Accuracy of cause-of-death coding in Taiwan: types of miscoding and effects on mortality statistics

Occupational physical activity, all-cause, cardiovascular disease, and cancer mortality in 349,248 adults: Prospective and longitudinal analyses of the MJ Cohort

BACKGROUND

Evidence on the health benefits of occupational physical activity (OPA) is inconclusive. We examined the associations of baseline OPA and OPA changes with all-cause, cardiovascular disease (CVD), and cancer mortality and survival times.

METHODS

This study included prospective and longitudinal data from the MJ Cohort, comprising adults over 18 years recruited in 1998-2016, 349,248 adults (177,314 women) with baseline OPA, of whom 105,715 (52,503 women) had 2 OPA measures at 6.3 ± 4.2 years (mean ± SD) apart. Exposures were baseline OPA, OPA changes, and baseline leisure-time physical activity.

RESULTS

Over a mean mortality follow-up of 16.2 ± 5.5 years for men and 16.4 ± 5.4 years for women, 11,696 deaths (2033 of CVD and 4631 of cancer causes) in men and 8980 deaths (1475 of CVD and 3689 of cancer causes) in women occurred. Combined moderately heavy/heavy baseline OPA was beneficially associated with all-cause mortality in men (multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 0.93, 95% confidence interval (95%CI): 0.89-0.98 compared to light OPA) and women (HR = 0.86, 95%CI: 0.79-0.93). Over a mean mortality follow-up of 12.5 ± 4.6 years for men and 12.6 ± 4.6 years for women, OPA decreases in men were detrimentally associated (HR = 1.16, 95%CI: 1.01-1.33) with all-cause mortality, while OPA increases in women were beneficially (HR = 0.83, 95%CI: 0.70-0.97) associated with the same outcome. Baseline or changes in OPA showed no associations with CVD or cancer mortality.

CONCLUSION

Higher baseline OPA was beneficially associated with all-cause mortality risk in both men and women. Our longitudinal OPA analyses partly confirmed the prospective findings, with some discordance between sex groups.

IVF and risk of Type 1 diabetes mellitus: a population-based nested case-control study

STUDY QUESTION

Is the mode of conception (natural, subfertility and non-IVF, and IVF) associated with the risk of Type 1 diabetes mellitus among offspring?

SUMMARY ANSWER

The risk of Type 1 diabetes in offspring does not differ among natural, subfertility and non-IVF, and IVF conceptions.

WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY

Evidence has shown that children born through IVF have an increased risk of impaired metabolic function.

STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION

A population-based, nested case-control study was carried out, including 769 children with and 3110 children without Type 1 diabetes mellitus within the prospective cohort of 2 228 073 eligible parent-child triads between 1 January 2004 and 31 December 2017.

PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS

Using registry data from Taiwan, the mode of conception was divided into three categories: natural conception, subfertility, and non-IVF (indicating infertility diagnosis but no IVF-facilitated conception), and IVF conception. The diagnosis of Type 1 diabetes mellitus was determined according to the International Classification of Diseases, 9th or 10th Revision, Clinical Modification. Each case was matched to four controls randomly selected after matching for child age and sex, residential township, and calendar date of Type 1 diabetes mellitus occurrence.

MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE

Based on 14.3 million person-years of follow-up (median, 10 years), the incidence rates of Type 1 diabetes were 5.33, 5.61, and 4.74 per 100 000 person-years for natural, subfertility and non-IVF, and IVF conceptions, respectively. Compared with natural conception, no significant differences in the risk of Type 1 diabetes were observed for subfertility and non-IVF conception (adjusted odds ratio, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.85-1.27]) and IVF conception (adjusted odds ratio, 1.00 [95% CI, 0.50-2.03]). In addition, there were no significant differences in the risk of Type 1 diabetes according to infertility source (male/female/both) and embryo type (fresh/frozen).

LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION

Although the population-level data from Taiwanese registries was used, a limited number of exposed cases was included. We showed risk of Type 1 diabetes was not associated with infertility source or embryo type; however, caution with interpretation is required owing to the limited number of exposed events after the stratification. The exclusion criterion regarding parents' history of diabetes mellitus was only applicable after 1997, and this might have caused residual confounding.

WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS

It has been reported that children born to parents who conceived through IVF had worse metabolic profiles than those who conceived naturally. Considering the findings of the present and previous studies, poor metabolic profiles may not be sufficient to develop Type 1 diabetes mellitus during childhood.

STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTEREST(S)

This study was supported by grants from Shin Kong Wu Ho-Su Memorial Hospital (No. 109GB006-1). The funders had no role in considering the study design or in the collection, analysis, interpretation of data, writing of the report, or decision to submit the article for publication. The authors have no competing interests to disclose.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

N/A.

Trends in dementia incidence and mortality, and dynamic changes in comorbidity and healthcare utilization from 2004 to 2017: A Taiwan national cohort study

AIMS

This study aims to ascertain dementia incidence from 2004 to 2017 in Taiwan, and to examine the disease course in comorbidity, treatments, healthcare usage, and mortality among older people with incident dementia preceding the diagnosis of dementia and afterwards.

METHODS

Taiwan National Health Insurance data on people aged ≥ 65 years with incident dementia from January 2004 to December 2017 were excerpted to estimate annual incidence rates and annualized percentage changes(APCs). For people diagnosed before 2013, annual mortality rates and causes of death during 5-years' follow-up were determined. Changes in 22 diseases/conditions, hospital visits and admissions, and psychotropic medication prescriptions commonly associated with dementia, were examined from 3 years preceding the index diagnosis until 5 years afterwards.

RESULTS

From 2004 to 2017, the annual incidence of dementia in Taiwan increased from 30,606 to 50,651, and by > 90 % in women; age-standardized annual incidence increased significantly, with an APC of 0.4 %(p = 0.02). For 372,203 incident cases from 2004 to 2013, annual mortality was∼12 % during 5-years' follow-up. The prevalence of most comorbidities increased by 65-150 % after being diagnosed with dementia. People with incident dementia had increased healthcare usage 1 year before diagnosis, which peaked 1 year afterwards. Psychotropic medication prescriptions increased gradually over 3 years before diagnosis, peaked 3 months afterwards, gradually declined during the next 2 years, then remained stable.

CONCLUSION

The incidence of dementia in Taiwan has increased gradually over time, with an annual mortality risk of∼12 %. Older people with dementia had more healthcare needs and comorbid conditions after dementia diagnosis, highlighting the exigency of person-centered dementia care.

Recurrence of Diabetic Foot Complications: A Domino Effect Leading to Lethal Consequences-Insights From a National Longitudinal Study

Background

Foot complications are common in people with diabetes mellitus (DM), leading to increased health care utilization, heightened mortality risk, and notable recurrence rates even after treatment. This retrospective cohort study aimed to investigate the impact of repeated occurrence of DM-related foot complications on the risk of all-cause mortality and to identify the potential risk factors associated with repeated events.

Methods

People with DM admitted with foot complications (ulcer, skin and soft tissue infection, or osteomyelitis) from 2012 to 2014 were identified from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database, with a 3-year follow-up for repeated events. We categorized the study subjects based on their cumulative number of hospital admissions with foot complications. Logistic regression was conducted to explore the potential risk factors associated with repeated diabetic foot events. Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the associations between repeated diabetic foot events and all-cause mortality.

Results

In this study, 28 754 eligible individuals were enrolled and classified into 3 groups: no repeated diabetic foot events (76.1%), 1 repeated event (16.0%), and 2 or more repeated events (7.9%). Logistic regression revealed that advanced age, male sex, congestive heart failure, dyslipidemia, hypertension, nephropathy, retinopathy, neuropathy, peripheral vascular disease, diabetes-related preventable hospitalizations, and outpatient visits due to diabetic foot were significantly associated with repeated events of diabetic foot complications. Compared with those with no repeated events, the adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were 1.26 (95% CI, 1.19-1.34) for 1 repeated event and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.26-1.47) for 2 or more repeated events.

Conclusions

The significant association between repeated diabetic foot and elevated mortality risk highlights the critical necessity for proactive and targeted patient care within clinical practice. More research to delve into the predictive factors related to the repeated occurrence of diabetic foot is needed to provide additional insights for prevention strategies.

Associations of early retirement and mortality risk: a population-based study in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Early retirement is highly prevalent in Taiwan. This study assesses the association between early retirement and all-cause and cause-specific mortality risks while exploring the modifying effect of sociodemographic factors.

METHODS

Using Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database between 2009 and 2019, 1 762 621 early retirees aged 45-64 and an equal number of employed comparators were included. The date and cause of death were identified using the National Death Registry. Cox regression models were used to estimate HRs of early retirement for all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality. To explore modifying effects, we conducted subgroup analyses based on age groups, sexes, occupation types and general health status (Charlson Comorbid Index score).

RESULTS

The analysis revealed that early retirees, compared with their concurrently employed counterparts, had a higher mortality risk (adjusted HR (aHR) 1.69, 95% CI (1.67 to 1.71)). Specifically, younger individuals (aged 45-54) (aHR 2.74 (95% CI 2.68 to 2.80)), males (aHR 1.78 (95% CI 1.76 to 1.81)), those in farming or fishing occupations (aHR 2.13 (95% CI 2.06 to 2.21)) or the private sector (aHR 1.92 (95% CI 1.89 to 1.96)), and those with the poorest health conditions (aHR 1.79 (95% CI 1.76 to 1.83)) had higher mortality risks of early retirement. Regarding specific causes of death, the top three highest risks were associated with gastrointestinal disorders, followed by suicide and neurological disorders.

CONCLUSIONS

This study underscores the substantial mortality risk increase linked to early retirement, emphasising the importance of policy considerations, particularly regarding vulnerable populations and specific causes of death potentially linked to unhealthy lifestyles.

First-year outcomes of very low birth weight preterm singleton infants with hypoxemic respiratory failure treated with milrinone and inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) compared to iNO alone: A nationwide retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) has a beneficial effect on hypoxemic respiratory failure. The increased use of concurrent iNO and milrinone was observed. We aimed to report the trends of iNO use in the past 15 years in Taiwan and compare the first-year outcomes of combining iNO and milrinone to the iNO alone in very low birth weight preterm (VLBWP) infants under mechanical ventilation.

METHODS

This nationwide cohort study enrolled preterm singleton infants with birth weight <1500g treated with iNO from 2004 to 2019. Infants were divided into two groups, with a combination of intravenous milrinone (Group 2, n = 166) and without milrinone (Group 1, n = 591). After propensity score matching (PSM), each group's sample size is 124. The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and the respiratory condition, including ventilator use and duration. The secondary outcomes were preterm morbidities within one year after birth.

RESULTS

After PSM, more infants in Group 2 needed inotropes. The mortality rate was significantly higher in Group 2 than in Group 1 from one month after birth till 1 year of age (55.1% vs. 13.5%) with the adjusted hazard ratio of 4.25 (95%CI = 2.42-7.47, p <0.001). For infants who died before 36 weeks of postmenstrual age (PMA), Group 2 had longer hospital stays compared to Group 1. For infants who survived after 36 weeks PMA, the incidence of moderate and severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) was significantly higher in Group 2 than in Group 1. For infants who survived until one year of age, the incidence of pneumonia was significantly higher in Group 2 (28.30%) compared to Group 1 (12.62%) (p = 0.0153).

CONCLUSION

Combined treatment of iNO and milrinone is increasingly applied in VLBWP infants in Taiwan. This retrospective study did not support the benefits of combining iNO and milrinone on one-year survival and BPD prevention. A future prospective study is warranted.

Insights Into Colorectal Cancer Screening: A Multidatabase Cohort Study of Over 1.5 Million Taiwanese

INTRODUCTION

Colorectal cancer (CRC) remains a significant public health concern. This study aims to provide a comprehensive understanding of the effectiveness of fecal immunochemical test (FIT) screening on CRC incidence and mortality, leveraging the scale of over 1.5 million randomly selected Taiwanese and more than 11.7 million person-years of follow-up.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study merges data from 3 robust Taiwanese health databases: the CRC screening program, cancer registration, and death registration databases. Incidence and mortality rates of CRC were calculated based on age, sex, urbanization, and past screening status. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the association between screening statuses and CRC incidence or mortality, adjusting for age, sex, and urbanization levels. Statistical analysis of the data was conducted in 2021-2022.

RESULTS

FIT screening was associated with a 33% reduction in CRC incidence and a 47% reduction in mortality. The study identified a dose-response relationship between the fecal hemoglobin concentration (f-HbC) levels and CRC risk. Participants with consistent FIT-negative results had significantly reduced CRC incidence and mortality risks, while those with one or more positive FIT results faced increased risks. Notably, compliance with follow-up examinations after a positive FIT significantly lowered mortality risk.

CONCLUSIONS

This large-scale study validates the efficacy of FIT screening in reducing CRC incidence and mortality. It offers a nuanced understanding of how various screening statuses impact CRC risks, thus providing valuable insights for public health strategies aimed at CRC prevention.

The burden of frailty in heart failure: Prevalence, impacts on clinical outcomes and the role of heart failure medications

BACKGROUND

Frailty often coexists with heart failure (HF), which significantly aggravates the clinical outcomes of older adults. However, studies investigating the interplay between frailty and HF in older adults are scarce. We aimed to assess the prevalence of frailty using the cumulative deficit approach and evaluate the impacts of frailty on health utilization, use of HF-related medications and adverse clinical outcomes (all-cause mortality, all-cause readmissions and HF readmissions) among older HF patients.

METHODS

A total of 38 843 newly admitted HF patients were identified from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database and categorized into three frailty subgroups (fit, mild frailty and severe frailty) based on the multimorbidity frailty index. Cox regression models and Fine and Gray subdistribution hazard models were used to estimate the impacts of frailty on clinical outcomes at 1 and 2 years of follow-up. Generalized estimating equation models were further conducted to evaluate the associations between longitudinal and time-varying use of HF-related medications and clinical outcomes among distinct frailty subgroups.

RESULTS

Of 38 843 older HF patients (mean age 80.4 ± 8.5 years, 52.3% females) identified, 68.3% were categorized as frail (47.5% of mild frailty and 20.8% of severe frailty). The median number of readmissions (fit: 1 [inter-quartile range-IQR 2], mild frailty: 1 [IQR 2] and severe frailty: 2 [IQR 3]) increased with the severity of frailty. Only 27.3% of HF patients died of cardiovascular diseases regardless of their frailty status. Compared with the fit group, the severe frailty group was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11-1.21), all-cause readmissions (subdistributional hazard ratio (sHR) 1.21, 95% CI 1.16-1.25) and HF-related readmissions (sHR 1.14, 95% CI 1.09-1.20) at 2 years of follow-up. Those who used triple or more HF-related medications were at lower risk for all-cause readmissions (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 0.49, 95% CI 0.44-0.54) and HF-related readmissions (aOR 0.42, 95% CI 0.37-0.47) at 2 years of follow-up even in the severe frailty group.

CONCLUSIONS

Frailty is highly prevalent and associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality, all-cause readmissions and HF readmissions among older HF patients. Those who were using triple or more HF-related medications were at lower risk of adverse clinical outcomes across distinct frailty subgroups. Further studies are needed to optimize the treatment strategies for older HF patients with distinct frailty status.

The utility of the surprise question by nurses to identify hospitalised older patients nearing the end-of-life and promotion of advance care planning: An interventional study

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

To assess the prognostic accuracy of the surprise question (SQ) when used by nurses working in hospital wards to determine 1-year mortality in acutely hospitalised older patients.

BACKGROUND

The predictive accuracy of the SQ, when used by general nurses caring for older hospitalised patients, has not been comprehensively studied.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study.

METHODS

This cohort study recruited consecutive 10,139 older patients (aged ≥65 years) who were admitted to Taipei City Hospital and were evaluated for the needs of palliative care in 2015. All patients were followed up for 12 months or until their death. The c-statistic value was calculated to indicate the predictive accuracy of the SQ and Palliative Care Screening Tool (PCST).

RESULTS

Of all participants, 18.8% and 18.6% had a SQ response of 'no' and a PCST score ≥4, respectively. After controlling for other covariates, an SQ response of 'no' (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.05; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.83-2.31) and a PCST score ≥4 (AHR = 1.50; 95% CI: 1.29-1.75) were found to be the independent predictors for patients' 12-month mortality. The C-statistic values of the SQ and the PCST at recognising patients in their last year of life were .663 and .670, respectively. Moreover, there was moderate concordance (k = .44) between the SQ and the PCST in predicting 12-month mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

SQ response of 'no' and a PCST score ≥4 were independent predictors of 12-month mortality in older patients.

RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE

The SQ, when used by nurses working in hospital wards, is effective in identifying older patients nearing the end of life, as well as in providing advance care planning for patients.

PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION

Patients' palliative care needs at admission were assessed by general nurses using the SQ and PCST.

Modification of incident cancer risk with changes in metabolic syndrome status: A prospective cohort study in Taiwan

PURPOSE

We aimed to investigate the effect of altered metabolic syndrome (MetS) status on cancer risk.

METHODS

From 2002 through 2008 of the Taiwan MJ cohort, there were 111,616 adults who had repeated MetS measurements performed 3.3 years apart and were followed up for cancer incidence over 11.8 years. Cancer was confirmed based on histopathological reports.

RESULTS

Participants were categorized as MetS-free (n = 80,409; no MetS at the first or last health screening), MetS-developed (n = 9833; MetS absence at the first screening and presence at the last screening), MetS-recovered (n = 8958; MetS presence at the first screening and absence at the last screening), and MetS-persisted (n = 12,416; MetS presence at the first and last screenings). We used the Fine-Gray sub-distribution method, with death as competing risk, to determine the association between MetS changes and incident cancer risk. During 1320,796 person-years of follow-up, 5862 individuals developed cancer. The incidence rate of cancer per 1000 person-years was 3.89 in the MetS-free, 5.26 in MetS-developed, 4.61 in MetS-recovered, and 7.33 in MetS-persisted groups (P < .001). Compared with the MetS-free group, MetS-persisted individuals had a higher risk of incident cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Persistent MetS was found to be associated with a high risk of incident cancer.

Effect of Taiwan's Diabetes Shared Care Program on the risk of periprosthetic joint infection after total joint arthroplasty in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: an eight-year population-based study

BACKGROUND

Periprosthetic joint infection (PJI) is a significant post-arthroplasty complication for diabetic patients, with uncontrolled diabetes identified as a PJI risk factor. Taiwan's Diabetes Shared Care Program (DSCP) was established for holistic diabetes care.

AIM

To evaluate the DSCP's impact on PJI incidence and patients' medical costs.

METHODS

Data were analysed from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database from 2010 to 2020, focusing on type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) patients who had undergone arthroplasty. The study group involved DSCP participants, while a comparison group comprised non-participants with matched propensity scores for age, sex, and comorbidities. The primary outcome was the PJI incidence difference between the groups; the secondary outcome was the medical expense difference.

FINDINGS

The study group consisted of 11,908 type 2 DM patients who had arthroplasty and joined the DSCP; PJI occurred in 128 patients. Among non-participants, 184 patients had PJI. The PJI incidence difference between the groups was statistically significant (1.07% vs 1.55%). The study group's medical costs were notably lower, regardless of PJI incidence. Multivariate regression showed higher PJI risk in patients in comparison group, aged >70 years, male, or who had obesity, anaemia.

CONCLUSION

The study indicates that DSCP involvement reduces PJI risks and decreases annual medical costs for diabetic patients after arthroplasty. Consequently, the DSCP is a recommendable option for such patients who are preparing for total joint arthroplasty.

Late creation of vascular access increased post-hemodialysis mortality, hospitalization, and health-care expenditure: A population-based cohort study in Taiwan

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

The optimal timing of vascular access (VA) creation for hemodialysis (HD) and whether this timing affects mortality and health-care utilization after HD initiation remain unclear. Thus, we conducted a population-based study to explore their association.

METHODS

We used Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database to analyze health-care outcomes and utilization in a cohort initiating HD during 2003-2013. We stratified patients by the following VA creation time points: >180, 91-180, 31-90, and ≤30 days before and ≤30 days after HD initiation and examined all-cause mortality, ambulatory care utilization/costs, hospital admission/costs, and total expenditure within 2 years after HD. Cox regression, Poisson regression, and general linear regression were used to analyze mortality, health-care utilization, and costs respectively.

RESULTS

We identified 77,205 patients who started HD during 2003-2013. Compared with the patients undergoing VA surgery >180 days before HD initiation, those undergoing VA surgery ≤30 days before HD initiation had the highest mortality-15.92 deaths per 100-person-years, crude hazard ratio (HR) 1.56, and adjusted HR 1.28, the highest hospital admissions rates- 2.72 admission per person-year, crude rate ratio (RR) 1.48 and adjusted RR 1.32, and thus the highest health-care costs- US$31,390 per person-year, 7% increase of costs and 6% increase with adjustment within the 2-year follow-up after HD initiation.

CONCLUSIONS

Late VA creation for HD can increase all-cause mortality, hospitalization, and health-care costs within 2 years after HD initiation. Early preparation of VA has the potential to reduce post-HD mortality and healthcare expenses for the ESKD patients.

Pregnancy is associated with more severe injuries from motor vehicle crashes

OBJECTIVE

Whether pregnancy is associated with severe injuries from motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the potential relationship between pregnancy and severity of injuries from MVCs.

METHODS

We identified a total of 23,559 pregnant women victims who encountered MVCs during pregnancy as well as 94,236 age- and calendar year-at MVC matched non-pregnant women victims that are also involved in MVCs. Injury severity was assessed using the Maximum Abbreviated Injury Scale (MAIS) based on the diagnosis of medical claims after MVCs. Multinomial logistic regression models were used to estimate the odds ratio and corresponding 95 % CI of injury severity levels associated with pregnancy.

RESULTS

Pregnant women had a significantly higher risk of both severe (adjusted odds ratio, aOR = 1.79, 95 % CI = 1.54-2.08) and mild injuries (aOR = 8.63, 95 % CI = 8.21-9.07) following MVCs as compared to non-pregnant women victims. Particularly, pregnant women who were riding scooters had an increased risk of severe injury (aOR = 4.25, 95 % CI = 3.58-5.04). In addition, pregnant women who experienced MVC but without any injury were more likely to visit a clinic than non-pregnant MVC victims.

CONCLUSION

Pregnant women victims, particularly those who were riding scooters involved in MVCs suffered from a higher risk of severe injury as compared to their non-pregnant counterparts. Our findings suggest that women should consider avoiding riding a scooter and must use restrictive devices during pregnancy, which would help reduce the severity of injuries sustained following an MVC.

Cardiovascular risk of gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist versus agonist in men with prostate cancer: an observational study in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

The impact of gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) antagonist and agonist (GnRHa) treatment on cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in prostate cancer (PCa) remains inconclusive due to conflicting findings. We compared the effects of GnRH antagonist and GnRHa treatments on CVD risk in patients with PCa and pre-existing CVD, in a Taiwan population-based database.

METHODS

We assessed the risk of major adverse CV events (MACE: ischemic heart disease [IHD], stroke, congestive heart failure [CHF] or all cause deaths) and composite CV events (IHD, stroke, CHF or CV deaths) occurring ≥90 days after androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) initiation in patients with PCa after 90 days of treatment with either GnRH antagonist (degarelix; n = 499) or GnRHa (goserelin, leuprolide, triptorelin; n = 15,127). Patients identified with pre-existing CVD had received cardiac therapy for IHD, reported a stroke or CHF within a year before ADT initiation. Adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were obtained for MACE and composite CV events risk after adjusting for age, baseline status of diabetes, hypertension and treatments received.

RESULTS

All GnRH antagonist-treated patients showed lower risk of composite CV events than the GnRHa-treated patients. The lower composite CV events risk associated with GnRH antagonist was also observed in patients with metastasis at diagnosis (aHR 0.16; 95% CI, 0.04-0.38; p = 0.013) and those receiving ADT for more than six months (aHR 0.30; 95% CI, 0.16-0.54; p < 0.0001). In patients with pre-existing CVD, the MACE risk was 33% lower (aHR 0.67; 95% CI, 0.46-0.96; p = 0.0299) and composite CV events risk was 84% lower (aHR 0.16; 95% CI, 0.05-0.50; p = 0.0017) in GnRH antagonist-treated than the GnRHa-treated patients.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with PCa and pre-existing CVD, GnRH antagonist use was associated with lower risks for composite CV events and MACE compared with GnRHa.

The impact of epilepsy and antiseizure medications on pregnancy and neonatal outcomes: A nationwide cohort study

PURPOSE

Our objective was to assess the adverse outcomes during pregnancy, as well as for the fetus and neonates, in women with epilepsy, both with and without the use of antiseizure medications (ASMs).

METHODS

A cohort of singleton pregnancies between January 1, 2004 and December 31, 2014 was identified using the Taiwan National Health Database. The pregnancies were categorized into ASM exposure, ASM nonexposure, and control (consisting of women without an epilepsy diagnosis) groups. We recorded adverse outcomes in neonates and documented pregnancy complications. The generalized estimating equation with logit link was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios.

RESULTS

There were 629 singleton pregnancies in the group exposed to ASMs, 771 in the epilepsy group without ASM exposure, and 2,004,479 in the control group. Women with epilepsy had a significantly higher risk of puerperal cerebrovascular diseases (adjusted odds ratios in the exposure and nonexposure groups = 54.46 and 20.37, respectively), respiratory distress syndrome (5.1 and 2.99), mortality (3.15 and 3.22), sepsis (2.67 and 2.54), pregnancy-related hypertension (1.71 and 1.8), preeclampsia (1.87 and 1.79), cesarean delivery (1.72 and 2.15), and preterm labor (1.38 and 1.56). The use of ASMs may increase the risk of eclampsia (adjusted odds ratio = 12.27). Compared to controls, fetuses/neonates born to women with epilepsy had a higher risk of unexplained stillbirth (adjusted odds ratios in the exposure and nonexposure groups = 2.51 and 2.37, respectively), congenital anomaly (1.37 and 1.33), central nervous system malformation (3.57 and 2.25), low birth weight (1.90 and 1.97), and a low Apgar score at 5 min (2.63 and 1.3). The use of ASMs may introduce an additional risk of small for gestational age; the adjusted odds ratio was 1.51.

CONCLUSION

Women with epilepsy, irrespective of their exposure to ASMs, had a slightly elevated risk of pregnancy and perinatal complications. Puerperal cerebrovascular diseases may be a hidden risk for women with epilepsy.

Incidence of Lung Adenocarcinoma by Age, Sex, and Smoking Status in Taiwan

Importance

Knowing whether the effects of smoking and other risk factors with lung adenocarcinoma (ADC) incidence varies by sex would provide information on lung cancer prevention strategies.

Objective

To evaluate whether women in Taiwan have higher age- and tumor stage-specific lung ADC incidence rates than men irrespective of smoking status (ie, ever smoker or never smoker).

Design, Setting, and Participants

This population-based cohort study used data sets synthesized from the Taiwan Cancer Registry (TCR) from 1979 to 2019; the TCR Long Form (TCRLF) from 2011 to 2019, which provides individual-level smoking and tumor stage information; the Taiwan Cause of Death Database (TCOD) from 1985 to 2019; the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD) from 2000 to 2020; the Monthly Bulletin of Interior Statistics (MBIS) from 2011 to 2019; the National Health Interview Survey from 2001, 2005, 2009, 2013, and 2017; and Taiwan Biobank data from 2008 to 2021. Included patients were aged 40 to 84 years and had any invasive lung cancer from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2019.

Exposure

Smoking status.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The main outcomes were age-specific female-to-male incidence rate ratios (IRRs) of lung ADC by smoking status and tumor stage. Linked data from the TCR, TCOD, NHIRD, Taiwan National Health Interview Survey, and MBIS were used to estimate the age- and sex-specific numbers of cancer-free individuals at midyears from 2011 to 2019 by smoking status. Using the TCR and TCRLF, age-, sex-, tumor stage-, and diagnosis year-specific numbers of patients with lung ADC from 2011 to 2019 by smoking status were estimated.

Results

A total of 61 285 patients (32 599 women [53.2%]) aged 40 to 84 years (mean [SD] age, 64.66 [10.79] years) in the Taiwanese population of approximately 23 million were diagnosed with invasive lung ADC as their first lifetime cancer between 2011 and 2019. Among smokers, men had higher tobacco use by almost all examined metrics, including nearly twice the mean (SD) number of pack-years smoked (eg, 7.87 [8.30] for men aged 30-34 years vs 4.38 [5.27] for women aged 30-34 years). For 5-year age bands between 40 and 84 years, incidence of lung ADC was significantly higher among females than males for nearly all age groups irrespective of tumor stage and smoking status (eg, for the age group 70-74 years, the female-to-male IRR for late-stage lung ADC among never smokers was 1.38 [95% CI, 1.30-1.50]).

Conclusions and Relevance

In this cohort study, women had higher age- and stage-specific lung ADC incidence rates than men in Taiwan for both never and ever smokers, suggesting the possibility of differential exposures between sexes to risk factors other than smoking and the potential modification of ADC risk factors by sex. Further work is needed to determine whether this pattern replicates in other populations, discover the causes of lung ADC, and put preventive measures in place.

Impact on carbamazepine usage and cutaneous adverse reactions before and after the reimbursement of HLA-B*1502 genotyping in Taiwan, 2000-2017: A nationwide longitudinal study

OBJECTIVE

The HLA-B*1502 allele is strongly associated with carbamazepine (CBZ)-induced Stevens-Johnson syndrome/toxic epidermal necrolysis (SJS/TEN) in the Han Chinese population. This study investigated the impact of HLA-B*1502 screening on CBZ utilization and rates of severe cutaneous allergic reactions (SCARs) and SJS/TEN over time in Taiwan, where screening for HLA-B*1502 genotyping before prescribing CBZ was reimbursed in June 2010.

METHODS

Using the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database, we analyzed 13 277 457 episodes of seeking treatment for epilepsy or neuralgia between 2000 and 2017. Episodes were categorized into quarters based on treatment time. Propensity score-based stabilized weighting (PSSW) ensured well-balanced covariates. The difference in 3-month SCAR and SJS/TEN rates between phase 2 (2011-2017) and phase 1 (2000-2009) was examined using a one-sample Z-test. Pearson correlation coefficients assessed the association between screening rate, the number of CBZ users and nonusers, and SCAR and SJS/TEN rates after HLA-B*1502 genotyping.

RESULTS

CBZ prescriptions reduced from 7% (2000-2003) to 6% (2004-2010) and 4% (2011-2017). The screening rates of CBZ nonusers and CBZ users increased from 0%, .5% in 2011 to .8%, 16% in 2017, respectively. After PSSW, the mean 3-month SCAR incidence rates (per 10 000 episodes) significantly decreased from phase 1 to phase 2 for CBZ users (6.91 vs. 3.09, p < .0001) and nonusers (1.96 vs. 1.65, p < .0001). SJS/TEN incidence rates (per 10 000 episodes) significantly decreased from phase 1 to phase 2 for CBZ users (2.94 vs. 1.93, p < .0001) but not for nonusers (.71 vs. .74, p = .1492). In phase 2, SCAR incidence rates were significantly and negatively correlated with the screening rate for both CBZ users (r = -.38, p = .0342) and nonusers (r = -.80, p < .001). No significant correlation was found between SJS/TEN incidence rates and screening rates.

SIGNIFICANCE

Recognizing HLA-B*1502 allele and avoiding CBZ therapy in HLA-B*1502-positive patients is critical for preventing CBZ-induced severe adverse events.

Changes in the Place of Death and Implications for End-of-Life Care Policy: A Population-Based Observational Study

Background: Death in hospital rather than at home is becoming more prevalent, even among terminally ill patients receiving home-based care. Identifying trends in places of death is crucial to care policy, especially for aging populations as in Taiwan. Aim: To identify changes in the places of natural death of Taiwanese individuals for various causes of death. Design: A population-based observational study was conducted. Setting: Anonymous data for the period 2000-2020 from the Death Database of Taiwan's National Center for Health Statistics Data were obtained and analyzed. Results: In 2000, 60.1% of natural deaths occurred in the home, whereas in 2020, this percentage was only 36.8%; conversely, the percentage of deaths in hospital increased from 34.4% in 2000 to 56.1% in 2020. Deaths in a nursing home or long-term care facility were found to account for only 3.8% of all natural deaths in 2020. Dementia was the cause of death for which the proportion of institutional deaths was highest, although this proportion was <10% for most years. We applied the joinpoint regression model to estimate trend changes in places of death. During the study period, the places of death in Taiwan changed significantly, the average annual percent changes for hospital deaths over the 21-year period was 2.54% (confidence interval [CI]: 2.04 to 3.03), and for home deaths was -2.69% (CI: -3.26 to -2.13). Conclusions: The detailed findings of this national study can offer insight into potential future clinical burdens and lead to better health policy decisions for Taiwan.

Longitudinal impact of distinct infection trajectories on all-cause mortality of older people in Taiwan: a retrospective, nationwide, population-based study

BACKGROUND

Infectious diseases are the leading cause of deaths in adults aged 65 years or older. Studies of adverse infection outcomes have been limited to specific infections and acute episodes and have not investigated longitudinal trends of cumulative infections. We aimed to identify distinct trajectories of longitudinal infection episodes in older adults and to assess their corresponding risk of all-cause mortality.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, we included people aged 65 years or older who were admitted to hospital between Jan 1 and Dec 31, 2011, with one of the following infections: urinary tract, pneumonia, sepsis, cellulitis, cholecystitis, peritonitis, endocarditis, and meningitis. Participants were identified from Taiwan's National Health Insurance Research Database. We analysed infection episodes on a quarterly basis during a 5-year period (2011-15) and used group-based trajectory modelling to identify distinct trajectories. We examined the associations between infection trajectories and all-cause mortality using Kaplan-Meier curves and the Cox proportional hazard model.

FINDINGS

Among 79 666 eligible older adults, we identified four distinct infection trajectories over the 5-year follow-up: infrequent (58 619 [73·6%]), increasing (9746 [12·2%]), decreasing (9069 [11·4%]), and frequent (2232 [2·8%]). Compared with people with infrequent infections, the adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause mortality were 2·96 (95% CI 2·82-3·11) in participants with frequent infections, 2·15 (2·09-2·22) in those with increasing infections, and 1·85 (1·80-1·91) in those with decreasing infections.

INTERPRETATION

Older adults with multiple infection episodes, irrespective of type, pathogens, and distinct infection pattern, had greater risk of all-cause mortality compared with those with infrequent infections. Further research to define the overall infection burden in older adults is needed for risk stratification and to inform prevention strategies.

FUNDING

The Interdisciplinary Research Center for Healthy Longevity of National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University from The Featured Areas Research Center Program within the framework of the Higher Education Sprout Project by the Ministry of Education, the National Science and Technology Council, and the Ministry of Science and Technology in Taiwan.

Different levels of hypoglycemia in patients with type 2 diabetes, their achieved mean HbA1c vs. all-cause and cardiovascular mortality

AIM

In patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D), levels of hypoglycemia and their risk of mortality are not well understood. The aim of this study was to ascertain the correlation among disparate levels of hypoglycemia and patients with T2D's achieved mean glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

METHODS

27,932 T2D patients taking hypoglycemic medications at outpatient visits for more than 6 months between 2008 and 2018 were linked to Taiwan's National Death Registry. We determined the respective mortality rates with Poisson assumption, and explored the relative risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality according to dissimilar levels of hypoglycemia with their achieved mean HbA1c by Cox proportional hazard regression model with adjustment of potential confounders.

RESULTS

T2D patients with level 3 hypoglycemia had the highest rates of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Compared with those who never encountered hypoglycemia, study subjects with level 1 and level 2 hypoglycemia did not show excessive risks of either all-cause or cardiovascular mortality. Only those with level 3 hypoglycemia revealed marginal risk of all-cause (Hazard ratio [HR]: 1.18; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.04-1.33) but not cardiovascular mortality (HR: 1.16; 95% CI 0.88-1.53). In T2D patients with hypoglycemia, only those with mean HbA1c ≥9.0% increased all-cause mortality in level 3 hypoglycemia, and cardiovascular mortality in level 1 hypoglycemia.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated risk of all-cause mortality was exclusively found in patients with level 3 hypoglycemia. In T2D patients with hypoglycemia, mean HbA1c ≥ 9% increased all-cause or cardiovascular mortality. Aggressive treatment of accompanying serious illness in severe hypoglycemia may help reduce mortality in patients with T2DM.

Clinical impacts of frailty on 123,172 people with diabetes mellitus considering the age of onset and drugs of choice: a nationwide population-based 10-year trajectory analysis

AIMS

Frailty substantially increased the risk of adverse clinical outcomes, which was also critical in diabetes management. This study aimed to investigate the interrelationships between the age of onset, frailty, anti-diabetic medications and clinical outcomes in people with diabetes mellitus (DM).

METHODS

A total of 123,172 people aged 40 years and older who were newly diagnosed with DM were identified and categorised into four frailty subgroups (robust, mild, moderate and severe) based on the multimorbidity frailty index (mFI). Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine associations between frailty and clinical outcomes at different ages of DM onsets (40-64, 65-74, 75-84 and 85+ years). Outcomes of interest included generic outcomes (mortality and unplanned hospitalisation) and DM-related outcomes (cardiovascular disease-related mortality, major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs), diabetes-related hospitalisation and hypoglycaemia).

RESULTS

The proportion of frailty increased with age at diagnosis amongst people with incident DM and the mFI scores increased significantly during the 10-year follow-up. Amongst people with diabetes, those with mild, moderate and severe frailty were associated with greater risks of all-cause mortality (mild: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.69 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.60-1.80], P < 0.01; moderate: aHR 2.46 [2.29-2.65], P < 0.01; severe frailty: aHR 3.40 [3.16-3.65], P < 0.01) compared with the robust group. Similar results were found in unplanned hospitalisations, cardiovascular disease-related mortality, MACEs and hypoglycaemia.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study quantified the prevalence of frailty, captured its dynamic changes and examined its impacts on various clinical outcomes amongst people with diabetes at different ages at onset. Frailty assessment and management should be implemented into routine diabetes care.

The growing burden of generalized myasthenia gravis: a population-based retrospective cohort study in Taiwan

Background

The prevalence of myasthenia gravis is increasing in many countries, including Asia. As treatment options expand, population-based information about the disease burden can inform health technology assessments.

Methods

We conducted a population-based retrospective cohort study using the Taiwan National Healthcare Insurance Research database and Death Registry to describe the epidemiology, disease burden and treatment patterns of generalized myasthenia gravis (gMG) from 2009 to 2019. Episodes of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection or reactivation were explored.

Results

The number of patients with gMG increased from 1,576 in 2009 to 2,638 in 2019 and the mean (standard deviation) age from 51.63 (17.32) to 55.38 (16.29) years. The female:male ratio was 1.3:1. Frequently reported co-morbidities were hypertension (32-34% of patients), diabetes mellitus (16-21%) and malignancies (12-17%). The prevalence of patients with gMG increased annually from 6.83/100,000 population in 2009 to 11.18/100,000 population in 2019 (p < 0.0001). There was no temporal trend in all-cause fatality rates (range 2.76-3.79/100 patients annually) or gMG incidence rates (2.4-3.17/100,000 population annually). First-line treatment was with pyridostigmine (82%), steroids (58%), and azathioprine (11%). There was minimal change in treatment patterns over time. Among 147 new HBV infections, 32 (22%) received ≥4 weeks of antiviral therapy suggesting chronic infection. The HBV reactivation rate was 7.2%.

Conclusion

The epidemiology of gMG in Taiwan is evolving rapidly, with higher prevalence rates and increasing involvement of older age-groups suggesting a growing burden of disease and associated healthcare costs. HBV infection or reactivation may pose a previously unrecognized recognized risk for patients with gMG receiving immunosuppressants.

Prevalence of comorbidities and their impact on survival among older adults with the five most common cancers in Taiwan: a population study

Because of the cancer incidence increase and population aging in Taiwan, we aimed to assess the cancer prevalence, to summarize the comorbidities of older patients with the five most common cancers (i.e., breast, colorectal, liver, lung, and oral), and to develop a Taiwan cancer comorbidity index (TCCI) for studying their actual prognosis. The linkage of the Taiwan Cancer Registry, Cause of Death Database, and National Health Insurance Research Database was used. We followed the standard statistical learning steps to obtain a survival model with good discriminatory accuracy in predicting death due to noncancer causes, from which we obtained the TCCI and defined comorbidity levels. We reported the actual prognosis by age, stage, and comorbidity level. In Taiwan, cancer prevalence nearly doubled in 2004-2014, and comorbidities were common among older patients. Stage was the major predictor of patients' actual prognoses. For localized and regional breast, colorectal, and oral cancers, comorbidities correlated with noncancer-related deaths. Compared with the US, the chances of dying from comorbidities in Taiwan were lower and the chances of dying from cancer were higher for breast, colorectal, and male lung cancers. These actual prognoses could help clinicians and patients in treatment decision-making and help policymakers in resource planning.

Ambient Temperature Effect on Acute Myocardial Infarction by Risk Factors: Daily Data From 2000 to 2017, Taiwan

Background

A U-shaped relationship between temperature and acute myocardial infarction (AMI) was observed, but the risk factors were rarely included.

Objectives

The authors sought to examine AMI's cold and heat exposure after considering their risk groups.

Methods

Daily data on ambient temperature, newly diagnosed AMI, and 6 known risk factors of AMI for the Taiwan population from 2000 to 2017 were created by linking 3 Taiwan national databases. Hierarchical clustering analysis was performed. Poisson regression was performed on the AMI rate with the clusters along with the daily minimum temperature in cold months (November-March) and the daily maximum temperature in hot months (April-October).

Results

There were 319,737 patients with new-onset AMI over 109.13 billion person-days, corresponding to the incidence rate of 107.02 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI: 106.64-107.39 person-years). Hierarchical clustering analysis identified 3 distinct clusters (1: age <50 years, 2: age ≥50 years without hypertension, and 3: mainly age ≥50 years with hypertension) with AMI incidence rates of 16.04, 105.13, and 388.17 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Poisson regression revealed that below 15 °C, cluster 3 had the highest risk of AMI per 1°C reduce in temperature (slope = 1.011) compared with clusters 1 (slope = 0.974) and 2 (slope = 1.009). However, above the 32 °C thresholds, cluster 1 had the highest risk of AMI per 1 °C increase in temperature (slope = 1.036) compared with clusters 2 (slope = 1.02) and 3 (slope = 1.025). Cross validation showed a good fit for the model.

Conclusions

People ≥50 years of age with hypertension are more susceptible to cold-related AMI. However, heat-related AMI is more prominent in individuals <50 years of age.

Effect of febuxostat on adverse events and mortality in gout in Taiwan: An interrupted time series analysis

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the influence of febuxostat on adverse events and mortality in gout.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled patients with newly diagnosed gout and prescribed urate-lowering therapy between 2006 and 2017 from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Database. These patients were divided into 2 groups: with and without comorbidities (n = 294 847 and 194 539). An interrupted time series analysis with adjustments for demographics, comorbidities, and comedication by propensity score-based stabilized weights was used to compare the trend of adverse events and mortality before vs after febuxostat was introduced in 2012.

RESULTS

The proportion of febuxostat use gradually increased from 0% in 2012 to 30% in those with comorbidities and 10% in those without comorbidities in 2017. Allopurinol use decreased from 30% in 2012 to 10% in 2017. The slope of the 1-year incidence rate of Stevens-Johnson syndrome (SJS) or toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN) (per 10 000 patients) significantly reduced after 2012 in those with and without comorbidities (-0.375 per quarter, P = .015 and -.253 per quarter, P = .049). The slope of the 3-year incidence rate of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) (per 1000 patients), percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) (per 1000 patients), and all-cause mortality (per 100 patients) significantly increased after 2012 in those with comorbidities (+0.207 per quarter, P = .013; +.389 per quarter, P = .002; +.103 per quarter, P = .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Febuxostat may reduce SJS and TEN in all gout patients but increase AMI, PCI, and all-cause mortality in gout patients with comorbidities.

All-Cause Standardized Mortality Ratio in Hemodialysis and Peritoneal Dialysis Patients: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study

Patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are at a higher mortality risk compared with the general population. Previous studies have described a relationship between mortality and patients with ESRD, but the data on standardized mortality ratio (SMR) corresponding to different causes of death in patients undergoing hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD) are limited. This study was designed as a nationwide population-based retrospective cohort study. Incident dialysis patients between January 2000 and December 2015 in Taiwan were included. Using data acquired from the Taiwan Death Registry, SMR values were calculated and compared with the overall survival. The results showed there were a total of 128,966 patients enrolled, including 117,376 incident HD patients and 11,590 incident PD patients. It was found that 75,297 patients (58.4%) died during the period of 2000-2017. The overall SMR was 5.21. The neoplasms SMR was 2.11; the endocrine, nutritional, metabolic, and immunity disorders SMR was 13.53; the circulatory system SMR was 4.31; the respiratory system SMR was 2.59; the digestive system SMR was 6.1; and the genitourinary system SMR was 27.22. Therefore, more attention should be paid to these diseases in clinical care.

The relationship of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes: a retrospective study

Background

The optimal levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) are not currently clear. In this study, we determined the relationship between various mean LDL-C and all-cause or cardiovascular mortality risks in patients with T2D, stratifying by albumin level, age, sex, and antilipid medication use. We also evaluated the association of LDL-C standard deviation (LDL-C-SD) and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality by type of antilipid medication use.

Methods

A total of 46,675 T2D patients with a prescription for antidiabetic agents >6 months from outpatient visits (2003-2018) were linked to Taiwan's National Death Registry to identify all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. The Poisson assumption was used to estimate mortality rates, and the Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to assess the relative hazards of respective mortality in relation to mean LDL-C in patient cohorts by albumin level, age, sex, and antilipid use adjusting for medications, comorbidities, and laboratory results. We also determined the overall, and anti-lipid-specific mortality rates and relative hazards of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality associated with LDL-C-SD using the Poisson assumption and Cox proportional hazard regression model, respectively.

Results

All-cause and cardiovascular mortality rates were the lowest in T2D patients with a mean LDL-C > 90-103.59 mg/dL in the normal albumin group (≥ 3.5 g/dL). Compared to T2D patients with a mean LDL-C > 90-103.59 mg/dL, those with a mean LDL-C ≤ 77 mg/dL had an elevated risk of all-cause mortality in both the normal and lower albumin groups. T2D patients with a mean LDL-C ≤ 90 and > 103.59-119 mg/dL had relatively higher risk of cardiovascular mortality in the normal albumin group, but in the lower albumin group (<3.5 g/dL), any level of mean LDL-C ≤ 119 mg/dL was not significantly associated with cardiovascular mortality. Increased risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality were observed in patients with a mean LDL-C ≤ 77 mg/dL in both sexes and in all age groups except in those aged <50 years, a lower mean LDL-C was not associated with cardiovascular mortality. Similarly, patients with an LDL-C-SD <10^th and > 90^th percentiles were associated with significant risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. In statin users, but not fibrate users, lower and higher levels of mean LDL-C and LDL-C-SD were both associated with elevated risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.

Conclusions

The optimal level of LDL-C was found to be >90-103.59 mg/dL in T2D patients. Lower and higher levels of mean LDL-C and LDL-C-SD were associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, revealing U-shaped associations. Further studies are necessary to validate the relationship between optimal LDL-C levels and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with diabetes.

Artificial intelligence-enabled electrocardiographic screening for left ventricular systolic dysfunction and mortality risk prediction

Background

Left ventricular systolic dysfunction (LVSD) characterized by a reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is associated with adverse patient outcomes. We aimed to build a deep neural network (DNN)-based model using standard 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) to screen for LVSD and stratify patient prognosis.

Methods

This retrospective chart review study was conducted using data from consecutive adults who underwent ECG examinations at Chang Gung Memorial Hospital in Taiwan between October 2007 and December 2019. DNN models were developed to recognize LVSD, defined as LVEF <40%, using original ECG signals or transformed images from 190,359 patients with paired ECG and echocardiogram within 14 days. The 190,359 patients were divided into a training set of 133,225 and a validation set of 57,134. The accuracy of recognizing LVSD and subsequent mortality predictions were tested using ECGs from 190,316 patients with paired data. Of these 190,316 patients, we further selected 49,564 patients with multiple echocardiographic data to predict LVSD incidence. We additionally used data from 1,194,982 patients who underwent ECG only to assess mortality prognostication. External validation was performed using data of 91,425 patients from Tri-Service General Hospital, Taiwan.

Results

The mean age of patients in the testing dataset was 63.7 ± 16.3 years (46.3% women), and 8,216 patients (4.3%) had LVSD. The median follow-up period was 3.9 years (interquartile range 1.5-7.9 years). The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, and specificity of the signal-based DNN (DNN-signal) to identify LVSD were 0.95, 0.91, and 0.86, respectively. DNN signal-predicted LVSD was associated with age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) of 2.57 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.53-2.62) for all-cause mortality and 6.09 (5.83-6.37) for cardiovascular mortality. In patients with multiple echocardiograms, a positive DNN prediction in patients with preserved LVEF was associated with an adjusted HR (95% CI) of 8.33 (7.71 to 9.00) for incident LVSD. Signal- and image-based DNNs performed equally well in the primary and additional datasets.

Conclusion

Using DNNs, ECG becomes a low-cost, clinically feasible tool to screen LVSD and facilitate accurate prognostication.

Modification of the all-cause and cardiovascular disease related mortality risk with changes in the metabolic syndrome status: a population-based prospective cohort study in Taiwan

AIM

To examine whether changes in metabolic syndrome (MetS) status over time are associated with risk of all-cause and cardiovascular disease related (CVD) mortality.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study consisted of 544,749 individuals who participated in a self-funded comprehensive health surveillance program offered by Taiwan MJ Health Management Institution between 1998 and 2016. We included 236,216 adults who had at least two repeated MetS measures 5.9 (4.6) years apart and were followed up for mortality over 18.8 (5.2) years. Participants were classified according to the change in their MetS status as follows: MetS-free at both time points (n = 173,116), MetS-developed (n = 22,607), MetS-recovered (n = 13,616), and MetS-persistent (n = 26,877). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the association between change in MetS status and risk of all-cause and CVD mortality.

RESULTS

Over the 4,436,842 person-years follow-up period, 14,226 participants died, including 2671 (19%) of CVD-related causes. The crude CVD mortality rate per 1000 person-years in the study groups were MetS-free, 0.32; MetS-developed, 0.75; MetS-recovered, 1.22; and MetS-persistent, 2.00 (P < 0.001). Compared to the persistent MetS group, participants in the MetS-recovered group had a lower risk of all-cause (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.87; 95%CI, 0.82-0.92) and CVD mortality (aHR, 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71-0.93). Development of MetS increased the risk for all-cause (aHR, 1.11; 95%CI, 1.05-1.17) and CVD mortality (aHR, 1.22; 95%CI, 1.07-1.39), compared to the MetS-free group.

CONCLUSION

Recovery from MetS was significantly associated with a lower risk of all-cause and CVD mortality, whereas development of MetS was associated with increased risk.

Utility of carotid ultrasound on prediction of 1-year mortality in emergency department patients with neurological deficits: A 10-year population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the association between the carotid ultrasound results and 1-yr mortality of patients with neurological deficits in the emergency department (ED).

METHODS

This study included patients with neurological symptoms who presented to the ED between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2018, and underwent sonographic imaging of the bilateral carotid bulb, common carotid artery (CCA), internal carotid artery (ICA), and external carotid arteries. A stenosis degree of >50% was defined as significant carotid stenosis. Carotid plaque score (CPS) was calculated by adding the score of stenosis severity of all segments. The association between carotid ultrasound results and 1-yr mortality was investigated using the Cox regression model.

RESULTS

The analysis included 7,961 patients (median age: 69 yr; men: 58.7%). Among them, 247 (3.1%) passed away from cardiovascular (CV)-related causes, and 746 (9.4%) died within a year. The mortality group presented with more significant carotid stenosis of the carotid bulb, CCA, or ICA and had a higher median CPS. A higher CPS was associated with a greater 1-yr all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.08; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.03-1.13; p = 0.001; log-rank p < 0.001) and CV-related mortality (aHR = 1.13; 95% CI = 1.04-1.22; p = 0.002, log-rank p < 0.001). Significant stenosis of either carotid artery segment did not result in a higher risk of 1-yr mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

We comprehensively investigated the utility of carotid ultrasound parameters on predicting mortality in this 10-yr population-based cohort, which included over 7,000 patients with acute neurological deficits presented to the ED. The result showed that CPS could be used as risk stratification tools for 1-yr all-cause and CV mortality.

Recalibrating Risk Prediction Models by Synthesizing Data Sources: Adapting the Lung Cancer PLCO Model for Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Methods synthesizing multiple data sources without prospective datasets have been proposed for absolute risk model development. This study proposed methods for adapting risk models for another population without prospective cohorts, which would help alleviate the health disparities caused by advances in absolute risk models. To exemplify, we adapted the lung cancer risk model PLCOM2012, well studied in the west, for Taiwan.

METHODS

Using Taiwanese multiple data sources, we formed an age-matched case-control study of ever-smokers (AMCCSE), estimated the number of ever-smoking lung cancer patients in 2011-2016 (NESLP2011), and synthesized a dataset resembling the population of cancer-free ever-smokers in 2010 regarding the PLCOM2012 risk factors (SPES2010). The AMCCSE was used to estimate the overall calibration slope, and the requirement that NESLP2011 equals the estimated total risk of individuals in SPES2010 was used to handle the calibration-in-the-large problem.

RESULTS

The adapted model PLCOT-1 (PLCOT-2) had an AUC of 0.78 (0.75). They had high performance in calibration and clinical usefulness on subgroups of SPES2010 defined by age and smoking experience. Selecting the same number of individuals for low-dose computed tomography screening using PLCOT-1 (PLCOT-2) would have identified approximately 6% (8%) more lung cancers than the US Preventive Services Task Forces 2021 criteria. Smokers having 40+ pack-years had an average PLCOT-1 (PLCOT-2) risk of 3.8% (2.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

The adapted PLCOT models had high predictive performance.

IMPACT

The PLCOT models could be used to design lung cancer screening programs in Taiwan. The methods could be applicable to other cancer models.

Discharge status validation of the Chang Gung Research database in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

The Chang Gung Research Database (CGRD) is the largest multi-institutional electronic medical records database in Taiwan and has been widely used to establish evidence studies. However, the accuracy of CGRD has rarely been validated. This study aims to validate the discharge status, especially with a focus on mortality, of admission data under CGRD.

METHODS

We constructed an observational study using CGRD linked with TDR to validate the discharge status. The CGRD and TDR data were obtained from the Chang Gung Memorial Hospital system and the Health and Welfare Data Science Center, respectively. The accuracy, positive predictive value (PPV), and underestimated mortality rate (UEM) were employed as indicators for validation. Year, sex, age, and the primary cause for admission (PCA) were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 1,972,044 admission records under CGRD were analyzed. The overall accuracy for mortality coding on discharge status was higher than 97% within one week after discharge. The accuracy increased by year and was more than 98% after 2010. A similar result was observed in UEM; the UEM within one week was lower than 10% after 2010. These indicators varied by age group and PCA-elderly patients had relatively lower accuracy and higher UEM (approximately 11%). The presence of UEM within one week was better but varied by disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Considering the data accuracy and UEM discharge status, prioritizing the use of inpatient data after 2010 under CGRD for mortality outcome follow-up studies is recommended.

Evaluation of motor vehicle crashes between scooter riders and car drivers after diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Despite the plausibility that diabetes may increase the risk of motor vehicle crashes (MVCs) due to various diabetes related complications and co-morbidity, findings from epidemiological studies on the relationship between diabetes and MVCs remained inclusive mainly due to heterogeneity in the study design and failure to complete consideration of potential confounders. This study re-visited this putative association with an improved study design.

METHOD

This study employed a controlled before-after study design and included 1,264,280 people aged 18-75 years with T2D newly diagnosed from 2009-2014 and an equal number of age-, sex-, and time-matched controls. The rate ratios (RRs) of vehicle type-specific incidence rates of MVCs in the 1 and 2 years before and after diabetes diagnosis (or the matched dates) were compared between the individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and their matched controls.

RESULTS

The rate of MVCs increased slightly among people with T2D over 1 and 2 years following diabetes diagnosis, with RRs of 1.04 (95% confidence interval [CI]=1.02-1.07) and 1.11 (95% CI=1.09-1.13), respectively. These RRs were comparable to those obtained for controls (1.06 and 1.12, respectively). By contrast, the RRs of scooter crashes were significantly higher in the T2D group than in the control group during the 1 year (1.28 vs. 1.08, p < 0.001) and 2 years (1.32 vs. 1.08, p < 0.001) following diabetes diagnosis.

CONCLUSION

T2D diagnosis was associated with a moderate but significant increase in the risk of MVCs among scooter drivers, but not among car drivers.

Schizophrenia, but not depression or bipolar affective disorder, adds additional risk of aspiration pneumonia among stroke survivors: A national cohort study in Taiwan

OBJECTIVE

Few studies have assessed the sex-specific and age-specific risk of aspiration pneumonia (AP) in patients with stroke and evaluated whether mental disorders may increase this risk. In this population-based cohort study, we investigated the sex-specific and age-specific risk of AP in association with stroke and the joint effects of stroke and mental disorders on the risk of AP.

METHODS

We included 23,288 patients with incident stroke admitted between 2005 and 2017 and 68,675 matched nonstroke controls. Information on mental disorders was obtained from medical claims data within the 3 years before the stroke incidence. Cox proportional hazards models considering death as a competing risk event were constructed to estimate the hazard ratio of AP incidence by the end of 2018 associated with stroke and selected mental disorders.

RESULTS

After ≤14 years of follow-up, AP incidence was higher in the patients with stroke than in the controls (11.30/1000 vs. 1.51/1000 person-years), representing a covariate-adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (sHR) of 3.64, with no significant sex difference. The sHR significantly decreased with increasing age in both sexes. Stratified analyses indicated schizophrenia but not depression or bipolar affective disorder increased the risk of AP in the patients with stroke.

CONCLUSION

Compared with their corresponding counterparts, the patients with schizophrenia only, stroke only, and both stroke and schizophrenia had a significantly higher sHR of 4.01, 5.16, and 8.01, respectively. The risk of AP was higher in younger stroke patients than those older than 60 years. Moreover, schizophrenia was found to increase the risk of AP in patients with stroke.

Habitual Exercise, Air Pollution, and Pneumonia Mortality: A Longitudinal Cohort Study of Approximately 0.4 Million Adults

In this study, we aimed to examine the combined associations of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter less than or equal to 2.5 μm (PM2.5) and habitual exercise with pneumonia mortality. We included 384,130 persons aged ≥18 years from Taiwan, Republic of China, during 2001-2016. We followed participants until May 31, 2019, to obtain information on vital status. A time-dependent Cox regression model was used for statistical analysis. We found that risks of pneumonia mortality were reduced by 55% (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.45, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.36, 0.55) and 36% (HR = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.52, 0.80) in participants who engaged in high and moderate levels of exercise, respectively, as compared with inactive persons. By contrast, each 10-μg/m3 increase in chronic PM2.5 exposure was associated with a 30% (HR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.17, 1.45) higher risk of pneumonia mortality. Risk of pneumonia death was 72% lower (HR = 0.28, 95% CI: 0.20, 0.41) for persons with a high exercise level and a low PM2.5 level. Lower risk of pneumonia mortality was associated with both higher exercise and lower PM2.5 air pollution levels. For adults exposed to different levels of PM2.5, exercise benefits remained. Our findings suggest that engaging in exercise is a safe and effective strategy for alleviating the burden of pneumonia mortality, even for people who reside in a moderately polluted area.

Age and sex-specific associations of visit-to-visit variability of glycated hemoglobin A1c with all-cause mortality in patients with diabetes

BACKGROUND

Visit-to-visit variability (VVV) of glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels have been found to be associated with prognosis of diabetes. However, little is known about whether or to what extent sex and age may modify the effects of VVV.

METHODS

To investigate age- and sex-specific rates of mortality from all causes and relative hazards of mortality in association with VVV of HbA1c levels, 47,145 patients with diabetes and prescription of any antidiabetic agents >6 months were identified from outpatient visits of a tertiary medical center in northern Taiwan during 2003-2018. VVV of HbA1c was measured by quartiles of standard deviation (SD), coefficient of variation (CV), and average real variability (ARV), respectively. The study subjects were linked to Taiwan's National Death Registry to identify all-cause mortality. The person-year approach with the Poisson assumption was used to assess the all-cause mortality rates, and Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to evaluate the relative hazards of all-cause mortality concerning various levels of VVV of HbA1c.

RESULTS

The lowest all-cause mortality rate was found in either the first or second quartile of various measures for VVV of HbA1c, but the highest mortality rate was consistently observed in the fourth quartile of VVV, regardless of SD, CV, or ARV across ages and sexes. Increased hazards of overall all-cause mortality were noticed from the second to fourth quartile of VVV of HbA1c. In detailed age- and sex-stratified analyses, elevated risk of mortality was seen in the fourth quartile of those aged <50 years while in those aged >69 years, increased risk of mortality was noticed in the third and fourth quartiles of any VVV of HbA1c irrespective of sex. In those aged 50-69 years, incremental increased hazards of mortality were consistently observed in the second to fourth quartiles of VVV of HbA1c.

CONCLUSION

HbA1c variability whether it was SD, CV, or ARV could strongly predict the risks of all-cause mortality. The extent of the relationship between VVV of HbA1c and all-cause mortality in different age groups was comparable between both sexes. Given the importance of long-term glucose fluctuation, the inclusion of HbA1c variability calculated from the standardized method should be considered by clinical guideline policymakers as part of the biochemical panel in daily diabetes management.

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Model for Early Detection of Left Ventricular Hypertrophy and Mortality Prediction in Young to Middle-Aged Adults

BACKGROUND

Concealed left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) is a prevalent condition that is correlated with a substantial risk of cardiovascular events and mortality, especially in young to middle-aged adults. Early identification of LVH is warranted. In this work, we aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled model for early detection and risk stratification of LVH using 12-lead ECGs.

METHODS

By deep learning techniques on the ECG recordings from 28 745 patients (20-60 years old), the AI model was developed to detect verified LVH from transthoracic echocardiography and evaluated on an independent cohort. Two hundred twenty-five patients from Japan were externally validated. Cardiologists' diagnosis of LVH was based on conventional ECG criteria. The area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity were applied to evaluate the model performance. A Cox regression model estimated the independent effects of AI-predicted LVH on cardiovascular or all-cause death.

RESULTS

The AUC of the AI model in diagnosing LVH was 0.89 (sensitivity: 90.3%, specificity: 69.3%), which was significantly better than that of the cardiologists' diagnosis (AUC, 0.64). In the second independent cohort, the diagnostic performance of the AI model was consistent (AUC, 0.86; sensitivity: 85.4%, specificity: 67.0%). After a follow-up of 6 years, AI-predicted LVH was independently associated with higher cardiovascular or all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.91 [1.04-3.49] and 1.54 [1.20-1.97], respectively). The predictive power of the AI model for mortality was consistently valid among patients of different ages, sexes, and comorbidities, including hypertension, diabetes, stroke, heart failure, and myocardial infarction. Last, we also validated the model in the international independent cohort from Japan (AUC, 0.83).

CONCLUSIONS

The AI model improved the detection of LVH and mortality prediction in the young to middle-aged population and represented an attractive tool for risk stratification. Early identification by the AI model gives every chance for timely treatment to reverse adverse outcomes.

Low mean HbA1c does not increase all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in patients with diabetes: Effect-modifications by anemia and chronic kidney disease stages

Background

Previous studies reported that low levels of glycated hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) were associated with increased mortality. We investigated rates and risks of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in association with mean HbA1c levels with stratification of anemia and chronic kidney disease (CKD) stages, major causes of low HbA1c.

Methods

47,145 patients with prescription of antidiabetic agents >6 months in the outpatient visits (2003–2018) were linked to Taiwan’s National Death Registry to identify all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Poisson assumption was used to estimate the mortality rates, and the Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to evaluate the relative hazards of respective mortality in relation to mean HbA1c in different statuses of anemia and CKD stages.

Results

All-cause and cardiovascular mortality rates were the lowest in non-anemic stages 1–2 CKD patients, and the highest in anemic stages 3–5 CKD patients. In stages 1–2 CKD, excessive HRs observed in those with mean HbA1c <6.0% (Hazard Ratio [HR]) 1.58; 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.18–2.12) became inconsequential after adjustment of medications and laboratory results (HR: 1.26; 95% CI 0.89–1.79). The similar patterns were observed in anemic stages 1–2 CKD, anemic or non-anemic stages 3–5 CKD. Low HbA1c was not related to cardiovascular mortality in any anemia status or CKD staging.

Conclusions

Higher risks associated with low mean HbA1c and all-cause mortality were attenuated by adjustment of medications and comorbidities. It is imperative for the diabetologists to consider confounding effects of underlying illness before concluding low HbA1c associated higher mortality.

Comparative safety of Janus kinase inhibitors and tumor necrosis factor inhibitors in patients undergoing treatment for rheumatoid arthritis

OBJECTIVES

Since 2010, biological disease-modifying antirheumatic drugs (bDMARDs) have been the dominant mode of treatment for rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, the safety of DMARDs, such as tumor necrosis factor inhibitors (TNFis) and Janus kinase inhibitors (JAKis), in treating patients with RA is a concern. We compared the safety outcomes of JAKis and TNFis in RA patients in clinical settings.

METHODS

Patients diagnosed with RA between 2015 and 2017 were identified from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database and followed till 2018. Propensity score stabilized weighting was used to balance the baseline characteristics of the JAKis and TNFis groups. The incidences of safety outcomes, namely cardiovascular (CV) events, tuberculosis (TB), total hip replacement (THR), total knee replacement (TKR), and all-cause mortality, were compared between the 2 study groups.

RESULTS

A total of 3179 patients with RA who were administered JAKis (n = 822) and TNFis (n = 2357) were included in this study. The mean follow-up duration was 2.02 years in the JAKis group and 2.10 in the TNFis group. All-cause mortality had the highest incidence rate, followed by TKR, THR, CV events, and TB. A lower incidence rate of the study outcomes was observed in the JAKis group than in the TNFis group but without statistical significance.

CONCLUSION

Comparable safety issues and mortality rates were observed for JAKis and TNFis in RA patients treated in real-world settings.

Assisted Reproductive Technology and Risk of Childhood Cancers

IMPORTANCE

The number of children born through the use of assisted reproductive technology (ART) has been increasing. These children may have higher risks for epigenetic alteration and adverse perinatal outcomes, which may be associated with childhood cancers.

OBJECTIVE

To determine the associations between different modes of conception and childhood cancers and potential mediation by preterm birth and low birth weight.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This nationwide, population-based cohort study included registry data from 2 308 016 eligible parents-child triads in Taiwan from January 1, 2004, to December 31, 2017. A total of 1880 children with incident childhood cancer were identified. Data were analyzed between September 1, 2020, and June 30, 2022.

EXPOSURE

Mode of conception, defined as (1) natural conception, (2) subfertility and non-ART (ie, infertility diagnosis but no ART-facilitated conception), or (3) ART (ie, infertility diagnosis and ART-facilitated conception).

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Diagnosis of childhood cancer according to the International Classification of Childhood Cancers, Third Edition.

RESULTS

The mean (SD) paternal and maternal ages were 33.28 (5.07) and 30.83 (4.56) years, respectively. Of the 2 308 016 children, 52.06% were boys, 8.16% were born preterm, and 7.38% had low birth weight. During 14.9 million person-years of follow-up (median, 6 years [IQR, 3-10 years]), ART conception was associated with an increased risk of any type of childhood cancers compared with natural conception (hazard ratio, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.17-2.12) and subfertility with non-ART conception (hazard ratio, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.04-1.95). The increased cancer risk of children conceived with ART was mainly owing to leukemia and hepatic tumor. The increased cancer risk associated with ART conception was not mediated by preterm birth or low birth weight.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, children conceived via ART had a higher risk of childhood cancers than those conceived naturally and those born to parents with an infertility diagnosis did not use ART. The increased risk could not be explained by preterm birth or low birth weight.

Safety of the endovascular aneurysm repair procedure: real-world evidence using interrupted-time series analysis

OBJECTIVES

In Taiwan, endovascular aneurysm repair for treating abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) was introduced in 2004 and became reimbursable in February 2010. We evaluated the real-world practice and safety of endovascular aneurysm repair in Taiwan.

METHODS

Patients who underwent repair operations for AAA (open or endovascular) from 2000 to 2016 were enrolled (n = 11485). Outcome statistics (during the index hospitalization: length of stay, rate of ischaemic bowel disease and 30-day mortality; after discharge: 30-day readmission rate, 2-year mortality, 2-year reintervention rate and 2-year paraplegia rate) were calculated for each half-year cohort. Propensity score-based stabilized weights were used to balance covariates among each half-year cohort. Interrupted time-series analysis was then performed.

RESULTS

The elective and emergency ratio of AAA repair was 50:50 from 2000 to 2004 and became 60:40 from 2010 to 2016. The half-year rate of endovascular aneurysm repair was 0% in 2000 to 2004/06, 83.16% in 2010 and 98.1% in 2016. Interrupted time series analysis revealed that after endovascular aneurysm repair became reimbursable, both elective and emergency groups had a reduction in length of stay (-4.2 days, P < 0.0001; -1.5 days, P = 0.0928) and 30-day mortality (-5.22%, P = 0.0702; -7.76%, P = 0.0086) but a significant increase in the reintervention rate (5.05%, P = 0.0031; 4.36%, P = 0.0097).

CONCLUSIONS

Endovascular aneurysm repair was predominantly used in treating AAAs after it was reimbursed in Taiwan. Endovascular aneurysm repair is efficacious regarding short-term outcomes but increased the 2-year reintervention rate in both groups.

Addressing the Evidence Gap in the Economic and Social Benefits of Civil Registration and Vital Statistics Systems: A Systematic Review

Objectives: Considering the aspiration embedded in the Sustainable Development Goals to Leave No One Behind by 2030, civil registration and vital statistics systems have an essential role in providing reliable, up-to-date information to monitor the progress. Thus, the aim of this systematic review is to compile empirical evidence on the benefits of a functioning civil registration and vital statistics system.

Methods: Selected databases were systematically searched until 2019. Key experts were also contacted for relevant literature. The review process was managed with the software EPPI-Reviewer and followed standard methods for systematic reviews.

Results: A total of 18 studies were included. The findings revealed that having birth, death, and/or marriage registration, and vital statistics were associated with access to rights and protection, positive impact on economic and health outcomes, and increased access to education.

Conclusion: The present review supports the idea that systemic approaches strengthen civil registration and vital statistics systems due to the cumulative effects of vital events’ registration. Ensuring appropriate systems for civil registration will have an impact not only on the individuals but also on the generations to come.

Association of Sugar-Sweetened Beverages and Cardiovascular Diseases Mortality in a Large Young Cohort of Nearly 300,000 Adults (Age 20-39)

(1) Background: The association of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in younger adults (age 20−39) is rarely mentioned in the literature. Younger adults are less vulnerable to CVDs, but they tend to consume more SSBs. This prospective study aimed to assess the association between CVD mortality and SSBs in younger adults between 1994 and 2017. (2) Methods: The cohort enrolled 288,747 participants consisting of 139,413 men and 148,355 women, with a mean age 30.6 ± 4.8 years, from a health surveillance program. SSBs referred to any drink with real sugar added, such as fructose corn syrup or sucrose. One serving of SSB contains about 150 Kcal of sugar in 12 oz of drink. Cox models were used to estimate the mortality risk. (3) Results: There were 391 deaths from CVDs in the younger adults, and the positive association with CVD mortality started when SSB intake was ≥2 servings/day (HR: 1.59, 95% CI: 1.16−2.17). With mortalities from diabetes and kidney disease added to CVDs, the so-called expanded CVD mortality risk was 1.49 (95% CI: 1.11−2.01). By excluding CVD risk factors (hypertension, diabetes, and smoking), the CVD mortality risk increased to 2.48 (95% CI: 1.33−4.62). The dose−response relationship persisted (p < 0.05 for trend) in every model above. (4) Conclusions: Higher intake of SSBs (≥2 servings/day) was associated with increased CVD mortality in younger adults. The younger adults (age 20−39) with SSB intake ≥2 servings/day had a 50% increase in CVD mortality in our study, and the mortality risk increased up to 2.5 times for those without CVD risk factors. The dose−response relationship between the quantity of SSB intake and the mortality risk of CVD in younger adults discourages SSB intake for the prevention of CVD mortality.

"Sugar-Sweetened Beverages" Is an Independent Risk From Pancreatic Cancer: Based on Half a Million Asian Cohort Followed for 25 Years

Although the link between sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB) and pancreatic cancer has been suggested for its insulin-stimulating connection, most epidemiological studies showed inconclusive relationship. Whether the result was limited by sample size is explored. This prospective study followed 491,929 adults, consisting of 235,427 men and 256,502 women (mean age: 39.9, standard deviation: 13.2), from a health surveillance program and there were 523 pancreatic cancer deaths between 1994 and 2017. The individual identification numbers of the cohort were matched with the National Death file for mortality, and Cox models were used to assess the risk. The amount of SSB intake was recorded based on the average consumption in the month before interview by a structured questionnaire. We classified the amount of SSB intake into 4 categories: 0–<0.5 serving/day, ≥0.5–<1 serving per day, ≥1–<2 servings per day, and ≥2 servings per day. One serving was defined as equivalent to 12 oz and contained 35 g added sugar. We used the age and the variables at cohort enrolment as the reported risks of pancreatic cancers. The cohort was divided into 3 age groups, 20–39, 40–59, and ≥60. We found young people (age <40) had higher prevalence and frequency of sugar-sweetened beverages than the elderly. Those consuming 2 servings/day had a 50% increase in pancreatic cancer mortality (HR = 1.55, 95% CI: 1.08–2.24) for the total cohort, but a 3-fold increase (HR: 3.09, 95% CI: 1.44–6.62) for the young. The risk started at 1 serving every other day, with a dose–response relationship. The association of SSB intake of ≥2 servings/day with pancreatic cancer mortality among the total cohort remained significant after excluding those who smoke or have diabetes (HR: 2.12, 97% CI: 1.26–3.57), are obese (HR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.08–2.30), have hypertension (HR: 1.90, 95% CI: 1.20–3.00), or excluding who died within 3 years after enrollment (HR: 1.67, 95% CI: 1.15–2.45). Risks remained in the sensitivity analyses, implying its independent nature. We concluded that frequent drinking of SSB increased pancreatic cancer in adults, with highest risk among young people.

Premature death and causes of death among patients with panic disorder and comorbid psychiatric disorders: A nationwide cohort study

OBJECTIVES

Panic disorder (PD) is associated with high psychiatric and physical comorbidity, but the cause of mortality has not been well studied. This study investigated mortality rates and causes of death in an Asian cohort with PD.

METHODS

We enrolled a nationwide retrospective cohort of 298,466 persons diagnosed with PD from January 1, 2001, to December 31, 2016. Each cohort member was matched with a comparison one randomly selected from the general population with the same sex, age at entry, and birth year. The data of both the PD cohort and the comparison group were linked with the national mortality database to obtain each individual's mortality status. We used mortality rate ratios (MRRs) to compare mortality risks between the patients with PD and the general population. Stratified analysis of mortality risks was performed based on sex and psychiatric comorbidities.

RESULTS

PD was associated with a slightly increased mortality risk (MRR, 1.14 [99% CI, 1.11-1.17]). The risk of unnatural death (MRR, 2.83 [99% CI, 2.59-3.10]) was significantly higher among the individuals with PD than among the general population, whereas the risk of overall natural death across all categories was not (MRR, 1.01 [99% CI, 0.98-1.04]). The mortality risk was the highest for suicide (MRR, 4.94 [99% CI, 4.32-5.72]) and was higher in women (MRR, 6.37 [99% CI, 5.25-7.96]) than in men (MRR, 3.77 [99% CI, 3.14-4.64]). Comorbid substance use disorders increased the risk of mortality from natural (MRR, 3.23 [99% CI, 2.59-4.14]) and unnatural (MRR, 9.45 [99% CI, 6.29-17.85]) causes.

CONCLUSION

PD was associated with increased all-cause mortality, especially suicide. Substance use further increased mortality risk in persons with PD. Targeted treatment for substance use and suicide prevention are essential among persons with PD.

Prognostic Role of Pulmonary Function in Patients With Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction

Background

Both ventilatory abnormalities and pulmonary hypertension (PH) are frequently observed in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. We aim to investigate the association between ventilatory abnormalities and PH in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, as well as their prognostic impacts.

Methods and Results

A total of 440 ambulatory patients (age, 66.2±15.8 years; 77% men) with left ventricular ejection fraction ≤40% who underwent comprehensive echocardiography and spirometry were enrolled. Total lung capacity, forced vital capacity, and forced expiratory volume in the first second were obtained. Pulmonary arterial systolic pressure was estimated. PH was defined as a pulmonary arterial systolic pressure of >50 mm Hg. The primary end point was all‐cause mortality at 5 years. Patients with PH had significantly reduced total lung capacity, forced vital capacity, and forced expiratory volume in the first second. During a median follow‐up of 25.9 months, there were 111 deaths. After accounting for age, sex, body mass index, renal function, smoking, left ventricular ejection fraction, and functional capacity, total lung capacity (hazard ratio [HR] per 1 SD, 0.66; 95% CI per 1 SD, 0.46–0.96), forced vital capacity (HR per 1 SD, 0.64; 95% CI per 1 SD, 0.48–0.84), and forced expiratory volume in the first second (HR per 1 SD, 0.72; 95% CI per 1 SD, 0.53–0.98) were all significantly correlated with mortality in patients without PH. Kaplan‐Meier curve demonstrated impaired pulmonary function, defined as forced expiratory volume in the first second ≤58% of predicted or forced vital capacity ≤65% of predicted, was associated with higher mortality in patients without PH (HR, 2.85; 95% CI, 1.66–4.89), but not in patients with PH (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.61–1.82).

Conclusions

Ventilatory abnormality was more prevalent in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction with PH than those without. However, such ventilatory defects were related to long‐term survival only in patients without PH, regardless of their functional status.

The association between osteoporosis medications and lowered all-cause mortality after hip or vertebral fracture in older and oldest-old adults: a nationwide population-based study

Background: Osteoporotic fracture is a common public-health problem in ageing societies. Although post-fracture usage of osteoporosis medications may reduce mortality, recent results have been inconsistent. We aimed to examine associations between osteoporosis medication and mortality in older adults, particularly oldest-old adults (>=85 years old).

Methods: Participants aged 65 years old and older newly diagnosed with both osteoporosis and hip or vertebral fractures within 2009-2017 were recruited from the records of 23,455,164 people in Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). Osteoporosis medication exposure was calculated after the first-time ambulatory visit with newly diagnosed osteoporosis. Mortality and its specific causes were ascertained from Cause of Death Data. Patients were followed until death or censored at the end of 2018.

Results: A total of 87,935 participants aged 65 years old and over (73.4% female), with a mean 4.13 follow-up years, were included. Taking medication was associated with significantly lower risk of mortality (hip fracture HR 0.75, vertebral fracture HR 0.74), even in the oldest-old adults (hip fracture HR 0.76, vertebral fracture HR 0.72), where a longer duration of taking osteoporosis medication was associated with lower all-cause mortality. Specific causes of mortality were also significantly lower for participants taking osteoporosis medication (cancer HR 0.84 in hip fracture, 0.75 in vertebral fracture; cardiovascular disease HR 0.85 in hip fracture, 0.91 in vertebral fracture).

Conclusions: Osteoporosis medication after hip or vertebral fracture may reduce mortality risk in older adults, notably in oldest-old adults. Encouraging the use of post-fracture osteoporosis medication in healthcare policies is warranted.

Risk Factors for Female Breast Cancer: A Population Cohort Study

Simple Summary

In recent years, it has been emphasized that the development of a healthy lifestyle can prevent the incidence of cancer, and several recent studies on female breast cancer (BC) have also become interested in sedentary behavioral issues. Our prospective cohort study found that, in addition to the currently known risk factors (RFs) such as parity and body mass index (BMI), which affect the probability of developing BC in women, a sedentary lifestyle and drinking sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB) can cause BC. Therefore, we propose that the modifiable risk profiles of sedentary behavior and sugary beverage consumption may also be associated with increased incidence of female BC in the Taiwanese population.

Abstract

Background: The incidence of female BC among the Eastern and Southeastern Asian populations has gradually increased in recent years. However, epidemiological studies on the relationship between a sedentary lifestyle and female BC are insufficient. In order to determine the association between this lifestyle and the incidence of female BC, we conducted a population-based cohort study on women in Taiwan. Methods: We followed a prospective cohort of 5879 women aged 30 years and over enrolled in the 2001 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS), who developed female BC over a period of 72,453 person years, and we estimated the hazard ratios (HRs) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: RFs associated with female BC incidence included parity (adjusted HR = 0.63; 95% CI: 0.44–0.91), body mass index (adjusted HR = 1.34; 95% CI: 1.04–1.71), and ≥3 h/day spent sitting (adjusted HR = 1.89; 95% CI: 1.08–3.32). The incidence of female BC in participants who sat for ≥3 h/day and consumed sugary drinks was 2.5 times greater than that in those who sat for <3 h/day and did not consume sugary drinks (adjusted HR = 2.51; 95% CI: 1.01–6.23). Conclusions: The findings of this study indicate that sedentary behavior and sugary drink intake may increase the risk of developing female BC. These are modifiable RFs; therefore, a healthy lifestyle and diet can reduce the incidence of female BC.