Genetic Ancestry, Race, and Severity of Acutely Decompensated Cirrhosis in Latin America

Deciphering the Language of Intestinal Microbiota Associated with Sepsis, Organ Failure, and Mortality in Patients with Alcohol-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF): A Pioneer Study in Latin America

ACLF is a severe stage of liver cirrhosis, characterized by multiple organ failure, systemic inflammation, and high short-term mortality. The intestinal microbiota (IM) influences its pathophysiology; however, there are currently no studies in Latin American populations. Therefore, we analyzed IM and its relationships with sepsis, organ failure, and mortality. In parallel, we quantified serum lipopolysaccharides as a marker of bacterial translocation. Fecal samples from 33 patients and 20 healthy controls (HCs) were obtained. The IMs were characterized by 16S-rRNA amplicon sequencing, the metagenomic functional predictive profiles were analyzed by PICRUSt2, and LPS quantification was performed by ELISA. Patients with ACLF showed significant alterations in alpha and beta diversity compared to the HCs. A strong dominance index accurately predicted 28-day and 90-day mortalities. The IMs showed a polarization toward Proteobacteria associated with increased LPS. The LPS correlated with clinical severity, organ dysfunction, and higher pathogenic taxa. The Klebsiella/Faecalibacterium ratio showed good performance in identifying sepsis (AUROC = 0.83). Furthermore, Morganella, Proteus, and Klebsiella were enriched in patients with multiorgan failure. Lactobacillus, Escherichia/Shigella, Veillonella, and Ruminococcus gnavus exhibited potential in predicting 28- and 90-day mortalities. The IM alterations in ACLF may be useful as clinical biomarkers of poor prognosis, primarily for mortality and sepsis. These findings are representative of western Mexico.

Blood markers for type-1, -2, and -3 inflammation are associated with severity of acutely decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

In patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis (ADC) who present with clinically apparent precipitants (i.e., infections, acute liver injury), alterations in blood markers of inflammation associate with progression toward severe phenotypes (e.g., acute-on-chronic liver failure [ACLF]). However, it is unclear whether alterations in blood inflammatory markers associate with progression of ADC independently of precipitants.

METHODS

We prospectively enrolled 394 patients admitted for ADC who were classified into four phenotypes of increasing severity: no organ dysfunction (n = 168), organ dysfunction alone (n = 72), organ failure without ACLF (n = 91), and ACLF (n = 63). Clinical blood cell counts and serum levels of inflammatory markers (including soluble markers related to type-1, type-2, and type-3 inflammation) were obtained at enrollment. Ordinal regression with adjacent categories logit model adjusted for confounders (including precipitants) was used to analyze associations between changes in each blood inflammatory marker and the worsening of ADC.

RESULTS

Inflammatory markers that were associated with a higher risk of progressing to the next more severe stage were as follows: increasing neutrophil counts (adjusted common odds ratio [cOR] 1.17, 95% CI 1.06-1.28); increasing levels of the type-2 cytokine interleukin (IL)-25 (cOR 1.21, 95% CI 1.06-1.39), type-3 cytokines IL-6 (cOR 1.15, 95% CI 1.02-1.28) and IL-22 (cOR 1.16, 95% CI 1.03-1.30), or anti-inflammatory soluble CD163 (cOR 1.94, 95% CI 1.58-2.38); decreasing lymphocyte counts (cOR 0.77, 95% CI 0.68-0.87); or decreasing levels of the type-1 cytokine IFN-γ (cOR 0.85, 95% CI 0.75-0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

Among patients with ADC, alterations in blood levels of cytokines related to type-1, type-2 and type-3 inflammation, together with neutrophilia, lymphopenia and elevated anti-inflammatory signals were individually associated with an increased risk of progressing toward ACLF, independently of the presence of clinically apparent precipitants.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

This study reveals that among patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis, alterations in blood levels of cytokines related to type-1, type-2 and type-3 inflammation, together with neutrophilia, lymphopenia and elevated anti-inflammatory signals were individually associated with increased risk of progressing toward acute-on-chronic liver failure, independently of the presence of clinically apparent precipitants. These findings raise questions about the role of impaired barrier tissues and dysregulated production of blood immune cells in the pathophysiology of severe phenotypes of acutely decompensated cirrhosis, stimulating research to identify potential new biomarkers and targets for novel therapeutic approaches.

Evaluation of the incidence and risk factors for the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure in outpatients with cirrhosis

OBJECTIVE

Acute decompensation of cirrhosis is associated with high mortality, and acute-on-chronic liver failure is at the extreme of its spectrum of severity. This study aimed to evaluate the incidence and risk factors for the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure in outpatients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

This is a retrospective cohort study of consecutive patients with cirrhosis attending an outpatient clinic at a referral hospital in southern Brazil. Clinical, laboratory, and imaging data at the first outpatient visit were collected. The primary outcome of interest was the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure.

RESULTS

Three hundred patients with cirrhosis were included in the study. During a median follow-up of 56.5 months, 41 developed acute-on-chronic liver failure. The incidence of acute-on-chronic liver failure was 3.9% at 12 months, 7.0% at 24 months, 8.8% at 36 months, and 12.7% at 60 months. The cumulative incidence of acute-on-chronic liver failure was 23.0% at 84 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that baseline hemoglobin (hazard ratio of 0.78, 95% confidence interval: 0.67-0.90) and Child-Pugh score (hazard ratio of 1.70, 95% confidence interval: 1.44-2.00) were independently associated with the development of acute-on-chronic liver failure.

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly one-fourth of outpatients with cirrhosis developed acute-on-chronic liver failure during follow-up, which was independently associated with low hemoglobin levels and poor liver function according to the Child-Pugh score at baseline.

Definition, diagnosis and epidemiology of acute-on-chronic liver failure

This narrative review addresses the definition of acute-on-chronic liver failure, a condition associated with high short-term mortality in patients with chronic liver disease and/or cirrhosis. We provide two major points of view: the East and the West perspective. Both definitions vary regarding the underlying patient population and organ failure(s) definition. Nevertheless, all the definitions have their clinical utility: from the core concept of having the "liver" as a conditio sine qua non, the syndrome cannot exist (Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver); a data-driven, robust definition (European Association for the Study of the Liver); a bedside tool that can quickly identify patients at high risk of dying (North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease [NACSELD]). In each section, we provide the overall definitions, the criteria of organ failure(s), and some epidemiological data illustrating how these apply in each area of the world.

Acute kidney injury stage 1a increases mortality of patients with cirrhosis: a prospective multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Acute kidney injury is a severe complication of cirrhosis. However, the impact of mild decreases in renal function is controversial. This study aims to evaluate the prognosis of the different stages of acute kidney injury in cirrhosis.

METHODS

This is a multicenter prospective cohort study of patients hospitalized for acute decompensation of cirrhosis, with serum creatinine values measured at least twice. Primary outcome was mortality (in-hospital, 30 days, 90 days and 12 months).

RESULTS

Nine hundred twenty-eight patients were included in the study. Acute kidney injury was diagnosed in 505 patients (stages 1a-21.6%, 1b-27.5%, 2-28.1%, 3-22.8%). Mortality rates of patients with acute kidney injury stage 1a were significantly higher than those of individuals without acute kidney injury (in-hospital-19.3% vs 4.7%; 30-day-21.8% vs 6.7%; 90-day-35.2% vs 17.5%; 12-month-54.1% vs 37.1%; p < 0.05 for all comparisons). Mortality rates were even higher for acute kidney injury stages 1b, 2 and 3. Survival analysis demonstrated that patients without acute kidney injury performed significantly better than those with any stage of acute kidney injury (p < 0.01). Acute kidney injury stages 1a, 1b, 2 and 3 were independently associated with survival in the multivariate analysis (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients hospitalized for acute decompensation of cirrhosis who develop acute kidney injury have significantly higher mortality rates than those who do not develop this complication. This is true even for the mildest stages of acute kidney injury (stage 1a) and remains so at different time-points, supporting recommendations for earlier treatments.

Gene score to quantify systemic inflammation in patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Quantifying systemic inflammation (SI) in acutely decompensated cirrhosis (ADC) is of major importance because SI is a driver of the most severe forms of ADC, including acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Blood biomarkers of SI already evaluated in ADC failed to appropriately assess SI in ADC. We aimed to investigate whether gene expression related to circulating immune cells could quantify SI in ADC.

METHODS

Standard biomarkers (white cell count, C reactive protein, cytokines) and genome-wide RNA expression (RNA-sequencing) were obtained in blood from 700 patients with ADC at the time of their hospital admission. A composite score based on standard biomarkers of SI (Chronic Liver Failure-Standard Biomarkers Composite (CLIF-SBC) score) and a gene score (CLIF-Systemic Inflammation Gene (SIG) score) composed of the 28 top differentially expressed immune cell-related genes in the comparison between high-severity and low-severity clinical phenotypes were computed. Among the 700 patients, the CLIF-SIG score was repeated once during follow-up in 375 patients, and 3 times or more in 46 patients.

RESULTS

The CLIF-SIG score was more accurate in reflecting clinical severity induced by SI than the CLIF-SBC score (area under the curve 0.803 vs 0.658). A CLIF-SIG score of 0.386 (Youden Index) was the best cut-off level discriminating patients with poor outcomes from the others, in all clinical scenarios. Sequential measurement of the CLIF-SIG score showed that 78% of patients were admitted at the peak or descending part of the SI-wave. ACLF developed during hospitalisation in 80% of patients with a CLIF-SIG score >0.386 on admission.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with ADC, the CLIF-SIG score is an accurate estimator of SI, clinical course severity and prognosis.

Definitions, Etiologies, and Outcomes of Acute on Chronic Liver Failure: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a major public health concern. We aimed to assess the definitions, etiologic spectrum, organ failure (OF), and outcomes of ACLF globally.

METHODS

Three databases were searched for studies on ACLF from 1990 until September 2022. Information regarding definitions, acute precipitants, underlying chronic liver disease (CLD), OF, and mortality were extracted. Meta-analyses were performed for pooled prevalence rates (95% confidence interval [CI]) using random-effects model for each definition of ACLF.

RESULTS

Of the 11,451 studies identified, 114 articles (142 cohorts encompassing 210,239 patients) met the eligibility criteria. Most studies (53.2%) used the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) definition, followed by Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) (33.3%). Systemic infection was the major acute precipitant, and alcohol use was the major cause of CLD in EASL-defined studies, whereas alcohol was both the major acute precipitant and cause of CLD in APASL-defined studies. Liver failure was the major OF in APASL-based studies, whereas renal failure was predominant in EASL-based studies. Thirty-day mortality varied across definitions: APASL: 38.9%, 95% CI, 31.2%-46.9%; EASL: 47.9%, 95% CI, 42.2%-53.5%; and NACSELD: 52.2%, 95% CI, 51.9%-52.5%. Diagnostic overlap between definitions ranged from 7.7% to 80.2%. Meta-regression suggested that the World Health Organization region influenced 30-day mortality in studies using EASL definition.

CONCLUSIONS

Heterogeneity in the definition of ACLF proposed by different expert societies and regional preferences in its use result in differences in clinical phenotype and outcomes. A uniform definition would enhance the comparability and interpretation of global data.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure - steps towards harmonization of the definition!

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), usually precipitated by alcohol misuse or viral reactivation, is characterised by rapid onset and usually reversible liver failure. Various definitions of ACLF have been proposed and widely used across the globe, including those by APASL, COSSH, EASL-CLIF, Japanese experts, and NACSELD. Although all the definitions have several similarities and connote high short-term mortality, a clear and standardised definition is still lacking, hampering research in this key area. In this review, we discuss the similarities and differences among various definitions and propose steps to harmonise EASL-CLIF, APASL, NACSELD, Japanese, and Chinese definitions of ACLF.

A robust clustering strategy for stratification unveils unique patient subgroups in acutely decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Patient heterogeneity poses significant challenges for managing individuals and designing clinical trials, especially in complex diseases. Existing classifications rely on outcome-predicting scores, potentially overlooking crucial elements contributing to heterogeneity without necessarily impacting prognosis.

METHODS

To address patient heterogeneity, we developed ClustALL, a computational pipeline that simultaneously faces diverse clinical data challenges like mixed types, missing values, and collinearity. ClustALL enables the unsupervised identification of patient stratifications while filtering for stratifications that are robust against minor variations in the population (population-based) and against limited adjustments in the algorithm's parameters (parameter-based).

RESULTS

Applied to a European cohort of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis (n = 766), ClustALL identified five robust stratifications, using only data at hospital admission. All stratifications included markers of impaired liver function and number of organ dysfunction or failure, and most included precipitating events. When focusing on one of these stratifications, patients were categorized into three clusters characterized by typical clinical features; notably, the 3-cluster stratification showed a prognostic value. Re-assessment of patient stratification during follow-up delineated patients' outcomes, with further improvement of the prognostic value of the stratification. We validated these findings in an independent prospective multicentre cohort of patients from Latin America (n = 580).

CONCLUSIONS

By applying ClustALL to patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis, we identified three patient clusters. Following these clusters over time offers insights that could guide future clinical trial design. ClustALL is a novel and robust stratification method capable of addressing the multiple challenges of patient stratification in most complex diseases.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective review of cases at a transplantation center in Brazil

PURPOSE

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a leading cause of death in cirrhotic patients. This study aims to describe the outcomes of in-patients with ACLF at a liver transplantation (LT) center in Brazil.

METHODS

Retrospective study analyzing patient data from 2017 to 2022. Re-transplant cases and patients without previous chronic liver disease were excluded. The ACLF diagnosis was based on the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure criteria and assessments repeated on days 3 and 7 after the initial diagnosis.

RESULTS

Among 381 patients, 10.49% (n = 40) were diagnosed with ACLF. Bacterial infection was the most common precipitating factor (45%). Kidney failure occurred in 65% of the cases. The 28-day mortality rate was 35% and varied according to ACLF severity at diagnosis, from single organ failure (ACLF-1) at 22% to three organ failures (ACLF-3) at 60%. Eighteen patients (45%) were transplanted with a 100% 28-day survival rate. For ACLF-3 cases at diagnosis (n = 15), the 28-day and 1-year survival rates with a transplant (n = 4) were 100% and 80%, respectively, and without transplant (n = 11), 10 and 0%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

ACLF was associated with high mortality rates. LT was an effective therapeutic option, particularly for ACLF-3 cases.

Recent advances in the prevention and treatment of decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and the role of biomarkers

The progression of cirrhosis with clinically significant portal hypertension towards decompensated cirrhosis remains clinically challenging and the evolution towards acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), with one or more extrahepatic organ failures, is associated with very high mortality. In the last decade, significant progress has been made in the understanding of the mechanisms leading to decompensation and ACLF. As portal hypertension advances, bacterial translocation across an impaired gut barrier culminates in endotoxaemia, systemic inflammation and cirrhosis-associated immune dysfunction (CAID). Gut-derived systemic inflammation and CAID have become the logical targets for innovative therapies that prevent hepatic decompensation episodes and the progression to ACLF.Furthermore, classification of disease and biomarker discovery to personalise care have advanced in the field. This review discusses progress in biomarker discovery and personalisation of treatment in decompensated cirrhosis and ACLF.

The burden of liver disease in Latin America

Liver disease poses a substantial burden in Latin America. This burden is primarily attributed to a high level of alcohol consumption and the increasing prevalence of risk factors associated with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), such as sedentary lifestyles, easy access to ultra-processed foods, obesity, and type 2 diabetes mellitus. These epidemiological trends are cause for concern, especially considering that there are significant challenges in addressing them due to disparities in access to liver disease screening and care. In this article, we aim to provide an overview of the current situation regarding liver disease in Latin America. We also discuss recent multinational proposals designed to address the growing MASLD burden via its integration into existing non-communicable diseases policies, at both local and global levels. Additionally, we emphasize the urgent need to establish effective public health policies that target both MASLD risk factors and excessive alcohol consumption. Furthermore, we discuss the development of liver transplantation programs, areas for improvement in medical education and research capabilities, and how the fostering of extensive collaboration among all stakeholders is crucial for addressing liver disease in the region.

Acute decompensation of cirrhosis versus acute-on-chronic liver failure: What are the clinical implications?

It is essential to identify the subgroup of patients who experience poorer outcomes in order to adapt clinical management effectively. In the context of liver disease, the earlier the identification occurs, the greater the range of therapeutic options that can be offered to patients. In the past, patients with acute decompensation (AD) of chronic liver disease were treated as a homogeneous group, with emphasis on identifying those at the highest risk of death. In the last 15 years, a differentiation has emerged between acute-on-chronic liver failure syndrome (ACLF) and AD, primarily due to indications that the latter is linked to a less favorable short-term prognosis. Nevertheless, the definition of ACLF varies among the different knowledge societies, making it challenging to assess its true impact compared with AD. Therefore, the purpose of this review is to provide a detailed analysis emphasizing the critical importance of identifying ACLF in the field of advanced liver disease. We will discuss the differences between Eastern and Western approaches, particularly in relation to the occurrence of liver failure and disease onset. Common characteristics, such as the dynamic nature of the disease course, will be highlighted. Finally, we will focus on two key clinical implications arising from these considerations: the prevention of ACLF before its onset and the clinical management strategies once it develops, including liver transplantation and withdrawal of care.