Pan-serotype Reduction in Progression of Streptococcus pneumoniae to Otitis Media After Rollout of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines

Streptococcus pneumoniae as cause of acute otitis media (AOM) in Slovak children in the pneumococcal conjugate vaccine era (2008-2019)

AIM

Little data is available on pneumococcal serotypes and their antimicrobial resistance in the pneumococcal conjugate vaccination era in young children with acute otitis media (AOM). Here such data is provided from Slovakia, acountry with sequential introduction and parallel-use of the three commercially available pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs; PCV7; PCV13; PCV10).

METHODS

This observational study takes advantage of the fact that tympanocentesis is the standard of care in children with AOM in Slovakia. Over the 12 year observation period, participating pediatric ENT specialists sent samples taken during tympanocentesis from children with AOM to their local MEDIRIX laboratories for identification of bacteria. Pneumcoccal isolates were serotyped and tested for antimicrobial resistance. Incidence data could be calculated from 1 region.

RESULTS

Study participation and completeness of typing increased over time. Based on testing of 1,131 isolates over 12 years, PCV7-serotypes rapidly waned after PCV7 introduction in 2009 and had virtually disappeared in 2014. The maximum fraction of PCV10-only isolates (1, 5, 7F) was 2.7 % (2009) whereas the additional 3 PCV-serotypes (3, 6A, 19A) in PCV13 represented the largest proportion of pneumococcal AOM cases as of 2010. This finding remained unchanged during the period of highest PCV10-market share (2012-2017) and even until the end of the observation period (2019). The fraction of untypeable pneumococci (<6 %) and non-PCV13-serotypes (16-34 %) increased 2012-2017, but decreased again thereafter. Serotype 19A evolved as the most relevant (multidrug-) resistant pneumococcal serotype, again particularly during the time with high sales of PCV10 (2012-2017). Incidence data from the Bratislava region document a huge impact of PCV use (77 % vaccine uptake: mainly PCV13) on AOM in children < 6 years. Serotypes 19A and 3 remain the only relevant pneumococcal serotypes in young Slovakian children with AOM.

CONCLUSIONS

As AOM is one of the most common bacterial infections in children < 6 years, the observed benefits of PCVs in reducing vaccine serotypes have been tremendous. With sequential / parallel-use of PCVs, serotypes 3 and (MDR-) 19A today make the largest proportion (about 2/3) of pneumococcal AOM in Slovakia. This data will help to further guide the choice of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines for pediatricians and parents.

Temporal Association between Influenza Vaccination Coverage and Ambulatory Antibiotic Use in Children

In this population-based retrospective cohort study, increased influenza vaccination coverage was temporally associated with a reduction in ambulatory antibiotic use in children. After adjustment for yearly vaccine effectiveness, antibiotic prescription rate declined by 3/1000 person-months for each 1% increase in influenza vaccination coverage between 2012 and 2017 in South Carolina (P < 0.001).

Analysing pneumococcal invasiveness using Bayesian models of pathogen progression rates

The disease burden attributable to opportunistic pathogens depends on their prevalence in asymptomatic colonisation and the rate at which they progress to cause symptomatic disease. Increases in infections caused by commensals can result from the emergence of “hyperinvasive” strains. Such pathogens can be identified through quantifying progression rates using matched samples of typed microbes from disease cases and healthy carriers. This study describes Bayesian models for analysing such datasets, implemented in an RStan package (https://github.com/nickjcroucher/progressionEstimation). The models converged on stable fits that accurately reproduced observations from meta-analyses of Streptococcus pneumoniae datasets. The estimates of invasiveness, the progression rate from carriage to invasive disease, in cases per carrier per year correlated strongly with the dimensionless values from meta-analysis of odds ratios when sample sizes were large. At smaller sample sizes, the Bayesian models produced more informative estimates. This identified historically rare but high-risk S. pneumoniae serotypes that could be problematic following vaccine-associated disruption of the bacterial population. The package allows for hypothesis testing through model comparisons with Bayes factors. Application to datasets in which strain and serotype information were available for S. pneumoniae found significant evidence for within-strain and within-serotype variation in invasiveness. The heterogeneous geographical distribution of these genotypes is therefore likely to contribute to differences in the impact of vaccination in between locations. Hence genomic surveillance of opportunistic pathogens is crucial for quantifying the effectiveness of public health interventions, and enabling ongoing meta-analyses that can identify new, highly invasive variants.

Continuous Effectiveness of Pneumococcal 13-Valent Conjugate Vaccine on Pediatric Pneumococcal Otomastoiditis: Results of 15 Years of Active/Prospective Surveillance in a Mexican Hospital on the Mexico-US Border

Introduction

The effectiveness of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) on sepsis, meningitis, pneumonia, and even acute otitis media has been proved in many studies. Nonetheless, the impact of PCV13 on otomastoiditis (OM) in children has barely been reviewed. In the past, we published a 13 years pneumococcal OM study from our hospital. This is a continuation of our active surveillance and is the first Latin American, prospective study examining the effectiveness of this vaccine on pneumococcal pediatric OM.

Methods

Active surveillance identifying patients < 16 years of age with OM admitted at the “Hospital General de Tijuana” was performed from October 1, 2005, to September 30, 2019. Diagnosis of OM was based on clinical exam (postauricular tenderness, erythema, and swelling causing protrusion of the auricle) and computerized tomographic signs (opacification of the mastoid air cells and middle ear). We used either conventional culturing or PCR to isolate bacterial pathogens, while to further Streptococcus pneumoniae serotype identification we used the Quellung Reaction (Statens Serum Institute^®) or PCR. To assess pneumococcal conjugate vaccines effectiveness (VE), we counted cases per month before any pneumococcal conjugate vaccine was implemented (19 months surveillance), during the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) use in the pediatric community (61 months surveillance), after PCV13 implementation in children (100 months surveillance), and calculated as follows: VE = 1 -(cases per month with specific pneumococcal conjugate vaccination/cases per month without any pneumococcal conjugate vaccination).

Results

Following 15 years of active surveillance, we identified 21 cases of OM. At admission the median age of patients was 38 months (six months to 15 years old), the median hospitalization days was 12 (5 to 115). All patients underwent mastoidectomy. Identification of bacterial pathogens was possible in 19 (90.5%), among which. Streptococcus pneumoniae was the leading cause with 15 cases (79%). PCV7 VE was 27.8%, however, after PCV13 introduction, VE increased to 68%, with only one case of pneumococcal OM in the last two years, without incremental OM cases by other bacteriae.

Conclusion

After 15 years of active/prospective surveillance in our hospital, a continuous and high VE (68%) of PCV13 on pediatric OM caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae has been found, with only one case in the last two years.

Public health impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccination: a review of measurement challenges

INTRODUCTION

Modeling analyses have attempted to quantify the global impact of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) on pneumococcal disease (PD), however these pediatric models face several challenges in obtaining comprehensive impact measurements.

AREAS COVERED

We present several measurement challenges and discuss examples from recently published pediatric modeling evaluations. Challenges include estimating the number of infants fully or partially vaccinated with PCVs, inclusion of indirect effects of vaccination, accounting for various dosing schedules, capturing effect of PCVs on nonspecific, noninvasive PD, and inclusion of adult PCV use.

EXPERT OPINION

The true impact of PCVs has been consistently underestimated in published analyses due to multiple measurement challenges. Nearly 100 million adults are estimated to have received PCV13 over the last decade globally, potentially preventing up to 662 thousand cases of PD. Approximately 4.1 million cases of invasive PD alone may have been averted through indirect protection. Estimates of PCV impact on noninvasive PD remain a challenge due to altered epidemiology. Program switches, incomplete vaccination, and private market uptake among children also confound PD impact estimates. Taken together, the number of averted PD cases from PCV use in the last ten years may be up to three times higher than estimated in previous studies.

Dose-specific Effectiveness of 7- and 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines Against Vaccine-serotype Streptococcus pneumoniae Colonization in Children

BACKGROUND

Reduced-dose pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) schedules are under consideration in countries where children are recommended to receive 3 doses. Whereas PCV-derived protection against vaccine-serotype colonization is responsible for herd effects of vaccination, dose-specific PCV effectiveness against colonization endpoints is not known. We aimed to assess the performance of differing PCV schedules against vaccine-serotype colonization in children.

METHODS

From 2009-2016, we monitored pneumococcal carriage in southern Israel, where children should receive PCV at ages 2 months, 4 months, and 12 months (2 primary [p] +1 booster [b] schedule). We analyzed nasopharyngeal swabs and vaccination histories from 5928 children aged 0-59 months without symptoms of diseases potentially attributable to pneumococci. Matching individuals on age, sex, ethnicity, visit timing, and recent antibiotic receipt, we measured schedule-specific 7-valent PCV (PCV7) and 13-valent PCV (PCV13) effectiveness against vaccine-serotype colonization in a modified case-control framework. We sampled from the distribution of all possible case-control match assignments for statistical analyses.

RESULTS

Receiving 2 primary-series PCV13 doses conferred 53% (95% confidence interval [CI], 32-67%) protection against PCV13-serotype colonization at ages ≤12 months; 1 primary-series dose was not protective. A 2p+1b PCV13 series conferred 40% (95% CI, 4-67%) and 62% (95% CI, 33-83%) protection against PCV13-serotype colonization at ages 13-24 months and 25-59 months, respectively. Estimates suggested greater PCV13-conferred protection against PCV7-targeted serotypes than the 6 PCV13-only serotypes. As compared to children receiving 2p+1b PCV13 dosing, those receiving 1p+1b and 2p+0b schedules experienced 2.05-fold (95% CI, 1.12-5.00) and 3.33-fold (95% CI, 2.28-4.93) greater odds, respectively, of vaccine-serotype pneumococcal colonization at ages 13-24 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results demonstrate real-world effectiveness of 2p+1b PCV dosing against vaccine-serotype colonization. Reduced-dose schedules may confer lower protection against vaccine-serotype carriage during and beyond the first year of life.

Effectiveness of the 7- and 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines Against Vaccine-Serotype Otitis Media

Background

Despite the demonstrated impact of pneumococcal vaccine (PCV) implementation on otitis media (OM), demonstration of real-life serotype-specific effectiveness of the 7-valent and 13-valent PCVs (PCV7 and PCV13) is lacking owing to the paucity of culture-positive cases. Furthermore, prelicensure PCV13 efficacy against OM was not studied.

Methods

The study was conducted from October 2009 to July 2013. Case patients were children aged 5–35 months with OM (mostly complex OM [recurrent/nonresponsive, spontaneously draining, chronic with effusion]) from whom middle-ear fluid culture was obtained; controls were contemporary children with rotavirus-negative gastroenteritis in a prospective population-based rotavirus surveillance, from the same age group with similar ethnic distribution and geographic location. Vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated as 1 minus the odds ratio using unconditional logistic regression, adjusting for time since PCV implementation, age, and ethnicity.

Results

A total of 223 case patients and 1370 controls were studied. Serotypes 19F and 19A together caused 56.1% of all vaccine-type (VT) OM. VE of ≥2 PCV doses in children aged 5–35 months was demonstrated as follows: PCV7 against OM due to PCV7 serotypes, 57.2% (95% confidence interval, 6.0%–80.5%); PCV13 against OM due to PCV13 serotypes, 77.4% (53.3%–92.1%); PCV13 against OM due to the 6 additional non-PCV7 serotypes 67.4% (17.6%–87.1%); PCV13 against OM due to serotype 19F, 91.3% (1.4%–99.2%); and PCV13 against OM due to serotype 3, 85.2% (23.9%–98.4%). PCV7 and PCV13 VE against OM due to serotype 19A in children aged 12–35 months was 72.4% (95% confidence interval, 6.2%–91.9%) and 94.6% (33.9%–99.6%), respectively.

Conclusions

PCV7 and PCV13 were effective against complex OM caused by the targeted serotypes.

Cost-effectiveness of a national immunization program with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared with the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in South Korea

Introduction

Globally, pneumococcal disease represents a significant burden. South Korea implemented the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in 2003, replaced with the 10-valent (PCV10) and 13-valent (PCV13) vaccine in 2010. In 2014, both vaccines were introduced in the national immunization program (NIP) for infants with 3 primary doses and one booster dose We performed a cost-effectiveness evaluation to elucidate which vaccine may be expected to provide greater impact if included in a NIP.

Methodology

Using an established model, we estimated the impact of introducing either PCV13 or PCV10 into the South Korean NIP in 2015. Vaccine impact was based on historic observed impact of PCV13 from 2010 to 2015 in Korea given high uptake of PCV13, and PCV10 impact was estimated based on experiences in countries using PCV10. Incidence and costs for all ages and including invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia, and acute otitis media were derived from the literature and Health Insurance Review and Assessment database.

Results

In the base-case, over 5-years PCV13 was estimated to avert 550,000 more cases of pneumococcal disease compared to PCV10, driven by broader serotype coverage and less replacement due to serotypes 3 and 19A. This translated to a cost-savings of $47.4 million USD despite PCV13’s higher cost. Sensitivity analysis found incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) ranged from cost-saving to $7,300 USD per quality-adjusted life year (QALY).

Conclusion

A NIP using PCV13 was estimated to have a more substantial public health impact and be cost-saving compared to a program with PCV10 due to broader serotype coverage.

Temporal trends in ambulatory antibiotic prescription rates in South Carolina: Impact of age, gender, and resident location

OBJECTIVE

To examine the temporal trends in ambulatory antibiotic prescription fill rates and to determine the influences of age, gender, and location.

DESIGN

Population-based cohort study.

SETTING

Ambulatory setting in South Carolina.

PATIENTS

Patients ≤64 years of age from January 2012 to December 2017.

METHODS

Aggregated pharmacy claims data for oral antibiotic prescriptions were utilized to estimate community antibiotic prescription rates. Poisson regression or Student t tests were used to examine overall temporal trend in antibiotic prescription rates, seasonal variation, and the trends across age group, gender, and rural versus urban location.

RESULTS

Overall antibiotic prescription rates decrease from 1,127 to 897 per 1,000 person years (P < .001). The decrease was more noticeable in persons aged <18 years (26%) and 18-39 years (20%) than in those aged 40-64 years (5%; P < .001 for all). Prescription rates were higher among females than males in all age groups, although this finding was the most pronounced in group aged 18-39 years (1,232 vs 585 per 1,000 person years; P < .0001). Annualized antibiotic prescription rates were higher during the winter months (December-March) than the rest of the year (1,145 vs 885 per 1,000 person years; P < .0001), and rates were higher in rural areas than in urban areas (1,032 vs 941 per 1,000 person years; P < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The decline in ambulatory antibiotic prescription rates is encouraging. Ongoing ambulatory antibiotic stewardship efforts across South Carolina should focus on older adults, rural areas, and during the winter season when antibiotic prescriptions peak.

Childhood vaccines and antibiotic use in low- and middle-income countries

Vaccines may reduce the burden of antimicrobial resistance, in part by preventing infections for which treatment often includes the use of antibiotics1-4. However, the effects of vaccination on antibiotic consumption remain poorly understood-especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where the burden of antimicrobial resistance is greatest5. Here we show that vaccines that have recently been implemented in the World Health Organization's Expanded Programme on Immunization reduce antibiotic consumption substantially among children under five years of age in LMICs. By analysing data from large-scale studies of households, we estimate that pneumococcal conjugate vaccines and live attenuated rotavirus vaccines confer 19.7% (95% confidence interval, 3.4-43.4%) and 11.4% (4.0-18.6%) protection against antibiotic-treated episodes of acute respiratory infection and diarrhoea, respectively, in age groups that experience the greatest disease burden attributable to the vaccine-targeted pathogens6,7. Under current coverage levels, pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines prevent 23.8 million and 13.6 million episodes of antibiotic-treated illness, respectively, among children under five years of age in LMICs each year. Direct protection resulting from the achievement of universal coverage targets for these vaccines could prevent an additional 40.0 million episodes of antibiotic-treated illness. This evidence supports the prioritization of vaccines within the global strategy to combat antimicrobial resistance8.

Panel 6: Otitis media and associated hearing loss among disadvantaged populations and low to middle-income countries

OBJECTIVE:

Summarise the published evidence on otitis media and associated hearing loss in low to middle-income countries (LMIC) and disadvantaged populations.

DATA SOURCES:

PubMed and other databases.

REVIEW METHODS:

Firstly, sensitive search strategy using ‘otitis media’, combined with specific key words for each topic of the review, from January 2015 to June 2019. Then, restriction to LMIC and disadvantaged populations. Topics covered included prevention, epidemiology, risk factors, microbiology, prognosis, diagnosis, and treatment.

CONCLUSIONS:

There was a high degree of methodological heterogeneity and high risk of bias. The majority of studies were school-based. In Africa, Asia and Oceania (e.g., Australian Aboriginal populations) the prevalence of OM was respectively 8% (range 3–16%), 14% (range 7–22%) and 50% (4–95%). Prevalence of any hearing loss in these regions was 12% (range 8–17%), 12% (range 3–24%), and 26% (range 25–28%) respectively. Risk factors in LMIC and disadvantaged populations included age, gender, exposure to smoke and pollution. Microbiology was reported for otitis media with effusion at time of surgery or ear discharge (acute otitis media with perforation or chronic suppurative otitis media). Specimen handling and processing in hospital laboratories was associated with low detection of S. pneumoniae and H. influenzae. Case series described complicated cases of OM due to M. tuberculosis, multidrug resistance and HIV. QOL studies identified discrimination of persons with OM and hearing loss. Diagnostic methods varied greatly, from naked eye to tympanometry. Treatment interventions were reported from four RCTs. Non-RCTs included evaluations of guidelines, surgery outcomes, access to ENTs.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CLINICAL PRACTICE:

Chronic suppurative otitis media, otitis media with effusion and conductive hearing loss are common in LMIC and disadvantaged populations. Paucity of research, poor regional representation, non-standardised methods and low-quality reporting preclude accurate assessment of disease burden in LMIC and disadvantaged populations. Awareness and adherence to reporting Guidelines should be promoted.

Panel 8: Vaccines and immunology

OBJECTIVE

To review and highlight significant advances made towards vaccine development and understanding of the immunology of otitis media (OM) since the 19th International Symposium on Recent Advances in Otitis Media (ISOM) in 2015, as well as identify future research directions and knowledge gaps.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed database, National Library of Medicine.

REVIEW METHODS

Key topics were assigned to each panel member for detailed review. Draft reviews were collated, circulated, and thoroughly discussed when the panel met at the 20th ISOM in June 2019. The final manuscript was prepared with input from all panel members.

CONCLUSIONS

Since 2015 there have been a number of studies assessing the impact of licensed pneumococcal vaccines on OM. While these studies have confirmed that these vaccines are effective in preventing carriage and/or disease caused by vaccine serotypes, OM caused by non-vaccine serotype pneumococci and other otopathogens remains a significant health care burden globally. Development of multi-species vaccines is challenging but essential to reducing the global burden of OM. Influenza vaccination has been shown to prevent acute OM, and with novel vaccines against nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae (NTHi), Moraxella catarrhalis and Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) in clinical trials, the potential to significantly prevent OM is within reach. Research into alternative vaccine delivery strategies has demonstrated the power of maternal and mucosal vaccination for OM prevention. Future OM vaccine trials must include molecular diagnostics of middle ear effusion, for detection of viruses and bacteria that are persisting in biofilms and to enable accurate assessment of vaccine impact on OM etiology. Understanding population differences in natural and vaccine-induced immune responses to otopathogens is also important for development of the most effective OM vaccines. Improved understanding of the interaction between otopathogens will also advance development of effective therapies and encourage the assessment of the indirect benefits of vaccination.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

While NTHi and M. catarrhalis are the predominant otopathogens, funding opportunities to drive vaccine development for these species are limited due to a focus on prevention of childhood mortality rather than morbidity. Delivery of a comprehensive report on the high financial and social costs of OM, including the potential for OM vaccines to reduce antibiotic use and subsequent development of antimicrobial resistance (AMR), would likely assist in engaging stakeholders to recognize the value of prevention of OM and increase support for efforts on OM vaccine development. Vaccine trials with OM prevention as a clinical end-point are challenging, however a focus on developing assays that measure functional correlates of protection would facilitate OM vaccine development.

The Use of Test-negative Controls to Monitor Vaccine Effectiveness: A Systematic Review of Methodology

BACKGROUND

The test-negative design is an increasingly popular approach for estimating vaccine effectiveness (VE) due to its efficiency. This review aims to examine published test-negative design studies of VE and to explore similarities and differences in methodological choices for different diseases and vaccines.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search on PubMed, Web of Science, and Medline, for studies reporting the effectiveness of any vaccines using a test-negative design. We screened titles and abstracts and reviewed full texts to identify relevant articles. We created a standardized form for each included article to extract information on the pathogen of interest, vaccine(s) being evaluated, study setting, clinical case definition, choices of cases and controls, and statistical approaches used to estimate VE.

RESULTS

We identified a total of 348 articles, including studies on VE against influenza virus (n = 253), rotavirus (n = 48), pneumococcus (n = 24), and nine other pathogens. Clinical case definitions used to enroll patients were similar by pathogens of interest but the sets of symptoms that defined them varied substantially. Controls could be those testing negative for the pathogen of interest, those testing positive for nonvaccine type of the pathogen of interest, or a subset of those testing positive for alternative pathogens. Most studies controlled for age, calendar time, and comorbidities.

CONCLUSIONS

Our review highlights similarities and differences in the application of the test-negative design that deserve further examination. If vaccination reduces disease severity in breakthrough infections, particular care must be taken in interpreting vaccine effectiveness estimates from test-negative design studies.

Interaction With Nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae Alters Progression of Streptococcus pneumoniae From Colonization to Disease in a Site-Specific Manner

BACKGROUND

Pneumococci and nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae (NTHi) often cocolonize children. The impact of species interactions on disease risk across the upper respiratory mucosa is not known.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 4104 acute conjunctivitis (AC) cases, 11 767 otitis media (OM) cases, and 1587 nasopharyngeal specimens collected from Israeli children before pneumococcal conjugate vaccine introduction. We compared pneumococcal serotype distributions with NTHi present and absent, and compared single-species and mixed-species rates of serotype-specific progression from colonization to AC and OM.

RESULTS

Pneumococcal serotypes causing single-species OM (NTHi absent) were less diverse than colonizing serotypes and also less diverse than those causing mixed-species OM; colonizing and OM-causing pneumococcal serotype distributions were more similar to each other with NTHi present than with NTHi absent. In contrast, serotype diversity did not differ appreciably between colonizing and AC-causing pneumococci, regardless of NTHi co-occurrence. The similarity of colonizing and AC-causing pneumococcal serotype distributions was consistent in the presence and absence of NTHi. Differences in rates that pneumococcal serotypes progressed from colonization to disease were reduced in both AC and OM when NTHi was present.

CONCLUSIONS

Interactions with NTHi may alter progression of pneumococcal serotypes to diseases of the upper respiratory mucosa in a site-specific manner.

Application of pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic analysis to evaluate the adequacy of antimicrobial therapy for pediatric acute otitis media in Spain before and after the introduction of the PCV7 vaccine

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate, by applying pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) analysis, if the change in antibiotic susceptibility after the introduction of the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in Spain had any influence on the usefulness of the antimicrobials more frequently used as empirical treatment of pediatric acute otitis media (AOM).

METHODS

PK parameters and susceptibility of Streptococcus pneumoniae and Haemophilus influenzae were obtained from bibliography. Monte Carlo simulation was used to estimate the cumulative fraction of response (CFR), understood as the expected probability of therapy success. For amoxicillin and amoxicillin/clavulanate, the target was free antibiotic concentration remaining above the minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) for ≥50% of the dosing interval (fT>MIC≥50%), whereas for cefuroxime axetil and cefotaxime, the target was fT>MIC≥60%. CFR values ≥90% were considered successful.

RESULTS

When all serotypes of S. pneumoniae are considered, amoxicillin and cefotaxime turned out to reach a high probability of success, and difference before and after vaccination was scarce. For H. influenzae, CFR values were higher with amoxicillin/clavulanate than with amoxicillin. For both microorganisms, cefuroxime axetil resulted in low probability of success in the two periods of study.

CONCLUSIONS

We have shown that the introduction of the PCV7 vaccination did not lead to changes in the probability of success of the current empiric treatments of the AOM. Integrated PK/PD analysis has demonstrated to be a useful tool to identify changes in antimicrobial activity after the implantation of a vaccination program, providing complementary information to the simple assessment of MIC values.

Microbiome as a tool and a target in the effort to address antimicrobial resistance

Reciprocal, intimate relationships between the human microbiome and the host immune system are shaped by past microbial encounters and prepare the host for future ones. Antibiotics and other antimicrobials leave their mark on both the microbiome and host immunity. Antimicrobials alter the structure of the microbiota, expand the host-specific pool of antimicrobial-resistance genes and organisms, degrade the protective effects of the microbiota against invasion by pathogens, and may impair vaccine efficacy. Through these effects on the microbiome they may affect immune responses. Vaccines that exert protective or therapeutic effects against pathogens may reduce the use of antimicrobials, the development and spread of antimicrobial resistance, and the harmful impacts of these drugs on the microbiome. Other strategies involving manipulation of the microbiome to deplete antibiotic-resistant organisms or to enhance immune responses to vaccines may prove valuable in addressing antimicrobial resistance as well. This article describes the intersections of immunity, microbiome and antimicrobial exposure, and the use of vaccines and other alternative strategies for the control and management of antimicrobial resistance.

Should Pneumococcal Serotype 3 Be Included in Serotype-Specific Immunoassays?

Since the introduction of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, a number of studies have demonstrated the limited efficacy of the pneumococcal serotype 3 component of this vaccine. Evidence from seven countries (Denmark, France, Greece, Portugal, Sweden, UK, US) shows limited or no effectiveness of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine against serotype 3 invasive pneumococcal disease and carriage. The serotype 3 capsule has some unique characteristics that may serve to explain this lack of efficacy—capsular polysaccharide is abundantly expressed, leading to a greater thickness of capsule, and free capsular polysaccharide may be released during growth. The serotype 3 component of the Luminex multiplex assay demonstrates inferior inter-laboratory reproducibility than other components and results may not be reliable. This communication outlines this evidence and discusses whether it is necessary to include serotype 3 in the assay in the future.

Modeling the sustained use of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared to switching to the 10-valent vaccine in Mexico

Introduction: Pneumococcal diseases caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae represent a significant health and economic burden. Mexico has benefited from the inclusion of the 7-valent (PCV7) and 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV13) since their inclusion in the National Immunization Program (NIP) in 2006 and 2010, respectively. The objective of this study is to estimate the impact of the existing program and predict future implications of a change in the current program.

Methods: A previously published model was updated to estimate the historic impact of the PCV programs relative to pre-PCV implementation. Future disease trends were forecasted based on historical serotype behaviors for each PCV13 serotype and non-vaccine serotypes across different age groups. Costs and outcomes were estimated over a 10-year period based on continued use of PCV13 compared to a switch to PCV10.

Results: The PCV7 and subsequent PCV13 NIP were estimated to prevent over 1.5 million cases of pneumococcal disease and 1,854 deaths, corresponding to a net savings of $34.50 Billion MXN. Continued use of PCV13 was estimated to save over 300 thousand cases of pneumococcal disease and 373 deaths compared to switching to PCV10 over a 10-year period. Despite a higher vaccine cost, maintaining PCV13 was cost-saving compared to PCV10, saving $6.71 billion MXN over 10 years.

Conclusion: The PCV program in Mexico has provided a significant return on investment. Sustained PCV13 use was estimated to provide the greatest healthcare and economic impact in Mexico. Changes to the pneumococcal vaccination program could result in serotype replacement and reduction in herd effects.

Dynamic transmission modelling to address infant pneumococcal conjugate vaccine schedule modifications in the UK

The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) has been part of routine immunisation in a 2 + 1 schedule (two primary infant doses and one booster during the second year of life) in the UK since 2010. Recently, the UK's Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunisation recommended changing to a 1 + 1 schedule while conceding that this will increase disease burden; however, uncertainty remains on how much pneumococcal burden – including invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and non-invasive disease – will increase. We built a dynamic transmission model to investigate this question. The model predicted that a 1 + 1 schedule would incur 8777–27 807 additional cases of disease and 241–743 more deaths over 5 years. Serotype 19A caused 55–71% of incremental IPD cases. Scenario analyses showed that booster dose adherence, effectiveness against carriage and waning in a 1 + 1 schedule had the most influence on resurgence of disease. Based on the model assumptions, switching to a 1 + 1 schedule will substantially increase disease burden. The results likely are conservative since they are based on relatively low vaccine-type pneumococcal transmission, a paradigm that has been called into question by data demonstrating an increase of IPD due to several vaccine serotypes during the last surveillance year available.

Pneumococcal Phenotype and Interaction with Nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae as Determinants of Otitis Media Progression

All-cause otitis media (OM) incidence has declined in numerous settings following introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) despite increases in carriage of nonvaccine pneumococcal serotypes escaping immune pressure. To understand the basis for the declining incidence, we assessed the intrinsic capacity of pneumococcal serotypes to cause OM independently and in polymicrobial infections involving nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae (NTHi) using samples obtained from middle ear fluid and nasopharyngeal cultures before PCV7/13 rollout. Data included samples from OM episodes (11,811) submitted for cultures during a 10-year prospective study in southern Israel and nasopharyngeal samples (1,588) from unvaccinated asymptomatic children in the same population. We compared data representing pneumococcal serotype diversity across carriage and disease isolates with and without NTHi coisolation. We also measured associations between the pneumococcal phenotype and the rate of progression from colonization to OM in the presence and absence of NTHi. Whereas pneumococcal serotype diversity was lower in single-species OM than in single-species colonization, levels of serotype diversity did not differ significantly between colonization and OM in mixed-species episodes. Serotypes differed roughly 100-fold in progression rates, and those differences were attenuated in polymicrobial episodes. Vaccine serotype pneumococci had higher rates of progression than nonvaccine serotypes. While serotype invasiveness was a weak predictor of the OM progression rate, efficient capsular metabolic properties-traditionally thought to serve as an advantage in colonization-predicted an enhanced rate of progression to complex OM. The lower capacity of nonvaccine serotypes to cause OM may partially account for reductions in all-cause OM incidence despite serotype replacement in carriage following rollout of PCVs.