Long-term risk of colorectal cancer after excision of rectosigmoid adenomas

Screening and Surveillance of Colorectal Cancer: A Review of the Literature

Colorectal cancer (CRC) has the highest mortality rate among men and is the second highest among women under fifty, with incidence and mortality rates rising in younger populations. Studies indicate that up to one-third of patients diagnosed before fifty have a family history or genetic factors, highlighting the need for earlier screening. Contrariwise, diagnosis in healthy subjects through screening strategies enables early-stage detection of the tumor and better clinical outcomes. In recent years, mortality rates of CRC in Western countries have been on a steady decline, which is largely attributed to widespread screening programs and advancements in treatment modalities. Indeed, early detection through screening significantly improves prognosis, with stark differences in survival rates between localized and metastatic disease. This article aims to provide a comprehensive review of the existing literature, delving into the performance and efficacy of various CRC screening strategies. It navigates through available screening tools, evaluating their efficacy and cost-effectiveness. The discussion extends to delineating target populations for screening, emphasizing the importance of tailored approaches for individuals at heightened risk.

Endoscopic powered resection device for residual colonic lesions: the first multicenter, prospective, international clinical study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Endoscopic resection is standard treatment for adenomatous colorectal lesions. Depending on lesion morphology and resection technique, recurrence can occur. Scarred adenomas are challenging to resect and may require surgical management. This study evaluated the safety and effectiveness of an endoscopic powered resection (EPR) system for scarred adenomatous colorectal lesions.

METHODS

This single-arm, prospective, multicenter study was conducted from January 2018 to January 2021 at 12 sites. Patients with persistent flat or sessile colorectal lesions were enrolled. Primary end points were technical success (the ability of the device to resect the lesion[s] without use of other resection devices without device-related serious adverse events [AEs]) and safety (the occurrence of AEs through 90 days). Secondary end points included endoscopic confirmation of resection completeness, occurrence of colon stenosis, disease persistence, and diagnostic value of resected specimens.

RESULTS

Sixty-five patients were in the intention-to-treat/safety analysis population. Primary analysis was performed on 45 per-protocol (PP) patients with 48 lesions. All PP patients were solely treated by using the EPR device. Technical success was achieved in 44 (98%) patients. Three (5%) serious AEs occurred: 2 delayed self-limited bleeds and 1 perforation. Nonserious AEs included 4 (6%) cases of mild intraprocedural bleeding. Completeness of resection and histopathologic diagnosis of tissue specimens were achieved in all patients. Twenty-one (46.7%) patients had disease persistence after the first treatment, and there was no colon stenosis.

CONCLUSIONS

EPR is safe and effective for benign, persistent, large (>20 mm), scarred colorectal adenomas and should be considered as an alternative treatment in lieu of surgery. A persistence rate of 46.7% indicates that >1 treatment is necessary for effective endoscopic treatment. (Clinical trial registration number: NCT04203667.).

Surveillance Colonoscopy Findings in Older Adults With a History of Colorectal Adenomas

Importance

Postpolypectomy surveillance is a common colonoscopy indication in older adults; however, guidelines provide little direction on when to stop surveillance in this population.

Objective

To estimate surveillance colonoscopy yields in older adults.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based cross-sectional study included individuals 70 to 85 years of age who received surveillance colonoscopy at a large, community-based US health care system between January 1, 2017, and December 31, 2019; had an adenoma detected 12 or more months previously; and had at least 1 year of health plan enrollment before surveillance. Individuals were excluded due to prior colorectal cancer (CRC), hereditary CRC syndrome, inflammatory bowel disease, or prior colectomy or if the surveillance colonoscopy had an inadequate bowel preparation or was incomplete. Data were analyzed from September 1, 2022, to February 22, 2024.

Exposures

Age (70-74, 75-79, or 80-85 years) at surveillance colonoscopy and prior adenoma finding (ie, advanced adenoma vs nonadvanced adenoma).

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcomes were yields of CRC, advanced adenoma, and advanced neoplasia overall (all ages) by age group and by both age group and prior adenoma finding. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with advanced neoplasia detection at surveillance.

Results

Of 9740 surveillance colonoscopies among 9601 patients, 5895 (60.5%) were in men, and 5738 (58.9%), 3225 (33.1%), and 777 (8.0%) were performed in those aged 70-74, 75-79, and 80-85 years, respectively. Overall, CRC yields were found in 28 procedures (0.3%), advanced adenoma in 1141 (11.7%), and advanced neoplasia in 1169 (12.0%); yields did not differ significantly across age groups. Overall, CRC yields were higher for colonoscopies among patients with a prior advanced adenoma vs nonadvanced adenoma (12 of 2305 [0.5%] vs 16 of 7435 [0.2%]; P = .02), and the same was observed for advanced neoplasia (380 of 2305 [16.5%] vs 789 of 7435 [10.6%]; P < .001). Factors associated with advanced neoplasia at surveillance were prior advanced adenoma (adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 1.65; 95% CI, 1.44-1.88), body mass index of 30 or greater vs less than 25 (AOR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.03-1.44), and having ever smoked tobacco (AOR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.01-1.30). Asian or Pacific Islander race was inversely associated with advanced neoplasia (AOR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.67-0.99).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cross-sectional study of surveillance colonoscopy yield in older adults, CRC detection was rare regardless of prior adenoma finding, whereas the advanced neoplasia yield was 12.0% overall. Yields were higher among those with a prior advanced adenoma than among those with prior nonadvanced adenoma and did not increase significantly with age. These findings can help inform whether to continue surveillance colonoscopy in older adults.

Adenoma characteristics in the English Bowel Cancer Screening Programme

AIM

The English Bowel Cancer Screening Programme detects colorectal cancers and premalignant polyps in a faecal occult blood test-positive population. The aim of this work is to describe the detection rates and characteristics of adenomas within the programme, identify predictive factors influencing the presence or absence of carcinoma within adenomas and identify the factors predicting the presence of advanced colonic neoplasia in different colon segments.

METHOD

The Bowel Cancer Screening System was retrospectively searched for polyps detected during colonoscopies between June 2006 and June 2012, at which time a guaiac test was being used. Data on size, location and histological features were collected, and described. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to determine the significant factors influencing the development of carcinoma within an adenoma.

RESULTS

A total of 229 419 polyps were identified; after exclusions 136 973 adenomas from 58 334 patients were evaluated. Over half were in the rectum or sigmoid colon. Subcentimetre adenomas accounted for 69.8% of the total. The proportion of adenomas containing advanced histological features increased with increasing adenoma size up to 35 mm, then plateaued. A focus of carcinoma was found in 2282 (1.7%) adenomas, of which 95.6% were located distally. Carcinoma was identified even in diminutive adenomas (0.1%). The proportion of adenomas containing cancer was significantly higher in women than men (2.0% vs. 1.5%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

This national, prospectively captured dataset adds robust information about histological features of adenomas that convey an increased risk for colorectal cancer, and identifies caecal adenomas, high-grade dysplasia, increasing adenoma size, distal location and female sex as independent risk factors associated with carcinoma.

Sporadic Polyps of the Colorectum

Colorectal polyps are common, and their diagnosis and classification represent a major component of gastrointestinal pathology practice. The majority of colorectal polyps represent precursors of either the chromosomal instability or serrated neoplasia pathways to colorectal carcinoma. Accurate reporting of these polyps has major implications for surveillance and thus for cancer prevention. In this review, we discuss the key histologic features of the major colorectal polyps with a particular emphasis on diagnostic pitfalls and areas of contention.

The Outcome of Local Excision of Rectal Adenomas with High-Grade Dysplasia by Transanal Endoscopic Microsurgery: A Single-Center Experience

Background: Local excision by transanal endoscopic microsurgery (TEM) is considered an acceptable treatment for rectal adenomas with high-grade dysplasia (HGD). This study aims to assess the likelihood of harboring an invasive carcinoma in preoperatively diagnosed HGD polyps and evaluate the risk factors for tumor recurrence in patients with final HGD pathology. Methods: Data from patients who underwent TEM procedures for adenomatous lesions with HGD from 2005 to 2018 at the Rabin Medical Center, Hasharon Hospital, were analyzed. Collected data included patient demographics, preoperative workup, tumor characteristics and postoperative results. Follow-up data including recurrence assessment and further treatments were reviewed. The analysis included two subsets: preoperative pathology of HGD (sub-group 1) and postoperative final pathology of HGD (sub-group 2) patients. Results: Forty-five patients were included in the study. Thirty-six patients had a preoperative diagnosis of HGD, with thirteen (36%) showing postoperative invasive carcinoma. Thirty-two patients had a final pathology of HGD, and three (9.4%) experienced tumor recurrence. Large tumor size (>5 cm) was significantly associated with recurrence (p = 0.03). Conclusions: HGD rectal polyps are associated with a significant risk of invasive cancer. Tumor size was a significant factor in predicting tumor recurrence in patients with postoperative HGD pathology. The TEM procedure is an effective first-line treatment for such lesions.

Assessing Guidelines on the Need for Colonoscopy After Initial Flexible Sigmoidoscopy in Young Patients With Outlet-Type Rectal Bleeding

BACKGROUND

Although young-age-of-onset colorectal cancer is increasing in incidence, lack of screening leads to symptomatic presentation, often with rectal bleeding. Because most cancers in patients younger than 50 years are left-sided, flexible sigmoidoscopy is a reasonable way of investigating bleeding in these patients.

OBJECTIVE

To predict which patients undergoing flexible sigmoidoscopy for outlet-type rectal bleeding need a full colonoscopy.

DESIGN

Findings at colonoscopy were compared with published indications for colonoscopy after flexible sigmoidoscopy, which were as follows: 1) any number of advanced adenomas defined as a tubular adenoma of >9 mm diameter, a tubulovillous or villous adenoma of any size, or any adenoma with high-grade dysplasia; 2) 3 or more tubular adenomas of any size or histology; 3) any sessile serrated lesion; and 4) 20 or more hyperplastic polyps.

SETTING

Charity Hospital with volunteer specialists.

PATIENTS

Patients were included if they were younger than 57 years, had outlet-type rectal bleeding, and underwent flexible sigmoidoscopy at least to the descending colon followed by colonoscopy with biopsy of all resected lesions.

INTERVENTIONS

Flexible sigmoidoscopy and colonoscopy with excision of all removable lesions.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Findings at colonoscopy.

RESULTS

There were 66 patients who had a colonoscopy between 5 and 811 days after sigmoidoscopy and also had complete data. There were 43 men and 23 women with a mean age of 39.5 years. Analysis of flexible sigmoidoscopy criteria for finding proximal high-risk lesions on colonoscopy showed a sensitivity of 76.9%, a specificity of 67.9%, a positive predictive value of 37%, a negative predictive value of 92.3%, and an accuracy of 69.7%.

LIMITATIONS

A large number of exclusions for inadequate colonoscopy or inadequate data resulted in a reduced patient number in the study.

CONCLUSIONS

Our criteria for follow-up colonoscopy based on the findings at initial flexible sigmoidoscopy in young patients with outlet-type rectal bleeding are reliable enough to be used in routine clinical practice, provided this is audited. See Video Abstract.

GUA DE EVALUACIN PARA LA NECESIDAD DE COLONOSCOPIA DESPUS DE UNA SIGMOIDOSCOPIA FLEXIBLE INICIAL EN PACIENTES JVENES CON RECTORRAGIA

ANTECEDENTES:Si bien la edad de aparición temprana del cáncer colorrectal está aumentando en incidencia, la falta de pruebas de detección conduce a una presentación sintomática, a menudo con sangrado rectal. Debido a que la mayoría de los cánceres en pacientes menores de 50 años son del lado izquierdo, la sigmoidoscopia flexible es una forma razonable de investigar el sangrado en estos pacientes.OBJETIVO:Predecir qué pacientes sometidos a sigmoidoscopia flexible por rectorragia necesitan una colonoscopia completa.DISEÑO:Los resultados de la colonoscopia se compararon con las indicaciones publicadas para la colonoscopia después de una sigmoidoscopia flexible. Estos fueron: 1. Cualquier número de adenomas avanzados, definidos como un adenoma tubular > 9 mm, un adenoma tubulovelloso o velloso de cualquier tamaño, o cualquier adenoma con displasia de alto grado. 2. Tres o más adenomas tubulares de cualquier tamaño o histología. 3. Cualquier lesión serrada sésil. 4. Veinte o más pólipos hiperplásicos.ENTORNO CLINICO:Hospital de Caridad con especialistas voluntarios.PACIENTES:Menores de 57 años, con rectorragia, sometidos a sigmoidoscopia flexible al menos hasta el colon descendente, seguida de colonoscopia con biopsia de todas las lesiones resecadas.INTERVENCIONES:sigmoidoscopia flexible y colonoscopia con escisión de todas las lesiones removibles.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE VALORACIÓN:Hallazgos en la colonoscopia.RESULTADOS:66 casos a los que se les realizó una colonoscopia entre 5 y 811 días después de la sigmoidoscopia, que también tenían datos completos. 43 hombres y 23 mujeres con una edad media de 39,5 años. El análisis de los criterios de sigmoidoscopia flexible para encontrar lesiones proximales de alto riesgo en la colonoscopia mostró una sensibilidad del 76,9 %, una especificidad del 67,9 %, un valor predictivo positivo del 37 %, un valor predictivo negativo del 92,3 % y una precisión del 69,7 %.LIMITACIONES:Gran número de exclusiones por colonoscopia inadecuada o datos inadecuados que causan un número reducido de pacientes en el estudio.CONCLUSIÓN:Nuestros criterios para la colonoscopia de seguimiento basados en los hallazgos de la sigmoidoscopia flexible inicial en pacientes jóvenes con rectorragia son lo suficientemente confiables para ser utilizados en la práctica clínica habitual, siempre que se audite. (Traducción- Dr. Ingrid Melo ).

Progress and Perspectives in Colon Cancer Pathology, Diagnosis, and Treatments

Worldwide, colon cancer is the third most frequent malignancy and the second most common cause of death. Although it can strike anybody at any age, colon cancer mostly affects the elderly. Small, non-cancerous cell clusters inside the colon, commonly known as polyps, are typically where colon cancer growth starts. But over time, if left untreated, these benign polyps may develop into malignant tissues and develop into colon cancer. For the diagnosis of colon cancer, with routine inspection of the colon region for polyps, several techniques, including colonoscopy and cancer scanning, are used. In the case identifying the polyps in the colon area, efforts are being taken to surgically remove the polyps as quickly as possible before they become malignant. If the polyps become malignant, then colon cancer treatment strategies, such as surgery, chemotherapy, targeted therapy, and immunotherapy, are applied to the patients. Despite the recent improvements in diagnosis and prognosis, the treatment of colorectal cancer (CRC) remains a challenging task. The objective of this review was to discuss how CRC is initiated, and its various developmental stages, pathophysiology, and risk factors, and also to explore the current state of colorectal cancer diagnosis and treatment, as well as recent advancements in the field, such as new screening methods and targeted therapies. We examined the limitations of current methods and discussed the ongoing need for research and development in this area. While this topic may be serious and complex, we hope to engage and inform our audience on this important issue.

Surveillance after colorectal polyp resection

Post-polypectomy surveillance has proven to reduce colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence in patients with high-risk polyps, but it implies a major burden on colonoscopy units. Therefore, it should be targeted to individuals with a higher risk. Different societies have published guidelines on surveillance after resection of polyps, with notable discrepancies among them, and many recommendations come from low-quality evidence based on surrogate measures, such as risk of advanced adenoma, and not CRC risk. In this review, we aimed to summarize the evidence supporting post-polypectomy surveillance, compare the recently updated major guidelines, and discuss the existing discrepancies on this topic. Briefly, patients with adenomas ≥10 mm or high-grade dysplasia and patients with serrated polyps ≥10 mm or dysplasia are generally considered to have an increased risk of metachronous CRC and require surveillance, whereas the indication of surveillance is not clearly established in patients without these high-risk features.

Older Age at First Screening Colonoscopy is Associated With an Increased Risk of Colorectal Adenomas and Cancer

INTRODUCTION

The goal of colorectal cancer (CRC) screening is to detect precancerous polyps before cancer development or identification of cancer at an early stage. Guidelines have recommended screening colonoscopy to start at age 45. Our aim was to determine the impact of delays in performing the first screening colonoscopy on the risk of adenoma or CRC detection.

METHODS

We analyzed colonoscopy and histopathology data of average CRC risk patients who had their first screening colonoscopy between 2010 and 2017. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine the association between demographic variables and the risk of adenomas or CRC.

RESULTS

A total of 1155 average risk patients underwent their initial screening colonoscopy during the study period. Median age was 54 years (range of 45-87) and 58.2% were females. In multivariable analysis, older age at first screening colonoscopy was significantly associated with the detection of adenomatous polyps (odds ratio 1.05, 95% confidence interval 1.04-1.07, P <0.001) and CRC (odds ratio 1.11, 95% confidence interval 1.06-1.16, P <0.001). The association between age and risk of adenomatous polyps (F-test 35.43, P =0.0019) and CRC (F-test 36.94, P =0.0017) fit an exponential growth model. It was estimated that the detection rate doubled every 14.20 years and 4.75 years for adenomas and CRC, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We found that older age at the initial performance of a screening colonoscopy was associated with increased detection of adenomatous polyps and CRC. This work highlights the need for guideline adherence for the prevention of CRC development.

Risk Factors for Metachronous Colorectal Cancer or Advanced Adenomas After Endoscopic Resection of High-risk Adenomas

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Among the characteristics of high-risk adenomas (HRAs), some may predict a higher risk of metachronous advanced lesions. Our aim was to assess which HRA characteristics are associated with high risk of metachronous colorectal cancer (CRC) or advanced adenomas (AAs).

METHODS

We systematically searched Pubmed, EMBASE, and Cochrane for cohort studies and clinical trials of CRC or AA incidence at surveillance stratified by baseline lesion size, histology, and multiplicity. We calculated pooled relative risks (RRs) using a random-effects model. Heterogeneity was assessed with the I² statistic.

RESULTS

Fifty-five studies were included, with 936,540 patients with mean follow-up 5.4 ± 2.9 years. CRC incidence per 1000 person-years was 2.6 (2.1-3.0) for adenomas ≥20 mm, 2.7 (2.2-3.2) for high-grade dysplasia (HGD), 2.0 (1.8-2.3) for villous component, 0.8 (0.1-1.4) for ≥5 adenomas, 1.0 (0.7-1.2) for ≥3 adenomas. Metachronous CRC risk was higher in adenomas ≥20 mm vs 10 to 19 mm (RR, 2.08; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.20-3.61), HGD vs low-grade dysplasia (RR, 2.89; 95% CI, 1.88-4.44), villous vs tubular (RR, 1.75; 95% CI, 1.33-2.31). No significant differences in CRC risk were found in ≥3 adenomas vs 1 to 2 (RR, 1.24; 95% CI, 0.84-1.83), nor in ≥5 adenomas vs 3 to 4 (RR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.30-2.11). Compared with normal colonoscopy, RR for CRC risk was 2.61 (95% CI, 2.06-3.32) for ≥10mm, 6.62 (95% CI, 4.60-9.52) for HGD, 3.58 (95% CI, 2.24-5.73) for villous component, and 2.03 (95% CI, 1.40-2.94) for ≥3 adenomas. Similar trends were seen for metachronous AAs.

CONCLUSION

Metachronous CRC risk is highest in patients with baseline adenomas with ≥20 mm or HGD. Multiplicity does not seem to be associated with substantially higher CRC risk in the near term.

Physician Decision-Making About Surveillance in Older Adults With Prior Adenomas: Results From a National Survey

INTRODUCTION

There is no clear guidance on when surveillance colonoscopies should stop in older adults with prior adenomas. We aimed to examine physicians' decision-making regarding surveillance colonoscopies in older adults.

METHODS

In a national mailed survey of 1,800 primary care physicians (PCP) and 600 gastroenterologists, we asked whether physicians would recommend surveillance colonoscopy in vignettes where we varied patient age (75 and 85 years), health (good, medium, and poor), and prior adenoma risk (low and high). We examined the association between surveillance recommendations and patient and physician characteristics using logistic regression. We also assessed decisional uncertainty, need for decision support, and decision-making roles.

RESULTS

Of 1,040 respondents (response rate 54.8%), 874 were eligible and included. Recommendation for surveillance colonoscopies was lower if patient was older (adjusted proportions 20.6% vs 49.8% if younger), in poor health (adjusted proportions 7.1% vs 28.8% moderate health, 67.7% good health), and prior adenoma was of low risk (adjusted proportions 29.7% vs 41.6% if high risk). Family medicine physicians were most likely and gastroenterologists were least likely to recommend surveillance (adjusted proportions 40.0% vs 30.9%). Approximately 52.3% of PCP and 35.4% of gastroenterologists reported uncertainty regarding the benefit/harm balance of surveillance in older adults. Most (85.9% PCP and 77.0% gastroenterologists) would find a decision support tool helpful. Approximately 32.8% of PCP vs 71.5% of gastroenterologists perceived it as the gastroenterologist's role to decide about surveillance colonoscopies.

DISCUSSION

Studies to better evaluate the benefits/harms of surveillance colonoscopy in older adults and decisional support tools that help physicians and patients incorporate such data are needed.

A novel non-invasive colorectal cancer diagnostic method: Volatile organic compounds as biomarkers

INTRODUCTION

Population-based fecal tests for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening have shown to reduce mortality thanks to the early detection of the disease. However, currently available fecal tests are limited in their sensitivity and specificity. Our aim is to look for volatile organic compounds in fecal samples as biomarkers for CRC detection.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Eighty participants were included; 24 had adenocarcinoma, 24 had adenomatous polyps and 32 presented no neoplasms. Fecal samples were collected 48 h preceding the colonoscopy from all participants, except CRC patient samples that were collected after 3-4 weeks from the colonoscopy. Magnetic headspace adsorptive extraction (Mag-HSAE) followed by thermal desorption-gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (TD-GC-MS) was performed on stool samples to identify volatile organic compounds as biomarkers.

RESULTS

p-Cresol was significantly more abundant in the cancer samples (P < 0.001) with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.85 (CI 95%; 0.737-0.953), having a sensitivity and specificity of 83% and 82%, respectively. In addition, 3(4H)-dibenzofuranone,4a,9b-dihydro-8,9b-dimethyl- (3(4H)-DBZ) was also more abundant in the cancer samples (P < 0.001) with an AUC of 0.77 (CI 95%; 0.635-0.905), sensitivity of 78% and specificity of 75%. When combined (p-cresol and 3(4H)-DBZ), the AUC was 0.86, sensitivity 87% and specificity 79%. p-Cresol also appeared to be promising as a biomarker for pre-malignant lesions with an AUC of 0.69 (CI 95%; 0.534-0.862), sensitivity 83% and specificity 63%, P = 0.045.

CONCLUSIONS

Volatile organic compounds emitted from feces and determined by a sensitive analytical methodology (Mag-HSAE-TD-GC-MS), employing a magnetic graphene oxide as extractant phase, could be used as a potential screening technology for CRC and pre-malignant lesions.

Estimating the size of colorectal polyps endoscopically: random guess or systematic error?

BACKGROUND

Size of colorectal polyps reflects potential for malignancy and helps define advanced lesions. Studies measuring ability of endoscopists to estimate polyp size show significant variation. The aim of this study was to determine if there is a linear relationship between endoscopic and pathologic polyp size.

METHODS

Data for adenomas removed completely by snare, in one piece, were retrieved from a prospectively recorded polyp database. Endoscopic estimate of maximum diameter was compared to that on the pathology report by linear regression analysis.

RESULTS

There were 126 polyps in 126 patients, 85 men and 41 women. Mean age was 63.2 ± 12.9 years. Mean endoscopic polyp size was 12.2 ± 9.3 mm and mean pathology size was 9.3 ± 6.9 mm. Endoscopically, 16 polyps were ≤ 5 mm, 62 were from 6 to 10 mm, 21 were from 11 to 15 mm, and 27 were from 16 to 55 mm. Twenty-nine polyps were right sided, 86 were left and 11 were rectal. Regression of endoscopic size against pathology size yielded a significant r² of 0.761. Using the regression formula of endoscopic size = 0.7 + 1.175× pathology size an endoscopic estimate of 10 mm (= advanced adenoma) means a pathologic size of 8 mm. For a pathologic size of 10 mm, an endoscopic estimate of 12 mm is needed. A large polyp is ≥20 mm; for this endoscopist a 20 mm polyp is really 16.4 mm.

CONCLUSIONS

The relationship between endoscopic and directly measured size is linear over all polyp diameters, and likely represents a systematic error.

Korean Guidelines for Postpolypectomy Colonoscopic Surveillance: 2022 revised edition

Colonoscopic polypectomy is effective in decreasing the incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer (CRC). Premalignant polyps discovered during colonoscopy are associated with the risk of metachronous advanced neoplasia. Postpolypectomy surveillance is the most important method for managing advanced metachronous neoplasia. A more efficient and evidence-based guideline for postpolypectomy surveillance is required because of the limited medical resources and concerns regarding colonoscopy complications. In these consensus guidelines, an analytic approach was used to address all reliable evidence to interpret the predictors of CRC or advanced neoplasia during surveillance colonoscopy. The key recommendations state that the high-risk findings for metachronous CRC following polypectomy are as follows: adenoma ≥10 mm in size; 3 to 5 (or more) adenomas; tubulovillous or villous adenoma; adenoma containing high-grade dysplasia; traditional serrated adenoma; sessile serrated lesion containing any grade of dysplasia; serrated polyp of at least 10 mm in size; and 3 to 5 (or more) sessile serrated lesions. More studies are needed to fully comprehend the patients who are most likely to benefit from surveillance colonoscopy and the ideal surveillance interval to prevent metachronous CRC.

High frequency of colorectal neoplasia in patients with sporadic adenomas or adenocarcinomas of the papilla of Vater: The same adenoma-carcinoma sequence?

BACKGROUND

Data on the frequency of colorectal neoplasia in sporadic ampullary tumors remains scarce.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 135 patients undergoing endoscopic ampullectomy from January 2018 to July 2021, and identified 95 patients with sporadic ampullary adenoma who underwent total colonoscopy. Colonoscopy findings were compared with 380 asymptomatic controls using the chi-squared test. Whole-exome sequencing (WES) was performed on one patient with synchronous adenomas of the ampulla of Vater and ascending colon.

RESULTS

Colorectal polyps were present in 60% of Cases vs. 34.7% of Controls (P = 0.001), advanced adenoma in 20% vs. 5.5%, and adenocarcinoma in 4.2% vs. 0.8%. Cases tended to have larger polyps than Controls (P<0.001), while there was no difference in polyp location and histology between the two groups. The odds ratio of all the colorectal lesions, advanced colorectal adenoma and adenocarcinoma in Cases was 1.7, 4.2, and 4, respectively. WES in one patient revealed that both of ampullary adenoma and colonic adenoma shared somatic ABCB1 mutation.

CONCLUSIONS

The frequency of colorectal polyps or neoplasia was significantly higher in Cases than Controls. We proposed that ampullary neoplasia is analogous to colon lesions and warrants total colonoscopy screening in patients diagnosed with ampullary tumors.

Korean guidelines for postpolypectomy colonoscopic surveillance: 2022 revised edition

Colonoscopic polypectomy is effective in decreasing the incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer (CRC). Premalignant polyps discovered during colonoscopy are associated with the risk of metachronous advanced neoplasia. Postpolypectomy surveillance is the most important method for the management of advanced metachronous neoplasia. A more efficient and evidence-based guideline for postpolypectomy surveillance is required because of limited medical resources and concerns regarding colonoscopy complications. In these consensus guidelines, an analytic approach was used to address all reliable evidence to interpret the predictors of CRC or advanced neoplasia during surveillance colonoscopy. The key recommendations state that the high-risk findings for metachronous CRC following polypectomy are as follows: (1) adenoma ≥10 mm in size; (2) 3 to 5 (or more) adenomas; (3) tubulovillous or villous adenoma; (4) adenoma containing high-grade dysplasia; (5) traditional serrated adenoma; (6) sessile serrated lesion (SSL) containing any grade of dysplasia; (7) serrated polyp of at least 10 mm in size; and (8) 3 to 5 (or more) SSLs. More studies are needed to fully comprehend the patients most likely to benefit from surveillance colonoscopy and the ideal surveillance interval to prevent metachronous CRC.

A Multi-Centre Study to Risk Stratify Colorectal Polyp Surveillance Patients Utilising Volatile Organic Compounds and Faecal Immunochemical Test

Simple Summary

A total of 15% of the annual colonoscopies are undertaken for polyp surveillance, and this causes strain on already stretched endoscopy services in the U.K. Hence, there is an urgent need to triage and prioritise patients with high-risk findings. The performance of the faecal immunochemical test is not adequate to be used within polyp surveillance. In light of this, we investigated the usefulness of urinary volatile organic compounds for the detection of high-risk findings. We confirmed that urinary volatile organic compounds can be used to triage patients with high-risk findings. It can be used alone or in combination with faecal immunochemical tests.

Abstract

(1) Background: The service capacity for colonoscopy remains constrained, and while efforts are being made to recover elective services, polyp surveillance remains a challenge. (2) Methods: This is a multi-centre study recruiting patients already on polyp surveillance. Stool and urine samples were collected for the faecal immunochemical test (FIT) and volatile organic compounds (VOC) analysis, and all participants then underwent surveillance colonoscopy. (3) Results: The sensitivity and specificity of VOC for the detection of a high-risk finding ((≥2 premalignant polyps including ≥1 advanced polyp or ≥5 premalignant polyps) were 0.94 (95% CI, 0.88 to 0.98) and 0.69 (95% CI, 0.64 to 0.75) respectively. For FIT, the sensitivity was (≥10 µg of haemoglobin (Hb) / g faeces) 0.54 (95% CI, 0.43 to 0.65) and the specificity was 0.79 (95% CI, 0.73 to 0.84). The probability reduction for having a high-risk finding following both negative VOC and FIT will be 24% if both tests are applied sequentially. (4) Conclusion: The diagnostic performance of VOC is superior to FIT for the detection of a high-risk finding. The performance further improves when VOC is applied together with FIT sequentially (VOC first and then FIT). VOC alone or the combination of VOC and FIT can be used as a triage tool for patients awaiting colonoscopy within a polyp surveillance population, especially in resource-constrained healthcare systems.

[Korean Guidelines for Postpolypectomy Colonoscopic Surveillance: 2022 Revised Edition]

Colonoscopic polypectomy is effective in decreasing the incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer (CRC). Premalignant polyps discovered during colonoscopy are associated with the risk of metachronous advanced neoplasia. Postpolypectomy surveillance is the most important method for managing advanced metachronous neoplasia. A more efficient and evidence-based guideline for postpolypectomy surveillance is required because of the limited medical resources and concerns regarding colonoscopy complications. In these consensus guidelines, an analytic approach was used to address all reliable evidence to interpret the predictors of CRC or advanced neoplasia during surveillance colonoscopy. The key recommendations state that the high-risk findings for metachronous CRC following polypectomy are as follows: 1) adenoma ≥10 mm in size; 2) 3-5 (or more) adenomas; 3) tubulovillous or villous adenoma; 4) adenoma containing high-grade dysplasia; 5) traditional serrated adenoma; 6) sessile serrated lesion (SSL) containing any grade of dysplasia; 7) serrated polyp of at least 10 mm in size; and 8) 3-5 (or more) SSLs. More studies are needed to fully comprehend the patients who are most likely to benefit from surveillance colonoscopy and the ideal surveillance interval to prevent metachronous CRC.

Artificial intelligence-based measurement outperforms current methods for colorectal polyp size measurement

OBJECTIVES

An accurate polyp size estimation during colonoscopy is crucial to determine the surveillance interval and predict the risk of malignant progression. However, there is a high degree of subjectivity in estimating polyp size among endoscopists in clinical practice. We aimed to assess the efficacy of a novel method that uses artificial intelligence (AI) to measure the size of colon polyps and compare it with current approaches.

METHODS

Using the W-Net model for vessel segmentation and based on retinal image datasets (DRIVE, STARE, CHASE-DB, and HRF) and colonoscopy images, we developed the bifurcation-to-bifurcation (BtoB) distance measuring method and applied it to endoscopic images. Measurements were compared with those obtained by eight endoscopists (four expert and four trainees). Diagnostic ability and reliability were evaluated using Lin's concordance correlation coefficients (CCCs) and Bland-Altman analyses.

RESULTS

For both experts and trainees, visually estimated sizes of the same polyp were significantly inconsistent depending on the camera view used (P < 0.001). Bland-Altman analyses showed that there was a trend toward underestimation of the sizes of the polyps in both groups, especially for polyps larger than 10 mm. The new technique was highly accurate and reliable in measuring the size of colon polyp (CCC, 0.961; confidence interval 0.926-0.979), clearly outperforming the visual estimation and open biopsy forceps methods.

CONCLUSION

The new AI measurement method improved the accuracy and reliability of polyp size measurements in colonoscopy images. Incorporating AI might be particularly important to improve the efficiency of trainees at estimating polyp size during colonoscopy.

Green Tea Extract to Prevent Colorectal Adenomas, Results of a Randomized, Placebo-Controlled Clinical Trial

INTRODUCTION

Preclinical, epidemiological, and small clinical studies suggest that green tea extract (GTE) and its major active component epigallocatechingallate (EGCG) exhibit antineoplastic effects in the colorectum.

METHODS

A randomized, double-blind trial of GTE standardized to 150 mg of EGCG b.i.d. vs placebo over 3 years was conducted to prevent colorectal adenomas (n = 1,001 with colon adenomas enrolled, 40 German centers). Randomization (1:1, n = 879) was performed after a 4-week run-in with GTE for safety assessment. The primary end point was the presence of adenoma/colorectal cancer at the follow-up colonoscopy 3 years after randomization.

RESULTS

The safety profile of GTE was favorable with no major differences in adverse events between the 2 well-balanced groups. Adenoma rate in the modified intention-to-treat set (all randomized participants [intention-to-treat population] and a follow-up colonoscopy 26-44 months after randomization; n = 632) was 55.7% in the placebo and 51.1% in the GTE groups. This 4.6% difference was not statistically significant (adjusted relative risk 0.905; P = 0.1613). The respective figures for the per-protocol population were 54.3% (151/278) in the placebo group and 48.3% (129/267) in the GTE group, indicating a slightly lower adenoma rate in the GTE group, which was not significant (adjusted relative risk 0.883; P = 0.1169).

DISCUSSION

GTE was well tolerated, but there was no statistically significant difference in the adenoma rate between the GTE and the placebo groups in the whole study population.

Colonoscopy surveillance following adenoma removal to reduce the risk of colorectal cancer: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Colonoscopy surveillance is recommended for some patients post polypectomy. The 2002 UK surveillance guidelines classify post-polypectomy patients into low, intermediate and high risk, and recommend different strategies for each classification. Limited evidence supports these guidelines.

OBJECTIVES

To examine, for each risk group, long-term colorectal cancer incidence by baseline characteristics and the number of surveillance visits; the effects of interval length on detection rates of advanced adenomas and colorectal cancer at first surveillance; and the cost-effectiveness of surveillance compared with no surveillance.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study and economic evaluation.

SETTING

Seventeen NHS hospitals.

PARTICIPANTS

Patients with a colonoscopy and at least one adenoma at baseline.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Long-term colorectal cancer incidence after baseline and detection rates of advanced adenomas and colorectal cancer at first surveillance.

DATA SOURCES

Hospital databases, NHS Digital, the Office for National Statistics, National Services Scotland and Public Health England.

METHODS

Cox regression was used to compare colorectal cancer incidence in the presence and absence of surveillance and to identify colorectal cancer risk factors. Risk factors were used to stratify risk groups into higher- and lower-risk subgroups. We examined detection rates of advanced adenomas and colorectal cancer at first surveillance by interval length. Cost-effectiveness of surveillance compared with no surveillance was evaluated in terms of incremental costs per colorectal cancer prevented and per quality-adjusted life-year gained.

RESULTS

Our study included 28,972 patients, of whom 14,401 (50%), 11,852 (41%) and 2719 (9%) were classed as low, intermediate and high risk, respectively. The median follow-up time was 9.3 years. Colorectal cancer incidence was 140, 221 and 366 per 100,000 person-years among low-, intermediate- and high-risk patients, respectively. Attendance at one surveillance visit was associated with reduced colorectal cancer incidence among low-, intermediate- and high-risk patients [hazard ratios were 0.56 (95% confidence interval 0.39 to 0.80), 0.59 (95% confidence interval 0.43 to 0.81) and 0.49 (95% confidence interval 0.29 to 0.82), respectively]. Compared with the general population, colorectal cancer incidence without surveillance was similar among low-risk patients and higher among high-risk patients [standardised incidence ratios were 0.86 (95% confidence interval 0.73 to 1.02) and 1.91 (95% confidence interval 1.39 to 2.56), respectively]. For intermediate-risk patients, standardised incidence ratios differed for the lower- (0.70, 95% confidence interval 0.48 to 0.99) and higher-risk (1.46, 95% confidence interval 1.19 to 1.78) subgroups. In each risk group, incremental costs per colorectal cancer prevented and per quality-adjusted life-year gained with surveillance were lower for the higher-risk subgroup than for the lower-risk subgroup. Incremental costs per quality-adjusted life-year gained were lowest for the higher-risk subgroup of high-risk patients at £7821.

LIMITATIONS

The observational design means that we cannot assume that surveillance caused the reductions in cancer incidence. The fact that some cancer staging data were missing places uncertainty on our cost-effectiveness estimates.

CONCLUSIONS

Surveillance was associated with reduced colorectal cancer incidence in all risk groups. However, in low-risk patients and the lower-risk subgroup of intermediate-risk patients, colorectal cancer incidence was no higher than in the general population without surveillance, indicating that surveillance might not be necessary. Surveillance was most cost-effective for the higher-risk subgroup of high-risk patients.

FUTURE WORK

Studies should examine the clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of post-polypectomy surveillance without prior classification of patients into risk groups.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This trial is registered as ISRCTN15213649.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 26, No. 26. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Colon Cancer: From Epidemiology to Prevention

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most prevalent cancers affecting humans, with a complex genetic and environmental aetiology. Unlike cancers with known environmental, heritable, or sex-linked causes, sporadic CRC is hard to foresee and has no molecular biomarkers of risk in clinical use. One in twenty CRC cases presents with an established heritable component. The remaining cases are sporadic and associated with partially obscure genetic, epigenetic, regenerative, microbiological, dietary, and lifestyle factors. To tackle this complexity, we should improve the practice of colonoscopy, which is recommended uniformly beyond a certain age, to include an assessment of biomarkers indicative of individual CRC risk. Ideally, such biomarkers will be causal to the disease and potentially modifiable upon dietary or therapeutic interventions. Multi-omics analysis, including transcriptional, epigenetic as well as metagenomic, and metabolomic profiles, are urgently required to provide data for risk analyses. The aim of this article is to provide a perspective on the multifactorial derailment of homeostasis leading to the initiation of CRC, which may be explored via multi-omics and Gut-on-Chip analysis to identify much-needed predictive biomarkers.

Relationship between BMI, CT-derived body composition and colorectal neoplasia in a bowel screening population

Introduction

Obesity is associated with an increased risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). Unlike the indirect measures such as BMI, CT-Body composition (CT-BC) allows for the assessment of both volume and distribution of adipose tissue. Therefore, the aim of this study was to examine the relationship between host characteristics, BMI, CT-BC measurements and the incidence of colorectal neoplasia.

Methods

Patients undergoing CT Colonography (CTC) as part of the Scottish Bowel Screening Programme, between July 2009 and February 2016, were eligible for inclusion. Data were collected including demographic data, clinicopathological variables and CT-BC measurements including skeletal muscle index (SMI), subcutaneous fat index (SFI) and visceral fat area (VFA). CTC, colonoscopy, and pathology reports were used to identify CRC incidence. Associations between demographic data, clinicopathological variables, CT-BC measurements, colorectal neoplasia and advanced colorectal neoplasia were analysed using univariate and multivariate binary logistics regression.

Results

286 patients met the inclusion criteria. Neoplasia was detected in 105 (37%) of the patients with advanced neoplasia being detected in 72 (69%) of patients. On multivariate analysis sex (p < 0.05) and high VFA (p < 0.001) remained independently associated with colorectal neoplasia. On multivariate analysis a high SFI (p < 0.01) remained independently associated with advanced colorectal neoplasia. BMI was not associated with either colorectal neoplasia or advanced colorectal neoplasia.

Conclusion

When directly compared to BMI, CT derived fat measurements were more closely associated with the degree of neoplasia in patients undergoing colorectal cancer screening. In patients investigated with CT colonography, CT adipose measures may stratify the risk and grade of neoplasia.

Colorectal cancer screening participation among citizens not recommended to be screened: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Guidelines on colorectal cancer (CRC) screening recommend screening of average-risk adults only. In addition, screening of individuals with active inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) might result in too many false-positive cases. However, the organisers of CRC screening programmes are often uninformed of whom to exclude due to an elevated CRC risk or active IBD. It is therefore unknown how often high-risk individuals (i.e. individuals with a previous diagnosis of CRC or polyps associated with hereditary CRC syndromes and certain patient groups with a diagnosis of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) or multiple polyps) and individuals with active IBD participate in CRC screening following invitation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We used data from the first two years of the Danish CRC screening programme (2014-2015). Information on invitations, participations and FIT test results were obtained from the national screening database, while information on previous CRC, hereditary CRC syndromes, IBD or multiple polyps diagnoses were obtained from the Danish Cancer Registry and the Danish Patient Register. Screening participation rates and FIT-positive rates were calculated and compared for high-risk invitees, invitees having IBD and an average risk group of remaining invitees not diagnosed with colorectal polyps in 10 years preceding the invitation.

RESULTS

When invited to CRC screening, 28-48% of high-risk residents (N: 29; 316; 5584) and 55% of residents with IBD (N: 2217; 6927) chose to participate. The participation rate was significantly higher (67%) among residents without previous colorectal disease, i.e. the average risk group (N = 585,624). In this average group 6.7% of the participants had a positive FIT test. The proportion of positive FIT results was higher among all disease groups (7.7-14.8%), though not statistically significant for participants with prior CRC diagnosis and participants with high-risk IBD.

CONCLUSION

When high-risk residents and residents with IBD receive an invitation to CRC screening, many participate despite being recommended not to. The screening program was not intended for these groups and further research is needed as several of these groups have a higher rate of positive screening result than the average risk population.

Increased Risk of Advanced Colonic Adenomas and Timing of Surveillance Colonoscopy Following Solid Organ Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Detection and removal of colonic adenomatous polyps (CAP) decreases colorectal cancer (CRC) development, particularly with more or larger polyps or polyps with advanced villous/dysplastic histology. Immunosuppression following solid organ transplantation (SOT) may accelerate CAP development and progression compared to average-risk population but the benefit of earlier colonoscopic surveillance is unclear.

AIMS

Study the impact of maintenance immunosuppression post-SOT on developmental timing, multiplicity and pathological features of CAP, by measuring incidence of advanced CAP (villous histology, size ≥ 10 mm, ≥ 3 polyps, presence of dysplasia) post-SOT and the incidence of newly diagnosed CRC compared to average-risk age-matched population.

METHODS

Single-center retrospective cohort study of SOT recipients.

RESULTS

295 SOT recipients were included and were compared with 291 age-matched average-risk controls. The mean interval between screening and surveillance colonoscopies between SOT and control groups was 6.3 years vs 5.9 years (p = 0.13). Post-SOT maintenance immunosuppression mean duration averaged 59.9 months at surveillance colonoscopy. On surveillance examinations, SOT recipients exhibited more advanced (≥ 10 mm) adenomas compared to matched controls (9.2% vs. 3.8%, p = 0.034; adjusted OR 2.38; 95% CI 1.07-5.30).

CONCLUSION

SOT recipients appear at higher risk for developing advanced CAP, suggesting that earlier surveillance should be considered.

Incidence and Mortality of Post-Polypectomy Colorectal Cancer in Patients with Low-Risk Adenomas: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies

INTRODUCTION

The long-term risks of post-polypectomy colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality among patients with low-risk adenomas (LRAs) are unclear. This study aimed to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of the risk of CRC incidence and mortality following LRAs removal.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane library for studies that reported the risk of metachronous CRC incidence and mortality after colonoscopy. The primary outcome was the risk of CRC incidence and mortality in patients with LRAs. Random-effects models were used to calculate the pooled risk ratio (RR) with a 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

Thirteen observational studies with 1,750,305 patients (45.4% male; follow-up: 4.5-16.5 years) were included. A meta-analysis of seven studies showed a higher CRC incidence in patients with LRAs than those without adenomas (per 10,000 person-years: 5.2 vs. 3.9; RR 1.25 [95% CI 1.05-1.49], I2 = 0%). However, the CRC-related death rate was not significantly different between the two groups (RR 1.13 [95% CI 0.75-1.69], I2 = 0%). When compared with the general population, the meta-analysis showed a significantly lower risk of CRC incidence in patients with LRAs (RR 0.59 [95% CI 0.45-0.77], I2 = 0%), and another three studies, which could not be pooled, showed a reduction in the risk of CRC-related death in the LRAs group.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with LRAs have a small but higher risk of post-polypectomy CRC incidence than patients without adenomas. The marginally higher absolute incidence seemed insufficient for more intensive surveillance colonoscopy, but the significant difference suggested different follow-up strategies between patients with LRAs and those without adenomas.

Development of a Large Colonoscopy-Based Longitudinal Cohort for Integrated Research of Colorectal Cancer: Partners Colonoscopy Cohort

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Conventional adenomas (CAs) and serrated polyps (SPs) are precursors to colorectal cancer (CRC). Understanding metachronous cancer risk is poor due to lack of accurate large-volume datasets. We outline the use of natural language processing (NLP) in forming the Partners Colonoscopy Cohort, an integrated longitudinal cohort of patients undergoing colonoscopies.

METHODS

We identified endoscopy quality data from endoscopy reports for colonoscopies performed from 2007 to 2018 in a large integrated healthcare system, Mass General Brigham). Through modification of an established NLP pipeline, we extracted histopathological data (polyp location, histology and dysplasia) from corresponding pathology reports. Pathology and endoscopy data were merged by polyp location using a four-stage algorithm. NLP and merging procedures were validated by manual review of 500 pathology reports.

RESULTS

305,656 colonoscopies in 213,924 patients were identified. After merging, 76,137 patients had matched polyp data for 334,750 polyps. CAs and SPs were present in 86,707 (28.5%) and 55,373 (18.2%) colonoscopies. Among patients with polyps at index screening colonoscopy, 14,931 (33.4%) had follow-up colonoscopy (median 46.4, interquartile range 33.8-62.4 months); 91 (0.2%) and 1127 (2.5%) patients developed metachronous CRC and high-risk polyps (polyps ≥ 10 mm or CAs having high-grade dysplasia/villous/tublovillous histology or SPs with dysplasia). Genetic data were available for 23,787 (31.7%) patients with polyps from the Partners Biobank. The validation study showed a positive predictive value of 100% for polyp histology and locations.

CONCLUSION

We created the Partners Colonoscopy Cohort providing essential infrastructure for future studies to better understand the natural history of CRC and improve screening and post-polypectomy strategies.

Higher Adenoma Detection Rates at Screening Associated With Lower Long-Term Colorectal Cancer Incidence and Mortality

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Detection and removal of adenomas reduces colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. The impact of adenoma detection rates (ADRs) on long-term CRC incidence and mortality is unknown. We investigated this using data from the UK Flexible Sigmoidoscopy Screening Trial.

METHODS

Of 167,882 UK Flexible Sigmoidoscopy Screening Trial participants, 40,085 were in the intervention arm and underwent flexible sigmoidoscopy screening at 13 trial centers. The median follow-up time was 17 years. At each center, 1 endoscopist performed most flexible sigmoidoscopies. Multivariable logistic regression was used to classify centers into high-, intermediate-, and low-detector groups based on their main endoscopist's ADR. We calculated the incidence and mortality of distal and all-site CRC, and estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Five, 4, and 4 centers, respectively, were classified into the high-detector, intermediate-detector, and low-detector groups. The average ADRs in each respective group were 15%, 12%, and 9%. Distal CRC incidence and mortality were reduced among those screened compared with controls in all groups, and effects of screening varied significantly by detector ranking, with larger reductions in incidence and mortality seen in the high-detector group (incidence: HR, 0.34; 95% CI, 0.27-0.42; mortality: HR, 0.22, 95% CI, 0.13-0.37) than in the low-detector group (incidence: HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.44-0.68; mortality: HR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.34-0.86). Similar results were observed for all-site CRC, with larger effects seen in the high-detector (incidence: HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.50-0.67; mortality: HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.39-0.69) than in the low-detector group (incidence: HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.61-0.85; mortality: HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.51-0.92), although the heterogeneity was not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher ADRs at screening provide greater long-term protection against CRC incidence and mortality. Isrctn.org, number: ISRCTN28352761.

Colorectal Cancer Screening - Approach, Evidence, and Future Directions

Colorectal Cancer ScreeningScreening for colorectal cancer is widespread and successful but screening programs across the globe differ in their recommendations. In this article, Helsingen and Kalager review the evidence for different approaches to colorectal cancer screening and propose a framework for the evaluation of screening programs going forward.

Future incidence and mortality of colorectal carcinoma in the United States: an updated overview of risk factors and preventative measures

According to the Global Cancer Observatory (GLOBOCAN) 2020, colorectal carcinoma (CRC) was the second leading cause of cancer death globally. Current literature utilizes reported databases such as Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) to better understand the epidemiology of CRC. The global cancer observatory’s “Cancer Tomorrow” data visualization tools was used to predict the future incidence and mortality of colorectal cancers until 2030 as a guided tool to look over ways to reduce incidence by controlling risk factors of CRC. The total number of CRC is expected to rise by 2030, with a percent change of 17.3%. The expected percent change in colon cancer is more than rectal cancer (19.8% vs. 11.6%). The estimated number of deaths secondary to CRC is expected to increase in 2030, an estimated percent change of 22.2%. The incidence and mortality rate was higher in men vs. women; however, the gap seems to be closing on trend analysis. Major risk factors for CRC include familial syndromes, family history, race, gender, obesity, diet, alcohol, and smoking. Risk can be reduced by exercise and dietary changes, fiber intake, vitamin D, calcium, and minerals. Individualized screening based on age, gender, and additional risk factors could be an option that needs further comparative data to propose a definitive benefit over established screening guidelines.

Long-term cumulative incidence of metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasia after colonoscopy and a novel risk factor: a cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Long-term cumulative incidence of and risk factors for metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasia, including both advanced colorectal adenoma (≥10 mm, or with villous or high-grade dysplasia) and colorectal cancer, are critical for surveillance strategies. The aim of this study was to determine the cumulative incidence of metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasia and its risk factors.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 6720 consecutive individuals who underwent general health check-ups and colonoscopy. Colorectal adenomas at initial colonoscopy were categorized as low-risk (1-2 small [<10 mm] tubular adenomas) or high-risk adenoma (≥3 tubular adenomas of any size; at least one adenoma ≥10 mm; or villous adenoma or adenoma with high-grade dysplasia). Kaplan-Meier estimates and hazard ratio by Cox-proportional hazard regression were calculated.

RESULTS

The cumulative incidence (95% confidence interval [CI]) of metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasia at 5 and 10 years was 5.7% [4.6-7.1], and 11% [8.9-14] in the low-risk adenoma group, and 10% [8.6-13], and 17% [14-21] in high-risk adenoma group, respectively. Adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI] of low-risk adenoma (vs. no colorectal adenoma), high-risk adenoma (vs. no colorectal adenoma), current smoking and positive fecal immunochemical test were 1.34 [1.04-1.74], 1.94 [1.48-2.55], 1.55 [1.2-2.02] and 1.69 [1.35-2.1], respectively. Adjusted hazard ratio [95% CI] of positive fecal immunochemical test was 1.88 [1.29-2.74] in those with normal colonoscopy.

CONCLUSIONS

Both low-risk and high-risk adenomas confer substantial risk for metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasia at 10 years. Positive fecal immunochemical test was a significant risk factor for metachronous advanced colorectal neoplasia despite normal colonoscopy.

The influence of the surveillance time interval on the risk of advanced neoplasia after non-advanced adenoma removal

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the incidence of advanced neoplasia (colorectal cancer or advanced adenoma) at surveillance colonoscopy following removal of non-advanced adenoma; to determine whether the time interval before surveillance colonoscopy influences the likelihood of advanced neoplasia.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING, PARTICIPANTS

Patients enrolled in a South Australian surveillance colonoscopy program with findings of non-advanced adenoma during 1999-2016 who subsequently underwent surveillance colonoscopy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Incidence of advanced neoplasia at follow-up surveillance colonoscopy.

RESULTS

Advanced neoplasia was detected in 169 of 965 eligible surveillance colonoscopies (18%) for 904 unique patients (median age, 62.0 years; interquartile range [IQR], 54.0-69.0 years), of whom 570 were men (59.1%). The median interval between the initial and surveillance procedures was 5.2 years (IQR, 4.4-6.0 years; range, 2.0-14 years). Factors associated with increased risk of advanced neoplasia at follow-up included age (per year: odds ratio [OR], 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.05), prior history of adenoma (OR, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.01-2.15), two non-advanced adenomas identified at baseline procedure (v one: OR, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.18-2.57), and time to surveillance colonoscopy (OR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.08-1.37). The estimated incidence of advanced neoplasia was 19% five years after non-advanced adenoma removal, and 30% at ten years.

CONCLUSIONS

Increasing the surveillance colonoscopy interval beyond five years after removal of non-advanced adenoma increases the risk of detection of advanced neoplasia at follow-up colonoscopy.

Colonoscopy screening and surveillance guidelines

The Colonoscopy Screening and Surveillance Guidelines were developed by the Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society as basic guidelines based on the scientific methods. The importance of endoscopic screening and surveillance for both detection and post-treatment follow-up of colorectal cancer has been recognized as essential to reduce disease mortality. There is limited high-level evidence in this field; therefore, we had to focus on the consensus of experts. These clinical practice guidelines consist of 20 clinical questions and eight background knowledge topics that have been determined as the current guiding principles.

Risk of Colorectal Cancer and Cancer Related Mortality After Detection of Low-risk or High-risk Adenomas, Compared With No Adenoma, at Index Colonoscopy: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The risk of metachronous colorectal cancer (CRC) among patients with no adenomas, low-risk adenomas (LRAs), or high-risk adenomas (HRAs), detected at index colonoscopy, is unclear. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to compare incidence rates of metachronous CRC and CRC-related mortality after a baseline colonoscopy for each group.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed, Embase, Google Scholar, and Cochrane databases for studies that reported the incidence of CRC and adenoma characteristics after colonoscopy. The primary outcome was odds of metachronous CRC and CRC-related mortality per 10,000 person-years of follow-up after baseline colonoscopy for all the groups.

RESULTS

Our final analysis included 12 studies with 510,019 patients (mean age, 59.2 ± 2.6 years; 55% male; mean duration of follow up, 8.5 ± 3.3 years). The incidence of CRC per 10,000 person-years was marginally higher for patients with LRAs compared to those with no adenomas (4.5 vs 3.4; odds ratio [OR], 1.26; 95% CI, 1.06-1.51; I²=0), but significantly higher for patients with HRAs compared to those with no adenoma ( 13.8 vs 3.4; odds ratio [OR], 2.92; 95% CI, 2.31-3.69; I²=0 ) and patients with HRAs compared to LRAs (13.81 vs 4.5; OR, 2.35; 95% CI, 1.72-3.20; I²=55%). However, the CRC-related mortality per 10,000 person-years did not differ significantly for patients with LRAs compared to no adenomas (OR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.76-1.74; I²=0) but was significantly higher in persons with HRAs compared with LRAs (OR, 2.48; 95% CI, 1.30-4.75; I²=38%) and no adenomas (OR, 2.69; 95% CI, 1.87-3.87; I²=0).

CONCLUSIONS

The results of this systematic review and meta-analysis demonstrate that the risk of metachronous CRC and mortality is significantly higher for patients with HRAs, but this risk is very low in patients with LRAs, comparable to patients with no adenomas. Follow-up of patients with LRAs detected at index colonoscopy should be the same as for persons with no adenomas.

Predictors of Metachronous Risk Polyps After Index Colonoscopy

INTRODUCTION

Guidelines for surveillance after polypectomy are lacking in strong evidence. Our aim was to identify some precursors of colorectal cancer lesions at 3 years after polypectomy to improve stratification and surveillance programs.

METHODS

We included patients with high-risk lesions (HRLs), defined as advanced adenoma (AA), large serrated polyps (SPs), and multiplicity (≥3 of any adenomas/SPs). Data on age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors, pharmacological treatment, and the histological characteristics in each individual, and mutations in genes involved in the most advanced index polyp, were collected. Parameters independently associated with a metachronous HRL diagnosis were evaluated through univariate and multivariate analyses. The results are reported as odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals along with P values.

RESULTS

A total of 537 cases (median age: 60.7 years; 66% male) were included. Dyslipidemia and smoking correlated with metachronous HRLs. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the presence of multiplicity with ≥3 polyps on the index colonoscopy was significantly associated with metachronous HRL, AA, proximal AA, and ≥3 polyps at 3 years. In addition, independent predictors of metachronous proximal AA were increasing age, female sex, and the loss of expression of the MLH1 protein.

DISCUSSION

Multiplicity was a strong predictor of HRLs at 3 years, although the inclusion of other clinical variables (age, sex, smoking status, and dyslipidemia) improves surveillance recommendations. Without these risk factors, the surveillance could be extended to 5 years; we propose examining the somatic expression of MHL1 in all patients.

Colonoscopy and polypectomy: beside age, size of polyps main factor for long-term risk of colorectal cancer in a screening population

PURPOSE

Despite national and international guideline recommendations, few studies have been conducted to estimate the impact of colonoscopy screening on long-term colorectal cancer incidence. Aim of this study was to determine the long-term impact of a full colonoscopy with polypectomy on colorectal cancer incidence in a large screening population.

METHODS

In this prospective observational cohort study, a total of 10,947 colonoscopy screening participants from within the scope of the Munich Cancer Registry were consecutively recruited from participating gastroenterology practices and their subsequent colorectal cancer incidence assessed. Predictive factors associated with colorectal cancer were also evaluated in univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 14.24 years (95% CI [14.21-14.25]), 93 colorectal cancer cases were observed. This is equivalent to a truncated age-standardized rate of 69.0 (95% CI [43.3-94.7]) for male and 43.4 (95% CI [29.4-57.5]) for female participants (≥ 50 years at colonoscopy). The ratio of this observed to the expected rate from cancer registry data showed a 67% decrease in colorectal cancer incidence in the male and 65% in the female participants (p < 0.0001). In multivariate analysis of screening patients, age at screening (p < 0.0001) was the main predictive factor for colorectal cancer. In the subgroup with positive polyp findings, age (p < 0.0001) and the polyp size (p = 0.0002) were associated with colorectal cancer.

CONCLUSION

These results underline the significance of a full colonoscopy screening combined with polypectomy in reducing the total disease burden of colorectal cancer.

Stay on Top: COVID-19 As an Opportunity to Improve the GI Scientific Career - The Impact on Papers and Literature

The main barrier for a young researcher in the field of endoscopy is that too much is known about virtually every aspect not only of the natural history, but also of the efficacy and safety of different Gastrointestinal (GI) techniques. The main fuel for research remains uncertainty, and this has been the primary characteristic of COVID-19. The unprecedented visibility of the main papers on the natural history and medical management of COVID-19 on all the main worldwide medical Journals has had an effect of drainage on the reports of COVID-19 in GI endoscopy, suddenly opening up the interest of main GI journals to this topic. Furthermore, given the nature and the urgency of the topic, these high-ranking journals have accepted study designs outside rigorous randomized controlled trials and/or systematic reviews and meta-analysis, what used to be the "conditio sine qua non" for being considered for publication. Suddenly, rigorous guidelines have been replaced by expert-derived suggestions on the basis that the best possible guidance is better than no guidance. This situation has been a great occasion for young researchers to gain visibility even without having access to the complex means and long time-spans needed to finalize a randomized trial.

Increased expression of IGF-1Ec with increasing colonic polyp dysplasia and colorectal cancer

PURPOSE

IGF-1Ec is an isoform of Insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) and has recently been identified to be overexpressed in cancers including prostate and neuroendocrine tumours. The aim of this paper is to investigate the expression of IGF-1Ec in colorectal cancer and polyps compared to normal colon tissues and its association with recurrent disease using semi-quantitative immunohistochemistry.

METHODS

Immunohistochemistry for IGF-1Ec expression was performed for colorectal cancer, colorectal polyps and normal colonic tissues. The quantification of IGF-1Ec expression was performed with the use of Image J software and the IHC profiler plugin. Following ethics approval from the National Research Ethics Service (Reference 11/LO/1521), clinical information including recurrent disease on follow-up was collected for patients with colorectal cancer.

RESULTS

Immunohistochemistry was performed in 16 patients with colorectal cancer and 11 patients with colonic polyps and compared to normal colon tissues and prostate adenocarcinoma (positive control) tissues. Significantly increased expression of IGF-1Ec was demonstrated in colorectal cancer (p < 0.001) and colorectal polyps (p < 0.05) compared to normal colonic tissues. Colonic adenomas with high-grade dysplasia had significantly higher expression of IGF-1Ec compared to low-grade dysplastic adenomas (p < 0.001). Colorectal cancers without lymph node metastases at the time of presentation had significantly higher IGF-1Ec expression compared to lymph node-positive disease (p < 0.05). No correlation with recurrent disease was identified with IGF-1Ec expression.

CONCLUSION

IGF-1Ec is significantly overexpressed in colorectal cancer and polyps compared to normal colon tissues offering a potential target to improve colonoscopic identification of colorectal polyps and cancer and intraoperative identification of colorectal tumours.

Increased Risk of Colorectal Cancer Tied to Advanced Colorectal Polyps: An Untapped Opportunity to Screen First-Degree Relatives and Decrease Cancer Burden

Advanced adenomas represent a subset of colorectal polyps that are known to confer an increased risk of colorectal neoplasia to the affected individual and their first-degree relatives (FDRs). Accordingly, professional guidelines suggest earlier and more intensive screening for FDRs of those with advanced adenomas similar to FDRs of those with colorectal cancer (CRC). Although the risk to family members is less clear among patients with advanced serrated polyps, they are often considered in the same category. Unfortunately, there is a growing concern that patients, endoscopists, and primary care providers are unaware of the familial risk associated with these polyps, leaving a wide gap in screening these high-risk individuals. Herein, we propose a standardized language around advanced colorectal polyps and present a detailed review of the literature on associated familial risk. We outline the challenges to implementing the current screening recommendations and suggest approaches to overcome these limitations, including a proposed new colonoscopy quality metric to capture communication of familial CRC risk. Improving screening in these high-risk groups has the potential to substantially reduce the burden of CRC.

Post-polypectomy surveillance colonoscopy: are we following the guidelines?

PURPOSE

Polyps are a common finding on colonoscopy procedures. After completing polypectomy, patients are to be followed up with endoscopy. The purpose of the study was to assess the adherence of gastroenterologists to international post-polypectomy guidelines.

METHODS

Israeli gastroenterologists answered a questionnaire, consisting of 30 items, regarding the recommendation for post-polypectomy surveillance following colonoscopy.

RESULTS

One hundred and twelve gastroenterologists, representing 23% of the total number of Israeli gastroenterologists, participated in this study, by responding to the web-based questionnaire (mean age is 47 ± 10 years, males, 74 (66%)). From the total responses, 57.4% were compatible with the updated European post-polypectomy guidelines. The recommendations appeared remarkably inappropriate when applied to polyps that were identified as having low-risk tubular adenoma, tubular adenoma with high-grade dysplasia, and small serrated adenoma. In 37.2% of questionnaires, the recommended time to follow-up colonoscopy was shorter than currently stated in the guidelines. The appropriate polypectomy technique was chosen by 62% of the responses. Gastroenterologists younger than 45 years of age adhered more strongly to the international guidelines, particularly in cases of piecemeal polypectomy or high-risk adenoma polypectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

Gastroenterologists follow the clinical guidelines for post-polypectomy surveillance intervals partially. 57.4% of the recommendations were compatible with the guidelines, whereas 37% of the recommendations were for shorter interval.

Preoperative CT Colonography in Partially Obstructed Colon Cancer, and its Benefit in Surgical Management

Background and aims

Stenotic colorectal carcinoma impending obstruction (SCRCIO) is a frequently encountered situation complicating 10% to 19% of colorectal cancers. This group of patients cannot undergo complete colonoscopic assessment. The aim of this study is to examine the accuracy of computed tomographic colonography (CTC) as preoperative assessment of the colon of patients with SCRCIO and to measure the effect on the surgical decision.

Materials and methods

This was a prospective study, from September 2009 through December 2012, on a cohort of symptomatic adult patients with SCRCIO. Patients underwent CTC evaluation after failed conventional colonoscopy (CC), followed by a follow-up endoscopic examination 3–6 months after surgical treatment.

Results

Twenty-nine patients with an average age of 55 were included in this study; the majority of stenotic masses were located in the sigmoid colon. Preoperative CTC matched the colonoscopy location of the stenotic masses (17 patients). CTC sensitivity per stenotic lesion detection was 100% and 92.5% for the location. Sensitivity was 100% for synchronous lesions, and CTC changed surgical plan in 17% of the patients.

Conclusion

CTC presented high sensitivity, specificity and accuracy for the identification of colonic lesions of any size. Preoperative CTC may possibly become the diagnostic procedure of choice for SCRCIO patients. It enables surgeons to evaluate the entire colon, minimizing the possibility of surgical re-intervention if there is a finding of synchronous neoplastic lesions at postoperative follow-up endoscopy.

Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) involvement in epithelial-derived cancers and its current antibody-based immunotherapies

The epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) is a transmembrane glycoprotein that is part of the family of tyrosine kinase receptors. The binding of EGFR to its cognate ligands leads to its autophosphorylation and subsequent activation of the signal transduction pathways involved in regulating cellular proliferation, differentiation, and survival. Accordingly, this receptor carries out both redundant and restricted functions in the germline development of mammals and in the maintenance of various adult tissues. Correspondingly, the loss of EGFR regulation results in many human diseases, with the most notable cancer. This receptor is overexpressed and/or mutated in multiple epithelial-derived tumors, and associated with poor prognosis and survival in cancer patients. Here, we discuss in detail the role of EGFR in specific epithelial-derived cancer pathologies; these include lung cancer, colorectal cancer, and squamous cell carcinomas. The development of multiple anticancer agents against EGFR diminished the progression and metastasis of tumors. Some of the most versatile therapeutic anti-EGFR agents include the monoclonal antibodies (mAbs), demonstrating success in clinical settings when used in combination with cytotoxic treatments, such as chemotherapy and/or radiation. We thus discuss the development and application of two of the most notable therapeutic mAbs, cetuximab, and panitumumab, currently utilized in various EGFR-related epithelial cancers.

Long-term Risk of Colorectal Cancer and Related Death After Adenoma Removal in a Large, Community-based Population

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The long-term risks of colorectal cancer (CRC) and CRC-related death following adenoma removal are uncertain. Data are needed to inform evidence-based surveillance guidelines, which vary in follow-up recommendations for some polyp types. Using data from a large, community-based integrated health care setting, we examined the risks of CRC and related death by baseline colonoscopy adenoma findings.

METHODS

Participants at 21 medical centers underwent baseline colonoscopies from 2004 through 2010; findings were categorized as no-adenoma, low-risk adenoma, or high-risk adenoma. Participants were followed until the earliest of CRC diagnosis, death, health plan disenrollment, or December 31, 2017. Risks of CRC and related deaths among the high- and low-risk adenoma groups were compared with the no-adenoma group using Cox regression adjusting for confounders.

RESULTS

Among 186,046 patients, 64,422 met eligibility criteria (54.3% female; mean age, 61.6 ± 7.1 years; median follow-up time, 8.1 years from the baseline colonoscopy). Compared with the no-adenoma group (45,881 patients), the high-risk adenoma group (7563 patients) had a higher risk of CRC (hazard ratio [HR] 2.61; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.87-3.63) and related death (HR 3.94; 95% CI 1.90-6.56), whereas the low-risk adenoma group (10,978 patients) did not have a significant increase in risk of CRC (HR 1.29; 95% CI 0.89-1.88) or related death (HR 0.65; 95% CI 0.19-2.18).

CONCLUSIONS

With up to 14 years of follow-up, high-risk adenomas were associated with an increased risk of CRC and related death, supporting early colonoscopy surveillance. Low-risk adenomas were not associated with a significantly increased risk of CRC or related deaths. These results can inform current surveillance guidelines for high- and low-risk adenomas.

Long-term Risk of Colorectal Cancer After Removal of Conventional Adenomas and Serrated Polyps

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Endoscopic screening reduces incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer (CRC) because precursor lesions, such as conventional adenomas or serrated polyps, are removed. Individuals with polypectomies are advised to undergo colonoscopy surveillance to prevent CRC. However, guidelines for surveillance intervals after diagnosis of a precursor lesion, particularly for individuals with serrated polyps, vary widely, and lack sufficient supporting evidence. Consequently, some high-risk patients do not receive enough surveillance and lower-risk subjects receive excessive surveillance.

METHODS

We examined the association between findings from first endoscopy and CRC risk among 122,899 participants who underwent flexible sigmoidoscopy or colonoscopy in the Nurses' Health Study 1 (1990-2012), Nurses' Health Study 2 (1989-2013), or the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1990-2012). Endoscopic findings were categorized as no polyp, conventional adenoma, or serrated polyp (hyperplastic polyp, traditional serrated adenoma, or sessile serrated adenoma, with or without cytological dysplasia). Conventional adenomas were classified as advanced (≥10 mm, high-grade dysplasia, or tubulovillous or villous histology) or nonadvanced, and serrated polyps were assigned to categories of large (≥10 mm) or small (<10 mm). We used a Cox proportional hazards regression model to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) of CRC incidence, after adjusting for various potential risk factors.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up period of 10 years, we documented 491 incident cases of CRC: 51 occurred in 6161 participants with conventional adenomas, 24 in 5918 participants with serrated polyps, and 427 in 112,107 participants with no polyp. Compared with participants with no polyp detected during initial endoscopy, the multivariable HR for incident CRC in individuals with an advanced adenoma was 4.07 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.89-5.72) and the HR for CRC in individuals with a large serrated polyp was 3.35 (95% CI 1.37-8.15). In contrast, there was no significant increase in risk of CRC in patients with nonadvanced adenomas (HR 1.21; 95% CI 0.68-2.16, P = .52) or small serrated polyps (HR 1.25; 95% CI 0.76-2.08; P = .38).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings provide support for guidelines that recommend repeat lower endoscopy within 3 years of a diagnosis of advanced adenoma and large serrated polyps. In contrast, patients with nonadvanced adenoma or small serrated polyps may not require more intensive surveillance than patients without polyps.

Baseline Colonoscopy Findings Associated With 10-Year Outcomes in a Screening Cohort Undergoing Colonoscopy Surveillance

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Few studies have evaluated long-term outcomes of ongoing colonoscopic screening and surveillance in a screening population. We aimed to determine the 10-year risk for advanced neoplasia (defined as adenomas ≥10mm, adenomas with villous histology or high-grade dysplasia, or colorectal cancer [CRC]) and assessed whether baseline colonoscopy findings were associated with long-term outcomes.

METHODS

We collected data from the Department of Veterans Affairs Cooperative Studies Program Study on 3121 asymptomatic veterans (50-75 years old) who underwent a screening colonoscopy from 1994 through 1997 at 13 medical centers and were then followed for 10 years or until death. We included 1915 subjects with at least 1 surveillance colonoscopy and estimated cumulative incidence of advanced neoplasia by Kaplan-Meier curves. We then fit a longitudinal joint model to estimate risk of advanced neoplasia at each subsequent examination after baseline, adjusting for multiple colonoscopies within individuals.

RESULTS

Through 10 years of follow-up, there were 146 individuals among all baseline colonoscopy groups found to have at least 1 incident advanced neoplasia. The cumulative 10-year incidence of advanced neoplasia was highest among those with baseline CRC (43.7%; 95% CI 13.0%-74.4%), followed by those with baseline advanced adenoma (AA) (21.9%; 95% CI 15.7-28.1). The cumulative 10-year incidence of advanced neoplasia was 6.3% (95% CI 4.1%-8.5%) and 4.1% (95% CI 2.7%-5.4%) for baseline 1 to 2 small adenomas (<1cm, and without villous histology or high-grade dysplasia) and no neoplasia, respectively (log-rank P = .10). After adjusting for prior surveillance, the risk of advanced neoplasia at each subsequent examination was not significantly increased in veterans with 1 or 2 small adenomas at baseline (odds ratio 0.96; 95% CI 0.67-1.41) compared with veterans with no baseline neoplasia.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline screening colonoscopy findings associate with advanced neoplasia within 10 years. Individuals with only 1 or 2 small adenomas at baseline have a low risk of advanced neoplasia over 10 years. Alternative surveillance strategies, could be considered for these individuals.