Repeated influenza vaccination and hospitalization outcomes among older patients with cardiovascular or respiratory diseases

From respiratory diseases to nervous system disorders: Unraveling the certified causes of influenza-associated deaths in Poland from 2000 to 2019

Background

This study aims to accurately estimate influenza-associated deaths in Poland and their certified cause of death, due to significant discrepancies between official numbers and expected impact.

Methods

Excess influenza-associated mortality in Poland from 2000 to 2019 was calculated using Seasonal-Trend Decomposition Procedure based on LOESS (STL), which can detect non-linear trends and non-sinusoidal cycles. Excess mortality was then used as an explanatory variable in a model predicting monthly fluctuations of officially recorded causes of death from 2010 to 2019.

Results

A total of 142,000 conservative estimates of influenza-associated deaths were identified, representing 1.86% of overall mortality. Only 0.61% of influenza-associated deaths were officially recorded as influenza. Nearly half of certified influenza deaths were attributed to the seasonal baseline mortality, potentially doubling estimated impact based solely on influenza peaks. Influenza-associated deaths were frequently recorded as respiratory diseases (24.36%), with majority attributed to underlying conditions such as cardiovascular diseases (45.31%), cancer (9.06%), or diabetes (2.66%). Influenza-associated deaths were more commonly certified as nervous system diseases (1.84%) or mental disorders (1.04%), rather than influenza itself. There was a noticeable impact of influenza on secondary infections, such as meningococcal and gastrointestinal infections.

Conclusion

These findings highlight the importance of improved estimation for informing public health policy decisions.

Effectiveness of influenza vaccination on in-hospital death in older adults with respiratory diseases

Influenza vaccination is associated with lower risk of hospitalization outcomes among older adults with respiratory diseases, but there is limited evidence by disease subtypes and patients' characteristics. This study included patients aged ≥60 years hospitalized for respiratory diseases from the Beijing Urban Employee Basic Medical Insurance database during 6 influenza seasons. Vaccination status was assessed by linking with the Beijing Elderly Influenza Vaccination database. Multi-variable logistic regression was performed to calculate effect estimates. After adjusting for measured and unmeasured confounders, influenza vaccination was associated with a lower risk of in-hospital death among older adults hospitalized for respiratory diseases (odds ratio [95% confidence interval], 0.70 [0.62-0.80]). The protective association was observed among patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (0.67 [0.47-0.98]) as well as those with pneumonia or influenza (0.77 [0.64-0.93]). The protective association was stronger in younger patients (0.59 [0.43-0.81] for <75 and 0.72 [0.63-0.83] for ≥75) and those with fewer comorbidities (0.49 [0.16-1.62] for 0, 0.65 [0.50-0.86] for 1-2, and 0.72 [0.63-0.83] for ≥3 comorbidities). Influenza vaccination was associated with lower risk of in-hospital death among older patients hospitalized for respiratory diseases, with stronger associations in patients with younger age and fewer comorbidities.