Current status and challenges in establishing reference intervals based on real-world data

Development of next-generation reference interval models to establish reference intervals based on medical data: current status, algorithms and future consideration

Evidence derived from laboratory medicine plays a pivotal role in the diagnosis, treatment monitoring, and prognosis of various diseases. Reference intervals (RIs) are indispensable tools for assessing test results. The accuracy of clinical decision-making relies directly on the appropriateness of RIs. With the increase in real-world studies and advances in computational power, there has been increased interest in establishing RIs using big data. This approach has demonstrated cost-effectiveness and applicability across diverse scenarios, thereby enhancing the overall suitability of the RI to a certain extent. However, challenges persist when tests results are influenced by age and sex. Reliance on a single RI or a grouping of RIs based on age and sex can lead to erroneous interpretation of results with significant implications for clinical decision-making. To address this issue, the development of next generation of reference interval models has arisen at an historic moment. Such models establish a curve relationship to derive continuously changing reference intervals for test results across different age and sex categories. By automatically selecting appropriate RIs based on the age and sex of patients during result interpretation, this approach facilitates clinical decision-making and enhances disease diagnosis/treatment as well as health management practices. Development of next-generation reference interval models use direct or indirect sampling techniques to select reference individuals and then employed curve fitting methods such as splines, polynomial regression and others to establish continuous models. In light of these studies, several observations can be made: Firstly, to date, limited interest has been shown in developing next-generation reference interval models, with only a few models currently available. Secondly, there are a wide range of methods and algorithms for constructing such models, and their diversity may lead to confusion. Thirdly, the process of constructing next-generation reference interval models can be complex, particularly when employing indirect sampling techniques. At present, normative documents pertaining to the development of next-generation reference interval models are lacking. In summary, this review aims to provide an overview of the current state of development of next-generation reference interval models by defining them, highlighting inherent advantages, and addressing existing challenges. It also describes the process, advanced algorithms for model building, the tools required and the diagnosis and validation of models. Additionally, a discussion on the prospects of utilizing big data for developing next-generation reference interval models is presented. The ultimate objective is to equip clinical laboratories with the theoretical framework and practical tools necessary for developing and optimizing next-generation reference interval models to establish next-generation reference intervals while enhancing the use of medical data resources to facilitate precision medicine.

Insulin reference intervals in Brazilian adolescents by direct and indirect approaches: validation of a data mining method from laboratory data

OBJECTIVE

To determine reference intervals (RI) for fasting blood insulin (FBI) in Brazilian adolescents, 12 to 17 years old, by direct and indirect approaches, and to validate indirectly determined RI.

METHODS

Two databases were used for RI determination. Database 1 (DB1), used to obtain RI through a posteriori direct method, consisted of prospectively selected healthy individuals. Database 2 (DB2) was retrospectively mined from an outpatient laboratory information system (LIS) used for the indirect method (Bhattacharya method).

RESULTS

From DB1, 29345 individuals were enrolled (57.65 % female) and seven age ranges and sex partitions were statistically determined according to mean FBI values: females: 12 and 13 years-old, 14 years-old, 15 years-old, 16 and 17 years-old; and males: 12, 13 and 14 years-old, 15 years-old, 16 and 17 years-old. From DB2, 5465 adolescents (67.5 % female) were selected and grouped according to DB1 partitions. The mean FBI level was significantly higher in DB2, on all groups. The RI upper limit (URL) determined by Bhattacharya method was slightly lower than the 90 % CI URL directly obtained on DB1, except for group female 12 and 13 years old. High agreement rates for diagnosing elevated FBI in all groups on DB1 validated indirect RI presented.

CONCLUSION

The present study demonstrates that Bhattacharya indirect method to determine FBI RI in adolescents can overcome some of the difficulties and challenges of the direct approach.

Unsupervised machine learning method for indirect estimation of reference intervals for chronic kidney disease in the Puerto Rican population

Reference intervals (RIs) for clinical laboratory values are extremely important for diagnostics and treatment of patients. However, the determination of these ranges is costly and time-consuming. As a result, often different unverified RIs are used in practice for the same analyte and the same range is used for all patients despite evidence that the values are gender, age, and ethnicity dependent. Moreover, the abnormal flags are rudimentary, merely indicating if a value is within the RI. At the same time, clinical lab data generated in the everyday medical practice contains a wealth of information, that given the correct methodology, can help determine the RIs for each specific segment of the population, including populations that suffer from health disparities. In this work, we develop unsupervised machine learning methods, based on Gaussian mixtures, to determine RIs of analytes related to chronic kidney disease, using millions of routine lab results for the Puerto Rican population. We show that the measures are both gender and age dependent and we find evidence for normal age-related organ function deterioration and failure. We also show that the joint distribution of measures improves the diagnostic value of the lab results.

The importance of patient-partnered research in addressing long COVID: Takeaways for biomedical research study design from the RECOVER Initiative's Mechanistic Pathways taskforce

The NIH-funded RECOVER study is collecting clinical data on patients who experience a SARS-CoV-2 infection. As patient representatives of the RECOVER Initiative's Mechanistic Pathways task force, we offer our perspectives on patient motivations for partnering with researchers to obtain results from mechanistic studies. We emphasize the challenges of balancing urgency with scientific rigor. We recognize the importance of such partnerships in addressing post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), which includes 'long COVID,' through contrasting objective and subjective narratives. Long COVID's prevalence served as a call to action for patients like us to become actively involved in efforts to understand our condition. Patient-centered and patient-partnered research informs the balance between urgency and robust mechanistic research. Results from collaborating on protocol design, diverse patient inclusion, and awareness of community concerns establish a new precedent in biomedical research study design. With a public health matter as pressing as the long-term complications that can emerge after SARS-CoV-2 infection, considerate and equitable stakeholder involvement is essential to guiding seminal research. Discussions in the RECOVER Mechanistic Pathways task force gave rise to this commentary as well as other review articles on the current scientific understanding of PASC mechanisms.