Cardiothoracic ratio and relative heart volume as predictors of coronary heart disease mortality. The Whitehall study 25 year follow-up

Diagnosis of COVID-19 with simultaneous accurate prediction of cardiac abnormalities from chest computed tomographic images

COVID-19 has potential consequences on the pulmonary and cardiovascular health of millions of infected people worldwide. Chest computed tomographic (CT) imaging has remained the first line of diagnosis for individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2. However, differentiating COVID-19 from other types of pneumonia and predicting associated cardiovascular complications from the same chest-CT images have remained challenging. In this study, we have first used transfer learning method to distinguish COVID-19 from other pneumonia and healthy cases with 99.2% accuracy. Next, we have developed another CNN-based deep learning approach to automatically predict the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in COVID-19 patients compared to the normal subjects with 97.97% accuracy. Our model was further validated against cardiac CT-based markers including cardiac thoracic ratio (CTR), pulmonary artery to aorta ratio (PA/A), and presence of calcified plaque. Thus, we successfully demonstrate that CT-based deep learning algorithms can be employed as a dual screening diagnostic tool to diagnose COVID-19 and differentiate it from other pneumonia, and also predicts CVD risk associated with COVID-19 infection.

Cardiothoracic ratio values and trajectories are associated with risk of requiring dialysis and mortality in chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

The prognostic role of the cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains undetermined.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 3117 patients with CKD aged 18-89 years who participated in an Advanced CKD Care Program in Taiwan between 2003 and 2017 with a median follow up of 1.3(0.7-2.5) and 3.3(1.8-5.3) (IQR) years for outcome of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and overall death, respectively. We developed a machine learning (ML)-based algorithm to calculate the baseline and serial CTRs, which were then used to classify patients into trajectory groups based on latent class mixed modelling. Association and discrimination were evaluated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses and C-statistics, respectively.

RESULTS

The median (interquartile range) age of 3117 patients is 69.5 (59.2-77.4) years. We create 3 CTR trajectory groups (low [30.1%], medium [48.1%], and high [21.8%]) for the 2474 patients with at least 2 CTR measurements. The adjusted hazard ratios for ESRD, cardiovascular mortality, and all-cause mortality in patients with baseline CTRs ≥0.57 (vs CTRs <0.47) are 1.35 (95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.72), 2.89 (1.78-4.71), and 1.50 (1.22-1.83), respectively. Similarly, greater effect sizes, particularly for cardiovascular mortality, are observed for high (vs low) CTR trajectories. Compared with a reference model, one with CTR as a continuous variable yields significantly higher C-statistics of 0.719 (vs 0.698, P = 0.04) for cardiovascular mortality and 0.697 (vs 0.693, P < 0.001) for all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the real-world prognostic value of the CTR, as calculated by a ML annotation tool, in CKD. Our research presents a methodological foundation for using machine learning to improve cardioprotection among patients with CKD.

Radiological Cardiothoracic Ratio as a Potential Predictor of Right Ventricular Enlargement in Patients with Suspected Pulmonary Embolism Due to COVID-19

The aim of the study was to determine the usefulness of the radiological cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) as a predictor of right ventricular enlargement in patients with suspected pulmonary embolism during COVID-19. The study group consisted of 61 patients with confirmed COVID-19, suspected of pulmonary embolism based on physical examination and laboratory tests (age: 67.18 ± 12.47 years). Computed tomography angiography (CTA) of pulmonary arteries and chest radiograph in AP projection with cardiothoracic ratio assessment were performed in all patients. Right ventricular enlargement was diagnosed by the ratio of right ventricular to left ventricular (RV/LV) dimensions in pulmonary CTA with two cut-off points: ≥0.9 and ≥1.0. Heart silhouette enlargement was found when CTR on the chest radiograph in the projection AP > 0.55. The mean values of RV/LV and CTR in the studied group were 0.96 ± 0.23 and 0.57 ± 0.05, respectively. Pulmonary embolism was diagnosed in 45.9%. Right ventricular enlargement was documented in 44.3% or 29.5% depending on the adopted criterion RV/LV ≥ 0.9 or RV/LV ≥ 1.0. Heart silhouette enlargement was found in 60.6%. Patients with confirmed pulmonary embolism (PE+) had a significantly higher RV/LV ratio and CTR than patients with excluded pulmonary embolism (PE−) (RV/LV: PE+ 1.08 ± 0.24, PE− 0.82 ± 0.12; CTR: PE+ 0.60 ± 0.05, PE− 0.54 ± 0.04; p < 0.05). The correlation analysis showed a statistically significant positive correlation between the RV/LV ratio and CTR (r = 0.59, p < 0.05). Based on the ROC curves, CTR values were determined as the optimal cut-off points for the prediction of right ventricular enlargement (RV/LV ≥ 0.9 or RV/LV ≥ 1.0), being 0.54 and 0.55, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of the CTR criterion >0.54 as a predictor of RV/LV ratio ≥0.9 were 0.412, 0.963, and 0.656, respectively, while those of the CTR criterion >0.55 as a predictor of RV/LV ratio ≥1.0 were 0.488, 0.833, and 0.590, respectively. In summary, in patients with suspected pulmonary embolism during COVID-19, the radiographic cardiothoracic ratio can be considered as a prognostic factor for right ventricular enlargement, especially as a negative predictor of right ventricular enlargement in the case of lower CTR values.

Diagnostic performance of chest radiography measurements for the assessment of cardiac chamber enlargement

Background:

The cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) is commonly assessed on chest radiography for detection of cardiac chamber enlargement, but the traditional cutpoint of 0.5 has low specificity. We sought to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of new measurement techniques for the detection of cardiac enlargement on chest radiographs.

Methods:

We obtained retrospective cross-sectional data on consecutive patients who underwent both chest radiography and cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) within a 14-day interval between 2006 and 2016 at a large academic hospital network. We established the presence of cardiac chamber enlargement using cardiac MRI as the reference standard. We evaluated the diagnostic performance of different techniques for measuring heart size and CTR on frontal chest radiographs.

Results:

Of 152 patients included, 81 (53%) were men and the mean age was 52 years. Maximum heart diameter had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for detection of cardiac enlargement (0.827, 95% confidence interval 0.760–0.894). In the subgroup of posteroanterior chest radiography studies (n = 101), a CTR cutpoint of 0.50 had only moderate sensitivity (72%) and specificity (72%). In men, a maximum heart diameter cutpoint of 15 cm had a sensitivity of 86% and a negative likelihood ratio of 0.24, and a cutpoint of 19 cm had a specificity of 100% and a positive likelihood ratio of infinity. In women, a maximum heart diameter cutpoint of 13 cm had a sensitivity of 91% and a negative likelihood ratio of 0.15, and a cutpoint of 17 cm had a specificity of 91% and a positive likelihood ratio of 3.5.

Interpretation:

A traditional CTR cutpoint of 0.5 has limited diagnostic value. Simple heart diameter measurements have higher diagnostic performance measures than CTR.

Small whole heart volume predicts cardiovascular events in patients with stable chest pain: insights from the PROMISE trial

OBJECTIVES

The size of the heart may predict major cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with stable chest pain. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of 3D whole heart volume (WHV) derived from non-contrast cardiac computed tomography (CT).

METHODS

Among participants randomized to the CT arm of the Prospective Multicenter Imaging Study for Evaluation of Chest Pain (PROMISE), we used deep learning to extract WHV, defined as the volume of the pericardial sac. We compared the WHV across categories of cardiovascular risk factors and coronary artery disease (CAD) characteristics and determined the association of WHV with MACE (all-cause death, myocardial infarction, unstable angina; median follow-up: 26 months).

RESULTS

In the 3798 included patients (60.5 ± 8.2 years; 51.5% women), the WHV was 351.9 ± 57.6 cm3/m2. We found smaller WHV in no- or non-obstructive CAD, women, people with diabetes, sedentary lifestyle, and metabolic syndrome. Larger WHV was found in obstructive CAD, men, and increased atherosclerosis cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk score (p < 0.05). In a time-to-event analysis, small WHV was associated with over 4.4-fold risk of MACE (HR (per one standard deviation) = 0.221; 95% CI: 0.068-0.721; p = 0.012) independent of ASCVD risk score and CT-derived CAD characteristics. In patients with non-obstructive CAD, but not in those with no- or obstructive CAD, WHV increased the discriminatory capacity of ASCVD and CT-derived CAD characteristics significantly.

CONCLUSIONS

Small WHV may represent a novel imaging marker of MACE in stable chest pain. In particular, WHV may improve risk stratification in patients with non-obstructive CAD, a cohort with an unmet need for better risk stratification.

KEY POINTS

• Heart volume is easily assessable from non-contrast cardiac computed tomography. • Small heart volume may be an imaging marker of major adverse cardiac events independent and incremental to traditional cardiovascular risk factors and established CT measures of CAD. • Heart volume may improve cardiovascular risk stratification in patients with non-obstructive CAD.

Radiological Cardiothoracic Ratio in Evidence-Based Medicine

The cardiothoracic ratio (CTR), expressing the relationship between the size of the heart and the transverse dimension of the chest measured on a chest PA radiograph, is a commonly used parameter in the assessment of cardiomegaly with a cut-off value of 0.5. A value of >0.5 should be interpreted as enlargement of the heart. The following review describes the current state of available knowledge in terms of contentious issues, limitations and useful aspects regarding the CTR. The review was carried out on the basis of an analysis of scientific articles available in the PubMed database, searched for using the following keywords: “CTR”, “cardiothoracic ratio”, “cardiopulmonary ratio”, “cardiopulmonary index”, and “heart-lung ratio”. According to the accumulated knowledge, the CTR can still be used as an important parameter that can be easily determined in establishing enlargement of the heart. However, an increased CTR does not directly relate to heart function. In the era following the development of diagnostic methods such as computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging, and ultrasonography, CTR modifications based on these methods are used with varying clinical usefulness. It is important to consider the definition of the CTR and remember to base measurements on PA radiographs, as attempts to mark it in other projections face many limitations.

Cutoff value for hypertrophic heart weight in the Japanese population

BACKGROUND

Cardiac hypertrophy is a clinical risk factor for cardiovascular death (CVD) frequently recorded in autopsy reports, but the diagnostic criteria for the condition have not been clearly-established for autopsy. This study aimed to estimate the cutoff value for hypertrophic heart weight that can efficiently assist the postmortem diagnosis of CVD.

METHODS

We analyzed accumulated autopsy data from 3534 individuals aged 0-101 years.

RESULTS

We found that heart weight increased linearly with a person's age until 20 years, after which it remained stable. The mean heart weight in CVD cases was 473 g in men and 379 g in women. The mean heart weight in non-CVD cases was 385 g in men and 320 g in women. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for CVD assessment revealed that the cutoff value of heart weight was 407 g (odds ratio of 4.2) in men and 327 g (2.6) in women, and that of heart weight/body height was 2.38 g/cm (4.0) in men and 2.15 g/cm (2.6) in women, respectively. Overall, heart weight was a more useful predictor of CVD in men than in women. In logistic regression analysis, the predictive power of heart weight for CVD was higher than that of body mass index in both sexes.

CONCLUSION

Thus, the criteria for hypertrophic heart weight are practical and useful for autopsy recordings, and it can be helpful for postmortem diagnosis of CVD. Our report is the first to reveal the cutoff value for hypertrophic heart weight in the Japanese population.

Cardio-Thoracic Ratio Is Stable, Reproducible and Has Potential as a Screening Tool for HIV-1 Related Cardiac Disorders in Resource Poor Settings

Background

Cardiovascular disorders are common in HIV-1 infected persons in Africa and presentation is often insidious. Development of screening algorithms for cardiovascular disorders appropriate to a resource-constrained setting could facilitate timely referral. Cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) on chest radiograph (CXR) has been suggested as a potential screening tool but little is known about its reproducibility and stability. Our primary aim was to evaluate the stability and the inter-observer variability of CTR in HIV-1 infected outpatients. We further evaluated the prevalence of cardiomegaly (CTR≥0.5) and its relationship with other risk factors in this population.

Methodology

HIV-1 infected participants were identified during screening for a tuberculosis vaccine trial in Khayelitsha, South Africa between August 2011 and April 2012. Participants had a digital posterior-anterior CXR performed as well as history, examination and baseline observations. CXRs were viewed using OsiriX software and CTR calculated using digital callipers.

Results

450 HIV-1-infected adults were evaluated, median age 34 years (IQR 30–40) with a CD4 count 566/mm³ (IQR 443–724), 70% on antiretroviral therapy (ART). The prevalence of cardiomegaly was 12.7% (95% C.I. 9.6%-15.8%). CTR was calculated by a 2^nd reader for 113 participants, measurements were highly correlated r = 0.95 (95% C.I. 0.93–0.97) and agreement of cardiomegaly substantial κ = 0.78 (95% C.I 0.61–0.95). CXR were repeated in 51 participants at 4–12 weeks, CTR measurements between the 2 time points were highly correlated r = 0.77 (95% C.I 0.68–0.88) and agreement of cardiomegaly excellent κ = 0.92 (95% C.I. 0.77–1). Participants with cardiomegaly had a higher median BMI (31.3; IQR 27.4–37.4) versus 26.9; IQR 23.2–32.4); p<0.0001) and median systolic blood pressure (130; IQR 121–141 versus 125; IQR 117–135; p = 0.01).

Conclusion

CTR is a robust measurement, stable over time with substantial inter-observer agreement. A prospective study evaluating utility of CXR to identify cardiovascular disorder in this population is warranted.

A Higher Cardiothoracic Ratio Is Associated with 2-Year Mortality after Hemodialysis Initiation

A high cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) is indicative of a cardiac disorder. However, few reports have revealed an association between the CTR and mortality in patients starting hemodialysis (HD).

METHODS

Patients with HD initiation (n = 387; mean age, 66.7 ± 12.7 years) were divided into the following three groups according to their CTR at HD initiation: CTR <50%, 50% ≤ CTR < 55%, and CTR ≥55%. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to compare 2-year all-cause mortality among these groups. Furthermore, we investigated the factors affecting their 2-year mortality using a Cox proportional hazard regression analysis.

RESULTS

Sixty-five patients (17%) died within 2 years after HD initiation. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with CTR ≥55% had a higher mortality rate than those in the other groups. Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was performed using parameters with p values <0.1 among these three groups [sex, age, presence or absence of ischemic heart disease, hemoglobin levels, serum albumin levels, CTR, body mass index (BMI)] and confounding factors [presence or absence of diabetes mellitus, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)]. Age, eGFR, BMI, and CTR ≥55% at HD initiation were identified as factors influencing 2-year mortality.

CONCLUSION

CTR >55% is one of the most important independent factors to affect 2-year all-cause mortality. Thus, confirming the cardiac condition of patients at HD initiation with a CTR >55% may improve their survival.

Cardiothoracic ratio on chest radiograph in pediatric heart disease: How does it correlate with heart volumes at magnetic resonance imaging?

BACKGROUND

The cardiothoracic ratio by chest radiograph is widely used as a marker of cardiac size.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study is to correlate cardiothoracic ratio and cardiac volumes as measured by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (MR) in common structural and myopathic heart disease with increased cardiac size due to volume overload or hypertrophy.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A retrospective single center study was performed in all patients between 2007 and 2013 with repaired tetralogy of Fallot (TOF), aortic regurgitation, isolated left-to-right shunt and hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) who underwent cardiovascular MR and chest radiograph within 6 months of each other. Cardiothoracic ratios by chest radiograph (frontal and lateral) were compared to cardiac volumes (indexed for body surface area) by cardiovascular MR.

RESULTS

One hundred twenty-seven patients (mean age: 11.2 ± 5.5 years) were included in this study (76 with TOF, 23 with isolated left-to-right shunt, 16 with aortic regurgitation and 12 with HCM). Frontal cardiothoracic ratio of all groups correlated with indexed right ventricular (RV) end-diastolic volume (EDVI) (r = 0.40, P < 0.01) and indexed total heart volume (THVI) (r = 0.27, P < 0.01). In TOF patients, frontal cardiothoracic ratio correlated with RVEDVI (r = 0.34, P < 0.01; coefficient of variation = 27.6%), indexed RV end-systolic volume (ESVI) (r = 0.44, P < 0.01; coefficient of variation = 33.3%) and THVI (r = 0.35, P < 0.01; coefficient of variation = 19.6%), although RV volumes and THVI showed widespread variation given the high coefficients of variation. In patients with aortic regurgitation, frontal cardiothoracic ratio correlated with left ventricular (LV) EDVI (r = 0.50, P = 0.047), but not with THVI and aortic regurgitant fraction, and widespread variation for LV EDVI (coefficient of variation = 19.2%), LV ESVI (coefficient of variation = 32.5%) and THVI (coefficient of variation = 13.6%) was also observed. Frontal cardiothoracic ratio was not correlated with cardiac volumes or mass in patients with a left-to-right shunt or HCM. Lateral cardiothoracic ratio showed no correlation with any cardiac volume in all four groups.

CONCLUSION

Although increased cardiothoracic ratio on frontal chest radiograph is associated with increased biventricular volumes in patients with pulmonary and aortic regurgitation, significant variation in ventricular volumes and total heart volume for any given frontal cardiothoracic ratio limits the use of cardiothoracic ratio in monitoring the individual patient's heart size. Frontal cardiothoracic ratio did not correlate with cardiac chamber volumes in patients with a left-to-right shunt or HCM and lateral cardiothoracic ratio offered no additional value for cardiac size assessment.

Comparison of radiological findings of chest x-ray with echocardiography in determination of the heart size

BACKGROUND

Heart size is an important and effective parameter in chest X-ray (CXR) interpretation. Studies indicate that, especially in middle-aged men, increased cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) is associated with ischemic heart disease (IHD) and increased rate of morbidity and mortality. The CXR is the most common imaging examination of the heart.

OBJECTIVES

A good quality posterior-anterior (PA) chest radiograph is an important indicator of the cardiac size. Nowadays, CXR has given its place to more advanced approaches such as two-dimensional echocardiography. However, CXR is still more accessible and feasible for most of the physicians. This study was designed to compare the findings of CXR and echocardiography in determination of the heart size.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This cross-sectional study was carried out from 2006 to 2007. A total of 197 patients entered the study. The cases had been undergone PA CXR and 2-D echocardiography maximum within two days.

RESULTS

Of participants, 24.9% had cardiomegaly according to the findings of CXR and 50.8% based on echocardiography. There was a statistically significant difference between the mean size of Right Ventricular End Diastolic Diameter in the patients with cardiothoracic ratio < 50% and ≥ 50% (P = 0.002) as well as Left Ventricular End Diastolic Diameter (P = 0.023). Also, a statistically significant difference was seen between echocardiography and CXR findings with regard to determination of the heart size (P = 0.003). Nonetheless, it is noteworthy that sensitivity and specificity of CXR findings in the diagnosis of cardiomegaly were 34%, and 84.5%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

CTR is the most common method of describing the heart size. Increased CTR in CXR is associated with poor prognosis, which is suggestive of importance and necessity of early diagnosis. Although CXR may not have the same diagnostic accuracy as echocardiography, its easy accessibility and high specificity in diagnosis of cardiomegaly is very helpful, which can play an important and a cost-benefit role, particularly in screening the enlarged heart size. Moreover, according to the statistics released by Medical Council of Iran, most of Iranian physicians are general practitioners and a few of them are cardiologist.

Association between cardiothoracic ratio, left ventricular size and systolic function in patients undergoing computed tomography coronary angiography

The present study aimed to investigate the association between cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) and left ventricular (LV) systolic function parameters in patients with or without preserved LV ejection fraction (LVEF). A total of 203 subjects suspected with coronary artery disease underwent chest radiography and dual source computed tomography coronary angiography (DSCT-CA). The LV systolic function parameters: LV end-diastolic volume index (LVEDVI), LV end-systolic volume index (LVESVI), and LVEF were measured from the DSCT-CA. The association between CTR and LV systolic function parameters was analyzed according to LVEF value (<55%, depressed LVEF group; versus ≥55%, preserved LVEF group) and CTR value (<0.5, normal range CTR group; versus ≥0.5, larger CTR group). The LVEDVI and LVESVI were higher in the depressed LVEF group compared with the preserved LVEF group (108.56±57.15 vs. 67.52±14.56 ml/m², P<0.001; and 64.07±37.81 vs. 20.23±7.23 ml/m², P<0.001, respectively) and lower in the normal range CTR group compared with the larger CTR group (67.10±15.00 vs. 77.30±34.32 ml/m², P=0.009 and 21.94±8.96 vs. 28.97±26.54 ml/m², P=0.017, respectively). Significant correlations were found between CTR and LVEDVI, and LVESVI and LVEF in the depressed LVEF group (r=0.66, P<0.001; r=0.65, P<0.001; and r=−0.46, P=0.018, respectively). However, there was no significant association detected between CTR and LV systolic function parameters in the other subgroups. The LVEDVI and LVESVI showed an inverse correlation with the LVEF in each group. Although the CTR was not a reliable indicator of LV size and systolic function in patients with preserved LVEF, it was correlated with LV size and LVEF in patients with depressed LVEF.

Clinical significance of cardiomegaly caused by cardiac adiposity

Enlarged cardiac silhouette on chest x-ray (CXR) in the absence of cardiopulmonary disease is often dismissed as "pseudocardiomegaly." We aimed to assess the impact of epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) on radiographic heart size and to determine the clinical significance of cardiomegaly caused by EAT. In total 112 patients (52 ± 13 years old, 53% women, body mass index 32 ± 8 kg/m(2)) with structurally normal hearts by transthoracic echocardiography underwent cardiac computed tomography (CCT). EAT volume was measured by CCT and cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) and cardiac transverse and lateral horizontal transverse diameters were measured on posteroanterior and lateral view CXR. EAT volume (mean 122 ± 49 ml) correlated directly with age, body mass index, hypertension, hyperlipidemia (p <0.05 for all comparisons), transverse diameter (r = 0.50, p <0.001), CTR (r = 0.45, p <0.001), and lateral horizontal transverse diameter (r = 0.38, p <0.001). EAT volume was larger in those with increased (n = 22) compared to those with normal (n = 90) CTR (154 ± 54 vs 115 ± 54 ml, p = 0.0005). Patients with cardiomegaly were also older (58 ± 13 vs 50 ± 12 years old, p = 0.009) and more often had diabetes (32% vs 9%, p = 0.03), hypertension (86% vs 46%, p = 0.001), hyperlipidemia (68% vs 44%, p = 0.04), or obstructive coronary artery disease by CCT (32% vs 11%, p = 0.04). Coronary artery calcium score was also higher in those with cardiomegaly (median 56 [first tertile 0, third tertile 298] vs 0 [0, 55], p = 0.006). In conclusion, cardiomegaly on CXR can be caused by excessive EAT. This is associated with several coronary risk factors and with coronary calcification and stenosis. Cardiomegaly in this setting may be regarded as another noninvasive marker of coronary atherosclerosis.

Cardiothoracic ratio within the "normal" range independently predicts mortality in patients undergoing coronary angiography

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether cardiothoracic ratio (CTR), within the range conventionally considered normal, predicted prognosis in patients undergoing coronary angiography.

DESIGN

Cohort study with a median of 7-years follow-up.

SETTING

Consecutive patients undergoing coronary angiography at Barts and The London National Health Service (NHS) Trust.

SUBJECTS

1005 patients with CTRs measured by chest radiography, and who subsequently underwent coronary angiography. Of these patients, 7.3% had a CTR > or =0.5 and were excluded from the analyses.

OUTCOMES

All-cause mortality and coronary event (non-fatal myocardial infarction or coronary death). Adjustments were made for age, left ventricular dysfunction, ACE inhibitor treatment, body mass index, number of diseased coronary vessels and past coronary artery bypass graft.

RESULTS

The risk of death was increased among patients with a CTR in the upper part of the normal range. In total, 94 (18.9%) of those with a CTR below the median of 0.42 died compared with 120 (27.8%) of those with a CTR between 0.42 and 0.49 (log rank test p<0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders, this increased risk remained (adjusted HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.03 to 2.05). CTR, at values below 0.5, was linearly related to the risk of coronary event (test for trend p = 0.024).

CONCLUSION

In patients undergoing coronary angiography, CTR between 0.42 and 0.49 was associated with higher mortality than in patients with smaller hearts. There was evidence of a continuous increase in risk with higher CTR. These findings, along with those in healthy populations, question the conventional textbook cut-off point of > or =0.5 being an abnormal CTR.

Abnormalities on Chest Radiograph Reported in Subjects in a Cancer Screening Trial

BACKGROUND

Chest radiographs (CXRs) are commonly performed for diagnostic and other purposes. There is little literature either on the prevalence in the general population of various abnormalities seen on CXRs or on the risks associated with these abnormalities.

METHODS

We followed up > 70,000 men and women who were enrolled in the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial. Subjects received four annual posteroanterior CXRs for the early detection of lung cancer. Radiologists noted the presence of non-cancer-related abnormalities as well as nodules/masses that were suspicious for lung cancer. Subjects were followed up for mortality and cancer incidence.

RESULTS

Abnormalities that were not suspicious for lung cancer were observed on 35% of examinations, compared to 8% of examinations with findings that were suspicious for cancer. The most commonly reported noncancer abnormalities were granuloma (10.7% of examinations), scarring/pulmonary fibrosis (8.2% of examinations), bone/soft tissue lesions (5.5% of examinations), cardiac abnormalities (4.4% of examinations), pleural fibrosis (3.6% of examinations), and COPD/emphysema (2.5% of examinations). Most noncancer abnormalities were more prevalent in men, older subjects, and smokers. Controlling for age, smoking, and other factors, scarring/pulmonary fibrosis was significantly associated with an increased risk of lung cancer with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.0, while cardiac abnormalities (HR, 2.1), scarring/pulmonary fibrosis (HR, 1.4), COPD (HR, 1.7), and pleural fluid (HR, 2.3) were significantly associated with increased overall (ie, non-lung cancer) mortality.

CONCLUSION

Abnormalities that are not suspicious for lung cancer are common in a population undergoing screening. Some of these abnormalities are associated with an increased risk for lung cancer incidence and/or overall mortality.

Population prevalence, incidence, and predictors of atrial fibrillation in the Renfrew/Paisley study

OBJECTIVES

Though atrial fibrillation (AF) is an important cause of cardiovascular morbidity, there are few large epidemiological studies of its prevalence, incidence, and risk factors. The epidemiological features of AF are described in one of the largest population cohorts ever studied.

METHODS

The prevalence and incidence of AF were studied in the Renfrew/Paisley population cohort of 15 406 men and women aged 45-64 years living in the west of Scotland. This cohort was initially screened between 1972 and 1976 and again between 1977 and 1979. Incident hospitalisations with AF in the 20 year period following initial screening were also studied.

RESULTS

The population prevalence of AF in this cohort was 6.5 cases/1000 examinations. Prevalence was higher in men and older subjects. In those who were rescreened, the four year incidence of AF was 0.54 cases/1000 person years. Radiological cardiomegaly was the most powerful predictor of new AF (adjusted odds ratio 14.0). During 20 year follow up, 3.5% of this cohort was discharged from hospital with a diagnosis of AF; the rate of incident hospitalisation for AF was 1.9 cases/1000 person years. Radiological cardiomegaly (adjusted odds ratio 1.46) and systolic blood pressure (adjusted odds ratio 2.1 for >/= 169 mm Hg) were independent predictors of this outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Data from one of the largest epidemiological studies ever undertaken confirm that AF has a large population prevalence and incidence, even in middle aged people. More important, it was shown that the long term incidence of hospitalisation related to AF is high and that two simple clinical measurements are highly predictive of incident AF. These findings have important implications for the prevention of AF.

Somatic comorbidity of addicts: does hospitalization yield relevant findings?

The aim of this prospective study was to examine the severity and character of somatic comorbidity when addicted patients were admitted to hospital for detoxification. The study was conducted at a university-based psychiatric clinic. Somatic comorbidity was registered by laboratory, radiological and electrocardiographic parameters and by the amount of non-psychiatric consultations. Besides the number of patients with dual diagnosis interpreted as combination of addictive and psychiatric diseases was registered. A total of 111 consecutive patients (32 women) was divided into patients with alcohol dependence and patients with other addictive diseases including polydrug abuse and opiate dependence. Patients with alcohol dependence were characterized by an elevated heart rate and higher values for gamma-glutamyltransferase. No significant differences between groups could be found for the rate corrected QT interval and cardiothoracic ratio. Although viral liver disease was diagnosed in both groups patients with a history of injecting drug use were at greatest risk for hepatitis C. About one-third of all patients required consultant non-psychiatric treatment. Concomitant heart and pulmonary diseases were more pronounced in the alcohol dependence group. The findings emphasize that hospitalization of addicted patients yields relevant somatic morbidity which has an impact on cost and requires medically supervised detoxification programs.