A cohort study on the duration of Plasmodium falciparum infections during the dry season in The Gambia

Strong isolation by distance and evidence of population microstructure reflect ongoing Plasmodium falciparum transmission in Zanzibar

Background

The Zanzibar archipelago of Tanzania has become a low-transmission area for Plasmodium falciparum. Despite being considered an area of pre-elimination for years, achieving elimination has been difficult, likely due to a combination of imported infections from mainland Tanzania and continued local transmission.

Methods

To shed light on these sources of transmission, we applied highly multiplexed genotyping utilizing molecular inversion probes to characterize the genetic relatedness of 282 P. falciparum isolates collected across Zanzibar and in Bagamoyo district on the coastal mainland from 2016 to 2018.

Results

Overall, parasite populations on the coastal mainland and Zanzibar archipelago remain highly related. However, parasite isolates from Zanzibar exhibit population microstructure due to the rapid decay of parasite relatedness over very short distances. This, along with highly related pairs within shehias, suggests ongoing low-level local transmission. We also identified highly related parasites across shehias that reflect human mobility on the main island of Unguja and identified a cluster of highly related parasites, suggestive of an outbreak, in the Micheweni district on Pemba island. Parasites in asymptomatic infections demonstrated higher complexity of infection than those in symptomatic infections, but have similar core genomes.

Conclusions

Our data support importation as a main source of genetic diversity and contribution to the parasite population in Zanzibar, but they also show local outbreak clusters where targeted interventions are essential to block local transmission. These results highlight the need for preventive measures against imported malaria and enhanced control measures in areas that remain receptive to malaria reemergence due to susceptible hosts and competent vectors.

Funding

This research was funded by the National Institutes of Health, grants R01AI121558, R01AI137395, R01AI155730, F30AI143172, and K24AI134990. Funding was also contributed from the Swedish Research Council, Erling-Persson Family Foundation, and the Yang Fund. RV acknowledges funding from the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis (reference MR/R015600/1), jointly funded by the UK Medical Research Council (MRC) and the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO), under the MRC/FCDO Concordat agreement and is also part of the EDCTP2 program supported by the European Union. RV also acknowledges funding by Community Jameel.

RNA polymerase III is involved in regulating Plasmodium falciparum virulence

While often undetected and untreated, persistent seasonal asymptomatic malaria infections remain a global public health problem. Despite the presence of parasites in the peripheral blood, no symptoms develop. Disease severity is correlated with the levels of infected red blood cells (iRBCs) adhering within blood vessels. Changes in iRBC adhesion capacity have been linked to seasonal asymptomatic malaria infections, however how this is occurring is still unknown. Here, we present evidence that RNA polymerase III (RNA Pol III) transcription in Plasmodium falciparum is downregulated in field isolates obtained from asymptomatic individuals during the dry season. Through experiments with in vitro cultured parasites, we have uncovered an RNA Pol III-dependent mechanism that controls pathogen proliferation and expression of a major virulence factor in response to external stimuli. Our findings establish a connection between P. falciparum cytoadhesion and a non-coding RNA family transcribed by Pol III. Additionally, we have identified P. falciparum Maf1 as a pivotal regulator of Pol III transcription, both for maintaining cellular homeostasis and for responding adaptively to external signals. These results introduce a novel perspective that contributes to our understanding of P. falciparum virulence. Furthermore, they establish a connection between this regulatory process and the occurrence of seasonal asymptomatic malaria infections.

Household-level effects of seasonal malaria chemoprevention in the Gambia

BACKGROUND

In 2022 the WHO recommended the discretionary expansion of the eligible age range for seasonal malaria chemoprevention (SMC) to children older than 4 years. Older children are at lower risk of clinical disease and severe malaria so there has been uncertainty about the cost-benefit for national control programmes. However, emerging evidence from laboratory studies suggests protecting school-age children reduces the infectious reservoir for malaria and may significantly impact on transmission. This study aimed to assess whether these effects were detectable in the context of a routinely delivered SMC programme.

METHODS

In 2021 the Gambia extended the maximum eligible age for SMC from 4 to 9 years. We conducted a prospective population cohort study over the 2021 malaria transmission season covering 2210 inhabitants of 10 communities in the Upper River Region, and used a household-level mixed modelling approach to quantify impacts of SMC on malaria transmission.

RESULTS

We demonstrate that the hazard of clinical malaria in older participants aged 10+ years ineligible for SMC decreases by 20% for each additional SMC round per child 0-9 years in the same household. Older inhabitants also benefit from reduced risk of asymptomatic infections in high SMC coverage households. Spatial autoregression tests show impacts are highly localised, with no detectable spillover from nearby households.

CONCLUSIONS

Evidence for the transmission-reducing effects of extended-age SMC from routine programmes implemented at scale has been previously limited. Here we demonstrate benefits to the entire household, indicating such programmes may be more cost-effective than previously estimated.

Strong isolation by distance and evidence of population microstructure reflect ongoing Plasmodium falciparum transmission in Zanzibar

The Zanzibar archipelago of Tanzania has become a low-transmission area for Plasmodium falciparum. Despite being considered an area of pre-elimination for years, achieving elimination has been difficult, likely due to a combination of imported infections from mainland Tanzania, and continued local transmission. To shed light on these sources of transmission, we applied highly multiplexed genotyping utilizing molecular inversion probes to characterize the genetic relatedness of 282 P. falciparum isolates collected across Zanzibar and in Bagamoyo District on the coastal mainland from 2016-2018. Overall, parasite populations on the coastal mainland and Zanzibar archipelago remain highly related. However, parasite isolates from Zanzibar exhibit population microstructure due to rapid decay of parasite relatedness over very short distances. This, along with highly related pairs within shehias, suggests ongoing low level local transmission. We also identified highly related parasites across shehias that reflect human mobility on the main island of Unguja and identified a cluster of highly related parasites, suggestive of an outbreak, in the Micheweni district on Pemba island. Parasites in asymptomatic infections demonstrated higher complexity of infection than those in symptomatic infections, but have similar core genomes. Our data support importation as a main source of genetic diversity and contribution to the parasite population on Zanzibar, but they also show local outbreak clusters where targeted interventions are essential to block local transmission. These results highlight the need for preventive measures against imported malaria and enhanced control measures in areas that remain receptive for malaria reemergence due to susceptible hosts and competent vectors.

Asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum carriage at the end of the dry season is associated with subsequent infection and clinical malaria in Eastern Gambia

BACKGROUND

Chronic carriage of asymptomatic low-density Plasmodium falciparum parasitaemia in the dry season may support maintenance of acquired immunity that protects against clinical malaria. However, the relationship between chronic low-density infections and subsequent risk of clinical malaria episodes remains unclear.

METHODS

In a 2-years study (December 2014 to December 2016) in eastern Gambia, nine cross-sectional surveys using molecular parasite detection were performed in the dry and wet season. During the 2016 malaria transmission season, passive case detection identified episodes of clinical malaria.

RESULTS

Among the 5256 samples collected, 444 (8.4%) were positive for P. falciparum. A multivariate model identified village of residence, male sex, age ≥ 5 years old, anaemia, and fever as independent factors associated with P. falciparum parasite carriage. Infections did not cluster over time within the same households or recurred among neighbouring households. Asymptomatic parasite carriage at the end of dry season was associated with a higher risk of infection (Hazard Ratio, HR = 3.0, p < 0.0001) and clinical malaria (HR = 1.561, p = 0.057) during the following transmission season. Age and village of residence were additional predictors of infection and clinical malaria during the transmission season.

CONCLUSION

Chronic parasite carriage during the dry season is associated with an increased risk of malaria infection and clinical malaria. It is unclear whether this is due to environmental exposure or to other factors.

Plasmodium falciparum gametocyte carriage in longitudinally monitored incident infections is associated with duration of infection and human host factors

Malaria transmission depends on the presence of Plasmodium gametocytes that are the only parasite life stage that can infect mosquitoes. Gametocyte production varies between infections and over the course of infections. Infection duration is highly important for gametocyte production but poorly quantified. Between 2017 and 2019 an all-age cohort of individuals from Tororo, eastern Uganda was followed by continuous passive and routine assessments. We longitudinally monitored 104 incident infections from 98 individuals who were sampled once every 28 days and on any day of symptoms. Among infections that lasted ≥ 3 months, gametocyte appearance was near-universal with 96% of infections having detectable gametocytes prior to clearance. However, most infections were of much shorter duration; 55.7% of asymptomatic infections were detected only once. When considering all asymptomatic infections, regardless of their duration, only 36.3% had detectable gametocytes on at least one time-point prior to parasite clearance. Infections in individuals with sickle-cell trait (HbAS) were more likely to have gametocytes detected (Hazard Rate (HR) = 2.68, 95% CI 1.12, 6.38; p = 0.0231) and had gametocytes detected at higher densities (Density Ratio (DR) = 9.19, 95% CI 2.79, 30.23; p = 0.0002) compared to infections in wildtype (HbAA) individuals. Our findings suggest that a large proportion of incident infections is too short in duration and of too low density to contribute to onward transmission.

Asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum carriage and clinical disease: a 5-year community-based longitudinal study in The Gambia

BACKGROUND

Carriers of persistent asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum infections constitute an infectious reservoir that maintains malaria transmission. Understanding the extent of carriage and characteristics of carriers specific to endemic areas could guide use of interventions to reduce infectious reservoir.

METHODS

In eastern Gambia, an all-age cohort from four villages was followed up from 2012 to 2016. Each year, cross-sectional surveys were conducted at the end of the malaria transmission season (January) and just before the start of the next one (June) to determine asymptomatic P. falciparum carriage. Passive case detection was conducted during each transmission season (August to January) to determine incidence of clinical malaria. Association between carriage at the end of the season and at start of the next one and the risk factors for this were assessed. Effect of carriage before start of the season on risk of clinical malaria during the season was also examined.

RESULTS

A total of 1403 individuals-1154 from a semi-urban village and 249 from three rural villages were enrolled; median age was 12 years (interquartile range [IQR] 6, 30) and 12 years (IQR 7, 27) respectively. In adjusted analysis, asymptomatic P. falciparum carriage at the end of a transmission season and carriage just before start of the next one were strongly associated (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 19.99; 95% CI 12.57-31.77, p < 0.001). The odds of persistent carriage (i.e. infected both in January and in June) were higher in rural villages (aOR = 13.0; 95% CI 6.33-26.88, p < 0.001) and in children aged 5-15 years (aOR = 5.03; 95% CI 2.47-10.23, p =  < 0.001). In the rural villages, carriage before start of the season was associated with a lower risk of clinical malaria during the season (incidence risk ratio [IRR] 0.48, 95% CI 0.27-0.81, p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

Asymptomatic P. falciparum carriage at the end of a transmission season strongly predicted carriage just before start of the next one. Interventions that clear persistent asymptomatic infections when targeted at the subpopulation with high risk of carriage may reduce the infectious reservoir responsible for launching seasonal transmission.

Drought correlates with reduced infection complexity and possibly prevalence in a decades-long study of the lizard malaria parasite Plasmodium mexicanum

Microparasites often exist as a collection of genetic 'clones' within a single host (termed multi-clonal, or complex, infections). Malaria parasites are no exception, with complex infections playing key roles in parasite ecology. Even so, we know little about what factors govern the distribution and abundance of complex infections in natural settings. Utilizing a natural dataset that spans more than 20 years, we examined the effects of drought conditions on infection complexity and prevalence in the lizard malaria parasite Plasmodium mexicanum and its vertebrate host, the western fence lizard, Sceloporus occidentalis. We analyzed data for 14,011 lizards sampled from ten sites over 34 years with an average infection rate of 16.2%. Infection complexity was assessed for 546 infected lizards sampled during the most recent 20 years. Our data illustrate significant, negative effects of drought-like conditions on infection complexity, with infection complexity expected to increase by a factor of 2.27 from the lowest to highest rainfall years. The relationship between rainfall and parasite prevalence is somewhat more ambiguous; when prevalence is modeled over the full range in years, a 50% increase in prevalence is predicted between the lowest and highest rainfall years, but this trend is not apparent or is reversed when data are analyzed over a shorter timeframe. To our knowledge, this is the first reported evidence for drought affecting the abundance of multi-clonal infections in malaria parasites. It is not yet clear what mechanism might connect drought with infection complexity, but the correlation we observed suggests that additional research on how drought influences parasite features like infection complexity, transmission rates and within-host competition may be worthwhile.

The mystery of persistent, asymptomatic Plasmodium falciparum infections

Plasmodium falciparum causes millions of malaria infections and hundreds of thousands of deaths annually. These parasites avoid the adaptive immune response by systematically cycling through a limited repertoire of variant surface antigens after which the number of circulating parasites drops to extremely low levels, coinciding with a loss of symptoms and eventual clearance of the infection. However, in regions with extended dry seasons or in individuals who no longer reside in endemic areas, asymptomatic infections have been observed to persist for many months or years, potentially serving as reservoirs for transmission. Recent work suggests the possibility that parasites can assume a state in which no variant surface antigens are expressed, thus rendering them virtually invisible to the immune system and enabling them to persist at low levels indefinitely.

Genetic Diversity of Plasmodium falciparum and Distribution of Antimalarial Drug Resistance Mutations in Symptomatic and Asymptomatic Infections

Malaria control relies on passive case detection, and this strategy fails detecting asymptomatic infections. In addition, infections in endemic areas harbor multiple parasite genotypes that could affect case management and malaria epidemiology.