College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia
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4
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Kheifetz Y, Scholz M. Modeling individual time courses of thrombopoiesis during multi-cyclic chemotherapy. PLoS Comput Biol 2019; 15:e1006775. [PMID: 30840616 PMCID: PMC6422316 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1006775] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2018] [Revised: 03/18/2019] [Accepted: 01/10/2019] [Indexed: 02/02/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Thrombocytopenia is a major side-effect of cytotoxic cancer therapies. The aim of precision medicine is to develop therapy modifications accounting for the individual’s risk. Methodology/Principle findings To solve this task, we develop an individualized bio-mechanistic model of the dynamics of bone marrow thrombopoiesis, circulating platelets and therapy effects thereon. Comprehensive biological knowledge regarding cell differentiation, amplification, apoptosis rates, transition times and corresponding regulations are translated into ordinary differential equations. A model of osteoblast/osteoclast interactions was incorporated to mechanistically describe bone marrow support of quiescent cell stages. Thrombopoietin (TPO) as a major regulator is explicitly modelled including pharmacokinetics and–dynamics of TPO injections. Effects of cytotoxic drugs are modelled by transient depletions of proliferating cells. To calibrate the model, we used population data from the literature and close-meshed individual data of N = 135 high-grade non-Hodgkin’s lymphoma patients treated with CHOP-like chemotherapies. To limit the number of free parameters, several parsimony assumptions were derived from biological data and tested via Likelihood methods. Heterogeneity of patients was explained by a few model parameters. The over-fitting issue of individual parameter estimation was successfully dealt with a virtual participation of each patient in population-based experiments. The model qualitatively and quantitatively explains a number of biological observations such as the role of osteoblasts in explaining long-term toxic effects, megakaryocyte-mediated feedback on stem cells, bi-phasic stimulation of thrombopoiesis by TPO, dynamics of megakaryocyte ploidies and non-exponential platelet degradation. Almost all individual time series could be described with high precision. We demonstrated how the model can be used to provide predictions regarding individual therapy adaptations. Conclusions We propose a mechanistic thrombopoiesis model of unprecedented comprehensiveness in both, biological mechanisms considered and experimental data sets explained. Our innovative method of parameter estimation allows robust determinations of individual parameter settings facilitating the development of individual treatment adaptations during chemotherapy. Chemotherapy is ubiquitously used to treat cancer diseases. Due to general toxicity of the drugs, chemotherapy results in a number of side effects especially with respect to blood formation. Here we study the loss of platelets during chemotherapy which is dose limiting in many situations. However, this side-effect greatly varies between patients with respect to both, severity and necessity of clinical countermeasures.We therefore developed a mathematical model to predict the time course of platelets of patients under chemotherapy and to propose possible treatment adaptations in cases of intolerable toxicity. The model is based on available biological knowledge and data of platelet formation and therapeutic effects thereon. As a major result, we could describe individual time series data of 135 patients under chemotherapy. Conversely, the model can be used to make predictions regarding alternative therapy schedules such as postponement of therapy or chemotherapy dose reductions. Our model is intended to support clinical decision making on an individual patient level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuri Kheifetz
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
| | - Markus Scholz
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany
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5
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Wentz JM, Vainstein V, Oldson D, Gluzman-Poltorak Z, Basile LA, Stricklin D. Mathematical model of radiation effects on thrombopoiesis in rhesus macaques and humans. J Theor Biol 2015; 383:44-60. [PMID: 26232694 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.07.012] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/06/2015] [Revised: 07/01/2015] [Accepted: 07/16/2015] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Abstract
A mathematical model that describes the effects of acute radiation exposure on thrombopoiesis in primates and humans is presented. Thrombopoiesis is a complex multistage dynamic process with potential differences between species. Due to known differences in cellular radiosensitivities, nadir times, and cytopenia durations, direct extrapolation from rhesus to human platelet dynamics is unrealistic. Developing mathematical models of thrombopoiesis for both humans and primates allows for the comparison of the system's response across species. Thus, data obtained in primate experiments can be extrapolated to predictions in humans. Parameter values for rhesus macaques and humans were obtained either from direct experimental measurements or through optimization procedures using dynamic data on platelet counts following radiation exposure. Model simulations accurately predict trends observed in platelet dynamics: at low radiation doses platelet counts decline after a time lag, and nadir depth is dose dependent. The models were validated using data that was not used during the parameterization process. In particular, additional experimental data was used for rhesus, and accident and platelet donor data was used for humans. The model aims to simulate the average response in rhesus and humans following irradiation. Variation in platelet dynamics due to individual variability can be modeled using Monte Carlo simulations in which parameter values are sampled from distributions. This model provides insight into the time course of the physiological effects of radiation exposure, information which could be valuable for disaster planning and survivability analysis and help in drug development of radiation medical countermeasures.
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Affiliation(s)
- J M Wentz
- Applied Research Associates, Inc., Arlington, VA, United States.
| | - V Vainstein
- Neumedicines, Inc., Pasadena, CA, United States
| | - D Oldson
- Applied Research Associates, Inc., Arlington, VA, United States
| | | | - L A Basile
- Neumedicines, Inc., Pasadena, CA, United States
| | - D Stricklin
- Applied Research Associates, Inc., Arlington, VA, United States
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6
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Kheifetz Y, Elishmereni M, Agur Z. Complex pattern of interleukin-11-induced inflammation revealed by mathematically modeling the dynamics of C-reactive protein. J Pharmacokinet Pharmacodyn 2014; 41:479-91. [PMID: 25231819 DOI: 10.1007/s10928-014-9383-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2014] [Accepted: 09/06/2014] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
Inflammation underlies many diseases and is an undesired effect of several therapy modalities. Biomathematical modeling can help unravel the complex inflammatory processes and the mechanisms triggering their emergence. We developed a model for induction of C-reactive protein (CRP), a clinically reliable marker of inflammation, by interleukin (IL)-11, an approved cytokine for treatment of chemotherapy-induced thrombocytopenia. Due to paucity of information on the mechanisms underlying inflammation-induced CRP dynamics, our model was developed by systematically evaluating several models for their ability to retrieve variable CRP profiles observed in IL-11-treated breast cancer patients. The preliminary semi-mechanistic models were designed by non-linear mixed-effects modeling, and were evaluated by various performance criteria, which test goodness-of-fit, parsimony and uniqueness. The best-performing model, a robust population model with minimal inter-individual variability, uncovers new aspects of inflammation dynamics. It shows that CRP clearance is a nonlinear self-controlled process, indicating an adaptive anti-inflammatory reaction in humans. The model also reveals a dual IL-11 effect on CRP elevation, whereby the drug has not only a potent immediate influence on CRP incline, but also a long-term influence inducing elevated CRP levels for several months. Consistent with this, model simulations suggest that periodic IL-11 therapy may result in prolonged low-grade (chronic) inflammation post treatment. Future application of the model can therefore help design improved IL-11 regimens with minimized long-term CRP toxicity. Our study illuminates the dynamics of inflammation and its control, and provides a prototype for progressive modeling of complex biological processes in the medical realm and beyond.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuri Kheifetz
- Institute for Medical Biomathematics (IMBM), POB 282, Hate'ena St. 10, 60991, Bene-Ataroth, Israel
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7
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Agur Z. The resonance phenomenon in population persistence: can the same theory guide both national security policies and personalized medicine? Croat Med J 2014; 55:93-102. [PMID: 24778095 PMCID: PMC4023101 DOI: 10.3325/cmj.2014.55.93] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
The theory of resonance in population persistence proposes that the survival of a population that is exposed to externally inflicted loss processes (disturbances) during part of its life cycle is dependent on the relation between the average period of the disturbances and the average generation time of the population. This suggests that the size of a population can be controlled by manipulating the period between external disturbances. This theory, first formalized in a study of intertidal Red Sea mollusks exposed to periodic storms, has been found to apply to such seemingly disparate phenomena as the spread of a pathogen among susceptible individuals and the response of malignant cancer cells to chemotherapy. The current article provides a brief review of the evolution of the resonance theory into a tool that can be applied to designing vaccination policies - specifically, in preparedness for bio-terrorism attacks - and in personalized medicine. A personalized protocol based on the resonance theory was applied to a cancer patient, stabilizing his tumor progression, relieving his hematopoietic toxicity, and extending his survival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zvia Agur
- Zvia Agur, , Institute for Medical BioMathemetics (IMBM), Bene Ataroth, Israel
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8
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Konieczna IM, Panuganti S, DeLuca TA, Papoutsakis ET, Eklund EA, Miller WM. Administration of nicotinamide does not increase platelet levels in mice. Blood Cells Mol Dis 2012; 50:171-6. [PMID: 23265740 DOI: 10.1016/j.bcmd.2012.11.007] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/06/2012] [Accepted: 11/15/2012] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Elucidating ways to enhance megakaryopoiesis in vivo would have therapeutic applications for thrombocytopenia and transfusion medicine. Nicotinamide has been shown to enhance endomitosis in megakaryocytes cultured in vitro, suggesting that it may be beneficial for the production of platelets in culture. We hypothesized that regular injections of nicotinamide in mice would also increase platelets in vivo. However, we found that platelet counts were reduced by about 25% with daily injections of nicotinamide. Altering the schedule, duration, or nicotinamide dose did not improve platelet production. Consistent with lower platelet levels, nicotinamide also tended to decrease megakaryocyte frequency in sternum and spleen sections, as well as colony formation in vitro by bone marrow progenitor cells. However, there was no effect on the fraction or ploidy of CD41(+) cells harvested from bone marrow. Together, our results suggest that, although nicotinamide increases polyploidization of megakaryocytes in culture, it does not have translatable effects in vivo.
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Affiliation(s)
- Iwona M Konieczna
- Chemical and Biological Engineering Department, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL 60208, USA
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9
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Vainas O, Ariad S, Amir O, Mermershtain W, Vainstein V, Kleiman M, Inbar O, Ben-Av R, Mukherjee A, Chan S, Agur Z. Personalising docetaxel and G-CSF schedules in cancer patients by a clinically validated computational model. Br J Cancer 2012; 107:814-22. [PMID: 22814580 PMCID: PMC3425973 DOI: 10.1038/bjc.2012.316] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: This study was aimed to develop a new method for personalising chemotherapeutic and granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) combined schedules, and use it for suggesting efficacious chemotherapy with reduced neutropenia. Methods: Clinical data from 38 docetaxel (Doc)-treated metastatic breast cancer patients were employed for validating a new pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamics model for Doc, combined with a mathematical model for granulopoiesis. An optimisation procedure was constructed and used for selecting improved treatment schedules. Results: The combined model accurately predicted observed nadir timing (r=0.99), grade 3 or 4 neutropenia (86% success) and neutrophil counts over time in individual patients (r=0.63), and showed robustness to CYP3A-induced variability in Doc clearance. For average patients, the predicted optimal support for the standard chemotherapy regimen, Doc 100 μg m−2 tri-weekly, is G-CSF, 300 μg, Q1D × 3, starting day 7 post-Doc. This regimen largely moderates chemotherapy-induced neutrophil nadir and neutropenia duration. The more intensive Doc dose, 150 mg m−2, is optimally supported by the slightly less cost-effective G-CSF 300 μg, Q1D × 4, 5 days post-Doc. The latter regimen is optimal for borderline patients (2000 neutrophils per μl) under Doc, 100–150 mg m−2 tri-weekly. Conclusions: The new computational method can serve for tailoring efficacious cytotoxic and supportive treatments, minimising side effects to individual patients. Prospective clinical validation is warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- O Vainas
- Optimata Ltd, 7 Abba Hillel Street, Ramat-Gan 52522, Israel
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10
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Elishmereni M, Kheifetz Y, Søndergaard H, Overgaard RV, Agur Z. An integrated disease/pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model suggests improved interleukin-21 regimens validated prospectively for mouse solid cancers. PLoS Comput Biol 2011; 7:e1002206. [PMID: 22022259 PMCID: PMC3182868 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002206] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/13/2011] [Accepted: 08/08/2011] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Interleukin (IL)-21 is an attractive antitumor agent with potent immunomodulatory functions. Yet thus far, the cytokine has yielded only partial responses in solid cancer patients, and conditions for beneficial IL-21 immunotherapy remain elusive. The current work aims to identify clinically-relevant IL-21 regimens with enhanced efficacy, based on mathematical modeling of long-term antitumor responses. For this purpose, pharmacokinetic (PK) and pharmacodynamic (PD) data were acquired from a preclinical study applying systemic IL-21 therapy in murine solid cancers. We developed an integrated disease/PK/PD model for the IL-21 anticancer response, and calibrated it using selected “training” data. The accuracy of the model was verified retrospectively under diverse IL-21 treatment settings, by comparing its predictions to independent “validation” data in melanoma and renal cell carcinoma-challenged mice (R2>0.90). Simulations of the verified model surfaced important therapeutic insights: (1) Fractionating the standard daily regimen (50 µg/dose) into a twice daily schedule (25 µg/dose) is advantageous, yielding a significantly lower tumor mass (45% decrease); (2) A low-dose (12 µg/day) regimen exerts a response similar to that obtained under the 50 µg/day treatment, suggestive of an equally efficacious dose with potentially reduced toxicity. Subsequent experiments in melanoma-bearing mice corroborated both of these predictions with high precision (R2>0.89), thus validating the model also prospectively in vivo. Thus, the confirmed PK/PD model rationalizes IL-21 therapy, and pinpoints improved clinically-feasible treatment schedules. Our analysis demonstrates the value of employing mathematical modeling and in silico-guided design of solid tumor immunotherapy in the clinic. Among the many potential drugs explored within the scope of cancer immunotherapy are selected cytokines which possess promising immune-boosting properties. Yet, the natural involvement of these proteins in multiple, often contradicting biological processes can complicate their use in the clinic. The cytokine interleukin (IL)-21 is no exception: while its strength as an anticancer agent has been established in several animal studies, response rates in melanoma and renal cell carcinoma patients remain low. To help guide the design of effective IL-21 therapy, we have developed a mathematical model that bridges between the complex biology of IL-21 and its optimal clinical use. Our model integrates data from preclinical studies under diverse IL-21 treatment settings, and was validated by extensive experiments in tumor-bearing mice. Model simulations predicted that beneficial, clinically practical IL-21 therapy should be composed of low-dose schedules, and/or schedules in which several partial doses are administered rather than a single complete dose. These findings were subsequently confirmed in mice with melanoma. Thus, future testing of these strategies in solid cancer patients can be a promising starting point for improving IL-21 therapy. Our model can thus provide a computational platform for rationalizing IL-21 regimens and streamlining its clinical development.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Yuri Kheifetz
- Institute for Medical Biomathematics (IMBM), Bene-Ataroth, Israel
| | | | | | - Zvia Agur
- Institute for Medical Biomathematics (IMBM), Bene-Ataroth, Israel
- Optimata Ltd., Ramat-Gan, Israel
- * E-mail:
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Scholz M, Gross A, Loeffler M. A biomathematical model of human thrombopoiesis under chemotherapy. J Theor Biol 2010; 264:287-300. [PMID: 20083124 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.12.032] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2009] [Revised: 12/14/2009] [Accepted: 12/31/2009] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
Abstract
Intensification of cytotoxic chemotherapy enhances the outcome of several malignancies but is limited by haematotoxicity. While neutropenia and anaemia can be treated with supportive growth factor applications, thrombocytopenia remains a dose-limiting side effect due to the lack of clinically approved pharmaceutical growth factors. Hence, it is necessary to assess the degree of thrombocytopenia of newly designed intensified regimens in the planning phase of a clinical trial. We present a simple ordinary differential equations model of thrombopoiesis under chemotherapy which maps the dynamics of stem cells, CFU-Mk, megakaryocytes and platelets in spleen and circulation. Major regulatory cytokine of thrombopoiesis is thrombopoietin (TPO) whose production and consumption is explicitly modelled. TPO acts by increasing the number of mitoses of CFU-Mk and increasing the mass and maturation of megakaryocytes. Chemotherapy is modelled by a drug-dose and cell-stage specific acute cell loss. Most of the cell kinetic parameters of the model were taken from literature. Parameters regarding TPO regulation and chemotherapy toxicity were estimated by fitting the predictions of the model to time series data of platelets received from large clinical data sets of patients under seven different chemotherapies. We obtained a good agreement between model and data for all scenarios. Parameter estimates were biologically plausible throughout. For validation, the model also explains data of TPO and platelet dynamics after thrombopheresis taken from literature. We used the model to make clinically relevant predictions. Regarding thrombocytopenia we estimated that the CHOP regimen for the treatment of high-grade non-Hodgkin's lymphoma can be time-intensified to a cycle duration of 12 days while the time-intensified CHOEP regimen would result in severe cumulative toxicity. We conclude that our proposed model proved validity for both, different chemotherapeutic regimens and thrombopheresis as well. It is useful to assess the thrombocytopenic risk in the planning phase of a clinical trial.
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Affiliation(s)
- Markus Scholz
- Institute for Medical Informatics, Statistics and Epidemiology, University of Leipzig, Haertelstrasse 16-18, 04107 Leipzig, Germany.
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12
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Gonen C, Haznedaroglu IC, Aksu S, Koca E, Göker H, Büyükaşik Y, Sayinalp N, Ozcebe O, Dündar S. Endogenous thrombopoietin levels during the clinical management of acute myeloid leukaemia. Platelets 2009; 16:31-7. [PMID: 15763894 DOI: 10.1080/09537100412331272578] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/26/2022]
Abstract
Thrombocytopenia represents a major problem in the management of acute myeloid leukaemia (AML). The data regarding the alterations of endogenous thrombopoietin (TPO) regulation during the clinical course of AML are limited. The aim of this study was to investigate endogenous TPO dynamics in association with platelets during the clinical course of AML. We serially measured both TPO and platelets concurrently over the entire treatment period of newly diagnosed patients receiving both remission induction and consolidation chemotherapies. The median concentration of TPO in AML patients at the initial diagnosis was 469.71 pg/ml and increased significantly during the aplastic period due to remission induction chemotherapy (median: 1085.33 pg/ml) but then decreased to a level (median: 45.26 pg/ml) encountered in the healthy control subjects (median: 56.90 pg/ml). In the cytopenic period due to consolidation treatment, TPO level again increased significantly to a high level (median: 891.38 pg/ml) during the platelet nadir, but decreased toward normal (median: 100.75 pg/ml) after the thrombocytopenic period had elapsed. In conclusion, endogenous TPO levels exhibit an inverse fluctuation in relation to platelet counts during the clinical course of AML. Pharmacological stimulation of thrombopoiesis in AML with novel molecules, including the recombinant thrombopoietins and the small peptide agonists, should be based on a critical administration strategy that must consider the endogenous levels of TPO. TPO levels in distinct AML disease states may explain the unsuccessful recombinant TPO trials and could help to design better strategies for 'pharmacological stimulation of thrombopoiesis' in AML.
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Affiliation(s)
- Can Gonen
- Department of Internal Medicine, Hacettepe University School of Medicine, Sihhiye, 06100 Ankara, Turkey.
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Gorelik B, Ziv I, Shohat R, Wick M, Hankins WD, Sidransky D, Agur Z. Efficacy of weekly docetaxel and bevacizumab in mesenchymal chondrosarcoma: a new theranostic method combining xenografted biopsies with a mathematical model. Cancer Res 2008; 68:9033-40. [PMID: 18974149 DOI: 10.1158/0008-5472.can-08-1723] [Citation(s) in RCA: 52] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
The paucity of clinical treatment data on rare tumors, such as mesenchymal chondrosarcoma (MCS), emphasizes the need in theranostic tools for these diseases. We put forward and validated a new theranostic method, combining tumor xenografts and mathematical models, and used it to suggest an improved treatment schedule for a particular MCS patient. Growth curves and gene expression analysis of xenografts, derived from a patient's lung metastasis, served for creating a mathematical model of MCS progression and adapting it to the xenograft setting. The pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of six drugs were modeled, with model variables being adjusted by patient-specific chemosensitivity tests. The xenografted animals were treated by various monotherapy and combination schedules, and the MCS xenograft model was computer simulated under the same treatment scenario. The mathematical model for xenograft growth was then up-scaled to retrieve the MCS patient's tumor progression under different treatment schedules. An average accuracy of 87.1% was obtained when comparing model predictions with the observed tumor growth inhibition in the xenografted animals. Simulation results suggested that a regimen containing bevacizumab applied i.v. in combination with once-weekly docetaxel would be more efficacious in the MCS patient than all other simulated schedules. Weekly docetaxel in the patient resulted in stable metastatic disease and relief of pancytopenia due to tumor infiltration. We suggest that the advantage of weekly docetaxel on the triweekly regimen is directly related to the angiogenesis rate of the tumor. Further validation of this conclusion, and the theranostic method we provide, may facilitate personalization of solid cancer pharmacotherapy.
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Single administration of thrombopoietin prevents progression of liver fibrosis and promotes liver regeneration after partial hepatectomy in cirrhotic rats. Ann Surg 2008; 248:821-8. [PMID: 18948810 DOI: 10.1097/sla.0b013e31818584c7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 63] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the effect of thrombopoietin on liver regeneration after hepatectomy and antifibrosis under conditions of liver cirrhosis in rats. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA We revealed that platelets induced by thrombopoietin administration promote liver regeneration after hepatectomy in the normal liver. METHODS Seventy percent hepatectomy was carried out in rats, which were subsequently divided into 4 groups: (1) normal group without any treatment, (2) liver cirrhosis (LC) group, (3) combined thrombopoietin and liver cirrhosis (LC+TPO) group, and (4) combined thrombopoietin, antiplatelet serum and liver cirrhosis (LC+TPO+APS) group. Growth kinetics in the liver regeneration and growth factors were analyzed. Liver fibrotic area and activation of hepatic stellate cells were also investigated. RESULTS In LC group, liver regeneration was significantly delayed compared with normal group 24 hours after hepatectomy. On the other hand, liver regeneration of LC+TPO group increased significantly compared with LC group, to a level that was the same as that recorded in normal group. In LC group, liver fibrotic area before hepatectomy was significantly higher compared with the normal group. Liver fibrosis of LC+TPO group was significantly reduced compared with LC group. The antifibrotic and liver regeneration promoting effects of LC+TPO group were inhibited by antiplatelet serum in LC+TPO+APS group. CONCLUSION The administration of thrombopoietin reduces liver fibrosis and stimulates regeneration after hepatectomy through increment and accumulation of platelets in the cirrhotic liver. This could be a potentially useful treatment for liver cirrhosis.
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Platelets promote liver regeneration under conditions of Kupffer cell depletion after hepatectomy in mice. World J Surg 2008; 32:1088-96. [PMID: 18311501 DOI: 10.1007/s00268-008-9493-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 44] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Platelets have been proven to promote liver regeneration after hepatectomy. Kupffer cells produce inflammatory cytokines and also promote liver regeneration. In the present study, we examined whether platelets promote liver regeneration after hepatectomy under conditions of Kupffer cell depletion. METHODS Seventy percent hepatectomy was carried out in mice, which were subsequently divided into four groups: (1) a normal group without any treatment, (2) a Kupffer cell depleted (KD) group, (3) a thrombocytotic group, and (4) a combined thrombocytotic and Kupffer cell depleted (TKD) group. Growth kinetics in the liver regeneration, growth factors, inflammatory cytokines, and signal transduction relating to hepatocyte proliferation were analyzed. RESULTS In the KD group, liver regeneration was significantly delayed compared to the normal group 48 h after hepatectomy. On the other hand, liver regeneration of the TKD group increased significantly compared to KD group, to a level that was the same as that recorded in the normal group. In the thrombocytotic group, liver regeneration increased significantly compared to the normal group. Tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha) expression was lower in the KD and TKD groups than in the normal group after hepatectomy, but, in the TKD group, hepatocyte growth factor and Akt phosphorylation were higher than in the normal and KD groups. CONCLUSIONS After hepatectomy, liver regeneration in the Kupffer cell depleted group was delayed because of lower TNF-alpha expression. Platelets promote liver regeneration even under condition of Kupffer cell depletion by stimulating hepatocyte growth factor and insulin-like growth factor-1 expression, and they activate Akt.
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Myronovych A, Murata S, Chiba M, Matsuo R, Ikeda O, Watanabe M, Hisakura K, Nakano Y, Kohno K, Kawasaki T, Hashimoto I, Shibasaki Y, Yasue H, Ohkohchi N. Role of platelets on liver regeneration after 90% hepatectomy in mice. J Hepatol 2008; 49:363-72. [PMID: 18602717 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhep.2008.04.019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 88] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2008] [Revised: 04/17/2008] [Accepted: 04/17/2008] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/AIMS Mortality after 90% partial hepatectomy in mice was associated with severe acute liver failure. Recently, we revealed that platelets have a strong promotional effect on hepatic regeneration. In the present study, we investigated the effect of thrombocytosis on liver regeneration after 90% hepatectomy in mice. METHODS For thrombocytosis induction PEG-rHuMGDF was injected 5 days before operation. Hepatectomy, sparing only the caudate lobe, was performed in normal and thrombocytotic BALB/c mice. Survival rate, platelet number, liver weight/body weight ratio, proliferating cell nuclear antigen, serum parameters, signal transduction and overexpressed genes were examined. RESULTS Platelet number was significantly higher in thrombocytotic group. All mice in normal group died within 30 h after hepatectomy. Survival rate in thrombocytotic group was 6/11 at 30 h and 3/11 one week after hepatectomy. Activation of Akt and STAT3 signaling pathways in thrombocytotic group was observed earlier and recognized to be stronger compared to normal group. Cell cycle, signaling pathways, metabolism and transport genes were significantly overexpressed in thrombocytotic group up to 24h after hepatectomy. CONCLUSIONS Under the thrombocytotic condition, liver regeneration occurred even in 90% hepatectomized mice. Platelets contribute to cell cycle progression and metabolic pathways in addition to preventing acute liver failure.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andriy Myronovych
- Department of Surgery, Advanced Biomedical Applications, Graduate School of Comprehensive Human Sciences, University of Tsukuba, 1-1-1 Tennodai, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-8575, Japan
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Basile LA, Gallaher TK, Shibata D, Miller JD, Douer D. Multilineage hematopoietic recovery with concomitant antitumor effects using low dose Interleukin-12 in myelosuppressed tumor-bearing mice. J Transl Med 2008; 6:26. [PMID: 18489769 PMCID: PMC2424034 DOI: 10.1186/1479-5876-6-26] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2007] [Accepted: 05/19/2008] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Interleukin-12 (IL-12) is a cytokine well known for its role in immunity. A lesser known function of IL-12 is its role in hematopoiesis. The promising data obtained in the preclinical models of antitumor immunotherapy raised hope that IL-12 could be a powerful therapeutic agent against cancer. However, excessive clinical toxicity, largely due to repeat dose regimens, and modest clinical response observed in the clinical trials have pointed to the necessity to design protocols that minimize toxicity without affecting the anti-tumor effect of IL-12. We have focused on the lesser known role of IL-12 in hematopoiesis and hypothesized that an important clinical role for IL-12 in cancer may be as an adjuvant hematological cancer therapy. In this putative clinical function, IL-12 is utilized for the prevention of cancer therapy-related cytopenias, while providing concomitant anti-tumor responses over and above responses observed with the primary therapy alone. This putative clinical function of IL-12 focuses on the dual role of IL-12 in hematopoiesis and immunity. METHODS We assessed the ability of IL-12 to facilitate hematopoietic recovery from radiation (625 rad) and chemotherapy (cyclophosphamide) in two tumor-bearing murine models, namely the EL4 lymphoma and the Lewis lung cancer models. Antitumor effects and changes in bone marrow cellularity were also assessed. RESULTS We show herein that carefully designed protocols, in mice, utilizing IL-12 as an adjuvant to radiation or chemotherapy yield facile and consistent, multilineage hematopoietic recovery from cancer therapy-induced cytopenias, as compared to vehicle and the clinically-utilized cytokine granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) (positive control), while still providing concomitant antitumor responses over and above the effects of the primary therapy alone. Moreover, our protocol design utilizes single, low doses of IL-12 that did not yield any apparent toxicity. CONCLUSION Our results portend that despite its past failure, IL-12 appears to have significant clinical potential as a hematological adjuvant cancer therapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lena A Basile
- Neumedicines Inc., 2275 East Foothill Blvd., Pasadena, California, USA.
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Dynamic hematological disease: a review. J Math Biol 2008; 58:285-322. [DOI: 10.1007/s00285-008-0165-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 69] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2007] [Revised: 01/22/2008] [Indexed: 10/22/2022]
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Kronik N, Kogan Y, Vainstein V, Agur Z. Improving alloreactive CTL immunotherapy for malignant gliomas using a simulation model of their interactive dynamics. Cancer Immunol Immunother 2008; 57:425-39. [PMID: 17823798 PMCID: PMC11030586 DOI: 10.1007/s00262-007-0387-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 67] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2007] [Accepted: 08/07/2007] [Indexed: 11/30/2022]
Abstract
Glioblastoma (GBM), a highly aggressive (WHO grade IV) primary brain tumor, is refractory to traditional treatments, such as surgery, radiation or chemotherapy. This study aims at aiding in the design of more efficacious GBM therapies. We constructed a mathematical model for glioma and the immune system interactions, that may ensue upon direct intra-tumoral administration of ex vivo activated alloreactive cytotoxic-T-lymphocytes (aCTL). Our model encompasses considerations of the interactive dynamics of aCTL, tumor cells, major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class I and MHC class II molecules, as well as cytokines, such as TGF-beta and IFN-gamma, which dampen or increase the pro-inflammatory environment, respectively. Computer simulations were used for model verification and for retrieving putative treatment scenarios. The mathematical model successfully retrieved clinical trial results of efficacious aCTL immunotherapy for recurrent anaplastic oligodendroglioma and anaplastic astrocytoma (WHO grade III). It predicted that cellular adoptive immunotherapy failed in GBM because the administered dose was 20-fold lower than required for therapeutic efficacy. Model analysis suggests that GBM may be eradicated by new dose-intensive strategies, e.g., 3 x 10(8) aCTL every 4 days for small tumor burden, or 2 x 10(9) aCTL, infused every 5 days for larger tumor burden. Further analysis pinpoints crucial bio-markers relating to tumor growth rate, tumor size, and tumor sensitivity to the immune system, whose estimation enables regimen personalization. We propose that adoptive cellular immunotherapy was prematurely abandoned. It may prove efficacious for GBM, if dose intensity is augmented, as prescribed by the mathematical model. Re-initiation of clinical trials, using calculated individualized regimens for grade III-IV malignant glioma, is suggested.
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Affiliation(s)
- Natalie Kronik
- Institute for Medical BioMathematics (IMBM), 10 Hate'ena St., PO Box 282, Bene Ataroth 60991, Israel.
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Murata S, Ohkohchi N, Matsuo R, Ikeda O, Myronovych A, Hoshi R. Platelets promote liver regeneration in early period after hepatectomy in mice. World J Surg 2007; 31:808-16. [PMID: 17354025 DOI: 10.1007/s00268-006-0772-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 131] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Platelets contain several growth factors, including platelet-derived growth factor and hepatocyte growth factor. MATERIALS AND METHODS We examined the effects of platelet increment on liver regeneration after 70% hepatectomy. Hepatectomies were carried out in male BALB/c mice, and subsequently divided into three groups: (i) untreated mice, (ii) thrombocytotic mice induced with thrombopoietin, and (iii) thrombocytopenic mice induced with anti-platelet antibody. Growth kinetics in the liver were analyzed as a function of the liver/body weight ratio, the mitotic index, the proliferating cell nuclear antigen labeling index and Ki-67 labeling index. Activation of signal transduction pathways relating to cell proliferation were examined, including the STAT3, Akt, and ERK1/2 pathways. Platelet accumulation in the residual liver was quantified by immunohistochemistry and transmission electron microscopy. RESULTS In thrombocytotic and thrombocytopenic mice, liver/body weight ratios and Ki-67 labeling indices were significantly increased and significantly decreased, respectively, compared with untreated mice 48 hours post-hepatectomy. The Akt pathway was strongly activated, and platelet accumulation was significantly increased in thrombocytotic group 5 minutes post-hepatectomy compared with normal and thrombocytopenic groups. After hepatectomy platelets accumulated in the sinusoids of liver and promoted hepatocyte proliferation in early period after hepatectomy. CONCLUSION By increasing or decreasing the platelet, marked changes in liver regeneration can occur, due to differences in cellular signaling and mitosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Soichiro Murata
- Department of Surgery, Advanced Biomedical Applications, Graduate School of Comprehensive Human Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan
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Woo S, Krzyzanski W, Jusko WJ. Pharmacodynamic model for chemotherapy-induced anemia in rats. Cancer Chemother Pharmacol 2007; 62:123-33. [PMID: 17891399 PMCID: PMC2671004 DOI: 10.1007/s00280-007-0582-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2007] [Accepted: 08/27/2007] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Anticancer agents often cause bone marrow toxicity resulting in progressive anemia which may influence the therapeutic effects of erythropoietic-stimulating agents. The objective of this study was to develop a pharmacodynamic (PD) model to describe chemotherapy-induced anemia in rats. Anemia was induced in male Wistar rats with a single intravenous (i.v.) injection of 60 mg/kg carboplatin. Hematological responses including reticulocytes, red blood cells (RBC), hemoglobin, and endogenous rat erythropoietin (EPO) were measured for up to 4 weeks. A catenary, lifespan-based, indirect response model served as a basic PD model to represent erythroid cellular populations in the bone marrow and blood involved in erythropoiesis. The model assumed that actively proliferating progenitor cells in the bone marrow are sensitive to anti-cancer agents and subject to an irreversible removal process. The removal rate of the target cells is proportional to drug activity concentrations and the cell numbers. An additional RBC loss from the circulation resulting from thrombocytopenia was described by a first-order process. The turnover process of rat EPO and EPO-mediated feedback inhibition mechanism regulated by hemoglobin changes were incorporated. Reticulocyte counts decreased rapidly and reached a nadir by day 3 after administration of carboplatin and returned to the baseline by day 13. This was followed by a gradual increase and the rebound peak occurred at about day 15. The hemoglobin nadir was approximately 9 g/dl observed at about 11-13 days compared to its normal value of 13 g/dl and hemoglobin returned to the baseline by day 30. The increase in endogenous rat EPO mirrored inversely hemoglobin changes and the maximum increase was observed soon after the hemoglobin nadir. The carboplatin-treated rats exhibited progressive anemia. The proposed model adequately described the time course of hematological changes after carboplatin in rats and can be a useful tool to explore potential strategies for the management of anemia caused by chemotherapy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sukyung Woo
- Department of Pharmaceutical Sciences, School of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, State University of New York at Buffalo, 565 Hochstetter Hall, Buffalo, NY 14260, USA
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Cappuccio A, Elishmereni M, Agur Z. Optimization of interleukin-21 immunotherapeutic strategies. J Theor Biol 2007; 248:259-66. [PMID: 17574601 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2007.05.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2006] [Revised: 05/11/2007] [Accepted: 05/11/2007] [Indexed: 10/23/2022]
Abstract
The recently discovered interleukin-21 (IL-21) shows strong tumor attenuation in preclinical studies, and is considered a promising cancer immunotherapy agent. Yet, to exploit its potential, therapeutic strategies must be designed to achieve adequate balance between several conflicting aspects. A mathematical model describing the IL-21-antitumor effects provided the basis for application of the optimization methodology, aimed at finding improved immunotherapeutic regimens. Both dosages and inter-dosing intervals were optimized while considering maximal efficacy, determined by reduction of tumor burden, and minimal toxicity, estimated by cumulative IL-21 doses applied. Simulations allowed to compute the optimal regimen and explore its dependence on the weights of the target function. Optimized schedules lead to substantial cancer regression even with relatively low drug concentrations. Collectively, administration times shifted towards treatment onset, and IL-21 intensities sequentially decreased. Interestingly, there was a certain window in which deviations in the total IL-21 dosage administered largely influenced tumor elimination. The findings emphasize the importance of early tumor detection and the critical consequence of the inter-dosing interval on therapeutic efficacy, as supported by similar research involving chemotherapy. Our work provides initial basis for identifying clinically applicable IL-21 therapeutic strategies with improved efficacy/toxicity ratios.
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Affiliation(s)
- Antonio Cappuccio
- Institute for Medical Biomathematics (IMBM), P.O.B. 282, Hate'ena St. 10, Bene-Ataroth 60991, Israel
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Michelson S, Sehgal A, Friedrich C. In silico prediction of clinical efficacy. Curr Opin Biotechnol 2006; 17:666-70. [PMID: 17046236 DOI: 10.1016/j.copbio.2006.09.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2006] [Revised: 08/20/2006] [Accepted: 09/29/2006] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Abstract
Drug development is a high risk and costly process, and the ability to predict clinical efficacy in silico (in a computer) can save the pharmaceutical industry time and resources. Additionally, such an approach will result in more targeted, personalized therapies. To date, a number of in silico strategies have been developed to provide better information about the human response to novel therapies earlier in the drug development process. Some of the most prominent include physiological modeling of disease and disease processes, analytical tools for population pharmacodynamics, tools for the analysis of genomic expression data, Monte Carlo simulation technologies, and predictive biosimulation. These strategies are likely to contribute significantly to reducing the failure rate of drugs entering clinical trials.
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Affiliation(s)
- Seth Michelson
- Entelos, Inc., 110 Marsh Drive, Foster City, CA 94404, USA
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Cappuccio A, Elishmereni M, Agur Z. Cancer Immunotherapy by Interleukin-21: Potential Treatment Strategies Evaluated in a Mathematical Model. Cancer Res 2006; 66:7293-300. [PMID: 16849579 DOI: 10.1158/0008-5472.can-06-0241] [Citation(s) in RCA: 73] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
The newly characterized interleukin (IL)-21 plays a central role in the transition from innate immunity to adaptive immunity and shows substantial tumor regression in mice. IL-21 is now developed as a cancer immunotherapeutic drug, but conditions for efficacious therapy, and the conflicting immunostimulatory and immunoinhibitory influence of the cytokine, are yet to be defined. We studied the effects of IL-21 on tumor eradication in a mathematical model focusing on natural killer (NK) cell-mediated and CD8+ T-cell-mediated lysis of tumor cells. Model parameters were estimated using results in tumor-bearing mice treated with IL-21 via cytokine gene therapy (CGT), hydrodynamics-based gene delivery (HGD), or standard interval dosing (SID). Our model accurately retrieved experimental growth dynamics in the nonimmunogenic B16 melanoma and the immunogenic MethA and MCA205 fibrosarcomas, showing a strong dependence of the NK-cell/CD8+ T-cell balance on tumor immunogenicity. Moreover, in melanoma, simulations of CGT-like dosing regimens, dynamically determined according to tumor mass changes, resulted in efficient disease elimination. In contrast, in fibrosarcoma, such a strategy was not superior to that of fixed dosing regimens, HGD or SID. Our model supports clinical use of IL-21 as a potent stimulator of cellular immunity against cancer, and suggests selecting the immunotherapy strategy according to tumor immunogenicity. Nonimmunogenic tumors, but not highly immunogenic tumors, should be controlled by IL-21 dosing, which depends on tumor mass at the time of administration. This method imitates, yet amplifies, the natural anticancer immune response rather than accelerates only one of the response arms in an unbalanced manner.
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