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Lin T, Guo W, Li Y, Guo X, Bai X, Min R. Geographical accessibility of medical resources, health status, and demand of integrated care for older people: a cross-sectional survey from Western China. BMC Geriatr 2024; 24:440. [PMID: 38769502 PMCID: PMC11103970 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-024-04987-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2023] [Accepted: 04/17/2024] [Indexed: 05/22/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The World Health Organization (WHO) published the Integrated Care for Older People (ICOPE) framework to help healthcare providers cope with the population aging crisis. However, the relevant evidence on the demands of older people and the compensatory capacity of the environment is limited. This study reports for the first time the level of the ICOPE demand in Western China that includes the impact of geographic accessibility of medical resources (GAMR) on ICOPE demand and the potential mechanism of health status. METHODS A cross-sectional questionnaire survey was conducted among 1200 adults aged 60 years and older selected through multi-stage stratified cluster sampling to obtain relevant data, including ICOPE demand, health status, and GAMR. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to analyze the impact of GAMR on ICOPE demand among older people and those with different health statuses. RESULTS Among the prospective research participants, 1043 were eligible for the study. The mean score of ICOPE demand among all participants was 3.68 (standard deviation [SD] = 0.78). After adjusting for covariates between high and low GAMR groups (1:1 match), ICOPE demand was significantly higher in the low GAMR group than in the high GAMR group (average treatment effect on the treated [ATT] = 0.270, p < 0.05). For both good and poor self-rated health status, the ICOPE demand of the low GAMR group was significantly higher than that in the high GAMR group (ATT = 0.345, p < 0.05; ATT = 0.190, p < 0.05). For chronic diseases, the ICOPE demand of older people with multimorbidity in the low GAMR group was significantly higher than that in the high GAMR group (ATT = 0.318, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS The older population in Western China has a relatively high demand for ICOPE. Low GAMR is a key factor in ICOPE demand growth in this region. It accelerates demand release for both older people with multimorbidity and self-perceptions of health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Taoyu Lin
- The People's Hospital of Suzhou New District, Suzhou, 215129, China
| | - Wei Guo
- Nursing Department, School of Medicine, Shihezi University, Xinjiang, 832008, China
| | - Yuanyuan Li
- Nursing Department, School of Medicine, Shihezi University, Xinjiang, 832008, China
| | - Xiaoying Guo
- Nursing Department, School of Medicine, Shihezi University, Xinjiang, 832008, China
| | - Xue Bai
- School of Nursing, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
| | - Rui Min
- School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430030, China.
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Wu Q, Zhang P. Longitudinal validity of self-rated health: the presence and impact of response shift. Psychol Health 2021:1-21. [PMID: 34714204 DOI: 10.1080/08870446.2021.1994571] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/20/2022]
Abstract
Objective: This paper aimed to examine the longitudinal validity of self-rated health (SRH) and whether it would be affected by possible changes in evaluation standards (i.e., response shift) over time.Design: Data are from a longitudinal survey of a nationally representative sample in China. Analytical sample was restricted to respondents aged 45 and above (n = 15,893). Individual fixed effects models were used to analyze changes in ratings on health anchoring vignettes and self-rated health over time.Main outcome measures: SRH at two time points with a -two-year span.Results: Both SRH and anchoring vignettes ratings displayed changes over a two-year span for all the studied age groups. Compared with the self-assessed change in health ("How would you rate your health as compared to that of last year?"), changes in SRH reported over time displayed a more stable and optimistic pattern. SRH responded to doctor diagnosed chronic disease and changes in functional limitation, before and after adjusting for evaluation standards.Conclusion: SRH is responsive to the newly diagnosed chronic disease and functional limitation, regardless of whether we consider response shift within the same respondents over time.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiong Wu
- Institute of Social Science Survey, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Peikang Zhang
- Graduate School of Education, Peking University, Beijing, China
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Tur-Sinai A, Soskolne V. Socioeconomic status and health behaviors as predictors of changes in self-rated health among older persons in Israel. HEALTH & SOCIAL CARE IN THE COMMUNITY 2021; 29:1461-1472. [PMID: 33094541 DOI: 10.1111/hsc.13205] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/15/2019] [Revised: 09/21/2020] [Accepted: 09/30/2020] [Indexed: 06/11/2023]
Abstract
There is a considerable body of scientific knowledge about factors associated with self-rated health (SRH), a common measure of health status. However, less is known about the factors associated with changes in SRH over time. In order to fill this gap, the aim of the current study was to examine a combination of socioeconomic, psychosocial, and health behaviour variables in explaining changes in SRH among older adults. The study used data from two time periods in Israel of the Survey of Health, Aging and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) to analyse the predictive contribution of Time 1 socioeconomic, psychosocial and behavioural variables and changes in these variables over time to changes in SHR. The sample included 1,549 older persons interviewed at baseline (years 2009-2010) and four years later (year 2013). Using bivariate and multivariate regression models, the findings show that 26 percent and 23 percent of the participants reported either improvement or a deterioration in their SRH, respectively. Decline in SRH was predicted by a combination of Time 1 socioeconomic (subjective assessment of a household's ability to make ends meet), psychosocial (QoL and in trust in people), and behavioural factors (moderate physical activity) and decline in these factors over time. The findings demonstrate that changes in those variables make an additional significant contribution for explaining changes in SRH. The findings suggest that in addition to identification of low SES, poor psychosocial and behavioural factors as risk factors to poor SRH changes in these factors should be monitored among older populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aviad Tur-Sinai
- Department of Health Systems Management, The Max Stern Yezreel Valley College, Emek Yezreel, Israel
- School of Nursing, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, NY, USA
| | - Varda Soskolne
- Louis and Gabi Weisfeld School of Social Work, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel
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Rodríguez-García MDP, Ayala A, Rodríguez-Blázquez C, Martínez-Martín P, Forjaz MJ, Damián J. Features and impact of missing values in the association of self-rated health with mortality in care homes: a longitudinal study. Health Qual Life Outcomes 2019; 17:111. [PMID: 31255183 PMCID: PMC6599327 DOI: 10.1186/s12955-019-1184-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/02/2018] [Accepted: 06/19/2019] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Self-rated health (SRH) is a health measure used in studies of older adults. The objective of this study is to analyze SRH as a predictor of mortality in the institutionalized older population and the characteristics of those who do not provide information about their SRH on health questionnaires. METHODS This is a 15-year follow-up study of older adult residents in nursing or care homes in of Madrid, Spain. SRH was measured on a 5-point Likert type scale. The association between answering the SRH question and socio-demographic and health characteristics was evaluated through prevalence ratio (PR), estimated by Poisson regression models. Survival rates associated with SRH were studied through a multivariate Cox regression. RESULTS The sample has a mean age of 83.4 (standard deviation, SD = 7.3), with 75.7% women. Twelve percent did not answer the SRH item. Those who did not answer showed a higher probability of disability (Barthel index, PR = 0.76, 95% confidence interval = 0.67-0.86) and/or dementia (PR = 8.03, 3.38-19.03). A trend for higher mortality was observed in those persons who did not respond (adjusted hazard ratio HR = 1.26, 0.75-2.11). The mortality rate was 32% higher for those who declared poor SRH in comparison with those who reported good SRH (adjusted HR = 1.32, 1.08-1.6). CONCLUSIONS There is an elevated number of people who do not respond to the SRH item, mainly those with disabilities and cognitive deterioration. Lack of response to SRH is a good indicator of 15-year mortality for persons institutionalized in care or nursing homes.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Alba Ayala
- National School of Public Health, Institute of Health Carlos III and REDISSEC, Avda Monforte de Lemos 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | | | - Pablo Martínez-Martín
- National Center of Epidemiology, Institute of Health Carlos III and CIBERNED, Madrid, Spain
| | - Maria João Forjaz
- National School of Public Health, Institute of Health Carlos III and REDISSEC, Avda Monforte de Lemos 5, 28029 Madrid, Spain
| | - Javier Damián
- National Center of Epidemiology, Institute of Health Carlos III and CIBERNED, Madrid, Spain
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Vogelsang EM. Feeling Better at This Age? Investigating Three Explanations for Self-Rated Health Improvements Among the Oldest-Old. THE GERONTOLOGIST 2019; 58:825-834. [PMID: 28958058 DOI: 10.1093/geront/gnx149] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2017] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background and Objectives Although the majority of individuals in their 80s or 90s do not experience improving health, a significant portion of this age group either (a) subjectively assess their health as improving; or (b) demonstrate self-rated health improvements when comparing consecutive surveys. While there is a body of research that examines self-rated health declines in older ages, much less work has studied possible determinants of self-rated health improvements. This is important, since there is increasing evidence that oldest-old adults have unique health evaluative processes that are not yet well-understood. Research Design and Methods Using 21,155 observations from eight waves of the Asset and Health Dynamics survey (the oldest-old portion of the Health and Retirement Study), I use hierarchical linear models to test three explanations as to why the oldest-old may report or demonstrate self-rated health improvements: (a) normalized pre-existing chronic conditions, (b) positive lifestyle changes, and (c) recovery from recent prior health shocks. Results Health improvements calculated by comparing consecutive surveys were related to a recovery from four particular serious health diagnoses (cancer, stroke, heart disease, and lung disease). Conversely, explicitly reported health improvements were associated with normalizing pre-existing conditions. Lastly, starting a regular exercise routine was related to both types of health improvements; while the cessation of negative health behaviors (i.e., drinking and smoking) was not related to either type. Discussion and Implications These results suggest that while subjective health "improvements" among the oldest-old may be a sign of successful aging, they should be interpreted critically and cautiously.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eric M Vogelsang
- Department of Sociology, California State University-San Bernardino
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Zhong BL, Liu XJ, Chen WC, Chiu HFK, Conwell Y. Loneliness in Chinese older adults in primary care: prevalence and correlates. Psychogeriatrics 2018; 18:334-342. [PMID: 29987863 DOI: 10.1111/psyg.12325] [Citation(s) in RCA: 33] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2017] [Revised: 12/02/2017] [Accepted: 02/03/2018] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Loneliness is a significant public health concern among older adults (OA) given its association with a wide range of adverse health outcomes. Primary care is an opportune setting to manage loneliness. However, the epidemiology of loneliness in Chinese OA treated in primary care remains unclear. The present study investigated the prevalence and correlates of loneliness in OA treated in Chinese primary care. METHODS A total of 744 OA patients (65+ years) were consecutively recruited from 13 primary care clinics in Wuhan, China, and interviewed with a standardized questionnaire, concerning sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle, relationships with family and others, physical health, and sensory impairments. Consistent with prior research on the construct, loneliness was measured with a single-item self-report question. Logistic regression was used to identify correlates of loneliness. RESULTS Of primary care OA patients, 26.2% endorsed loneliness. Factors significantly and independently associated with loneliness included 75+ age group (odds ratio [OR]: 1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.07, 2.44, P: 0.023), being illiterate (OR: 2.07, 95%CI: 1.26, 3.42, P: 0.004), unmarried (OR: 2.30, 95%CI: 1.40, 3.78, P: 0.001), living alone (OR: 4.37, 95%CI: 2.27, 8.41, P < 0.001), having fair and poor family (OR: 2.44, 95%CI: 1.48, 4.00, P < 0.001) and non-family relationships (OR: 1.75, 95%CI: 1.10, 2.78, P: 0.019), and ≥2 chronic medical conditions (OR: 2.91, 95%CI: 1.22, 6.95, P: 0.016). CONCLUSIONS Loneliness is common in Chinese primary care OA. The high prevalence and many negative health consequences of loneliness for OA highlight the importance of routine screening, assessment, and interventions to reduce loneliness in the primary health-care setting.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bao-Liang Zhong
- Department of Psychiatry, Affiliated Wuhan Mental Health Center (The Ninth Clinical School), Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Xiu-Jun Liu
- Department of Psychiatry, Affiliated Wuhan Mental Health Center (The Ninth Clinical School), Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Wen-Cai Chen
- Department of Psychiatry, Affiliated Wuhan Mental Health Center (The Ninth Clinical School), Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science & Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Helen Fung-Kum Chiu
- Department of Psychiatry, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Yeates Conwell
- Department of Psychiatry, University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, New York, USA
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Loneliness and its impact on quality of life in Chinese heroin-dependent patients receiving methadone maintenance treatment. Oncotarget 2017; 8:79803-79808. [PMID: 29108361 PMCID: PMC5668094 DOI: 10.18632/oncotarget.19565] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2017] [Accepted: 07/16/2017] [Indexed: 01/21/2023] Open
Abstract
To date, no studies have examined loneliness in Chinese patients with substance use disorders. This study determined the prevalence and socio-demographic and clinical correlates of loneliness and its impact on quality of life (QOL) in Chinese heroin-dependent patients (HDPs) receiving methadone maintenance treatment (MMT). A total of 603 HDPs were consecutively recruited from three city-owned MMT clinics in Wuhan, China, and administered with a standardized questionnaire to collect socio-demographic and clinical data. Loneliness and QOL were assessed with a single-item self-report question and World Health Organization QOL Scale Brief Version, respectively. As high as 55.9% Chinese HDPs of MMT clinics endorsed loneliness. Multiple logistic regression found that non-married status, unemployment, religious beliefs, a history of injecting heroin, poor interpersonal relationship, and more depressive symptoms were significant contributors to loneliness. Lonely HDPs had significantly poorer physical and psychological QOL than not lonely HDPs. After controlling for the potential confounding effects of socio-demographic and clinical factors with analysis of covariance, these group-differences in physical (F = 127.169, P < 0.001) and psychological (F = 85.004, P < 0.001) QOL remained statistically significant. Loneliness is prevalent in HDPs receiving MMT and independently associated with poor QOL. To address this serious issue, psychosocial services, including the identification of psychosocial problems, expanded social supports that focus on promoting mental wellbeing, and, when necessary, psychiatric assessment and treatment, should be routinely provided in Chinese MMT settings.
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The role of gender in the association between self-rated health and mortality among older adults in Santiago, Chile: A cohort study. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0181317. [PMID: 28719627 PMCID: PMC5515418 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0181317] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2016] [Accepted: 06/29/2017] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Previous studies on the role of gender in the association between self-rated health and mortality have shown contrasting results. This study was aimed to determine the importance of gender in the association between self-rated health and mortality among older people in Santiago, Chile. Methods A 10 year follow-up of 1066 people aged 60 or more, from the Chilean cohort of the Study of Health, Ageing and Well-Being. Self-rated health was assessed in face to face interviews through a single general question, along with socio-demographic and health status information. Cox proportional hazards and flexible parametric models for survival analyses were employed. Results By the end of follow-up, 30.7% of women and 39.4% of men died. Adjusted hazard ratio of poor self-rated health, compared to good self-rated health, was 1.92(95% CI 1.29–2.86). In models stratified by gender, an increased risk of mortality was observed among women who rated their health as poor (HR = 2.21, 95% CI 1.43–3.40), but not among men (HR = 1.04, 95% CI 0.58–1.86). Age was associated with mortality in both groups; for men, functional limitation and underweight were also risk factors and obesity was a protective factor. Conclusions Compared to older women who rated their health as good, older women who rated their health as poor had a 2 fold increased risk of mortality over the subsequent 10 years. These findings stress the importance of considering a gender perspective into health programmes, including those focused on older people, in order to address the different elements that increase, on the long run, the risk of dying among older women and men.
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Bendayan R, Piccinin AM, Hofer SM, Muniz G. Are Changes in Self-Rated Health Associated With Memory Decline in Older Adults? J Aging Health 2016; 29:1410-1423. [DOI: 10.1177/0898264316661830] [Citation(s) in RCA: 15] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Objective: The association between patterns of change in self-rated health (SRH) and memory trajectories in older adults was examined using a systematic approach. Method: Data from the Health and Retirement Study ( n = 6,016) and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing ( n = 734) were analyzed. Individuals were grouped into five categories according to their pattern of change in SRH over 8 years: stable excellent/very good/good, stable fair/poor, improvement, decline, and fluctuating pattern without a trend. Memory was measured using immediate and delayed recall tests. Kruskal–Wallis, chi-squares tests, and linear mixed models were used to examine the association. Results: Different rates of decline in memory can be identified in the different patterns of change in SRH. Those who had a stable excellent/very good/good pattern had the slowest rate of decline. Discussion: Our findings suggest that SRH status and patterns of change could be used as a marker of cognitive decline in prevention screening programs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rebecca Bendayan
- MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, University College London, London, UK
| | | | | | - Graciela Muniz
- MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, University College London, London, UK
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Karppinen H, Laakkonen ML, Strandberg TE, Huohvanainen EA, Pitkala KH. Do you want to live to be 100? Answers from older people. Age Ageing 2016; 45:543-9. [PMID: 27076523 DOI: 10.1093/ageing/afw059] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/07/2015] [Accepted: 01/20/2016] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND little is known about the oldest-olds' views on ageing. OBJECTIVE to investigate older people's desire and the reasons they give for wanting to live to 100. DESIGN a postal questionnaire, analysed both quantitatively and qualitatively. SETTING population based in Helsinki, Finland. SUBJECTS a random sample (response rate 64%; N = 1,405) of community-dwelling older people (aged 75-96). METHODS a structured self-completed questionnaire with an open-ended question on the reasons why/why not participants wished/did not wish to live to 100. RESULTS one-third (32.9%) of home-dwelling older people wanted to live to be 100. Those who did were older, more often male and self-rated their health better than those who did not. Often the desire for long life was conditional: 'Yes, if I stay healthy'. Among the reasons is that many were curious to see what would happen. Many stated that they loved life, they had twinkle in their eye or significant life roles. Those who did not want to live extremely long lives gave various rationales: they would become disabled, life would be meaningless, they were reluctant to become a burden to others or they feared loss of autonomy or suffering pain or loneliness. Some people also shared the view that they should not intervene in destiny or they felt that they had accomplished what they wanted in life. CONCLUSIONS one-third of the oldest-old participants wanted to live to 100. Identifying what motivated them to desire long life could be a resource in their care plans.
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Affiliation(s)
- Helena Karppinen
- General Practice and Primary Health Care, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Marja-Liisa Laakkonen
- General Practice and Primary Health Care, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland Department of Social Services and Health Care, Laakso Hospital, City of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland
| | - Timo E Strandberg
- Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland Geriatrics, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland Institute of Health Sciences/Geriatrics, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland
| | - Emmi A Huohvanainen
- Institute of Health Sciences/Geriatrics, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland Oulu University Hospital, Oulu, Finland
| | - Kaisu H Pitkala
- General Practice and Primary Health Care, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland Helsinki University Hospital, Helsinki, Finland
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Puvill T, Lindenberg J, Slaets JPJ, de Craen AJM, Westendorp RGJ. How is Change in Physical Health Status Reflected by Reports of Nurses and Older People Themselves? J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2016; 72:579-585. [DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glw103] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2016] [Accepted: 05/19/2016] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
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Roth DL, Skarupski KA, Crews DC, Howard VJ, Locher JL. Distinct age and self-rated health crossover mortality effects for African Americans: Evidence from a national cohort study. Soc Sci Med 2016; 156:12-20. [PMID: 27015163 PMCID: PMC5084845 DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2016.03.019] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/24/2015] [Revised: 03/09/2016] [Accepted: 03/12/2016] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
Abstract
The predictive effects of age and self-rated health (SRH) on all-cause mortality are known to differ across race and ethnic groups. African American adults have higher mortality rates than Whites at younger ages, but this mortality disparity diminishes with advancing age and may "crossover" at about 75-80 years of age, when African Americans may show lower mortality rates. This pattern of findings reflects a lower overall association between age and mortality for African Americans than for Whites, and health-related mechanisms are typically cited as the reason for this age-based crossover mortality effect. However, a lower association between poor SRH and mortality has also been found for African Americans than for Whites, and it is not known if the reduced age and SRH associations with mortality for African Americans reflect independent or overlapping mechanisms. This study examined these two mortality predictors simultaneously in a large epidemiological study of 12,181 African Americans and 17,436 Whites. Participants were 45 or more years of age when they enrolled in the national REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) study between 2003 and 2007. Consistent with previous studies, African Americans had poorer SRH than Whites even after adjusting for demographic and health history covariates. Survival analysis models indicated statistically significant and independent race*age, race*SRH, and age*SRH interaction effects on all-cause mortality over an average 9-year follow-up period. Advanced age and poorer SRH were both weaker mortality risk factors for African Americans than for Whites. These two effects were distinct and presumably tapped different causal mechanisms. This calls into question the health-related explanation for the age-based mortality crossover effect and suggests that other mechanisms, including behavioral, social, and cultural factors, should be considered in efforts to better understand the age-based mortality crossover effect and other longevity disparities.
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Affiliation(s)
- David L Roth
- Center on Aging and Health, Johns Hopkins University, USA; Division of Geriatric Medicine and Gerontology, Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, USA.
| | - Kimberly A Skarupski
- Center on Aging and Health, Johns Hopkins University, USA; Division of Geriatric Medicine and Gerontology, Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, USA
| | - Deidra C Crews
- Center on Aging and Health, Johns Hopkins University, USA; Division of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, School of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, USA
| | - Virginia J Howard
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Alabama at Birmingham, USA
| | - Julie L Locher
- Division of Gerontology, Geriatrics, and Palliative Care, Department of Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, USA
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Ansah JP, Malhotra R, Lew N, Chiu CT, Chan A, Bayer S, Matchar DB. Projection of young-old and old-old with functional disability: does accounting for the changing educational composition of the elderly population make a difference? PLoS One 2015; 10:e0126471. [PMID: 25974069 PMCID: PMC4431717 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0126471] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2014] [Accepted: 04/02/2015] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
This study compares projections, up to year 2040, of young-old (aged 60-79) and old-old (aged 80+) with functional disability in Singapore with and without accounting for the changing educational composition of the Singaporean elderly. Two multi-state population models, with and without accounting for educational composition respectively, were developed, parameterized with age-gender-(education)-specific transition probabilities (between active, functional disability and death states) estimated from two waves (2009 and 2011) of a nationally representative survey of community-dwelling Singaporeans aged ≥60 years (N=4,990). Probabilistic sensitivity analysis with the bootstrap method was used to obtain the 95% confidence interval of the transition probabilities. Not accounting for educational composition overestimated the young-old with functional disability by 65 percent and underestimated the old-old by 20 percent in 2040. Accounting for educational composition, the proportion of old-old with functional disability increased from 40.8 percent in 2000 to 64.4 percent by 2040; not accounting for educational composition, the proportion in 2040 was 49.4 percent. Since the health profiles, and hence care needs, of the old-old differ from those of the young-old, health care service utilization and expenditure and the demand for formal and informal caregiving will be affected, impacting health and long-term care policy.
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Affiliation(s)
- John P. Ansah
- Signature Program in Health Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
- * E-mail:
| | - Rahul Malhotra
- Signature Program in Health Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Nicola Lew
- Signature Program in Health Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Chi-Tsun Chiu
- Signature Program in Health Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Angelique Chan
- Signature Program in Health Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
- Department of Sociology, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Steffen Bayer
- Signature Program in Health Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
| | - David B. Matchar
- Signature Program in Health Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Graduate Medical School, Singapore, Singapore
- Department of Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, United States of America
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