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Grant R, Rubin M, Abbas M, Pittet D, Srinivasan A, Jernigan JA, Bell M, Samore M, Harbarth S, Slayton RB. Expanding the use of mathematical modeling in healthcare epidemiology and infection prevention and control. Infect Control Hosp Epidemiol 2024:1-6. [PMID: 39228083 DOI: 10.1017/ice.2024.97] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/05/2024]
Abstract
During the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, mathematical modeling has been widely used to understand epidemiological burden, trends, and transmission dynamics, to facilitate policy decisions, and, to a lesser extent, to evaluate infection prevention and control (IPC) measures. This review highlights the added value of using conventional epidemiology and modeling approaches to address the complexity of healthcare-associated infections (HAI) and antimicrobial resistance. It demonstrates how epidemiological surveillance data and modeling can be used to infer transmission dynamics in healthcare settings and to forecast healthcare impact, how modeling can be used to improve the validity of interpretation of epidemiological surveillance data, how modeling can be used to estimate the impact of IPC interventions, and how modeling can be used to guide IPC and antimicrobial treatment and stewardship decision-making. There are several priority areas for expanding the use of modeling in healthcare epidemiology and IPC. Importantly, modeling should be viewed as complementary to conventional healthcare epidemiological approaches, and this requires collaboration and active coordination between IPC, healthcare epidemiology, and mathematical modeling groups.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rebecca Grant
- Infection Control Programme and WHO Collaborating Centre for Infection Prevention and Control and Antimicrobial Resistance, Geneva University Hospitals and Faculty of Medicine, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Michael Rubin
- Division of Epidemiology, University of Utah School Medicine, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
| | - Mohamed Abbas
- Infection Control Programme and WHO Collaborating Centre for Infection Prevention and Control and Antimicrobial Resistance, Geneva University Hospitals and Faculty of Medicine, Geneva, Switzerland
- MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Didier Pittet
- Infection Control Programme and WHO Collaborating Centre for Infection Prevention and Control and Antimicrobial Resistance, Geneva University Hospitals and Faculty of Medicine, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Arjun Srinivasan
- Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - John A Jernigan
- Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Michael Bell
- Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Matthew Samore
- Division of Epidemiology, University of Utah School Medicine, Salt Lake City, UT, USA
| | - Stephan Harbarth
- Infection Control Programme and WHO Collaborating Centre for Infection Prevention and Control and Antimicrobial Resistance, Geneva University Hospitals and Faculty of Medicine, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Rachel B Slayton
- Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion, U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
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Liu Y, Yin Y, Ward MP, Li K, Chen Y, Duan M, Wong PPY, Hong J, Huang J, Shi J, Zhou X, Chen X, Xu J, Yuan R, Kong L, Zhang Z. Optimization of Screening Strategies for COVID-19: Scoping Review. JMIR Public Health Surveill 2024; 10:e44349. [PMID: 38412011 PMCID: PMC10933748 DOI: 10.2196/44349] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2022] [Revised: 06/29/2023] [Accepted: 11/21/2023] [Indexed: 02/28/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND COVID-19 screening is an effective nonpharmaceutical intervention for identifying infected individuals and interrupting viral transmission. However, questions have been raised regarding its effectiveness in controlling the spread of novel variants and its high socioeconomic costs. Therefore, the optimization of COVID-19 screening strategies has attracted great attention. OBJECTIVE This review aims to summarize the evidence and provide a reference basis for the optimization of screening strategies for the prevention and control of COVID-19. METHODS We applied a methodological framework for scoping reviews and the PRISMA-ScR (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews) checklist. We conducted a scoping review of the present publications on the optimization of COVID-19 screening strategies. We searched the PubMed, Web of Science, and Elsevier ScienceDirect databases for publications up to December 31, 2022. English publications related to screening and testing strategies for COVID-19 were included. A data-charting form, jointly developed by 2 reviewers, was used for data extraction according to the optimization directions of the screening strategies. RESULTS A total of 2770 unique publications were retrieved from the database search, and 95 abstracts were retained for full-text review. There were 62 studies included in the final review. We summarized the results in 4 major aspects: the screening population (people at various risk conditions such as different regions and occupations; 12/62, 19%), the timing of screening (when the target population is tested before travel or during an outbreak; 12/62, 19%), the frequency of screening (appropriate frequencies for outbreak prevention, outbreak response, or community transmission control; 6/62, 10%), and the screening and detection procedure (the choice of individual or pooled detection and optimization of the pooling approach; 35/62, 56%). CONCLUSIONS This review reveals gaps in the optimization of COVID-19 screening strategies and suggests that a number of factors such as prevalence, screening accuracy, effective allocation of resources, and feasibility of strategies should be carefully considered in the development of future screening strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuanhua Liu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Yun Yin
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Michael P Ward
- Sydney School of Veterinary Science, The University of Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Ke Li
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Yue Chen
- School of Epidemiology and Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, ON, Canada
| | - Mengwei Duan
- Department of Mathematics and Physics, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, China
| | | | - Jie Hong
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Jiaqi Huang
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Jin Shi
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Xuan Zhou
- Department of Mathematics and Physics, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, China
| | - Xi Chen
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Jiayao Xu
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Rui Yuan
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
| | - Lingcai Kong
- Department of Mathematics and Physics, North China Electric Power University, Baoding, China
| | - Zhijie Zhang
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
- Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China
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Kutty PK, Stuckey MJ, Koumans EH. Vaccines, Variants, and Vigilance: Strengthening the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Public Health Response Through Partnerships and Collaborations. Clin Infect Dis 2022; 75:S141-S146. [PMID: 35748638 PMCID: PMC9278239 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciac522] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2022] [Indexed: 01/19/2023] Open
Abstract
The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC); state, tribal, local, and territorial health departments; other US government departments and agencies; the private sector; and international partners have engaged in a real-time public health response to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Vaccination, variants, and vigilance were themes that arose in the second year of pandemic response in the United States. The findings included in this supplement emerged from these themes and represent some of the many collaborative efforts to improve public health knowledge and action to reduce transmission, infection, and disease severity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Preeta K Kutty
- U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Matthew J Stuckey
- U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA
| | - Emilia H Koumans
- Corresponding author: Emilia H. Koumans, MD, MPH Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Division Of Reproductive Health 1600 Clifton Rd, MS E-02 Atlanta, GA USA 30333
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