Incidence and transmission of respiratory syncytial virus in urban and rural South Africa, 2017-2018

Data on respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) incidence and household transmission are limited. To describe RSV incidence and transmission, we conducted a prospective cohort study in rural and urban communities in South Africa over two seasons during 2017-2018. Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected twice-weekly for 10 months annually and tested for RSV using PCR. We tested 81,430 samples from 1,116 participants in 225 households (follow-up 90%). 32% (359/1116) of individuals had ≥1 RSV infection; 10% (37/359) had repeat infection during the same season, 33% (132/396) of infections were symptomatic, and 2% (9/396) sought medical care. Incidence was 47.2 infections/100 person-years and highest in children <5 years (78.3). Symptoms were commonest in individuals aged <12 and ≥65 years. Individuals 1-12 years accounted for 55% (134/242) of index cases. Household cumulative infection risk was 11%. On multivariable analysis, index cases with ≥2 symptoms and shedding duration >10 days were more likely to transmit; household contacts aged 1-4 years vs. ≥65 years were more likely to acquire infection. Within two South African communities, RSV attack rate was high, and most infections asymptomatic. Young children were more likely to introduce RSV into the home, and to be infected. Future studies should examine whether vaccines targeting children aged <12 years could reduce community transmission.

Unmasking Pneumococcal Carriage in a High Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) Prevalence Population in two Community Cohorts in South Africa, 2016-2018: The PHIRST Study

BACKGROUND

Longitudinal pneumococcus colonization data in high human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) prevalence settings following pneumococcal conjugate vaccine introduction are limited.

METHODS

In 327 randomly selected households, 1684 individuals were enrolled and followed-up for 6 to 10 months during 2016 through 2018 from 2 communities. Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected twice weekly and tested for pneumococcus using quantitative lytA real-time polymerase chain reaction. A Markov model was fitted to the data to define the start and end of an episode of colonization. We assessed factors associated with colonization using logistic regression.

RESULTS

During the study period, 98% (1655/1684) of participants were colonized with pneumococcus at least once. Younger age (<5 years: adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 14.1; 95% confidence [CI], 1.8-111.3, and 5-24 years: aOR, 4.8, 95% CI, 1.9-11.9, compared with 25-44 years) and HIV infection (aOR, 10.1; 95% CI, 1.3-77.1) were associated with increased odds of colonization. Children aged <5 years had fewer colonization episodes (median, 9) than individuals ≥5 years (median, 18; P < .001) but had a longer episode duration (<5 years: 35.5 days; interquartile range, 17-88) vs. ≥5 years: 5.5 days (4-12). High pneumococcal loads were associated with age (<1 year: aOR 25.4; 95% CI, 7.4-87.6; 1-4 years: aOR 13.5, 95% CI 8.3-22.9; 5-14 years: aOR 3.1, 95% CI, 2.1-4.4 vs. 45-65 year old patients) and HIV infection (aOR 1.7; 95% CI 1.2-2.4).

CONCLUSIONS

We observed high levels of pneumococcus colonization across all age groups. Children and people with HIV were more likely to be colonized and had higher pneumococcal loads. Carriage duration decreased with age highlighting that children remain important in pneumococcal transmission.

Asymptomatic transmission and high community burden of seasonal influenza in an urban and a rural community in South Africa, 2017-18 (PHIRST): a population cohort study

Background

Data on influenza community burden and transmission are important to plan interventions especially in resource-limited settings. However, data are limited, particularly from low-income and middle-income countries. We aimed to evaluate the community burden and transmission of influenza in a rural and an urban setting in South Africa.

Methods

In this prospective cohort study approximately 50 households were selected sequentially from both a rural setting (Agincourt, Mpumalanga Province, South Africa; with a health and sociodemographic surveillance system) and an urban setting (Klerksdorp, Northwest Province, South Africa; using global positioning system data), enrolled, and followed up for 10 months in 2017 and 2018. Different households were enrolled in each year. Households of more than two individuals in which 80% or more of the occupants agreed to participate were included in the study. Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected twice per week from participating household members irrespective of symptoms and tested for influenza using real-time RT-PCR. The primary outcome was the incidence of influenza infection, defined as the number of real-time RT-PCR-positive episodes divided by the person-time under observation. Household cumulative infection risk (HCIR) was defined as the number of subsequent infections within a household following influenza introduction.

Findings

81 430 nasopharyngeal samples were collected from 1116 participants in 225 households (follow-up rate 88%). 917 (1%) tested positive for influenza; 178 (79%) of 225 households had one or more influenza-positive individual. The incidence of influenza infection was 43·6 (95% CI 39·8–47·7) per 100 person-seasons. 69 (17%) of 408 individuals who had one influenza infection had a repeat influenza infection during the same season. The incidence (67·4 per 100 person-seasons) and proportion with repeat infections (22 [23%] of 97 children) were highest in children younger than 5 years and decreased with increasing age (p<0·0001). Overall, 268 (56%) of 478 infections were symptomatic and 66 (14%) of 478 infections were medically attended. The overall HCIR was 10% (109 of 1088 exposed household members infected [95% CI 9–13%). Transmission (HCIR) from index cases was highest in participants aged 1–4 years (16%; 40 of 252 exposed household members) and individuals with two or more symptoms (17%; 68 of 396 exposed household members). Individuals with asymptomatic influenza transmitted infection to 29 (6%) of 509 household contacts. HIV infection, affecting 167 (16%) of 1075 individuals, was not associated with increased incidence or HCIR.

Interpretation

Approximately half of influenza infections were symptomatic, with asymptomatic individuals transmitting influenza to 6% of household contacts. This suggests that strategies, such as quarantine and isolation, might be ineffective to control influenza. Vaccination of children, with the aim of reducing influenza transmission might be effective in African settings given the young population and high influenza burden.

HIV Prevalence and Morbidity in Older Inpatients in a High HIV Prevalence Setting

Understanding of the burden of HIV infection and comorbid conditions in older adults is limited, especially in low- and middle-income countries. Antiretroviral therapy (ART) has increased longevity of HIV-positive individuals, making age-related comorbidities more likely. This study aimed to compare the demographic and disease profiles, including chronic comorbid conditions of inpatients, at least 50 years of age, by HIV status, admitted to a regional hospital in South Africa. Adults, 50 years of age and older, admitted to internal medicine wards from November 2015 to February 2016 were approached to participate. Sociodemographic data, laboratory results, anthropometric data, discharge diagnoses, and HIV status were collected and compared by HIV serostatus. Overall, 151 participants were enrolled. Their median age was 61 years (IQR: 56-68 years); 89 (58.9%) were women. Overall, 47 (31.1%) were HIV positive, of whom 10 (6.6%) were first diagnosed during the admission. HIV-positive inpatients were younger than HIV-negative patients. The leading discharge diagnoses of all participants were acute gastroenteritis (11.5%) and community-acquired pneumonia (11.5%). Hypertension and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) were the leading comorbidities in both HIV-negative and HIV-positive participants. Prevalence of hypertension was 75.0% in seronegative, 59.5% in those with a prior diagnosis of HIV, and 40.0% in newly diagnosed; similarly, prevalence of T2DM was 22.1% in HIV-negative and 24.3% in known HIV-positive participants. Similar proportions died during admission; 11.3% of HIV-negative and 12.7% of HIV-positive admitted inpatients died. Almost one third of patients admitted were HIV positive. In HIV-positive older admitted to hospital, the leading cause for hospitalization was coinfections. In the ART era, irrespective of HIV status, older patients have similar age-related chronic illnesses and similar mortality rates, despite younger age at admission.

Influenza Viral Shedding in a Prospective Cohort of HIV-Infected and Uninfected Children and Adults in 2 Provinces of South Africa, 2012-2014

Background

Prolonged shedding of influenza viruses may be associated with increased transmissibility and resistance mutation acquisition due to therapy. We compared duration and magnitude of influenza shedding between human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected and -uninfected individuals.

Methods

A prospective cohort study during 3 influenza seasons enrolled patients with influenza-like illness and a positive influenza rapid test. Influenza viruses were detected by real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. Weibull accelerated failure time regression models were used to describe influenza virus shedding. Mann-Whitney U tests explored initial influenza viral loads (VL).

Results

Influenza virus shedding duration was similar in 65 HIV-infected (6 days; interquartile range [IQR] 3-10) and 176 HIV-uninfected individuals (7 days; IQR 4-11; P = .97), as was initial influenza VL (HIV-uninfected 5.28 ± 1.33 log10 copies/mL, HIV-infected 4.73 ± 1.68 log10 copies/mL; P = .08). Adjusted for age, HIV-infected individuals with low CD4 counts shed influenza virus for longer than those with higher counts (adjusted hazard ratio 3.55; 95% confidence interval, 1.05-12.08).

Discussion

A longer duration of influenza virus shedding in HIV-infected individuals with low CD4 counts may suggest a possible increased risk for transmission or viral evolution in severely immunocompromised individuals. HIV-infected individuals should be prioritized for annual influenza immunization.