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Carrim M, Tempia S, Thindwa D, Martinson NA, Kahn K, Flasche S, Hellferscee O, Treurnicht FK, McMorrow ML, Moyes J, Mkhencele T, Mathunjwa A, Kleynhans J, Lebina L, Mothlaoleng K, Wafawanaka F, Gómez-Olivé FX, Cohen C, von Gottberg A, Wolter N. Unmasking Pneumococcal Carriage in a High Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Prevalence Population in two Community Cohorts in South Africa, 2016-2018: The PHIRST Study. Clin Infect Dis 2023; 76:e710-e717. [PMID: 35717655 PMCID: PMC10169447 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciac499] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2022] [Revised: 06/09/2022] [Accepted: 06/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Longitudinal pneumococcus colonization data in high human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalence settings following pneumococcal conjugate vaccine introduction are limited. METHODS In 327 randomly selected households, 1684 individuals were enrolled and followed-up for 6 to 10 months during 2016 through 2018 from 2 communities. Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected twice weekly and tested for pneumococcus using quantitative lytA real-time polymerase chain reaction. A Markov model was fitted to the data to define the start and end of an episode of colonization. We assessed factors associated with colonization using logistic regression. RESULTS During the study period, 98% (1655/1684) of participants were colonized with pneumococcus at least once. Younger age (<5 years: adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 14.1; 95% confidence [CI], 1.8-111.3, and 5-24 years: aOR, 4.8, 95% CI, 1.9-11.9, compared with 25-44 years) and HIV infection (aOR, 10.1; 95% CI, 1.3-77.1) were associated with increased odds of colonization. Children aged <5 years had fewer colonization episodes (median, 9) than individuals ≥5 years (median, 18; P < .001) but had a longer episode duration (<5 years: 35.5 days; interquartile range, 17-88) vs. ≥5 years: 5.5 days (4-12). High pneumococcal loads were associated with age (<1 year: aOR 25.4; 95% CI, 7.4-87.6; 1-4 years: aOR 13.5, 95% CI 8.3-22.9; 5-14 years: aOR 3.1, 95% CI, 2.1-4.4 vs. 45-65 year old patients) and HIV infection (aOR 1.7; 95% CI 1.2-2.4). CONCLUSIONS We observed high levels of pneumococcus colonization across all age groups. Children and people with HIV were more likely to be colonized and had higher pneumococcal loads. Carriage duration decreased with age highlighting that children remain important in pneumococcal transmission.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maimuna Carrim
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Stefano Tempia
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Influenza Program, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Pretoria, South Africa
- MassGenics, Duluth, Georgia, USA
| | - Deus Thindwa
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi
| | - Neil A Martinson
- Perinatal HIV Research Unit, MRC Soweto Matlosana Collaborating Centre for HIV/AIDS and TB, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
- DST/NRF Centre of Excellence for Biomedical Tuberculosis Research, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
- Johns Hopkins University Center for TB Research, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Kathleen Kahn
- MRC/Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Stefan Flasche
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Orienka Hellferscee
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Florette K Treurnicht
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
- Department of Virology, National Health Laboratory Service, Charlotte Maxeke Johannesburg Academic Hospital, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Meredith L McMorrow
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
- Influenza Program, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Jocelyn Moyes
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Thulisa Mkhencele
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Azwifarwi Mathunjwa
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Jackie Kleynhans
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Limakatso Lebina
- Perinatal HIV Research Unit, MRC Soweto Matlosana Collaborating Centre for HIV/AIDS and TB, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
- Africa Health Research Institute, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
| | - Katlego Mothlaoleng
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- Perinatal HIV Research Unit, MRC Soweto Matlosana Collaborating Centre for HIV/AIDS and TB, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Floidy Wafawanaka
- DST/NRF Centre of Excellence for Biomedical Tuberculosis Research, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Francesc Xavier Gómez-Olivé
- DST/NRF Centre of Excellence for Biomedical Tuberculosis Research, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Cheryl Cohen
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Anne von Gottberg
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Nicole Wolter
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Pathology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
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Thindwa D, Mwalukomo TS, Msefula J, Jambo KC, Brown C, Kamng’ona A, Mwansambo C, Ojal J, Flasche S, French N, Heyderman RS, Swarthout TD. Risk factors for pneumococcal carriage in adults living with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in the infant pneumococcal vaccine era in Malawi. AIDS 2022; 36:2045-2055. [PMID: 35983828 PMCID: PMC10503545 DOI: 10.1097/qad.0000000000003365] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2022] [Accepted: 08/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Adults living with HIV (ALWHIV) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) are at high risk of pneumococcal carriage and disease. To help evaluate carriage risk in African ALWHIV at least 4 years after infant pneumococcal conjugate vaccination introduction in 2011, we assessed association between pneumococcal carriage and potential risk factors. METHODS Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected from adults aged 18-40 years attending an ART clinic during rolling, cross-sectional surveys in Blantyre, Malawi between 2015 and 2019. We fitted generalized additive models to estimate the risk of sex, social economic status (SES), living with a child less than 5 years, and ART duration on carriage. RESULTS Of 2067 adults, median age was 33 years (range 28-37), 1427 (69.0%) were women, 1087 (61.4%) were in low-middle socioeconomic-status (SES), 910 (44.0%) were living with a child less than 5 years, and median ART duration was 3 years (range 0.004-17). We estimated 38.2 and 60.6% reductions in overall and vaccine-serotype carriage prevalence. Overall carriage was associated with low SES, living with a child less than 5 years and shorter duration on ART. By contrast, vaccine-type carriage was associated with living without a child less than 5 years and male sex. CONCLUSION Despite temporal reductions in overall and vaccine-serotype carriage, there is evidence of incomplete vaccine-serotype indirect protection. A targeted-vaccination campaign should be considered for ALWHIV, along with other public health measures to further reduce vaccine-serotype carriage and therefore disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Deus Thindwa
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Programme
| | - Thandie S. Mwalukomo
- School of Life Sciences and Allied Health Professions, Department of Biomedical Sciences, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi
| | | | - Kondwani C. Jambo
- Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Programme
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK
| | | | - Arox Kamng’ona
- School of Life Sciences and Allied Health Professions, Department of Biomedical Sciences, Kamuzu University of Health Sciences, Blantyre, Malawi
| | | | - John Ojal
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- KEMRI-Wellcome Research Programme, Geographic Medicine Centre, Kilifi, Kenya
| | - Stefan Flasche
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Neil French
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Science, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology, and Immunology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool
| | - Robert S. Heyderman
- Division of Infection and Immunity, Research Department of Infection, NIHR Mucosal Pathogens Research Unit, University College London, London, UK
| | - Todd D. Swarthout
- Malawi-Liverpool-Wellcome Programme
- Division of Infection and Immunity, Research Department of Infection, NIHR Mucosal Pathogens Research Unit, University College London, London, UK
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Qian G, Toizumi M, Clifford S, Le LT, Papastylianou T, Satzke C, Quilty B, Iwasaki C, Kitamura N, Takegata M, Bui MX, Nguyen HAT, Dang DA, van Hoek AJ, Yoshida LM, Flasche S. Association of pneumococcal carriage in infants with the risk of carriage among their contacts in Nha Trang, Vietnam: A nested cross-sectional survey. PLoS Med 2022; 19:e1004016. [PMID: 35639774 PMCID: PMC9197035 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1004016] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2021] [Revised: 06/14/2022] [Accepted: 05/09/2022] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Infants are at highest risk of pneumococcal disease. Their added protection through herd effects is a key part in the considerations on optimal pneumococcal vaccination strategies. Yet, little is currently known about the main transmission pathways to this vulnerable age group. Hence, this study investigates pneumococcal transmission routes to infants in the coastal city of Nha Trang, Vietnam. METHODS AND FINDINGS In October 2018, we conducted a nested cross-sectional contact and pneumococcal carriage survey in randomly selected 4- to 11-month-old infants across all 27 communes of Nha Trang. Bayesian logistic regression models were used to estimate age specific carriage prevalence in the population, a proxy for the probability that a contact of a given age could lead to pneumococcal exposure for the infant. We used another Bayesian logistic regression model to estimate the correlation between infant carriage and the probability that at least one of their reported contacts carried pneumococci, controlling for age and locality. In total, 1,583 infants between 4 and 13 months old participated, with 7,428 contacts reported. Few infants (5%, or 86 infants) attended day care, and carriage prevalence was 22% (353 infants). Most infants (61%, or 966 infants) had less than a 25% probability to have had close contact with a pneumococcal carrier on the surveyed day. Pneumococcal infection risk and contact behaviour were highly correlated: If adjusted for age and locality, the odds of an infant's carriage increased by 22% (95% confidence interval (CI): 15 to 29) per 10 percentage points increase in the probability to have had close contact with at least 1 pneumococcal carrier. Moreover, 2- to 6-year-old children contributed 51% (95% CI: 39 to 63) to the total direct pneumococcal exposure risks to infants in this setting. The main limitation of this study is that exposure risk was assessed indirectly by the age-dependent propensity for carriage of a contact and not by assessing carriage of such contacts directly. CONCLUSIONS In this study, we observed that cross-sectional contact and infection studies could help identify pneumococcal transmission routes and that preschool-age children may be the largest reservoir for pneumococcal transmission to infants in Nha Trang, Vietnam.
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Affiliation(s)
- George Qian
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- * E-mail: (GQ); (SF)
| | - Michiko Toizumi
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Sam Clifford
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Lien Thuy Le
- Department of Bacteriology, the Pasteur Institute in Nha Trang, Nha Trang, Vietnam
| | - Tasos Papastylianou
- School of Computer Science and Electronic Engineering, University of Essex, Colchester, United Kingdom
| | - Catherine Satzke
- Translational Microbiology Group, Murdoch Children’s Research Institute at the Royal Children’s Hospital, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia
| | - Billy Quilty
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Chihiro Iwasaki
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Noriko Kitamura
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Mizuki Takegata
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | | | | | - Duc Anh Dang
- National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Vietnam
| | - Albert Jan van Hoek
- Centre for Infectious Disease Control, National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, Bilthoven, the Netherlands
| | - Lay Myint Yoshida
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Stefan Flasche
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- * E-mail: (GQ); (SF)
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4
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Tonkin-Hill G, Ling C, Chaguza C, Salter SJ, Hinfonthong P, Nikolaou E, Tate N, Pastusiak A, Turner C, Chewapreecha C, Frost SDW, Corander J, Croucher NJ, Turner P, Bentley SD. Pneumococcal within-host diversity during colonization, transmission and treatment. Nat Microbiol 2022; 7:1791-1804. [PMID: 36216891 PMCID: PMC9613479 DOI: 10.1038/s41564-022-01238-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2022] [Accepted: 07/18/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022]
Abstract
Characterizing the genetic diversity of pathogens within the host promises to greatly improve surveillance and reconstruction of transmission chains. For bacteria, it also informs our understanding of inter-strain competition and how this shapes the distribution of resistant and sensitive bacteria. Here we study the genetic diversity of Streptococcus pneumoniae within 468 infants and 145 of their mothers by deep sequencing whole pneumococcal populations from 3,761 longitudinal nasopharyngeal samples. We demonstrate that deep sequencing has unsurpassed sensitivity for detecting multiple colonization, doubling the rate at which highly invasive serotype 1 bacteria were detected in carriage compared with gold-standard methods. The greater resolution identified an elevated rate of transmission from mothers to their children in the first year of the child's life. Comprehensive treatment data demonstrated that infants were at an elevated risk of both the acquisition and persistent colonization of a multidrug-resistant bacterium following antimicrobial treatment. Some alleles were enriched after antimicrobial treatment, suggesting that they aided persistence, but generally purifying selection dominated within-host evolution. Rates of co-colonization imply that in the absence of treatment, susceptible lineages outcompeted resistant lineages within the host. These results demonstrate the many benefits of deep sequencing for the genomic surveillance of bacterial pathogens.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gerry Tonkin-Hill
- grid.10306.340000 0004 0606 5382Parasites and Microbes, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK ,grid.5510.10000 0004 1936 8921Department of Biostatistics, University of Oslo, Blindern, Norway
| | - Clare Ling
- grid.10223.320000 0004 1937 0490Shoklo Malaria Research Unit, Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Mae Sot, Thailand ,grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Chrispin Chaguza
- grid.10306.340000 0004 0606 5382Parasites and Microbes, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK ,grid.47100.320000000419368710Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT USA
| | - Susannah J. Salter
- grid.5335.00000000121885934Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Pattaraporn Hinfonthong
- grid.10223.320000 0004 1937 0490Shoklo Malaria Research Unit, Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Mae Sot, Thailand
| | - Elissavet Nikolaou
- grid.48004.380000 0004 1936 9764Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK ,grid.1058.c0000 0000 9442 535XInfection and Immunity, Murdoch Children’s Research Institute, Melbourne, Victoria Australia ,grid.1008.90000 0001 2179 088XDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria Australia
| | - Natalie Tate
- grid.48004.380000 0004 1936 9764Department of Clinical Sciences, Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK
| | | | - Claudia Turner
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK ,grid.459332.a0000 0004 0418 5364Cambodia-Oxford Medical Research Unit, Angkor Hospital for Children, Siem Reap, Cambodia
| | - Claire Chewapreecha
- grid.10306.340000 0004 0606 5382Parasites and Microbes, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK ,grid.10223.320000 0004 1937 0490Mahidol-Oxford Tropical Medicine Research Unit, Faculty of Tropical Medicine, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand
| | - Simon D. W. Frost
- grid.419815.00000 0001 2181 3404Microsoft Research, Redmond, WA USA ,grid.8991.90000 0004 0425 469XLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Jukka Corander
- grid.10306.340000 0004 0606 5382Parasites and Microbes, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK ,grid.5510.10000 0004 1936 8921Department of Biostatistics, University of Oslo, Blindern, Norway ,grid.7737.40000 0004 0410 2071Helsinki Institute for Information Technology HIIT, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Nicholas J. Croucher
- grid.7445.20000 0001 2113 8111MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Paul Turner
- grid.4991.50000 0004 1936 8948Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK ,grid.459332.a0000 0004 0418 5364Cambodia-Oxford Medical Research Unit, Angkor Hospital for Children, Siem Reap, Cambodia
| | - Stephen D. Bentley
- grid.10306.340000 0004 0606 5382Parasites and Microbes, Wellcome Sanger Institute, Cambridge, UK
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Thindwa D, Wolter N, Pinsent A, Carrim M, Ojal J, Tempia S, Moyes J, McMorrow M, Kleynhans J, von Gottberg A, French N, Cohen C, Flasche S. Estimating the contribution of HIV-infected adults to household pneumococcal transmission in South Africa, 2016–2018: A hidden Markov modelling study. PLoS Comput Biol 2021; 17:e1009680. [PMID: 34941865 PMCID: PMC8699682 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1009680] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2021] [Accepted: 11/24/2021] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infected adults are at a higher risk of pneumococcal colonisation and disease, even while receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART). To help evaluate potential indirect effects of vaccination of HIV-infected adults, we assessed whether HIV-infected adults disproportionately contribute to household transmission of pneumococci. We constructed a hidden Markov model to capture the dynamics of pneumococcal carriage acquisition and clearance observed during a longitudinal household-based nasopharyngeal swabbing study, while accounting for sample misclassifications. Households were followed-up twice weekly for approximately 10 months each year during a three-year study period for nasopharyngeal carriage detection via real-time PCR. We estimated the effect of participant’s age, HIV status, presence of a HIV-infected adult within the household and other covariates on pneumococcal acquisition and clearance probabilities. Of 1,684 individuals enrolled, 279 (16.6%) were younger children (<5 years-old) of whom 4 (1.5%) were HIV-infected and 726 (43.1%) were adults (≥18 years-old) of whom 214 (30.4%) were HIV-infected, most (173, 81.2%) with high CD4+ count. The observed range of pneumococcal carriage prevalence across visits was substantially higher in younger children (56.9–80.5%) than older children (5–17 years-old) (31.7–50.0%) or adults (11.5–23.5%). We estimate that 14.4% (95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 13.7–15.0) of pneumococcal-negative swabs were false negatives. Daily carriage acquisition probabilities among HIV-uninfected younger children were similar in households with and without HIV-infected adults (hazard ratio: 0.95, 95%CI: 0.91–1.01). Longer average carriage duration (11.4 days, 95%CI: 10.2–12.8 vs 6.0 days, 95%CI: 5.6–6.3) and higher median carriage density (622 genome equivalents per millilitre, 95%CI: 507–714 vs 389, 95%CI: 311.1–435.5) were estimated in HIV-infected vs HIV-uninfected adults. The use of ART and antibiotics substantially reduced carriage duration in all age groups, and acquisition rates increased with household size. Although South African HIV-infected adults on ART have longer carriage duration and density than their HIV-uninfected counterparts, they show similar patterns of pneumococcal acquisition and onward transmission. We assessed the contribution of HIV-infected adults to household pneumococcal transmission by applying a hidden Markov model to pneumococcal cohort data comprising 115,595 nasopharyngeal samples from 1,684 individuals in rural and urban settings in South Africa. We estimated 14.4% of sample misclassifications (false negatives), representing 85.6% sensitivity of a test that was used to detect pneumococcus. Pneumococcal carriage prevalence and acquisition rates, and average duration were usually higher in younger or older children than adults. The use of ART and antibiotics reduced the average carriage duration across all age and HIV groups, and carriage acquisition risks increased in larger household sizes. Despite the longer average carriage duration and higher median carriage density in HIV-infected than HIV-uninfected adults, we found similar carriage acquisition and onward transmission risks in the dual groups. These findings suggest that vaccinating HIV-infected adults on ART with PCV would reduce their risk for pneumococcal disease but may add little to the indirect protection against carriage of the rest of the population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Deus Thindwa
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi
- * E-mail:
| | - Nicole Wolter
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Pathology, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Amy Pinsent
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- Aquarius Population Health, London, United Kingdom
| | - Maimuna Carrim
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - John Ojal
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Geographic Medicine Centre, Kilifi, Kenya
| | - Stefano Tempia
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- Influenza Program, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Pretoria, South Africa
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
- MassGenics, Duluth, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Jocelyn Moyes
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Meredith McMorrow
- Influenza Division, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Jackie Kleynhans
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Science, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Anne von Gottberg
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Pathology, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Neil French
- Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi
- Institute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Science, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology, and Immunology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom
| | | | - Cheryl Cohen
- Centre for Respiratory Diseases and Meningitis, National Institute for Communicable Diseases of the National Health Laboratory Service, Johannesburg, South Africa
- School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Science, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Stefan Flasche
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
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6
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Thindwa D, Pinsent A, Ojal J, Gallagher KE, French N, Flasche S. Vaccine strategies to reduce the burden of pneumococcal disease in HIV-infected adults in Africa. Expert Rev Vaccines 2020; 19:1085-1092. [PMID: 33269987 PMCID: PMC8315211 DOI: 10.1080/14760584.2020.1843435] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/28/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Streptococcus pneumoniae is the leading cause of invasive bacterial disease, globally. Despite antiretroviral therapy, adults infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) are also at high risk of pneumococcal carriage and disease. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) provide effective protection against vaccine serotype (VT) carriage and disease in children, and have been introduced worldwide, including most HIV-affected low- and middle-income countries. Unlike high-income countries, the circulation of VT persists in the PCV era in some low-income countries and results in a continued high burden of pneumococcal disease in HIV-infected adults. Moreover, no routine vaccination that directly protects HIV-infected adults in such settings has been implemented. AREAS COVERED Nonsystematic review on the pneumococcal burden in HIV-infected adults and vaccine strategies to reduce this burden. EXPERT OPINION We propose and discuss the relative merit of changing the infant PCV program to use (1a) a two prime plus booster dose schedule, (1b) a two prime plus booster dose schedule with an additional booster dose at school entry, to directly vaccinate (2a) HIV-infected adults or vaccinating (2b) HIV-infected pregnant women for direct protection, with added indirect protection to the high-risk neonates. We identify key knowledge gaps for such an evaluation and propose strategies to overcome them.
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Affiliation(s)
- Deus Thindwa
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK,Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK,Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi,CONTACT Deus Thindwa Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Faculty of Epidemiology and Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, WC1E 7HT, London, United Kingdom
| | - Amy Pinsent
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK,Aquarius Population Health, London, UK
| | - John Ojal
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK,Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK,Epidemiology and Demography Department, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Centre for Geographic Medicine, Coast, Kilifi, Kenya
| | - Katherine E Gallagher
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Neil French
- Malawi Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Blantyre, Malawi,Institute of Infection and Global Health, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology, and Immunology, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
| | - Stefan Flasche
- Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK,Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
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7
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Madhi SA, Mutsaerts EA, Izu A, Boyce W, Bhikha S, Ikulinda BT, Jose L, Koen A, Nana AJ, Moultrie A, Roalfe L, Hunt A, Goldblatt D, Cutland CL, Dorfman JR. Immunogenicity of a single-dose compared with a two-dose primary series followed by a booster dose of ten-valent or 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in South African children: an open-label, randomised, non-inferiority trial. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2020; 20:1426-1436. [PMID: 32857992 PMCID: PMC7689288 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(20)30289-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/30/2019] [Revised: 02/04/2020] [Accepted: 04/02/2020] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
Background Routine childhood immunisation with pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) has changed the epidemiology of pneumococcal disease across age groups, providing an opportunity to reconsider PCV dosing schedules. We aimed to evaluate the post-booster dose immunogenicity of ten-valent (PCV10) and 13-valent (PCV13) PCVs between infants randomly assigned to receive a single-dose compared with a two-dose primary series. Methods We did an open-label, non-inferiority, randomised study in HIV-unexposed infants at a single centre in Soweto, South Africa. Infants were randomly assigned to receive one priming dose of PCV10 or PCV13 at ages 6 weeks (6w + 1 PCV10 and 6w + 1 PCV13 groups) or 14 weeks (14w + 1 PCV10 and 14w + 1 PCV13 groups) or two priming doses of PCV10 or PCV13, one each at ages 6 weeks and 14 weeks (2 + 1 PCV10 and 2 + 1 PCV13 groups); all participants then received a booster dose of PCV10 or PCV13 at 40 weeks of age. The primary endpoint was geometric mean concentrations (GMCs) of serotype-specific IgG 1 month after the booster dose, which was assessed in all participants who received PCV10 or PCV13 as per the assigned randomisation group and for whom laboratory results were available at that timepoint. The 1 + 1 vaccine schedule was considered non-inferior to the 2 + 1 vaccine schedule if the lower bound of the 96% CI for the GMC ratio was greater than 0·5 for at least ten PCV13 serotypes and eight PCV10 serotypes. Safety was a secondary endpoint. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT02943902) and is ongoing. Findings Of 1695 children assessed, 600 were enrolled and randomly assigned to one of the six groups between Jan 9 and Sept 20, 2017; 542 were included in the final analysis of the primary endpoint (86–93 per group). For both PCV13 and PCV10, a 1+1 dosing schedule (either beginning at 6 or 14 weeks) was non-inferior to a 2 + 1 schedule. For PCV13, the lower limit of the 96% CI for the ratio of GMCs between the 1 + 1 and 2 + 1 groups was higher than 0·5 for ten serotypes in the 6w+1 group (excluding 6B, 14, and 23F) and 11 serotypes in the 14w + 1 group (excluding 6B and 23F). For PCV10, the lower limit of the 96% CI for the ratio of GMCs was higher than 0·5 for all ten serotypes in the 6w+1 and 14w + 1 groups. 84 serious adverse events were reported in 72 (12%) of 600 participants. 15 occurred within 28 days of vaccination, but none were considered to be related to PCV injection. There were no cases of culture-confirmed invasive pneumococcal disease. Interpretation The non-inferiority in post-booster immune responses following a single-dose compared with a two-dose primary series of PCV13 or PCV10 indicates the potential for reducing PCV dosing schedules from a 2 + 1 to 1 + 1 series in low-income and middle-income settings with well established PCV immunisation programmes. Funding The Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1 + 152352).
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Affiliation(s)
- Shabir A Madhi
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa.
| | - Eleonora Aml Mutsaerts
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Alane Izu
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Welekazi Boyce
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Sutika Bhikha
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Benit T Ikulinda
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Lisa Jose
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Anthonet Koen
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Amit J Nana
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Andrew Moultrie
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Lucy Roalfe
- Immunobiology Section, University College London, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health Biomedical Research Centre, London, UK
| | - Adam Hunt
- Immunobiology Section, University College London, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health Biomedical Research Centre, London, UK
| | - David Goldblatt
- Immunobiology Section, University College London, Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health Biomedical Research Centre, London, UK
| | - Clare L Cutland
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Jeffrey R Dorfman
- South African Medical Research Council Vaccines and Infectious Diseases Analytical Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa; Department of Science, National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Health Science, Johannesburg, South Africa
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8
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Flasche S, Lipsitch M, Ojal J, Pinsent A. Estimating the contribution of different age strata to vaccine serotype pneumococcal transmission in the pre vaccine era: a modelling study. BMC Med 2020; 18:129. [PMID: 32517683 PMCID: PMC7285529 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-020-01601-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2019] [Accepted: 04/21/2020] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Herd protection through interruption of transmission has contributed greatly to the impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) and may enable the use of cost-saving reduced dose schedules. To aid PCV age targeting to achieve herd protection, we estimated which population age groups contribute most to vaccine serotype (VT) pneumococcal transmission. METHODS We used transmission dynamic models to mirror pre-PCV epidemiology in England and Wales, Finland, Kilifi in Kenya and Nha Trang in Vietnam where data on carriage prevalence in infants, pre-school and school-aged children and adults as well as social contact patterns was available. We used Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to fit the models and then extracted the per capita and population-based contribution of different age groups to VT transmission. RESULTS We estimated that in all settings, < 1-year-old infants cause very frequent secondary vaccine type pneumococcal infections per capita. However, 1-5-year-old children have the much higher contribution to the force of infection at 51% (28, 73), 40% (27, 59), 37% (28, 48) and 67% (41, 86) of the total infection pressure in E&W, Finland, Kilifi and Nha Trang, respectively. Unlike the other settings, school-aged children in Kilifi were the dominant source for VT infections with 42% (29, 54) of all infections caused. Similarly, we estimated that the main source of VT infections in infants are pre-school children and that in Kilifi 39% (28, 51) of VT infant infections stem from school-aged children whereas this was below 15% in the other settings. CONCLUSION Vaccine protection of pre-school children is key for PCV herd immunity. However, in high transmission settings, school-aged children may substantially contribute to transmission and likely have waned much of their PCV protection under currently recommended schedules.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stefan Flasche
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, UK.
| | - Marc Lipsitch
- Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Department of Epidemiology and Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Avenue, Boston, MA, USA
| | - John Ojal
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, UK
| | - Amy Pinsent
- Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, UK
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9
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Identifying transmission routes of Streptococcus pneumoniae and sources of acquisitions in high transmission communities. Epidemiol Infect 2017; 145:2750-2758. [PMID: 28847317 PMCID: PMC5647670 DOI: 10.1017/s095026881700125x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 38] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Identifying the transmission sources and reservoirs of Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP) is a long-standing question for pneumococcal epidemiology, transmission dynamics, and vaccine policy. Here we use serotype to identify SP transmission and examine acquisitions (in the same household, local community, and county, or of unidentified origin) in a longitudinal cohort of children and adults from the Navajo Nation and the White Mountain Apache American Indian Tribes. We found that adults acquire SP relatively more in the household than other age groups, and children 2-8 years old typically acquire in their own or surrounding communities. Age-specific transmission probability matrices show that transmissions within household were mostly seen from older to younger siblings. Outside the household, children most often transmit to other children in the same age group, showing age-assortative mixing behavior. We find toddlers and older children to be most involved in SP transmission and acquisition, indicating their role as key drivers of SP epidemiology. Although infants have high carriage prevalence, they do not play a central role in transmission of SP compared with toddlers and older children. Our results are relevant to inform alternative pneumococcal conjugate vaccine dosing strategies and analytic efforts to inform optimization of vaccine programs, as well as assessing the transmission dynamics of pathogens transmitted by close contact in general.
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10
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Nzenze SA, Madhi SA, Shiri T, Klugman KP, de Gouveia L, Moore DP, Karstaedt AS, Tempia S, Nunes MC, von Gottberg A. Imputing the Direct and Indirect Effectiveness of Childhood Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine Against Invasive Pneumococcal Disease by Surveying Temporal Changes in Nasopharyngeal Pneumococcal Colonization. Am J Epidemiol 2017; 186:435-444. [PMID: 28482004 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwx048] [Citation(s) in RCA: 21] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2016] [Accepted: 09/26/2016] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
The limited capability in most low- to middle-income countries to study the benefit of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) in protecting against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) calls for alternate strategies to assess this. We used a mathematical model to predict the direct and indirect effectiveness of PCV by analyzing serotype-specific colonization prevalence and IPD incidence prior to and following childhood PCV immunization in South Africa. We analyzed IPD incidence from 2005 to 2012 and colonization studies undertaken in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-uninfected and HIV-infected child-mother dyads from 2007 to 2009 (pre-PCV era), in 2010 (7-valent PCV era), and in 2012 (13-valent PCV era). We compared the model-predicted changes in IPD incidence with observed changes in IPD incidence, according to HIV status, in children aged 3 months-5 years and in women aged 18-45 years. We observed reductions in vaccine-serotype colonization and IPD due to vaccine serotypes among children and women after PCV introduction. Using the changes in vaccine-serotype colonization data, the model-predicted changes in vaccine-serotype IPD incidence rates were similar to the observed changes in PCV-unvaccinated children and adults, but not among children under age 24 months. Surveillance of colonization prior to and following PCV use can be used to impute the indirect protection afforded by PCV in unvaccinated age groups, including those in high-HIV-prevalence settings.
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11
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Rietbergen C, Debray TPA, Klugkist I, Janssen KJM, Moons KGM. Reporting of Bayesian analysis in epidemiologic research should become more transparent. J Clin Epidemiol 2017; 86:51-58.e2. [PMID: 28428139 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2017.04.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2015] [Revised: 02/13/2017] [Accepted: 04/07/2017] [Indexed: 12/12/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The objective of this systematic review is to investigate the use of Bayesian data analysis in epidemiology in the past decade and particularly to evaluate the quality of research papers reporting the results of these analyses. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING Complete volumes of five major epidemiological journals in the period 2005-2015 were searched via PubMed. In addition, we performed an extensive within-manuscript search using a specialized Java application. Details of reporting on Bayesian statistics were examined in the original research papers with primary Bayesian data analyses. RESULTS The number of studies in which Bayesian techniques were used for primary data analysis remains constant over the years. Though many authors presented thorough descriptions of the analyses they performed and the results they obtained, several reports presented incomplete method sections and even some incomplete result sections. Especially, information on the process of prior elicitation, specification, and evaluation was often lacking. CONCLUSION Though available guidance papers concerned with reporting of Bayesian analyses emphasize the importance of transparent prior specification, the results obtained in this systematic review show that these guidance papers are often not used. Additional efforts should be made to increase the awareness of the existence and importance of these checklists to overcome the controversy with respect to the use of Bayesian techniques. The reporting quality in epidemiological literature could be improved by updating existing guidelines on the reporting of frequentist analyses to address issues that are important for Bayesian data analyses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Charlotte Rietbergen
- Department of Methodology and Statistics, Utrecht University, Padualaan 14, Utrecht 3584 CH, The Netherlands.
| | - Thomas P A Debray
- Department of Epidemiology, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, UMC Utrecht, Huispost Str. 6.131, PO Box 85500, Utrecht 3508 GA, The Netherlands; Cochrane Netherlands, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, UMC Utrecht, Huispost Str. 6.131, PO Box 85500, Utrecht 3508 GA, The Netherlands
| | - Irene Klugkist
- Department of Methodology and Statistics, Utrecht University, Padualaan 14, Utrecht 3584 CH, The Netherlands; Section of Research Methodology, Measurement and Data Analysis, Department of Behavioural, Management and Social Sciences, Twente University, P.O. Box 217, Enschede 7500 AE, The Netherlands
| | - Kristel J M Janssen
- Department of Epidemiology, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, UMC Utrecht, Huispost Str. 6.131, PO Box 85500, Utrecht 3508 GA, The Netherlands
| | - Karel G M Moons
- Department of Epidemiology, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, UMC Utrecht, Huispost Str. 6.131, PO Box 85500, Utrecht 3508 GA, The Netherlands
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12
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Slogrove AL, Frigati L, Gray DM. Maternal HIV and Paediatric Lung Health. Paediatr Respir Rev 2017; 21:47-53. [PMID: 27665511 DOI: 10.1016/j.prrv.2016.08.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2016] [Accepted: 08/11/2016] [Indexed: 10/21/2022]
Abstract
With improved prevention of mother to child transmission of HIV, paediatric HIV disease is less common. However, the number of HIV exposed but uninfected infants is growing. Exposure to maternal HIV impacts infant respiratory health through an increase in known risk factors such as increased preterm birth and low birth weight, suboptimal breastfeeding, increased psychosocial stressors and increased exposure to infective pathogens. Exposure to the HIV virus and altered maternal immune environment result in immunologic changes in the infant that may contribute to respiratory disease risk. HIV exposed infants are at increased risk for severe pneumonia with poorer outcomes compared to unexposed infants. Maternal ART and optimal nutrition, including breastfeeding in high infective disease burden settings, reduce morbidity and mortality in HIV exposed infants and should be prioritized. The impact of exposure to maternal HIV on normal lung growth and risk for chronic respiratory disease is unknown and warrants further investigation.
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Affiliation(s)
- A L Slogrove
- Center for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Anzio Road, Observatory, Cape Town, South Africa.
| | - L Frigati
- Division of Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Tygerberg Children's Hospital, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, South Africa.
| | - D M Gray
- Division Pulmonology, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, University of Cape Town, Red Cross War Memorial Children's Hospital, Klipfontein Road, Cape Town, 7700, South Africa.
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13
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Tilevik D. Long-term effects of penicillin resistance and fitness cost on pneumococcal transmission dynamics in a developed setting. Infect Ecol Epidemiol 2016; 6:31234. [PMID: 27206408 PMCID: PMC4875039 DOI: 10.3402/iee.v6.31234] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/05/2016] [Revised: 04/22/2016] [Accepted: 04/26/2016] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The increasing prevalence of penicillin non-susceptible pneumococci (PNSP) throughout the world threatens successful treatment of infections caused by this important bacterial pathogen. The rate at which PNSP clones spread in the community is thought to mainly be determined by two key determinants; the volume of penicillin use and the magnitude of the fitness cost in the absence of treatment. The aim of the study was to determine the impacts of penicillin consumption and fitness cost on pneumococcal transmission dynamics in a developed country setting. METHODS An individual-based network model based on real-life demographic data was constructed and applied in a developed country setting (Sweden). A population structure with transmission of carriage taking place within relevant mixing groups, i.e. families, day care groups, school classes, and other close contacts, was considered to properly assess the transmission dynamics for susceptible and PNSP clones. Several scenarios were simulated and model outcomes were statistically analysed. RESULTS Model simulations predicted that with an outpatient penicillin use corresponding to the sales in Sweden 2010 (118 recipes per 1,000 inhabitants per year), the magnitude of a fitness cost for resistance must be at least 5% to offset the advantage of penicillin resistance. Moreover, even if there is a fitness cost associated with penicillin resistance, a considerable reduction of penicillin usage appears to be required to significantly decrease the incidence of PNSP in a community. CONCLUSION The frequency of PNSP clones is hard to reverse by simply reducing the penicillin consumption even if there is a biological cost associated with resistance. However, because penicillin usage does promote further spread of PNSP clones, it is important to keep down penicillin consumption considering future resistance problems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Diana Tilevik
- Systems Biology Research Centre, School of Bioscience, University of Skövde, Skövde, Sweden;
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14
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Heinsbroek E, Tafatatha T, Chisambo C, Phiri A, Mwiba O, Ngwira B, Crampin AC, Read JM, French N. Pneumococcal Acquisition Among Infants Exposed to HIV in Rural Malawi: A Longitudinal Household Study. Am J Epidemiol 2016; 183:70-8. [PMID: 26628514 PMCID: PMC4690474 DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwv134] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2015] [Accepted: 05/15/2015] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
The prevalence of Streptococcus pneumoniae (pneumococcus) carriage is higher in adults who are infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) than in adults who are not. We hypothesized that infants exposed to HIV become carriers of nasopharyngeal pneumococcus earlier and more frequently than infants who are not exposed to HIV. We compared infant pneumococcal acquisition by maternal HIV status and household exposure in Karonga District, Malawi, in 2009–2011, before the introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine. Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected every 4–6 weeks in the first year of life from infants with known HIV-exposure status, their mothers, and other household members. We studied infant pneumococcal acquisition by maternal HIV status, serotype-specific household exposure, and other risk factors, including seasonality. We recruited 54 infants who were exposed to HIV and 131 infants who were not. There was no significant difference in pneumococcal acquisition by maternal HIV status (adjusted rate ratio (aRR) = 1.00, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.87, 1.15). Carriage by the mother was associated with greater acquisition of the same serotype (aRR = 3.09, 95% CI: 1.47, 6.50), but the adjusted population attributable fraction was negligible (1.9%, 95% CI: 0.0, 4.3). Serotype-specific exposure to children under 5 years of age was associated with higher acquisition (aRR = 4.30, 95% CI: 2.80, 6.60; adjusted population attributable fraction = 8.8%, 95% CI: 4.0, 13.4). We found no evidence to suggest that maternal HIV infection would affect the impact of pneumococcal vaccination on colonization in this population.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Neil French
- Correspondence to Prof. Neil French, Department of Clinical Infection, Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Infection and Global Health, University of Liverpool, Ronald Ross Building, 8 West Derby Street, Liverpool L69 7BE, United Kingdom (e-mail: )
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15
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Nzenze SA, von Gottberg A, Shiri T, van Niekerk N, de Gouveia L, Violari A, Nunes MC, Madhi SA. Temporal Changes in Pneumococcal Colonization in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected Mother-Child Pairs Following Transitioning From 7-valent to 13-valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine, Soweto, South Africa. J Infect Dis 2015; 212:1082-92. [PMID: 25784729 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiv167] [Citation(s) in RCA: 30] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2014] [Accepted: 03/06/2015] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We investigated the impact of infant pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) immunization on pneumococcal colonization among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected and HIV-uninfected mother-child pairs. METHODS Pneumococcal colonization was assessed in May 2010-February 2011 (period 1; 7-valent PCV era) and May 2012-April 2013 (period 2; 13-valent PCV era). Standard microbiological methods were used for pneumococcus isolation and serotyping. RESULTS In children 0-12 years, PCV13-serotype colonization decreased from period 1 to period 2 among HIV-uninfected (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.32; 95% confidence interval [CI], .25-.40) and HIV-infected children (adjusted OR, 0.37; 95% CI, .28-.49), while there was an increase in nonvaccine serotype colonization. Decreases in PCV13-serotype colonization were observed in HIV-uninfected women (adjusted OR, 0.44; 95% CI, .23-.81), with a similar trend in HIV-infected women. HIV-infected compared to -uninfected women had higher prevalence of overall (20.5% vs 9.7% in period 1; 13.8% vs 9.7% in period 2) and PCV13-serotype colonization (8.7% vs 5.4% in period 1; 4.8% vs 2.0% in period 2), P < .04 for all observations. CONCLUSIONS Targeted PCV vaccination of African infants in a setting with high HIV prevalence was associated with PCV13-serotype colonization reduction, including among unvaccinated HIV-infected women.
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Affiliation(s)
- Susan A Nzenze
- Medical Research Council: Respiratory and Meningeal Pathogens Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
| | - Anne von Gottberg
- Medical Research Council: Respiratory and Meningeal Pathogens Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD): a division of the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS), Sandringham
| | - Tinevimbo Shiri
- Medical Research Council: Respiratory and Meningeal Pathogens Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
| | - Nadia van Niekerk
- Medical Research Council: Respiratory and Meningeal Pathogens Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
| | - Linda de Gouveia
- Medical Research Council: Respiratory and Meningeal Pathogens Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD): a division of the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS), Sandringham
| | - Avy Violari
- Perinatal HIV Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Marta C Nunes
- Medical Research Council: Respiratory and Meningeal Pathogens Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg
| | - Shabir A Madhi
- Medical Research Council: Respiratory and Meningeal Pathogens Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand Department of Science and Technology/National Research Foundation: Vaccine Preventable Diseases, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg National Institute for Communicable Diseases (NICD): a division of the National Health Laboratory Service (NHLS), Sandringham
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Pavlinac PB, Tickell KD, Walson JL. Management of diarrhea in HIV-affected infants and children. Expert Rev Anti Infect Ther 2014; 13:5-8. [PMID: 25384353 DOI: 10.1586/14787210.2015.981157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022]
Abstract
Globally, diarrhea is the second leading cause of death in children less than 5 years of age. HIV-infected and HIV-exposed uninfected (HEU) children are at high risk of dying from diarrhea and may be more susceptible to the highest risk enteric pathogens. This increased risk associated with HIV infection and HIV exposure is likely multifactorial. Factors such as immunosuppression, proximity to individuals more likely to be shedding pathogens, and exposure to antimicrobial prophylaxis may alter the risk profile in these children. Current international guidelines do not differentiate management strategies on the basis of whether children are infected or affected by HIV, despite likely differences in etiologies and consequences. Reducing diarrhea mortality in high HIV prevalence settings will require strengthening of HIV testing and treatment programs; improvements in water, sanitation and hygiene interventions targeted at HIV-affected households; and reconsideration of the use of empiric antimicrobial treatment of pathogens known to infect HIV-infected and HEU children disproportionately.
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Affiliation(s)
- Patricia B Pavlinac
- University of Washington, Global Health, 325 Ninth Avenue, Box 359931, Seattle, WA 98104, USA
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Serotype distribution and antibiotic susceptibility of Streptococcus pneumoniae strains carried by children infected with human immunodeficiency virus. PLoS One 2014; 9:e110526. [PMID: 25343448 PMCID: PMC4208773 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0110526] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2014] [Accepted: 09/23/2014] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background We studied the serotype distribution and antibiotic susceptibility of Streptococcus pneumoniae isolates carried by children infected with HIV in Jakarta, Indonesia. Methods Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected from 90 HIV infected children aged 4 to 144 months. S. pneumoniae was identified by conventional and molecular methods. Serotyping was performed with sequential multiplex PCR and antibiotic susceptibility with the disk diffusion method. Results We identified S. pneumoniae carriage in 41 children (46%). Serotype 19F was most common among 42 cultured strains (19%) followed by 19A and 6A/B (10% each), and 23F (7%). Most isolates were susceptible to chloramphenicol (86%), followed by clindamycin (79%), erythromycin (76%), tetracycline (43%), and sulphamethoxazole/trimethoprim (41%). Resistance to penicillin was most common with only 33% of strains being susceptible. Strains of serotypes targeted by the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate polysaccharide vaccine (PCV13) were more likely to be multidrug resistant (13 of 25 or 52%) compared to non-PCV13 serotype isolates (3 of 17 or 18%; Fisher exact test p = 0.05). Conclusion Our study provides insight into the epidemiology of pneumococcal carriage in young HIV patients in Indonesia. These findings may facilitate potential preventive strategies that target invasive pneumococcal disease in Indonesia.
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Reply to "no clinical association of live attenuated influenza vaccine with nasal carriage of bacteria or acute otitis media": specific recommendations for future studies. mBio 2014; 5:e01173-14. [PMID: 24825014 PMCID: PMC4030486 DOI: 10.1128/mbio.01173-14] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/18/2023] Open
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Abstract
Community-acquired pneumonia continues to be an important complication of HIV infection. Rates of pneumonia decrease with the use of antiretroviral therapy but continue to be higher than in HIV uninfected individuals. Risk factors for pneumonia include low blood CD4+ count, unsuppressed plasma HIV load, smoking, injection drug use and renal impairment. Immunization against Streptococcus pneumoniae and smoking cessation can reduce this risk. It is unclear whether newly reported viral respiratory pathogens (such as the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus, will be more of a problem in HIV-infected individuals than the general population.
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Affiliation(s)
- James Brown
- Respiratory & HIV Medicine, University College London, Royal Free London NHS Foundation Trust, Pond Street, London, NW3 2QG, UK
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