Measurement of spleen stiffness by acoustic radiation force impulse imaging identifies cirrhotic patients with esophageal varices

Interpretable machine learning models based on shear-wave elastography radiomics for predicting cardiovascular disease in diabetic kidney disease patients

BACKGROUND

The risk of cardiovascular complications is significantly elevated in patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD). Recognizing the link between the progression of DKD and an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), it is crucial to focus on the early prediction and management of CVD risk factors among these patients to potentially enhance their health outcomes.

OBJECTIVE

This study sought to bridge the existing gap by developing and validating machine learning (ML) models that utilize clinical data and shear wave elastography (SWE) radiomics features to identify patients at risk of CVD, ultimately aiming to improve the management of DKD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study conducted a retrospective analysis of 586 patients with DKD, dividing them into training and external validation cohorts. We categorized patients based on the presence or absence of CVD. Utilizing SWE imaging, we extracted and standardized radiomics features to develop multiple ML models. These models underwent internal validation using radiomics features alone, clinical data, or a combination thereof. The optimal model was then identified, and its feature importance was assessed through the Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) method, before proceeding to external validation.

RESULTS

Among the 586 patients analyzed, 30.7% (180/586) were identified as at risk for CVD. The study pinpointed six significant radiomics features related to CVD, alongside six critical pieces of clinical data. The Support Vector Machine (SVM) model outperformed others in both internal and external validations. Further, SHAP analysis highlighted five principal determinants of CVD risk, comprising three clinical indicators and two SWE radiomics features.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the effectiveness of an SVM model that combines clinical and radiomics features in predicting CVD risk among DKD patients. It enables early prediction of CVD in this patient group, thereby supporting the implementation of timely and suitable interventions.

Enhancing liver cirrhosis varices and CSPH risk prediction with spleen stiffness measurement using 100-Hz probe

Managing complications of liver cirrhosis such as varices needing treatment (VNT) and clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) demands precise and non-invasive diagnostic methods. This study assesses the efficacy of spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) using a 100-Hz probe for predicting VNT and CSPH, aiming to refine diagnostic thresholds. A retrospective analysis was conducted on 257 cirrhotic patients, comparing the diagnostic performance of SSM against traditional criteria, including Baveno VII, for predicting VNT and CSPH. The DeLong test was used for statistical comparisons among predictive models. The success rate of SSM@100 Hz was 94.60%, and factors related to SSM failure were high body mass index and small spleen volume or length. In our cohort, the identified SSM cut-off of 38.9 kPa, which achieved a sensitivity of 92% and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 98% for detecting VNT, is clinically nearly identical to the established Baveno threshold of 40 kPa. The predictive capability of the SSM-based model for VNT was superior to the LSM ± PLT model (p = 0.017). For CSPH prediction, the SSM model notably outperformed existing non-invasive tests (NITs), with an AUC improvement and significant correlations with HVPG measurements (obtained from 49 patients), highlighting a correlation coefficient of 0.486 (p < 0.001) between SSM and HVPG. Therefore, incorporating SSM into clinical practice significantly enhances the prediction accuracy for both VNT and CSPH in cirrhosis patients, mainly due to the high correlation between SSM and HVPG. SSM@100 Hz can offer valuable clinical assistance in avoiding unnecessary endoscopy in these patients.

Liver stiffness and spleen stiffness predict distinct liver-related events after hepatitis C eradication with direct-acting antivirals

BACKGROUND

/Purpose: This study aimed to directly compare the utility of liver stiffness (LS) and spleen stiffness (SS) at sustained virologic response (SVR) for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and non-HCC events in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) after direct-acting antiviral therapy.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 695 CHC patients who achieved SVR and underwent LS and SS measurements. LS and SS were measured using point shear wave elastography and compared head-to-head.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 29.5 months, 49 (7.1%) patients developed liver-related events (LREs), including 28 HCC and 22 non-HCC events after SVR. Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that age, albumin level, and LS (≥ versus <1.46 m/s) at SVR (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 5.390; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.349-12.364; p < 0.001), but not SS at SVR, significantly predicted the overall risk of post-SVR LREs (n = 49). Furthermore, age and LS (≥ versus <1.46 m/s) at SVR (aHR: 6.759; 95% CI: 2.317-19.723; p < 0.001), but not SS at SVR, independently predicted the risk of post-SVR incident HCC. In contrast, SS (≥ versus <2.87 m/s) at SVR (aHR: 11.212; 95% CI: 1.564-20.132; p = 0.021) and albumin level, but not LS at SVR, significantly predicted the risk of post-SVR non-HCC events.

CONCLUSION

Post-SVR LS better predicts HCC risk. Post-SVR SS helps predict non-HCC risk after antiviral therapy for CHC. LS and SS at SVR provide complementary prognostic information regarding risks of HCC and non-HCC events in the post-SVR setting. Further validation is warranted in larger cohorts.

Our experience with liver and spleen elastography in the prediction of oesophageal varices

Background

Variceal bleeding is an important cause of mortality in patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). The gold standard for detection and grading of oesophageal varices (EV) is upper gastrointestinal endoscopy. However, it is expensive, time-consuming and invasive.

Objectives

This study aimed to find any association between splenic shear wave velocity (SWV) measured by acoustic radiation force imaging (ARFI) and the presence of EV.

Method

The quasi-experimental study included 50 patients with CLD and 50 subjects without CLD as the control group. Both underwent upper abdominal ultrasonography followed by elastographic assessment on a Siemens Acuson S2000TM ultrasound system. A comparison of the findings was made between the control and patient groups.

Results

Both groups had similar hepatic size while patients with CLD had larger splenic size and area (p < 0.05). The CLD patients had higher mean hepatic and splenic SWV compared with the control group (p < 0.05). The mean splenic size and splenic SWV were higher in patients with varices than in those without varices (p < 0.05).

Conclusion

Chronic liver disease causes significant increase in liver and splenic stiffness with splenic SWV values being higher for patients with varices emphasising the role of elastography as a non-invasive predictor for the presence of EVs. Splenic SWV had the highest sensitivity and specificity, which was augmented by a combination of hepatic and splenic SWV. Thus, splenic SWV alone or in combination with hepatic SWV is a useful technique for prediction of the presence of EVs.

Contribution

This study aims to find an alternative non-invasive and cost-effective technique for screening of EV.

Evaluation of liver and splenic stiffness by acoustic radiation force impulse for assessment of esophageal varices

BACKGROUND

In routine clinical practice, assessment of portal hypertension (PHT) among patients with liver cirrhosis is done by a upper gastrointestinal endoscopy (UGIE); however, its invasive nature limits its use. Recent advances in ultrasound imaging make it possible to evaluate the tissue stiffness of the liver and spleen reflecting the severity of underlying fibrosis. Liver stiffness and spleen stiffness can be used to predict the presence of esophageal varices/PHT among cirrhotic patients.

AIM

To predict the presence or absence of esophageal varices by measuring the stiffness of the liver and spleen by ultrasonography (USG)-based acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI).

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included 90 subjects with liver cirrhosis. Liver and splenic stiffness were measured along with the USG abdomen, UGIE and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI).

RESULTS

Liver and spleen stiffness were significantly higher in cirrhotic patients compared to chronic hepatitis B. The best cut-off value of liver stiffness (LS) obtained by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 2.16 m/s for predicting esophageal varices (AUROC 0.78, p 0.0002). The best cut-off value of splenic stiffness (SS) obtained by the ROC curve was 3.04 m/s for predicting esophageal varices (AUROC 0.698, p 0.0274). When both LS and SS were taken together, the accuracy in predicting esophageal varices increased to 92.22%. An equation to predict "esophageal varices = (0.225 LS + 0.377SS) - 0.555" was derived.

CONCLUSION

LS and SS values of ≥ 2.16 m/s and 3.04 m/s, respectively, predict esophageal varices independently; however, combined assessment is better with 92% accuracy.

Current status of preoperative risk assessment for posthepatectomy liver failure in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver resection is an effective therapeutic option for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. However, posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) remains a major cause of hepatectomy-related mortality, and the accurate prediction of PHLF based on preoperative assessment of liver functional reserve is a critical issue. The definition of PHLF proposed by the International Study Group for Liver Surgery has gained acceptance as a standard grading criterion. Liver function can be estimated using a variety of parameters, including routine blood biochemical examinations, clinical scoring systems, dynamic liver function tests, liver stiffness and fibrosis markers, and imaging studies. The Child-Pugh score and model for end-stage liver disease scores are conventionally used for estimating liver decompensation, although the alternatively developed albumin-bilirubin score shows superior performance for predicting hepatic dysfunction. Indocyanine green clearance, a dynamic liver function test mostly used in Japan and other Asian countries, serves as a quantitative estimation of liver function reserve and helps determine indications for surgical procedures according to the estimated risk of PHLF. In an attempt to improve predictive accuracy, specific evaluation of liver fibrosis and portal hypertension has gained popularity, including liver stiffness measurements using ultrasonography or magnetic resonance elastography, as well as noninvasive fibrosis markers. Imaging modalities, including Tc-99m-labeled galactosyl serum albumin scintigraphy and gadolinium-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging, are used for preoperative evaluation in combination with liver volume. This review aims to provide an overview of the usefulness of current options for the preoperative assessment of liver function in predicting PHLF.

2D Shear wave elastography for evaluation of renal cortex and medulla: stiffness values in healthy children

PURPOSE

To evaluate renal cortical and medullary stiffness using 2D Shear-wave elastography (SWE) in healthy children.

METHODS

In this IRB approved prospective study, we measured the stiffness of cortex and medulla of children (4 months-17 years) at the upper pole, mid pole, and lower pole in bilateral kidneys.

RESULTS

The median (IQR) values of renal cortex in <1 year age group was 8.7 (5.7-11.7) kPa for right and 8.7 (4.2-14.1) kPa for the left side. For 1-5 years age group, it was 7.3 (5.3-10) kPa for the right and 8.9 (6-12.3) kPa for the left side. For >5 years, it was 7.4 (5.3-11.2) kPa for the right and 9.6 (6.2-12.7) kPa for the left side. The median (IQR) values of renal medulla in <1 year age group was 7.1 (5.1-12.5) kPa for right and 6.8 (4-10.6) kPa for the left side. For 1-5 years age group, it was 7.2 (4.9-9.7) kPa for the right and 6.9 (5.6-9.9) kPa for the left side. For >5 years, it was 6.8 (5.1-9.6) kPa for the right and 7 (5-10.2) kPa for the left side. The differences in the elasticity values amongst these groups were statistically insignificant (p>0.05). There was a significant correlation between SWE values of cortex and medulla of right kidney (ρ=0.64) and of left kidney (ρ=0.61), respectively.

CONCLUSION

SWE values of renal cortical and medullary stiffness in healthy children do not correlate with age. There is a significant correlation between SWE values of cortex and medulla of the kidneys in healthy children.

THE ROLE OF ELASTOGRAPHY IN CLINICALLY SIGNIFICANT PORTAL HYPERTENSION

• In compensated cirrhosis, using non-invasive methods would exempt the patient from the need of an endoscopy. • The Baveno VII presented the "rule of 5" for Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography; liver stiffness measurement ≤15 kPa and platelets >150.000/mm3 exclude clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), while when ≥25 kPa is highly suggestive of CSPH. • Spleen stiffness measurement has been proposed as a more specific technique to predict the presence of CSPH. • Elastography has gained prestige in the non-invasive evaluation of patients with advanced chronic liver disease by allowing prophylactic measures to be taken when suggesting the presence of CSPH. This is a narrative review that aims to discuss the importance of elastographic methods in the evaluation of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) in cirrhotic patients, where the authors propose an algorithm for evaluating these patients. In compensated advanced chronic liver disease, the goal is to prevent the development of CSPH and, in those already with CSPH, prevent the appearance of gastroesophageal varices (GEV) and other complications of portal hypertension. In compensated cirrhosis, the prevalence of GEV is 30-40%, of which 10-20% are at risk of bleeding. Therefore, using non-invasive methods would exempt the patient from the need of an endoscopy. Hepatic Elastography is a non-invasive, safe, reproducible method, available through many techniques: Vibration-Controlled Transient Elastography (VCTE), Shear Wave Elastography (SWE) and Magnetic Resonance Elastography (MRE). The Baveno VII presented the "rule of 5" for VCTE: liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≤15 kPa and platelets >150.000/mm3 exclude CSPH, while an LSM ≥25 kPa is highly suggestive of CSPH. Also, the "rule of 4" for SWE has been proposed: patients with ≥17 kPa could be considered as having CSPH. At last, spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) has been proposed as a more specific technique to predict the presence of CSPH. In conclusion, elastography has gained prestige in the non-invasive evaluation of patients with advanced chronic liver disease by allowing prophylactic measures to be taken when suggesting the presence of CSPH.

Shear-Wave Elastography-Based Radiomics Nomogram for the Prediction of Cardiovascular Disease in Patients with Diabetic Kidney Disease

Background

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) patients have a high risk of suffering from cardiovascular disease (CVD), placing a heavy cost on the public health system. In this study, we intended to develop and validate a shear-wave elastography (SWE)-based radiomics nomogram for predicting the development of CVD in DKD patients. This approach allows extensive use of the valuable information contained in ultrasound images, thus helping clinicians to identify CVD in DKD patients.

Methods

Totally 337 and 145 patients constituted the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The radiomics features of the segmented kidney in ultrasound images were extracted and selected to generate the rad-score of each patient. These rad-score, as well as the predictors of risk of CVD occurrence from the clinical characteristics, were included in the multivariate analysis to develop a nomogram. It was further assessed in the training and validation cohorts.

Results

Patients with CVD accounted for 30.9% (104/337) in the training cohort and 31.0% (45/145) in the validation cohort. The rad-score was calculated for each patient using 6 features extracted from the ultrasound images. The radiomics nomogram was built with the rad-score, age, systolic blood pressure (SBP), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C). It was superior to the clinical nomogram developed without the rad-score and demonstrated promising discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility in both training and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

We developed and validated an SWE-based radiomics nomogram to predict CVD risk in patients with DKD. The model was demonstrated to have a promising prediction performance, showing its potential to identify CVD in DKD patients and assist decision-making for appropriate early intervention.

Evaluation of Spleen Stiffness in Young Healthy Volunteers Using Magnetic Resonance Elastography

PURPOSE

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) has been established as the most accurate noninvasive technique for diagnosing liver fibrosis. Recent publications have suggested that the measurement of splenic stiffness is useful in setting where portal hypertension may be present. The goal of the current study was to compile normative data for MRE-assessed stiffness measurements of the spleen in young adults.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 100 healthy young Caucasian volunteers (65 females and 35 males) in the age range of 20 to 32 years were enrolled in this study. The participants reported no history of chronic spleen and liver disease, normal alcohol consumption, and a normal diet. The MRE data were acquired by using a 1.5 T whole-body scanner and a 2D GRE pulse sequence with 60 Hz excitation. Spleen stiffness was calculated as a weighted mean of stiffness values in the regions of interest manually drawn by the radiologist on three to five spleen slices.

RESULTS

Mean spleen stiffness was 5.09 ± 0.65 kPa for the whole group. Male volunteers had slightly higher splenic stiffness compared to females: 5.28 ± 0.78 vs. 4.98 ± 0.51 kPa, however, this difference was not statistically significant (p = 0.12). Spleen stiffness did not correlate with spleen fat content and liver stiffness but a statistically significant correlation with spleen volume was found.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study provide normative values for 2D MRE-based measurement of spleen stiffness in young adults, a basis for assessing the value of this biomarker in young patients with portal system pathologies.

Combined model with acoustic radiation force impulse to rule out high-risk varices in HBV-related cirrhosis with viral suppression

AIMS

To prospectively evaluate the performance of spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) via acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) imaging combined with platelet counts (PLT) in ruling out HRV in HBV-related cirrhotic patients with viral suppression.

METHODS

Patients with cirrhosis enrolled between June 2020-March 2022 were divided into a derivation cohort and validation cohort. LSM and SSM ARFI-based, and esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) were performed at enrollment.

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort, overall, 236 HBV-related cirrhotic patients with maintained viral suppression were enrolled, and the prevalence of HRV was 19.5% (46/236). With the aim of identifying HRV, the most accurate LSM and SSM cut-offs were chosen of 1.46 m/s and 2.28 m/s, respectively. The combined model (LSM<1.46 m/s and PLT>150 × 109/L strategy combined with SSM ≤ 2.28 m/s) can spare 38.6% of EGDs and 4.3% of HRV cases were misclassified. In the validation cohort, we analysed 323 HBV-related cirrhotic patients with maintained viral suppression and validated the combined model can spare 33.4% (108/323) of EGD, and the HRV missed rate was 3.4%.

CONCLUSIONS

A non-invasive prediction model combining LSM<1.46 m/s and PLT>150 × 109/L strategy with SSM ≤ 2.28 m/s exhibited excellent performance in ruling out HRV and avoided a significantly large number (38.6% vs 33.4%) of unnecessary EGDs in HBV-related cirrhotic patients with viral suppression.

Non-invasive model for predicting high-risk esophageal varices based on liver and spleen stiffness

BACKGROUND

Acute bleeding due to esophageal varices (EVs) is a life-threatening complication in patients with cirrhosis. The diagnosis of EVs is mainly through upper gastrointestinal endoscopy, but the discomfort, contraindications and complications of gastrointestinal endoscopic screening reduce patient compliance. According to the bleeding risk of EVs, the Baveno VI consensus divides varices into high bleeding risk EVs (HEVs) and low bleeding risk EVs (LEVs). We sought to identify a non-invasive prediction model based on spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) as an alternative to EVs screening.

AIM

To develop a safe, simple and non-invasive model to predict HEVs in patients with viral cirrhosis and identify patients who can be exempted from upper gastrointestinal endoscopy.

METHODS

Data from 200 patients with viral cirrhosis were included in this study, with 140 patients as the modelling group and 60 patients as the external validation group, and the EVs types of patients were determined by upper gastrointestinal endoscopy and the Baveno VI consensus. Those patients were divided into the HEVs group (66 patients) and the LEVs group (74 patients). The effect of each parameter on HEVs was analyzed by univariate and multivariate analyses, and a non-invasive prediction model was established. Finally, the discrimination ability, calibration ability and clinical efficacy of the new model were verified in the modelling group and the external validation group.

RESULTS

Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that SSM and LSM were associated with the occurrence of HEVs in patients with viral cirrhosis. On this basis, logistic regression analysis was used to construct a prediction model: Ln [P/(1-P)] = -8.184 -0.228 × SSM + 0.642 × LSM. The area under the curve of the new model was 0.965. When the cut-off value was 0.27, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the model for predicting HEVs were 100.00%, 82.43%, 83.52%, and 100%, respectively. Compared with the four prediction models of liver stiffness-spleen diameter to platelet ratio score, variceal risk index, aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio, and Baveno VI, the established model can better predict HEVs in patients with viral cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

Based on the SSM and LSM measured by transient elastography, we established a non-invasive prediction model for HEVs. The new model is reliable in predicting HEVs and can be used as an alternative to routine upper gastrointestinal endoscopy screening, which is helpful for clinical decision making.

The evaluation of portal hypertension in cirrhotic patients with spectral computed tomography

BACKGROUND

Iodine concentrations measured using dual-energy spectral CT (DESCT) have been recently proposed as providing good performance for examining tissues hemodynamics.

PURPOSE

To evaluate the diagnostic efficacy of DESCT-derived parameters in evaluating portal venous pressure in patients with liver cirrhosis.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A total of 71 patients with liver cirrhosis who underwent percutaneous transhepatic portal vein puncture procedures were included in this study. All participants underwent DESCT and gastrointestinal endoscopy within one month before the operation. The direct portal venous pressure of each participant was measured preoperatively.

RESULTS

Stepwise multivariate linear regression analysis showed that the iodine concentrations in the portal vein and hepatic parenchyma during the portal venous phase and the platelet count were independently correlated with the direct portal venous pressure (P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P = 0.030, respectively). Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed that the normalized iodine concentration of the hepatic parenchyma had the best performance for identifying clinically significant portal hypertension (≥10 mmHg), esophageal varices, and high-risk esophageal varices (the area under the curve values were 0.951, 0.932, and 0.960, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The normalized iodine concentration of the hepatic parenchyma is a reliable parameter to non-invasively assess portal venous pressure in patients with liver cirrhosis.

Spleen stiffness in patients with chronic liver disease evaluated by 2-D shear wave elastography with ultrasound multiparametric imaging

BACKGROUND

The novel 2-D shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) can measure two ultrasound parameters: shear wave dispersion (SWD) and shear wave speed (SWS). We investigated the ability of 2D-SWE in measuring spleen stiffness using ultrasound multiparametric imaging.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included patients with chronic liver disease who underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy and ultrasonographic examinations of the spleen between September 2018 and December 2021. In total, 157 patients were enrolled in this study: 81 and 67 patients were included in the pilot set for hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurements and validation cohort without HVPG measurements, respectively. To confirm reproducibility between the two examiners, an additional 30 patients were enrolled.

RESULTS

The Bland-Altman plots revealed no significant bias in the SWD as measured by two examiners. The splenic SWS (r = 0.752) and SWD (r = 0.444) were correlated with the HVPG. Regarding high-risk varices, as per the Youden index, the cut-off value for splenic SWS was 3.30 m/s, with a sensitivity of 85.7%, specificity of 92.5%, positive predictive value of 85.7%, and negative predictive value of 92.4% in the pilot set. In the validation set, good diagnostic performance by the splenic SWS was observed. However, SWD did not perform as well as SWS.

CONCLUSIONS

The splenic SWS, measured using ultrasound multiparametric imaging, was closely correlated with the HVPG. Thus, SWS is a useful predictive marker for high-risk varices.

Liver and spleen stiffness for the diagnosis of oesophageal varices in adults with chronic liver disease

This is a protocol for a Cochrane Review (diagnostic). The objectives are as follows:

To assess the diagnostic accuracy of liver stiffness and spleen stiffness, separately or in combination, as measured by vibration‐controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in detection of any oesophageal varices in adults with chronic liver disease. We will regard a combination of tests as positive when at least one is positive.

To compare the diagnostic accuracy of individual tests (liver stiffness and spleen stiffness measured by VCTE) directly and versus the combination of both tests (considering positive when at least one is positive) in detecting any oesophageal varices.

To assess the diagnostic accuracy of liver stiffness and spleen stiffness, separately or in combination, as measured by other elastography techniques (2D‐shear wave elastography (2D‐SWE), point shear wave elastography (pSWE), magnetic resonance elastography (MRE)) in detection of any oesophageal varices in adults with chronic liver disease. We will regard a combination of tests as positive when at least one is positive.

To compare the diagnostic accuracy of liver stiffness and spleen stiffness measured by VCTE with other techniques (pSWE, 2D‐SWE, MRE) in detection of any oesophageal varices in adults with chronic liver disease.

Spleen stiffness: a predictive factor of dismal prognosis in liver cirrhosis

Portal hypertension (PH) is a major complication of liver cirrhosis, as it predisposes to the development of serious clinical manifestations such as ascites, hepatic encephalopathy and variceal bleeding, aggravating the prognosis of patients. Hepatic vein pressure gradient (HVPG) is considered the reference method for the estimation of the presence and severity of PH, but this procedure is available only in specialized centers. Alternatively, many non-invasive methods have been proposed in order to substitute HVPG. Among them, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) has been widely used, as it has been shown to correlate well with HVPG, though this relationship seems to weaken in values of HVPG higher than 12 mmHg, the threshold of serious complications development. Several studies supported the use of spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) instead of LSM, anticipating to a more adequate assessment of this advanced stage of PH. The aim of this paper is to critically appraise and summarize the literature about the role of SSM as a predictive tool of liver decompensation and prognosis, highlighting the strengths and the potential limitations of the studies published so far. EXPERT'S OPINION: The utility of SSM in ruling out high risk for bleeding varices in cirrhotic patients has been demonstrated, driving the Baveno VII consensus to encompass SSM in its last recommendations, though its use in patients with non-viral cirrhosis remains to be validated. We believe that in the near future, SSM alone or combined with other tests, will being used not only for sparing upper endoscopies, but also for predicting decompensation and prognosis in advanced compensated cirrhotic patients, regardless of liver disease's etiology. Herein, we present the data that support this consideration, pointing out these issues that should further be investigated in order to elucidate and intensify the value of SSM in the management of patients with liver cirrhosis.

Assessment of variceal bleeding in cirrhotic patients: accuracy of multi-detector computed tomography

Background

Esophageal variceal hemorrhage (EVH) has been shown to be a leading cause of mortality in patients with portal hypertension. Our purpose was to assess the utility of multi-detector computed tomography (MDCT) features in the assessment of esophageal varices (EVs) and esophageal variceal hemorrhage (EVH). This prospective study included 85 cirrhotic patients who underwent MDCT and Upper Gastrointestinal Tract (UGIT) endoscopy within 2 weeks. Four radiologists evaluated the presence of EVs and the presence and size of different collaterals. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was calculated to investigate the significant predictors influencing EV and EVH.

Results

Findings of EV with MDCT were the best predictor of EV or EVH. The presence (and/or size) of following collaterals had significant association with both EV and EVH: paraesophageal (p < 0.001, < 0.001), short gastric (p = 0.024, 0.010), gastric varicosities (p < 0.001, < 0.001), coronary (p < 0.001, < 0.001), and main coronary vein (MCV) (p < 0.001, = 0.011). We proposed an imaging-based model (presence of coronary collaterals, main coronary vein size > 3.5 mm, presence of short gastric collaterals, presence of gastric varicosities, size > 1.5 mm) with 97% sensitivity, 91% specificity, and 94% accuracy to predict EVs. We suggested another model (presence of paraesophageal collaterals, presence of short gastric vein (SGC), SGC size > 2.5 mm, main coronary vein size > 3.5 mm, gastric varicosities size > 1.5 mm, size of EVs > 4 mm, and Child C score) to predict EVH with 98% sensitivity, 81% specificity, and 89.5% accuracy. Inter-observer agreement was high in the detection of EVs (W. Kappa = 0.71–0.88).

Conclusion

MDCT is an effective modality in the diagnosis of EVs. At MDCT, the presence and/or size of various collaterals including para-esophageal, short gastric, coronary collaterals, and gastric varicosities are accurate predictors for either EVs existence or EVH. We suggested two computed tomography imaging-based models with high reproducibility and acceptable accuracy for the prediction of EV and EVH. With cirrhotic patients, we recommend that radiologists report collaterals in their daily practice.

A strategy for varices screening based on acoustic radiation force impulse combined with platelet (CHESS2001): An alternative of Baveno VI criteria

Few studies have reported on acoustic radiation force impulse (ARFI) for varices screening. Our study aimed to identify a strategy based on liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) by ARFI combined with platelet count (PLT), named the ARP strategy, for ruling out high-risk varices (HRV) and avoiding unnecessary esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) in patients with compensated cirrhosis. We retrospectively reviewed patients who underwent ARFI from a previous cohort (NCT04307264). Of them, patients between 2017 and 2019 composed the training cohort to develop the ARP strategy. The validation cohort consisted of others between 2015 and 2016 to validate and compare it with Baveno VI criteria about the performance for varices screening. Primary outcomes were the rates of spared EGDs and HRV missed. A total of 741 consecutive patients were included in the final analysis. Of them, 576 patients were included in the training cohort and 165 patients in the validation cohort. In the training cohort, ARP strategy was defined as LSM < 1.805 m/s or SSM < 2.445 m/s and PLT > 110 × 109 /L. ARP strategy could spare 234 (40.6%) EGDs with a missed HRV rate of 3.4% (8 of 234). In the validation cohort, compared with Baveno VI criteria, the ARP strategy improved the proportion of avoided EGDs (49.7% vs. 34.5%; p < 0.001) and lowered the rate of misclassified HRV (1.2% vs. 3.5%; p < 0.001). Conclusion: The ARP strategy was an efficient and safe tool for varices screening in compensated cirrhosis, and it might be an auxiliary or even alternative to Baveno VI criteria.

Shear wave elastography of the spleen using elastography point quantification: stiffness values in healthy children

PURPOSE

To evaluate the shear wave elastography (SWE) values of the spleen in healthy children using Elastography Point Quantification (ElastPQ).

METHODS

In this IRB approved prospective study, spleen stiffness was measured in 146 healthy children (2-15 years) using ElastPQ. SWE values were recorded in upper pole, mid pole, and lower pole of the spleen in all the children.

RESULTS

The mean (± SD) SWE values of the spleen in children in ≤ 5 years age group, > 5-10 years age group, and > 10-15 years age group were 5.6 (± 4.2) kPa, 6.5 (± 3.2) kPa, and 5.9 (± 3.6) kPa, respectively. No statistically significant difference was seen in SWE values of the spleen between these three groups (p > 0.5). The mean (± SD) SWE values in ≤ 10 years and > 10 years age group were 6.1 (± 3.6) kPa and 5.9 (± 2.6) kPa, respectively. No statistically significant difference was seen in SWE values of the spleen between these two groups (p > 0.5). There was no significant difference in the SWE values for boys and girls. Statistically significant difference was seen between the mean SWE values in the two groups based on the median splenic length, which was 5.5 (± 3.8) kPa in the group with a length of ≤ 7.6 cm and 6.7 (± 2.8) kPa in the group with a length of > 7.6 cm.

CONCLUSION

SWE values of the spleen in healthy children do not correlate with age, and no significant difference is there in the SWE values for boys and girls. There was a statistically significant difference in the SWE values of the spleen while comparing the groups based on the median splenic length.

Prediction of high-risk esophageal varices in patients with chronic liver disease with point and 2D shear wave elastography: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To assess the diagnostic performance of liver stiffness (LS) and spleen stiffness (SS) measured by point shear wave elastography (pSWE) and 2D shear wave elastography (2D-SWE) in the detection of high-risk esophageal varices (HREV) and to compare their diagnostic accuracy.

METHODS

Through systematic search of PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases, we included 17 articles reporting the diagnostic performance of LS or SS measured by pSWE or 2D-SWE for HREV. We used a bivariate random-effects model to estimate pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), area under summary receiver operator characteristic curve (AUSROC), and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR).

RESULTS

For LS, there was no significant difference between the pooled sensitivity, 0.89 (95% confidence interval CI, 0.81-0.94) vs. 0.8 (95% CI, 0.72-0.86) (p = 0.13), and specificity, 0.81 (95% CI, 0.73-0.87) vs. 0.73 (95% CI, 0.65-0.79) (p = 0.07) of pSWE and 2D-SWE. The AUSROC and DOR of pSWE were higher than those of 2D-SWE: 0.92 (95% CI, 0.89-0.94) vs. 0.84 (95% CI, 0.80-0.87), p = 0.03, 33 (95% CI, 25-61) vs. 11 (95% CI, 5-22), (p < 0.01). For SS, there was no significant difference between the pooled sensitivity 0.91 (95% CI, 0.78-0.96) vs. 0.89 (95% CI, 0.80-0.94) (p = 0.43); specificity, 0.79 (95% CI, 0.72-0.84) vs. 0.72 (95% CI, 0.63-0.79) (p = 0.06); and DOR, 35 (95% CI, 13-100) vs. 20 (95% CI, 8-50) (p = 0.16) of pSWE and 2D-SWE.

CONCLUSION

LS and SS measured by pSWE and 2D-SWE have good accuracy in predicting HREV.

KEY POINTS

• There is modest difference between the diagnostic performance of LS and SS measured by pSWE and 2D-SWE. • LS and SS measured by pSWE and 2D-SWE both have high sensitivity, specificity, and AUSROC for the evaluation of HREV in patients with CLD. • pSWE and 2D-SWE are promising tools for noninvasive monitoring risk of esophageal varices bleeding of CLD patients.

A Primer to the Diagnostic and Clinical Utility of Spleen Stiffness Measurement in Patients With Chronic Liver Disease

Content available: Author Audio Recording.

Multimodal Ultrasound Model Based on the Left Gastric Vein in B-Viral Cirrhosis: Noninvasive Prediction of Esophageal Varices

OBJECTIVES:

To establish and verify a simple noninvasive model based on the left gastric vein (LGV) to predict the grade of esophageal varices (EV) and high-risk EV (HEV), to facilitate clinical follow-up and timely treatment.

METHODS:

We enrolled 320 patients with B-viral cirrhosis. All patients underwent endoscopy, laboratory tests, liver and spleen stiffness (SS), and ultrasonography. HEV were analyzed using the χ² test/t test and logistic regression in the univariate and multivariate analyses, respectively. EV grades were analyzed using the variance/rank-sum test and logistic regression. A prediction model was derived from the multivariate predictors.

RESULTS:

In the training set, multivariate analysis showed that the independent factors of different EV grades were SS, LGV diameter, and platelet count (PLT). We developed the LGV diameter-SS to PLT ratio index (LSPI) and LGV diameter/PLT models without SS. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the LSPI for diagnosis of small EV, medium EV, large EV, and HEV was 0.897, 0.899, 0.853, and 0.954, respectively, and that of the LGV/PLT was 0.882, 0.890, 0.837, and 0.942, respectively. For the diagnosis of HEV, the negative predictive value was 94.07% when LSPI < 19.8 and the positive predictive value was 91.49% when LSPI > 23.0. The negative predictive value was 95.92% when LGV/PLT < 5.15, and the positive predictive value was 86.27% when LGV/PLT > 7.40. The predicted values showed similar accuracy in the validation set.

DISCUSSION:

Under appropriate conditions, the LSPI was an accurate method to detect the grade of EV and HEV. Alternatively, the LGV/PLT may also be useful in diagnosing the varices when condition limited.

Elucidation of spleen elasticity and viscosity in a carbon tetrachloride rat model of liver cirrhosis using a new ultrasound elastography

PURPOSE

Measurement of spleen stiffness (SS) using ultrasound (US) elastography is useful for predicting portal hypertension. However, the mechanism leading to increased SS remains unclear. We jointly developed a new US elastography system (Aplio i-series, Canon Medical Systems) that can easily measure organ viscosity (dispersion slope: DS). We analyzed the cause of increased SS by calculating the shear wave speed (SWs, which reflects fibrosis) and DS of the spleen in carbon tetrachloride (CCL₄) rat liver cirrhosis models.

METHODS

A total of 13 Sprague-Dawley rats were randomly divided into four groups (C group: 3 rats as control, 2D group: 3 rats injected with CCL₄ twice in 1 week, 4D group: 4 rats injected 4 times in 1 week, 6W group: 3 rats injected twice a week for 6 weeks). The SWs and the DS of each group were calculated, and histopathological analysis was performed.

RESULTS

The spleen SWs of the 6W group was significantly higher than that of the C group (p = 0.044). The spleen DS did not change after CCL₄. The liver SWs of the 4D and 6W groups was significantly higher than that of the C group (p = 0.012 and 0.007, respectively) with fibrosis change on histopathology, and the DS of the 4D group was significantly higher than that of the C group (p = 0.033). Splenic fibrosis was confirmed in the 6W group, but inflammation and necrosis were not seen.

CONCLUSION

SS increased due to fibrosis and can be predicted based on SWs and DS values.

Serum Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer predicts esophagogastric varices in cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis C virus infection treated with IFN-free direct-acting antiviral agent: M2BPGi levels predict varices in SVR patients

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

We examined whether Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) levels could be a predictive marker for the presence of esophagogastric varices (EGV) in cirrhotic patients after hepatitis C virus (HCV) eradication with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 102 cirrhotic patients with HCV infection treated with DAAs were enrolled. Esophagogastroduodenoscopy was performed in 84 of the patients before treatment (Cohort A), in 66 after treatment (Cohort B), and in 48 at both time points (Cohort C). We examined factors associated with EGV before and after DAA treatment.

RESULTS

In Cohort A, M2BPGi levels and liver stiffness were significantly higher in the EGV-positive group than the EGV-negative group (p=0.034, and p=0.042, respectively). The proportion of EGV-positive patients with before-treatment levels of M2BPGi ≧ 7.3 C.O.I. was significantly higher than in patients with M2BPGi levels<7.3 C.O.I. (p=0.015). In Cohort B, M2BPGi levels were significantly higher in the EGV-positive group than EGV-negative group (p=0.003). The proportion of EGV-positive patients with after-treatment levels of M2BPGi ≧ 3.4 C.O.I. was significantly higher than in patients with M2BPGi levels<3.4C.O.I. (p=0.001). In Cohort C, M2BPGi levels decreased during DAA treatment regardless of EGV development, but there was no significant difference in the reduction of M2BPGi among the EGV-improvement, EGV-invariant, and EGV-exacerbation groups (p=0.659).

CONCLUSIONS

M2BPGi levels may be a novel serum marker for the presence of EGV before and after DAA treatment.

Non-invasive laboratory, imaging and elastography markers in predicting varices with high risk of bleeding in cirrhotic patients

Introduction. Upper digestive tract endoscopy remains the gold-standard for detecting esophageal or gastric varices and assessment of bleeding risk, but this method is invasive. The aim of the study was to identify non-invasive factors that could be incorporated into an algorithm for estimating the risk of variceal bleeding.Methods. A prospective study was performed on 130 cirrhotic patients. Tests were performed on all patients which included liver enzymes, complete blood count and coagulation parameters, abdominal ultrasound, elastography of both the liver and the spleen. Upper gastrointestinal endoscopy was performed in all patients included in the study and the results were classified, in accordance with Baveno VI into 2 outcome groups: Group 1 - patients with low bleeding risk and Group 2 - patients with varices needing treatment.Results. The study lot (130 patients) was divided into: Group I (low bleeding risk - 102 patients), and Group II (high bleeding risk - 28 patients). Parameters found to have significant differences in univariate analysis were transaminases, platelet count, spleen size, INR, portal vein diameter and both liver and spleen elastography. Calculating AUROC for each parameter identifies spleen elastography as having the best result, followed by INR, AST and platelet count. Liver elastography had the worst AUROC. Independent variables identified by logistic regression included spleen elastography, INR, platelet count, spleen diameter, ALT, age, and gender.Conclusions. Spleen stiffness is the best single parameter predicting the presence of high-risk esophageal varices.

Noninvasive Detection of Clinically Significant Portal Hypertension in Compensated Advanced Chronic Liver Disease

Patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease have different prognoses depending on the presence of portal hypertension. Current non-invasive diagnostic methods allow identification of clinically significant portal hypertension. Portosystemic collaterals on imaging or liver stiffness of more than 20 to 25 kPa by using transient elastography identifies patients with clinically significant portal hypertension. Patients with liver stiffness of less than 20 kPa and platelet count of greater than 150 g/L can avoid endoscopy. This rule could be expanded using spleen stiffness. Methods to risk stratify for portal hypertension in compensated advanced chronic liver disease and successfully treated chronic hepatitis C and B are subject of research.

Assessing Baveno VI Criteria Using Liver Stiffness Measured with a 2D-Shear Wave Elastography Technique

The present study evaluates the performance of Baveno VI criteria, using liver stiffness (LS) assessed with a 2D-SWE elastography technique, for predicting high-risk varices (HRV) in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). A secondary aim was to determine whether the use of spleen stiffness measurements (SSMs), as additional criteria, increases the performance of the 2D-SWE Baveno VI criteria. Data were collected from 208 subjects with cACLD, who underwent abdominal ultrasound, liver and spleen stiffness measurements, and upper digestive endoscopy. HRV were defined as grade 1 esophageal varices (EV) with red wale marks, grade 2/3 EV, and gastric varices. A total of 35.6% (74/208) of the included subjects had HRV. The optimal LS cut-off value for predicting HRV was 12 kPa (AUROC-0.80). Using both LS cut-off value < 12 kPa and a platelet cut-off value > 150 × 109 cells/L as criteria to exclude HRV, 52/208 (25%) subjects were selected, 88.5% (46/52) were without EV, 9.6% (5/52) had grade 1 EV, and 1.9% (1/52) had HRV. Thus 98% of the subjects were correctly classified as having or not having HRV and 25% of the surveillance endoscopies could have been avoided. Using SS < 13.2 kPa and a platelet cut-off value > 150 × 109 cells/L as additional criteria for the patients that were outside the initial ones, 32.7% of the surveillance endoscopies could have been avoided.

Approaches to the Diagnosis of Portal Hypertension: Non-Invasive or Invasive Tests?

Portal hypertension is the main driver of complications in patients with advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) and is defined by values of hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement (HVPG) >5 mmHg. Values of HVPG ≥10 mmHg determine the presence of clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH), the main predictor of the risk of variceal bleeding, hepatic decompensation, and mortality. However, its measurement is invasive and requires high expertise, so its routine use outside third level centers or clinical trials is limited. In the last decades, several non-invasive tests (NITs) have been developed and validated for the diagnosis of portal hypertension. Among these, liver (LSM) and spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) are the most promising tools available, as they have been proven accurate to predict CSPH, high-risk esophageal varices, decompensation, and mortality in patients with ACLD. In the last Baveno VI Consensus proceedings, LSM evaluation was recommended for the first time for diagnosis of CSPH (LSM >20-25 kPa) and the screening of patients with a low probability of having high-risk varices (LSM <20 kPa and platelet count >150.000/mm³). In this review, we aimed to summarize the growing evidence supporting the use of non-invasive tests for the evaluation of portal hypertension in patients with chronic liver disease.

Spleen Stiffness for Predicting Varices Needing Treatment: Comparison between Two Different Elastography Techniques (Point vs. 2D-SWE)

The study aimed to establish the benefits of using spleen stiffness values measured by two elastography techniques as noninvasive markers for predicting varices needing treatment and comparing their performances. A prospective study was performed, including 107 subjects with compensated liver cirrhosis, who underwent upper digestive endoscopy, as well as spleen stiffness measurements by means of two elastography techniques: pSWE (point shear wave elastography using Virtual Touch Quantification-Siemens Acuson S2000) and 2D-SWE (2D-shear wave elastography-LOGIQ E9, General Electric). Reliable spleen stiffness measurements were obtained in 96.2% (103/107) patients by means of 2D-SWE and in 94.4% (101/107) subjects with pSWE; therefore, 98 subjects were included in the final analysis, of which 40.8% (40/98) had varices needing treatment. The optimal spleen stiffness cut-off value by 2D-SWE for predicting varices needing treatment was 13.2 kPa (AUROC 0.84), while for pSWE, it was 2.91 m/s (AUROC 0.90). Based on AUROC comparison, no difference between the performance of the two techniques for predicting varices needing treatment was found (p=0.1606). In conclusion, spleen stiffness measured by either 2D-SWE or pSWE is a reliable surrogate marker, with good feasibility, applicability, and predictive accuracy for varices needing treatment, with no significant difference between techniques.

Development of a method for measuring spleen stiffness by transient elastography using a new device and ultrasound-fusion method

Background

Hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) is the gold standard index for evaluating portal hypertension; however, measuring HVPG is invasive. Although transient elastography (TE) is the most common procedure for evaluating organ stiffness, accurate measurement of spleen stiffness (SS) is difficult. We developed a device to demonstrate the diagnostic precision of TE and suggest this technique as a valuable new method to measure SS.

Methods

Of 292 consecutive patients enrolled in this single-centre, translational, cross-sectional study from June through September in 2019, 200 underwent SS measurement (SSM) using an M probe (training set, n = 130; inspection set, n = 70). We performed TE with B-mode imaging using an ultrasound-fusion method, printed new devices with a three-dimensional printer, and attached the magnetic position sensor to the convex and M probes. We evaluated the diagnostic precision of TE to evaluate the risk of esophagogastric varices (EGVs).

Results

The median spleen volume was 245 mL (range, 64–1,720 mL), and it took 2 minutes to acquire a B-mode image using the ultrasound-fusion method. The median success rates of TE were 83.3% and 57.6% in patients with and without the new device, respectively (p<0.001); it was 76.9% and 35.0% in patients with and without splenomegaly (<100 mL), respectively (p<0.001). In the prediction of EGVs, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve were 0.921 and 0.858 in patients with and without the new device, respectively (p = 0.043). When the new device was attached, the positive and negative likelihood ratios were 3.44 and 0.11, respectively. The cut-off value of SSM was 46.0 kPa. Data that were similar between the validation and training sets were obtained.

Conclusions

The SS can be precisely measured using this new device with TE and ultrasound-fusion method. Similarly, we can estimate the bleeding risk due to EGV using this method.

Spleen elastography in patients with Systemic sclerosis

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is an autoimmune inflammatory connective tissue disease. It is characterized by varying degrees of fibrosis of the skin and internal organs. Tissue fibrosis is the final phase of a complex biological process of immune activation and vascular damage. The spleen is one of the organs thought to be involved in a systemic fibrosing process. Yet, there is a lack of research that provides evidence about splenic involvement in patients with SSc through objective instrumental techniques. Ultrasound elastography is a modern method which detects changes in the stiffness and elasticity of different organs. To assess the elasticity and stiffness of the spleen in healthy subjects and patients with SSc, the study included 34 patients with SSc and 35 healthy volunteers. Point SWE spleen elastography was performed on all participants in the two study groups through an Esaote MyLab 9 eXP with a C1-8 iQ appleprobe transducer. The mean age in the SSc patient group was 47.35 ± 11.48 years vs. 46.20 ± 14.55 years in the healthy controls, with no significant age difference, p = 0.717. The mean Body Mass Index (BMI) in the SSc patient group was 22.42 ± 2.12 kg/m² vs. 24.23 ± 4.29 kg/m² in the healthy control group with no significant difference, p = 0.410. Among the SSc patients, 18(53%) were with dcSSc and 16 (47%) with lcSSc. The mean disease duration was 59 ± 28 months, ranging between 18 and 118 months. Spleen stiffness median was significantly higher in the SSc patient group (3.19 m/s) in comparison with the healthy controls (2.40 m/s), p < 0.001. Spleen size was normally distributed and did not differ significantly between the SSc patients (105.84 ± 7.87 mm) and the healthy controls (104.16 ± 8.99 mm), p = 0.410. A significantly higher mean of spleen stiffness was observed in the dcSSc patients (3.38 ± 0.20 m/s) in comparison with the lcSSc group (2.81 ± 0.38 m/s), p < 0.001. Spleen size did not show a significant association with the type of SSc. Spleen size in the dcSSc subgroup had a mean value of 103.45 ± 5.56 mm vs. 108.51 ± 9.30 in the lcSSc subgroup, p = 0.071. pSWE is an objective, reliable, and easy-to-implement method for detecting early fibrous changes in the spleen in patients with SSc. A good approach in patients with SSc could be the search for similar processes in other internal organs, such as the liver and thyroid gland.

Spleen Stiffness Probability Index (SSPI): A simple and accurate method to detect esophageal varices in patients with compensated liver cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Recent findings pointed out that even low-risk esophageal varices (EVs) are markers of severe prognosis. Accordingly, we analyzed spleen stiffness (SS) as a non-invasive method to predict EVs of any grade in a cohort of patients with compensated liver cirrhosis.

METHOD

We measured SS and liver stiffness (LS) using point-Shear-Wave Elastography (pSWE) with Philips Affiniti 70 system in 210 cirrhotic patients who had undergone endoscopic screening for EVs. We compared SS and LS predictive capability for EVs of any grade.

RESULTS

SS was higher in cirrhotic patients with EVs if compared to patients without EVs (p<0.001). The cut-off analysis detected 31kPa (100% sensitivity and negative predictive value) as the value to rule-out EVs and 69kPa (100% specificity and positive predictive value) to rule-in EVs. Besides, we developed the Spleen Stiffness Probability Index (SSPI), that can provide a probability of presence/absence of EVs. SSPI was the best model according to all discriminative and calibration metrics (AIC=120, BIC=127, AUROC=0.95, Pseudo-R2=0.74). SS demonstrated higher correlation with spleen bipolar diameter and spleen surface (r=0.52/0.55) if compared to LS (r=0.30/0.25) - and with platelet count as well (r=0.67 vs r=0.4).

CONCLUSION

SS showed significantly higher performance than other parameters, proving to be the best non-invasive test in the screening of EVs: by directly applying SS cut-off of 31kPa, our department could have safely avoided endoscopy in 36% of patients. Despite cut-off analyses, it was possible to create a probability model that could further stratify low-risk from high-risk patients (for any grade of EVs).

Spleen and Liver Stiffness for Predicting High-Risk Varices in Patients with Compensated Liver Cirrhosis

The study evaluates the utility of spleen (SS) and liver stiffness (LS) associated with spleen size (SSZ) as non-invasive markers for predicting high-risk varices (HRV). One hundred thirty-two patients with compensated liver cirrhosis who underwent abdominal ultrasound SS (SSM) and LS measurements (LSM) using a 2-D shear wave elastography (2-D-SWE) technique from General Electric and upper endoscopy were included. Similar rates of reliable SSM and LSM were obtained (95.4% and 97.7% respectively); therefore, 124 patients were included in the final analysis. The optimal cutoff values for SS, LS and SSZ for predicting HRV were 13.2 kPa (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] = 0.84), 12.1 kPa (AUROC = 0.86) and 12.9 cm (AUROC = 0.71), respectively. Including these factors in multiple regression analysis, we obtained the scores for predicting HRV: 0.053 × SS + 0.054 × LS + 0.059 × SSZ - 1.84. The score's optimal cutoff value for predicting HRV was >0.34 (AUROC = 0.93). By comparing the AUROC's, the score including SSZ, SSM and LSM performed better than each independent factor for predicting HRV (p = 0.0091; p = 0.0341; p < 0.0001).

The cut-off value of transient elastography to the value of hepatic venous pressure gradient in alcoholic cirrhosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS

The hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) reflects portal hypertension, but its measurement is invasive. Transient elastography (TE) is a noninvasive method for evaluating liver stiffness (LS). We investigated the correlation between the value of LS, LS to platelet ratio (LPR), LS-spleen diameter-to-platelet ratio score (LSPS) and HVPG according to the etiology of cirrhosis, especially focused on alcoholic cirrhosis.

METHODS

Between January 2008 and March 2017, 556 patients who underwent HVPG and TE were consecutively enrolled. We evaluated LS, LPR, and LSPS according to the etiology of cirrhosis and analyzed their correlations with HVPG.

RESULTS

The LS value was higher in patients with alcoholic cirrhosis than viral cirrhosis based on the HVPG (43.5 vs. 32.0 kPa, P<0.001). There were no significant differences in the LPR or LSPS between alcoholic and viral cirrhosis groups, and the areas under the curves for the LPR and LSPS in subgroups according to HVPG levels were not superior to that for LS. In alcoholic cirrhosis, the LS cutoff value for predicting an HVPG ≥10 mmHg was 32.2 kPa with positive predictive value (PPV) of 94.5% and 36.6 kPa for HVPG ≥12 mmHg with PPV of 91.0%.

CONCLUSION

The LS cutoff value should be determined separately for patients with alcoholic and viral cirrhosis. In alcoholic cirrhosis, the LS cutoff values were 32.2 and 36.6 kPa for predicting an HVPG ≥10 and ≥12 mmHg, respectively. However, there were no significant differences in the LPR or LSPS between alcoholic and viral cirrhosis groups.

Splenic stiffness and platelet count to predict varices needing treatment in pediatric extrahepatic portal vein obstruction

BACKGROUND

Surveillance endoscopy to detect varices needing treatment (VNT) is important to prevent bleeding and morbidity in portal hypertension. In adult and pediatric cirrhosis, platelet count and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) are useful in selecting patients for endoscopy. Such recommendations do not exist for extrahepatic portal vein obstruction (EHPVO). Splenic stiffness measurement (SSM) has been studied in adult and pediatric EHPVO with conflicting results and methodological errors. This study evaluates the role of platelet counts and SSM to predict VNT and bleeding in pediatric EHPVO while comparing LSM and SSM between pediatric EHPVO and controls.

METHODS

One hundred and seven children (55 with EHPVO and 52 controls) were recruited. Clinical, biochemical, hematological, and radiographic parameters of all children were noted. All children with EHPVO underwent endoscopy.

RESULTS

Of the 55 children with EHPVO, 48 (87.3%) had VNT. There was no difference in the platelet counts (85,000/mm³ vs. 120,000/mm³, p = 0.58) and SSM (3.62 vs. 3.19, p = 0.05) between EHPVO children with VNT and those without. They had poor sensitivity and specificity to predict VNT. EHPVO children with bleeding had higher SSM that those without. LSM was higher among EHPVO than among controls (1.19 vs. 1.10, p = 0.003). Those with LSM higher than controls had normal liver histology.

CONCLUSION

SSM is higher in EHPVO bleeders but SSM and platelet counts are unreliable to predict VNT in pediatric EHPVO. Surveillance endoscopies may be needed in all pediatric EHPVO until better screening strategies are available.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Not applicable.

Noninvasive scores for the prediction of esophageal varices and risk stratification in patients with cirrhosis

The primary purpose of variceal screening in patients with cirrhosis is to detect gastroesophageal varices at high risk of hemorrhage and implement preventative intervention(s). It was previously recommended that all patients with cirrhosis undergo initial and periodic longitudinal variceal screening via upper endoscopy. However, there has been growing interest and methods to identify patients with cirrhosis who may not have clinically significant portal hypertension and therefore be unlikely to have varices requiring intervention or benefit from upper endoscopy. Because the population of patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease continues to grow, it is neither beneficial nor cost-effective to perform endoscopic variceal screening in all patients. Therefore, there is ongoing research into the development of methods to non-invasively risk stratify patients with cirrhosis for the presence of high-risk esophageal varices and effectively limit the population that undergoes endoscopic variceal screening. This is particularly important and timely in light of increasing healthcare reform and barriers to healthcare. In this review, we discuss and compare, with respect to test characteristics and clinical applicability, the available methods used to non-invasively predict the presence of esophageal varices.

Non-invasive splenic parameters of portal hypertension: Assessment and utility

BACKGROUND

Portal hypertension is a major complication of cirrhosis that is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. The present gold-standard method to risk stratify and observe cirrhosis patients with portal hypertension is hepatic venous pressure gradient measurement or esophagogastroduodenoscopy. However, these methods are invasive, carry a risk of complications and are associated with significant patient discomfort. Therefore, non-invasive splenic parameters are of clinical interest as potential useful markers in determining the presence of portal hypertension. However, diagnostic accuracy and reproducibility remains unvalidated.

AIM

To assess the diagnostic accuracy of spleen stiffness, area and diameter in predicting the presence of portal hypertension.

METHODS

Of 50 patients with varying liver disease pathologies were prospectively recruited from the St. Mary’s Hospital Liver Unit in London; 25 with evidence of portal hypertension and 25 with no evidence of portal hypertension. Liver stiffness, spleen stiffness, spleen diameter and spleen area were measured using the Philips Affiniti 70 elastography point quantification point shear wave elastography system. The aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet-ratio-index (APRI) score was also calculated. Performance measures, univariate and multivariate logistic regression were used to evaluate demographic, clinical and elastography variables. Interclass correlation coefficient was used to determine the reproducibility of splenic area and diameter.

RESULTS

On univariate and individual performance, platelet count [area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) 0.846, P value < 0.001], spleen area (AUROC 0.828, P value = 0.002) and APRI score (AUROC 0.827, P value < 0.001) were the most accurate variables in identifying the presence of portal hypertension. On multivariate logistic regression models constructed, the combination of spleen area greater than 57.90 cm² and platelet count less than 126 × 10⁹ had 63.2% sensitivity and 100% specificity, 100% positive predictive value and 100% negative predictive value. An alternative combination of spleen stiffness greater than 29.99 kPa and platelet count less than 126 × 10⁹ had 88% sensitivity, 75% specificity, 78.6% positive predictive value and 85.7% negative predictive value. An interclass correlation coefficient value of 0.98 (95%CI: 0.94-0.99, P value < 0.001) and 0.96 (95%CI: 0.91-0.99, P value < 0.001) were determined for inter-operator variability for spleen area and diameter respectively.

CONCLUSION

Spleen area, spleen stiffness and platelet count may be useful markers to assess the presence of portal hypertension in patients of various etiologies.

Spleen Stiffness Predicts Survival after Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt in Cirrhotic Patients

Objectives

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is an effective intervention for portal hypertensive complications. Little is known about the ability of spleen stiffness (SS) for predicting the survival of cirrhotic patients undergoing TIPS. This study is to evaluate the influence of SS detected by point shear wave elastography (pSWE) in predicting survival after TIPS.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study screened consecutive patients who underwent TIPS and reliable pSWE measurement between October 2014 and September 2017 from our prospectively maintained database. SS values were measured before TIPS. The primary endpoint was the overall survival after TIPS. The Cox regression analysis model was used for univariate and multivariate analyses. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to calculate the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values.

Results

A total of 89 patients were involved in the final analysis. 24 patients (27.0%) died during a median follow-up time of 31 m. Multivariable Cox regression analysis confirmed that higher SS value (P < 0.001), LS value (P = 0.008), diameter of shunt (P = 0.001), and older age (P < 0.001) were independent prognostic factors of survival after TIPS. The risk of death rose 57.440-fold for each SS unit (m/s) increase. SS was also correlated with liver failure after TIPS. ROC analysis showed that the best SS cutoff value was 3.60 m/s for predicting survival, with a sensitivity of 54.2% and specificity of 90.8%.

Conclusions

The SS value determined by pSWE in cirrhotic patients was an independent predictive factor for survival after TIPS.

Diagnostic accuracy of spleen stiffness to evaluate portal hypertension and esophageal varices in chronic liver disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objectives

To systematically review studies on the diagnostic accuracy of spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) for the detection of clinical significant portal hypertension (CSPH), severe portal hypertension (SPH), esophageal varices (EV), and high-risk esophageal varices (HREV) in patients with chronic liver diseases (CLD).

Methods

Through a systematic search, we identified 32 studies reporting the accuracy of SSM for the diagnosis of portal hypertension (PH) and/or EV in adults with CLD. A bivariate random-effects model was performed to estimate pooled sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratio, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and diagnostic odds ratios (DOR). The clinical utility of SSM was evaluated by Fagan plot.

Results

A total of 32 studies assessing 3952 patients were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivities of SSM were 0.85 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.69–0.93) for CSPH; 0.84 (95% CI, 0.75–0.90) for SPH; 0.90 (95% CI, 0.83–0.94) for any EV; and 0.87 (95% CI, 0.77–0.93) for HREV. The pooled specificities of SSM were 0.86 (95% CI, 0.74–0.93) for CSPH; 0.84 (95% CI, 0.72–0.91) for SPH; 0.73 (95% CI, 0.66–0.79) for EV; and 0.66 (95% CI, 0.53–0.77) for HREV. Summary PPV and NPV of SSM for detecting HREV were 0.54 (95% CI, 0.47–0.62) and 0.88 (95% CI, 0.81–0.95), respectively.

Conclusions

Our meta-analysis suggests that SSM could be used as a helpful surveillance tool in management of CLD patients and was quite useful for ruling out the presence of HREV thereby avoiding unnecessary endoscopy.

Key Points

• SSM could be used to rule out the presence of HREV in patients with CLD thereby avoiding unnecessary endoscopy.

• SSM has significant diagnostic value for CSPH and SPH with high sensitivity and specificity in patients with CLD.

• SSM could be used as a helpful surveillance tool for clinicians managing CLD patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00330-020-07223-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Evaluation of spleen stiffness in healthy volunteers using point shear wave elastography

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

This study aims to measure the values of spleen stiffness (SS) in healthy subjects, the inter-operator agreement in SS measurement, and to detect statistically significant correlations between SS and age, sex, weight, BMI, portal vein dynamics and splenic dimensions.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study included 100 healthy volunteers who had no substantial alcohol intake (<30g/daily for man, <20g/daily women), were negative on hepatitis B, hepatitis C, HIV blood serology, and had any history of lymphoproliferative disorders. Abdominal ultrasound, liver and spleen elastography were performed on each patient to search for focal splenic lesions, bile tract or portal vein dilatation, moderate/severe liver steatosis, and to measure liver and spleen stiffness.

RESULTS

The mean value was 18.14 (±3.08) kPa. In the group of men (n=49), the mean was 17.73 (±2.91) kPa, whereas in the group of women (n=51) it was 16.72 (±3.32) kPa. Statistical analyses showed no correlation between spleen stiffness and sex, age, weight, and BMI. Regarding their splenoportal axis, statistically significant differences in SS were found in the means of the two subgroups of subjects stratified by their portal flow velocity (p=0.003) and spleen area (p<0.001). Spearman's rank showed a weak association between SS and portal flow velocty (r=0.271) and splenic area (r=-0.237). ICC showed excellent (0.96) inter-operator agreement and Bland-Altman plot demonstrated no systematic over/under-estimation of spleen stiffness values.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results may serve as a reference point in the evaluation of SS especially in patients affected by advanced liver disease.

Screening for esophageal varices in cirrhotic patients - Non-invasive methods

Variceal bleeding is a dramatic complication of cirrhosis. Primary prophylaxis against variceal bleeding is indicated for patients with high-risk varices. In order for these patients to be identified, endoscopic screening for esophageal varices has been traditionally recommended at the time of the diagnosis of cirrhosis. Considering that many patients do not have esophageal varices in the early stages of cirrhosis and, therefore, are submitted to endoscopy unnecessarily, non-invasive methods for variceal screening have been studied. Among these non-invasive methods, the most extensively studied probably are platelet count/spleen diameter ratio, liver stiffness, spleen stiffness and an association between liver stiffness and platelet count, referred to as the Baveno VI criteria. The Baveno VI criteria has recently been recommended by different medical associations for variceal screening. This is a critical review on the non-invasive methods for variceal screening, in which the performances of the different methods are presented and the limitations of the existing evidence is discussed. Despite reasonable performances of some of these methods, especially platelet count/spleen diameter ratio and the association between liver stiffness and platelet count, we understand that the available evidence still has relevant limitations and that physicians should decide on screening cirrhotic patients for esophageal varices with endoscopy or non-invasive methods on a case-by-case basis.

Esophageal variceal hemorrhage: the role of MDCT characteristics in predicting the presence of varices and bleeding risk

PURPOSE

To investigate the associated Multi-Detector Computed Tomography (MDCT) features for esophageal varices (EVs) and esophageal variceal hemorrhage (EVH), with particular emphasis on different collateral veins.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

All cirrhotic patients who had undergone both Upper Gastrointestinal Tract (UGIT) endoscopy and contrast-enhanced MDCT within 6 months from 2013 to 2019 were included in the study. MDCT of 124 patients, 76 males and 48 females, aged between 21 and 73 years old were evaluated for presence of EV and presence and size of different collaterals. The presence and size of collaterals in patients with high-risk EVs or EVH were compared with others.

RESULTS

Findings of EV in MDCT analysis were the best predictor of EV or EVH, and presence (and/or size) of following collaterals showed a significant relationship with both EV and EVH: coronary (p = 0.006, 0.002), short gastric (SGC) (p = 0.02, < 0.001), and paraesophageal (p = 0.04, 0.01). Those presenting each aforementioned collaterals or with higher collateral size were more likely to develop the EV or EVH. Yet, other collaterals indicated no similar association: para-umbilical, omental, perisplenic, and splenorenal. Main coronary vein (p = 0.02, 0.03) and fundus (p = 0.006, 0.001) varices' sizes were also significantly higher in patients with EV or EVH. Finally, we suggested an imaging-based model (presence of SGC, SGC size > 2.5 mm, presence of EV, and coronary vein size > 3.5 mm) with 75.86% sensitivity, 76.92% specificity, and 76.36% accuracy to predict the presence of EVs according to UGIT endoscopy. Furthermore, we presented another model (presence of SGC, SGC size > 2.5 mm, presence of EV, and MELD score > 11.5 mm) to predict the occurrence of EVH with 75.86% sensitivity, 76.92% specificity, and 76.36% accuracy.

CONCLUSION

We suggested imaging characteristics for predicting EV and EVH with especial emphasis on the presence and size of various collaterals; then, we recommended reliable imaging criteria with high specificity and accuracy for predicting the EV and EVH.

Evaluation and Management of Esophageal and Gastric Varices in Patients with Cirrhosis

Variceal bleeding is a complication of cirrhosis that defines decompensation. Important advances in the management of gastroesophageal varices have led to a significant decrease in the morbidity and mortality. Achieving these results in clinical practice is contingent on clinicians applying the best practice strategies and appropriate referral to a tertiary center. Several quality metrics were developed by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases. This article aims to update outpatient and inpatient strategies to include the latest recommendations on variceal screening and surveillance, primary and secondary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding, and therapy for patients with acute variceal bleeding.

Assessing Baveno VI criteria with liver stiffness measured using a new point-shear wave elastography technique (BAVElastPQ study)

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

To date, no study has explored the potential role of ElastPQ, a novel point-SWE technique, in the assessment of clinically significant portal hypertension. The aim of our study was to determine a liver stiffness (LS) cut-off value measured by ElastPQ and laboratory parameters that could help to identify those patients who can safely avoid screening endoscopy.

METHODS

Data were collected on 1422 patients who underwent ElastPQ measurement from January 2013 to January 2016 in our Department. Inclusion criteria were a LS value of ≥7 kPa, an upper gastrointestinal endoscopy within 12 months and a diagnosis of compensated chronic liver disease. Exclusion criteria were history of decompensated liver disease, evidence of porto-spleno-mesenteric vein thrombosis and non-cirrhotic portal hypertension. Varices were graded as low-risk varices (grade <2) or varices needing treatment (VNT, grade ≥2).

RESULTS

The study included 195 patients (120 [61%] HCV, 171 [88%] Child-Pugh A). Varices were present in 35% cases, with 10% prevalence of VNT. According to ROC curve analysis, LS measurement and platelet count were evaluated as predictors of VNT. Overall, 75/195 (38%) met the 'BAVElastPQ' criteria (that is, LS < 12 kPa and platelet count >150 000/μL). Within this group, 11/75 (15%) had any grade of varices and only 1/75 (1%) had VNT. The BAVElastPQ criteria gave sensitivity of 0.95, specificity of 0.42, positive predictive value of 0.15 and negative predictive value of 0.99.

CONCLUSIONS

The BAVElastPQ criteria correctly identified 99% of patients without VNT. By applying such criteria, we could have potentially avoided 38% of surveillance endoscopies in our cohort.

The role of spleen stiffness using ARFI in predicting esophageal varices in patients with Hepatitis B and C virus-related cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Current guidelines recommend that all patients with cirrhosis undergo upper gastrointestinal endoscopy (UGE) screening for esophageal varices (EV). Unfortunately, UGE has a lot of disadvantages, consequently various non-invasive methods of diagnosing EV have been proposed. We evaluated if spleen stiffness (SS) measured by Acoustic Radiation Force Impulse (ARFI) is a viable technique in diagnosing EV.

METHODS

We recruited 178 patients with cirrhosis caused by Hepatitis B and C who underwent biochemical tests, abdominal ultrasound, UGE, LS and SS measurements using ARFI elastography. Based on the endoscopic results the patients were divided in 3 groups: without EV, with small EV (<5 mm) and with large EV (>5 mm).

RESULTS

ARFI SS was the only non-invasive parameter associated with the presence of EV (2.7±0.30 vs. 3.4±0.52, p<0.001) and large EV (2.91±0.36 vs. 3.86±0.37, p=0.001) after multivariate logistic regression (p<0.001). ARFI SS for predicting EV showed an AUROC of 0.872 (CI 95%: 0.799-0.944), for a cut-off value of 2.89 m/s: Sensitivity (Se) 91.4% (CI 95%: 81-97%), Specificity (Sp) 67.7% (CI 95%: 51-85%). ARFI SS for diagnosing large EV (>5mm) had better results with an AUROC 0.969 (CI 95%:0.935-0.99), and for a cut-off of 3.30 m/s: Se 96.4% (CI 95%: 82-99.9%), Sp 88.5% (CI 95%: 78-95%).

CONCLUSIONS

SS measured using ARFI is a good method of detecting EV and is an excellent method of diagnosing large EV in patients with virus-related cirrhosis.

Alanine aminotransferase and spleno-portal dynamics affect spleen stiffness measured by point shear-wave elastography in patients with chronic hepatitis C in the absence of significant liver fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Spleen stiffness (SS) has gained a lot of interest in the context of liver cirrhosis and portal hypertension stratification. However, there is a paucity of data on confounding factors that may alter SS values.

METHODS

Between January 2018 and October 2019, we enrolled 120 healthy subjects and 117 patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who did not have significant liver fibrosis (i.e., F0-1). Abdominal ultrasound evaluation was performed on each individual to measure portal vein diameter, portal flow velocity, spleen bipolar diameter, and splenic area. We also performed liver and spleen elastography.

RESULTS

HCV patients had higher SS (p < 0.001), portal vein diameter (p = 0.031), portal flow velocity (p = 0.035), spleen bipolar diameter (p = 0.042) and area (p = 0.025), and ALT levels (p < 0.001). Linear regression models showed that SS increased by 3.220 kPa for each mm of portal vein diameter, by 0.7 kPa for each cm/s of portal flow velocity, by 2.239 kPa for each cm of spleen bipolar diameter, and by 0.233 kPa for each cm² of spleen area. Patients with HCV infection were stratified according to median ALT levels (i.e. 32 IU/L). SS and spleno-portal axis parameters were significantly higher in patients with an ALT level > 32 IU/L. Besides, the relationship between SS and ALT was described by cubic polynomial regression according to the following equation: 11.735 + 0.404 (ALT)¹ - 0.002 (ALT)² + 4.26 × 10^-6 (ALT)³.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results bring new light to the role of inflammation as a confounding factor for SS measurement. Therefore, particular attention should be paid to serum transaminase for a correct evaluation of spleen elastography.

Use of the Serum Wisteria floribunda Agglutinin-Positive Mac2 Binding Protein as a Marker of Gastroesophageal Varices and Liver-Related Events in Chronic Hepatitis C Patients

BACKGROUND

A test to narrow down patients who require esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) with a high probability of having gastroesophageal varices (GEV) and a high-risk of liver-related events is an unmet need.

METHODS

The measurement of serum fibrosis markers and EGD was performed in 166 consecutive chronic hepatitis C patients. The correlation between the grades of GEV and fibrosis markers and the subsequent occurrence of liver-related and fibrosis markers were examined.

RESULTS

Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive human Mac-2 binding protein (WFA⁺-M2BP) levels increased according to the grade of GEV (3.4 (0.2-18.6) for no GEV, 7.9 (1.8-20.0) for small GEV, and 11.4 (4.0-20.0) for large GEV; p < 0.001). The diagnostic accuracy of the WFA⁺-M2BP was superior compared to other serum fibrosis markers, and WFA⁺-M2BP was an independent predictor of GEV in the multivariate analysis. Furthermore, the cumulative incidence of liver-related events at one year was 2.3% in patients with WFA⁺-M2BP levels ≤ 7.0 and 37.5% in patients with WFA⁺-M2BP levels > 7.0 (p < 0.001). WFA⁺-M2BP > 7.0 was a significant predictive factor for liver-related events (Hazard ratio 6.7, p = 0.004) independent of Child-Pughclass.

CONCLUSIONS

WFA⁺-M2BP could be used to estimate the presence and grade of GEV and is linked to liver-related events in chronic hepatitis C patients.

Point Shear Wave Elastography of the Spleen in Predicting the Presence of Esophageal Varices in Cirrhosis: Liver Stiffness vs. Spleen Stiffness

Objective:

To determine the diagnostic ability of the spleen and liver stiffness in predicting the presence of esophageal varices (EVs).

Methods:

A sample of cirrhotic patients, diagnosed with sonography, was recruited. The cohorts’ liver stiffness (LS) and spleen stiffness (SS) were measured with the Philips’ Elast PQ technique. Platelet count and spleen size were also documented. The endoscopic report was used as the diagnostic gold standard. Singular and combined parameters were assessed to determine the presence of EV using an independent variable t test, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, and multilogistic regression analysis statistical tests.

Results:

In predicting the presence of EV, there was a statistically significant difference in means of SS (2.13 ± 0.69 m/s vs. 3.23 ± 1.32 m/s) and LS (2.33 ± 1.20 m/s vs. 3.05 ± 1.4 m/s), as well as discriminating between groups of patients, with and without EV. The ability to diagnostically classify EV with SS and LS was fair while the remaining parameters were deemed poor, using a SS cutoff value of 1.99 m/s.

Conclusion:

Despite the difference in means, none of the assessed parameters demonstrated a better classification ability than endoscopy. LS and SS were equal in the prediction of EV in these patients. The LS estimate of fibrosis would have grossly predicted the presence of varices. However, the addition of SS, for the estimation of varices, provided no significant benefit.