Major cardiovascular events and subsequent risk of kidney failure with replacement therapy: a CKD Prognosis Consortium study

The impact of population ageing on the burden of chronic kidney disease

The burden of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and its risk factors are projected to rise in parallel with the rapidly ageing global population. By 2050, the prevalence of CKD category G3-G5 may exceed 10% in some regions, resulting in substantial health and economic burdens that will disproportionately affect lower-income countries. The extent to which the CKD epidemic can be mitigated depends largely on the uptake of prevention efforts to address modifiable risk factors, the implementation of cost-effective screening programmes for early detection of CKD in high-risk individuals and widespread access and affordability of new-generation kidney-protective drugs to prevent the development and delay the progression of CKD. Older patients require a multidisciplinary integrated approach to manage their multimorbidity, polypharmacy, high rates of adverse outcomes, mental health, fatigue and other age-related symptoms. In those who progress to kidney failure, comprehensive conservative management should be offered as a viable option during the shared decision-making process to collaboratively determine a treatment approach that respects the values and wishes of the patient. Interventions that maintain or improve quality of life, including pain management and palliative care services when appropriate, should also be made available.

AI hybrid survival assessment for advanced heart failure patients with renal dysfunction

Renal dysfunction (RD) often characterizes the worse course of patients with advanced heart failure (AHF). Many prognosis assessments are hindered by researcher biases, redundant predictors, and lack of clinical applicability. In this study, we enroll 1736 AHF/RD patients, including data from Henan Province Clinical Research Center for Cardiovascular Diseases (which encompasses 11 hospital subcenters), and Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center. We developed an AI hybrid modeling framework, assembling 12 learners with different feature selection paradigms to expand modeling schemes. The optimized strategy is identified from 132 potential schemes to establish an explainable survival assessment system: AIHFLevel. The conditional inference survival tree determines a probability threshold for prognostic stratification. The evaluation confirmed the system's robustness in discrimination, calibration, generalization, and clinical implications. AIHFLevel outperforms existing models, clinical features, and biomarkers. We also launch an open and user-friendly website www.hf-ai-survival.com , empowering healthcare professionals with enhanced tools for continuous risk monitoring and precise risk profiling.

Sex and the Risk of Atheromatous and Non-Atheromatous Cardiovascular Disease in CKD: Findings From the CKD-REIN Cohort Study

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE

Sex differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) are well-established, but whether chronic kidney disease (CKD) modifies these risk differences, and whether they differ between atheromatous (ACVD) and non-atheromatous (N-ACVD) CVD is unknown. Assessing this interaction was the principal goal of this study.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

Adults enrolled in the CKD-Renal Epidemiology and Information Network (CKD-REIN) cohort from from 2013 to 2020, a nationally representative sample of 40 nephrology clinics in France.

EXPOSURE

Sex.

OUTCOMES

Fatal and non-fatal composite ACVD events (ischaemic coronary, cerebral, and peripheral artery disease) and composite N-ACVD events (heart failure, haemorrhagic stroke, and arrhythmias).

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Multivariable cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

1,044 women and 1,976 men with moderate to severe CKD (median age, 67 vs. 69; mean estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], 32±12 vs. 33±12 mL/min/1.73m2) were studied. Over a median follow-up of 5.0 (interquartile range, 4.8;5.2) years, the ACVD rate (per 100 patient-years) was significantly lower in women than men: 2.1 (95% confidence interval: 1.6-2.5) vs 3.6 (3.2-4.0) (P<0.01), while the N-ACVD rate was not: 5.7 (5.0-6.5) vs 6.4 (5.8-7.0) (P=0.55). N-ACVD had a steeper relationship with eGFR than did ACVD. There was an interaction (P<0.01) between sex and baseline eGFR and the ACVD hazard: the adjusted hazard ratio for women compared to men was 0.42 (0.25;0.71) at 45 mL/min/1.73m2 and gradually attenuated at lower levels of eGFR, reaching 1.00 (0.62;1.63) at 16 mL/min/1.73m2. In contrast, the N-ACVD hazard did not differ between the sexes across the eGFR range studied.

LIMITATIONS

Cardiovascular biomarkers and sex hormones were not assessed.

CONCLUSION

This study shows how the lower risk of ACVD among women compared to men attenuates fully with kidney disease progression. The equal risk of N-ACVD between sexes across CKD stages and its steeper association with eGFR suggest an important contribution of CKD to the development of this CVD type.

Incident heart failure and the subsequent risk of progression to end stage kidney disease in individuals with type 2 diabetes

BACKGROUND

Diabetic kidney disease is an established risk factor for heart failure. However, the impact of incident heart failure on the subsequent risk of renal failure has not been systematically assessed in diabetic population. We sought to study the risk of progression to end stage kidney disease (ESKD) after incident heart failure in Asian patients with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, 1985 outpatients with type 2 diabetes from a regional hospital and a primary care facility in Singapore were followed for a median of 8.6 (interquartile range 6.2-9.6) years. ESKD was defined as a composite of progression to sustained eGFR below 15 ml/min/1.73m2, maintenance dialysis or renal death, whichever occurred first.

RESULTS

180 incident heart failure events and 181 incident ESKD events were identified during follow-up. Of 181 ESKD events, 38 (21%) occurred after incident heart failure. Compared to those did not progress to ESKD after incident heart failure (n = 142), participants who progressed to ESKD after heart failure occurrence were younger, had higher HbA1c and higher urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio at baseline. The excess risk of ESKD manifested immediately after heart failure occurrence, persisted for two years and was moderated thereafter. Cox regression suggested that, compared to counterparts with no heart failure event, participants with heart failure occurrence had 9.6 (95% CI 5.0- 18.3) fold increased risk for incident ESKD after adjustment for baseline cardio-renal risk factors including eGFR and albuminuria. It appeared that heart failure with preserved ejection fraction had a higher risk for ESKD as compared to those with reduced ejection fraction (adjusted HR 13.7 [6.3-29.5] versus 6.5 [2.3-18.6]).

CONCLUSION

Incident heart failure impinges a high risk for progression to ESKD in individuals with type 2 diabetes. Our data highlight the need for intensive surveillance of kidney function after incident heart failure, especially within the first two years after heart failure diagnosis.

2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2024 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2023 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. The AHA strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional global data, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Unraveling Chronic Cardiovascular and Kidney Disorder through the Butterfly Effect

Chronic Cardiovascular and Kidney Disorder (CCKD) represents a growing challenge in healthcare, characterized by the complex interplay between heart and kidney diseases. This manuscript delves into the "butterfly effect" in CCKD, a phenomenon in which acute injuries in one organ lead to progressive dysfunction in the other. Through extensive review, we explore the pathophysiology underlying this effect, emphasizing the roles of acute kidney injury (AKI) and heart failure (HF) in exacerbating each other. We highlight emerging therapies, such as renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors, SGLT2 inhibitors, and GLP1 agonists, that show promise in mitigating the progression of CCKD. Additionally, we discuss novel therapeutic targets, including Galectin-3 inhibition and IL33/ST2 pathway modulation, and their potential in altering the course of CCKD. Our comprehensive analysis underscores the importance of recognizing and treating the intertwined nature of cardiac and renal dysfunctions, paving the way for more effective management strategies for this multifaceted syndrome.

Photoplethysmography for Assessing Microcirculation in Hypertensive Patients After Taking Antihypertensive Drugs: A Review

High blood pressure (BP) is a common disease and is associated with many chronic diseases. Measuring BP is essential for the treatment and management of many diseases, and therefore there is a growing need for a non-invasive, sleeveless and continuous BP monitoring device. With the development of technology, pulse waveform analysis using photoplethysmography (PPG) has become more feasible for evaluating BP. This study aimed to evaluate the changes of vascular elasticity and blood volume over time by using the characteristic parameters extracted by PPG. We reviewed the latest progress and literature on the observation of capillary network characteristics in hypertensive and non-hypertensive patients by PPG, the influence of different drugs on microcirculation characteristics in hypertensive patients with PPG, and further explored the key relationship between microcirculation and hypertension. We found that the PPG waveform produced by the fingertips of hypertensive patients is very different from that of healthy people, and the PPG waveform changes significantly during diastolic period after antihypertensive treatment. With the rapid development of medical technology, people can get more intuitive microcirculation image data, which provides beneficial help for the comprehensive understanding of hypertension.

Novel Prediction Equations for Absolute Risk Assessment of Total Cardiovascular Disease Incorporating Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Health: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic (CKM) syndrome is a novel construct recently defined by the American Heart Association in response to the high prevalence of metabolic and kidney disease. Epidemiological data demonstrate higher absolute risk of both atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) and heart failure as an individual progresses from CKM stage 0 to stage 3, but optimal strategies for risk assessment need to be refined. Absolute risk assessment with the goal to match type and intensity of interventions with predicted risk and expected treatment benefit remains the cornerstone of primary prevention. Given the growing number of therapies in our armamentarium that simultaneously address all 3 CKM axes, novel risk prediction equations are needed that incorporate predictors and outcomes relevant to the CKM context. This should also include social determinants of health, which are key upstream drivers of CVD, to more equitably estimate and address risk. This scientific statement summarizes the background, rationale, and clinical implications for the newly developed sex-specific, race-free risk equations: PREVENT (AHA Predicting Risk of CVD Events). The PREVENT equations enable 10- and 30-year risk estimates for total CVD (composite of atherosclerotic CVD and heart failure), include estimated glomerular filtration rate as a predictor, and adjust for competing risk of non-CVD death among adults 30 to 79 years of age. Additional models accommodate enhanced predictive utility with the addition of CKM factors when clinically indicated for measurement (urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio and hemoglobin A1c) or social determinants of health (social deprivation index) when available. Approaches to implement risk-based prevention using PREVENT across various settings are discussed.