Underperformance of clinical risk scores in identifying vascular ultrasound-based high cardiovascular risk in systemic lupus erythematosus

Predicting the risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular event in systemic lupus erythematosus: a Chinese SLE treatment and research group study XXVI

OBJECTIVE

Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have an increased risk of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (CCEs). Furthermore, CCE was a significant factor contributing to mortality in patients with SLE. However, no clinical model exists that can predict which patients are at high risk. The purpose of this study was to develop a practical model for predicting the risk of CCE in people with SLE.

METHODS

This study was based on the Chinese SLE Treatment and Research Group cohort. A total of 2399 patients, who had a follow-up period of over 3 years and were diagnosed with SLE for less than 1 year at the start of the study, were included. Cox proportional hazards regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were used to establish the model. Internal validation was performed, and the predictive power of the model was evaluated.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period, 93 patients had CCEs. The prediction model included nine variables: male gender, smoking, hypertension, age of SLE onset >40, cutaneous involvement, arthritis, anti-β2GP1 antibody positivity, high-dose glucocorticoids and hydroxychloroquine usage. The model's C index was 0.801. Patients with a prognostic index over 0.544 were classified into the high-risk group.

CONCLUSION

We have developed a predictive model that uses clinical indicators to assess the probability of CCE in patients diagnosed with SLE. This model has the ability to precisely predict the risk of CCE in patients with SLE. We recommended using this model in the routine assessment of patients with SLE.

Microvascular Density Analysis of Patients with Inactive Systemic Lupus Erythematosus-A Two-Year Follow-Up Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography Study

Background/Objectives: This study aims to investigate the long-term effect of inactive systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) on the retinal microcirculation measured via optical coherence tomography angiography (OCT-A). Methods: Twenty-four eyes of 24 patients with inactive SLE under hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) therapy were included. The OCT-A data (mainly vessel density (VD) and foveal avascular zone (FAZ) data of the superficial and of the deep capillary plexus (SCP, DCP) and the choriocapillaris (CC)) were analyzed and compared between the baseline examination (t0) and 2 years later (t1). Results: At t1, VD in the whole en face SCP and in the CC was notably reduced compared to t0 (SCP: p = 0.001, CC: p = 0.013). VD in the DCP, CRT and FAZ area showed no difference at t1 compared to t0 (DCP: p = 0.128, FAZ: p = 0.332, CRT fovea: p = 0.296). Correlation analysis between the increase in cumulative doses of HCQ between t0 and t1 and the VD of the whole en face SCP did not show any correlation (Spearman r = 0.062 (95% CI -0.367; 0.477). Conclusions: SLE patients demonstrated a decrease in the retinal VD of the SCP and CC over a 2-year period. There was no correlation with the change in cumulative doses of HCQ. These results suggest an ongoing effect of the disease on the retinal and choriocapillary microcirculation.

A predictive model for premature atherosclerosis in systemic lupus erythematosus based on clinical characteristics

OBJECTIVE

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is associated with a significant risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, especially in the development of premature atherosclerosis. Specific prediction models for premature atherosclerosis in SLE patients are still limited. The objective of this study was to establish a predictive model for premature atherosclerosis in SLE.

METHOD

The study collected clinical and laboratory data from 148 SLE patients under the age of 55, between January 2021 and June 2023. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression model was utilized to identify potentially relevant features. Subsequently, a nomogram was developed using multivariable logistic analysis. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated through a receiver-operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A total of 148 SLE patients who fulfilled the inclusion criteria were enrolled in the study, of whom 53 patients (35.81%) met the definition of premature atherosclerosis. Hypertension, antiphospholipid syndrome, azathioprine use, duration of glucocorticoid, and age of patients were included in the multivariable regression. The nomogram, based on the non-overfitting multivariable model, was internally validated and demonstrated sufficient clinical utility for assessing the risk of premature atherosclerosis (area under curve: 0.867).

CONCLUSIONS

The comprehensive nomogram constructed in this study serves as a useful and convenient tool for evaluating the risk of premature atherosclerosis in SLE patients. It is helpful for clinicians to early identify SLE patients with premature atherosclerosis and facilitates the implementation of more effective preventive measures. Key Points • SLE patients are at a significantly higher risk of developing premature atherosclerosis compared to the general population, and this risk persists even in cases with low disease activity. Traditional models used to evaluate and predict premature atherosclerosis in SLE patients often underestimate the risk. • This study establishes a comprehensive and visually orientated predictive model of premature atherosclerosis in SLE patients, based on clinical characteristics. • The scoring system allows for convenient and effective prediction of individual incidence of premature atherosclerosis, and could provide valuable information for identification and making further intervention decision.

Arterial stiffness tested by pulse wave velocity and augmentation index for cardiovascular risk stratification in antiphospholipid syndrome

OBJECTIVES

Cardiovascular disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in Antiphospholipid syndrome (APS). Arterial stiffness (ArS) has emerged as a predictor of future cardiovascular events in the general population. We aimed to assess ArS in patients with thrombotic APS versus diabetes mellitus (DM) and healthy controls (HC) and identify predictors of increased ArS in APS.

METHODS

ArS was evaluated by carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) and augmentation index normalized to 75 beats/min (AIx@75) using the SphygmoCor device. Participants also underwent carotid/femoral ultrasound for atherosclerotic plaque detection. We used linear regression to compare ArS measures among groups and assess ArS determinants in the APS group.

RESULTS

We included 110 patients with APS (70.9% female, mean age 45.4 years), 110 DM patients and 110 HC, all age/sex matched. After adjustment for age, sex, cardiovascular risk factors and plaque presence, APS patients exhibited similar cfPWV [β = -0.142 (95% CI -0.514, 0.230), p = 0.454] but increased AIx@75 [β = 4.525 (95% CI 1.372, 7.677), p = 0.005] compared with HC and lower cfPWV (p < 0.001) but similar AIx@75 (p = 0.193) versus DM patients. In the APS group, cfPWV was independently associated with age [β = 0.056 (95% CI 0.034, 0.078), p < 0.001], mean arterial pressure (MAP) [β = 0.070 (95% CI 0.043, 0.097), p < 0.001], atherosclerotic femoral plaques [β = 0.732 (95% CI 0.053, 1.411), p = 0.035] and anti-β2-glycoprotein I IgM positivity [β = 0.696 (95% CI 0.201, 1.191), p = 0.006]. AIx@75 was associated with age [β = 0.334 (95% CI 0.117, 0.551), p = 0.003], female sex [β = 7.447 (95% CI 2.312, 12.581), p = 0.005] and MAP [β = 0.425 (95% CI 0.187, 0.663), p = 0.001].

CONCLUSION

APS patients exhibit elevated AIx@75 vs HC and similar to DM patients, indicating enhanced arterial stiffening in APS. Given its prognostic value, ArS evaluation may help to improve cardiovascular risk stratification in APS.

Risk of subclinical atherosclerosis in primary Sjogren's syndrome: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Currently, the guidelines for prevention and management of atherosclerosis in patients with Sjogren's syndrome (SS) do not differentiate from those concerning the general population.

OBJECTIVES

The present systematic review aimed to summarize evidence from primary studies assessing the risk of subclinical atherosclerosis in patients with primary SS (pSS).

METHODS AND RESULTS

Literature was searched until June 2023. Eligible records were randomized controlled trials and observational studies comparing subclinical atherosclerosis markers between pSS patients and healthy controls. DerSimonian-Laird random effects models were used to calculate overall effect estimates. Totally, 19 observational studies comprising 1625 participants were included. Compared to healthy controls, pSS patients had significantly higher values of carotid-femoral intima-media thickness (cfIMT) (MD= 0.07 mm; 95 % CI= [0.04, 0.11]; p <0.001) and were more frequently diagnosed with atherosclerotic plaques (OR= 1.9; 95 % CI= [1.32, 2.74]; p <0.001). Moreover, pSS patients showed a decreased flow and nitrate-mediated dilation (MD = -2.48 %; 95 % CI= [-4.57, -0.39]; p = 0.02, MD= -2.11 %; 95 % CI= [-3.22, -1.01]; p <0.001, respectively). Similar results were observed for the pulse-wave velocity (MD= 0.7 m/s; 95 % CI= [0.36, 1.05]; p <0.001) and the ankle-brachial index (OR= 5.78; 95 % CI= [2.23, 14.99]; p = 0.003). Based on meta-regression analyses, only the disease duration and erythrocyte sedimentation rate were positively and significantly associated with higher cfIMT values.

CONCLUSION

Patients with pSS have an increased risk of subclinical atherosclerosis compared to healthy population and thus possibly require early and disease-specific intervention. Further research is warranted for more accurate cardiovascular risk management in SS.

Atherosclerosis Progression in the APPLE Trial Can Be Predicted in Young People With Juvenile-Onset Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Using a Novel Lipid Metabolomic Signature

OBJECTIVE

Patients with juvenile-onset systemic lupus erythematosus (JSLE) have increased atherosclerosis risk. This study investigated novel atherosclerosis progression biomarkers in the Atherosclerosis Prevention in Pediatric Lupus Erythematosus (APPLE) trial, the largest investigator-led randomized control trial of atorvastatin versus placebo for atherosclerosis progression in JSLE, using carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) as the primary outcome.

METHODS

Unsupervised clustering of baseline CIMT and CIMT progression over 36 months was used to stratify patients with JSLE. Disease characteristics, cardiovascular risk scores, and baseline serum metabolome were investigated in CIMT-stratified patients. Machine learning techniques were used to identify and validate a serum metabolomic signature of CIMT progression.

RESULTS

Baseline CIMT stratified patients with JSLE (N = 151) into three groups with distinct high, intermediate, and low CIMT trajectories irrespective of treatment allocation, despite most patients having low cardiovascular disease risk based on recommended assessment criteria. In the placebo group (n = 60), patients with high versus low CIMT progression had higher total (P = 0.001) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) (P = 0.002) cholesterol levels, although within the reference range. Furthermore, a robust baseline metabolomic signature predictive of high CIMT progression was identified in the placebo arm (area under the curve, 80.7%). Patients treated with atorvastatin (n = 61) had reduced LDL cholesterol levels after 36 months, as expected; however, despite this, 36% still had high atherosclerosis progression, which was not predicted by metabolomic biomarkers, suggesting nonlipid drivers of atherosclerosis in JSLE with management implications for this subset of patients.

CONCLUSION

Significant baseline heterogeneity and distinct subclinical atherosclerosis progression trajectories exist in JSLE. Metabolomic signatures can predict atherosclerosis progression in some patients with JSLE with relevance for clinical trial stratification.

The Link Between Dysregulated Immunometabolism and Vascular Damage: Implications for the Development of Atherosclerosis in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and Other Rheumatic Diseases

A bimodal pattern of mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) exists. Early-stage deaths are predominantly caused by infection, whereas later-stage deaths are mainly caused by atherosclerotic disease. Further, although SLE-related mortality has reduced considerably in recent years, cardiovascular (CV) events remain one of the leading causes of death in people with SLE. Accelerated atherosclerosis in SLE is attributed to both an increase in traditional CV risk factors and the inflammatory effects of SLE itself. Many of these changes occur within the microenvironment of the vascular-immune interface, the site of atherosclerotic plaque development. Here, an intimate interaction between endothelial cells, vascular smooth muscle cells, and immune cells dictates physiological vs pathological responses to a chronic type 1 interferon environment. Low-density neutrophils (LDNs) have also been implicated in eliciting vasculature-damaging effects at such lesion sites. These changes are thought to be governed by dysfunctional metabolism of immune cells in this niche due at least in part to the chronic induction of type 1 interferons. Understanding these novel pathophysiological mechanisms and metabolic pathways may unveil potential innovative pharmacological targets and therapeutic opportunities for atherosclerosis, as well as shed light on the development of premature atherosclerosis in patients with SLE who develop CV events.

Cardiovascular risk assessment in patients with antiphospholipid syndrome: a cross-sectional performance analysis of nine clinical risk prediction tools

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess the performance of cardiovascular risk (CVR) prediction models reported by European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology and European Society of Cardiology recommendations to identify high-atherosclerotic CVR (ASCVR) patients with antiphospholipid syndrome (APS).

METHODS

Six models predicting the risk of a first cardiovascular disease event (first-CVD) (Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE); modified-SCORE; Framingham risk score; Pooled Cohorts Risk Equation; Prospective Cardiovascular Münster calculator; Globorisk), three risk prediction models for patients with a history of prior arterial events (recurrent-CVD) (adjusted Global APS Score (aGAPSS); aGAPSSCVD; Secondary Manifestations of Arterial Disease (SMART)) and carotid/femoral artery vascular ultrasound (VUS) were used to assess ASCVR in 121 APS patients (mean age: 45.8±11.8 years; women: 68.6%). We cross-sectionally examined the calibration, discrimination and classification accuracy of all prediction models to identify high ASCVR due to VUS-detected atherosclerotic plaques, and risk reclassification of patients classified as non high-risk according to first-CVD/recurrent-CVD tools to actual high risk based on VUS.

RESULTS

Spiegelhalter's z-test p values 0.47-0.57, area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUROC) 0.56-0.75 and Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) 0.01-0.35 indicated moderate calibration, poor-to-acceptable discrimination and negligible-to-moderate classification accuracy, respectively, for all risk models. Among recurrent-CVD tools, SMART and aGAPSSCVD (for non-triple antiphospholipid antibody-positive patients) performed better (z/AUROC/MCC: 0.47/0.64/0.29 and 0.52/0.69/0.29, respectively) than aGAPSS. VUS reclassified 34.2%-47.9% and 40.5%-52.6% of patients classified as non-high-ASCVR by first-CVD and recurrent-CVD prediction models, respectively. In patients aged 40-54 years, >40% VUS-guided reclassification was observed for first-CVD risk tools and >50% for recurrent-CVD prediction models.

CONCLUSION

Clinical CVR prediction tools underestimate actual high ASCVR in APS. VUS may help to improve CVR assessment and optimal risk factor management.

Prevalence, risk factors and outcomes of cardiac disease in cystic fibrosis: a multinational retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although people living with cystic fibrosis (PwCF) often have some risk factors for cardiovascular disease, including diabetes and chronic inflammation, little is known about the long-term cardiac risk in this condition. We aimed to determine the characteristics, rates and outcomes for cardiac disease in CF.

METHODS

We looked at rates and outcomes for cardiac disease in 5649 adult PwCF in the UK CF Registry and 6265 adult PwCF in TriNetX (a global federated database of electronic healthcare record data). We used propensity matching to compare risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) (myocardial infarction, left-sided heart failure and atrial fibrillation) in PwCF against matched non-CF comparators in the general population and other inflammatory diseases.

RESULTS

PwCF had a high prevalence of diabetes but low rates of hypertension and obesity. Some cardiac risk factors (age, diabetes and hypertension) were associated with MACE, but relationships between disease-specific risk factors (lung function and intravenous antibiotic days) were also observed. In propensity score-matched analyses, PwCF had higher risk of MACE than matched general population comparators (hazard ratio (HR) 1.65, 95% CI 1.40-1.95; p<0.001) and an equivalent or higher relative risk compared with other inflammatory conditions considered "high risk" for cardiovascular disease, including systemic lupus erythematosus (HR 0.95, 95% CI 0.82-1.09; p=0.44), rheumatoid arthritis (HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.00-1.48; p<0.001) and HIV (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.82-1.06; p=0.29).

CONCLUSIONS

PwCF are at increased risk of adverse cardiac disease events. Future work should focus on defining determinants of cardiovascular risk such that appropriate risk stratification can be employed.

The poor performance of cardiovascular risk scores in identifying patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies at high cardiovascular risk

Framingham risk score (FRS), systematic coronary risk evaluation (SCORE), the 10-year atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk algorithm (ASCVD), and their modified risk scores are the most common cardiovascular risk scores. The aim of this case-control study was to evaluate the performance of cardiovascular risk scores in detecting carotid subclinical atherosclerosis (SCA) in patients with idiopathic inflammatory myopathies (IIMs). A total of 123 IIMs patients (71.5% female, mean age 50 ± 14 years) and 123 age- and gender-matched healthy controls were included in this study. Carotid SCA was more prevalent in IIMs patients compared with controls (77.2 vs 50.4%, P < 0.001). Moreover, patients with carotid SCA+ had older age, and all risk scores were significantly higher in IIMs patients with SCA+ compared to subjects with SCA- (all P < 0.001). According to FRS, SCORE, and ASCVD risk scores, 77.9, 96.8, and 66.7% patients with SCA+ were classified as low risk category, respectively. The modified scores also demonstrated a modest improvement in sensitivity. Notably, by adopting the optimal cutoff values, these risk scores had good discrimination on patients with SCA+, with area under curves of 0.802-0.893. In conclusion, all cardiovascular risk scores had a poor performance in identifying IIMs patients at high cardiovascular risk.

Risk of Subclinical Atherosclerosis in Patients with Antiphospholipid Syndrome and Subjects With Antiphospholipid Antibody Positivity: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

Currently, the guidelines for the prevention of atherosclerosis in patients with antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) do not differ substantially from those in the general population. We aimed to assess the risk of subclinical atherosclerosis in patients with APS and subjects with antiphospholipid antibody (aPL) positivity. Systematic literature search was conducted through Medline and Scopus until January 2023. Random effects meta-analyses were performed to examine the differences in markers of subclinical atherosclerosis between APS patients, subjects positive for aPLs and healthy controls. Patients with APS had significantly higher values of common carotid artery (CCA) intima-media thickness (IMT) (MD = 0.07 mm; P < 0.0001), internal carotid artery IMT (MD = 0.06 mm; P < 0.01), carotid bifurcation IMT (MD = 0.14 mm; P < 0.01) and were more frequently diagnosed with atherosclerotic plaques compared to controls (OR = 3.73; P < 0.01). Similarly, APS patients showed a decreased flow and nitrate-mediated dilation (MD = -4.52 %; <0.01, MD = -1.25 %; P < 0.05, respectively). Interestingly, comparable were the results for subjects with aPL positivity, who had higher CCA-IMT (MD = 0.06 mm; P < 0.01) and higher prevalence of atherosclerotic plaques (OR = 2.59; P = 0.08) compared to controls. Sensitivity analysis conducted on primary APS patients revealed that the risk of atherosclerosis is associated with APS per se and is not exclusively driven by other underlying conditions. Patients with APS and subjects with aPLs have an increased risk of subclinical atherosclerosis and require early and disease-specific prevention of atherosclerosis.

Lipid management in systemic lupus erythematosus according to risk classifiers suggested by the European Society of Cardiology and disease-related risk factors reported by the EULAR recommendations

BACKGROUND

The European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology recommended that lipid-lowering therapy (LLT) in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) should follow general population guidelines. We examined the eligibility for LLT in SLE according to Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE), with and without the addition of vascular ultrasound (VUS) and disease-related features.

METHODS

210 patients with SLE without prior cardiovascular events, diabetes or antiphospholipid syndrome underwent cardiovascular risk assessment with SCORE. LLT eligibility was evaluated in low-risk and moderate-risk patients following European Society of Cardiology (ESC) guidelines. Atherosclerotic plaques on carotid ultrasound (cUS)) and carotid and femoral ultrasound (cfUS), prolonged disease duration (PDD, ≥10 years), failure to achieve lupus low disease activity state (LLDAS_no), cumulative glucocorticoid 'cardiovascular harm' dose (GC_CVH, optimal cut-off to predict ultrasound-detected plaques) and antiphospholipid antibody positivity (aPL_pos) were tested as SCORE risk enhancers for classification ability (phi coefficient) and agreement (Cohen's kappa) using SCORE plus cfUS as a reference modality for LLT eligibility.

RESULTS

Plaques were detected in 9.9% of low-risk cases and 54.6% of moderate-risk cases. SCORE alone would indicate 0% of low-risk patients and 3% of moderate-risk patients for LLT eligibility. According to SCORE+cfUS, 9.9% of low-risk patients and 57.6% of moderate-risk patients, respectively, would be eligible for LLT based on ESC guidelines. Ιn low-risk/moderate-risk patients, phi values for SCORE+PDD, GC_CVH (cut-off ≥11 g), LLDAS_no and aPL_pos in antiplatelet-naïve antiphospholipid antibody-positive (aPL_pos/_APT-) cases were 0.06/0.13, 0.23/0.20, 0.07/0.16 and 0.06/0.33, respectively. Agreement for LLT eligibility to SCORE+cfUS was better for SCORE+PDD in moderate-risk patients and for SCORE+cUS in both groups of patients. SCORE+GC_CVH and SCORE+aPL_pos showed at least fair agreement (kappa ≥0.20) to SCORE+cfUS in low-risk or moderate-risk and in aPL_pos/APT- moderate-risk patients, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Disease-related and VUS features, in addition to SCORE, may help to improve LLT decision making in SLE. GC_CVH and aPL_pos improve LLT eligibility similarly and to a greater degree than PDD or LLDAS_no.

Obesity, Diabetes, and Cardiovascular Risk Burden in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: Current Approaches and Knowledge Gaps-A Rapid Scoping Review

Obesity, diabetes mellitus, and cardiovascular risk are real challenges in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) clinical practice and research. The evidence of the burden of these health problems in SLE patients is determined by the methods used to assess them. Therefore, the aim of this scoping review is to map current approaches in assessing obesity, diabetes mellitus, and cardiovascular risk burden in SLE patients and to identify existing knowledge gaps in this field. This rapid scoping review was conducted according to the Joanna Briggs Institute methodology and identified 274 articles, of which 73 were included. Most studies were conducted at European institutions and patients were recruited from specialist hospital clinics, the majority of whom were women. The burden of obesity and diabetes mellitus for SLE patients was assessed mainly in terms of prevalence, impact on disease activity, and cardiometabolic risk. The burden of cardiovascular risk was assessed using multiple approaches, mainly imaging and laboratory methods, and risk factor-based scores, although there is great heterogeneity and uncertainty between the methods used. This review highlights the importance of improving and standardizing the approach to obesity, diabetes, and cardiovascular risk in SLE patients through a holistic assessment that includes lifestyle, clinical, biological, and social aspects.

Study of common hypertriglyceridaemia genetic variants and subclinical atherosclerosis in a group of women with SLE and a control group

OBJECTIVE

SLE is associated with increased cardiovascular risk (CVR). High serum concentrations of triglyceride-rich lipoproteins and apolipoprotein B-rich particles constitute the characteristic dyslipidaemia of SLE.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted to study the relationship between genetic variants involved in polygenic hypertriglyceridaemia, subclinical atherosclerosis and lipoprotein abnormalities. 73 women with SLE and 73 control women age-matched with the case group were recruited (age range 30-75 years). Serum analysis, subclinical atherosclerosis screening studies for the detection of plaque, and genetic analysis of the APOE, ZPR1, APOA5 and GCKR genes were performed.

RESULTS

Triglyceride concentrations and the prevalence of hypertension, dyslipidaemia and carotid atherosclerosis were higher in women with SLE than in the control group. Multivariate logistic regression showed that CC homozygosity for the GCKR rs1260326 gene (OR=0.111, 95% CI 0.015 to 0.804, p=0.030) and an increase of 1 mmol/L in triglyceride concentrations were associated with a greater risk of carotid plaque in women with SLE (OR=7.576, 95% CI 2.415 to 23.767, p=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

GCKR CC homozygosity (rs1260326) and serum triglyceride concentrations are independently associated with subclinical carotid atherosclerosis in women with SLE. Subclinical carotid atherosclerosis is also more prevalent in these women compared with the control group. The study of GCKR rs1260326 gene variants may contribute to more precise assessment of CVR and modulation of the intensity of lipid-lowering treatment in patients with SLE.

Sex Differences in Lipid Metabolism: Implications for Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and Cardiovascular Disease Risk

It is known that healthy women during childbearing years have a lower risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and coronary heart disease compared to age matched men. Various traditional risk factors have been shown to confer differential CVD susceptibilities by sex. Atherosclerosis is a major cause of CVD and mortality and sex differences in CVD risk could be due to reduced atherogenic low and very low-density lipoproteins (LDL and VLDL) and increased atheroprotective high density lipoproteins (HDLs) in women. In contrast, patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), a chronic inflammatory disease that predominately affects women, have an increased atherosclerotic and CVD risk. This increased CVD risk is largely associated with dyslipidaemia, the imbalance of atherogenic and atheroprotective lipoproteins, a conventional CVD risk factor. In many women with SLE, dyslipidaemia is characterised by elevated LDL and reduced HDL, eradicating the sex-specific CVD protection observed in healthy women compared to men. This review will explore this paradox, reporting what is known regarding sex differences in lipid metabolism and CVD risk in the healthy population and transgender individuals undergoing cross-sex hormone therapy, and provide evidence for how these differences may be compromised in an autoimmune inflammatory disease setting. This could lead to better understanding of mechanistic changes in lipid metabolism driving the increased CVD risk by sex and in autoimmunity and highlight potential therapeutic targets to help reduce this risk.

Cardiovascular disease risk in antiphospholipid syndrome: Thrombo-inflammation and atherothrombosis

Antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) is an autoimmune disorder characterized by the presence of antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL) (lupus anticoagulant, anticardiolipin antibodies and anti-beta2glycoprotein I (anti-β2GPI) antibodies) and a plethora of macro- and micro-vascular manifestations, affecting predominantly young adults. Cardiovascular events are the leading causes of morbidity and mortality in APS. APL-mediated thrombo-inflammation and atherothrombosis are emerging pathogenetic mechanisms of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in APS, involving endothelial cell and monocyte activation, cytokines and adhesion molecules expression, complement and neutrophils activation, neutrophil extracellular traps formation, platelet cell activation and aggregation, and subsequent thrombin generation, in parallel with an oxidized low-density lipoprotein (oxLDL)-β2GPI complex induced macrophage differentiation to foam cells. High risk aPL profile, especially the presence of lupus anticoagulant and triple aPL positivity (all three aPL subtypes), co-existence with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE), as well as traditional risk factors such as smoking, hypertension, hyperlipemia and obesity are associated with both subclinical atherosclerosis and cardiovascular events in APS. Increased awareness of CVD risk by the physicians and patients, regular assessment and strict control of traditional risk factors, and lifestyle modifications are recommended. Use of low-dose aspirin should be considered for cardiovascular prevention in asymptomatic aPL carriers or SLE patients with high-risk aPL profile. The role of older agents such as hydroxychloroquine and statins or new potential targeted treatments against immuno- and athero-thrombosis has been demonstrated by experimental and some clinical studies and needs to be further evaluated by randomized controlled studies. This review summarizes the available evidence about the pathogenetic mechanisms and prevalence of cardiovascular events and subclinical atherosclerosis, the interrelationship between traditional and disease-related CVD risk factors, and the cardiovascular risk assessment and management in APS.

Monitoring and Managing Cardiovascular Risk in Immune Mediated Inflammatory Diseases

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is common in immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) and it is predominately attributed to the interplay between chronic inflammation and traditional CVD risk factors. CVD has significant impact on the survival of patients with IMIDs as it is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Despite recommendations for monitoring and managing CVD in patients with IMIDs, the individual CVD risk assessment remains problematic as CVD risk calculators for the general population consistently underestimate the risk in patients with IMIDs. Application of new technologies utilizing artificial intelligence techniques have shown promising potential for tailoring predictive medicine to the individual patient, but further validation of their role in clinical decision-making is warranted. In the meantime, individuals with IMIDs should be encouraged to adopt behavioral interventions targeting at modifiable lifestyle CVD risk factors, whereas rheumatologists need to be well aware of the unfavorable effects of antirheumatic medication on various CVD risk factors and outcomes. In the current paper, we aim to provide an overview of current and emerging strategies for mitigating CVD risk in patients with IMIDs, based on a practical approach.

QRISK3 Relation to Carotid Plaque is Higher than that of SCORE In Patients with Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

INTRODUCTION

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) has been described as an independent risk factor for the development of cardiovascular (CV) disease. Recently, the QRESEARCH risk estimator version 3 (QRISK3) calculator has been launched for CV risk assessment in the general population. QRISK3 now includes the presence of SLE as one of its variables for calculating CV risk. Our objective was to compare the predictive capacity between QRISK3 and the Systematic Coronary Risk Assessment (SCORE) for the presence of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis in patients with SLE.

METHODS

296 patients with SLE were recruited. The presence of subclinical atherosclerosis was evaluated by carotid ultrasound to identify carotid plaque and the thickness of the carotid intima media (cIMT). QRISK3 and SCORE were calculated. The relationship of QRISK3 and SCORE with each other and with the presence of subclinical carotid atherosclerosis (both carotid plaque and cIMT) was studied.

RESULTS

There was no correlation between SCORE and QRISK3 in patients with SLE (Rho Spearman r= -0.008, p= 0.90). Although QRISK3 showed a statistically significant correlation with cIMT (Rho Spearman r = 0.420, p= 0.000), this relationship was not found between SCORE and cIMT (Rho Spearman r= -0.005, p= 0.93). The discrimination capacity of QRISK3 for the presence of carotid plaque was statistically significant and superior to that of SCORE (AUC 0.765 [95% CI 0.711-0.820] vs 0.561 [95% CI 0.494-0.629], p= 0.000).

CONCLUSION

QRISK3 discrimination for subclinical atherosclerosis is higher than that of SCORE. QRISK3, and not SCORE, should be used for the calculation of CV risk in patients with SLE.