Predicting relapse in anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody-associated vasculitis: a Systematic review and meta-analysis

Computable phenotype for real-world, data-driven retrospective identification of relapse in ANCA-associated vasculitis

OBJECTIVE

ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV) is a relapsing-remitting disease, resulting in incremental tissue injury. The gold-standard relapse definition (Birmingham Vasculitis Activity Score, BVAS>0) is often missing or inaccurate in registry settings, leading to errors in ascertainment of this key outcome. We sought to create a computable phenotype (CP) to automate retrospective identification of relapse using real-world data in the research setting.

METHODS

We studied 536 patients with AAV and >6 months follow-up recruited to the Rare Kidney Disease registry (a national longitudinal, multicentre cohort study). We followed five steps: (1) independent encounter adjudication using primary medical records to assign the ground truth, (2) selection of data elements (DEs), (3) CP development using multilevel regression modelling, (4) internal validation and (5) development of additional models to handle missingness. Cut-points were determined by maximising the F1-score. We developed a web application for CP implementation, which outputs an individualised probability of relapse.

RESULTS

Development and validation datasets comprised 1209 and 377 encounters, respectively. After classifying encounters with diagnostic histopathology as relapse, we identified five key DEs; DE1: change in ANCA level, DE2: suggestive blood/urine tests, DE3: suggestive imaging, DE4: immunosuppression status, DE5: immunosuppression change. F1-score, sensitivity and specificity were 0.85 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.92), 0.89 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.99) and 0.96 (95% CI 0.93 to 0.99), respectively. Where DE5 was missing, DE2 plus either DE1/DE3 were required to match the accuracy of BVAS.

CONCLUSIONS

This CP accurately quantifies the individualised probability of relapse in AAV retrospectively, using objective, readily accessible registry data. This framework could be leveraged for other outcomes and relapsing diseases.

Urinary CD4 + T Cells Predict Renal Relapse in ANCA-Associated Vasculitis

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT

Early identification of patients at risk of renal flares in ANCA vasculitis is crucial. However, current clinical parameters have limitations in predicting renal relapse accurately. This study investigated the use of urinary CD4 + T lymphocytes as a predictive biomarker for renal flares in ANCA vasculitis. This study, including urine samples from 102 patients, found that the presence of urinary CD4 + T cells was a robust predictor of renal relapse within a 6-month time frame, with a sensitivity of 60% and a specificity of 97.8%. The diagnostic accuracy of urinary CD4 + T cells exceeded that of ANCA titers, proteinuria, and hematuria. Monitoring urinary CD4 + T lymphocytes could help assess the risk of future renal relapse, enabling early preventive measures and tailored treatment strategies.

BACKGROUND

In ANCA-associated vasculitis, there is a lack of biomarkers for predicting renal relapse. Urinary T cells have been shown to differentiate active GN from remission in ANCA-associated vasculitis, but their predictive value for renal flares remains unknown.

METHODS

The PRE-FLARED study was a prospective multicenter biomarker study including 102 individuals with ANCA-associated vasculitis in remission aimed to predict renal relapse by quantifying urinary CD4 + T-cell subsets using flow cytometry at baseline and monitoring clinical outcomes over a 6-month follow-up.

RESULTS

Among the participants, ten experienced renal relapses, two had non-renal flares, and 90 remained in stable remission. The median baseline urinary CD4 + T-cell count was significantly higher in patients who relapsed compared with those in remission. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of urinary CD4 + T-cell counts showed an area under the curve value of 0.88 for predicting renal flares, outperforming ANCA titers, hematuria, and proteinuria. Using a cutoff of 490 CD4 + T cells per 100 ml urine, the sensitivity and specificity in identifying patients with future renal flares were 60% and 97.8%, respectively. In a post hoc analysis, combining urinary CD4 + T-cell counts with proteinase-3 ANCA levels suggested improved predictive performance in the PR3 + subgroup. In addition, the number of urinary CD4 + T cells showed a limited correlation with a decline in GFR and an increase in proteinuria over the follow-up period.

CONCLUSIONS

This study concluded that urinary CD4 + T-cell counts could identify patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis at a substantial risk of renal relapse within 6 months. Combining these counts with ANCA levels further improved the prediction of relapse.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY NAME AND REGISTRATION NUMBER

Urinary T Lymphocytes Predict Renal Flares in Patients With Inactive ANCA-associated Glomerulonephritis (PRE-FLARED), NCT04428398 .

Sustained post-rituximab B-cell depletion is common in ANCA-associated vasculitis and is affected by sex and renal function

OBJECTIVE

Despite the increasing use of rituximab in anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV), it remains unclear what the optimal dosing is, especially for maintenance of remission. A deeper understanding of post-rituximab B-cell repopulation patterns may aid better-tailored treatment.

METHODS

This is a monocentric, retrospective study including ANCA-positive AAV patients receiving a single course of rituximab induction. CD19+ B cells were longitudinally monitored with flow cytometry. B-cell repopulation was defined as CD19+ >10 cells/μL.

RESULTS

Seventy-one patients were included, the majority with microscopic polyangiitis (75%), myeloperoxidase-ANCA positivity (75%) and with renal involvement (79%). During a median follow-up of 54 months since the first rituximab infusion, 44 patients (62%) repopulated B cells, with a median time to repopulation of 39 months (range 7-102). Patients experiencing B-cell depletion lasting longer than the overall median time to repopulation (39 months) exhibited a lower risk of flare and higher risk of serious infection. In multivariate Cox regression, higher estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) [hazard ratio (HR) 1.84, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-2.98 per 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 eGFR] and female sex (HR 2.70, 95% CI 1.37-5.31) were independent predictors of increased rate of B-cell repopulation.

CONCLUSION

A subset of AAV patients develop sustained post-rituximab B-cell depletion, which associates with reduced risk of flare and increased risk of serious infection in the long term. Preserved renal function and female sex are associated with faster B-cell repopulation. These observations further highlight the need to personalize immunosuppression to improve clinical outcomes.

ANCA-Associated Vasculitis: Practical Issues in Management

ANCA associated vasculitides are multi-system autoimmune diseases which are increasing in prevalence. In this review we will discuss the clinical manifestations and review the management options. We highlight the various trials of induction and maintenance therapy and discuss the areas of unmet need. These include understanding which patients are at highest risk of relapse, clinical adaptation of improved biomarkers of disease activity and tools to discuss long term prognosis.

The Future of Vasculitis: A Manifesto

Predictions for a general path forward in vasculitis care and research are provided based on advances made in the past 20 years. Prospects for advances in translational research with potential to improve care are highlighted, including identification of hemato-inflammatory diseases, autoantigens, disease mechanisms in animal models, and biomarkers. A list of active randomized trials is provided, and areas of potential paradigm shifts in care are highlighted. The importance of patient involvement and international collaboration is noted, and a plea is made for innovative trial designs that would improve access of patients to trials and to clinical experts at referral centers.

Combination Treatment of Locoregionally Aggressive Granulomatosis with Polyangiitis and Cranial Base Infiltration

OBJECTIVES

To present a personalized approach in three cases of treatment-resistant, locoregionally aggressive forms of cANCA-positive granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) and skull base involvement.

METHODS

Three patients with GPA and skull base involvement were described alongside a critical review of the current literature.

RESULTS

All presented patients suffered from GPA with an inflammatory tumor at the skull base, alongside cerebellopontine angle involvement, cranial nerve palsies, cerebellar disorders, concomitant hearing loss, and severe otalgia. Symptoms were associated with progressive granulomatous destruction of the temporal bone, laryngopharynx, and central nervous system infiltration. Treatment with cyclophosphamide and high doses of glucocorticoid steroids were ineffective but subsequent therapy with rituximab was successful in the presented cases. The literature review showed that the course of the disease with skull base involvement is associated with poorer clinical and radiological responses to standard pharmacotherapies.

CONCLUSION

Granulomatous inflammation localized in the skull base is associated with a more aggressive disease progression and is less likely to respond to pharmacotherapy. Standard induction therapy with cyclophosphamide and glucocorticoid steroids may be ineffective. A better response may be achieved by using rituximab and concomitant local treatment with glucocorticoid steroid injections.

PROTEINURIA AND HEMATURIA AFTER REMISSION INDUCTION ARE ASSOCIATED WITH OUTCOME IN ANCA-ASSOCIATED VASCULITIS

In anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV), hematuria and proteinuria are biomarkers reflecting kidney involvement at diagnosis. Yet, the prognostic value of their persistence after immunosuppressive induction therapy, reflecting kidney damage or persistent disease, remains uncertain. To study this, our post-hoc analysis included participants of five European randomized clinical trials on AAV (MAINRITSAN, MAINRITSAN2, RITUXVAS, MYCYC, IMPROVE). Urine protein-creatinine ratio (UPCR) and hematuria of spot urine samples collected at the end of induction therapy (four-six months after treatment initiation) were correlated with the occurrence of a combined endpoint of death and/or kidney failure, or relapses during follow-up. Among 571 patients (59% men, median age 60), 60% had anti-proteinase 3-ANCA and 35% had anti-myeloperoxidase-ANCA, while 77% had kidney involvement. After induction therapy, 157/526 (29.8%) had persistent hematuria and 165/481 (34.3%) had UPCR of 0.05 g/mmol or more. After a median follow-up of 28 months (inter quartile range 18-42), and adjustment for age, ANCA type, maintenance therapy, serum creatinine and persistent hematuria after induction, a UPCR of 0.05 g/mmol or more after induction was associated with significant risk of death/kidney failure (adjusted Hazard Ratio (HR) 3.06, 95% confidence interval (1.09-8.59) and kidney relapse (adjusted subdistribution HR 2.22, 1.16-4.24). Persistent hematuria was associated with significant kidney relapse (adjusted subdistribution HR 2.16, (1.13-4.11) but not with relapse affecting any organ nor with death/kidney failure. Thus, in this large cohort of patients with AAV, persistent proteinuria after induction therapy was associated with death/kidney failure and kidney relapse, whereas persistent hematuria was an independent predictor of kidney relapse. Hence, these parameters must be considered to assess long-term kidney prognosis of patients with AAV.

Diagnostic accuracy of antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA) in predicting relapses of ANCA-associated vasculitis: systematic review and meta-analysis

Relapse in antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibodies (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV) is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Utility of ANCA for prediction of relapses is still controversial. PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus, and WebOfScience were searched, screened and confirmed for inclusion [PROSPERO No: CRD42020220308]. Studies measuring serial ANCA by ELISA or indirect immunofluorescence (IF), reporting relapses with sufficient data to calculate sensitivity and specificity were included. Diagnostic odds ratio (OR), sensitivity, specificity and likelihood ratios (LR) were synthesized using a bivariate mixed-effect regression model. Sub-group analysis included a comparison between ELISA and IIF, anti-myeloperoxidase (MPO) and -proteinase 3(PR3), and type of rise in ANCA. For meta-analysis of survival outcomes, hazard ratios were synthesized using a random-effect model. QUADAS-2 was used for assessing quality of studies, I² statistic for heterogeneity Begg's test for publication bias. 2946 abstracts and 43 full-texts were reviewed to identify 26 eligible studies that included 2623 patients with AAV and 848 relapses. Overall heterogeneity was high [I² = 99%] and the overall risk of bias was low to moderate. ANCA positivity by either ELISA or immunofluorescence for predicting relapse of AAV had a sensitivity of 0.70(95% CI 0.58-0.81), specificity of 0.66(0.55-0.76), positive LR of 2.1(1.6-42.7) and negative LR of 0.44(0.30-0.60). ELISA performed marginally better [OR: 5(3-7)] than IIF [OR: 4(2-9)] with similar sensitivity, specificity, PLR and NLR. The area under the curve for PR3 was 0.74(0.7-0.77), while that for MPO was not computed as the number of eligible studies was only three. In the survival analysis, the hazard ratio for relapse was 3.11(1.7-5.65). The meta-analysis shows modest accuracy of ANCA in predicting relapses of ANCA vasculitis and supports the use of serial ANCA monitoring as a biomarker for relapse.

Score to assess the probability of relapse in granulomatosis with polyangiitis and microscopic polyangiitis

OBJECTIVE

To develop a score assessing the probability of relapse in granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) and microscopic polyangiitis (MPA).

METHODS

Long-term follow-up data from GPA and MPA patients included in five consecutive randomised controlled trials were pooled. Patient characteristics at diagnosis were entered into a competing-risks model, with relapse as the event of interest and death the competing event. Univariate and multivariate analyses were computed to identify variables associated with relapse and build a score, which was then validated in an independent cohort of GPA or MPA patients.

RESULTS

Data collected from 427 patients (203 GPA, 224 MPA) at diagnosis were included. Mean±SD follow-up was 80.6±51.3 months; 207 (48.5%) patients experienced ≥1 relapse. Relapse risk was associated with proteinase 3 (PR3) positivity (HR=1.81 (95% CI 1.28 to 2.57); p<0.001), age ≤75 years (HR=1.89 (95% CI 1.15 to 3.13); p=0.012) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m² (HR=1.67 (95% CI 1.18 to 2.33); p=0.004) at diagnosis. A score, the French Vasculitis Study Group Relapse Score (FRS), from 0 to 3 points was modelised: 1 point each for PR3-antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody positivity, eGFR ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m² and age ≤75 years. In the validation cohort of 209 patients, the 5-year relapse risk was 8% for a FRS of 0, 30% for 1, 48% for 2 and 76% for 3.

CONCLUSION

The FRS can be used at diagnosis to assess the relapse risk in patients with GPA or MPA. Its value for tailoring the duration of maintenance therapy should be evaluated in future prospective trials.

Association between kinetic of Anti-Neutrophil Cytoplasmic Antibody (ANCA), renal survival and relapse risk in ANCA-glomerulonephritis

BACKGROUND

Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA) kinetic in ANCA-associated vasculitis with glomerulonephritis (AAV-GN) has been suggested to be associated with AAV relapse. Few studies focused on its association with renal prognosis. Thus, we aimed to investigate the relationship between i) ANCA specificity and evolutive profile, and ii) renal outcomes.

METHODS

This multicentric retrospective study included patients diagnosed with ANCA-GN since 01/01/2000. Patients without ANCA at diagnosis and with fewer than 3 ANCA determinations during follow-up were excluded. We analyzed eGFR variation, renal-free and relapse-free survival according to three ANCA profiles (negative, recurrent, persistent) and to ANCA specificity (MPO or PR3).

RESULTS

Over a follow-up of 56 [34-101] months, a median of 19 [13-25] ANCA determinations were performed for the 134 included patients. Patients with a recurrent/persistent ANCA profile had a lower relapse-free (p = 0.019) survival and tended to have a lower renal survival (p = 0.053) compared to those with negative ANCA profile. Patients with a recurrent/persistent MPO-ANCA profile had the shortest renal survival (p = 0.015) and those with recurrent/persistent PR3-ANCA profile had the worst relapse-free survival (p = 0.013) compared to other profiles. The negative ANCA profile was associated with a greater eGFR recovery. In multivariate regression analysis, it was an independent predictor of a two-fold increase of eGFR at 2-year (OR = 6.79, 95% CI [1.78, 31.4], p = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

ANCA kinetic after ANCA-GN diagnosis is associated with outcomes. MPO-ANCA recurrence/persistence identifies patients with a lower potential of renal recovery and a higher risk of kidney failure, while PR3-ANCA recurrence/persistence identifies patients with a greater relapse risk. Thus, ANCA kinetic may help identify patients with a smoldering disease.

Hypertrophic pachymeningitis in ANCA-associated vasculitis: a cross-sectional and multi-institutional study in Japan (J-CANVAS)

BACKGROUND

This study investigated the characteristics of hypertrophic pachymeningitis (HP) in antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV), using information from a multicenter study in Japan.

METHODS

We analyzed the clinical information of 663 Asian patients with AAV (total AAV), including 558 patients with newly diagnosed AAV and 105 with relapsed AAV. Clinical findings were compared between patients with and without HP. To elucidate the relevant manifestations for HP development, multivariable logistic regression analyses were additionally performed.

RESULTS

Of the patients with AAV (mean age, 70.2 ± 13.5 years), HP was noted in 30 (4.52%), including 20 (3.58%) with newly diagnosed AAV and 10 (9.52%) with relapsed AAV. Granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) was classified in 50% of patients with HP. A higher prevalence of GPA was significantly observed in patients with HP than in those without HP in total AAV and newly diagnosed AAV (p < 0.001). In newly diagnosed AAV, serum proteinase 3 (PR3)-ANCA positivity was significantly higher in patients with HP than in those without HP (p = 0.030). Patients with HP significantly had ear, nose, and throat (ENT) (odds ratio [OR] 1.48, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-2.14, p = 0.033) and mucous membrane/eye manifestations (OR 5.99, 95% CI 2.59-13.86, p < 0.0001) in total AAV. Moreover, they significantly had conductive hearing loss (OR 11.6, 95% CI 4.51-29.57, p < 0.0001) and sudden visual loss (OR 20.9, 95% CI 5.24-85.03, p < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

GPA was predominantly observed in patients with HP. Furthermore, in newly diagnosed AAV, patients with HP showed significantly higher PR3-ANCA positivity than those without HP. The ear and eye manifestations may be implicated in HP development.

Diagnostic and Therapeutic Approach in ANCA-Associated Glomerulonephritis: A Review on Management Strategies

Anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic autoantibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis is a destructive small vessel vasculitis affecting multiple organs. Renal involvement often leads to end-stage renal disease and increases mortality. Prompt diagnosis and initiation of adequate immunosuppressive therapy are critical for the best patient and kidney outcomes. However, considerable heterogeneity in symptoms and severity across the patients frequently hinder the diagnosis and management. The objective of this review is to emphasize the heterogeneity of the ANCA-associated vasculitis, facilitate the recognition and give guidance to the therapeutical possibilities. We present epidemiologic and risk factors, pathogenesis, and provide comprehensive clinical features of the disease. This article also focuses on the currently available therapeutic options and emerging cellular and molecular targets for the management of systemic and especially renal disease. We conducted extensive literature research published on PubMed and Google Scholar. We systematically reviewed, analyzed, and assembled databases, covering a broad spectrum of aspects of the disease. We compared and summarized the recommendations of two recent guidelines on ANCA-associated vasculitis. The incidence of ANCA-associated vasculitis, hence glomerulonephritis shows a steady increase. Familiarity with the presenting symptoms and laboratory abnormalities are necessary for rapid diagnosis. Early initiation of treatment is the key aspect for favorable patient and renal outcomes. A better understanding of the pathogenesis constantly leads to more targeted and therefore more efficient and less toxic treatment.

Management and Outcomes of ANCA-Associated Vasculitis at a Tertiary Healthcare Facility

Results

Thirty-six patients were included in the final study. Cyclophosphamide was used in 24 patients (66.7%) and, comparatively, rituximab in 7 patients (19.4%) for induction. Seven patients (19.4%) had a documented relapse, and six patients (85.7%) had rituximab as induction therapy for relapse. The majority of patients were on azathioprine (61.1%, 57.1% relapse population) as maintenance therapy. Progression to ESRD occurred in 11 (30.6%), death in 4 (11.1%), established CKD in 15 (41.7%), and preservation of renal function in 6 (16.7%) patients by the end of the follow-up period.

Conclusions

While cyclophosphamide remains the choice of induction immunosuppression therapy, we favour rituximab as an induction agent in the relapse of AAV. Despite aggressive immunosuppression therapy, the incidence of ESRD and death remains high in these patients.