Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Hospital Admissions and Bed Days in Children <5 Years of Age in 7 European Countries

Parent's perception of respiratory syncytial virus and subsequent wheezing burden: A multi-country cross-sectional survey

BACKGROUND

Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) is the leading cause of hospitalization in infants. RSV bronchiolitis is associated with an increased risk of subsequent wheezing. We aimed to document the parents' perception of the link between RSV infection and subsequent wheezing, wheezing-related healthcare and family resources use, and its impact on family daily life.

METHODS

This cross-sectional online survey enrolled 1200 parents with at least one child ≤6y living in the United States, United Kingdom, Spain, and Italy. Children diagnosed with RSV bronchiolitis before age of 2 years were included in the RSV group, and those never diagnosed with RSV bronchiolitis in the Reference group.

RESULTS

The odds of wheezing were 4.5-fold (95%CI 3.5-5.9) higher in the RSV than in the Reference group. The odds increased to 7.7-fold (95%CI 5.4-11.1) among children who were hospitalized, and 9-fold (95%CI 5.1-16.6) among those admitted to pediatric intensive care with RSV bronchiolitis. Similar trends were observed across all countries. In total, 57% of parents reported their child's wheezing to have moderate to severe impact on their emotional well-being, and 53% on their daily life activities and/or social life. 64% of parents reported moderate-severe impact of wheezing on child's quality of sleep and 49% and 46% reported a moderate-severe impact on their children's emotional well-being and physical activities.

CONCLUSIONS

This survey suggests an association between RSV infection and subsequent wheezing in children across different countries. Wheezing, especially in association with RSV infection, was associated with increased healthcare utilization and costs, and significantly impacted parents' and children daily life.

Epidemiology of Medically Attended Respiratory Syncytial Virus Lower Respiratory Tract Infection in Japanese Children, 2011-2017

BACKGROUND

The objective was to report critical respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-related epidemiological and healthcare resource utilization measures among Japanese children stratified by gestational and chronological age groups.

METHODS

The JMDC (formerly the Japan Medical Data Center) was used to retrospectively identify infants with or without RSV infection (beginning between 1 February 2011 and 31 January 2016, with follow-up through 31 December 2017). The incidence of RSV medically attended lower respiratory tract infection (MALRI) was captured by flagging hospitalizations, outpatient, and emergency department/urgent care visits with an RSV diagnosis code during the season.

RESULTS

Of 113 529 infants and children identified, 17 022 (15%) had an RSV MALRI (14 590 during the season). The RSV MALRI and hospitalization rates in the first 5 months were 14.3/100 child-years (CY) and 6.0/100 CY, respectively (13.4/100 and 5.8/100 CY for full-term infants and 20/100 and 6.8/100 CY for late preterm infants, respectively). Among those with ≥1 type of MALRI event during the RSV season, >80% of children had it by 24 months of chronological age, although this observation differed by prematurity status. Sixty percent of healthcare resource utilization measures started in the outpatient setting.

CONCLUSIONS

This study emphasizes the RSV burden in young children and critically highlights the data needed to make decisions about new preventive strategies.

Global disease burden of and risk factors for acute lower respiratory infections caused by respiratory syncytial virus in preterm infants and young children in 2019: a systematic review and meta-analysis of aggregated and individual participant data

BACKGROUND

Infants and young children born prematurely are at high risk of severe acute lower respiratory infection (ALRI) caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). In this study, we aimed to assess the global disease burden of and risk factors for RSV-associated ALRI in infants and young children born before 37 weeks of gestation.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of aggregated data from studies published between Jan 1, 1995, and Dec 31, 2021, identified from MEDLINE, Embase, and Global Health, and individual participant data shared by the Respiratory Virus Global Epidemiology Network on respiratory infectious diseases. We estimated RSV-associated ALRI incidence in community, hospital admission, in-hospital mortality, and overall mortality among children younger than 2 years born prematurely. We conducted two-stage random-effects meta-regression analyses accounting for chronological age groups, gestational age bands (early preterm, <32 weeks gestational age [wGA], and late preterm, 32 to <37 wGA), and changes over 5-year intervals from 2000 to 2019. Using individual participant data, we assessed perinatal, sociodemographic, and household factors, and underlying medical conditions for RSV-associated ALRI incidence, hospital admission, and three severity outcome groups (longer hospital stay [>4 days], use of supplemental oxygen and mechanical ventilation, or intensive care unit admission) by estimating pooled odds ratios (ORs) through a two-stage meta-analysis (multivariate logistic regression and random-effects meta-analysis). This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42021269742.

FINDINGS

We included 47 studies from the literature and 17 studies with individual participant-level data contributed by the participating investigators. We estimated that, in 2019, 1 650 000 (95% uncertainty range [UR] 1 350 000-1 990 000) RSV-associated ALRI episodes, 533 000 (385 000-730 000) RSV-associated hospital admissions, 3050 (1080-8620) RSV-associated in-hospital deaths, and 26 760 (11 190-46 240) RSV-attributable deaths occurred in preterm infants worldwide. Among early preterm infants, the RSV-associated ALRI incidence rate and hospitalisation rate were significantly higher (rate ratio [RR] ranging from 1·69 to 3·87 across different age groups and outcomes) than for all infants born at any gestational age. In the second year of life, early preterm infants and young children had a similar incidence rate but still a significantly higher hospitalisation rate (RR 2·26 [95% UR 1·27-3·98]) compared with all infants and young children. Although late preterm infants had RSV-associated ALRI incidence rates similar to that of all infants younger than 1 year, they had higher RSV-associated ALRI hospitalisation rate in the first 6 months (RR 1·93 [1·11-3·26]). Overall, preterm infants accounted for 25% (95% UR 16-37) of RSV-associated ALRI hospitalisations in all infants of any gestational age. RSV-associated ALRI in-hospital case fatality ratio in preterm infants was similar to all infants. The factors identified to be associated with RSV-associated ALRI incidence were mainly perinatal and sociodemographic characteristics, and factors associated with severe outcomes from infection were mainly underlying medical conditions including congenital heart disease, tracheostomy, bronchopulmonary dysplasia, chronic lung disease, or Down syndrome (with ORs ranging from 1·40 to 4·23).

INTERPRETATION

Preterm infants face a disproportionately high burden of RSV-associated disease, accounting for 25% of RSV hospitalisation burden. Early preterm infants have a substantial RSV hospitalisation burden persisting into the second year of life. Preventive products for RSV can have a substantial public health impact by preventing RSV-associated ALRI and severe outcomes from infection in preterm infants.

FUNDING

EU Innovative Medicines Initiative Respiratory Syncytial Virus Consortium in Europe.

Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Hospitalizations in Children: A 10-Year Population-Based Analysis in Finland, 2008-2018

BACKGROUND

The risk of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalization is highest during the first months of life, but few studies have assessed the population-based rates of hospitalization in monthly age groups of infants.

METHODS

We determined the average population-based rates of hospitalization with virologically confirmed RSV infections in children ≤15 years of age admitted during the 10-year period of 2008-2018. Testing for RSV was routine in all children hospitalized with respiratory infections, and all RSV-positive children admitted at any time during the study period were included in the analyses.

RESULTS

The annual population-based rate of RSV hospitalization was highest in infants 1 month of age (52.0 per 1000 children; 95% CI, 45.2-59.7), followed by infants <1 month of age (34.8 per 1000; 95% CI, 29.2-41.1) and those 2 months of age (32.2 per 1000; 95% CI, 26.9-38.4). In cumulative age groups, the rate of hospitalization was 39.7 per 1000 (95% CI, 36.2-43.4) among infants <3 months of age, 26.8 per 1000 (95% CI, 24.8-29.0) in infants aged <6 months, and 15.8 per 1000 (95% CI, 14.7-17.0) in those <12 months of age.

CONCLUSION

In monthly age groups of infants, the incidence rates of virologically confirmed RSV hospitalization in all infants up to 3 months of age were substantially higher than those reported in earlier studies. These data may be important for improving the estimates of the cost-effectiveness of various interventions to reduce the burden of RSV in young infants.

Age-specific predictors of disease severity in children with respiratory syncytial virus infection beyond infancy and through the first 5 years of age

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection is associated with significant morbidity in infants. Risk factors for severe disease beyond the first 2 years of life have not been fully defined.

METHODS

Children <5 years hospitalized with virologically confirmed RSV infection were identified over six respiratory seasons (10/2012-4/2018) and their medical records manually reviewed. Multivariable analyses were performed to define the age-specific (<6, 6-24, and >24-59 months) risk factors associated with oxygen administration, PICU admission, mechanical ventilation, and duration of hospitalization.

RESULTS

We identified 5143 children hospitalized with RSV infection: 53.5% (n = 2749) <6 months; 31.7% (n = 1631) 6-24 months; and 14.8% (n = 763) >24-59 months. Rates of ICU admission were high (35%-36%) and comparable across age groups, while children >24-59 and 6-24 versus those <6 months required supplemental oxygen more frequently (73%; 71%; 68%, respectively; p = .003). The presence of comorbidities increased with age (25%, <6 months; 46%, 6-24 months; 70%, >24-59 months; p < .001). Specifically, neuromuscular disorders, chronic lung disease, and reactive airway disease/asthma were predictive of worse clinical outcomes in children aged 6-24 and >24-59 months, while RSV-viral codetections increased the risk of severe outcomes in children aged <6 and 6-24 months of age.

CONCLUSIONS

Almost half of children hospitalized with RSV infection were >6 months. Underlying comorbidities increased with age and remained associated with severe disease in older children, while RSV-viral codetections were predictive of worse clinical outcomes in the youngest age groups. These data suggest the importance of defining the clinical phenotype associated with severe RSV according to age, and the persistent burden associated with RSV beyond infancy.

Molecular epidemiology and clinical characteristics of respiratory syncytial virus in hospitalized children during winter 2021-2022 in Bengbu, China

Objective

This study aimed to study the molecular epidemiology and clinical characteristics of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection from hospitalized children with ARTI in Bengbu.

Methods

One hundred twenty-four nasopharyngeal swab specimens and clinical data from children with ARTI cases were collected in Bengbu, China, during winter 2021-2022. The samples were detected by qPCR of 13 respiratory viruses. Phylogenetic analysis was constructed using MEGA 7.0. All analyses were performed using SAS software, version 9.4.

Results

In winter 2021-2022, URTI, NSCAP, SCAP, and bronchiolitis accounted for 41.03%, 27.35%, 17.09%, and 14.53% of hospitalized children in Bengbu, China. The detection rates of the top three were RSV (41.94%), ADV (5.65%), and FluB (5.65%) in hospitalized children through 13 virus detection. RSV is the main pathogen of hospitalized children under 2 years old. Forty-eight sequences of G protein of RSV were obtained through PCR amplification, including RSV-A 37 strains and RSV-B 11 strains. Phylogenetic analysis showed that all RSV-A and RSV-B were ON1 and BA9 genotypes, respectively. ON1 genotypes were further divided into two clades. The majority of ON1 strains formed a unique genetic clade with T113I, V131D, N178 G, and H258Q mutations. Furthermore, RSV infection was an independent risk factor for ventilator use (OR = 9.55, 95% CI 1.87-48.64).

Conclusion

There was a high incidence of RSV among hospitalized children during winter 2021-2022 in Bengbu with ON1 and BA9 being the dominant strains. This study demonstrated the molecular epidemiological characteristics of RSV in children with respiratory infections in Bengbu, China.

Current state and challenges in respiratory syncytial virus drug discovery and development

Human respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) in young children and elderly people worldwide. Recent significant progress in our understanding of the structure and function of RSV proteins has led to the discovery of several clinical candidates targeting RSV fusion and replication. These include both the development of novel small molecule interventions and the isolation of potent monoclonal antibodies. In this review, we summarize the state-of-the-art of RSV drug discovery, with a focus on the characteristics of the candidates that reached the clinical stage of development. We also discuss the lessons learned from failed and discontinued clinical developments and highlight the challenges that remain for development of RSV therapies.

Inpatient burden of respiratory syncytial virus in children ≤2 years of age in Germany: A retrospective analysis of nationwide hospitalization data, 2019-2022

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes respiratory tract disease in seasonal waves, primarily in infants and young children. This study aims to quantify the number of RSV-related hospitalizations in children ≤2 years of age and to determine corresponding resource use and costs in Germany.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed population-wide hospital data from the Institute for the Hospital Remuneration System (InEK) from 2019 to 2022. RSV cases were identified using the RSV-specific 10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) codes J12.1, J20.5, and J21.0. The RSV-associated proportion of all hospitalizations caused by severe acute respiratory infections (SARIs), clinical manifestations, length of stay (LOS), intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, ventilation rates, and hospitalization costs were retrieved.

RESULTS

We identified 98,220 hospitalizations (26,052, 15,407, 31,362, and 25,399 in 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2022, respectively) with a principal RSV diagnosis in children aged ≤2 years in Germany. The majority of RSV hospitalizations (73,178) occurred in infants (<1 year), with annual incidence rates ranging from 14.9 to 28.6 per 1000 population. Fifty-eight percent of all SARI hospitalizations in this age group were attributable to RSV. In children aged ≤2 years, mean LOS was 4.5 days, 6.1% of cases were admitted to ICU, and 5.3% of cases were ventilated. Mean hospitalization costs per case ranged from €3001 to €3961 over the study period.

CONCLUSIONS

RSV causes substantial disease burden and is a leading cause of SARI-related hospital admissions of children ≤2 years of age in Germany. Our results confirm the need to explore and evaluate strategies to prevent RSV in infants and young children.

RSV Burden and Its Impact on Pediatric Inpatient Bed Occupancy in Belgium: An Analysis of National Hospital Claims Data

BACKGROUND

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections represent a substantial burden on pediatric services during winter. While the morbidity and financial burden of RSV are well studied, less is known about the organizational impact on hospital services (ie, impact on bed capacity and overcrowding and variation across hospitals).

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of the population-wide Belgian Hospital Discharge Data Set for the years 2017 and 2018 (including all hospital sites with pediatric inpatient services), covering all RSV-associated (RSV-related International Classification of Diseases, 10th Version, Clinical Modification diagnoses) inpatient hospitalization by children under 5 years old as well as all-cause acute hospitalizations in pediatric wards.

RESULTS

RSV hospitalizations amount to 68.3 hospitalizations per 1000 children less than 1 year and 5.0 per 1000 children 1-4 years of age and are responsible for 20%-40% of occupied beds during the peak period (November-December). The mean bed occupancy rate over the entire year (2018) varies across hospitals from 22.8% to 85.1% and from 30.4% to 95.1% during the peak period. Small-scale pediatric services (<25 beds) are more vulnerable to the volatility of occupancy rates. Forty-six hospital sites have daily occupancy rates above 100% (median of 9 days). Only in 1 of 23 geographically defined hospital networks these high occupancy rates are on the same calendar days.

CONCLUSIONS

Pediatric services tend to be over-dimensioned to deal with peak activity mainly attributable to RSV. RSV immunization can substantially reduce pediatric capacity requirements. Enhanced collaboration in regional networks is an alternative strategy to deal with peaks and reduce capacity needs.

The disease burden of respiratory syncytial virus in Infants

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

To describe the current global burden of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in infants and its implications for morbidity, health resources and economic costs.

RECENT FINDINGS

New prophylactic therapies are on the horizon for RSV in the form of long-acting monoclonal antibodies suitable for healthy infants and maternal immunizations.

SUMMARY

Despite being responsible for significant global infant morbidity and mortality, until recently there have been no effective therapeutics available for healthy infants to protect them from RSV. Several new drugs are likely to be available within the next few years which could help relieve a huge burden on healthcare systems over the coming winters.

ResQ Family: Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) Infection in Infants and Quality of Life of Families-Study Protocol of a Multi-Country Family Cohort Study

(1) Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection in infants not only affects the child itself, but also their families. Nevertheless, information on the overall impact is scarce. A comprehensive caregiver-specific approach covering essential (health) dimensions and relevant stakeholders was initiated under the ResQ Family study conducted in Germany, France, Italy and Sweden. The primary objective is to investigate the health-related quality of life of parents and/or caregivers of children (<24 months) hospitalised for RSV. (2) Each participant completes an online questionnaire disseminated via social media and printed material in hospitals. Using the PedsQLTM FIM as well as further self-designed questions, parent and patient characteristics as well as potential stressors and preventive factors are recorded at baseline and after six weeks. Multivariate regression models with health-related quality of life as main outcome parameter will be conducted. (3) The study is currently in the recruitment process. A full analysis will be performed once the data collection phase is complete. First results are to be expected in late 2023. (4) Publishing the results in the form of scientific papers but also non-scientific (information) material will help us raise awareness for RSV and the importance of prevention among healthcare professionals, patient representatives and decision-makers.

Quantifying changes in respiratory syncytial virus-associated hospitalizations among children in Texas during COVID-19 pandemic using records from 2006 to 2021

Aim

To quantify changes on RSV- associated hospitalizations during COVID-19 pandemic, among children four years of age or younger at the state and county levels of Texas using routinely acquired hospital admission records.

Methods

We used the Texas Public Use Data Files (PUDF) of the Department of State Human Services (DSHS) to obtain hospital admissions and healthcare outcomes from 2006 to 2021. We used the 2006-2019 period to estimate a long-term temporal trend and predict expected values for 2020-2021. Actual and predicted values were used to quantify changes in seasonal trends of the number of hospital admissions and mean length of hospital stay. Additionally, we calculated hospitalization rates and assessed their similarity to rates reported in the RSV Hospitalization Surveillance Network (RSV-NET).

Results

An unusually low number of hospitalizations in 2020 was followed by an unusual peak in the third quarter of 2021. Hospital admissions in 2021 were approximately twice those in a typical year. The mean length of hospital stay typically followed a seasonal trend before COVID-19, but increased by a factor of ∼6.5 during the pandemic. Spatial distribution of hospitalization rates revealed localized healthcare infrastructure overburdens during COVID-19. RSV associated hospitalization rates were, on average, two times higher than those of RSV-NET.

Conclusion

Hospital admission data can be used to estimate long-term temporal and spatial trends and quantify changes during events that exacerbate healthcare systems, such as pandemics. Using the mean difference between hospital rates calculated with hospital admissions and hospital rates obtained from RSV-NET, we speculate that state-level hospitalization rates for 2022 could be at least twice those observed in the two previous years, and the highest in the last 17 years.

The burden and surveillance of RSV disease in young children in Belgium-expert opinion

Infections with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) can cause severe disease. In young children, RSV is the most common cause of lower respiratory tract illness and life-threatening infections most commonly occur in the first years of life. In adults, elderly and immunocompromised people are most vulnerable. Recently there has been an acceleration in the development of candidate RSV vaccines, monoclonal antibodies and therapeutics which are expected to become available in Europe within the next 2-10 years. Understanding the true burden of childhood RSV disease will become very important to support public health authorities and policy makers in the assessment of new therapeutic opportunities against RSV disease. A systematic literature search was performed to map local data on the burden of RSV disease and to evaluate available RSV surveillance systems. A group of 9 paediatric infectious diseases specialists participated in an expert panel. The purpose of this meeting was to evaluate and map the burden associated with RSV infection in children, including patient pathways and the epidemiological patterns of virus circulation in Belgium. Sources of information on the burden of RSV disease in Belgium are very limited. For the outpatient setting, it is estimated that 5-10% of young patients seen in primary care are referred to the hospital. Around 3500 children between 0 and 12 months of age are hospitalized for RSV-bronchiolitis every year and represent the majority of all hospitalizations. The current Belgian RSV surveillance system was evaluated and found to be insufficient. Knowledge gaps are highlighted and future perspectives and priorities offered.

CONCLUSION

The Belgian population-based RSV surveillance should be improved, and a hospital-led reporting system should be put in place to enable the evaluation of the true burden of RSV disease in Belgium and to improve disease management in the future.

WHAT IS KNOWN

• RSV bronchiolitis is a very important cause of infant hospitalization. • The burden of disease in the community is poorly studied and underestimated.

WHAT IS NEW

• This expert opinion summarizes knowledge gaps and offers insights that allow improvement of local surveillance systems in order to establish a future-proof RSV surveillance system.

Correlative outcomes of maternal immunization against RSV in cotton rats

Maternal anti-respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) antibodies protect neonates from RSV disease throughout first weeks of life. Previous studies of maternal immunization in cotton rats showed that a single immunization during pregnancy of RSV-primed dams with virus-like particles (VLPs) assembled with pre-fusion F protein and the wild type G protein boosted their RSV serum antibody concentration and protected pups early in life against RSV challenge. We extended these findings by evaluating responses to RSV infection in litters from two consecutive pregnancies of immunized dams. Using an RSV-primed population of VLP-vaccinated and unvaccinated dams, we defined correlations between dams' and litters' RSV neutralizing antibodies (NA); between litters' NA and protection; and between litter's NA and their lung expression of selected cytokines, of a first or of a second pregnancy. Lung pathology was also evaluated. We found positive correlation between the NA titers in the dams at delivery and the NA in their first and second litters and negative correlations between the litters' NA and protection from RSV challenge. Vaccination of dams modulated the mRNA expression for IFNγ and IL-6 and lung pathology in the first and in the second litter at different times after birth, even in the absence of detectable NA. Maternal RSV vaccination enhanced the levels of antibodies transferred to offspring and their protection from challenge. Importantly, maternal vaccination also impacted the immunological and inflammatory response of the offspring's lungs well into maturity, and after the antiviral effect of maternally transferred NA waned or was no longer detectable.

The Scope of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in a Tertiary Hospital in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia and the Change in Seasonal Pattern during and after the COVID-19 Pandemic

Background and Objectives: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a major cause of morbidity and hospital admission due to respiratory tract infection among infants and young children. The current study aims to describe the prevalence and the seasonal pattern of RSV during the previous seven years. Materials and Methods: Clinical data and RSV antigen and PCR test results were collected from patients’ medical records at King Fahd Hospital of the University in the Eastern Province of Saudi Arabia between January 2015 and February 2022. Results: The overall percentage of RSV detection was 26.3% (336/1279) among the tested individuals. RSV infection was more common among children below five years and elderly above 60 years of age. Two-thirds of the cases required hospitalization. The average hospital stay due to RSV infection was 6.5 days (range 0−56 days). The rate of hospitalization was higher among infants and younger children and decreased with age (p-value < 0.001). RSV infection was more prevalent between August and February and decreased appreciably between March and July. The peak level of infection was during December and January. No RSV infections were reported during the COVID-19 pandemic and the following winter. The cases increased again in August 2021, with an unusual out-of-season peak. Conclusions: RSV infection is one of the important causes of morbidity and hospitalization among infants and young children in Saudi Arabia. The seasonal pattern of infection has changed after the COVID-19 pandemic, and the physicians should be aware that infection may happen currently at different times throughout the year.

Correlation between national surveillance and search engine query data on respiratory syncytial virus infections in Japan

Background

The respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease burden is significant, especially in infants and children with an underlying disease. Prophylaxis with palivizumab is recommended for these high-risk groups. Early recognition of a RSV epidemic is important for timely administration of palivizumab. We herein aimed to assess the correlation between national surveillance and Google Trends data pertaining to RSV infections in Japan.

Methods

The present, retrospective survey was performed between January 1, 2018 and November 14, 2021 and evaluated the correlation between national surveillance data and Google Trends data. Joinpoint regression was used to identify the points at which changes in trends occurred.

Results

A strong correlation was observed every study year (2018 [r = 0.87, p < 0.01], 2019 [r = 0.83, p < 0.01], 2020 [r = 0.83, p < 0.01], and 2021 [r = 0.96, p < 0.01]). The change-points in the Google Trends data indicating the start of the RSV epidemic were observed earlier than by sentinel surveillance in 2018 and 2021 and simultaneously with sentinel surveillance in 2019. No epidemic surge was observed in either the Google Trends or the surveillance data from 2020.

Conclusions

Our data suggested that Google Trends has the potential to enable the early identification of RSV epidemics. In countries without a national surveillance system, Google Trends may serve as an alternative early warning system.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-13899-y.

Identifying the Target Population for Primary Respiratory Syncytial Virus Two-Step Prevention in Infants: Normative Outcome of Hospitalisation Assessment for Newborns (NOHAN)

Background: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of acute respiratory infection- related hospitalisations in infants (RSVh). Most of these infants are younger than 6 months old with no known risk factors. An efficient RSVh prevention program should address both mothers and infants, relying on Non-Pharmaceutical (NPI) and Pharmaceutical Interventions (PI). This study aimed at identifying the target population for these two interventions. Methods: Laboratory-confirmed RSV-infected infants hospitalised during the first 6 months of life were enrolled from the Hospices Civils de Lyon birth cohort (2014 to 2018). Clinical variables related to pregnancy and birth (sex, month of birth, birth weight, gestational age, parity) were used for descriptive epidemiology, multivariate logistic regression, and predictive score development. Results: Overall, 616 cases of RSVh in 45,648 infants were identified. Being born before the epidemic season, prematurity, and multiparity were independent predictors of RSVh. Infants born in January or June to August with prematurity and multiparity, and those born in September or December with only one other risk factor (prematurity or multiparity) were identified as moderate-risk, identifying the mothers as candidates for a first-level NPI prevention program. Infants born in September or December with prematurity and multiparity, and those born in October or November were identified as high-risk, identifying the mothers and infants as candidates for a second-level (NPI and PI) intervention. Conclusions: It is possible to determine predictors of RSVh at birth, allowing early enrollment of the target population in a two-level RSV prevention intervention.