Disease Activity Patterns of Crohn's Disease in the First Ten Years After Diagnosis in the Population-based IBD South Limburg Cohort

A biomarker-stratified comparison of top-down versus accelerated step-up treatment strategies for patients with newly diagnosed Crohn's disease (PROFILE): a multicentre, open-label randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Management strategies and clinical outcomes vary substantially in patients newly diagnosed with Crohn's disease. We evaluated the use of a putative prognostic biomarker to guide therapy by assessing outcomes in patients randomised to either top-down (ie, early combined immunosuppression with infliximab and immunomodulator) or accelerated step-up (conventional) treatment strategies.

METHODS

PROFILE (PRedicting Outcomes For Crohn's disease using a moLecular biomarker) was a multicentre, open-label, biomarker-stratified, randomised controlled trial that enrolled adults with newly diagnosed active Crohn's disease (Harvey-Bradshaw Index ≥7, either elevated C-reactive protein or faecal calprotectin or both, and endoscopic evidence of active inflammation). Potential participants had blood drawn to be tested for a prognostic biomarker derived from T-cell transcriptional signatures (PredictSURE-IBD assay). Following testing, patients were randomly assigned, via a secure online platform, to top-down or accelerated step-up treatment stratified by biomarker subgroup (IBDhi or IBDlo), endoscopic inflammation (mild, moderate, or severe), and extent (colonic or other). Blinding to biomarker status was maintained throughout the trial. The primary endpoint was sustained steroid-free and surgery-free remission to week 48. Remission was defined by a composite of symptoms and inflammatory markers at all visits. Flare required active symptoms (HBI ≥5) plus raised inflammatory markers (CRP >upper limit of normal or faecal calprotectin ≥200 μg/g, or both), while remission was the converse-ie, quiescent symptoms (HBI <5) or resolved inflammatory markers (both CRP ≤ the upper limit of normal and calprotectin <200 μg/g) or both. Analyses were done in the full analysis (intention-to-treat) population. The trial has completed and is registered (ISRCTN11808228).

FINDINGS

Between Dec 29, 2017, and Jan 5, 2022, 386 patients (mean age 33·6 years [SD 13·2]; 179 [46%] female, 207 [54%] male) were randomised: 193 to the top-down group and 193 to the accelerated step-up group. Median time from diagnosis to trial enrolment was 12 days (range 0-191). Primary outcome data were available for 379 participants (189 in the top-down group; 190 in the accelerated step-up group). There was no biomarker-treatment interaction effect (absolute difference 1 percentage points, 95% CI -15 to 15; p=0·944). Sustained steroid-free and surgery-free remission was significantly more frequent in the top-down group than in the accelerated step-up group (149 [79%] of 189 patients vs 29 [15%] of 190 patients, absolute difference 64 percentage points, 95% CI 57 to 72; p<0·0001). There were fewer adverse events (including disease flares) and serious adverse events in the top-down group than in the accelerated step-up group (adverse events: 168 vs 315; serious adverse events: 15 vs 42), with fewer complications requiring abdominal surgery (one vs ten) and no difference in serious infections (three vs eight).

INTERPRETATION

Top-down treatment with combination infliximab plus immunomodulator achieved substantially better outcomes at 1 year than accelerated step-up treatment. The biomarker did not show clinical utility. Top-down treatment should be considered standard of care for patients with newly diagnosed active Crohn's disease.

FUNDING

Wellcome and PredictImmune Ltd.

Prospective Evaluation of the Prediction Score for a Mild Course of Crohn's Disease (PreMiCC) in Newly Diagnosed Patients With Crohn's Disease: The PROGNOS Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The course of Crohn's disease (CD) is highly variable. The Prospektive Evaluation eines Score zur Vorhersage eines milden Verlaufsbei neu diagnostizierten Morbus Crohn-Patienten in gastroenterologischen Fachpraxen (PROGNOS) study aimed to determine the frequency of a mild disease course and validate a proposed prediction score.

METHODS

The PROGNOS study is a prospective study of CD patients who were newly diagnosed and, except for 1 course of 5-aminosalicylic acid or steroids for ≤10 days, therapy-naïve. Among other predefined inclusion criteria, the initial diagnosis had to be made ≤6 weeks before enrollment. All inception cohort patients were diagnosed and screened consecutively in participating gastroenterology practices in Germany specialized in inflammatory bowel disease. All screened CD patients were scored and, if possible, included in the study for up to 5 years (NCT02193048).

RESULTS

A total of 201 CD patients were included in the study (43.3% male; mean age 33 years, mean follow-up 38 months). Altogether, 29.5% of the patients had a mild course at 36 months. Among those with a score ≤2, therapy escalation at 36 months was necessary for only 24.2%, whereas in the group with a score >2, therapy escalation was necessary for 70.2% of patients. In the Kaplan-Meier curve showing time to therapy escalation in the 2 groups, there was a pronounced and statistically significant divergence of the curves starting at 3 months and extending to 48 months (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this prospective study, about 30% of incident CD patients had a mild disease course. Our suggested PreMiCC (prediction score for a mild course of Crohn's disease) successfully predicted this.

Disease Activity Patterns of Paediatric Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Danish Nationwide Cohort Study (1996-2018)

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Inflammatory bowel diseases [IBD] are heterogeneous in the frequency and severity of their flare-ups. We aimed to describe disease activity patterns in a Danish nationwide paediatric IBD cohort.

METHODS

Paediatric patients [<18 years at diagnosis] with Crohn's disease [pCD] or ulcerative colitis [pUC] in the study period from 1996 to 2018 were identified in national registers. Disease activity [severe, moderate-to-mild, remission] was assessed at diagnosis according to medications prescribed, hospitalizations, and surgeries.

RESULTS

In total, 1965 pCD and 1838 pUC incident patients were included in the cohort. At diagnosis, severe disease activity was found in 87%/80% of pCD/pUC and in addition 6.1% of pUC patients had undergone a colectomy during the first year after diagnosis. Five years after diagnosis, the annual proportions of pCD/pUC with no disease activity were 70%/61%, and 10 years after diagnosis the proportions were 72%/64%. Colectomy was required in 6.1, 12, and 16% of pUC patients after 1, 5 and 10 years. No improvement of disease activity was seen in the proportion of prevalent pCD [N = 2515] and pUC [N = 2428] in the study period 2000-2018 concomitant with the introduction of biological treatment. However, decreasing disease activity was the most common pattern in both pCD and pUC [43 and 47%], respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

pIBD was characterized by a high proportion of patients with severe activity at diagnosis, followed by an improvement after 5 and 10 years of follow-up. Notably, the proportion of patients with no disease activity was unchanged when biological treatment was introduced and the number of colectomies in pUC remained high.

Predictors of Complicated Disease Course in Adults and Children With Crohn's Disease: A Nationwide Study from the epi-IIRN

BACKGROUND

Since data on predictors of complicated Crohn's disease (CD) from unselected populations are scarce, we aimed to utilize a large nationwide cohort, the epi-IIRN, to explore predictors of disease course in children and adults with CD.

METHODS

Data of patients with CD were retrieved from Israel's 4 health maintenance organizations, whose records cover 98% of the population (2005-2020). Time-to-event modeled a complicated disease course, defined as CD-related surgery, steroid-dependency, or the need for >1 class of biologics. Hierarchical clustering categorized disease severity at diagnosis based on available laboratory results.

RESULTS

A total of 16 659 patients (2999 [18%] pediatric-onset) with 121 695 person-years of follow-up were included; 3761 (23%) had a complicated course (750 [4.5%] switched to a second biologic class, 1547 [9.3%] steroid-dependency, 1463 [8.8%] CD-related surgery). Complicated disease was more common in pediatric- than adult-onset disease (26% vs 22%, odds ratio, 1.3; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2-1.4). In a Cox multivariate model, complicated disease was predicted by induction therapy with biologics (hazard ratio [HR], 2.1; 95% CI, 1.2-3.6) and severity of laboratory tests at diagnosis (HR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.2), while high socioeconomic status was protective (HR, 0.94; 95% CI, 0.91-0.96). In children, laboratory tests predicted disease course (HR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.2-2.5), as well as malnutrition (median BMI Z score -0.41; 95% CI, -1.42 to 0.43 in complicated disease vs -0.24; 95% CI, -1.23 to 0.63] in favorable disease; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

In this nationwide cohort, CD course was complicated in one-fourth of patients, predicted by laboratory tests, type of induction therapy, socioeconomic status, in addition to malnutrition in children.

Clusters of Disease Activity and Early Risk Factors of Clinical Course of Pediatric Crohn's Disease

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to define clusters of disease activity and prognostic factors of disease course in a well-characterized cohort of children with Crohn's disease (CD).

METHODS

All patients from the SIGENP IBD (Italian Society of Pediatric Gastroenterology Hepatology and Nutrition Inflammatory Bowel Disease) registry with a 5-year follow-up and 6-monthly evaluation were included. Active disease was defined for each semester as follows: clinical activity (weighted Pediatric Crohn's Disease Activity Index ≥12.5 or Mucosal Inflammation Noninvasive Index ≥8) and active disease on endoscopy (Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's Disease >3 or fecal calprotectin >250 µg/g) or imaging. Formula-based clusters were generated based on previously published patterns in adults.

RESULTS

Data from 332 patients were analyzed. A total of 105 (32%) experienced a quiescent disease course; 49 (15%) and 31 (9%) a moderate-to-severe chronically active and chronic intermittent disease, respectively; 104 (31%) and 43 (13%) had active disease in the first 2 years after diagnosis and remission thereafter and vice versa, respectively. Surgery at diagnosis was significantly associated with a quiescent course (odds ratio [OR], 10.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.05-25.22; P=.0005), while growth impairment at the diagnosis and active disease requiring corticosteroids at 6 months were inversely related to the quiescent group (OR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.27-0.81; P= .007; and OR, 0.35; 95% CI, 0.16-0.71; P= .005, respectively). Perianal involvement at diagnosis and moderate-severe activity at 6 months correlated with disease progression (OR, 3.85; 95% CI, 1.20-12.85; P=.02).

CONCLUSIONS

During the first 5 years of follow-up, one-third of children with CD experience a quiescent course. However, another one-third have a moderate-to-severe disease course. Surgery at the diagnosis is related to a quiescent course, while growth impairment and lack of response to induction therapy correlate with more severe disease activity during follow-up.

Abdominal pain in patients with inflammatory bowel disease in remission: A prospective study on contributing factors

BACKGROUND

Abdominal pain is highly prevalent in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in remission, but the aetiology is incompletely understood.

AIM

To investigate the association of clinical, lifestyle and psychosocial factors with abdominal pain in patients with IBD in remission.

METHODS

We performed a prospective multicentre study enrolling consecutive patients with IBD. Data were collected between 1 January 2020 and 1 July 2021, using myIBDcoach, an established remote monitoring platform for IBD. Chronic abdominal pain in IBD in remission (IBDremissionPain+) was defined as abdominal pain score ≥3 (0-10 NRS) on ≥1/3 of all assessments, combined with faecal calprotectin <150 μg/g in 90 days around periodic assessments. Disease activity, lifestyle and psychosocial factors were assessed every 1-3 months during 18 months. Using linear mixed models, the association of these factors with abdominal pain over time was analysed.

RESULTS

We included 559 patients, of whom 429 (76.7%) remained in biochemical remission. Of these, 198 (46.2%) fulfilled the criteria for chronic abdominal pain. IBDremissionPain+ patients were characterised by female sex, younger age, higher BMI, and shorter disease duration. They reported more often or higher levels of stress, fatigue, depressive and anxiety symptoms, and life events (all p < 0.001). In the multivariable analysis, sex, disease entity, fatigue, depressive symptoms and life events were associated with abdominal pain over time (all p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

In this cohort of patients with IBD in remission, abdominal pain was common and associated with psychosocial factors. A more holistic treatment approach for patients with IBD suffering from abdominal pain may improve quality of care and subjective wellbeing.

Recent developments in the assessment and management of inflammatory bowel disease in childhood: a narrative review

Background and Objective

The landscape of paediatric inflammatory bowel disease (pIBD) continues to evolve in an era of increasing incidence. There have been rapid developments in understanding, as we begin to perceive IBD as a spectrum of conditions, alongside advancements in monitoring and treatment. The objective of this article was to provide an overview of recent advances and challenges in the management of pIBD, with a focus on sustainable healthcare, personalised therapy, genomics, new drugs and avenues for future optimisation.

Methods

We present a narrative review that synthesises and summarises recent research (2017-2022) related to pIBD. We undertook a structured search of the literature (PubMed and Medline) and additional articles were identified through manual searches of reference lists. Evidence tables were compiled for disease outcomes.

Key Content and Findings

In this review we outline current practice, integrating clinical guidelines and contemporary research. We discuss initial investigations (including suggested threshold for paediatric faecal calprotectin), specialist investigations for disease monitoring [with reference to video capsule endoscopy (VCE) and therapeutic drug levels] and outline new and established treatment options. Biomarkers and genomic testing are examined as important tools for individualising care and identifying potential therapeutic targets, including for top-down therapy. Despite these advances, significant challenges remain, including the need for further research to understand the mechanisms of disease and the translation of these advances into real-world improvements in practice.

Conclusions

Recent advances in understanding of the pathogenesis of pIBD, alongside genomic and pharmacological developments have added more tools to the armamentarium for the treatment of these conditions and highlighted ongoing areas of research need.

The Pediatric Crohn Disease Morbidity Index (PCD-MI): Development of a Tool to Assess Long-Term Disease Burden Using a Data-Driven Approach

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Heterogeneity and chronicity of Crohn disease (CD) make prediction of outcomes difficult. To date, no longitudinal measure can quantify burden over a patient's disease course, preventing assessment and integration into predictive modeling. Here, we aimed to demonstrate the feasibility of constructing a data driven, longitudinal disease burden score.

METHODS

Literature was reviewed for tools used in assessment of CD activity. Themes were identified to construct a pediatric CD morbidity index (PCD-MI). Scores were assigned to variables. Data were extracted automatically from the electronic patient records at Southampton Children's Hospital, diagnosed from 2012 to 2019 (inclusive). PCD-MI scores were calculated, adjusted for duration of follow up and assessed for variation (ANOVA) and distribution (Kolmogorov-Smirnov).

RESULTS

Nineteen clinical/biological features across five themes were included in the PCD-MI including blood/fecal/radiological/endoscopic results, medication usage, surgery, growth parameters, and extraintestinal manifestations. Maximal score was 100 after accounting for follow-up duration. PCD-MI was assessed in 66 patients, mean age 12.5 years. Following quality filtering, 9528 blood/fecal test results and 1309 growth measures were included. Mean PCD-MI score was 14.95 (range 2.2-32.5); data were normally distributed ( P = 0.2) with 25% of patients having a PCD-MI < 10. There was no difference in the mean PCD-MI when split by year of diagnosis, F -statistic 1.625, P = 0.147.

CONCLUSIONS

PCD-MI is a calculatable measure for a cohort of patients diagnosed over an 8-year period, integrating a wide-range of data with potential to determine high or low disease burden. Future iterations of the PCD-MI require refinement of included features, optimized scores, and validation on external cohorts.

Bile acid alterations associated with indolent course of inflammatory bowel disease

BACKGROUND

The indolent course of treatment-naive patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is confirmed predictable based on clinical characteristics. Current evidences supported that bile acids (BAs) alteration might be promising biomarkers in the field of IBD. We aimed to analyze the alterations of BAs as the disease progresses and explore their predictive value for indolent course of IBD.

METHODS

The indolent course of IBD was defined as a disease course without need for strict interventions throughout the entire follow-up. A targeted metabolomics method was used to detect the concentration of 27 BAs from serum sample in treatment-naive patients with IBD (Crohn's disease [CD], n = 27; ulcerative colitis [UC], n = 50). Patients with CD and UC were individually divided into two groups for further study according to the median time of indolent course. The overall BAs profile and the clinical value of BAs in predicting indolent course of IBD were identified between different groups.

RESULTS

For CD, the levels of deoxycholic acid, glycodeoxycholic acid, taurodeoxycholic acid, glycolithocholic acid-3-sulfate disodium salt and iso-lithocholic acid were significantly increased in patients with indolent course > 18 M (p < 0.05). These five BAs owned 83.5% accuracy for predicting indolent course over 18 months in CD. For UC, the concentration of deoxycholic acid and glycodeoxycholic acid were significantly higher, while dehydrocholic acid were lower in patients with indolent course > 48 M (p < 0.05). These three BAs predicted indolent course over 48 months of 69.8% accuracy in UC.

CONCLUSION

The specific BAs alterations might be potential biomarkers in predicting disease course of IBD patients.

The metabolic nature of inflammatory bowel diseases

Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis, phenotypically comprising a spectrum of inflammatory bowel diseases (IBDs), spread globally during the westernization of lifestyle and dietary habits over the past few decades. Here, we review experimental and clinical evidence for the metabolic nature of gut inflammation in IBD and delineate distinct parallels to the inflammatory state in metabolic diseases. Experimental evidence indicates that excessive intake of specific macronutrients in a Western diet fuels an inflammatory response in the gut by exploiting sensors of innate immunity and perturbation of gut microbial metabolism. Genetic IBD risk partly affects metabolism and stress signalling of innate immunity, and immunometabolism controls susceptibility to gut inflammation. Epidemiological and clinical studies indicate that specific nutrients in the Western diet pose a risk for the development of IBD and a poor disease course. Translational studies in IBD indicate perturbation of energy metabolism in immune cells and perturbation of gut microbial metabolism, which can be shaped by diet. In turn, dietary restriction by exclusive enteral nutrition induces remission in patients with IBD. Collectively, these studies support a metabolic underpinning of gut inflammation in IBD as described for metabolic inflammation in obesity and related disorders.

Disease Activity Patterns of Inflammatory Bowel Disease - A Danish Nationwide Cohort Study 1995-2018

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Few studies have assessed the contemporary patterns of disease activity in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). We aimed to describe the disease patterns and their long-term outcomes.

METHODS

All Danish individuals with IBD between 1995 and 2018 were identified using information about IBD-related hospitalizations, surgeries, and redeemed prescriptions. The disease activity patterns for 5- and 10-year periods were assessed.

RESULTS

In incident patients with Crohn's disease (CD), severe disease activity occurred in the year of diagnosis in 80% of patients; for ulcerative colitis (UC) this figure was 75%, in addition to 3.4% of UC patients who underwent a colectomy within the first year. After 20 years of disease, the proportion of CD and UC patients in remission increased to 89% and 72%, respectively. The proportion of prevalent patients in remission each year was stable, despite the introduction of biological therapies. A decreasing activity pattern was the most common in both CD and UC patients (both 45%). The distribution of the disease activity patterns was observed to be stable over time. A quiescent disease pattern was accompanied by a significantly higher risk of intestinal cancer (HR: 3.37, 95%CI: 1.23-9.19) for CD patients, according to a Cox proportional hazards model. In UC patients, increasing disease activity (HR: 0.67, 95%CI: 0.31-1.48) was associated with an increased risk of intestinal cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

We reported the distribution of disease patterns among IBD patients. Patients with quiescent CD, as well as UC patients with chronic continuous or increasing activity, were at increased risk of developing intestinal cancer.

Early Diagnosis, Early Stratification, and Early Intervention to Deliver Precision Medicine in IBD

Despite huge advances in understanding the molecular basis of IBD, clinical management has continued to rely on a "trial and error" approach. In addition, a therapeutic ceiling has emerged whereby even the most effective interventions are only beneficial for approximately 30% of patients. Consequently, several tools have been developed to aid stratification and guide treatment-decisions. We review the potential application for many of these precision medicine approaches, which are now almost within reach. We highlight the importance of early action (and avoiding inaction) to ensure the best outcomes for patients and how combining early action with precision tools will likely ensure the right treatment is delivered at the right time and place for each individual person living with IBD. The lack of clinical impact to date from precision medicine, despite much hype and investment, should be tempered with the knowledge that clinical translation can take a long time, and many promising breakthroughs might be ready for clinical implementation in the near future. We discuss some of the remaining challenges and barriers to overcome for clinical adoption. We also highlight that early recognition, early diagnosis, early stratification, and early intervention go hand in hand with precision medicine tools. It is the combination of these approaches that offer the greatest opportunity to finally deliver on the promise of precision medicine in IBD.

Personalized medicine in inflammatory bowel disease: Perspectives on Asia

Inflammatory bowel diseases are chronic, relapsing inflammatory disorders of the gastrointestinal tract with variable disease courses and complications, which in some cases can result in significant morbidities and disabilities. Etiologies remain unclear due to complex interactions between genetic and environmental factors. Considering the heterogeneity of inflammatory bowel diseases, personalized approaches in diagnosing and managing affected patients would be beneficial in maximizing treatment efficacies and minimizing adverse events. Personalized medicine may also help to stratify patients with a high risk of progression and inflammatory bowel disease-related complications and identify sub-phenotypic mechanisms to facilitate drug discovery and the development of new treatments. In Asia, with a rapidly increasing incidence and prevalence of inflammatory bowel diseases, studies have shown that patients of Asian ethnicity differ from their Western counterparts in terms of genetic and clinical aspects of inflammatory bowel diseases. Therefore, personalized medicine may differ for patients of Asian ethnicity with inflammatory bowel diseases. We reviewed and summarized current evidence concerning personalized medicine for the diagnosis and management of patients with inflammatory bowel diseases and its possible role from an Asian perspective.

How Do We Predict a Patient's Disease Course and Whether They Will Respond to Specific Treatments?

Gastroenterologists will be all too familiar with the difficult decisions that managing inflammatory bowel disease often presents. How aggressively should I treat this patient? Do I expect them to have a mild or aggressive form of disease? Do they need a biologic? If so, which one? And when should I start it? The reality is that the answers that would be right for one patient might be disastrous for another. The growing therapeutic armamentarium will only make these decisions more difficult, and yet, we have seen how other specialties have begun to use the molecular heterogeneity in their diseases to provide some answers. Here, we review the progress that has been made in predicting the future for any given patient with inflammatory bowel disease-whether that is the course of disease that they will experience or whether or not they will respond to, or indeed tolerate, a particular therapy.

SARS-CoV-2 vaccination does not induce relapses of patients with inflammatory bowel disease

BACKGROUND

Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 is a promising strategy to protect immunocompromised IBD patients from a severe course of COVID-19. As these patients were excluded from initial clinical vaccination trials, patients frequently express concerns regarding the safety of these vaccines, especially whether vaccination might trigger IBD flares ("hit-and-run-hypothesis").

METHODS

In order to assess the risk of an IBD flare after vaccination against SARS-CoV-2, an anonymous survey was performed at five German IBD centers and one patient organization (Deutsche Morbus Crohn/Colitis ulcerosa Vereinigung (DCCV) e.V.) in August and October 2021.

RESULTS

The questionnaire was answered by 914 patients, 781 of whom reported a previous vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 (85.4%). Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 was not associated with an increased risk of IBD flares (p=0.319) or unscheduled visits to the IBD physician (p=0.848). Furthermore, typical symptoms of an IBD flare including abdominal pain, increases in stool frequency, or rectal bleeding were not influenced by the vaccination.

CONCLUSION

Vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 is safe in IBD patients. These results may help to reduce fears regarding the vaccination in IBD patients. Our results can help to reduce fears in IBD patients regarding the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. A close communication between patients and physicians before and after the vaccination may be beneficial.

The clinical course of Crohn's disease in a Danish population-based inception cohort with more than 50 years of follow-up, 1962-2017

BACKGROUND

Few population-based studies have investigated the long-term prognosis of Crohn's disease (CD).

AIM

To determine the long-term natural disease course of CD with regard to surgery, cancer and mortality in a population-based cohort followed for more than 50 years.

METHODS

All patients diagnosed with CD from 1962 to 1987 in Copenhagen County, Denmark were included in a population-based cohort. Information about surgeries, cancers and mortality was collected from patient files from 1962 to 1987 and from the Danish National Patient Registry, Cancer Registry, and from the Register of Causes of Death, 1987-2017. Patients were matched with individuals from the general population.

RESULTS

A total of 373 patients were followed for a median of 33 years (range: 0-56 years). The cumulative probability of surgery 10, 20, 30, 40 and 50 years after diagnosis was 62% (CI 95%: 57%-67%), 71% (CI 95%: 66%-75%), 72% (CI 95%: 67%-76%), 74% (CI 95%: 69%-79%) and 74% (CI 95%: 69%-79%), respectively. A total of 142 patients (54%) were operated upon at least twice: 69 (26%) needing two surgeries and 73 (28%) needing three or more. Patients with CD were found to be at increased risk of intestinal (small bowel, rectum and anus) and extra-intestinal (respiratory organs and skin) cancer. All-cause mortality among CD patients was higher than among controls (RR: 1.22, CI 95%: 1.04-1.43), whereas mortality due to gastrointestinal cancer was not.

CONCLUSION

After 50 years of follow-up, 75% CD patients had undergone surgery, with most needing repeat surgery. The risk of intestinal and extra-intestinal cancers, as well as mortality, was higher among CD patients than the background population.

Histopathological Features in Colonic Biopsies at Diagnosis Predict Long-term Disease Course in Patients with Crohn's Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Crohn's disease [CD] is characterised by a heterogeneous disease course. Patient stratification at diagnosis using clinical, serological, or genetic markers does not predict disease course sufficiently to facilitate clinical decision making. The current study aimed to investigate the additive predictive value of histopathological features to discriminate between a long-term mild and severe disease course.

METHODS

Diagnostic biopsies from treatment-naïve CD patients with mild or severe disease courses in the first 10 years after diagnosis were reviewed by two gastrointestinal pathologists after developing a standardised form comprising 15 histopathological features. Multivariable logistic regression models were built to identify predictive features and compute receiver operating characteristic [ROC] curves. Models were internally validated using bootstrapping to obtain optimism-corrected performance estimates.

RESULTS

In total, 817 biopsies from 137 patients [64 mild, 73 severe cases] were included. Using clinical baseline characteristics, disease course could only moderately be predicted (area under receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]: 0.738 [optimism 0.018], 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65-0.83, sensitivity 83.6%, specificity 53.1%). When adding histopathological features, in colonic biopsies a combination of [1] basal plasmacytosis, [2] severe lymphocyte infiltration in lamina propria, [3] Paneth cell metaplasia, and [4] absence of ulcers were identified and resulted in significantly better prediction of a severe course (AUROC: 0.883 [optimism 0.033], 95% CI 0.82-0.94, sensitivity 80.4%, specificity 84.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

In this first study investigating the additive predictive value of histopathological features in biopsies at CD diagnosis, we found that certain features of chronic inflammation in colonic biopsies contributed to prediction of a severe disease course, thereby presenting a novel approach to improving stratification and facilitating clinical decision making.

ECCO Topical Review: Refractory Inflammatory Bowel Disease

Inflammatory bowel disease is a chronic disease with variable degrees of extent, severity, and activity. A proportion of patients will have disease that is refractory to licensed therapies, resulting in significant impairment in quality of life. The treatment of these patients involves a systematic approach by the entire multidisciplinary team, with particular consideration given to medical options including unlicensed therapies, surgical interventions, and dietetic and psychological support. The purpose of this review is to guide clinicians through this process and provide an accurate summary of the available evidence for different strategies.

Results of the Seventh Scientific Workshop of ECCO: Precision Medicine in IBD-Disease Outcome and Response to Therapy

Inflammatory bowel diseases [IBD] are a heterogeneous spectrum with two extreme phenotypes, Crohn's disease [CD] and ulcerative colitis [UC], which both represent numerous phenotypical variations. Hence, we should no longer approach all IBD patients similarly, but rather aim to rethink clinical classifications and modify treatment algorithms to usher in a new era of precision medicine in IBD. This scientific ECCO workshop aims to provide a state-of-the-art overview on prognostic and predictive markers, shed light on key questions in biomarker development, propose best practices in IBD biomarker development [including trial design], and discuss the potential for multi-omic data integration to help drive further advances to make precision medicine a reality in IBD.

Limited long-term treatment persistence of first anti-TNF therapy in 538 patients with inflammatory bowel diseases: a 20-year real-world study

BACKGROUND

Anti-TNF antibodies were the first biologic treatment option for patients with inflammatory bowel diseases.

AIMS

To assess length of treatment persistence of first anti-TNF therapy and influencing factors used in the standard care of patients with inflammatory bowel diseases.

METHODS

Single-centre, retrospective study from a register including patients who received anti-TNF therapy in the last 20 years at the study centre. Kaplan-Meier analysis with log-rank test was used to describe treatment persistence. With multivariable Cox regression analysis, risk factors for treatment failure were investigated.

RESULTS

Five hundred thirty-eight patients (CD, Crohn's disease: 367, UC, ulcerative colitis: 147, inflammatory bowel disease unclassified: 24) with a median follow-up of 8.1 years were included. Median (95% confidence interval) treatment persistence in the total cohort was 2.3 years (28 [22, 38] months), and nearly half of patients withdrew from treatment within 2 years. Male patients were treated longer than females (male: 37 [25, 48] months, female: 23 [14, 33] months, P = 0.002). Treatment persistence was longer in CD compared to UC (CD: 39 [30, 50] months, UC: 13 [9, 19] months, P < 0.001), and patients with CD remained longer on adalimumab than on infliximab treatment (adalimumab: 67 [55, 95] months, infliximab: 19 [14, 31] months, P < 0.001). Treatment failure (52%) and side effects (25%) were the most common reasons for withdrawal from therapy; 14% withdrew due to remission. Female sex was identified as independent predictor for treatment failure in UC (hazard ratio [CI]: 1.73 [1.02-2.92], P = 0.04).

CONCLUSION

Long-term treatment persistence of first anti-TNF therapy was limited in patients with inflammatory bowel diseases, primarily due to treatment failure and side effects.

Long-term Disease Course of Crohn's Disease: Changes in Disease Location, Phenotype, Activities, and Predictive Factors

Crohn's disease (CD) is a chronic destructive inflammatory bowel disease that affects young people and is associated with significant morbidity. The clinical spectrum and disease course of CD are heterogeneous and often difficult to predict based on the initial presentation. In this article, changes in the disease location, behavior, clinical course during long-term follow-up, and predictive factors are reviewed. Generally, four different patterns of clinical course are discussed: remission, stable disease, chronic relapsing disease, and chronic refractory disease. Understanding the long-term disease course of CD is mandatory to reveal the underlying pathophysiology of the disease and to move toward a more optimistic disease course, such as remission or stability, and less adverse outcomes or devastating sequelae.