World Health Organization Influenza-Like Illness Underestimates the Burden of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in Community-Dwelling Older Adults

Exploring the effect of clinical case definitions on influenza vaccine effectiveness estimation at primary care level: Results from the end-of-season 2022-23 VEBIS multicentre study in Europe

BACKGROUND

Within influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) studies at primary care level with a laboratory-confirmed outcome, clinical case definitions for recruitment of patients can vary. We used the 2022-23 VEBIS primary care European multicentre study end-of-season data to evaluate whether the clinical case definition affected IVE estimates.

METHODS

We estimated VE using a multicentre test-negative case-control design. We measured VE against any influenza and influenza (sub)types, by age group (0-14, 15-64, ≥65 years) and by influenza vaccine target group, using logistic regression. We estimated IVE among patients meeting the European Union (EU) acute respiratory infection (ARI) case definition and among those meeting the EU influenza-like illness (ILI) case definition, including only sites providing information on specific symptoms and recruiting patients using an ARI case definition (as the EU ILI case definition is a subset of the EU ARI one).

RESULTS

We included 24 319 patients meeting the EU ARI case definition, of whom 21 804 patients (90 %) meet the EU ILI case definition, for the overall pooled VE analysis against any influenza. The overall and influenza (sub)type-specific VE varied by ≤2 % between EU ILI and EU ARI populations.

DISCUSSION

Among all analyses, we found similar VE estimates between the EU ILI and EU ARI populations, with few (10%) additional non-ILI ARI patients recruited. These results indicate that VE in the 2022-23 influenza season was not affected by use of a different clinical case definition for recruitment, although we recommend investigating whether this holds true for next seasons.

What 'case definition' for respiratory syncytial virus infection? Results of a systematic literature review to improve surveillance among the adults

BACKGROUND

Human respiratory syncytial virus (hRSV) is a leading cause of acute lower respiratory tract infection in frail individuals, including children, the elderly and immunocompromised people, with mild to severe symptoms. World Health Organization claims hRSV causes most elderly influenza-like illnesses (ILI) and severe acute respiratory infections (SARI). In this study, different case definitions for hRSV surveillance were examined for accuracy.

METHODS

The following search query ('Respiratory Syncytial Virus' OR 'RSV' OR 'hRSV' AND 'case definition') was used on PubMed/MEDLINE and Scopus with a 15-year-old baseline age restriction to conduct a systematic literature review.

RESULTS

Of 12 records, 58% employed the SARI definition, 50% the ILI definition and 42% the acute respiratory infection (ARI) definition, with some overlap. In young adults (18-64 years old), most studies show RSV prevalence between 6.25 and 72.54 cases per 1000 per year, and 19.23 to 98.5 in older adults. The outpatient ARI and hospitalized SARI criteria are particularly sensitive and specific.

CONCLUSIONS

Disease burden measurement requires a clear case definition; however, current literature is questionable. Currently, hRSV surveillance uses numerous case definitions with debatable accuracy. The epidemiology, clinical characteristics, and disease burden of hRSV are difficult to characterize without a standard surveillance case definition.

Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Respiratory Diseases in Children and Adults

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a common cause of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI), particularly in neonates, infants and young children, with approximately 33 million infections worldwide each year. 1-2% of episodes lead to hospitalization. There are hardly any reliable epidemiological figures on hospital - ization in adults, whose burden of disease from RSV is probably markedly underestimated.

METHODS

This review is based on publications retrieved by a selective search in PubMed, with particular attention to recommendations for the prevention of RSV infection.

RESULTS

There is no approved antiviral therapy for clinical practice, but preventive strategies are increasingly becoming available. Passive immunization in infants is well tolerated and highly effective, as is the active vaccination of pregnant women to prevent severe RSV infection in young infants. The former was found to lower the frequency of severe LRTI (5/4037 in the vaccination group vs. 19/4031 individuals in the placebo group), yielding an efficacy of 75.7%; for the latter, the corresponding findings were a reduction to 19/3682 in the vaccination group vs. 62/3676 in the placebo group, or 69.4% efficacy. For the active vaccination of older adults, both a recombinant vaccine with adjuvant and a bivalent vaccine have recently been approved. These, too, are well tolerated and highly effective: the former lowered the frequency of severe LRTI to 1/12466 in the vaccination group vs. 17/12494 in the placebo group (94.1% efficacy), while the latter lowered the frequency of LRTI with 3 or more manifestations to 2/17215 in the vaccination group vs. 14/17069 in the placebo group (85.7% efficacy).

CONCLUSION

The approval of new RSV-specific monoclonal antibodies and active vaccinations enables targeted prevention of RSV infection in the main population groups at risk.

Influenza-like illness surveillance may underestimate the incidence of respiratory syncytial virus in adult outpatients

OBJECTIVES

Although respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of acute respiratory infections (ARIs), it is unclear which of the case definitions that prompt swab collection predicts RSV best. We aimed to profile RSV-positive adults and to identify possible RSV case definitions.

METHODS

This individual-based pooled analysis was based on influenza-like illness (ILI) surveillance conducted among Italian outpatient adults. All samples were tested for influenza, RSV and other respiratory viruses.

RESULTS

RSV was detected in 5.2% of the 1240 ILI adults tested. The prevalence of fever/feverishness was significantly lower (83.3%) in individuals positive for RSV and those negative for both viruses (79.4%) than in influenza-positive subjects (96.2%). Conversely, 98.3% of RSV-positive adults reported cough. Compared with subjects who tested negative, the adjusted relative risk ratio of cough in RSV-positive subjects was much higher than in influenza-positive subjects (6.89 vs 2.79). Using ARI with cough as the RSV case definition increased specificity.

CONCLUSION

As fever/feverishness is more common among influenza than RSV cases, ILI-based surveillance may underestimate RSV incidence in adult outpatients. While broad ARI definitions are useful for routine RSV surveillance, their low specificity may hamper vaccine effectiveness studies. The use of further ARI qualifiers like cough increases specificity.

From Forgotten Pathogen to Target for New Vaccines: What Clinicians Need to Know about Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in Older Adults

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is increasingly recognized as being implicated in acute illness in older adults, with a significant weight in hospitalizations for respiratory illness and death. By means of a best-evidence review, this paper aims to investigate whether RSV can be considered a forgotten pathogen in older patients, looking at trends in the literature volume and exploring possible epidemiological and clinical features underlying the focus given to it. We then present an assessment of its disease burden and present and future strategies for its reduction, particularly in light of the recent availability of new vaccines.

SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B and respiratory syncytial virus positivity and association with influenza-like illness and self-reported symptoms, over the 2022/23 winter season in the UK: a longitudinal surveillance cohort

BACKGROUND

Syndromic surveillance often relies on patients presenting to healthcare. Community cohorts, although more challenging to recruit, could provide additional population-wide insights, particularly with SARS-CoV-2 co-circulating with other respiratory viruses.

METHODS

We estimated the positivity and incidence of SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B, and RSV, and trends in self-reported symptoms including influenza-like illness (ILI), over the 2022/23 winter season in a broadly representative UK community cohort (COVID-19 Infection Survey), using negative-binomial generalised additive models. We estimated associations between test positivity and each of the symptoms and influenza vaccination, using adjusted logistic and multinomial models.

RESULTS

Swabs taken at 32,937/1,352,979 (2.4%) assessments tested positive for SARS-CoV-2, 181/14,939 (1.2%) for RSV and 130/14,939 (0.9%) for influenza A/B, varying by age over time. Positivity and incidence peaks were earliest for RSV, then influenza A/B, then SARS-CoV-2, and were highest for RSV in the youngest and for SARS-CoV-2 in the oldest age groups. Many test positives did not report key symptoms: middle-aged participants were generally more symptomatic than older or younger participants, but still, only ~ 25% reported ILI-WHO and ~ 60% ILI-ECDC. Most symptomatic participants did not test positive for any of the three viruses. Influenza A/B-positivity was lower in participants reporting influenza vaccination in the current and previous seasons (odds ratio = 0.55 (95% CI 0.32, 0.95)) versus neither season.

CONCLUSIONS

Symptom profiles varied little by aetiology, making distinguishing SARS-CoV-2, influenza and RSV using symptoms challenging. Most symptoms were not explained by these viruses, indicating the importance of other pathogens in syndromic surveillance. Influenza vaccination was associated with lower rates of community influenza test positivity.

Epidemiology and burden of respiratory syncytial virus in Italian adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a common respiratory pathogen not only in children, but also in adults. In view of a recent authorization of adult RSV vaccines in Italy, our research question was to quantify the epidemiology and burden of RSV in Italian adults.

METHODS

Observational studies on the epidemiology and clinical burden of laboratory-confirmed or record-coded RSV infection in Italian adults of any age were eligible. Studies with no separate data for Italian adults, modeling and other secondary publications were excluded. A literature search was performed in MEDLINE, Biological Abstracts, Global Health, Scopus and Web of Science on 22 November 2023. Critical appraisal was performed by means of a Joanna Briggs Institute checklist. Random-effects (RE) meta-analysis was performed to obtain pooled estimates and the observed heterogeneity was investigated by subgroup and meta-regression analyses. The protocol was prospectively registered (doi.org/10.17504/protocols.io.5qpvo32odv4o/v1).

RESULTS

Thirty-five studies were identified, most of which had at least one possible quality concern. RSV seasonal attack rates ranged from 0.8 ‰ in community-dwelling older adults to 10.9% in hematological outpatients. In the RE model, 4.5% (95% CI: 3.2-5.9%) of respiratory samples tested positive for RSV. This positivity prevalence was higher in older adults (4.4%) than in working-age adults (3.5%) and in outpatient (4.9%) than inpatient (2.9%) settings. According to the meta-regression, study location and sample size were also significant predictors of RSV detection frequency. The pooled estimate of in-hospital mortality was as high as 7.2% (95% CI: 4.7-10.3%). Data on other indicators of the diseases burden, such as complication and hospitalization rates, were unavailable.

CONCLUSION

RSV poses a measurable burden on Italian adults, especially those of older age and with some co-morbidities. However, several data on the natural history of RSV disease are missing and should be established by future large-scale studies.

Burden of Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Acute Respiratory Infections During Pregnancy

BACKGROUND

With the licensure of maternal respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccines in Europe and the United States, data are needed to better characterize the burden of RSV-associated acute respiratory infections (ARI) in pregnancy. The current study aimed to determine among pregnant individuals the proportion of ARI testing positive for RSV and the RSV incidence rate, RSV-associated hospitalizations, deaths, and perinatal outcomes.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review, following PRISMA 2020 guidelines, using 5 databases (Medline, Embase, Global Health, Web of Science, and Global Index Medicus), and including additional unpublished data. Pregnant individuals with ARI who had respiratory samples tested for RSV were included. We used a random-effects meta-analysis to generate overall proportions and rate estimates across studies.

RESULTS

Eleven studies with pregnant individuals recruited between 2010 and 2022 were identified, most of which recruited pregnant individuals in community, inpatient and outpatient settings. Among 8126 pregnant individuals, the proportion with ARI that tested positive for RSV ranged from 0.9% to 10.7%, with a meta-estimate of 3.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.9%-54%). The pooled incidence rate of RSV among pregnant individuals was 26.0 (95% CI, 15.8-36.2) per 1000 person-years. RSV hospitalization rates reported in 2 studies were 2.4 and 3.0 per 1000 person-years. In 5 studies that ascertained RSV-associated deaths among 4708 pregnant individuals, no deaths were reported. Three studies comparing RSV-positive and RSV-negative pregnant individuals found no difference in the odds of miscarriage, stillbirth, low birth weight, and small size for gestational age. RSV-positive pregnant individuals had higher odds of preterm delivery (odds ratio, 3.6 [95% CI, 1.3-10.3]).

CONCLUSIONS

Data on RSV-associated hospitalization rates are limited, but available estimates are lower than those reported in older adults and young children. As countries debate whether to include RSV vaccines in maternal vaccination programs, which are primarily intended to protect infants, this information could be useful in shaping vaccine policy decisions.

T cells, more than antibodies, may prevent symptoms developing from respiratory syncytial virus infections in older adults

Introduction

The immune mechanisms supporting partial protection from reinfection and disease by the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) have not been fully characterized. In older adults, symptoms are typically mild but can be serious in patients with comorbidities when the infection extends to the lower respiratory tract.

Methods

This study formed part of the RESCEU older-adults prospective-cohort study in Northern Europe (2017-2019; NCT03621930) in which a thousand participants were followed over an RSV season. Peripheral-blood samples (taken pre-season, post-season, during illness and convalescence) were analyzed from participants who (i) had a symptomatic acute respiratory tract infection by RSV (RSV-ARTI; N=35) or (ii) asymptomatic RSV infection (RSV-Asymptomatic; N=16). These analyses included evaluations of antibody (Fc-mediated-) functional features and cell-mediated immunity, in which univariate and machine-learning (ML) models were used to explore differences between groups.

Results

Pre-RSV-season peripheral-blood biomarkers were predictive of symptomatic RSV infection. T-cell data were more predictive than functional antibody data (area under receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] for the models were 99% and 76%, respectively). The pre-RSV season T-cell phenotypes which were selected by the ML modelling and which were more frequent in RSV-Asymptomatic group than in the RSV-ARTI group, coincided with prominent phenotypes identified during convalescence from RSV-ARTI (e.g., IFN-γ+, TNF-α+ and CD40L+ for CD4+, and IFN-γ+ and 4-1BB+ for CD8+).

Conclusion

The evaluation and statistical modelling of numerous immunological parameters over the RSV season suggests a primary role of cellular immunity in preventing symptomatic RSV infections in older adults.

Molecular Mechanisms of RSV and Air Pollution Interaction: A Scoping Review

RSV is one of the major infectious agents in paediatrics, and its relationship with air pollution is frequently observed. However, the molecular basis of this interaction is sparsely reported. We sought to systematically review the existing body of literature and identify the knowledge gaps to answer the question: which molecular mechanisms are implied in the air pollutants-RSV interaction? Online databases were searched for original studies published before August 2022 focusing on molecular mechanisms of the interaction. The studies were charted and a narrative synthesis was based upon three expected directions of influence: a facilitated viral entry, an altered viral replication, and an inappropriate host reaction. We identified 25 studies published between 1993 and 2020 (without a noticeable increase in the number of studies) that were performed in human (n = 12), animal (n = 10) or mixed (n = 3) models, and analysed mainly cigarette smoke (n = 11), particulate matter (n = 4), nanoparticles (n = 3), and carbon black (n = 2). The data on a damage to the epithelial barrier supports the hypothesis of facilitated viral entry; one study also reported accelerated viral entry upon an RSV conjugation to particulate matter. Air pollution may result in the predominance of necrosis over apoptosis, and, as an effect, an increased viral load was reported. Similarly, air pollution mitigates epithelium function with decreased IFN-γ and Clara cell secretory protein levels and decreased immune response. Immune response might also be diminished due to a decreased viral uptake by alveolar macrophages and a suppressed function of dendritic cells. On the other hand, an exuberant inflammatory response might be triggered by air pollution and provoke airway hyperresponsiveness (AHR), prolonged lung infiltration, and tissue remodeling, including a formation of emphysema. AHR is mediated mostly by increased IFN-γ and RANTES concentrations, while the risk of emphysema was related to the activation of the IL-17 → MCP-1 → MMP-9 → MMP-12 axis. There is a significant lack of evidence on the molecular basics of the RSV-air pollution interaction, which may present a serious problem with regards to future actions against air pollution effects. The major knowledge gaps concern air pollutants (mostly the influence of cigarette smoke was investigated), the mechanisms facilitating an acute infection or a worse disease course (since it might help plan short-term, especially non-pharmacological, interventions), and the mechanisms of an inadequate response to the infection (which may lead to a prolonged course of an acute infection and long-term sequelae). Thus far, the evidence is insufficient regarding the broadness and complexity of the interaction, and future studies should focus on common mechanisms stimulated by various air pollutants and a comparison of influence of the different contaminants at various concentrations.

Computational modelling studies of some 1,3-thiazine derivatives as anti-influenza inhibitors targeting H1N1 neuraminidase via 2D-QSAR, 3D-QSAR, molecular docking, and ADMET predictions

Background

Influenza virus disease remains one of the most contagious diseases that aided the deaths of many patients, especially in this COVID-19 pandemic era. Recent discoveries have shown that the high prevalence of influenza and SARS-CoV-2 coinfection can rapidly increase the death rate of patients. Hence, it became necessary to search for more potent inhibitors for influenza disease therapy. The present study utilized some computational modeling concepts such as 2D-QSAR, 3D-QSAR, molecular docking simulation, and ADMET predictions of some 1,3-thiazine derivatives as inhibitors of influenza neuraminidase (NA).

Results

The 2D-QSAR modeling results showed GFA-MLR ($$R_{{\text{train }}}^{2}$$ R train 2  = 0.9192, Q2 = 0.8767, R2adj = 0.8991, RMSE = 0.0959, $$R_{{{\text{test}}}}^{2}$$ R test 2  = 0.8943, $$R_{{{\text{pred}}}}^{2}$$ R pred 2  = 0.7745) and GFA-ANN ($$R_{{\text{train }}}^{2}$$ R train 2  = 0.9227, Q2 = 0.9212, RMSE = 0.0940, $$R_{{{\text{test}}}}^{2}$$ R test 2  = 0.8831, $$R_{{{\text{pred}}}}^{2}$$ R pred 2  = 0.7763) models with the computed descriptors as ATS7s, SpMax5_Bhv, nHBint6, and TDB9m for predicting the NA inhibitory activities of compounds which have passed the global criteria of accepting QSAR model. The 3D-QSAR modeling was carried out based on the comparative molecular field analysis (CoMFA) and comparative similarity indices analysis (CoMSIA). The CoMFA_ES ($$R_{{\text{train }}}^{2}$$ R train 2  = 0.9620, Q2 = 0.643) and CoMSIA_SED ($$R_{{\text{train }}}^{2}$$ R train 2  = 0.8770, Q2 = 0.702) models were found to also have good and reliable predicting ability. The compounds were also virtually screened based on their binding scores via molecular docking simulations with the active site of the NA (H1N1) target receptor which also confirms their resilient potency. Four potential lead compounds (4, 7, 14, and 15) with the relatively high inhibitory rate (> 50%) and docking (> − 6.3 kcal/mol) scores were identified as the possible lead candidates for in silico exploration of improved anti-influenza agents.

Conclusion

The drug-likeness and ADMET predictions of the lead compounds revealed non-violation of Lipinski’s rule and good pharmacokinetic profiles as important guidelines for rational drug design. Hence, the outcome of this research set a course for the in silico design and exploration of novel NA inhibitors with improved potency.

In-silico modelling studies of 5-benzyl-4-thiazolinone derivatives as influenza neuraminidase inhibitors via 2D-QSAR, 3D-QSAR, molecular docking, and ADMET predictions

Influenza virus disease is one of the most infectious diseases responsible for many human deaths, and the high mutability of the virus causes drug resistance effects in recent times. As such, it became necessary to explore more inhibitors that could avert future influenza pandemics. The present research utilized some in-silico modelling concepts such as 2D-QSAR, 3D-QSAR, molecular docking simulation, and ADMET predictions on some 5-benzyl-4-thiazolinone derivatives as influenza neuraminidase (NA) inhibitors. The 2D-QSAR modelling results revealed GFA-MLR (R train 2 =0.8414, Q2 = 0.7680) and GFA-ANN (R train ​ 2 =0.8754, Q2 = 0.8753) models with the most relevant descriptors (MATS3i, SpMax5_Bhe, minsOH and VE3_D) for predicting the inhibitory activities of the molecules which has passed the global criteria of accepting QSAR models. The results of the 3D-QSAR modelling results showed that CoMFA_ES (R train ​ 2 =0.9030, Q2 = 0.5390) and CoMSIA_EA (R train 2 =0.880, Q2 = 0.547) models are having good predicting ability among other developed models. The molecules were virtually screened via molecular docking simulation with the active site of NA protein receptor (pH1N1) which confirms their resilient potency when compared with zanamivir standard drug. Molecule 11 as the most potent molecule formed more H-bond interactions with the key residues such as TRP178, ARG152, ARG292, ARG371, and TYR406 that triggered the catalytic reactions for NA inhibition. Furthermore, six (6) molecules (9, 10, 11, 17, 22, and 31) with relatively high inhibitory activities and docking scores were identified as the possible leads for in-silico exploration of novel NA inhibitors. The drug-likeness and ADMET predictions of the lead molecules revealed non-violation of Lipinski's rule and good pharmacokinetic profiles respectively, which are important guidelines for rational drug design. Hence, the outcome of this study overlaid a solid foundation for the in-silico design and exploration of novel NA inhibitors with improved potency.