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Boesing M, Lüthi-Corridori G, Büttiker D, Hunziker M, Jaun F, Vaskyte U, Brändle M, Leuppi JD. The Predictive Performance of Risk Scores for the Outcome of COVID-19 in a 2-Year Swiss Cohort. Biomedicines 2024; 12:1702. [PMID: 39200167 PMCID: PMC11351214 DOI: 10.3390/biomedicines12081702] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2024] [Revised: 07/22/2024] [Accepted: 07/29/2024] [Indexed: 09/02/2024] Open
Abstract
Various scoring systems are available for COVID-19 risk stratification. This study aimed to validate their performance in predicting severe COVID-19 course in a large, heterogeneous Swiss cohort. Scores like the National Early Warning Score (NEWS), CURB-65, 4C mortality score (4C), Spanish Society of Infectious Diseases and Clinical Microbiology score (COVID-SEIMC), and COVID Intubation Risk Score (COVID-IRS) were assessed in patients hospitalized for COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021. Predictive accuracy for severe course (defined as all-cause in-hospital death or invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV)) was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves and the area under the curve (AUC). The new 'COVID-COMBI' score, combining parameters from the top two scores, was also validated. This study included 1,051 patients (mean age 65 years, 60% male), with 162 (15%) experiencing severe course. Among the established scores, 4C had the best accuracy for predicting severe course (AUC 0.76), followed by COVID-IRS (AUC 0.72). COVID-COMBI showed significantly higher accuracy than all established scores (AUC 0.79, p = 0.001). For predicting in-hospital death, 4C performed best (AUC 0.83), and, for IMV, COVID-IRS performed best (AUC 0.78). The 4C and COVID-IRS scores were robust predictors of severe COVID-19 course, while the new COVID-COMBI showed significantly improved accuracy but requires further validation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maria Boesing
- University Institute of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Baselland, 4410 Liestal, Switzerland
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Basel, 4056 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Giorgia Lüthi-Corridori
- University Institute of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Baselland, 4410 Liestal, Switzerland
| | - David Büttiker
- University Institute of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Baselland, 4410 Liestal, Switzerland
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Basel, 4056 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Mireille Hunziker
- University Institute of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Baselland, 4410 Liestal, Switzerland
| | - Fabienne Jaun
- University Institute of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Baselland, 4410 Liestal, Switzerland
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Basel, 4056 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Ugne Vaskyte
- University Institute of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Baselland, 4410 Liestal, Switzerland
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Basel, 4056 Basel, Switzerland
| | - Michael Brändle
- Department of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Sankt Gallen, 9000 Sankt Gallen, Switzerland
| | - Jörg D. Leuppi
- University Institute of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Baselland, 4410 Liestal, Switzerland
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Basel, 4056 Basel, Switzerland
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Li W, Martini J, Intaglietta M, Tartakovsky DM. Hypertonic treatment of acute respiratory distress syndrome. Front Bioeng Biotechnol 2023; 11:1250312. [PMID: 37936822 PMCID: PMC10627238 DOI: 10.3389/fbioe.2023.1250312] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2023] [Accepted: 10/02/2023] [Indexed: 11/09/2023] Open
Abstract
Many viral infections, including the COVID-19 infection, are associated with the hindrance of blood oxygenation due to the accumulation of fluid, inflammatory cells, and cell debris in the lung alveoli. This condition is similar to Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS). Mechanical positive-pressure ventilation is often used to treat this condition, even though it might collapse pulmonary capillaries, trapping red blood cells and lowering the lung's functional capillary density. We posit that the hyperosmotic-hyperoncotic infusion should be explored as a supportive treatment for ARDS. As a first step in verifying the feasibility of this ARDS treatment, we model the dynamics of alveolar fluid extraction by osmotic effects. These are induced by increasing blood plasma osmotic pressure in response to the increase of blood NaCl concentration. Our analysis of fluid drainage from a plasma-filled pulmonary alveolus, in response to the intravenous infusion of 100 ml of 1.28 molar NaCl solution, shows that alveoli empty of fluid in approximately 15 min. These modeling results are in accordance with available experimental and clinical data; no new data were collected. They are used to calculate the temporal change of blood oxygenation, as oxygen diffusion hindrance decreases upon absorption of the alveolar fluid into the pulmonary circulation. Our study suggests the extraordinary speed with which beneficial effects of the proposed ARDS treatment are obtained and highlight its practicality, cost-efficiency, and avoidance of side effects of mechanical origin.
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Affiliation(s)
- Weiyu Li
- Department of Energy Science and Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
| | - Judith Martini
- Department of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care Medicine, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria
| | - Marcos Intaglietta
- Department of Bioengineering, University of California, San Diego, San Diego, CA, United States
| | - Daniel M. Tartakovsky
- Department of Energy Science and Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
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Schultz MJ, Roca O, Shrestha GS. Global lessons learned from COVID-19 mass casualty incidents. Br J Anaesth 2021; 128:e97-e100. [PMID: 34865825 PMCID: PMC8590954 DOI: 10.1016/j.bja.2021.10.040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/14/2021] [Revised: 10/18/2021] [Accepted: 10/20/2021] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
With healthcare systems rapidly becoming overwhelmed and occupied by patients during a pandemic, effective and safe care for patients is easily compromised. During the course of the current pandemic, numerous treatment guidelines have been developed and published that have improved care for patients with COVID-19. Certain lessons have only been learned during the course of the outbreak, from which we can learn for future pandemics. This editorial aims to raise awareness about the importance of timely stockpiling of sufficient amounts of personal protection equipment and medications, adequate oxygen supplies, uninterrupted electricity, and fair locally adapted triage strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Marcus J Schultz
- Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit (MORU), Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand; Department of Intensive Care, Amsterdam University Medical Centers, Amsterdam, the Netherlands; Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
| | - Oriol Roca
- Servei de Medicina Intensiva, Hospital Vall d'Hebron, Barcelona, Spain; Ciber Enfermedades Respiratorias (CibeRes), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - Gentle S Shrestha
- Department of Anaesthesiology, Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital, Kathmandu, Nepal
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