Long-term Real-world Protection Afforded by Third mRNA Doses Against Symptomatic Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Infections, Coronavirus Disease 19-related Emergency Attendances and Hospitalizations Amongst Older Singaporeans During an Omicron XBB Wave

A Nationwide Cohort Study of Delta and Omicron SARS-CoV-2 Outcomes in Vaccinated Individuals With Chronic Lung Disease

BACKGROUND

Individuals with chronic lung disease (CLD) are more susceptible to respiratory viral infections; however, significant heterogeneity exists in the literature on CLD and COVID-19 outcomes. Data are lacking on outcomes with newer variants (eg, Omicron) and in vaccinated and boosted populations.

RESEARCH QUESTION

What are the outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 infection in individuals with CLD during Delta and Omicron transmission in a highly vaccinated and boosted population-based cohort?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Outcomes of Delta and Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection in a highly vaccinated and boosted cohort of adult Singaporeans with CLD (including asthma, COPD, bronchiectasis, and pulmonary fibrosis) were contrasted against matched population control participants. Calendar time-scale Cox regressions were used to compare risk of infection, COVID-19-related hospitalizations, and severe COVID-19 disease, adjusting for sociodemographic factors and comorbidities.

RESULTS

Overall, 68,782 individual patients with CLD and 534,364 matched population control participants were included. By the end of the Omicron wave, 92.7% of patients with CLD were boosted. Compared with control participants, patients with CLD showed higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection, COVID-19-related hospitalization, and severe COVID-19 during both the Delta wave (infection: adjusted hazards ratio [aHR], 1.22 [95% CI, 1.17-1.28]; hospitalization: aHR, 1.76 [95% CI, 1.61-1.92]; severe COVID-19: aHR, 1.75 [95% CI, 1.50-2.05]) and Omicron wave (infection: aHR, 1.15 [95% CI, 1.14-1.17]; hospitalization: aHR, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.74-1.91]; severe COVID-19: aHR, 2.39 [95% CI, 2.18-2.63]). During Omicron, significantly higher risk of infection, hospitalization, and severe COVID-19 was observed among patients with asthma (severe COVID-19: aHR, 1.31 [95% CI, 1.10-1.55]) and COPD (severe COVID-19: aHR, 1.36 [95% CI, 1.12-1.66]) compared with control participants. Severe exacerbation (requiring hospitalization) in the preceding year was associated with higher risk of poorer outcomes (Delta, severe COVID-19: aHR, 9.84 [95% CI, 6.33-15.28]; Omicron, severe COVID-19: aHR, 19.22 [95% CI, 15.35-24.06]). Risk was attenuated in the boosted group, with numerically lower HRs against hospitalization and severe COVID-19 in the four-dose group compared with the three-dose group.

INTERPRETATION

Increased risk of COVID-19-related hospitalization and severe COVID-19 was observed among patients with CLD compared with matched population control participants during Delta and Omicron predominance. Boosting attenuated serious COVID-19 outcomes.

Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir treatment and risk for postacute sequelae of COVID-19 in older Singaporeans

OBJECTIVES

Significant heterogeneity has been reported in cohort studies evaluating the impact of early oral antiviral treatment on preventing postacute sequelae after COVID-19. We evaluated the impact of early nirmatrelvir/ritonavir on risk of postacute cardiovascular, neurological, respiratory, and autoimmune diagnoses, as well as postacute symptoms amongst older Singaporeans.

METHODS

National COVID-19 registries and healthcare claims databases were used to construct a retrospective population-based cohort enrolling all Singaporeans aged ≥60 years diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection in primary care during Omicron transmission (18 March 2022-4 August 2023). The cohort was divided into nirmatrelvir/ritonavir-treated and untreated groups. Between-group differences in baseline characteristics were adjusted using overlap weighting. Risks of postacute cardiovascular, neurological, respiratory, and autoimmune diagnoses and postacute symptoms (31-180 days) after SARS-CoV-2 infection were contrasted in treated/untreated groups using competing risks regressions (adjusted for demographics/vaccination status/comorbidities).

RESULTS

A total of 188 532 older Singaporeans were included; 5.8% (10 905/188 532) received nirmatrelvir/ritonavir. No significantly decreased risk of postacute sequelae (any sequelae: adjusted hazards ratio [aHR], 1.06; 0.94-1.19; cardiovascular sequelae: aHR, 1.01; 0.83-1.24; neurological sequelae: aHR, 1.09; 0.95-1.27; respiratory sequelae: aHR, 1.14; 0.84-1.55; autoimmune sequelae: aHR, 0.76; 0.53-1.09; or any postacute symptom: aHR, 0.97; 0.80-1.18) was observed up to 180 days post-infection in nirmatrelvir/ritonavir-treated individuals vs. untreated cases. Across all vaccination and age subgroups, no significantly decreased risk of any postacute diagnosis/symptom or any cardiovascular, neurological, respiratory, and autoimmune complications up to 180 days post-infection was observed.

DISCUSSION

Early outpatient receipt of nirmatrelvir/ritonavir did not significantly reduce risk of postacute cardiovascular, neurological, respiratory, and autoimmune sequelae or the risk of postacute symptoms in a boosted cohort of older Singaporeans.

Access to COVID-19 vaccination by socio-economic status in older Singaporean adults: a population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Socio-economic status (SES) disparities exist in the uptake of COVID-19 vaccination; however, most studies were conducted during the initial pandemic wave when vaccination was less discretionary, limiting generalizability. We aimed to determine whether differences in vaccination uptake across SES strata widened after the removal of vaccination-differentiated measures prior to the rollout of the second boosters, in a nationwide cohort of older Singaporeans at higher risk of severe-COVID-19.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective population-based cohort study.

METHODS

Retrospective population-based cohort study of all Singaporeans aged ≥60 years from 22nd February 2021-14th February 2023. Cox regression models controlling for demographics and comorbidities were used to estimate hazard-ratios (HRs) for the uptake of primary vaccination as well as first/second boosters, as recorded in the national vaccination registry, according to SES (housing type).

RESULTS

836,170 individuals were included for completion of a primary vaccine series; 784,938 individuals for completion of the first booster and 734,206 individuals for the completion of the second booster. Differences in vaccination uptake by SES strata were observed (e.g. vaccination uptake in lowest-SES [1-2 room public-housing] versus highest-SES [private housing]: second booster, 47.6% vs. 58.1%; first booster, 93.9% vs. 98.0%). However, relative differences did not markedly widen during second booster rollout when vaccination was more discretionary (e.g. amongst those aged 60-69 years: 0.75 [95% CI = 0.73-0.76] for the first booster; 0.81 [95% CI = 0.79-0.84] for the second booster).

CONCLUSION

While differences in vaccination uptake across SES strata by housing type persisted during the rollout of primary vaccination and subsequent boosters in a nationwide cohort of older Singaporeans, differences did not widen substantially when vaccination was made more discretionary.

Effects of Recent Prior Dengue Infection on Risk and Severity of Subsequent SARS-CoV-2 Infection: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background and Aims

Elucidating whether prior dengue potentially confers cross-protection against COVID-19 is of public health importance in tropical countries at risk of overlapping dengue and COVID-19 epidemics. However, studies to date have yielded conflicting results. We aimed to assess effects of recent prior dengue infection on risk and severity of subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection among adult Singaporeans.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study including all adult Singaporeans aged ≥18 years was conducted from 1 July 2021 through 31 October 2022, when a dengue outbreak driven by the DENV3 serotype preceded subsequent waves of SARS-CoV-2 Delta/Omicron transmission in Singapore. SARS-CoV-2 and dengue infection status were classified using national registries. Cox regression models adjusted for demographics, COVID-19 vaccination status, comorbidity, and socioeconomic-status were used to assess risks and severity (hospitalization, severe illness) of SARS-CoV-2 infection occurring after previous recorded dengue infection.

Results

A total of 3 366 399 individuals were included, contributing 1 399 696 530 person-days of observation. A total of 13 434 dengue infections and 1 253 520 subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infections were recorded; with an average of 94.7 days (standard deviation = 83.8) between dengue infection and SARS-CoV-2 infection. Preceding dengue infection was associated with a modest increase in risk of subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection (adjusted hazards ratio [aHR] = 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.08-1.17), and significantly elevated risk of subsequent COVID-19 hospitalization (aHR = 3.25; 95% CI, 2.78-3.82) and severe COVID-19 (aHR = 3.39; 95% CI, 2.29-5.03).

Conclusions

Increased risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection and adverse COVID-19 outcomes were observed following preceding dengue infection in a national population-based cohort of adult Singaporeans. This observation is of significance in tropical countries with overlapping dengue and COVID-19 outbreaks.

Dengue versus COVID-19: comparing the incidence of cardiovascular, neuropsychiatric and autoimmune complications

BACKGROUND

While persistence of chronic symptoms following dengue infection has been documented in small prospective cohorts, population-based studies are limited. The post-acute risk of new-incident multi-systemic complications following dengue infection was contrasted against that following severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in a multi-ethnic adult Asian population.

METHODS

National testing and healthcare claims that databases in Singapore were utilized to build a retrospective population-based adult cohort with laboratory-confirmed infection during overlapping waves of SARS-CoV-2 and dengue transmission (1 July 2021 to 31 October 2022). Risks of new-incident cardiovascular/neuropsychiatric/autoimmune complications 31-300 days of post-dengue infection, contrasted with SARS-CoV-2 infection, were estimated using Cox regression with overlap weights. Risks were reported in terms of adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) and excess burden per 1000 persons.

RESULTS

11 707 dengue-infected individuals and 1 248 326 contemporaneous coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases were included; the majority had mild initial infection not requiring hospitalization. Amongst dengue-infected individuals, there was 21% [aHR = 1.21 (1.06-1.38)] increased risk of any sequelae, with 55% [aHR = 1.55 (1.27-1.89)] increased risk of cardiovascular sequelae. Specifically, increased risk of dysrhythmias [aHR = 1.79(1.35-2.37)], ischemic heart disease [aHR = 1.45(1.12-1.89)], other cardiac disorders [aHR = 2.21(1.54-3.16)] and thrombotic disorders [aHR = 2.55(1.50-4.35)] was noted. Elevated risk of individual neuropsychiatric sequelae, including cerebrovascular disorders [aHR = 1.49(1.09-2.13)], cognition/memory disorders [aHR = 2.13(1.55-2.93)], extrapyramidal/movement disorders [aHR = 1.98(1.33-2.94)] and anxiety disorders [aHR = 1.61(1.01-2.56)], was observed in dengue-infected individuals compared to COVID-19 cases. Elevated risks of post-acute sequelae in dengue survivors were observed when contrasted against COVID-19 survivors infected during Delta/Omicron predominance, as well as across vaccination strata.

CONCLUSION

Increased risk of post-acute cardiovascular/neuropsychiatric complications was observed in dengue survivors, when contrasted against COVID-19 survivors infected during Delta/Omicron predominance.

RESEARCH IN CONTEXT

Long-term neuropsychiatric sequelae of Delta versus Omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection

OBJECTIVES

Studies have reported increased rates of long-term neuropsychiatric sequelae after SARS-CoV-2 infection using electronic health-record (EHR) data; however, the majority were conducted before Omicron and booster rollout. We estimated the long-term risks and excess burdens of pre-specified new-incident neuropsychiatric diagnoses after Delta versus Omicron BA.1/2 infection in a highly-vaccinated and boosted cohort of adult Singaporeans.

METHODS

The national SARS-CoV-2 testing registry was used to construct cohorts of Singaporean adults infected during periods of Delta and Omicron BA.1/2 predominance and a contemporaneous test-negative control group. New-incident neuropsychiatric diagnoses recorded in the national health care claims database were identified up to 300 days postinfection. Risks and excess burden were estimated using a doubly robust competing-risks survival analysis.

RESULTS

104 179 and 375 903 infected cases were assigned to Delta and Omicron cohorts and compared against test-negative controls (Delta: N = 666 575 and Omicron: N = 619 379). Elevated risk of cognition or memory disorders was consistently reported across Omicron (Adjusted hazards ratio [aHR], 1.24; 95% CI, 1.12-1.38) and Delta cohorts (aHR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.39-1.92). Delta-variant infection was associated with an increased risk of anosmia or dysgeusia (aHR, 4.53; 95% CI, 2.78-7.41) and psychosis (aHR, 1.65; 95% CI, 1.22-2.22). By contrast, Omicron-variant infection was associated with a risk of abnormal involuntary movements (aHR, 1.93; 95% CI, 1.32-2.83). Risks of neuropsychiatric sequelae predominantly accrued in hospitalized individuals.

DISCUSSIONS

A modestly increased risk of cognition and memory disorders at 300 days after SARS-CoV-2 infection was observed among adult Singaporeans infected during the Delta/Omicron BA.1/2 transmission. There was no overall increased risk of neuropsychiatric sequelae observed across other domains. Variant-specific differences were also observed in individual neuropsychiatric sequelae, including an elevated risk of anosmia or dysgeusia after Delta-variant infection.

Long-term Cardiovascular, Cerebrovascular, and Other Thrombotic Complications in COVID-19 Survivors: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Growing evidence suggests that some coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) survivors experience a wide range of long-term postacute sequelae. We examined the postacute risk and burden of new-incident cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, and other thrombotic complications after severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in a highly vaccinated multiethnic Southeast Asian population, during Delta predominance.

METHODS

This cohort study used national testing and healthcare claims databases in Singapore to build a cohort of individuals who had a positive SARS-CoV-2 test between 1 September and 30 November 2021 when Delta predominated community transmission. Concurrently, we constructed a test-negative control group by enrolling individuals between 13 April 2020 and 31 December 2022 with no evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Participants in both groups were followed up for a median of 300 days. We estimated risks of new-incident cardiovascular, cerebrovascular, and other thrombotic complications using doubly robust competing-risks survival analysis. Risks were reported using 2 measures: hazard ratio (HR) and excess burden (EB) with 95% confidence intervals.

RESULTS

We included 106 012 infected cases and 1 684 085 test-negative controls. Compared with the control group, individuals with COVID-19 exhibited increased risk (HR, 1.157 [1.069-1.252]) and excess burden (EB, 0.70 [.53-.88]) of new-incident cardiovascular and cerebrovascular complications. Risks decreased in a graded fashion for fully vaccinated (HR, 1.11 [1.02-1.22]) and boosted (HR, 1.10 [.92-1.32]) individuals. Conversely, risks and burdens of subsequent cardiovascular/cerebrovascular complications increased for hospitalized and severe COVID-19 cases (compared to nonhospitalized cases).

CONCLUSIONS

Increased risks and excess burdens of new-incident cardiovascular/cerebrovascular complications were reported among infected individuals; risks can be attenuated with vaccination and boosting.

Vaccine effectiveness against hospitalisation estimated using a test-negative case-control study design, and comparative odds of hospital admission and severe outcomes with COVID-19 sub-lineages BQ.1, CH.1.1. and XBB.1.5 in England

Background

Since the first emergence of Omicron BA.1 in England in November 2021, numerous sub-lineages have evolved. In September 2022, BA.5 dominated. The prevalence of BQ.1 increased from October, while the prevalence of CH.1.1 and XBB.1.5 increased from December 2022 and January 2023, respectively. Little is known about the effectiveness of the vaccines against hospitalisation with these sub-lineages, nor the relative severity, so we here used national-level electronic health records from England to estimate vaccine effectiveness and variant severity.

Methods

The study period for tests contributing to all analyses was from 5th December 2022 to 2nd April 2023, when the variants of interest were co-circulating. A test-negative case-control study was used to estimate the incremental effectiveness of the bivalent BA.1 booster vaccines against hospitalisation, relative to those with waned immunity where the last dose was at least 6 months prior. The odds of hospital admission for those testing PCR positive on the day of an attendance to accident and emergency departments and the odds of intensive care unit admission or death amongst COVID-19 admissions were compared between variants. Additionally, a Cox proportional hazards survival regression was used to investigate length of stay amongst hospitalised cases by variant.

Findings

Our vaccine effectiveness study included 191,229 eligible tests with 1647 BQ.1 cases, 877 CH.1.1 cases, 1357 XBB.1.5 cases and 187,348 test negative controls. There was no difference in incremental vaccine effectiveness against hospitalisation with BQ.1, CH.1.1 or XBB.1.5, nor was there a difference in the severity of these variants. Effectiveness against hospitalisation was 48.0% (95% C.I.; 38.5-56.0%), 29.7% (95% C.I.; 7.5-46.6%) and 52.7% (95% C.I.; 24.6-70.4%) against BQ.1, CH.1.1 and XBB.1.5, respectively, at 5-9 weeks post booster vaccination. Compared to BQ.1, the odds of hospital admission were 0.87 (95% C.I.; 0.77-0.99) and 0.88 (95% C.I.; 0.75-1.02) for CH.1.1 and XBB.1.5 cases attending accident and emergency departments, respectively. There was no significant difference in the odds of admission to intensive care units or death for those with CH.1.1 (OR 0.96, 95% C.I.; 0.71-1.30) or XBB.1.5 (OR 0.67, 95% C.I.; 0.44-1.02) compared to BQ.1. There was also no significant difference in the length of hospital stay by variant.

Interpretation

Together, these results provide reassuring evidence that the bivalent BA.1 booster vaccines provide similar protection against hospitalisation with BQ.1, CH.1.1 and XBB.1.5, and that the emergent CH.1.1 and XBB.1.5 sub-lineages do not cause more severe disease than BQ.1.

Funding

None.

Relative effectiveness of bivalent Original/Omicron BA.4-5 mRNA vaccine in preventing severe COVID-19 in persons 60 years and above during SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB.1.5 and other XBB sublineages circulation, Italy, April to June 2023

During predominant circulation of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB.1.5 and other XBB sublineages (April-June 2023), we found that a second or third booster of Comirnaty bivalent Original/Omicron BA.4-5 mRNA vaccine, versus a first booster received at least 120 days earlier, was effective in preventing severe COVID-19 for more than 6 months post-administration in persons 60 years and above. In view of autumn 2023 vaccination campaigns, use of bivalent Original/Omicron BA.4-5 mRNA vaccines might be warranted until monovalent COVID-19 vaccines targeting Omicron XBB.1 sublineages become available.