Comparison of the predictive performance of adherence measures for virologic failure detection in people living with HIV: a systematic review and pairwise meta-analysis

Viral suppression and adherence in adolescents living with HIV in rural Tanzania

BACKGROUND

Adolescents living with HIV (ALHIV) in sub-Saharan Africa are affected by poor treatment outcomes, likely a consequence of poor adherence.

OBJECTIVES

To assess viral suppression rates and evaluate factors associated with achieving viral suppression and maintaining treatment adherence among ALHIV in rural Tanzania.

METHODS

Cross-sectional analysis of data from the Kilombero and Ulanga Antiretroviral Cohort in Ifakara, Tanzania, including adolescents aged 10-19 years on antiretroviral treatment (ART) ≥6 months at the time point of their first viral load (VL) measurement after implementation of routine VL testing from August 2017 through December 2023. VL ≥1000 copies/ml was considered unsuppressed. We assessed agreement between adherence measures (self-report, pill box return, pill count and visual analogy scale) and viral suppression. Logistic regression was used to determine factors associated with viral suppression.

RESULTS

Of 319 included adolescents, 159 (50%) were male, 143 (45%) aged 10-13 years, 213 (74%) had disclosed their HIV status, 72 (23%) lived ≥50 kilometers from the clinic, 161 (55%) had a WHO stage III/IV and 80 (33%) had CD4 cell counts <500 cells/mm3. Overall, 249 (78%) adolescents were virally suppressed. Factors associated with viral suppression were having a CD4 cell count ≥500 cells/mm3 (adjusted Odds Ratio (aOR) 3.48; 95% CI 1.49-8.13) versus those with a CD4 cell count <500 cells/mm3, being on a dolutegravir-based regimen (aOR 12.6; 95% CI 2.50-68.7) versus those on a NNRTI based regimen. Female gender was associated with lower odds of having viral suppression (aOR 0.41; 95%CI 0.18-0.93). There was a weak to moderate agreement between adherence measures and VL suppression.

CONCLUSION

Adolescents in this rural cohort remain far behind the UNAIDS 95% viral suppression target with only 78% being virally suppressed. The weak to moderate associations between adherence assessment and viral suppression. Adolescents' HIV care models need to be strengthened in order to achieve viral suppression goals in this population.

Association of ART regimen and adherence to viral suppression: an observational study of a clinical population of people with HIV

Adherence to antiretroviral therapy (ART) is essential for the effective management of HIV, which includes keeping the HIV viral load undetectable. This study aimed to determine whether certain ART medications are more "forgiving" of poor adherence in achieving viral suppression. We identified subgroups of ART medication usage and determined the extent to which ART adherence is associated with viral suppression across those subgroups. Data came from claims and clinical records (2017-2019) of 3,552 HIV-positive adult members of a Medicaid managed care plan. Pharmacy fill data were examined to characterize ART medications using latent class analysis (LCA), which captures the complexity of real-world ART usage (i.e., multiple medications, ART switching). LCA yielded five ART medication patterns over three years, mostly characterized by recent medications and formulations of ART, though they varied in number of tablets and in medication class. Mixed effects logistic regression models were estimated to determine whether odds of viral suppression differed by ART adherence level. After adjusting for covariates, those with at least 90% adherence (i.e., 90 to < 95%) did not significantly differ from those with 95% adherence or greater in terms of viral suppression, which corroborates existing clinical recommendations. These findings can inform provider-patient communication for people with HIV, especially those who have difficulty maintaining adherence. This includes those experiencing unstable housing, mental health conditions, or substance use.

Comparing pill counts and patient self-reports versus DBS tenofovir concentrations as ART adherence measurements with virologic outcomes and HIV drug resistance in a cohort of adolescents and young adults failing ART in Harare, Zimbabwe

BACKGROUND

Monitoring adherence presents a challenge in adolescents and it is prudent to explore several options for determining their level of adherence. This study sought to determine ART adherence levels in adolescents and young adults (on a tenofovir-containing regimen) failing ART as measured by self-reports, pill counts and DBS tenofovir concentrations and to compare levels of agreement among the methods and determine the ability of each method to predict virological suppression.

METHODS

This was a cohort study involving 107 adolescents and young adults between 10 and 24 years failing ART with viral load > 400copies/ml at enrolment. Pill count (PC) records, self-reports (SR) and DBS tenofovir concentrations (done by liquid Chromatography with tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS)) were used to determine adherence in adolescent participants failing ART in Harare. The latter was used as the reference method with a cut-off of 64 ng/ml. Determination of DBS tenofovir concentrations was also performed to rule out inadequate viral response due to low cumulative drug exposure despite high adherence (≥90 %). Longitudinal analysis was performed to determine the correlation of viral loads (VL) with adherence. The Kappa (k) coefficient was used to evaluate the level of agreement among the 3 methods.

RESULTS

Poor level of agreement was found between PC records and DBS tenofovir concentrations (k = -0.115). Moderate agreement was found between DBS and SR methods (k = 0.0557). Slight agreement was found between PC and SR methods (k = 0.0078). Adherence was dependent on age at HIV diagnosis (p = 0.0184) and ART initiation (p = 0.0265). Participants who were adherent were six times more likely to be suppressed at end point than their non-adherent counterparts (OR=5.7 CI 2.1 - 16.5, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Self-reported measure of adherence and pill counts exhibited poor agreement with the reference method used i.e. DBS tenofovir concentrations and are thus not effective methods of predicting virological suppression.

TRIAL IDENTIFICATION

Participants in the present study were a subset of those in the PESU intervention ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02833441.

Detectable Virological Load and Associated Factors among People Living with HIV on Antiretroviral Treatment: A Retrospective Study

The complete and prolonged suppression of viral load is the primary objective of HAART in people living with HIV. Some people may experience therapeutic failure, while others may achieve virological suppression but are unable to maintain it, developing persistent or single detection of low-level viremia. This study aims to evaluate the determinants of a detectable viral load among patients on HAART to identify and address them promptly. In this retrospective study, all patients referring to the Infectious Disease Operative Unit of the Vito Fazzi Hospital in Lecce, Puglia, older than 18 years, receiving HAART for at least 12 months as of 30 June 2022, were included. For each patient, demographic characteristics such as age, sex, educational level, stable relationship, cohabitation, employment status, and information relating to habits and lifestyles such as physical activity, use of drugs, and substances or supplements for sport, abuse of alcohol, and smoking were collected. Degree of comorbidity was quantified according to the Charlson Comorbidity Index, and the presence of obesity and the COVID-19 infection was also considered. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were used to assess the association between patients' characteristics and the outcome. In the multivariable logistic regression model, the odds were lower for the duration of therapy (OR: 0.96; p = 0.0397), prescriber's perception of adherence to therapy (OR: 0.50; p < 0.0001), and Nadir CD4+ T-cell count (OR: 0.85; p = 0.0329), and higher for the presence of AIDS (OR: 1.89; p = 0.0423) and COVID-19 (OR: 2.31; p = 0.0182). Our findings support the early initiation of HAART to achieve virological suppression. Additionally, measures to improve adherence to therapy should be adopted to ensure better outcomes for patients.

Current ART, determinants for virologic failure and implications for HIV drug resistance: an umbrella review

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study is to investigate the incidence of determinants for virologic failure and to identify predisposing factors to enhance treatment efficacy. Tackling this global public health issue is the key to reducing the rate of virological failure and increasing the success of treatment for those living with HIV.

METHODS

This umbrella review delves into various aspects of current anti-retroviral therapy (ART) which is the primary treatment for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. Comprehensive searches were conducted in online databases including PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and Web of Science, up to May 26, 2023. Following the screening and selection of relevant articles, eligible articles were included in the data extraction. This study adhered to the PRISMA guideline to report the results and employed the NIH quality and bias risk assessment tool to ensure the quality of included studies.

RESULTS

In total, 40 review studies published from 2015 to 2023 were included. The bulk of these studies concurred on several major factors contributing to HIV drug resistance and virological failure. Key among these were medication adherence, baseline and therapeutic CD4 levels, the presence of co-infections, and the advanced clinical stage of the infection.

CONCLUSION

The resistance to HIV drugs and instances of determinants for virologic failure have a profound impact on the life quality of those infected with HIV. Primary contributors to this scenario include insufficient adherence to treatment, decreased CD4 T-cell count, elevated viral levels, and certain treatment regimens. Implementing appropriate interventions could address these issues. Sub-Saharan Africa exhibits elevated rates of determinants for virologic failure, attributed to the delay in HIV testing and diagnosis, and late initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART). It is essential to undertake further research aimed at enhancing the detection of resistance in HIV patients and mitigating viral failure by addressing these underlying causes.

Predictors of virologic outcome among people living with HIV who continue a protease inhibitor-based antiretroviral regimen following virologic failure with no or limited resistance

BACKGROUND

Treatment management after repeated failure of antiretroviral therapy (ART) is difficult due to resistance and adherence challenges. For people who have failed non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor-(NNRTI-) and protease inhibitor-(PI-) based regimens with no or limited resistance, remaining on PI-based ART is an option. Using data from an ART strategy trial (A5288) in low/middle-income countries which included this option, we explored whether predictors can be identified distinguishing those who experienced further virologic failure from those who achieved and maintained virologic suppression.

METHODS

A5288 enrolled people with confirmed HIV-1 RNA ≥ 1000 copies/mL after ≥ 24 weeks of PI-based ART and prior failure on NNRTI-based ART. This analysis focused on the 278 participants with no resistance to the PI being taken and no or limited nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) resistance, who continued their PI with flexibility to change NRTIs. Proportional hazards models were used to evaluate predictors of virologic failure during follow-up (VF: confirmed HIV-1 RNA ≥ 1000 copies/mL at ≥ 24 weeks of follow-up).

RESULTS

56% of participants were female. At study entry, median age was 40 years, time on ART 7.8 years, CD4 count 169 cells/mm3, HIV-1 RNA 20,444 copies/mL; and 37% had NRTI resistance. The estimated proportion experiencing VF increased from 39% at week 24 to 60% at week 96. In multivariable analysis, significant predictors at study entry of VF were higher HIV-1 RNA (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.20 for ≥ 10,000 versus < 10,000 copies/mL), lower age (1.96 for < 30 versus ≥ 30 years), NRTI resistance (1.74 for present versus absent), lower CD4 count (1.73 for < 200 versus ≥ 200 cells/mm3), and shorter ART duration (1.62 for < 10 versus ≥ 10 years). There was a strong trend in proportion with VF at week 96 with the number of these five risk factors that a participant had, varying from 8% for zero, to 31%, 40%, 73%, and 100% for one, two, three, and four/five. Only 13% of participants developed new NRTI or PI resistance mutations.

CONCLUSION

A simple count of five predictors might have value for identifying risk of continued VF. Novel antiretroviral and adherence support interventions are needed to improve virologic outcomes for higher risk individuals.

Determinants of Antiretroviral Treatment Success and Adherence in People With Human Immunodeficiency Virus Treated for Tuberculosis

BACKGROUND

In people with human immunodeficiency virus [HIV] presenting with advanced disease, rates of virologic success may be lower than expected. The Reflate TB2 trial did not show non-inferiority of raltegravir versus efavirenz in people with HIV (PWH) treated for tuberculosis. We aimed to identify factors associated with virologic success and higher adherence in the trial.

METHODS

In this analysis, we included participants enrolled in the Reflate TB2 trial with adherence data available. The primary outcome was virologic success (HIV-1 ribonucleic acid [RNA] <50 copies/mL) at week 48, and the secondary outcome was adherence as assessed by the pill count adherence ratio. We used logistic regression to study determinants of virologic success and optimal adherence in 2 separate analyses.

RESULTS

Four hundred forty-four participants were included in the present analysis. Over the 48-week follow-up period, 290 of 444 (65%) participants had a pill count adherence ratio ≥95%. At week 48, 288 of 444 (65%) participants were in virologic success. In the multivariate analysis, female sex (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.77; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16-2.72; P = .0084), lower baseline HIV-1 RNA levels (<100 000; aOR, 2.29; 95% CI, 1.33-3.96; P = .0087), and pill count adherence ratio ≥95% (aOR, 2.38; 95% CI, 1.56-3.62; P < .0001) were independently associated with virologic success. Antiretroviral pill burden was the only factor associated with pill count adherence ratio ≥95% (OR, 0.81; 95% CI, .71-.92; P = .0018).

CONCLUSIONS

In PWH with tuberculosis receiving raltegravir or efavirenz-based regimens, female sex, optimal adherence, and baseline HIV-1 RNA <100 000 copies/mL were associated with virologic success, and the number of antiretroviral tablets taken daily was a strong predictor of adherence.

Accuracy of measures for antiretroviral adherence in people living with HIV

BACKGROUND

Good patient adherence to antiretroviral (ART) medication determines effective HIV viral suppression, and thus reduces the risk of progression and transmission of HIV. With accurate methods to monitor treatment adherence, we could use simple triage to target adherence support interventions that could help in the community or at health centres in resource-limited settings.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the accuracy of simple measures of ART adherence (including patient self-report, tablet counts, pharmacy records, electronic monitoring, or composite methods) for detecting non-suppressed viral load in people living with HIV and receiving ART treatment.

SEARCH METHODS

The Cochrane Infectious Diseases Group Information Specialists searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, LILACS, CINAHL, African-Wide information, and Web of Science up to 22 April 2021. They also searched the World Health Organization (WHO) International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) and ClinicalTrials.gov for ongoing studies. No restrictions were placed on the language or date of publication when searching the electronic databases.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included studies of all designs that evaluated a simple measure of adherence (index test) such as self-report, tablet counts, pharmacy records or secondary database analysis, or both, electronic monitoring or composite measures of any of those tests, in people living with HIV and receiving ART treatment. We used a viral load assay with a limit of detection ranging from 10 copies/mL to 400 copies/mL as the reference standard. We created 2 × 2 tables to calculate sensitivity and specificity.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We screened studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias using QUADAS-2 independently and in duplicate. We assessed the certainty of evidence using the GRADE method. The results of estimated sensitivity and specificity were presented using paired forest plots and tabulated summaries. We encountered a high level of variation among studies which precluded a meaningful meta-analysis or comparison of adherence measures. We explored heterogeneity using pre-defined subgroup analysis.

MAIN RESULTS

We included 51 studies involving children and adults with HIV, mostly living in low- and middle-income settings, conducted between 2003 and 2021. Several studies assessed more than one index test, and the most common measure of adherence to ART was self-report. - Self-report questionnaires (25 studies, 9211 participants; very low-certainty): sensitivity ranged from 10% to 85% and specificity ranged from 10% to 99%. - Self-report using a visual analogue scale (VAS) (11 studies, 4235 participants; very low-certainty): sensitivity ranged from 0% to 58% and specificity ranged from 55% to 100%. - Tablet counts (12 studies, 3466 participants; very low-certainty): sensitivity ranged from 0% to 100% and specificity ranged from 5% to 99%. - Electronic monitoring devices (3 studies, 186 participants; very low-certainty): sensitivity ranged from 60% to 88% and the specificity ranged from 27% to 67%. - Pharmacy records or secondary databases (6 studies, 2254 participants; very low-certainty): sensitivity ranged from 17% to 88% and the specificity ranged from 9% to 95%. - Composite measures (9 studies, 1513 participants; very low-certainty): sensitivity ranged from 10% to 100% and specificity ranged from 49% to 100%. Across all included studies, the ability of adherence measures to detect viral non-suppression showed a large variation in both sensitivity and specificity that could not be explained by subgroup analysis. We assessed the overall certainty of the evidence as very low due to risk of bias, indirectness, inconsistency, and imprecision. The risk of bias and the applicability concerns for patient selection, index test, and reference standard domains were generally low or unclear due to unclear reporting. The main methodological issues identified were related to flow and timing due to high numbers of missing data. For all index tests, we assessed the certainty of the evidence as very low due to limitations in the design and conduct of the studies, applicability concerns and inconsistency of results.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

We encountered high variability for all index tests, and the overall certainty of evidence in all areas was very low. No measure consistently offered either a sufficiently high sensitivity or specificity to detect viral non-suppression. These concerns limit their value in triaging patients for viral load monitoring or enhanced adherence support interventions.

Assessing the impact of implementing multiple adherence measures to antiretroviral therapy from dispensing data: a short report

Pharmacy dispensing data are useful for estimating adherence to therapy. Here, we implement multiple adherence measures to antiretroviral therapy (ART) and provide an online tool for visualising results. We conducted a cohort study for 2,042 people dispensed ART in Australia. We assessed adherence using the Proportion of Days Covered (PDC) within 360 days of follow-up as a continuous measure and dichotomised (PDC ≥80%). We defined a covered day as the 1) exposure to ≥3 antiretrovirals at the same time 2) exposure to any antiretroviral 3) lowest number of days covered per antiretroviral 4) average of days covered over all antiretrovirals 5) highest number of days covered per antiretroviral. For each method, we conducted sensitivity analyses. The median PDC ranged between 93.3%-98.3%. Between 67.0%-87.7% of individuals were classified as adherent, with higher values for measure 2 (85.5%-89.7%) and lower values for measure 3 (67.0%-70.9%). Censoring loss to follow-up had a higher impact on adherence estimates than considering a grace period. The variation in adherence estimates can be substantial, especially when dichotomising adherence. Researchers should consider operationalising multiple measures to estimate adherence bounds and identify a range of people at risk of non-adherence for targeted interventions.

Outcomes and complications of hospitalised patients with HIV-TB co-infection

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis is one of the most common causes of hospitalisation in patients with HIV. Despite this, hospital outcomes of patients with this co-infection have rarely been described since antiretroviral therapy became widely available.

METHODS

Prospective cohort study of HIV-infected adult patients hospitalised with TB in six referral hospitals in Medellin, Colombia, from August 2014 to July 2015.

RESULTS

Among 128 HIV-infected patients hospitalised with tuberculosis, the mean age was 38.4 years; 79.7% were men. HIV was diagnosed on admission in 28.9% of patients. The median CD4 + T-cell count was 125 (±158 SD) cells/µL. Only 47.3% of patients with a known diagnosis of HIV upon admission were on antiretroviral therapy, and only 11.1% had a tuberculin skin test in the previous year. Drug toxicity due to tuberculosis medications occurred in 11.7% of patients. Mean length of stay was 23.2 days, and 10.7% of patients were readmitted. Mortality was 5.5%.

CONCLUSIONS

Hospital mortality attributable to tuberculosis in patients with HIV is low in reference hospitals in Colombia. Cases of tuberculosis in HIV-infected patients occur mainly in patients with advanced HIV, or not on antiretroviral therapy, despite a known diagnosis of HIV. Only one of every 10 patients in this cohort had active screening for latent tuberculosis, possibly reflecting missed treatment opportunities.

Week 96 results of a phase 3 trial of darunavir/cobicistat/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide in treatment-naive HIV-1 patients

BACKGROUND

Darunavir/cobicistat/emtricitabine/tenofovir alafenamide (D/C/F/TAF) 800/150/200/10 mg was investigated through 96 weeks in AMBER (NCT02431247).

METHODS

Treatment-naive, HIV-1-positive adults [screening plasma viral load ≥1000 copies/ml; CD4 cell count >50 cells/μl) were randomized (1 : 1) to D/C/F/TAF (N = 362) or D/C plus emtricitabine/tenofovir-disoproxil-fumarate (F/TDF) (N = 363) over at least 48 weeks. After week 48, patients could continue on or switch to D/C/F/TAF in an open-label extension phase until week 96.

RESULTS

At week 96, D/C/F/TAF exposure was 626 patient-years (D/C/F/TAF arm) and 109 patient-years (control arm post switch), week 96 virologic suppression (viral load <50 copies/ml; FDA-Snapshot, from baseline) was 85.1% (308/362) (D/C/F/TAF) and 83.7% (304/363) (control). Week 96 virologic failure (viral load ≥50 copies/ml; FDA-Snapshot) was 5.5% (20/362) and 4.4% (16/363), respectively. No darunavir, primary protease inhibitor or tenofovir resistance-associated mutations (RAMs) were observed post baseline. In one patient in each arm, an M184I and/or V RAM was detected. Few adverse event-related discontinuations (3% D/C/F/TAF; <1% control post switch) and no deaths occurred on D/C/F/TAF. Improved renal and bone parameters were maintained in the D/C/F/TAF arm and observed in the control arm post switch. Increases in total-cholesterol/high-density-lipoprotein--cholesterol rtio at week 96 were +0.25 versus baseline (D/C/F/TAF) and +0.24 versus switch (control).

CONCLUSION

At week 96, D/C/F/TAF resulted in high virologic response and low virologic failure rates, with no resistance development to darunavir or TAF/TDF. Bone, renal and lipid safety were consistent with known D/C/F/TAF component profiles. Control arm safety post switch was consistent with the D/C/F/TAF arm. AMBER week 96 results confirm the efficacy, high barrier to resistance and bone/renal safety benefits of D/C/F/TAF for treatment-naive patients.

Syndemic factors associated with adherence to antiretroviral therapy among HIV-positive adult heterosexual men

BACKGROUND

Suboptimal adherence to HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART) and concomitant lack of viral control can have severe consequences for health and onward transmission among persons living with HIV. Little is known about the barriers and facilitators of optimal ART adherence among heterosexual HIV-positive men.

METHODS

Structural equation modeling (SEM) was performed to test a theory-derived model of ART adherence using data from a cross-sectional sample of 317 HIV-positive self-identified heterosexual men residing in New York City. We assessed a conceptual model in which mental health (depression, anxiety) and substance use dependence mediated the effects of socio-structural factors (HIV-related stigma, social support) on ART adherence, and subsequently, undetectable viral load.

RESULTS

Structural equation modeling analyses indicated that men who reported higher levels of HIV-related stigma tended to experience higher levels of general anxiety, which in turn was associated with reduced probability of optimal ART adherence. Moreover, men who reported higher levels of social support tended to exhibit less dependence on illicit substance use, which in turn was associated with increased probability of optimal ART adherence. African-American men reported lower ART adherence compared to other racial/ethnic groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the hypothesis that substance use dependence and mental health problems, particularly anxiety, may be primary drivers of suboptimal ART adherence among heterosexual men, and that socio-structural factors such as HIV-related stigma and social support are potential modifiable antecedents of these drivers.