Differential incremental value of ultrasound carotid intima-media thickness, carotid plaque, and cardiac calcium to predict angiographic coronary artery disease across Framingham risk score strata in the APRES multicentre study

Including educational status may improve cardiovascular risk calculations such as SCORE2

Background

The association between education and atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) has been well described for decades. Nevertheless, most cardiovascular risk models, including SCORE2, still do not take educational status into account even if this factor is easily assessed and costs nothing to acquire. Using carotid plaques as a proxy for ASCVD, we analysed educational status as associated with carotid plaque development, to determine if the relationship remains, how it relates to traditional risk factors and, how it impacts the European cardiovascular risk model, SCORE2. Our study also provides further data on plaque development in a well-characterised population nearly equally weighted by gender.

Methods

9,083 subjects (51% female, 49% male) from the Paracelsus 10,000 cohort, underwent a carotid doppler duplex as part of thorough screening for subclinical ASCVD. Well over 90% of carotid doppler duplex examinations were performed by the same experienced clinician. Subjects were then classified by educational status using the Generalized International Standard Classification of Education. Plaque absence or presence was dichotomised and variables analysed using regression modelling to examine educational status relative to cardiovascular risk factors and with respect to the SCORE2 model.

Results

Using medium educational status as a reference, subjects in our cohort with low educational status had higher odds, while subjects with high educational status had lower odds for carotid plaques compared to subjects with medium education (aOR 1.76 95%CI 1.50-2.06; and 0.0.63 95%CI 0.57-0.70, respectively). Even after adjusting for common risk factors including metabolic syndrome and SCORE2, the relationship was maintained. Furthermore, when comparing the potential predictive power of SCORE2 alone and plus educational status using the Akaike information criterion, we showed a 'better fit' when educational status was added.

Conclusions

Measuring educational status is cost-free and easy for clinicians to obtain. We believe cardiovascular risk prediction models such as SCORE2 may more accurately reflect individual risk if educational status is also taken into account. Additionally, we believe clinicians need to understand and appropriately address educational status as a risk factor, to better quantify individual risk and take appropriate measures to reduce risk so that the association may finally be broken.

Charting the Unseen: How Non-Invasive Imaging Could Redefine Cardiovascular Prevention

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) remain a major global health challenge, leading to significant morbidity and mortality while straining healthcare systems. Despite progress in medical treatments for CVDs, their increasing prevalence calls for a shift towards more effective prevention strategies. Traditional preventive approaches have centered around lifestyle changes, risk factors management, and medication. However, the integration of imaging methods offers a novel dimension in early disease detection, risk assessment, and ongoing monitoring of at-risk individuals. Imaging techniques such as supra-aortic trunks ultrasound, echocardiography, cardiac magnetic resonance, and coronary computed tomography angiography have broadened our understanding of the anatomical and functional aspects of cardiovascular health. These techniques enable personalized prevention strategies by providing detailed insights into the cardiac and vascular states, significantly enhancing our ability to combat the progression of CVDs. This review focuses on amalgamating current findings, technological innovations, and the impact of integrating advanced imaging modalities into cardiovascular risk prevention, aiming to offer a comprehensive perspective on their potential to transform preventive cardiology.

Investigating the Added Value of Beck's Depression Inventory in Atherosclerosis Prediction: Lessons from Paracelsus 10,000

Background: Depression is the most common mental illness worldwide and generates an enormous health and economic burden. Furthermore, it is known to be associated with an elevated risk of arteriosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD), particularly stroke. However, it is not a factor reflected in many ASCVD risk models, including SCORE2. Thus, we analysed the relationship between depression, ASCVD and SCORE2 in our cohort. Methods: We analysed 9350 subjects from the Paracelsus 10,000 cohort, who underwent both a carotid artery ultrasound and completed a Beck Depression Inventory (BDI) screening. Patients were categorised binomially based on the BDI score. Atherosclerotic carotid plaque or absence was dichotomised for logistic regression modelling. Odds ratios and adjusted relative risks were calculated using Stata. Results: Subjects with an elevated BDI (≥14) had higher odds for carotid plaques compared to subjects with normal BDI, especially after adjusting for classical risk factors included in SCORE2 (1.21; 95%CI 1.03-1.43, p = 0.023). The adjusted relative risk for plaques was also increased (1.09; 95%CI 1.01-1.18, p = 0.021). Subgroup analysis showed an increased odds of plaques with increases in depressive symptoms, particularly in women and patients ≤55 yrs. Conclusions: In our cohort, the BDI score is associated with subclinical atherosclerosis beyond classical risk factors. Thus, depression might be an independent risk factor which may improve risk stratification if considered in ASCVD risk prediction models, such as SCORE2. Furthermore, reminding clinicians to take mental health into consideration to identify individuals at increased atherosclerosis risk may provide added opportunities to address measures which can reduce the risk of ASCVD.

Predictability of Cardiovascular Risk Scores for Carotid Atherosclerosis in Community-Dwelling Middle-Aged and Elderly Adults

Background: The assessment of future risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) is strongly recommended for all asymptomatic adults without CVD history. Carotid atherosclerosis (CA) is a preclinical phenotype of CVDs. However, data on estimated future CVD risks with respect to preclinical atherosclerosis are limited. This community-based study aimed to assess the relationships between predicted CVD risks and CA. Methods: We enrolled 3908 subjects aged 40-74 years without CVD history and calculated their 10-year CVD risks using the Framingham Risk Score (FRS) and the Pooled Cohort Equations (PCE). Carotid plaque (CP) at the extracranial carotid arteries was determined by high-resolution B-mode ultrasonography and further classified into mild or advanced CA. Results: The means of FRS for CP-negative and mild and advanced CA were 9.0%, 14.4%, and 22.1%, respectively (p-value < 0.0001). The corresponding values for PCE score were 4.8%, 8.8%, and 15.0%, respectively (p-value < 0.0001). The odds ratios (ORs) of having CP per 5.0% increase in FRS and PCE score were 1.23 (95% CI, 1.19-1.28) and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.28-1.44), respectively. The corresponding values of having advanced CA were 1.24 (95% CI, 1.19-1.29) and 1.38 (95% CI, 1.30-1.48), respectively. Among the models of FRS or PCE plus other conventional CVD risk factors, the FRS + age model had the highest discrimination for the presence of CP (AUROC, 0.7533; 95% CI, 0.7375-0.7691) as well as for the presence of advanced CA (AUROC, 0.8034; 95% CI, 0.7835-0.8232). The calibration of the FRS + age models for the presences of CP and advanced CA was excellent (χ2 = 8.45 [p = 0.49] and 10.49 [p = 0.31], respectively). Conclusions: Estimated future CVD risks were significantly correlated with risks of having CA. Both FRS and PCE had good discrimination for the presences of CP and advanced CA.

The clinical use of stress echocardiography in chronic coronary syndromes and beyond coronary artery disease: a clinical consensus statement from the European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging of the ESC

Since the 2009 publication of the stress echocardiography expert consensus of the European Association of Echocardiography, and after the 2016 advice of the American Society of Echocardiography-European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging for applications beyond coronary artery disease, new information has become available regarding stress echo. Until recently, the assessment of regional wall motion abnormality was the only universally practiced step of stress echo. In the state-of-the-art ABCDE protocol, regional wall motion abnormality remains the main step A, but at the same time, regional perfusion using ultrasound-contrast agents may be assessed. Diastolic function and pulmonary B-lines are assessed in step B; left ventricular contractile and preload reserve with volumetric echocardiography in step C; Doppler-based coronary flow velocity reserve in the left anterior descending coronary artery in step D; and ECG-based heart rate reserve in non-imaging step E. These five biomarkers converge, conceptually and methodologically, in the ABCDE protocol allowing comprehensive risk stratification of the vulnerable patient with chronic coronary syndromes. The present document summarizes current practice guidelines recommendations and training requirements and harmonizes the clinical guidelines of the European Society of Cardiology in many diverse cardiac conditions, from chronic coronary syndromes to valvular heart disease. The continuous refinement of imaging technology and the diffusion of ultrasound-contrast agents improve image quality, feasibility, and reader accuracy in assessing wall motion and perfusion, left ventricular volumes, and coronary flow velocity. Carotid imaging detects pre-obstructive atherosclerosis and improves risk prediction similarly to coronary atherosclerosis. The revolutionary impact of artificial intelligence on echocardiographic image acquisition and analysis makes stress echo more operator-independent and objective. Stress echo has unique features of low cost, versatility, and universal availability. It does not need ionizing radiation exposure and has near-zero carbon dioxide emissions. Stress echo is a convenient and sustainable choice for functional testing within and beyond coronary artery disease.

A new score for improving cardiovascular risk prediction and prevention

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The ultrasonographic detection of subclinical atherosclerosis (scATS) at carotid and femoral vascular sites using the atherosclerosis burden score (ABS) improves the risk stratification for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease beyond traditional cardiovascular (CV) risk factors. However, its predictive value should be further enhanced. We hypothesize that combining the ABS and the Framingham risk score (FHRS) to create a new score called the FHRABS will improve CV risk prediction and prevention. We aim to investigate if incorporating the ABS into the FHRS improved CV risk prediction in a primary prevention setting.

METHODS AND RESULTS

1024 patients were included in this prospective observational cohort study. Carotid and femoral plaques were ultra-sonographic detected. Major incident cardiovascular events (MACEs) were collected. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) and Youden's index (Ysi) were used to compare the incremental contributions of each marker to predict MACEs. After a median follow-up of 6.0 ± 3.3 years, 60 primary MACEs (5.8%) occurred. The ROC-AUC for MACEs prediction was significantly higher for the FHRABS (0.74, p < 0.024) and for the ABS (0.71, p < 0.013) compared to the FHRS alone (0.71, p < 0.46). Ysi or the FHRABS (42%, p < 0.001) and ABS (37%, p < 0.001) than for the FHRS (31%). Cox proportional-hazard models showed that the CV predictive performance of FHRS was significantly enhanced by the ABS (10.8 vs. 5.5, p < 0.001) and FHRABS (HR 23.30 vs. 5.50, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

FHRABS is a useful score for improving CV risk stratification and detecting patients at high risk of future MACEs. FHRABS offers a simple-to-use, and radiation-free score with which to detect scATS in order to promote personalized CV prevention.

Evolution of Stress Echocardiogram in the Era of CT Angiography

The ideal diagnostic modality for acute chest pain is a highly debated topic in the cardiovascular community. With the rapid rise of coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA) and the fall of functional testing, stress echocardiography (SE) is at a delicate crossroads. Though there are many advantages of coronary CTA, it is not without its flaws. The exact realm of SE needs to be clearly defined, as well as which patients need diagnostic testing. The emergence of additional parameters will propel the evolution of modern SE. In this review article, we explore the role of SE, guidelines, comparison of SE versus CTA, and additional parameters in the coronary CTA era.

Stress-echocardiography or coronary computed tomography in suspected chronic coronary syndrome after the 2019 European Guidelines? A practical guide

Stress-echocardiography can rightly be considered one of the champions of cardiac functional imaging, thanks to its real-time imaging, high temporal resolution, high safety and very low cost. When stress-echocardiography is performed at top technical quality, hence taking advantage of ultrasound contrast media for endocardial border delineation at least for suboptimal cases, subjectivity is minimized, and with the routine use of coronary flow reserve measurement (left anterior descending coronary artery, stress/rest ratio reduced or normal, i.e. <>2.0) diagnostic sensitivity is strengthened. The true competitor of any type of functional imaging, stress-echocardiography included, is nowadays coronary computed tomography angiography, which is instead a diagnostic method directly, noninvasively assessing coronary anatomy, apparently the holy grail for any cardiologist. The new 2019 Guidelines on chronic coronary syndrome of the European Society of Cardiology change the existing landscape and clinical practice, while they probably cannot clarify which type of test, functional or anatomic, should be first chosen in different clinical scenarios of suspected chronic coronary syndrome. We review the existing data and the authors' personal view in order to assess how functional stress-echocardiography compares with coronary computed tomography angiography regarding three main aspects: diagnosis of coronary artery disease, guidance of therapy (coronary revascularization versus medical therapy) and risk stratification.

Clinical Significance of Carotid Intima-Media Complex and Carotid Plaque Assessment by Ultrasound for the Prediction of Adverse Cardiovascular Events in Primary and Secondary Care Patients

Recently published recommendations from the American Society of Echocardiography on 'Carotid Arterial Plaque Assessment by Ultrasound for the Characterization of Atherosclerosis and Evaluation of Cardiovascular Risk' provoked discussion once more on the potential clinical applications of carotid intima-media complex thickness (CIMT) and carotid plaque assessment in the context of cardiovascular risk in both primary and secondary care patients. This review paper addresses key issues and milestones regarding indications, assessment, technical aspects, recommendations, and interpretations of CIMT and carotid plaque findings. We discuss lacks of evidence, limitations, and possible future directions.

Stress Echo 2030: The Novel ABCDE-(FGLPR) Protocol to Define the Future of Imaging

With stress echo (SE) 2020 study, a new standard of practice in stress imaging was developed and disseminated: the ABCDE protocol for functional testing within and beyond CAD. ABCDE protocol was the fruit of SE 2020, and is the seed of SE 2030, which is articulated in 12 projects: 1-SE in coronary artery disease (SECAD); 2-SE in diastolic heart failure (SEDIA); 3-SE in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (SEHCA); 4-SE post-chest radiotherapy and chemotherapy (SERA); 5-Artificial intelligence SE evaluation (AI-SEE); 6-Environmental stress echocardiography and air pollution (ESTER); 7-SE in repaired Tetralogy of Fallot (SETOF); 8-SE in post-COVID-19 (SECOV); 9: Recovery by stress echo of conventionally unfit donor good hearts (RESURGE); 10-SE for mitral ischemic regurgitation (SEMIR); 11-SE in valvular heart disease (SEVA); 12-SE for coronary vasospasm (SESPASM). The study aims to recruit in the next 5 years (2021-2025) ≥10,000 patients followed for ≥5 years (up to 2030) from ≥20 quality-controlled laboratories from ≥10 countries. In this COVID-19 era of sustainable health care delivery, SE2030 will provide the evidence to finally recommend SE as the optimal and versatile imaging modality for functional testing anywhere, any time, and in any patient.

Correlation between echocardiographic calcium score and coronary artery lesion severity on invasive coronary angiography

OBJECTIVES

The direct correlation between Echocardiographic non-coronary calcium score (ECS) and lesion severity on invasive coronary angiography (ICA) is not reported. The aim of the present study was to find the correlation between ECS and Gensini score.

METHODS

One hundred seventy patients aged ≥18 years posted for clinically indicated ICA were included. All the patients underwent standard transthoracic echocardiography. ECS and Gensisni scores were calculated. The primary outcome measure was to find a correlation of ECS with Gensini score, whereas the secondary outcome measure was to correlate ECS with traditional risk factors for coronary artery disease. The Chi-square/Fisher exact test was used to compare qualitative variables. Spearman's correlation analysis was used for assessing the correlation between ECS score and the Gensini score. Receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to detect the cut-off value of the ECS score.

RESULTS

The correlation of total ECS with Gensini score was positive and statistically significant (r = 0.550, p-value < 0.0001). As ECS increased, the Gensini score increased. ECS value of >1 detected CAD with 56.5% sensitivity, 79.5% specificity. Eight-nine percent of patients who had ECS >1, had Gensini score ≥18, whereas 44.3% of patients who had ECS ≤1, had Gensini score ≥18. The patients with ECS >1 had significantly higher Gensini scores than the patients with ECS ≤1.

CONCLUSIONS

The correlation of total ECS with Gensini score was positive and statistically significant.

Cardiovascular Calcification as a Marker of Increased Cardiovascular Risk and a Surrogate for Subclinical Atherosclerosis: Role of Echocardiography

The risk prediction of future cardiovascular events is mainly based on conventional risk factor assessment by validated algorithms, such as the Framingham Risk Score, the Pooled Cohort Equations and the European SCORE Risk Charts. The identification of subclinical atherosclerosis has emerged as a promising tool to refine the individual cardiovascular risk identified by these models, to prognostic stratify asymptomatic individuals and to implement preventive strategies. Several imaging modalities have been proposed for the identification of subclinical organ damage, the main ones being coronary artery calcification scanning by cardiac computed tomography and the two-dimensional ultrasound evaluation of carotid arteries. In this context, echocardiography offers an assessment of cardiac calcifications at different sites, such as the mitral apparatus (including annulus, leaflets and papillary muscles), aortic valve and ascending aorta, findings that are associated with the clinical manifestation of atherosclerotic disease and are predictive of future cardiovascular events. The aim of this paper is to summarize the available evidence on clinical implications of cardiac calcification, review studies that propose semiquantitative ultrasound assessments of cardiac calcifications and evaluate the potential of ultrasound calcium scores for risk stratification and prevention of clinical events.

Predictive value of carotid artery ultrasonography for the risk of coronary artery disease

PURPOSE

To assess carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), carotid plaques, and cardiovascular risk factors in patients with suspected coronary artery disease (CHD) to determine their association and predictive value for CHD.

METHODS

We performed duplex Doppler ultrasonography of the carotid arteries and coronary angiography or CT in 480 patients with suspected CHD, and investigated their personal and medical histories. Patients were then assigned to the CHD or the control group depending on the presence of coronary lesions. Ultrasonography was performed the morning after admission prior to any treatment, coronary angiography, or CT.

RESULTS

Carotid plaques were mainly distributed in the common carotid artery bifurcation, with a significant difference between the CHD and control groups. Plaque incidence (80%) and IMT were significantly higher (P < .001 and P = .012, respectively) in the CHD (80% and 0.84 ± 0.21 mm) than in the control group (49% and 0.76 ± 0.18 mm). The factors significantly associated with CHD were introduced into a multivariate regression model. Male subject (OR = 1.569, 95%CI 1.004-2.453; P = .048) and plaque burden (OR = 0.457, 95%CI 0.210-0.993; P = .048) were significant predictors for CHD occurrence. The presence of carotid plaques performed significantly better than IMT and the Framingham risk score for predicting CHD lesions (P < .001 for both).

CONCLUSIONS

CHD patients showed higher percentage of clinical (plaques) or subclinical (IMT) carotid artery wall change, and the presence of carotid plaques showed better predictive value than IMT and Framingham risk score for the presence of coronary artery lesions.

Carotid Atherosclerosis in Predicting Coronary Artery Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

[Figure: see text].

Incremental value of carotid elasticity modulus using shear wave elastography for identifying coronary artery disease in patients without carotid plaque

BACKGROUND

Shear wave elastography (SWE) directly quantifies the local arterial wall stiffness by calculating the elastic modulus. However, whether carotid wall elastic modulus can predict obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) is not well known. We aimed to investigate the value of carotid wall elastic modulus measured using SWE in identifying obstructive CAD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We prospectively enrolled 61 patients without carotid plaque referred for clinically indicated coronary angiography. Twenty-seven (44.3%) patients were diagnosed with obstructive CAD (≥50% coronary stenosis). The elastic modulus of common carotid artery was quantified using SWE. Ankle--brachial index (ABI) and echocardiographic global cardiac calcium score (GCCS) were measured.

RESULTS

Patients with obstructive CAD had significantly higher elastic modulus than those without obstructive CAD. The maximum elastic modulus (EMmax) was independently associated with obstructive CAD after adjusting for the Framingham risk score, ABI, and GCCS. EMmax had the highest area under the curve (AUC) to identify obstructive CAD (AUC 0.70; P = 0.003). In the nested models, the model based on the Framingham risk score and ABI (χ2 = 3.74) improved by adding GCCS (χ2 = 9.95) and further improved by adding EMmax (χ2 = 15.86). Adding EMmax to the combined ABI and GCCS model increased integrated discrimination index from 0.10 to 0.19.

CONCLUSION

Carotid wall elastic modulus measured using SWE is a useful predictor of obstructive CAD in patients without carotid plaque. We demonstrated the incremental and independent value of carotid wall elastic modulus in identifying obstructive CAD compared with clinical risk factors and other imaging predictors, including ABI and GCCS.

VIDEO ABSTRACT

Please see the video, in Supplemental Digital Content 1, http://links.lww.com/HJH/B551 for more insights from the authors.

Association of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity and carotid plaque in Chinese hypertensive adults: effect modification by age

We aimed to investigate the association of brachial–ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) with carotid plaque presence and carotid plaque number in a Chinese hypertensive population. A total of 13,554 hypertensive subjects from the China Stroke Primary Prevention Trial (CSPPT) were recruited. Arterial stiffness and carotid plaque were evaluated by baPWV and B-mode ultrasonography, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to determine the correlation of baPWV and carotid plaque presence. Multinomial logistic regression analysis was used to determine the correlation of baPWV and carotid plaque number. Further interactions between baPWV and carotid plaque presence were examined using subgroup analysis. Continuous baPWV was positively correlated with carotid plaque presence (OR = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.04–1.07) and carotid plaque number (one- to two-plaque group: OR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02–1.06; three-or-more-plaque group: OR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.07–1.12). When baPWV was classified into quartiles, with the lowest quartile as reference, the ORs for having one, two, or three or more plaques increased in parallel with the quartiles of baPWV, indicating a dose-dependent effect. In a subgroup analysis, the association of baPWV and carotid plaque presence was more pronounced among younger participants (OR: 1.14 vs. 1.06 and 1.03 for the age groups <60 years, 60 ≤ 70 years, and ≥70 years, respectively, P for interaction <0.001). In a Chinese hypertensive population, baPWV was positively associated with carotid plaque presence and carotid plaque number. A more pronounced positive association between baPWV and carotid plaque presence was observed in younger participants.

Associations of Endogenous Sex Hormones with Carotid Plaque Burden and Characteristics in Midlife Women

CONTEXT

Endogenous sex hormones may be involved in the pathogenesis of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in women. Carotid plaque characteristics, such as echogenicity, an ultrasound measure that reflects plaque composition, may identify unstable plaques that are more likely to rupture, precipitating a CVD event. However, few studies have considered sex steroids in relation to carotid plaque and its characteristics.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate estrone (E1), estradiol (E2), testosterone (T), sex hormone binding globulin (SHBG), and free T (FT) in relation to carotid plaque in women.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In MsHeart, a cross-sectional study of 304 women aged 40 to 60 years, participants underwent a carotid artery ultrasound assessment. The current analysis included MsHeart participants with carotid plaque (n = 141, 46%). E1, E2, and T were assayed using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry; FT was estimated using ensemble allostery models. Regression models were adjusted for sociodemographic characteristics and CVD risk factors.

MAIN OUTCOMES

Carotid plaque burden (number of plaques, total plaque area [TPA]) and characteristics (calcification, echogenicity) were determined using semi-automated software.

RESULTS

SHBG was inversely related to TPA (odds ratio [OR] 0.39; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.21, 0.74; multivariable) and higher FTs were associated with greater TPA (OR 2.89; 95% CI 1.31, 6.37; multivariable). Higher E1 was related to echogenicity (OR 2.31; 95% CI 1.26, 4.33; multivariable), characteristic of more stable plaque.

CONCLUSIONS

SHBG and FT are related to TPA while E1 is related to plaque echogenicity, suggesting these hormones have different roles in the development of carotid plaque. Our findings highlight the importance of sex hormones in the development of carotid plaque in midlife women.

Two-level analysis of risk factors for ischemic cardiovascular disease-A community-based study from Henan, China

BACKGROUND

Ischemic cardiovascular disease (ICVD) has high incidence and high mortality worldwide. The studies of its risk factors were mostly concentrated on an individual level, and there are scarce studies on the two levels of risk factors which include individual and regional levels.

METHODS

The data were obtained from a community-based study in 4 cities and 6 counties of Henan, China. Risk factors were initially screened by one-way analysis of variance or chi-square test. Then, they were re-analyzed using a two-level logistic regression model to construct a personal disease risk prediction model.

RESULTS

A two-level ICVD risk prediction model comprised 11 variables: age, body mass index (BMI), family history of hypertension, marital status, salt intake, smoking, moderate recreational physical activities, alcohol intake, and education at the individual level. Among the unalterable risk factors, for each additional unit of age and family history of hypertension, the risk of ICVD increased by 1.08 and 1.07 units [β95% confidence interval (95%CI): 0.99-1.16, 0.97-1.17, both p < 0.0001], respectively. Among the modifiable risk factors, the ICVD risk increases by 0.67, 0.27, and 0.28 units for each additional unit of BMI, marital status, and education (β95%CI: 0.60-0.74, p < 0.0001; β95%CI: 0.14-0.40, p = 0.0012, 0.18-0.37, p = 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

The two-level ICVD risk model can predict that the risk of one person for ICVD will be lower if one is younger, thinner, and well-educated without a family history of hypertension. Overall, the two-level ICVD risk prediction model gets a better fitting effect than the single-level model.

Association of coronary artery Doppler-echocardiography diastolic-systolic velocity ratio at rest with obstructive coronary artery stenosis on the left main or left anterior descending coronary artery

BACKGROUND

We assessed whether the non-invasive measure of peak diastolic-systolic velocity ratio (rDSVR) at rest on the left anterior descending artery (LAD) using Doppler transthoracic echocardiography is associated with obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) on the LAD and left main (LM) arteries. We compared rDSVR diagnostic accuracy with stress wall motion (WM) and coronary flow reserve (CFR-LAD), in a group of subjects who underwent contrast stress-echocardiography (cSE) and coronary angiography within 3 months.

METHODS

286 patients selected with a clinical indication to cSE, in which CFR-LAD was measured during the test who also underwent coronary angiography within 3 months were selected and diagnostic performance compared.

RESULTS

Demographics and clinical variables were univariate predictors of LAD or LM >50% stenosis, but rDSVR < 1.7 outperformed other variables (OR 11.18, 95% CI 5.82-21.49, p < 0.001), comprising cSE variables such as reversible WM abnormalities (OR 1.53, 95% CI 0.94-2.49, p = 0.087) or CFR-LAD < 2 (OR 2.88, 95% CI 21.74-4.77, p < 0.001). The addition of rDSVR to multivariate logistic regression models (clinical or clinical + cSE variables) led to a marked increase in C-index (0.82, 95%CI 0.78-0.87) with significant improvement compared to all prior models (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data suggest a strict association of reduced rDSVR with >50% coronary artery stenosis on the LM/LAD, superior to other standard clinical or cSE related indexes, such as WM assessment or CFR-LAD, and builds incrementally to them and clinical variables in multivariable logistic models for the prediction of CAD on LM and LAD coronaries.

Stress Echocardiography: Need to Optimize its Appropriate Use in Suspected Angina and a Review of Available Additional Tools for its Clinical Application in 2018: First do no Harm! Second do it at the Highest Possible Accuracy

There is a need to reassess the most appropriate indications for stress echocardiography in the current era, in patients with suspect or known coronary artery disease (CAD), and also the most helpful additional parameters that can be easily calculated in clinical practice to increase the known suboptimal sensitivity for obstructive CAD of this test. The current review tries to clarify what is and what should be the proper role for functional testing in general, but specifically regarding modern stress echocardiography in the current practice, for suspected CAD and/or atypical chest pain. Few candidate additional parameters beyond wall motion assessment are here suggested to improve diagnostic accuracy of stress echocardiography, and pertinent literature is briefly reviewed, together with a more personal view of the author regarding the characteristics of each parameter, as far as ease of acquisition, cost, and true diagnostic or prognostic clinical usefulness are concerned. The reviewed additional parameters, which can be acquired during stress echocardiography, are Doppler coronary flow reserve in the left anterior descending artery, cardiac calcium score, global longitudinal strain, ventricular elastance, and contrast myocardial perfusion. Each of them finds a potential place in the current practice or may find a place in the future practice of stress echocardiography.

Predicting obstructive coronary artery disease using carotid ultrasound parameters: A nomogram from a large real-world clinical data

BACKGROUND

Carotid ultrasound is a noninvasive tool for risk assessment of coronary artery disease (CAD). There is no consensus on which carotid ultrasound parameter constitutes the best measurement of atherosclerosis. We investigated which model of carotid ultrasound parameters and clinical risk factors (CRF) has the highest predictive value for CAD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We enrolled 2431 consecutive patients who have suspected CAD and underwent coronary angiography and carotid ultrasound with measurements of carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), total number of plaques and areas of different types of plaques classified by echogenicity.

RESULTS

Total number of plaques demonstrated the highest incremental prediction ability to predict CAD over CRF (area under the curve [AUC] 0.752 vs 0.701, net reclassification index [NRI] = 0.514, P < .001), followed by area of maximum mixed and soft plaques. CIMT had no significant incremental value over CRF (AUC 0.704 vs 0.701, P = .241; NRI = 0.062, P = .168). The model comprising total number of plaques, areas of maximum soft, hard and mixed plaques plus CRF had the highest discriminatory (AUC = 0.757) and reclassification value (NRI = 0.567) for CAD. A nomogram based on this model was developed to predict CAD. For subjects at low and intermediate risk, the model comprising total number of plaques plus CRF was the best.

CONCLUSIONS

Total number of plaques, area of maximum soft, hard and mixed plaques showed significantly incremental prediction ability over CRF. A nomogram based on these factors provided an intuitive and practical method in detecting CAD.

Prognostic relevance of subclinical coronary and carotid atherosclerosis in a diabetic and nondiabetic asymptomatic population

BACKGROUND

We sought to evaluate the incremental prognostic benefit of carotid artery disease and subclinical coronary artery disease (CAD) features in addition to clinical evaluation in an asymptomatic population.

METHODS

Over a 6-year period, 10-year Framingham risk score together with carotid ultrasound and coronary computed tomography angiography were evaluated for prediction of major adverse cardiac events (MACE).

RESULTS

We enrolled 517 consecutive asymptomatic patients (63% male, mean age 64 ±10 years; 17.6% with diabetes). Median (interquartile range) coronary artery calcium score (CACS) was 34 (0-100). Over a median follow-up of 4.4 (3.4-5.1) years, there were 53 MACE (10%). Patients experiencing MACE had higher CACS, incidence of carotid disease, presence of CAD ≥50%, and remodeled plaque as compared with patients without MACE. At multivariable analyses, presence of CAD ≥50% (HR: 5.14, 95% CI: 2.1-12.4) and percentage of segments with remodeled plaque (HR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.03-1.06) independently predicted MACE (P < 0.001). Models adding CAD ≥50% or percentage of segments with remodeled plaque resulted in higher discrimination and reclassification ability compared with a model based on 10-year FRS, carotid disease, and CACS. Specifically, the C-statistic improved to 0.75 with addition of CAD and 0.84 when adding percentage of segments with remodeled plaque, whereas net reclassification improvement indices were 0.86 and 0.92, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In an asymptomatic population, CAD and plaque positive remodeling increase MACE prediction compared with a model based on 10-year FRS, carotid disease, and CACS estimation. In the diabetes subgroup, percentage of segments with remodeled plaque was the only predictor of MACE.

Comparison of ultrasound-measured properties of the common carotid artery to tobacco smoke exposure in a cohort of Indonesian patients

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this study was to use point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) to investigate the relationship between tobacco smoke exposure and the characteristics of the common carotid artery (CCA). The effect of both primary and secondary smoking on CCA properties was evaluated.

METHODS

We performed a prospective cross-sectional study across 20 primary care clinics in Bandung, West Java, Indonesia in July 2016. Point of care ultrasound was performed on a convenience sample of Indonesian patients presenting to clinic. The CCA wall stiffness and carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) were measured during diastole and systole. These measurements were correlated with smoke exposure and cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

We enrolled 663 patients in the study, with 426 patients enrolled in the smoking category and 237 patients enrolled in the second-hand smoke category. There was an overall positive correlation with the measured lifestyle factors and the ultrasound-measured variables in the group of individuals who smoked. For all variables, age seemed to contribute the most out of all of the lifestyle factors for the positive changes in CIMT and CCA wall stiffness.

CONCLUSION

Our data yielded correlations between CCA properties and cardiovascular risk, as well as between CIMT and arterial stiffness. We were also able to demonstrate an increase in thickness of the CIMT in patients who have been exposed by tobacco through the use of ultrasound. Further large scale studies comparing patients with multiple cardiac risk factors need to be performed to confirm the utility of ultrasound findings of cardiovascular disease and stroke.

Comparison of Carotid Plaque Score and Coronary Artery Calcium Score for Predicting Cardiovascular Disease Events: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery calcium (CAC) predicts coronary heart disease (CHD) events better than carotid wall plaque presence; however, differences in the utility of CAC burden and carotid plaque burden across the spectrum of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events is unknown.

METHODS AND RESULTS

CVD, CHD and stroke/transient ischemic attack (TIA) events were evaluated prospectively in a multiethnic cohort without CVD at baseline. Carotid plaque score was determined by the number of ultrasound-detected plaques in the common, bifurcation, and internal carotid artery segments. CAC was detected by computed tomography. Predictive values were compared using Cox proportional hazards models, C-statistics, and net reclassification, adjusting for traditional CVD risk factors. At baseline, the 4955 participants were mean (SD) 61.6 (10.1) years old and 52.8% female; 48.9% had CAC >0 and 50.8% had at least 1 carotid plaque. After 11.3 (3.0) years of follow-up, 709 CVD, 498 CHD, and 262 stroke/TIA events occurred. CAC score compared to carotid plaque score was a stronger predictor of CVD (hazard ratio [HR], 1.78; 95% CI, 1.16-1.98; P<0.001 vs HR, 1.27; 95% CI, 1.16-1.40; P<0.001) and CHD events (HR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.84-2.38; P<0.001 vs HR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.21-1.51; P<0.001). CAC score and carotid plaque score were weak predictors of stroke/TIA. CAC score had better reclassification statistics than carotid plaque score, except for stroke/TIA, which had similar predictive values.

CONCLUSIONS

CAC score improved prediction, discrimination, and reclassification of CVD and CHD better than carotid ultrasound measures, although prediction and discrimination were similar for stroke/TIA.