Marital Status, Living Arrangement, and Cancer Recurrence and Survival in Patients with Stage III Colon Cancer: Findings from CALGB 89803 (Alliance)

Establishment of nomogram to predict overall survival and cancer-specific survival of local tumor resection in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis with unresectable metastases: a large population-based analysis

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The tumour-node metastasis (TNM) classification is a common model for evaluating the prognostic value of tumour patients. However, few models have been used to predict the survival outcomes of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) with unresectable metastases who received the primary local surgery. Thus, we utilized the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database to establish novel nomograms for predicting the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) of these patients.

METHODS

Extracted primary data on CRLM patients by local surgery from SEER database. All prognostic factors of OS and CSS were determined by Cox regression analysis. The concordance index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and calibration curves were used to further evaluate the accuracy and discrimination of these nomograms. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was executed to evaluate the nomograms for the clinical net benefit. Risk stratification analysis (RSA) was used to evaluate the reliability of them in clinical.

RESULTS

3622 eligible patients were screened and assigned to training cohort (1812) or validation cohort (1810). The age, chemotherapy, tumour grade, primary tumour site, tumour size, lymph node positive rate (LNR), marital status, and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) were independent prognostic factors of OS. Additionally, the age, chemotherapy, tumour grade, primary tumour site, tumour size, LNR, and CEA were independent prognostic factors of CSS. The results of C-indexes and ROC curves indicated that the established nomograms exhibited better discrimination power than TNM classification. The calibration curves demonstrated excellent agreement between the predicted and actual survival rates for 1-, 3-, and 5 year OS and CSS. Meanwhile, the validation cohort demonstrated similar results. Background the clinic context, the DCA showed that these nomograms have higher net benefits, and the RSA showed that patients were further divided into low risk, medium risk, and high risk groups according to the predicted scores from nomograms. And, the Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test showed that the survival differences among the three groups are statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognostic nomograms showed very high accuracy, identifiability, and clinical practicality in predicting the OS and CSS of CRLM patients with unresectable metastases treated by local surgery at 1-, 3-, and 5 years, which might improve individualized predictions of survival risks and help clinicians formulate treatment plans.

Nomogram for predicting outcomes in elderly women with mucinous breast cancer: A retrospective study combined with external validation in southwest China

OBJECTIVE

Mucinous breast cancer (MBC) is a kind of breast cancer (BC), which is rare in clinic, mainly for women, because of the low incidence rate, so there is no unified standard treatment protocol. Elderly patients have a poor prognosis due to their combined comorbidities. This study aims to investigate the effect of surgery and chemoradiotherapy on the prognosis of elderly female MBC patients and construct nomograms for predicting the OS and CSS in elderly female MBC patients.

METHODS

Data for female MBC patients over 65 years are obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database, patients were divided into two groups: the training set and the validation set. External validation data of the prediction model were provided by Kunming Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine. We used Cox regression modeling, which was used to identify independent risk factors affecting patient prognosis. After avoiding confounding bias according to the multifactorial Cox regression model, we used these screened statistically significant results to construct column-line plots. The performance of the model was tested using the consistency index (c-index), the calibration curve, and the area under the operating characteristic curve of the receiver (AUC). Subsequently, we used decision curve analysis (DCA) to examine the potential clinical value of our nomograms.

RESULTS

A total of 8103 elderly MBC female patients were extracted from the database SEER and were assigned to the training and validation set, randomly. A total of 83 patients from Kunming Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were used in the external verification set. After multifactorial Cox regression analysis, we found that age, race, T-stage, M-stage, surgical approach, radiotherapy, and tumor size were independent risk factors for OS in elderly MBC patients. Similarly, independent risk factors of CSS included age, marital status, N stage, M stage, surgical approach, chemotherapy, and tumor size. The C-index for the OS training, validation, and external verification set were 0.731 (95%CI 0.715-0.747), 0.738 (95%CI 0.724-0.752), and 0.809 (95%CI 0.731-0.8874). The C-index of the training set, the validation set, and external verification set for CSS were 0.786 (95%CI 0.747-0.825), 0.776 (95%CI 0.737-0.815), and 0.84 (95%CI0.754-0.926), respectively. The AUC, calibration curves and DCA also showed good accuracy.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we construct a new nomogram to predict the prognosis of elderly patients with MBC. The nomograms have undergone internal and external validation and have been confirmed to have good clinical applicability. At the same time, we found that for elderly female MBC patients, surgery and radiotherapy significantly benefit their survival, but chemotherapy is not conducive to patient survival.

Survival Benefits of Postoperative Chemotherapy in Patients With Colorectal Mucinous Adenocarcinoma: An Analysis Utilizing Propensity Score Matching From the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Database

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate the characteristics of patients with colorectal mucinous adenocarcinoma (MAC) who benefit from postoperative chemotherapy (POCT) and to develop effective postoperative survival nomograms for predicting overall survival (OS) in colorectal MAC patients.

METHODS

Data of colorectal MAC patients who underwent surgery from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database between 2010 and 2020 were collected. Patients were grouped based on POCT, and intergroup analysis was performed using 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM). Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curves were used to compare the prognosis between the 2 groups. Cox analysis was employed to identify factors associated with OS in patients with colorectal MAC who underwent POCT. The variance inflation factor (VIF) and bilateral stepwise regression were used to determine factors included in the model. Additionally, a nomogram was constructed to predict postoperative survival outcomes for patients. The discriminative ability of the nomograms was evaluated using the C-index and calibration curve analysis, the decision curve analysis (DCA) assessed the clinical utility of the nomogram, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve evaluated the nomograms' performance.

RESULTS

This study encompassed 6829 patients with colorectal MAC, among whom 2258 received POCT, and 4571 did not. Whether pre or post PSM, patients in the POCT group consistently exhibited a superior median OS compared to those in the postoperative non-chemotherapy group (P < .0001). For colorectal MAC patients undergoing POCT, OS was correlated with factors such as patient age, carcinoembryonic antigen levels, tumor deposits, perineural invasion (PNI), lymph node examination count, T staging, and Grade staging. Notably, a significant chemotherapy advantage was observed in patients without perineural invasion, those with lymph node examination counts exceeding 12, and patients with moderately differentiated tumors. The overall colorectal MAC patient postoperative OS predictive nomogram demonstrated a C-index of .74, with a calibration curve near the diagonal and a DCA curve indicating positive net benefits. In comparison to TNM staging, the ROC curves of the nomogram at 1 year, 3 years, and 5 years demonstrated superior predictive capabilities (AUC: .80 vs .71, .78 vs .71, .77 vs .70).

CONCLUSION

This study revealed the characteristics of colorectal MAC patients who benefit from POCT and established effective prognostic nomograms, which can aid clinicians in designing personalized treatment plans for individual patients and promote precision medicine.

Predicting treatment failure in stage III colon cancer patients after radical surgery

Purpose

The aim to assess treatment failure in patients with stage III colon cancer who underwent radical surgery and was analyzed using the nomogram.

Methods

Clinical factors and survival outcomes for stage III colon cancer patients registered in the SEER database from 2018 to 2019 were analyzed, with patients split into training and testing cohorts (7:3 ratio). A total of 360 patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of Longyan served as an external validation cohort. Independent predictors of treatment failure were identified using logistic regression analyses. The nomograms was evaluated by concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and the area under the curve (AUC), decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curves (CIC) assessed the clinical utility of nomograms versus TNM staging.

Results

The study included 4,115 patients with stage III colon cancer. Multivariate logistic analysis age, tumor site, pT stage, pN stage, chemotherapy, pretreatment CEA levels, number of harvested lymph nodes, perineural invasion and marital status were identified as independent risk factors for treatment failure. The C-indices for the training and testing sets were 0.853 and 0.841. Validation by ROC and calibration curves confirmed the stability and reliability of the model. DCA showed that the net clinical effect of the histogram was superior to that of the TNM staging system, while CIC highlighted the potentially large clinical impact of the model.

Conclusions

The developed Nomogram provides a powerful and accurate tool for clinicians to assess the risk of treatment failure after radical surgery in patients with stage III colon cancer.

Perioperative Evaluation of the Physical Quality of Life of Patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Prospective Study

Surgery is the most effective treatment for early-stage lung cancer; however, it poses a higher physical burden than other treatment options. Therefore, understanding the perioperative course of patients is important. Using the Short Form Health Survey 36, we prospectively measured the physical quality of life of patients who underwent anatomical pulmonary resection for non-small cell lung cancer at Shonan Kamakura General Hospital, Kanagawa, Japan (n = 87). In the preoperative setting, patients who had lower performance status and lived alone had significantly worse physical quality of life scores on multivariate analysis (regression coefficient (95% confidence interval), -9.37 (-13.43--5.32) and -10.22 (-13.74--7.40), respectively, p < 0.0001 for both). At 6 months postoperatively, patients who stopped smoking within 1 year preoperatively (stopped smoking within 1 year vs. remote or never smokers, 41.0 ± 10.5 vs. 48.6 ± 7.2, p = 0.002), had lower performance status (0 vs. 1-2, 49.3 ± 6.6 vs. 38.6 ± 9.6, p < 0.0001), lived alone (living alone vs. living with somebody, 41.6 ± 9.7 vs. 48.1 ± 7.9, p = 0.021), and had higher comorbid burden (Charlson comorbidity index <3 vs. ≥3, 48.2 ± 6.9 vs. 39.1 ± 14.7, p = 0.003) had significantly worse physical quality of life scores on univariate analysis. More recent smoking (regression coefficient (95% confidence interval), -4.90 (-8.78-1.0), p = 0.014), lower performance status (8.90 (5.10-12.70), p < 0.0001), living alone (5.76 (1.39-10.13), p = 0.01), and higher comorbid burden (-6.94 (-11.78--2.10), p = 0.006) were significant independent predictors of worse postoperative physical quality of life on multivariate analysis. Therefore, patients with these conditions might need additional support to maintain their physical condition after anatomical lung cancer surgery.

Building Data Infrastructure for Disease-Focused Health Economics Research

BACKGROUND

Data infrastructure for cancer research is centered on registries that are often augmented with payer or hospital discharge databases, but these linkages are limited. A recent alternative in some states is to augment registry data with All-Payer Claims Databases (APCDs). These linkages capture patient-centered economic outcomes, including those driven by insurance and influence health equity, and can serve as a prototype for health economics research.

OBJECTIVES

To describe and assess the utility of a linkage between the Colorado APCD and Colorado Central Cancer Registry (CCCR) data for 2012-2017.

RESEARCH DESIGN, PARTICIPANTS, AND MEASURES

This cohort study of 91,883 insured patients evaluated the Colorado APCD-CCCR linkage on its suitability to assess demographics, area-level data, insurance, and out-of-pocket expenses 3 and 6 months after cancer diagnosis.

RESULTS

The linkage had high validity, with over 90% of patients in the CCCR linked to the APCD, but gaps in APCD health plans limited available claims at diagnosis. We highlight the advantages of the CCCR-APCD, such as granular race and ethnicity classification, area-level data, the ability to capture supplemental plans, medical and pharmacy out-of-pocket expenses, and transitions in insurance plans.

CONCLUSIONS

Linked data between registries and APCDs can be a cornerstone of a robust data infrastructure and spur innovations in health economics research on cost, quality, and outcomes. A larger infrastructure could comprise a network of state APCDs that maintain linkages for research and surveillance.

Impact of Head and Neck Cancer Diagnosis and Treatment on Patient-Partner Intimacy

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effects of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma diagnosis and treatment on patient- and partner-perceived intimacy and to understand if a diagnosis of HPV-related head and neck squamous cell carcinoma influences patient-partner intimacy.

STUDY DESIGN

Prospective observational.

SETTING

Single tertiary care center.

METHODS

An investigator-developed questionnaire was used to prospectively survey patients and partners in 2 groups based on human papillomavirus (HPV) status: HPV+ and HPV- at diagnosis (visit 1) and after treatment (visit 2). Surveys were scored on a 60-point scale, and results were categorized as follows: loss of intimacy (0-30), stable relationship (31-41), or improvement in intimacy (42-60). Responses of couples who participated together were assessed for concordance. Responses were considered discordant if patient and partner scores equated to different levels of perceived intimacy. Median patient and partner scores were compared via Mann-Whitney U test, and concordance was assessed with a chi-square test.

RESULTS

Thirty-four patients and 28 partners completed surveys at visit 1 and 28 patients and 15 partners at visit 2. Median scores among patients and partners were similar at the first time point (HPV+, 45 vs 45, P = .64; HPV-, 42.6 vs 40.8, P = .29) and the second (HPV+, 44.5 vs 44, P = .87; HPV-, 40.2 vs 39.6, P = .90). Concordance rates between HPV+ and HPV- couples were 63% vs 44% (P = .43) for the first time point and 89% vs 50% (P = .24) for the second.

CONCLUSION

Patients and partners reported stable or improved intimacy at both time points, and most couples tended to agree on their levels of perceived intimacy. A diagnosis of HPV did not appear to significantly affect intimacy scores.

Prognostic immunogenic characteristics of iron pendant disease modifiers in colon cancer

Background

We explored the prognostic and immunogenic characteristics of iron pendant disease regulators in colon cancer to provide a scientific basis for the prediction of tumor prognosis-related markers and potential immunotherapeutic drug targets.

Methods

RNA sequencing and matched complete clinical information of colon cancer (COAD) were retrieved from the UCSC Xena database, and genomic and transcriptomic data of colon cancer from the TCGA database were downloaded. Then univariate and multifactorial Cox regression were used to process these data. The prognostic factors were analyzed by single-factor and multi-factor Cox regression, followed by Kaplan-Meier survival curves with the aid of R software "survival" package. Then we use FireBrowse online analysis tool to analyze the expression variation of all cancer genes, and draw a histogram according to the influencing factors to predict the 1, 3, and 5 year survival rates of patients.

Results

The results show that age, tumor stage and iron death score were significantly correlated with prognosis (p<0.05). Further multivariate cox regression analysis confirmed that age, tumor stage and iron death score were still significantly correlated with prognosis (p<0.05); The calibration curve results show that the deviation between the predicted values of 1 year, 3 years and 5 years and the diagonal of the figure is very small; the ROC curve results show that the AUC values of the 1-year and 5-year ROC curves of the bar graph are high; the DCA curve results show that the net yield of the bar graph is the largest; The scores of T cells and B cells in the high iron death score group were significantly lower than those in the low iron death score group, and the activities of immune related pathways were significantly reduced. There was a significant difference in the iron death score between the iron death molecular subtype and the gene cluster subtype.

Conclusions

The model showed a superior response to immunotherapy in the high-risk group, revealing a potential relationship between iron death and tumor immunotherapy, which will provide new ideas for the treatment and prognostic assessment of colon cancer patients.

Can the genes communicate with each other after birth? An international cross-sectional study

Background

Various factors contribute to the pathogenesis of a disease. These include genetic factors, family history, and some idiopathic causes. Genetic makeup has an important role in the progression of disease. This is due to mutations in genetic material, that is, deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA).

Methodology

This is a cross-sectional study that involved 5000 participants distributed across 250 countries. All the participants were randomly selected and asked to fill out the online survey. All the participants were fully informed about the study's purpose before providing their consent.

Results

The participants were distributed among 250 countries. Their age mean (standard deviation) is 46.7 (12.4). We discovered a significant difference between those who have genetic or congenital diseases and those who have a family history of the disease. Also, there is a statistically significant difference between the recurrence of the disease and the duration of the visits of close relatives who have the same disease.

Conclusion

The study suggests that there might be some ways, through gene waves or the environment, in which a gene changes the expression of other genes of similar sequence in different individuals when the required period of contact is provided. In the future, this theory might explain the idiopathic nature of some diseases.