The circadian profile of epilepsy improves seizure forecasting

User experience of a seizure risk forecasting app: A mixed methods investigation

OBJECTIVE

Over recent years, there has been a growing interest in exploring the utility of seizure risk forecasting, particularly how it could improve quality of life for people living with epilepsy. This study reports on user experiences and perspectives of a seizure risk forecaster app, as well as the potential impact on mood and adjustment to epilepsy.

METHODS

Active app users were asked to complete a survey (baseline and 3-month follow-up) to assess perspectives on the forecast feature as well as mood and adjustment. Post-hoc, nine neutral forecast users (neither agreed nor disagreed it was useful) completed semi-structured interviews, to gain further insight into their perspectives of epilepsy management and seizure forecasting. Non-parametric statistical tests and inductive thematic analyses were used to analyse the quantitative and qualitative data, respectively.

RESULTS

Surveys were completed by 111 users. Responders consisted of "app users" (n = 58), and "app and forecast users" (n = 53). Of the "app and forecast users", 40 % believed the forecast was accurate enough to be useful in monitoring for seizure risk, and 60 % adopted it for purposes like scheduling activities and helping mental state. Feeling more in control was the most common response to both high and low risk forecasted states. In-depth interviews revealed five broad themes, of which 'frustrations with lack of direction' (regarding their current epilepsy management approach), 'benefits of increased self-knowledge' and 'current and anticipated usefulness of forecasting' were the most common.

SIGNIFICANCE

Preliminary results suggest that seizure risk forecasting can be a useful tool for people with epilepsy to make lifestyle changes, such as scheduling daily events, and experience greater feelings of control. These improvements may be attributed, at least partly, to the improvements in self-knowledge experienced through forecast use.

Prospective validation of a seizure diary forecasting falls short

OBJECTIVE

Recently, a deep learning artificial intelligence (AI) model forecasted seizure risk using retrospective seizure diaries with higher accuracy than random forecasts. The present study sought to prospectively evaluate the same algorithm.

METHODS

We recruited a prospective cohort of 46 people with epilepsy; 25 completed sufficient data entry for analysis (median = 5 months). We used the same AI method as in our prior study. Group-level and individual-level Brier Skill Scores (BSSs) compared random forecasts and simple moving average forecasts to the AI.

RESULTS

The AI had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of .82. At the group level, the AI outperformed random forecasting (BSS = .53). At the individual level, AI outperformed random in 28% of cases. At the group and individual level, the moving average outperformed the AI. If pre-enrollment (nonverified) diaries (with presumed underreporting) were included, the AI significantly outperformed both comparators. Surveys showed most did not mind poor-quality LOW-RISK or HIGH-RISK forecasts, yet 91% wanted access to these forecasts.

SIGNIFICANCE

The previously developed AI forecasting tool did not outperform a very simple moving average forecasting in this prospective cohort, suggesting that the AI model should be replaced.

Concept-drifts adaptation for machine learning EEG epilepsy seizure prediction

Seizure prediction remains a challenge, with approximately 30% of patients unresponsive to conventional treatments. Addressing this issue is crucial for improving patients' quality of life, as timely intervention can mitigate the impact of seizures. In this research field, it is critical to identify the preictal interval, the transition from regular brain activity to a seizure. While previous studies have explored various Electroencephalogram (EEG) based methodologies for prediction, few have been clinically applicable. Recent studies have underlined the dynamic nature of EEG data, characterised by data changes with time, known as concept drifts, highlighting the need for automated methods to detect and adapt to these changes. In this study, we investigate the effectiveness of automatic concept drift adaptation methods in seizure prediction. Three patient-specific seizure prediction approaches with a 10-minute prediction horizon are compared: a seizure prediction algorithm incorporating a window adjustment method by optimising performance with Support Vector Machines (Backwards-Landmark Window), a seizure prediction algorithm incorporating a data-batch (seizures) selection method using a logistic regression (Seizure-batch Regression), and a seizure prediction algorithm with a dynamic integration of classifiers (Dynamic Weighted Ensemble). These methods incorporate a retraining process after each seizure and use a combination of univariate linear features and SVM classifiers. The Firing Power was used as a post-processing technique to generate alarms before seizures. These methodologies were compared with a control approach based on the typical machine learning pipeline, considering a group of 37 patients with Temporal Lobe Epilepsy from the EPILEPSIAE database. The best-performing approach (Backwards-Landmark Window) achieved results of 0.75 ± 0.33 for sensitivity and 1.03 ± 1.00 for false positive rate per hour. This new strategy performed above chance for 89% of patients with the surrogate predictor, whereas the control approach only validated 46%.

The Ultra-Long-Term Sleep study: Design, rationale, data stability and user perspective

Sleep deprivation and poor sleep quality are significant societal challenges that negatively impact individuals' health. The interaction between subjective sleep quality, objective sleep measures, physical and cognitive performance, and their day-to-day variations remains poorly understood. Our year-long study of 20 healthy individuals, using subcutaneous electroencephalography, aimed to elucidate these interactions, assessing data stability and participant satisfaction, usability, well-being and adherence. In the study, 25 participants were fitted with a minimally invasive subcutaneous electroencephalography lead, with 20 completing the year of subcutaneous electroencephalography recording. Signal stability was measured using covariance of variation. Participant satisfaction, usability and well-being were measured with questionnaires: Perceived Ease of Use questionnaire, System Usability Scale, Headache questionnaire, Major Depression Inventory, World Health Organization 5-item Well-Being Index, and interviews. The subcutaneous electroencephalography signals remained stable for the entire year, with an average participant adherence rate of 91%. Participants rated their satisfaction with the subcutaneous electroencephalography device as easy to use with minimal or no discomfort. The System Usability Scale score was high at 86.3 ± 10.1, and interviews highlighted that participants understood how to use the subcutaneous electroencephalography device and described a period of acclimatization to sleeping with the device. This study provides compelling evidence for the feasibility of longitudinal sleep monitoring during everyday life utilizing subcutaneous electroencephalography in healthy subjects, showcasing excellent signal stability, adherence and user experience. The amassed subcutaneous electroencephalography data constitutes the largest dataset of its kind, and is poised to significantly advance our understanding of day-to-day variations in normal sleep and provide key insights into subjective and objective sleep quality.

Comparison between epileptic seizure prediction and forecasting based on machine learning

Epilepsy affects around 1% of the population worldwide. Anti-epileptic drugs are an excellent option for controlling seizure occurrence but do not work for around one-third of patients. Warning devices employing seizure prediction or forecasting algorithms could bring patients new-found comfort and quality of life. These algorithms would attempt to detect a seizure's preictal period, a transitional moment between regular brain activity and the seizure, and relay this information to the user. Over the years, many seizure prediction studies using Electroencephalogram-based methodologies have been developed, triggering an alarm when detecting the preictal period. Recent studies have suggested a shift in view from prediction to forecasting. Seizure forecasting takes a probabilistic approach to the problem in question instead of the crisp approach of seizure prediction. In this field of study, the triggered alarm to symbolize the detection of a preictal period is substituted by a constant risk assessment analysis. The present work aims to explore methodologies capable of seizure forecasting and establish a comparison with seizure prediction results. Using 40 patients from the EPILEPSIAE database, we developed several patient-specific prediction and forecasting algorithms with different classifiers (a Logistic Regression, a 15 Support Vector Machines ensemble, and a 15 Shallow Neural Networks ensemble). Results show an increase of the seizure sensitivity in forecasting relative to prediction of up to 146% and in the number of patients that displayed an improvement over chance of up to 300%. These results suggest that a seizure forecasting methodology may be more suitable for seizure warning devices than a seizure prediction one.

Seizure Detection, Prediction, and Forecasting

SUMMARY

Among the many fears associated with seizures, patients with epilepsy are greatly frustrated and distressed over seizure's apparent unpredictable occurrence. However, increasing evidence have emerged over the years to support that seizure occurrence is not a random phenomenon as previously presumed; it has a cyclic rhythm that oscillates over multiple timescales. The pattern in rises and falls of seizure rate that varies over 24 hours, weeks, months, and years has become a target for the development of innovative devices that intend to detect, predict, and forecast seizures. This article will review the different tools and devices available or that have been previously studied for seizure detection, prediction, and forecasting, as well as the associated challenges and limitations with the utilization of these devices. Although there is strong evidence for rhythmicity in seizure occurrence, very little is known about the mechanism behind this oscillation. This article concludes with early insights into the regulations that may potentially drive this cyclical variability and future directions.

A ResNet-LSTM hybrid model for predicting epileptic seizures using a pretrained model with supervised contrastive learning

In this paper, we propose a method for predicting epileptic seizures using a pre-trained model utilizing supervised contrastive learning and a hybrid model combining residual networks (ResNet) and long short-term memory (LSTM). The proposed training approach encompasses three key phases: pre-processing, pre-training as a pretext task, and training as a downstream task. In the pre-processing phase, the data is transformed into a spectrogram image using short time Fourier transform (STFT), which extracts both time and frequency information. This step compensates for the inherent complexity and irregularity of electroencephalography (EEG) data, which often hampers effective data analysis. During the pre-training phase, augmented data is generated from the original dataset using techniques such as band-stop filtering and temporal cutout. Subsequently, a ResNet model is pre-trained alongside a supervised contrastive loss model, learning the representation of the spectrogram image. In the training phase, a hybrid model is constructed by combining ResNet, initialized with weight values from the pre-trained model, and LSTM. This hybrid model extracts image features and time information to enhance prediction accuracy. The proposed method's effectiveness is validated using datasets from CHB-MIT and Seoul National University Hospital (SNUH). The method's generalization ability is confirmed through Leave-one-out cross-validation. From the experimental results measuring accuracy, sensitivity, and false positive rate (FPR), CHB-MIT was 91.90%, 89.64%, 0.058 and SNUH was 83.37%, 79.89%, and 0.131. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms the conventional methods.

Prospective validation of a seizure diary forecasting falls short

OBJECTIVE

Recently, a deep learning AI model forecasted seizure risk using retrospective seizure diaries with higher accuracy than random forecasts. The present study sought to prospectively evaluate the same algorithm.

METHODS

We recruited a prospective cohort of 46 people with epilepsy; 25 completed sufficient data entry for analysis (median 5 months). We used the same AI method as in our prior study. Group-level and individual-level Brier Skill Scores (BSS) compared random forecasts and simple moving average forecasts to the AI.

RESULTS

The AI had an AUC of 0.82. At the group level, the AI outperformed random forecasting (BSS=0.53). At the individual level, AI outperformed random in 28% of cases. At the group and individual level, the moving average outperformed the AI. If pre-enrollment (non-verified) diaries (with presumed under-reporting) were included, the AI significantly outperformed both comparators. Surveys showed most did not mind poor quality LOW-RISK or HIGH-RISK forecasts, yet 91% wanted access to these forecasts.

SIGNIFICANCE

The previously developed AI forecasting tool did not outperform a very simple moving average forecasting this prospective cohort, suggesting that the AI model should be replaced.

Differentiation of subclinical and clinical electrographic events in long-term electroencephalographic recordings

OBJECTIVE

With the advent of ultra-long-term recordings for monitoring of epilepsies, the interpretation of results of isolated electroencephalographic (EEG) recordings covering only selected brain regions attracts considerable interest. In this context, the question arises of whether detected ictal EEG patterns correspond to clinically manifest seizures or rather to purely electrographic events, that is, subclinical events.

METHODS

EEG patterns from 268 clinical seizures and 252 subclinical electrographic events from 50 patients undergoing video-EEG monitoring were analyzed. Features extracted included predominant frequency band, duration, association with rhythmic muscle artifacts, spatial extent, and propagation patterns. Classification using logistic regression was performed based on data from the whole dataset of 10-20 system EEG recordings and from a subset of two temporal electrode contacts.

RESULTS

Correct separation of clinically manifest and purely electrographic events based on 10-20 system EEG recordings was possible in up to 83.8% of events, depending on the combination of features included. Correct classification based on two-channel recordings was only slightly inferior, achieving 78.6% accuracy; 74.4% and 74.8%, respectively, of events could be correctly classified when using duration alone with either electrode set, although classification accuracies were lower for some subgroups of seizures, particularly focal aware seizures and epileptic arousals.

SIGNIFICANCE

A correct classification of subclinical versus clinical EEG events was possible in 74%-83% of events based on full EEG recordings, and in 74%-78% when considering only a subset of two electrodes, matching the channel number available from new implantable diagnostic devices. This is a promising outcome, suggesting that ultra-long-term low-channel EEG recordings may provide sufficient information for objective seizure diaries. Intraindividual optimization using high numbers of ictal events may further improve separation, provided that supervised learning with external validation is feasible.

Seizure forecasting: Bifurcations in the long and winding road

To date, the unpredictability of seizures remains a source of suffering for people with epilepsy, motivating decades of research into methods to forecast seizures. Originally, only few scientists and neurologists ventured into this niche endeavor, which, given the difficulty of the task, soon turned into a long and winding road. Over the past decade, however, our narrow field has seen a major acceleration, with trials of chronic electroencephalographic devices and the subsequent discovery of cyclical patterns in the occurrence of seizures. Now, a burgeoning science of seizure timing is emerging, which in turn informs best forecasting strategies for upcoming clinical trials. Although the finish line might be in view, many challenges remain to make seizure forecasting a reality. This review covers the most recent scientific, technical, and medical developments, discusses methodology in detail, and sets a number of goals for future studies.

A debate on the neuronal origin of focal seizures

A critical question regarding how focal seizures start is whether we can identify particular cell classes that drive the pathological process. This was the topic for debate at the recent International Conference for Technology and Analysis of Seizures (ICTALS) meeting (July 2022, Bern, CH) that we summarize here. The debate has been fueled in recent times by the introduction of powerful new ways to manipulate subpopulations of cells in relative isolation, mostly using optogenetics. The motivation for resolving the debate is to identify novel targets for therapeutic interventions through a deeper understanding of the etiology of seizures.

Seizure forecasting: Where do we stand?

A lot of mileage has been made recently on the long and winding road toward seizure forecasting. Here we briefly review some selected milestones passed along the way, which were discussed at the International Conference for Technology and Analysis of Seizures-ICTALS 2022-convened at the University of Bern, Switzerland. Major impetus was gained recently from wearable and implantable devices that record not only electroencephalography, but also data on motor behavior, acoustic signals, and various signals of the autonomic nervous system. This multimodal monitoring can be performed for ultralong timescales covering months or years. Accordingly, features and metrics extracted from these data now assess seizure dynamics with a greater degree of completeness. Most prominently, this has allowed the confirmation of the long-suspected cyclical nature of interictal epileptiform activity, seizure risk, and seizures. The timescales cover daily, multi-day, and yearly cycles. Progress has also been fueled by approaches originating from the interdisciplinary field of network science. Considering epilepsy as a large-scale network disorder yielded novel perspectives on the pre-ictal dynamics of the evolving epileptic brain. In addition to discrete predictions that a seizure will take place in a specified prediction horizon, the community broadened the scope to probabilistic forecasts of a seizure risk evolving continuously in time. This shift of gears triggered the incorporation of additional metrics to quantify the performance of forecasting algorithms, which should be compared to the chance performance of constrained stochastic null models. An imminent task of utmost importance is to find optimal ways to communicate the output of seizure-forecasting algorithms to patients, caretakers, and clinicians, so that they can have socioeconomic impact and improve patients' well-being.

Seizure forecasting using minimally invasive, ultra-long-term subcutaneous EEG: Generalizable cross-patient models

This study describes a generalized cross-patient seizure-forecasting approach using recurrent neural networks with ultra-long-term subcutaneous EEG (sqEEG) recordings. Data from six patients diagnosed with refractory epilepsy and monitored with an sqEEG device were used to develop a generalized algorithm for seizure forecasting using long short-term memory (LSTM) deep-learning classifiers. Electrographic seizures were identified by a board-certified epileptologist. One-minute data segments were labeled as preictal or interictal based on their relationship to confirmed seizures. Data were separated into training and testing data sets, and to compensate for the unbalanced data ratio in training, noise-added copies of preictal data segments were generated to expand the training data set. The mean and standard deviation (SD) of the training data were used to normalize all data, preserving the pseudo-prospective nature of the analysis. Different architecture classifiers were trained and tested using a leave-one-patient-out cross-validation method, and the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) was used to evaluate the performance classifiers. The importance of each input signal was evaluated using a leave-one-signal-out method with repeated training and testing for each classifier. Cross-patient classifiers achieved performance significantly better than chance in four of the six patients and an overall mean AUC of 0.602 ± 0.126 (mean ± SD). A time in warning of 37.386% ± 5.006% (mean ± std) and sensitivity of 0.691 ± 0.068 (mean ± std) were observed for patients with better than chance results. Analysis of input channels showed a significant contribution (p < .05) by the Fourier transform of signals channels to overall classifier performance. The relative contribution of input signals varied among patients and architectures, suggesting that the inclusion of all signals contributes to robustness in a cross-patient classifier. These early results show that it is possible to forecast seizures training with data from different patients using two-channel ultra-long-term sqEEG.

Learning to generalize seizure forecasts

OBJECTIVE

Epilepsy is characterized by spontaneous seizures that recur at unexpected times. Nonetheless, using years-long electroencephalographic (EEG) recordings, we previously found that patient-reported seizures consistently occur when interictal epileptiform activity (IEA) cyclically builds up over days. This multidien (multiday) interictal-ictal relationship, which is shared across patients, may bear phasic information for forecasting seizures, even if individual patterns of seizure timing are unknown. To test this rigorously in a large retrospective dataset, we pretrained algorithms on data recorded from a group of patients, and forecasted seizures in other, previously unseen patients.

METHODS

We used retrospective long-term data from participants (N = 159) in the RNS System clinical trials, including intracranial EEG recordings (icEEG), and from two participants in the UNEEG Medical clinical trial of a subscalp EEG system (sqEEG). Based on IEA detections, we extracted instantaneous multidien phases and trained generalized linear models (GLMs) and recurrent neural networks (RNNs) to forecast the probability of seizure occurrence at a 24-h horizon.

RESULTS

With GLMs and RNNs, seizures could be forecasted above chance in 79% and 81% of previously unseen subjects with a median discrimination of area under the curve (AUC) = .70 and .69 and median Brier skill score (BSS) = .07 and .08. In direct comparison, individualized models had similar median performance (AUC = .67, BSS = .08), but for fewer subjects (60%). Moreover, calibration of pretrained models could be maintained to accommodate different seizure rates across subjects.

SIGNIFICANCE

Our findings suggest that seizure forecasting based on multidien cycles of IEA can generalize across patients, and may drastically reduce the amount of data needed to issue forecasts for individuals who recently started collecting chronic EEG data. In addition, we show that this generalization is independent of the method used to record seizures (patient-reported vs. electrographic) or IEA (icEEG vs. sqEEG).

Daily rhythm in cortical chloride homeostasis underpins functional changes in visual cortex excitability

Cortical activity patterns are strongly modulated by fast synaptic inhibition mediated through ionotropic, chloride-conducting receptors. Consequently, chloride homeostasis is ideally placed to regulate activity. We therefore investigated the stability of baseline [Cl-]i in adult mouse neocortex, using in vivo two-photon imaging. We found a two-fold increase in baseline [Cl-]i in layer 2/3 pyramidal neurons, from day to night, with marked effects upon both physiological cortical processing and seizure susceptibility. Importantly, the night-time activity can be converted to the day-time pattern by local inhibition of NKCC1, while inhibition of KCC2 converts day-time [Cl-]i towards night-time levels. Changes in the surface expression and phosphorylation of the cation-chloride cotransporters, NKCC1 and KCC2, matched these pharmacological effects. When we extended the dark period by 4 h, mice remained active, but [Cl-]i was modulated as for animals in normal light cycles. Our data thus demonstrate a daily [Cl-]i modulation with complex effects on cortical excitability.

Development of a Multivariable Seizure Likelihood Assessment Based on Clinical Information and Short Autonomic Activity Recordings for Children With Epilepsy

BACKGROUND

Predicting seizure likelihood for the following day would enable clinicians to extend or potentially schedule video-electroencephalography (EEG) monitoring when seizure risk is high. Combining standardized clinical data with short-term recordings of wearables to predict seizure likelihood could have high practical relevance as wearable data is easy and fast to collect. As a first step toward seizure forecasting, we classified patients based on whether they had seizures or not during the following recording.

METHODS

Pediatric patients admitted to the epilepsy monitoring unit wore a wearable that recorded the heart rate (HR), heart rate variability (HRV), electrodermal activity (EDA), and peripheral body temperature. We utilized short recordings from 9:00 to 9:15 pm and compared mean values between patients with and without impending seizures. In addition, we collected clinical data: age, sex, age at first seizure, generalized slowing, focal slowing, and spikes on EEG, magnetic resonance imaging findings, and antiseizure medication reduction. We used conventional machine learning techniques with cross-validation to classify patients with and without impending seizures.

RESULTS

We included 139 patients: 78 had no seizures and 61 had at least one seizure after 9 pm during the concurrent video-EEG and E4 recordings. HR (P < 0.01) and EDA (P < 0.01) were lower and HRV (P = 0.02) was higher for patients with than for patients without impending seizures. The average accuracy of group classification was 66%, and the mean area under the receiver operating characteristics was 0.72.

CONCLUSIONS

Short-term wearable recordings in combination with clinical data have great potential as an easy-to-use seizure likelihood assessment tool.

Circadian distribution of epileptiform discharges in epilepsy: Candidate mechanisms of variability

Epilepsy is a serious neurological disorder characterised by a tendency to have recurrent, spontaneous, seizures. Classically, seizures are assumed to occur at random. However, recent research has uncovered underlying rhythms both in seizures and in key signatures of epilepsy-so-called interictal epileptiform activity-with timescales that vary from hours and days through to months. Understanding the physiological mechanisms that determine these rhythmic patterns of epileptiform discharges remains an open question. Many people with epilepsy identify precipitants of their seizures, the most common of which include stress, sleep deprivation and fatigue. To quantify the impact of these physiological factors, we analysed 24-hour EEG recordings from a cohort of 107 people with idiopathic generalized epilepsy. We found two subgroups with distinct distributions of epileptiform discharges: one with highest incidence during sleep and the other during day-time. We interrogated these data using a mathematical model that describes the transitions between background and epileptiform activity in large-scale brain networks. This model was extended to include a time-dependent forcing term, where the excitability of nodes within the network could be modulated by other factors. We calibrated this forcing term using independently-collected human cortisol (the primary stress-responsive hormone characterised by circadian and ultradian patterns of secretion) data and sleep-staged EEG from healthy human participants. We found that either the dynamics of cortisol or sleep stage transition, or a combination of both, could explain most of the observed distributions of epileptiform discharges. Our findings provide conceptual evidence for the existence of underlying physiological drivers of rhythms of epileptiform discharges. These findings should motivate future research to explore these mechanisms in carefully designed experiments using animal models or people with epilepsy.

Cyclical underreporting of seizures in patient-based seizure documentation

OBJECTIVE

Circadian and multidien cycles of seizure occurrence are increasingly discussed as to their biological underpinnings and in the context of seizure forecasting. This study analyzes if patient reported seizures provide valid data on such cyclical occurrence.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied if circadian cycles derived from patient-based reporting reflect the objective seizure documentation in 2003 patients undergoing in-patient video-EEG monitoring.

RESULTS

Only 24.1% of more than 29000 seizures documented were accompanied by patient notifications. There was cyclical underreporting of seizures with a maximum during nighttime, leading to significant deviations in the circadian distribution of seizures. Significant cyclical deviations were found for focal epilepsies originating from both, frontal and temporal lobes, and for different seizure types (in particular, focal unaware and focal to bilateral tonic-clonic seizures).

INTERPRETATION

Patient seizure diaries may reflect a cyclical reporting bias rather than the true circadian seizure distributions. Cyclical underreporting of seizures derived from patient-based reports alone may lead to suboptimal treatment schemes, to an underestimation of seizure-associated risks, and may pose problems for valid seizure forecasting. This finding strongly supports the use of objective measures to monitor cyclical distributions of seizures and for studies and treatment decisions based thereon.

Focal seizures unfold variably over time

This scientific commentary refers to 'Chronic intracranial EEG recordings and interictal spike rate reveal multiscale temporal modulations in seizure states' by Schroeder et al. (https://doi.org/10.1093/braincomms/fcad205).

Optogenetic stimulation reveals a latent tipping point in cortical networks during ictogenesis

Brain-state transitions are readily apparent from changes in brain rhythms,1 but are difficult to predict, suggestive that the underlying cause is latent to passive recording methods. Among the most important transitions, clinically, are the starts of seizures. We here show that an 'active probing' approach may have several important benefits for epileptic management, including by helping predict these transitions. We used mice expressing the optogenetic actuator, channelrhodopsin, in pyramidal cells, allowing this population to be stimulated in isolation. Intermittent stimulation at frequencies as low as 0.033 Hz (period = 30 s) delayed the onset of seizure-like events in an acute brain slice model of ictogenesis, but the effect was lost if stimulation was delivered at even lower frequencies (1/min). Notably, active probing additionally provides advance indication of when seizure-like activity is imminent, revealed by monitoring the postsynaptic response to stimulation. The postsynaptic response, recorded extracellularly, showed an all-or-nothing change in both amplitude and duration, a few hundred seconds before seizure-like activity began-a sufficient length of time to provide a helpful warning of an impending seizure. The change in the postsynaptic response then persisted for the remainder of the recording, indicative of a state change from a pre-epileptic to a pro-epileptic network. This occurred in parallel with a large increase in the stimulation-triggered Ca2+ entry into pyramidal dendrites, and a step increase in the number of evoked postsynaptic action potentials, both consistent with a reduction in the threshold for dendritic action potentials. In 0 Mg2+ bathing media, the reduced threshold was not associated with changes in glutamatergic synaptic function, nor of GABAergic release from either parvalbumin or somatostatin interneurons, but simulations indicate that the step change in the optogenetic response can instead arise from incremental increases in intracellular [Cl-]. The change in the response to stimulation was replicated by artificially raising intracellular [Cl-], using the optogenetic chloride pump, halorhodopsin. By contrast, increases in extracellular [K+] cannot account for the firing patterns in the response to stimulation, although this, and other cellular changes, may contribute to ictal initiation in other circumstances. We describe how these various cellular changes form a synergistic network of positive feedback mechanisms, which may explain the precipitous nature of seizure onset. This model of seizure initiation draws together several major lines of epilepsy research as well as providing an important proof-of-principle regarding the utility of open-loop brain stimulation for clinical management of the condition.

Forecasting seizure likelihood from cycles of self-reported events and heart rate: a prospective pilot study

BACKGROUND

Seizure risk forecasting could reduce injuries and even deaths in people with epilepsy. There is great interest in using non-invasive wearable devices to generate forecasts of seizure risk. Forecasts based on cycles of epileptic activity, seizure times or heart rate have provided promising forecasting results. This study validates a forecasting method using multimodal cycles recorded from wearable devices.

METHOD

Seizure and heart rate cycles were extracted from 13 participants. The mean period of heart rate data from a smartwatch was 562 days, with a mean of 125 self-reported seizures from a smartphone app. The relationship between seizure onset time and phases of seizure and heart rate cycles was investigated. An additive regression model was used to project heart rate cycles. The results of forecasts using seizure cycles, heart rate cycles, and a combination of both were compared. Forecasting performance was evaluated in 6 of 13 participants in a prospective setting, using long-term data collected after algorithms were developed.

FINDINGS

The results showed that the best forecasts achieved a mean area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.73 for 9/13 participants showing performance above chance during retrospective validation. Subject-specific forecasts evaluated with prospective data showed a mean AUC of 0.77 with 4/6 participants showing performance above chance.

INTERPRETATION

The results of this study demonstrate that cycles detected from multimodal data can be combined within a single, scalable seizure risk forecasting algorithm to provide robust performance. The presented forecasting method enabled seizure risk to be estimated for an arbitrary future period and could be generalised across a range of data types. In contrast to earlier work, the current study evaluated forecasts prospectively, in subjects blinded to their seizure risk outputs, representing a critical step towards clinical applications.

FUNDING

This study was funded by an Australian Government National Health & Medical Research Council and BioMedTech Horizons grant. The study also received support from the Epilepsy Foundation of America's 'My Seizure Gauge' grant.

On temporal scale-free non-periodic stimulation and its mechanisms as an infinite improbability drive of the brain's functional connectogram

Rationalized development of electrical stimulation (ES) therapy is of paramount importance. Not only it will foster new techniques and technologies with increased levels of safety, efficacy, and efficiency, but it will also facilitate the translation from basic research to clinical practice. For such endeavor, design of new technologies must dialogue with state-of-the-art neuroscientific knowledge. By its turn, neuroscience is transitioning-a movement started a couple of decades earlier-into adopting a new conceptual framework for brain architecture, in which time and thus temporal patterns plays a central role in the neuronal representation of sampled data from the world. This article discusses how neuroscience has evolved to understand the importance of brain rhythms in the overall functional architecture of the nervous system and, consequently, that neuromodulation research should embrace this new conceptual framework. Based on such support, we revisit the literature on standard (fixed-frequency pulsatile stimuli) and mostly non-standard patterns of ES to put forward our own rationale on how temporally complex stimulation schemes may impact neuromodulation strategies. We then proceed to present a low frequency, on average (thus low energy), scale-free temporally randomized ES pattern for the treatment of experimental epilepsy, devised by our group and termed NPS (Non-periodic Stimulation). The approach has been shown to have robust anticonvulsant effects in different animal models of acute and chronic seizures (displaying dysfunctional hyperexcitable tissue), while also preserving neural function. In our understanding, accumulated mechanistic evidence suggests such a beneficial mechanism of action may be due to the natural-like characteristic of a scale-free temporal pattern that may robustly compete with aberrant epileptiform activity for the recruitment of neural circuits. Delivering temporally patterned or random stimuli within specific phases of the underlying oscillations (i.e., those involved in the communication within and across brain regions) could both potentiate and disrupt the formation of neuronal assemblies with random probability. The usage of infinite improbability drive here is obviously a reference to the "The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy" comedy science fiction classic, written by Douglas Adams. The parallel is that dynamically driving brain functional connectogram, through neuromodulation, in a manner that would not favor any specific neuronal assembly and/or circuit, could re-stabilize a system that is transitioning to fall under the control of a single attractor. We conclude by discussing future avenues of investigation and their potentially disruptive impact on neurotechnology, with a particular interest in NPS implications in neural plasticity, motor rehabilitation, and its potential for clinical translation.

Epilepsy, gut microbiota, and circadian rhythm

In recent years, relevant studies have found changes in gut microbiota (GM) in patients with epilepsy. In addition, impaired sleep and circadian patterns are common symptoms of epilepsy. Moreover, the types of seizures have a circadian rhythm. Numerous reports have indicated that the GM and its metabolites have circadian rhythms. This review will describe changes in the GM in clinical and animal studies under epilepsy and circadian rhythm disorder, respectively. The aim is to determine the commonalities and specificities of alterations in GM and their impact on disease occurrence in the context of epilepsy and circadian disruption. Although clinical studies are influenced by many factors, the results suggest that there are some commonalities in the changes of GM. Finally, we discuss the links among epilepsy, gut microbiome, and circadian rhythms, as well as future research that needs to be conducted.

Removing artefacts and periodically retraining improve performance of neural network-based seizure prediction models

The development of seizure prediction models is often based on long-term scalp electroencephalograms (EEGs) since they capture brain electrical activity, are non-invasive, and come at a relatively low-cost. However, they suffer from major shortcomings. First, long-term EEG is usually highly contaminated with artefacts. Second, changes in the EEG signal over long intervals, known as concept drift, are often neglected. We evaluate the influence of these problems on deep neural networks using EEG time series and on shallow neural networks using widely-used EEG features. Our patient-specific prediction models were tested in 1577 hours of continuous EEG, containing 91 seizures from 41 patients with temporal lobe epilepsy who were undergoing pre-surgical monitoring. Our results showed that cleaning EEG data, using a previously developed artefact removal method based on deep convolutional neural networks, improved prediction performance. We also found that retraining the models over time reduced false predictions. Furthermore, the results show that although deep neural networks processing EEG time series are less susceptible to false alarms, they may need more data to surpass feature-based methods. These findings highlight the importance of robust data denoising and periodic adaptation of seizure prediction models.

EEG datasets for seizure detection and prediction- A review

Electroencephalogram (EEG) datasets from epilepsy patients have been used to develop seizure detection and prediction algorithms using machine learning (ML) techniques with the aim of implementing the learned model in a device. However, the format and structure of publicly available datasets are different from each other, and there is a lack of guidelines on the use of these datasets. This impacts the generatability, generalizability, and reproducibility of the results and findings produced by the studies. In this narrative review, we compiled and compared the different characteristics of the publicly available EEG datasets that are commonly used to develop seizure detection and prediction algorithms. We investigated the advantages and limitations of the characteristics of the EEG datasets. Based on our study, we identified 17 characteristics that make the EEG datasets unique from each other. We also briefly looked into how certain characteristics of the publicly available datasets affect the performance and outcome of a study, as well as the influences it has on the choice of ML techniques and preprocessing steps required to develop seizure detection and prediction algorithms. In conclusion, this study provides a guideline on the choice of publicly available EEG datasets to both clinicians and scientists working to develop a reproducible, generalizable, and effective seizure detection and prediction algorithm.

Daily resting-state intracranial EEG connectivity for seizure risk forecasts

Forecasting seizure risk aims to detect proictal states in which seizures would be more likely to occur. Classical seizure prediction models are trained over long-term electroencephalographic (EEG) recordings to detect specific preictal changes for each seizure, independently of those induced by shifts in states of vigilance. A daily single measure-during a vigilance-controlled period-to estimate the risk of upcoming seizure(s) would be more convenient. Here, we evaluated whether intracranial EEG connectivity (phase-locking value), estimated from daily vigilance-controlled resting-state recordings, could allow distinguishing interictal (no seizure) from preictal (seizure within the next 24 h) states. We also assessed its relevance for daily forecasts of seizure risk using machine learning models. Connectivity in the theta band was found to provide the best prediction performances (area under the curve ≥ .7 in 80% of patients), with accurate daily and prospective probabilistic forecasts (mean Brier score and Brier skill score of .13 and .72, respectively). More efficient ambulatory clinical application could be considered using mobile EEG or chronic implanted devices.

Unsupervised EEG preictal interval identification in patients with drug-resistant epilepsy

Typical seizure prediction models aim at discriminating interictal brain activity from pre-seizure electrographic patterns. Given the lack of a preictal clinical definition, a fixed interval is widely used to develop these models. Recent studies reporting preictal interval selection among a range of fixed intervals show inter- and intra-patient preictal interval variability, possibly reflecting the heterogeneity of the seizure generation process. Obtaining accurate labels of the preictal interval can be used to train supervised prediction models and, hence, avoid setting a fixed preictal interval for all seizures within the same patient. Unsupervised learning methods hold great promise for exploring preictal alterations on a seizure-specific scale. Multivariate and univariate linear and nonlinear features were extracted from scalp electroencephalography (EEG) signals collected from 41 patients with drug-resistant epilepsy undergoing presurgical monitoring. Nonlinear dimensionality reduction was performed for each group of features and each of the 226 seizures. We applied different clustering methods in searching for preictal clusters located until 2 h before the seizure onset. We identified preictal patterns in 90% of patients and 51% of the visually inspected seizures. The preictal clusters manifested a seizure-specific profile with varying duration (22.9 ± 21.0 min) and starting time before seizure onset (47.6 ± 27.3 min). Searching for preictal patterns on the EEG trace using unsupervised methods showed that it is possible to identify seizure-specific preictal signatures for some patients and some seizures within the same patient.

Seizure count forecasting to aid diagnostic testing in epilepsy

OBJECTIVE

Epilepsy monitoring unit (EMU) admissions are critical for presurgical evaluation of drug-resistant epilepsy but may be nondiagnostic if an insufficient number of seizures are recorded. Seizure forecasting algorithms have shown promise for estimating the likelihood of seizures as a binary event in individual patients, but methods to predict how many seizures will occur remain elusive. Such methods could increase the diagnostic yield of EMU admissions and help patients mitigate seizure-related morbidity. Here, we evaluated the performance of a state-space method that uses prior seizure count data to predict future counts.

METHODS

A Bayesian negative-binomial dynamic linear model (DLM) was developed to forecast daily electrographic seizure counts in 19 patients implanted with a responsive neurostimulation (RNS) device. Holdout validation was used to evaluate performance in predicting the number of electrographic seizures for forecast horizons ranging 1-7 days ahead.

RESULTS

One-day-ahead prediction of the number of electrographic seizures using a negative-binomial DLM resulted in improvement over chance in 73.1% of time segments compared to a random chance forecaster and remained >50% for forecast horizons of up to 7 days. Superior performance (mean error = .99) was obtained in predicting the number of electrographic seizures in the next day compared to three traditional methods for count forecasting (integer-valued generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model or INGARCH, 1.10; Croston, 1.06; generalized linear autoregressive moving average model or GLARMA, 2.00). Number of electrographic seizures in the preceding day and laterality of electrographic pattern detections had highest predictive value, with greater number of electrographic seizures and RNS magnet swipes in the preceding day associated with a higher number of electrographic seizures the next day.

SIGNIFICANCE

This study demonstrates that DLMs can predict the number of electrographic seizures a patient will experience days in advance with above chance accuracy. This study represents an important step toward the translation of seizure forecasting methods into the optimization of EMU admissions.

Time to exceed pre-randomization monthly seizure count for perampanel in participants with primary generalized tonic-clonic seizures: A potential clinical end point

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the exploratory time to exceed pre-randomization seizure count (T-PSC) in the determination of efficacy of adjunctive perampanel in participants with primary generalized tonic-clonic (PGTC) seizures in generalized-onset epilepsy.

METHODS

In this multicenter, double-blind study (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01393743), participants ≥12 years of age with treatment-resistant idiopathic generalized epilepsy were randomized to receive placebo or adjunctive perampanel (≤8 mg/day) across a 17-week double-blind treatment phase (4-week titration; 13-week maintenance). We evaluated the pre-planned exploratory end point of the T-PSC using a Kaplan-Meier analysis. We also re-evaluated the correspondence of the primary end points of median percent seizure frequency change (MPC) and 50% responder rate (50RR) calculated at T-PSC and at the end of the trial.

RESULTS

The exploratory end point of median T-PSC on placebo was 43 days and >120 days on perampanel (log-rank p < .001). The primary end points calculated at T-PSC did not differ significantly from the end points at the end of the trial (MPC -31% vs -42% at T-PSC; 50RR 32% vs 51% at T-PSC). After T-PSC was reached, participants had a median (interquartile range) of 5 (3-13) additional seizures on placebo and 5 (2-10) on perampanel.

SIGNIFICANCE

The exploratory end point of T-PSC demonstrated the effectiveness of perampanel despite a shorter duration of monitoring. The seizures that occurred after T-PSC did not influence the conclusions of the trial; therefore, T-PSC may be a viable alternative to traditional trial end points that reduces the risk to participants.

Chronobiology of epilepsy and sudden unexpected death in epilepsy

Epilepsy is a neurological disease characterized by spontaneous, unprovoked seizures. Various insults render the brain hyperexcitable and susceptible to seizure. Despite there being dozens of preventative anti-seizure medications available, these drugs fail to control seizures in nearly 1 in 3 patients with epilepsy. Over the last century, a large body of evidence has demonstrated that internal and external rhythms can modify seizure phenotypes. Physiologically relevant rhythms with shorter periodic rhythms, such as endogenous circadian rhythms and sleep-state, as well as rhythms with longer periodicity, including multidien rhythms and menses, influence the timing of seizures through poorly understood mechanisms. The purpose of this review is to discuss the findings from both human and animal studies that consider the effect of such biologically relevant rhythms on epilepsy and seizure-associated death. Patients with medically refractory epilepsy are at increased risk of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP). The role that some of these rhythms play in the nocturnal susceptibility to SUDEP will also be discussed. While the involvement of some of these rhythms in epilepsy has been known for over a century, applying the rhythmic nature of such phenomenon to epilepsy management, particularly in mitigating the risk of SUDEP, has been underutilized. As our understanding of the physiological influence on such rhythmic phenomenon improves, and as technology for chronic intracranial epileptiform monitoring becomes more widespread, smaller and less invasive, novel seizure-prediction technologies and time-dependent chronotherapeutic seizure management strategies can be realized.

Seizure-related differences in biosignal 24-h modulation patterns

A seizure likelihood biomarker could improve seizure monitoring and facilitate adjustment of treatments based on seizure risk. Here, we tested differences in patient-specific 24-h-modulation patterns of electrodermal activity (EDA), peripheral body temperature (TEMP), and heart rate (HR) between patients with and without seizures. We enrolled patients who underwent continuous video-EEG monitoring at Boston Children's Hospital to wear a biosensor. We divided patients into two groups: those with no seizures and those with at least one seizure during the recording period. We assessed the 24-h modulation level and amplitude of EDA, TEMP, and HR. We performed machine learning including physiological and clinical variables. Subsequently, we determined classifier performance by cross-validated machine learning. Patients with seizures (n = 49) had lower EDA levels (p = 0.031), EDA amplitudes (p = 0.045), and trended toward lower HR levels (p = 0.060) compared to patients without seizures (n = 68). Averaged cross-validated classification accuracy was 69% (AUC-ROC: 0.75). Our results show the potential to monitor and forecast risk for epileptic seizures based on changes in 24-h patterns in wearable recordings in combination with clinical variables. Such biomarkers might be applicable to inform care, such as treatment or seizure injury risk during specific periods, scheduling diagnostic tests, such as admission to the epilepsy monitoring unit, and potentially other neurological and chronic conditions.

The interaction between circadian rhythm and epilepsy

Evidence about the interaction between circadian rhythms (CR) and epilepsy has been expanded with the application of advanced detection technology. An adequate understanding of how circadian system and epilepsy interact with each other could contribute to more accurate seizure prediction as well as rapid development of potential treatment timed to specific phases of CR. In this review, we present the reciprocal relationship between CR and epileptic activities from aspects of sleep effect, genetic modulation and brain biochemistry. It has been found that sleep-wake patterns, circadian timing systems and multidien rhythms have essential roles in seizure activities and interictal epileptiform discharge (IED). For instance, specific distribution patterns of seizures and IED have been reported, i.e., lighter non-rapid eye movement (NREM) sleep stage (stage 2) induces seizures while deeper NREM sleep stage (stage 3) activates IEDs. Furthermore, the epilepsy type, seizure type and seizure onset zone can significantly affect the rhythms of seizure occurrence. Apart from the common seizure types, several specific epilepsy syndromes also have a close correlation with sleep-wakefulness patterns. Sleep influences the epilepsy rhythm, and conversely, epilepsy alters the sleep rhythm through multiple pathways. Clock genes accompanied by two feedback loops of regulation have an important role in cortical excitability and seizure occurrence, which may be involved in the mTORopathy. The suprachiasmatic nuclei (SCN) has a rhythm of melatonin and cortisol secretion under the circadian pattern, and then these hormones can feed back into a central oscillator to affect the SCN-dependent rhythms, leading to variable but prominent influence on epilepsy. Furthermore, we discuss the precise predictive algorithms and chronotherapy strategies based on different temporal patterns of seizure occurrence for patients with epilepsy, which may offer a valuable indication for non-invasive closed-loop treatment system. Optimization of the time and dose of antiseizure medications, and resynchronization of disturbed CR (by hormone therapy, light exposure, ketogenic diet, novel small molecules) would be beneficial for epileptic patients in the future. Before formal clinical practice, future large-scale studies are urgently needed to assist prediction and treatment of circadian seizure activities and address unsolved restrictions.

Seizure Forecasting by High-Frequency Activity (80-170 Hz) in Long-term Continuous Intracranial EEG Recordings

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Reliable seizure forecasting has important implications in epilepsy treatment and improving the quality of lives for people with epilepsy. High-frequency activity (HFA) is a biomarker that has received significant attention over the past 2 decades, but its predictive value in seizure forecasting remains uncertain. This work aimed to determine the utility of HFA in seizure forecasting.

METHODS

We used seizure data and HFA (80-170 Hz) data obtained from long-term, continuous intracranial EEG recordings of patients with drug-resistant epilepsy. Instantaneous rates and phases of HFA cycles were used as features for seizure forecasting. Seizure forecasts based on each individual HFA feature, and with the use of a combined approach, were generated pseudo-prospectively (causally). To compute the instantaneous phases for pseudo-prospective forecasting, real-time phase estimation based on an autoregressive model was used. Features were combined with a weighted average approach. The performance of seizure forecasting was primarily evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Of 15 studied patients (median recording duration 557 days, median seizures 151), 12 patients with >10 seizures after 100 recording days were included in the pseudo-prospective analysis. The presented real-time phase estimation is feasible and can causally estimate the instantaneous phases of HFA cycles with high accuracy. Pseudo-prospective seizure forecasting based on HFA rates and phases performed significantly better than chance in 11 of 12 patients, although there were patient-specific differences. Combining rate and phase information improved forecasting performance compared to using either feature alone. The combined forecast using the best-performing channel yielded a median AUC of 0.70, a median sensitivity of 0.57, and a median specificity of 0.77.

DISCUSSION

These findings show that HFA could be useful for seizure forecasting and represent proof of concept for using prior information of patient-specific relationships between HFA and seizures in pseudo-prospective forecasting. Future seizure forecasting algorithms might benefit from the inclusion of HFA, and the real-time phase estimation approach can be extended to other biomarkers.

CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE

This study provides Class IV evidence that HFA (80-170 Hz) in long-term continuous intracranial EEG can be useful to forecast seizures in patients with refractory epilepsy.

The Interaction Between Sleep and Epilepsy

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To review the mutual interactions between sleep and epilepsy, including mechanisms of epileptogenesis, the relationship between sleep apnea and epilepsy, and potential strategies to treat seizures.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recent studies have highlighted the role of functional network systems underlying epileptiform activation in sleep in several epilepsy syndromes, including absence epilepsy, benign focal childhood epilepsy, and epileptic encephalopathy with spike-wave activation in sleep. Sleep disorders are common in epilepsy, and early recognition and treatment can improve seizure frequency and potentially reduce SUDEP risk. Additionally, epilepsy is associated with cyclical patterns, which has led to new treatment approaches including chronotherapy, seizure monitoring devices, and seizure forecasting. Adenosine kinase and orexin receptor antagonists are also promising new potential drug targets that could be used to treat seizures. Sleep and epilepsy have a bidirectional relationship that intersects with many aspects of clinical management. In this article, we identify new areas of research involving future therapeutic opportunities in the field of epilepsy.

Multi-Channel Vision Transformer for Epileptic Seizure Prediction

Epilepsy is a neurological disorder that causes recurrent seizures and sometimes loss of awareness. Around 30% of epileptic patients continue to have seizures despite taking anti-seizure medication. The ability to predict the future occurrence of seizures would enable the patients to take precautions against probable injuries and administer timely treatment to abort or control impending seizures. In this study, we introduce a Transformer-based approach called Multi-channel Vision Transformer (MViT) for automated and simultaneous learning of the spatio-temporal-spectral features in multi-channel EEG data. Continuous wavelet transform, a simple yet efficient pre-processing approach, is first used for turning the time-series EEG signals into image-like time-frequency representations named Scalograms. Each scalogram is split into a sequence of fixed-size non-overlapping patches, which are then fed as inputs to the MViT for EEG classification. Extensive experiments on three benchmark EEG datasets demonstrate the superiority of the proposed MViT algorithm over the state-of-the-art seizure prediction methods, achieving an average prediction sensitivity of 99.80% for surface EEG and 90.28-91.15% for invasive EEG data.

Fluctuations in EEG band power at subject-specific timescales over minutes to days explain changes in seizure evolutions

Epilepsy is recognised as a dynamic disease, where both seizure susceptibility and seizure characteristics themselves change over time. Specifically, we recently quantified the variable electrographic spatio-temporal seizure evolutions that exist within individual patients. This variability appears to follow subject-specific circadian, or longer, timescale modulations. It is therefore important to know whether continuously recorded interictaliEEG features can capture signatures of these modulations over different timescales. In this study, we analyse continuous intracranial electroencephalographic (iEEG) recordings from video-telemetry units and find fluctuations in iEEG band power over timescales ranging from minutes up to 12 days. As expected and in agreement with previous studies, we find that all subjects show a circadian fluctuation in their iEEG band power. We additionally detect other fluctuations of similar magnitude on subject-specific timescales. Importantly, we find that a combination of these fluctuations on different timescales can explain changes in seizure evolutions in most subjects above chance level. These results suggest that subject-specific fluctuations in iEEG band power over timescales of minutes to days may serve as markers of seizure modulating processes. We hope that future study can link these detected fluctuations to their biological driver(s). There is a critical need to better understand seizure modulating processes, as this will enable the development of novel treatment strategies that could minimise the seizure spread, duration or severity and therefore the clinical impact of seizures.

Noninvasive mobile EEG as a tool for seizure monitoring and management: A systematic review

In the last two decades new noninvasive mobile electroencephalography (EEG) solutions have been developed to overcome limitations of conventional clinical EEG and to improve monitoring of patients with long-term conditions. Despite the availability of mobile innovations, their adoption is still very limited. The aim of this study is to review the current state-of-the-art and highlight the main advantages of adopting noninvasive mobile EEG solutions in clinical trials and research studies of people with epilepsy or suspected seizures. Device characteristics are described, and their evaluation is presented. Two authors independently performed a literature review in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines. A combination of different digital libraries was used (Embase, MEDLINE, Global Health, PsycINFO and https://clinicaltrials.gov/). Twenty-three full-text, six conference abstracts, and eight webpages were included, where a total of 14 noninvasive mobile solutions were identified. Published studies demonstrated at different levels how EEG recorded via mobile EEG can be used for visual detection of EEG abnormalities and for the application of automatic-detection algorithms with acceptable specificity and sensitivity. When the quality of the signal was compared with scalp EEG, many similarities were found in the background activities and power spectrum. Several studies indicated that the experience of patients and health care providers using mobile EEG was positive in different settings. Ongoing trials are focused mostly on improving seizure-detection accuracy and also on testing and assessing feasibility and acceptability of noninvasive devices in the hospital and at home. This review supports the potential clinical value of noninvasive mobile EEG systems and their advantages in terms of time, technical support, cost, usability, and reliability when applied to seizure detection and management. On the other hand, the limitations of the studies confirmed that future research is needed to provide more evidence regarding feasibility and acceptability in different settings, as well as the data quality and detection accuracy of new noninvasive mobile EEG solutions.

Temporally Targeted Interactions With Pathologic Oscillations as Therapeutical Targets in Epilepsy and Beyond

Self-organized neuronal oscillations rely on precisely orchestrated ensemble activity in reverberating neuronal networks. Chronic, non-malignant disorders of the brain are often coupled to pathological neuronal activity patterns. In addition to the characteristic behavioral symptoms, these disturbances are giving rise to both transient and persistent changes of various brain rhythms. Increasing evidence support the causal role of these "oscillopathies" in the phenotypic emergence of the disease symptoms, identifying neuronal network oscillations as potential therapeutic targets. While the kinetics of pharmacological therapy is not suitable to compensate the disease related fine-scale disturbances of network oscillations, external biophysical modalities (e.g., electrical stimulation) can alter spike timing in a temporally precise manner. These perturbations can warp rhythmic oscillatory patterns via resonance or entrainment. Properly timed phasic stimuli can even switch between the stable states of networks acting as multistable oscillators, substantially changing the emergent oscillatory patterns. Novel transcranial electric stimulation (TES) approaches offer more reliable neuronal control by allowing higher intensities with tolerable side-effect profiles. This precise temporal steerability combined with the non- or minimally invasive nature of these novel TES interventions make them promising therapeutic candidates for functional disorders of the brain. Here we review the key experimental findings and theoretical background concerning various pathological aspects of neuronal network activity leading to the generation of epileptic seizures. The conceptual and practical state of the art of temporally targeted brain stimulation is discussed focusing on the prevention and early termination of epileptic seizures.

Spatio-temporal spike dynamics predict surgical outcome in adult focal epilepsy

OBJECTIVE

We hypothesized that spatio-temporal dynamics of interictal spikes reflect the extent and stability of epileptic sources and determine surgical outcome.

METHODS

We studied 30 consecutive patients (14 good outcome). Spikes were detected in prolonged stereo-electroencephalography recordings. We quantified the spatio-temporal dynamics of spikes using the variance of the spike rate, line length and skewness of the spike distribution, and related these features to outcome. We built a logistic regression model, and compared its performance to traditional markers.

RESULTS

Good outcome patients had more dominant and stable sources than poor outcome patients as expressed by a higher variance of spike rates, a lower variance of line length, and a lower variance of positive skewness (ps < 0.05). The outcome was correctly predicted in 80% of patients. This was better or non-inferior to predictions based on a focal lesion (p = 0.016), focal seizure-onset zone, or complete resection (ps > 0.05). In the five patients where traditional markers failed, spike distribution predicted the outcome correctly. The best results were achieved by 18-h periods or longer.

CONCLUSIONS

Analysis of spike dynamics shows that surgery outcome depends on strong, single and stable sources.

SIGNIFICANCE

Our quantitative method has the potential to be a reliable predictor of surgical outcome.

Coherent false seizure prediction in epilepsy, coincidence or providence?

OBJECTIVE

Seizure forecasting using machine learning is possible, but the performance is far from ideal, as indicated by many false predictions and low specificity. Here, we examine false and missing alarms of two algorithms on long-term datasets to show that the limitations are less related to classifiers or features, but rather to intrinsic changes in the data.

METHODS

We evaluated two algorithms on three datasets by computing the correlation of false predictions and estimating the information transfer between both classification methods.

RESULTS

For 9 out of 12 individuals both methods showed a performance better than chance. For all individuals we observed a positive correlation in predictions. For individuals with strong correlation in false predictions we were able to boost the performance of one method by excluding test samples based on the results of the second method.

CONCLUSIONS

Substantially different algorithms exhibit a highly consistent performance and a strong coherency in false and missing alarms. Hence, changing the underlying hypothesis of a preictal state of fixed time length prior to each seizure to a proictal state is more helpful than further optimizing classifiers.

SIGNIFICANCE

The outcome is significant for the evaluation of seizure prediction algorithms on continuous data.

Wearable electroencephalography for ultra-long-term seizure monitoring: a systematic review and future prospects

INTRODUCTION

: Wearable electroencephalography (EEG) for objective seizure counting might transform the clinical management of epilepsy. Non-EEG modalities have been validated for the detection of convulsive seizures, but there is still an unmet need for the detection of non-convulsive seizures.

AREAS COVERED

: The main objective of this systematic review was to explore the current status on wearable surface- and subcutaneous EEG for long-term seizure monitoring in epilepsy. We included 17 studies and evaluated the progress on the field, including device specifications, intended populations, and main results on the published studies including diagnostic accuracy measures. Furthermore, we examine the hurdles for widespread clinical implementation. This systematic review and expert opinion both consults the PRISMA guidelines and reflects on the future perspectives of this emerging field.

EXPERT OPINION

: Wearable EEG for long-term seizure monitoring is an emerging field, with plenty of proposed devices and proof-of-concept clinical validation studies. The possible implications of these devices are immense including objective seizure counting and possibly forecasting. However, the true clinical value of the devices, including effects on patient important outcomes and clinical decision making is yet to be unveiled and large-scale clinical validation trials are called for.

An Overview of EEG-based Machine Learning Methods in Seizure Prediction and Opportunities for Neurologists in this Field

The unpredictability of epileptic seizures is one of the most problematic aspects of the field of epilepsy. Methods or devices capable of detecting seizures minutes before they occur may help prevent injury or even death and significantly improve the quality of life. Machine learning (ML) is an emerging technology that can markedly enhance algorithm performance by interpreting data. ML has gained increasing attention from medical researchers in recent years. Its epilepsy applications range from the localization of the epileptic region, predicting the medical or surgical outcome of epilepsy, and automated electroencephalography (EEG) analysis to seizure prediction. While ML has good prospects with regard to detecting epileptic seizures via EEG signals, many clinicians are still unfamiliar with this field. This work briefly summarizes the history and recent significant progress made in this field and clarifies the essential components of the automatic seizure detection system using ML methodologies for clinicians. This review also proposes how neurologists can actively contribute to ensure improvements in seizure prediction using EEG-based ML.

Electrical Brain Stimulation for Epilepsy and Emerging Applications

SUMMARY

Electrical brain stimulation is an established therapy for movement disorders, epilepsy, obsessive compulsive disorder, and a potential therapy for many other neurologic and psychiatric disorders. Despite significant progress and FDA approvals, there remain significant clinical gaps that can be addressed with next generation systems. Integrating wearable sensors and implantable brain devices with off-the-body computing resources (smart phones and cloud resources) opens a new vista for dense behavioral and physiological signal tracking coupled with adaptive stimulation therapy that should have applications for a range of brain and mind disorders. Here, we briefly review some history and current electrical brain stimulation applications for epilepsy, deep brain stimulation and responsive neurostimulation, and emerging applications for next generation devices and systems.

Chronic electroencephalography in epilepsy with a responsive neurostimulation device: current status and future prospects

INTRODUCTION

Implanted neurostimulation devices are gaining traction as therapeutic options for people with certain forms of drug-resistant focal epilepsy. Some of these devices enable chronic electroencephalography (cEEG), which offers views of the dynamics of brain activity in epilepsy over unprecedented time horizons.

AREAS COVERED

This review focuses on clinical insights and basic neuroscience discoveries enabled by analyses of cEEG from an exemplar device, the NeuroPace RNS® System. Applications of RNS cEEG covered here include counting and lateralizing seizures, quantifying medication response, characterizing spells, forecasting seizures, and exploring mechanisms of cognition. Limitations of the RNS System are discussed in the context of next-generation devices in development.

EXPERT OPINION

The wide temporal lens of cEEG helps capture the dynamism of epilepsy, revealing phenomena that cannot be appreciated with short duration recordings. The RNS System is a vanguard device whose diagnostic utility rivals its therapeutic benefits, but emerging minimally invasive devices, including those with subscalp recording electrodes, promise to be more applicable within a broad population of people with epilepsy. Epileptology is on the precipice of a paradigm shift in which cEEG is a standard part of diagnostic evaluations and clinical management is predicated on quantitative observations integrated over long timescales.

Breaking the Seizure Randomness Myth: Evidence for a Recurring Ebb and Flow of Seizure Risk on the Continuum of Time

Seizure Cycles in Focal Epilepsy

Leguia MG, Andrzejak RG, Rummel C, et al. JAMA Neurol. 2021;78(4):454-463. doi:10.1001/jamaneurol.2020.5370. PMID: 33555292; PMCID: PMC7871210.

Importance:

Focal epilepsy is characterized by the cyclical recurrence of seizures, but, to our knowledge, the prevalence and patterns of seizure cycles are unknown.

Objective:

To establish the prevalence, strength, and temporal patterns of seizure cycles over timescales of hours to years.

Design, Setting, and Participants:

This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from continuous intracranial electroencephalography (cEEG) and seizure diaries collected between January 19, 2004, and May 18, 2018, with durations up to 10 years. A total of 222 adults with medically refractory focal epilepsy were selected from 256 total participants in a clinical trial of an implanted responsive neurostimulation device. Selection was based on availability of cEEG and/or self-reports of disabling seizures.

Exposures:

Anti-seizure medications and responsive neurostimulation, based on clinical indications.

Main Outcomes and Measures:

Measures involved (1) self-reported daily seizure counts, (2) cEEG-based hourly counts of electrographic seizures, and (3) detections of interictal epileptiform activity (IEA), which fluctuates in daily (circadian) and multiday (Multidien) cycles. Outcomes involved descriptive characteristics of cycles of IEA and seizures: (1) prevalence, defined as the percentage of patients with a given type of seizure cycle; (2) strength, defined as the degree of consistency with which seizures occur at certain phases of an underlying cycle, measured as the phase-locking value (PLV); and (3) seizure chronotypes, defined as patterns in seizure timing evident at the group level.

Results:

Of the 222 participants, 112 (50%) were male, and the median age was 35 years (range, 18-66 years). The prevalence of circannual (approximately 1 year) seizure cycles was 12% (24 of 194), the prevalence of multidien (approximately weekly to approximately monthly) seizure cycles was 60% (112 of 186), and the prevalence of circadian (approximately 24 hours) seizure cycles was 89% (76 of 85). Strengths of circadian (mean [SD] PLV, 0.34 [0.18]) and multidien (mean [SD] PLV, 0.34 [0.17]) seizure cycles were comparable, whereas circannual seizure cycles were weaker (mean [SD] PLV, 0.17 [0.10]). Across individuals, circadian seizure cycles showed 5 peaks: morning, mid-afternoon, evening, early night, and late night. Multidien cycles of IEA showed peak periodicities centered around 7, 15, 20, and 30 days. Independent of multidien period length, self-reported, and electrographic seizures consistently occurred during the days-long rising phase of multidien cycles of IEA.

Conclusions and Relevance:

Findings in this large cohort establish the high prevalence of plural seizure cycles and help explain the natural variability in seizure timing. The results have the potential to inform the scheduling of diagnostic studies, the delivery of time-varying therapies, and the design of clinical trials in epilepsy.

The Challenging Path to Developing a Mobile Health Device for Epilepsy: The Current Landscape and Where We Go From Here

Seizure detection, and more recently seizure forecasting, represent important avenues of clinical development in epilepsy, promoted by progress in wearable devices and mobile health (mHealth), which might help optimizing seizure control and prevention of seizure-related mortality and morbidity in persons with epilepsy. Yet, very long-term continuous monitoring of seizure-sensitive biosignals in the ambulatory setting presents a number of challenges. We herein provide an overview of these challenges and current technological landscape of mHealth devices for seizure detection. Specifically, we display, which types of sensor modalities and analytical methods are available, and give insight into current clinical practice guidelines, main outcomes of clinical validation studies, and discuss how to evaluate device performance at point-of-care facilities. We then address pitfalls which may arise in patient compliance and the need to design solutions adapted to user experience.

Seizure Susceptibility Prediction in Uncontrolled Epilepsy

Epileptic seizure forecasting, combined with the delivery of preventative therapies, holds the potential to greatly improve the quality of life for epilepsy patients and their caregivers. Forecasting seizures could prevent some potentially catastrophic consequences such as injury and death in addition to several potential clinical benefits it may provide for patient care in hospitals. The challenge of seizure forecasting lies within the seemingly unpredictable transitions of brain dynamics into the ictal state. The main body of computational research on determining seizure risk has been focused solely on prediction algorithms, which involves a challenging issue of balancing sensitivity and false alarms. There have been some studies on identifying potential biomarkers for seizure forecasting; however, the questions of “What are the true biomarkers for seizure prediction” or even “Is there a valid biomarker for seizure prediction?” are yet to be fully answered. In this paper, we introduce a tool to facilitate the exploration of the potential biomarkers. We confirm using our tool that interictal slowing activities are a promising biomarker for epileptic seizure susceptibility prediction.

Outliers in clinical symptoms as preictal biomarkers

Previous findings have suggested that a preictal state might precede the epileptic seizure onset, which is the basis for seizure prediction attempts. Preictal states can be apprehended as outliers that differ from an interictal baseline and display clinical changes. We collected daily clinical scores from patients with epilepsy who underwent continuous video-EEG and assessed the ability of several outlier detection methods to identify preictal states. Results from 24 patients suggested that outlying clinical features were suggestive of preictal states and can be identified by statistical methods: AUC = 0.71, 95 % CI = [0.63 - 0.79]; PPV = 0.77, 95 % CI = [0.70 - 0.84]; FPR = 0.31, 95 % CI = [0.21 - 0.44]); and F1 score = 0.74, 95 % CI = [0.64 - 0.81]. Such algorithms could be straightforwardly implemented in a mobile device (e.g., tablet or smartphone), which would allow a longer data collection that could improve prediction performances. Additional clinical - and even multimodal - parameters could identify more subtle physiological modifications.

Seizure Forecasting: Patient and Caregiver Perspectives

Accurate seizure forecasting is emerging as a near-term possibility due to recent advancements in machine learning and EEG technology improvements. Large-scale data curation and new data element collection through consumer wearables and digital health tools such as longitudinal seizure diary data has uncovered new possibilities for personalized algorithm development that may be used to predict the likelihood of future seizures. The Epilepsy Foundation recognized the unmet need for development in seizure forecasting following a 2016 survey where an overwhelming majority of respondents across all seizure types and frequencies reported that unpredictability of seizures had the strongest impact on their life while living with or caring for someone living with epilepsy. In early 2021, the Epilepsy Foundation conducted an updated survey among those living with epilepsies and/or their caregivers to better understand the use-cases that best suit the needs of our community as seizure forecast research advances. These results will provide researchers with insight into user-acceptance of using a forecasting tool and incorporation into their daily life. Ultimately, this input from people living with epilepsy and caregivers will provide timely feedback on what the community needs are and ensure researchers and companies first and foremost consider these needs in seizure forecasting tools/product development.

Commercially available seizure detection devices: A systematic review

IMPORTANCE

Epilepsy can be associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Seizure detection devices could be invaluable tools for both people with epilepsy, their caregivers, and clinicians as they could alert caretakers about seizures, reduce the risk of sudden unexpected death in epilepsy, and provide objective and more reliable seizure tracking to guide treatment decisions or monitor outcomes in clinical trials.

OBJECTIVE

To synthesize the characteristics of commercial seizure detection tools/devices currently available.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search utilizing a diverse set of resources to identify commercially available seizure detection products for consumer use. Performance data was obtained through a systematic review on commercially available products.

OBSERVATIONS

We identified 23 products marketed for seizure detection/alerting. Devices utilize a variety of mechanisms to detect seizures, including movement detectors, autonomic change detectors, electroencephalogram (EEG) based detectors, and other mechanisms (audio). The optimal device for a person with epilepsy depends on a variety of factors including the main purpose of the device, their age, seizure type and personal preferences. Only 8 devices have published peer-reviewed performance data and the majority for tonic-clonic seizures. An informed conversation between the clinician and the patient can help guide if a seizure detection device is appropriate.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

Seizure detection devices have a potential to reduce morbidity and mortality for certain people with epilepsy. Clinicians should be familiar with the characteristics of commercially available devices to best counsel their patients on whether a seizure detection device may be beneficial and what the optimal devices may be.