Indicators for treatment strategies of colorectal liver metastases

Clinical Prediction Models for Prognosis of Colorectal Liver Metastases: A Comprehensive Review of Regression-Based and Machine Learning Models

Colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) is a disease entity that warrants special attention due to its high frequency and potential curability. Identification of "high-risk" patients is increasingly popular for risk stratification and personalization of the management pathway. Traditional regression-based methods have been used to derive prediction models for these patients, and lately, focus has shifted to artificial intelligence-based models, with employment of variable supervised and unsupervised techniques. Multiple endpoints, like overall survival (OS), disease-free survival (DFS) and development or recurrence of postoperative complications have all been used as outcomes in these studies. This review provides an extensive overview of available clinical prediction models focusing on the prognosis of CRLM and highlights the different predictor types incorporated in each model. An overview of the modelling strategies and the outcomes chosen is provided. Specific patient and treatment characteristics included in the models are discussed in detail. Model development and validation methods are presented and critically appraised, and model performance is assessed within a proposed framework.

Hazard function analysis of prognosis after recurrent colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Mean survival time (MST) is used as the indicator of prognosis in patients with a colorectal cancer (CRC) recurrence. The present study aimed to visualize the changes in death risk after a CRC recurrence using hazard function analysis (HFA) to provide an alternative prognostic indicator to MST.

METHODS

The medical records of 725 consecutive patients with a recurrence following R0 radical surgery for CRC were retrospectively reviewed.

RESULTS

The five-year, post-recurrence survival rate was 37.8%, and the MST was 3.5 years while the risk of death peaked at 2.9 years post-recurrence. Seven variables were found to predict short-term survival, including the number of metastatic organs ≥ 2, non-surgical treatment for the recurrence, and a short interval before recurrence. In patients with a recurrence in one organ, the MST was four years, the peak time of death predicted by HFA was 2.9 years, and the five-year survival rate was 45.8%. In patients with a surgical resection of the recurrence, the MST was 8 years, the peak time of death was 3.3 years, and the five-year survival rate was 62%.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study established a novel method of assessing changes in mortality risk over time using HFA in patients with a CRC recurrence.

Impact of perineural invasion on the outcome of patients with synchronous colorectal liver metastases treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery

PURPOSE

To analyze the prognostic value of variables of the primary tumor in patients with synchronous liver metastases in colorectal cancer (CLRMs) treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery.

METHODS/PATIENTS

From a prospective database, we retrospectively identified all patients with synchronous CLRMs who were treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and liver resection. Using univariate and multivariate analyses, we identified the variables associated with tumor recurrence. Overall survival and disease-free survival were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method with differences determined by the Cox multiple hazards model. Results were compared using the log-rank test.

RESULTS

Ninety-eight patients with synchronous CLRMs were identified. With a median follow-up of 39.8 months, overall survival and disease-free survival at 5 and 10 years were 53%, 41.7%, 29% and 29%, respectively. Univariate analysis identified three variables associated with tumor recurrence: location in the colon (p = 0.025), lymphovascular invasion (p = 0.011) and perineural invasion (p = 0.005). Multivariate analysis identified two variables associated with worse overall survival: perineural invasion (HR 2.36, 95% CI 1.162-4.818, p = 0.018) and performing frontline colectomy (HR 3.286, 95% CI 1.256-8.597, p = 0.015). Perineural invasion remained as the only variable associated with lower disease-free survival (HR 1.867, 95% CI 1.013-3.441, p = 0.045). Overall survival at 5 and 10 years in patients with and without perineural invasion was 68.2%, 54.4% and 29.9% and 21.3%, respectively (HR 5.920, 95% CI 2.241-15.630, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Perineural invasion in the primary tumor is the variable with most impact on survival in patients with synchronous CLRMs treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and surgery.

Histomorphological Evaluation of Desmoplastic Tumor Stroma in Malignant Ovarian Surface Epithelial Tumors

Background

Ovarian cancer is the 8th most common cancer in women worldwide. Tumor budding is defined as a type of invasive growth in carcinomas with either a single tumor cell or a cluster of up to four cells at the invasive tumor front and is associated with epithelial-mesenchymal transition. A reactive stroma rich in cancer-associated fibroblasts is associated with higher tumor grade and poorer prognosis in breast, colorectal, and oral cancers.

Aims and Objectives

The present study was conducted to highlight the prognostic significance of tumor budding and fibrotic cancer stroma in malignant ovarian surface epithelial tumors with known prognostic parameters.

Materials and Methods

This was a retrospective cross-sectional study conducted over a 2-year period, in which all histologically diagnosed cases of malignant ovarian surface epithelial tumors who underwent surgery were included. The fibrotic stroma was classified into three distinct categories - mature, intermediate, and immature. The number of tumor buds was counted at the invasive front of the tumor and graded based on the number of buds - 0-5, 5-9, and ≥10 buds.

Results

Among the 50 cases, 32% (16 cases) had mature stroma, whereas 30% (15 cases) and 38% (19 cases) had intermediate and immature stroma, respectively. Although a significant association could not be established between tumor budding and stroma grade, a fair agreement was established between them. A significant association could be established between histological grade with both tumor budding (P = 0.03) and fibrotic stroma grade (P = 0.02).

Conclusion

The study highlighted the role of stromal response in malignant surface epithelial tumors of the ovary since a higher-grade tumor was associated with an immature stroma, whereas a lower-grade tumor was associated with a mature stroma.

Which patients are prone to suffer liver metastasis? A review of risk factors of metachronous liver metastasis of colorectal cancer

Background

In recent years, with the increasing incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) and its high fatality rate, CRC has seized the attention of the world. And liver metastasis, as the main cause of death of CRC, has become the leading cause of treatment failure in CRC, especially metachronous liver metastasis, have caused patients who underwent bowel resection to experience multiple tortures.

Main body

Metachronous liver metastasis has severely affected the quality of life and prognosis of patients. Therefore, in this review, we discuss risk factors for metachronous liver metastasis of CRC, which is the premise for effective intervention for CRC patients who suffer metachronous liver metastasis after undergoing surgery, as well as the signaling pathways associated with CRC.

Conclusion

The occurrence of metachronous liver metastasis is closely related to histology-based prognostic biomarkers, serum-based biomarkers, tumor microenvironment, pre-metastatic niche, liquid biopsy and tissue-based biomarkers. Further research is required to explore the risk factors associated with liver metastasis of CRC.

Effect of tumour size ratio on liver recurrence-free survival of patients undergoing hepatic resection for colorectal liver metastases

Background

The study aimed to assess the impact of size differences of multiple liver metastases on liver recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients undergoing hepatic resection for colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs).

Methods

Overall, 147 patients with CRLMs who underwent hepatic resection between January 2010 and December 2016 were retrospectively analysed. Tumour size ratio (TSR) was defined as the maximum diameter of the largest liver lesion over the maximum diameter of the smallest liver lesion. The univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine independent prognostic risk factors. The prognostic value of the TSR was further explored in each Tumour Burden Score (TBS) zone. Log-rank survival analyses were used to compare liver RFS in the new clinical score and the Fong clinical score.

Results

Based on the TSR, patients were classified into three groups: TSR < 2, 2 ≤ TSR < 4, and TSR ≥ 4. According to the multivariate analysis, TSR of 2–4 (hazard ratio [HR], 2.580; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.543–4.312; P < 0.001) and TSR < 2 (HR, 4.435; 95% CI 2.499–7.872; P < 0.001) were associated with worse liver RFS. As TSR decreased, liver RFS worsened. TSR could further stratify patients in zones 1 and 2 into different risk groups according to the TBS criteria (zone 1: median liver RFS, 3.2 and 8.9 months for groups 1 and 2, respectively, P = 0.003; zone 2: median liver RFS, 3.5, 5.0, and 10.9 months for groups 1, 2, and 3, respectively, P < 0.05). The predictive ability of the new clinical score, which includes TSR, was superior to that of the Fong clinical score.

Conclusions

TSR, as a prognostic tool, could accurately assess the effect of size differences across multiple liver metastases on liver RFS in patients undergoing hepatectomy for CRLMs.

Trial registration

Retrospectively registered

Oligometastasis scoring system for predicting survival of patients with colorectal liver metastasis after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND

Oligometastasis, the presence of a small number of resectable metastatic tumors, usually has favorable outcomes. Here we examined whether the novel oligometastatic score (OLGS), which divides the number of colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs) by the time from colorectal resection to liver recurrence, better predicts CRLM patient survival than the commonly used clinical risk score.

METHODS

A total of 143 patients who underwent curative hepatectomy for CRLMs between 2007 and 2018 were analyzed. We investigated their clinical characteristics and outcomes using OLGS.

RESULTS

Of the 143 CRLM patients, 70 had synchronous CRLMs and 73 had metachronous CRLMs. Patients with metachronous CRLMs were divided into OLGS-low (n = 59) and OLGS-high (n = 14) subgroups. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rates after hepatectomy differed significantly between the subgroups (p < .001). In the multivariate Cox model, a high OLGS was an independent predictor of 5-year OS (p < .001), and the hazard ratio (HR) of the OLGS-high group (HR = 7.171) was higher than that of the high clinical risk score group (HR = 4.337).

CONCLUSION

The OLGS, a simple and handy scoring system, better predicts the 5-year OS of patients with CRLMs after hepatectomy and warrants prospective validation.

Early Recurrence After Initial Hepatectomy for Colorectal Liver Metastases

Objective

This study investigated the frequency of early recurrence in patients who had undergone hepatectomy for colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) and assessed the indications for adjuvant chemotherapy in these patients.

Methods

This retrospective analysis included 133 consecutive patients who underwent initial hepatectomy for CRLM between April 2000 and May 2010 and have been followed more than 5 years.

Results

Of the 133 patients, 83 (62%) experienced tumor recurrence, with 14 of the 83 recurrences within 6 months after initial hepatectomy. Overall survival was significantly poorer in patients with recurrences within 6 months than those without any recurrence (P = 0.015). The frequency of adjuvant chemotherapy was significantly lower in patients with recurrences within 6 months than those without recurrences within 6 months. Multivariate analysis showed that H-2 classification was the only independent risk factor for recurrence within 6 months after hepatectomy (P = 0.002). Adjuvant chemotherapy improved prognosis in patients classified as H2.

Conclusions

Patients who experienced tumor recurrence within 6 months after initial hepatectomy for CRLM had a poorer prognosis than patients who experienced recurrence after 6 months. Patients with H2-classification of CRLM should receive preoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.

Contour prognostic model for predicting survival after resection of colorectal liver metastases: development and multicentre validation study using largest diameter and number of metastases with RAS mutation status

BACKGROUND

Most current models for predicting survival after resection of colorectal liver metastasis include largest diameter and number of colorectal liver metastases as dichotomous variables, resulting in underestimation of the extent of risk variation and substantial loss of statistical power. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a new prognostic model for patients undergoing liver resection including largest diameter and number of colorectal liver metastases as continuous variables.

METHODS

A prognostic model was developed using data from patients who underwent liver resection for colorectal liver metastases at MD Anderson Cancer Center and had RAS mutational data. A Cox proportional hazards model analysis was used to develop a model based on largest colorectal liver metastasis diameter and number of metastases as continuous variables. The model results were shown using contour plots, and validated externally in an international multi-institutional cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 810 patients met the inclusion criteria. Largest colorectal liver metastasis diameter (hazard ratio (HR) 1.11, 95 per cent confidence interval 1.06 to 1.16; P < 0.001), number of colorectal liver metastases (HR 1.06, 1.03 to 1.09; P < 0.001), and RAS mutation status (HR 1.76, 1.42 to 2.18; P < 0.001) were significantly associated with overall survival, together with age, primary lymph node metastasis, and prehepatectomy chemotherapy. The model performed well in the external validation cohort, with predicted overall survival values almost lying within 10 per cent of observed values. Wild-type RAS was associated with better overall survival than RAS mutation even when liver resection was performed for larger and/or multiple colorectal liver metastases.

CONCLUSION

The contour prognostic model, based on diameter and number of lesions considered as continuous variables along with RAS mutation, predicts overall survival after resection of colorectal liver metastasis.

Prognostic and predictive values of tumour budding in stage IV colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Tumour budding is an important prognostic feature in early-stage colorectal cancer, but its prognostic significance in metastatic disease has not been fully investigated.

METHODS

Patients with stage IV disease who had primary colorectal tumour resection without previous chemotherapy or radiotherapy from January 2000 to December 2018 were reviewed retrospectively. Budding was evaluated at the primary site and graded according to the criteria of the International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference (ITBCC) (BD1, low; BD2, intermediate; BD3, high). Patients were categorized by metastatic (M1a, M1b) and resectional (R0/R1, R2/unresected) status. Subgroups were compared for overall (OS) and recurrence-free (RFS) survival in R0/R1 subgroups; R2/unresected patients were evaluated for the rate of tumour progression, based on change in tumour size from baseline.

RESULTS

Of 371 patients observed during the study, 362 were analysed. Patients with BD3 had a lower 5-year OS rate than those with BD1 + BD2 (18·4 versus 40·5 per cent; P < 0·001). Survival analyses according to metastatic and resection status also showed that BD3 was associated with shorter OS than BD1 + BD2. In multivariable analysis, BD3 (hazard ratio (HR) 1·51, 95 per cent c.i. 1·11 to 2·10; P = 0·009), T4 status (HR 1·39) and R2/unresected status (HR 3·50) were associated with decreased OS. In the R0/R1 subgroup, the 2-year RFS rate was similar for BD3 and BD1 + BD2 according to metastatic status. There was no significant difference between BD3 and BD1 + BD2 for change in tumour size in the R2/unresected subgroup (P = 0·094). Of 141 patients with initially unresectable metastases who had chemotherapy, 35 achieved conversion from unresectable to resectable status. The conversion rate was significantly higher for BD1 + BD2 than for BD3 (36 versus 18 per cent; P = 0·016).

CONCLUSION

Stage IV colorectal cancer with high-grade tumour budding according to ITBCC criteria correlates with poor prognosis.

Fibrosis-4 Index, a Noninvasive Fibrosis Marker, Predicts Survival Outcomes After Hepatectomy for Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases

BACKGROUND

Liver fibrosis influences liver regeneration and surgical outcomes, and several noninvasive models based on laboratory data have been developed to predict liver fibrosis. This study was performed to determine whether the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, a noninvasive fibrosis marker, can predict the prognosis in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) undergoing hepatectomy.

METHODS

This retrospective study involved 193 consecutive patients with CRLM who underwent hepatectomy. The FIB-4 index was calculated by laboratory data and age before hepatectomy and before preoperative chemotherapy. The FIB-4 cut-off was determined using survival classification and regression tree analysis. Patients were divided into two groups (high and low FIB-4 index), and post-hepatectomy overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were investigated.

RESULTS

In total, 193 patients were evaluated. Chemotherapy before hepatectomy was performed in 105 (54.4%) patients. A high FIB-4 index (> 2.736) was found in 39 (20.2%) patients. OS was significantly shorter in patients with a high FIB-4 index than those with a low FIB-4 index in the univariate (45.9 vs. 74.4 months, log-rank p = 0.007) and multivariate analysis (hazard ratio 2.28, 95% confidence interval 1.39-3.74; p = 0.001). Among patients who received chemotherapy before hepatectomy, those with a high FIB-4 index had significantly shorter RFS (6.9 vs. 45.3 months, log-rank p = 0.047) and OS (23.9 vs. 55.0 months, log-rank p = 0.003) than those with a low FIB-4 index. This association was also confirmed by multivariate analysis (hazard ratio 4.28, 95% confidence interval 1.46-12.6; p = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

Both the preoperative and prechemotherapy FIB-4 index can predict long-term outcomes after hepatectomy in patients with CRLM.

Primary Tumor Histology Affects Oncological Outcomes Independently of the Anatomical Extent of Disease in Colorectal Liver Metastasis

Introduction

Growing evidence indicates the prognostic importance of the crosstalk between cancer cells and stroma through the induction of epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT). This study aimed to clarify the prognostic value of evaluating primary tumor histology with the anatomical extent of disease in patients with colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM).

Methods

Prognostic analyses were performed in 411 CRLM patients who underwent hepatectomy at two institutions. Tumors were graded into one of three histological categories based on integrated assessment of EMT-associated histology (Histology^EMT) in primary tumors, i.e., poorly differentiated clusters (PDCs) and desmoplastic reaction (DR).

Results

A prognostic grouping system for the anatomical extent of disease (N stage, liver metastasis number and size, and extrahepatic disease; Grade^anatomical) stratified patients into three groups with different five-year relapse-free survival (RFS) rates after hepatectomy: A, 31% (191 patients); B, 15% (124 patients); and C, 6% (96 patients; P < 0.0001). Histology^EMT (A, G1 PDC and mature-type DR; C, G3 PDC and immature-type DR; and B, others) identified 49, 120, and 242 patients with 46%, 5%, and 22% five-year RFS, respectively (P < 0.0001). Among prognostic factors, the Akaike information criterion was most favorable in Grade^anatomical, followed by Histology^EMT. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that these two factors independently impacted RFS; two-year RFS after hepatectomy in different patient groups had a wide range (10%-76%).

Conclusions

Histological assessment of dedifferentiation and the stromal environment of primary tumors contributed to effective risk stratification of early relapse after hepatectomy, which could be useful to determine clinical management for CRLM patients.

Clinical and molecular determinants of extrahepatic disease progression in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer with liver-limited metastases deemed initially unresectable

Background

No tools to predict the probability of extrahepatic disease progression (ePD) of initially unresectable, liver-limited metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) are currently available. To estimate the likelihood to develop ePD and to identify clinical and molecular factors that could predict extrahepatic progression-free survival (ePFS), we conducted an observational, retrospective, multicentre cohort study.

Methods

We retrospectively identified a cohort of 225 patients with initially unresectable liver-limited disease (LLD), treated from January 2004 to December 2017 with first-line doublets or triplet plus a biological agent at two Italian institutions.

Results

173 (77%) patients experienced ePD which occurred within 1, 2 or 3 years from the diagnosis of mCRC in 15%, 49% and 66% of patients, respectively. Globally, 164 (73%) patients underwent a liver resection at some point of their disease history, and 54 (33%) of them underwent a subsequent locoregional treatment. Age > 70 years, locoregional nodal involvement at diagnosis of colorectal cancer and ≥4 liver metastases were significantly associated with higher risk of ePD while liver resections were associated with reduced risk of ePD. In the multivariable model, number of liver metastases (subdistribution HR, SHR 1.63, 95% CI 1.12 to 2.36; p = 0.01) and liver resections (SHR 0.43, 95% CI 0.29 to 0.63; p = 0.001) were still associated with ePD. Number of liver metastases < 4, no nodal involvement at diagnosis and liver resections were also associated with prolonged ePFS.

Conclusions

The identified clinical factors could help physicians in personalising the intensity and aggressiveness of liver-directed treatments in patients with mCRC with initially unresectable LLD.

CK7 expression associates with the location, differentiation, lymph node metastasis, and the Dukes' stage of primary colorectal cancers

Purpose: Most colorectal cancers (CRCs) show positive immunohistochemical (IHC) staining for CK20 and negative staining for CK7. However, in clinical settings, some CRCs show positive IHC staining for CK7, and the clinicopathological significance of this needs to be studied. This study investigated the clinicopathological significance of CK7 positivity in CRCs.

Materials and Methods: A total of 178 patients with CRC were used to study the clinicopathological significance of CK7 positivity. Western blotting and immunocytochemical (ICC) staining were used to compare the expression levels of CK7 before and after CoCl₂ treatment.

Results: CK7 expression was associated with the location, differentiation, lymph node metastasis, and the Dukes' stage of CRCs. CK7 positive cells were mainly distributed at the edge of cancer nests, at the invasion front, as single stromal polyploid giant cancer cells (PGCCs), in tumor buds, in intravascular tumor emboli, and in a micropapillary pattern. Results of ICC staining showed that CK7 expression was almost negative in LoVo and HCT116 before CoCl₂ treatment. After CoCl₂ treatment, the PGCCs and their daughter cells of LoVo and HCT116 yielded positive results in CK7 ICC staining. Results of western blotting also confirmed that there was higher CK7 expression in LoVo and HCT116 after CoCl₂ treatment than in the control.

Conclusion: CRC cells expressing CK7 may have strong invasive and metastatic abilities. Some metastasis-related morphological characteristics in CRCs including the invasion front, micropapillary pattern, tumor emboli, and single stromal PGCCs associated with CK7 positive expression.

Prognostic factors for survival in stage IV rectal cancer: A Swedish nationwide case-control study

PURPOSE

The aim was to identify patient-, tumor- and treatment-related prognostic factors for five-year survival in rectal cancer patients with synchronous stage IV disease.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

This nationwide case-control study was based on the Swedish Colorectal Cancer Registry with supplementary information from medical records and the Swedish Inpatient Registry during the period 2000-2008. All resected rectal cancer patients with synchronous metastases that survived more than five years were included as cases. The control group consisted of corresponding patients who lived less than five years, matched in a 1:2 based on gender, age, resection of the rectal tumor, and the study period.

RESULTS

A total of 405 patients were identified; 99 long-term survivors (LTS) and 182 short-term survivors (STS). Patient-related factors of symptoms and comorbidity did not differ between LTS and STS. Among the treatment-related factors, multiple site metastases (p = 0.007), bilobar liver metastasis (p = 0.002), and increasing number of liver metastasis (p < 0.001) were associated with STS. Prognostic treatment-related factors were preoperative radiotherapy (p = 0.001), metastasectomy (p < 0.001), and radical resection of the primary tumor (p = 0.014). In the multivariable analysis, the single most important factor for becoming a LTS was a metastasectomy (hazard ratio: 8.474, 95% confidence interval: 4.098-17.543).

CONCLUSIONS

The most important prognostic factor for long-term survival in patients with stage IV rectal cancer was metastasectomy, especially liver surgery. With thorough selection of patients for metastasectomy more patients with metastasized rectal cancer may survive beyond five years.

Radical Gastrectomy After Chemotherapy May Prolong Survival in Stage IV Gastric Cancer: A Korean Multi-institutional Analysis

ABASTRACT

BACKGROUND: Despite the development of newer treatments, the prognosis for patients with stage IV gastric cancer remains grave. This study evaluated the efficacy of gastrectomy following response to chemotherapy in patients with stage IV gastric cancer.

METHODS

A total of 419 patients who were diagnosed with stage IV gastric cancer were identified from the multi-institutional Catholic Gastric Cancer Study Group database. The patients were divided into four groups: 212 were in the chemotherapy only (CTx) group, 124 were in the chemotherapy after palliative gastrectomy (G-CTx) group, 23 were in the radical gastrectomy after chemotherapy (CTx-G) group, and 60 were in the best supportive care group. To compensate for the effects of chemotherapy, cases of chemotherapy responsive were analyzed separately. To identify factors affecting survival rates, cure rates for surgery in the surgery group were analyzed.

RESULTS

The 3-year survival rate of the CTx-G group was significantly higher than that of the CTx group (42.8 vs. 12.0%, p = 0.001). Moreover, the CTx-G group's 3-year survival rate was greater than that of the G-CTx group (42.8 vs. 37.1%, p = 0.207). Chemotherapy-responsive patients in the CTx-G group had a better 3-year survival rate than those in the G-CTx group (46.1 vs. 18.4%, respectively, p = 0.011). In the surgery group, R0 resection led to a significantly better 3-year survival rate than palliative gastrectomy (61.1 vs. 16.2%, p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Adjuvant surgery might improve the survival rate of patients with stage IV gastric cancer, particularly in R0 resection cases.

Anterior Approach to Major Resection for Colorectal Liver Metastasis

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to examine the merits of the anterior approach, if any, in colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) resection.

METHODS

Data of patients who underwent partial hepatectomy for CRLM were reviewed. Patients treated by the anterior approach were compared with patients treated by the conventional approach.

RESULTS

Ninety-eight patients had right hepatectomy, extended right hepatectomy, or right trisectionectomy. Among them, 71 patients underwent the conventional approach (CA group) and 27 underwent the anterior approach (AA group). The two groups were comparable in demographic, pathological, and perioperative characteristics except that the AA group had higher levels of aspartate transaminase (median, 41 vs. 31 U/L; p = 0.006) and alanine transaminase (median, 27 vs. 22 U/L; p = 0.009), larger tumors (median, 7 vs. 4 cm; p = 0.000), and more extensive resections (p < 0.001). The median overall survival was 40 months (range, 0.69-168.6 months) in the CA group and 33.7 months (range, 0.95-99.8 months) in the AA group (p = 0.22), and the median disease-free survival was 9.7 months (range, 0.62-168.6 months) in the CA group and 6.2 months (range, 0.72-99.8 months) in the AA group (p = 0.464). Univariate and multivariate analyses identified 4 independent prognostic factors for overall survival: lymph node status of primary tumor (HR 1.352, 95% CI 0.639-2.862, p = 0.034), intraoperative blood loss (HR 1.253, 95% CI 1.039-1.510, p = 0.018), multiple liver tumor nodules (HR 1.775, 95% CI 1.029-3.061, p = 0.039), and microvascular invasion (HR 2.058, 95% CI 1.053-4.024, p = 0.035).

CONCLUSIONS

The two approaches resulted in comparable survival outcomes even though the AA group had larger tumors and more extensive resections. The anterior approach allows better mobilization and easier removal of large tumors once the liver is opened up.

METACHRONOUS COLORECTAL LIVER METASTASES HAS BETTER PROGNOSIS - IS IT TRUE?

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND: Liver metastases from colorectal cancer are an important public health problem due to the increasing incidence of colorectal cancer worldwide. Synchronous colorectal liver metastasis has been associated with worse survival, but this prognosis is controversial. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate the recurrence-free survival and overall survival between groups of patients with metachronous and synchronous colorectal hepatic metastasis. METHODS: This was a retrospective analysis of medical records of patients with colorectal liver metastases seen from 2013 to 2016, divided into a metachronous and a synchronous group. The Cox regression model and the Kaplan-Meier method with log-rank test were used to compare survival between groups. RESULTS: The mean recurrence-free survival was 9.75 months and 50% at 1 year in the metachronous group and 19.73 months and 63.3% at 1 year in the synchronous group. The mean overall survival was 20.00 months and 6.2% at 3 years in the metachronous group and 30.39 months and 31.6% at 3 years in the synchronous group. Patients with metachronous hepatic metastasis presented worse overall survival in multivariate analysis. The use of biological drugs combined with chemotherapy was related to the best overall survival prognosis. CONCLUSION: Metachronous colorectal hepatic metastasis was associated with a worse prognosis for overall survival. There was no difference in recurrence-free survival between metachronous and synchronous metastases.

Genetic And Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score for patients with colorectal liver metastases

BACKGROUND

This study sought to develop a clinical risk score for resectable colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) by combining clinicopathological and clinically available biological indicators, including KRAS.

METHODS

A cohort of patients who underwent resection for CRLM at the Johns Hopkins Hospital (JHH) was analysed to identify independent predictors of overall survival (OS) that can be assessed before operation; these factors were combined into the Genetic And Morphological Evaluation (GAME) score. The score was compared with the current standard (Fong score) and validated in an external cohort of patients from the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC).

RESULTS

Six preoperative predictors of worse OS were identified on multivariable Cox regression analysis in the JHH cohort (502 patients). The GAME score was calculated by allocating points to each patient according to the presence of these predictive factors: KRAS-mutated tumours (1 point); carcinoembryonic antigen level 20 ng/ml or more (1 point), primary tumour lymph node metastasis (1 point); Tumour Burden Score between 3 and 8 (1 point) or 9 and over (2 points); and extrahepatic disease (2 points). The high-risk group in the JHH cohort (GAME score at least 4 points) had a 5-year OS rate of 11 per cent, compared with 73·4 per cent for those in the low-risk group (score 0-1 point). Importantly, in cohorts from both the JHH and MSKCC (747 patients), the discriminatory capacity of the GAME score was superior to that of the Fong score, as demonstrated by the C-index and the Akaike information criterion.

CONCLUSION

The GAME score is a preoperative prognostic tool that can be used to inform treatment selection.

Outcomes of stage IV patients with colorectal cancer treated in a single institution: What is the key to the long-term survival?

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study is to summarize our short- and long-term treatment results for stage IV colorectal cancer (CRC) and to clarify the factors predicting the favorable long-term survival.

METHODS

Between January 2008 and December 2015, 149 consecutive patients with stage IV CRC underwent initial treatment at Nagoya University Hospital. Their clinical and pathological characteristics, the treatment methods used, and the outcomes were retrospectively analyzed.

RESULTS

The median observation period was 23 months. All of the primary and metastatic lesions were technically resectable in 74 patients; however, the remaining 75 were judged as initially unresectable. R0/1 resection during the treatment course was achieved in 74 patients (50%). For the cohort as a whole, the 5-year overall survival (OS) rate was 35%. The 5-year OS rate in the R0/1 resection group was 57%, which was significantly better than that of the non-R0/1 resection group (6%, p < 0.001). In the R0/1 resection group, perioperative chemotherapy significantly improved the outcome (5-year OS; 62% vs. 0%, p = 0.03). In the non-R0/1 resection group, primary tumor resection was associated with a significantly higher favorable prognosis (3-year OS; 20.4% vs. 0%, p = 0.026). Moreover, the additional use of molecular targeted drugs significantly improved the survival. In multivariate analysis, the differentiated histologic type, R0/1 resection, and parallel use of molecular targeted drugs remained independent factors of a favorable outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study suggested that aggressive curative resection with perioperative chemotherapy might improve survival and that primary tumor resection might improve the outcome in the non-R0/1 group.

Clinical Significance of Preoperative Virtual Colonoscopy for Evaluation of the Proximal Colon in Patient With Obstructive Colorectal Cancer

Purpose

Virtual colonoscopy is the most recently developed tool for detecting colorectal cancers and polyps, but its effectiveness is limited. In our study, we compared the result of preoperative virtual colonoscopy to result of preoperative and postoperative colonoscopy. We evaluated also the accuracy of preoperative virtual colonoscopy in patients who had obstructive colorectal cancer that did not allow passage of a colonoscope.

Methods

A total of 164 patients who had undergone preoperative virtual colonoscopy and curative surgery after the diagnosis of a colorectal adenocarcinoma between November 2008 and August 2013 were pooled. We compared the result of conventional colonoscopy with that of virtual colonoscopy in the nonobstructive group and the results of preoperative virtual colonoscopy with that of postoperative colonoscopy performed at 6 months after surgery in the obstructive group.

Results

Of the 164 patients, 108 were male and 56 were female patients. The mean age was 62.7 years. The average sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of virtual colonoscopy for all patients were 31.0%, 67.2%, and 43.8%, respectively. In the nonobstructive group, the average sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were 36.6%, 66.2%, and 48.0%, respectively, whereas in the obstructive group, they were 2%, 72.4%, and 25.4%. Synchronous cancer was detected via virtual colonoscopy in 4 of the 164 patients.

Conclusion

Virtual colonoscopy may not be an effective method for the detection of proximal colon polyps, but it can be helpful in determining the therapeutic plan when its results are correlated with the results of other studies.

Tumor Budding, Micropapillary Pattern, and Polyploidy Giant Cancer Cells in Colorectal Cancer: Current Status and Future Prospects

We previously reported that polyploid giant cancer cells (PGCGs) induced by CoCl₂ could form through endoreduplication or cell fusion. A single PGCC formed tumors in immunodeficient mice. PGCCs are also the key contributors to the cellular atypia and associate with the malignant grade of tumors. PGCCs have the properties of cancer stem cells and produce daughter cells via asymmetric cell division. Compared with diploid cancer cells, these daughter cells express less epithelial markers and acquire mesenchymal phenotype with importance in cancer development and progression. Tumor budding is generally recognized to correlate with a high recurrence rate, lymph node metastasis, chemoresistance, and poor prognosis of colorectal cancers (CRCs) and is a good indicator to predict the metastasis and aggressiveness in CRCs. Micropapillary pattern is a special morphologic pattern and also associates with tumor metastasis and poor prognosis. There are similar morphologic features and molecular phenotypes among tumor budding, micropapillary carcinoma pattern, and PGCCs with their budding daughter cells and all of them show strong ability of tumor invasion and migration. In this review, we discuss the cancer stem cell properties of PGCCs, the molecular mechanisms of their regulation, and the relationships with tumor budding and micropapillary pattern in CRCs.

Management of patients with colorectal liver metastasis in eleven questions and answers

INTRODUCTION

Colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) is the most frequent indication for liver resection in many centers. Recent improvements in oncology, surgery, interventional radiology, pathology and anesthesiology allow curative treatment in a larger proportion of patients with CRLM. Areas covered: We illustrate the various aspects of the management of CRLM through 11 questions that summarize the topic, from the current obtained survival to future perspectives such as transplantation. The limits of a curative treatment are also presented from different angles, such as the benefits of pathology, the surgical options for extreme resections, the available chemotherapies and their efficacy, or the non-surgical ablative treatments. Expert commentary: Given the increasing therapeutic possibilities, we strengthen the importance to analyze the situation of each patient with CRLM in a dedicated multidisciplinary team, in order to offer the best individualized treatment combination.

Comparison of Anatomical and Nonanatomical Hepatectomy for Colorectal Liver Metastasis: A Meta-Analysis of 5207 Patients

It remains unclear whether hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) should be performed as anatomical resection (AR) or nonanatomical resection (NAR). The aim of this study is to compare the short- and long-term outcomes of AR and NAR for CRLM. PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library were systematically searched to identify eligible studies. Twenty one studies involving 5207 patients were analyzed: 3034 (58.3%) underwent AR procedure and 2173 (41.7%) underwent NAR procedure. The results showed that overall survival (OS, hazard ratio (HR) 1.06, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.95–1.18) and disease free survival (DFS, HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.99–1.24) did not differ significantly between AR and NAR. Duration of operation, postoperative morbidity and mortality were higher in AR than in NAR. There were no significant differences in blood loss and prevalence rate of postoperative positive margins (OR 0.79, 95% CI 0.37–1.52). Our analysis shows that AR does not seem to bring more prognostic benefits than NAR for the treatment of CRLM, and does seem to be inferior to NAR in terms of duration of operation, incidence of postoperative morbidity and mortality.

Tumor Budding: The Name is EMT. Partial EMT

Tumor budding is a histological phenomenon encountered in various cancers, whereby individual malignant cells and/or small clusters of malignant cells are seen in the tumor stroma. Postulated to be mirror epithelial-mesenchymal transition, tumor budding has been associated with poor cancer outcomes. However, the vast heterogeneity in its exact definition, methodology of assessment, and patient stratification need to be resolved before it can be routinely used as a standardized prognostic feature. Here, we discuss the heterogeneity in defining and assessing tumor budding, its clinical significance across multiple cancer types, and its prospective implementation in clinical practice. Next, we review the emerging evidence about partial, rather than complete, epithelial-mesenchymal phenotype at the tumor bud level, and its connection with tumor proliferation, quiescence, and stemness. Finally, based on recent literature, indicating a co-expression of epithelial and mesenchymal markers in many tumor buds, we posit tumor budding to be a manifestation of this hybrid epithelial/mesenchymal phenotype displaying collective cell migration.

h-Prune is associated with poor prognosis and epithelial-mesenchymal transition in patients with colorectal liver metastases

The prognosis of patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) remains low despite advances in chemotherapy and surgery. The expression of h-prune (human homolog of Drosophila prune protein; HGNC13420), an exopolyphosphatase, is correlated with progression and aggressiveness in several cancers and promotes migration and invasion. We investigated the role of h-prune in CRLM. To investigate the role of h-prune, immunohistochemical analysis for h-prune was performed in 87 surgically resected specimens of CRLM obtained between 2001 and 2009 at the Hiroshima University Hospital. Immunohistochemical analysis revealed positive staining for h-prune in 24 (28%) cases. The overall survival rate was significantly lower in h-prune-positive cases than in h-prune-negative cases (p = 0.003). Multivariate analysis showed that h-prune positivity was the only independent factor related to poor overall survival of patients after curative hepatectomy of CRLM. In vitro and in vivo, h-prune-knocked-down and h-prune-overexpressing cells were analyzed. In vitro, h-prune was associated with increased cell motility and upregulation of epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) markers. In a mouse model, h-prune was associated with invasion of the tumor and distant metastases. In summary, h-prune expression is a useful marker to identify high-risk patients for resectable colorectal liver metastasis. h-Prune expression is necessary for cancer cell motility and EMT and is associated with liver and lung metastasis in colorectal cancer cells. h-Prune could be a new prognostic marker and molecular target for CRLM.

Colorectal cancer tumour markers and biomarkers: Recent therapeutic advances

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the second most commonly diagnosed cancer among females and third among males worldwide. It also contributes significantly to cancer-related deaths, despite the continuous progress in diagnostic and therapeutic methods. Biomarkers currently play an important role in the detection and treatment of patients with colorectal cancer. Risk stratification for screening might be augmented by finding new biomarkers which alone or as a complement of existing tests might recognize either the predisposition or early stage of the disease. Biomarkers have also the potential to change diagnostic and treatment algorithms by selecting the proper chemotherapeutic drugs across a broad spectrum of patients. There are attempts to personalise chemotherapy based on presence or absence of specific biomarkers. In this review, we update review published last year and describe our understanding of tumour markers and biomarkers role in CRC screening, diagnosis, treatment and follow-up. Goal of future research is to identify those biomarkers that could allow a non-invasive and cost-effective diagnosis, as well as to recognise the best prognostic panel and define the predictive biomarkers for available treatments.

Preoperative selection of patients with colorectal cancer liver metastasis for hepatic resection

Surgical resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) has a well-documented improvement in survival. To benefit from this intervention, proper selection of patients who would be adequate surgical candidates becomes vital. A combination of imaging techniques may be utilized in the detection of the lesions. The criteria for resection are continuously evolving; currently, the requirements that need be met to undergo resection of CRLM are: the anticipation of attaining a negative margin (R0 resection), whilst maintaining an adequate functioning future liver remnant. The timing of hepatectomy in regards to resection of the primary remains controversial; before, after, or simultaneously. This depends mainly on the tumor burden and symptoms from the primary tumor. The role of chemotherapy differs according to the resectability of the liver lesion(s); no evidence of improved survival was shown in patients with resectable disease who received preoperative chemotherapy. Presence of extrahepatic disease in itself is no longer considered a reason to preclude patients from resection of their CRLM, providing limited extra-hepatic disease, although this currently is an area of active investigations. In conclusion, we review the indications, the adequate selection of patients and perioperative factors to be considered for resection of colorectal liver metastasis.

Phase II multicenter study of adjuvant S-1 for colorectal liver metastasis: survival analysis of N-SOG 01 trial

PURPOSE

We previously showed that S-1 after curative resection of colorectal liver metastasis had acceptable toxicity and a high rate of completion of therapy in a prospective phase II trial. We here reported the primary endpoint of disease-free survival (DFS).

METHODS

Between October 2008 and August 2010, 60 patients were eligible for this study and received S-1 for 28 days followed by a 2-week rest period. Treatment was started within 8 weeks after surgery and repeated for eight cycles.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 41 months. Among 60 patients, 45 had solitary metastasis, and the median maximum tumor diameter was 2.6 cm. The 3-year DFS and overall survival were 47.4 and 80.0 %, respectively. Recurrences developed in 31 patients, with the remnant liver the most common site (19 patients). Multivariate analysis showed that positive lymph node metastasis around the primary site (p = 0.013) and early liver metastasis (synchronous disease or metachronous disease within 12 months) (p = 0.041) were independent poor prognostic factors for DFS. Patients having both risk factors had a significantly worse DFS than those without these risk factors (p < 0.001). Early liver metastasis was an independent indicator of early recurrence within 1 year.

CONCLUSIONS

S-1 after curative liver resection yielded promising survival in patients with a low tumor burden. Outcome in patients having both positive lymph node metastasis around the primary site and early liver metastasis was much worse than in patients without these conditions; therefore, they might warrant more aggressive therapy.

Oncologic outcomes following metastasectomy in colorectal cancer patients developing distant metastases after initial treatment

Purpose

We performed a comparative analysis of the clinicopathologic features and oncologic outcomes of colorectal cancer patients with metachronous versus synchronous metastasis, according to the prognostic factors.

Methods

Ninety-three patients who underwent curative resection for distant metastatic colorectal cancer were included in the study between December 2001 and December 2011. We assessed recurrence-free survival and overall survival in patients with distant metastasis who underwent curative surgery.

Results

The most common site of distant metastasis was lung alone (n = 19, 51.4%) in patients with metachronous metastasis, while liver alone was most common in those with synchronous metastasis (n = 40, 71.4%). Overall survival rate was significantly different between patients with synchronous metastasis and metachronous metastasis (34.0% vs. 53.7%; P = 0.013). Incomplete resection of the metastatic lesion was significantly related to poor overall survival in both, patients with synchronous metastasis, and metachronous metastasis.

Conclusion

Our study indicates that patients developing distant metastasis after initial treatment show a different metastatic pattern and better oncologic outcomes, as compared to those presenting with distant metastasis. Resection with tumor free margins significantly improves survival in patients with metachronous as well as synchronous metastasis.

Neo-adjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery versus surgery alone in high-risk patients with resectable colorectal liver metastases: the CHARISMA randomized multicenter clinical trial

Background

Efforts to improve the outcome of liver surgery by combining curative resection with chemotherapy have failed to demonstrate definite overall survival benefit. This may partly be due to the fact that these studies often involve strict inclusion criteria. Consequently, patients with a high risk profile as characterized by Fong’s Clinical Risk Score (CRS) are often underrepresented in these studies. Conceptually, this group of patients might benefit the most from chemotherapy. The present study evaluates the impact of neo-adjuvant chemotherapy in high-risk patients with primary resectable colorectal liver metastases, without extrahepatic disease. Our hypothesis is that adding neo-adjuvant chemotherapy to surgery will provide an improvement in overall survival (OS) in patients with a high-risk profile.

Methods/Design

CHARISMA is a multicenter, randomized, phase III clinical trial. Patients will be randomized to either surgery alone (standard treatment, arm A) or to 6 cycles of neo-adjuvant oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy, followed by surgery (arm B). Patients must be ≥ 18 years of age with liver metastases of histologically confirmed primary colorectal carcinoma. Patients with extrahepatic metastases are excluded. Liver metastases must be deemed primarily resectable. Only patients with a CRS of 3–5 are eligible. The primary study endpoint is OS. Secondary endpoints are progression free survival (PFS), quality of life, morbidity of resection, treatment response on neo-adjuvant chemotherapy, and whether CEA levels can predict treatment response.

Discussion

CHARISMA is a multicenter, randomized, phase III clinical trial that will provide an answer to the question if adding neo-adjuvant chemotherapy to surgery will improve OS in a well-defined high-risk patient group with colorectal liver metastases.

Trial registration

The CHARISMA is registered at European Union Clinical Trials Register (EudraCT), number: 2013-004952-39, and in the “Netherlands national Trial Register (NTR), number: 4893.

Clinical features and prognosis in hepatectomy for colorectal cancer with centrally located liver metastasis

Background

Hepatic metastasectomy for patients with primary colorectal cancer offers better long-term outcome, and chemotherapy can increase the rate of hepatic resectability for patients with initially inoperable disease. The pattern of liver metastasis and status of the primary tumor are rarely discussed in the analysis of long-term outcome. In this report, we evaluate the influence of the pattern of metastasis on clinical features and prognosis.

Methods

One hundred and fifty-nine patients who underwent hepatic metastasectomy with curative intent for liver metastasis of colorectal cancer between October 1991 and December 2006 were enrolled. Patients were grouped according to whether liver metastasis was centrally or peripherally located, based on imaging and operative findings. Patient demographics, characteristics of the primary and metastatic tumors, and surgical outcomes were analyzed for long-term survival.

Results

A greater proportion of patients with centrally located metastases were male, as compared with those with peripherally located metastases. Compared with patients with peripherally located metastases, patients with centrally located metastases were more likely to have multiple lesions (P = 0.016), involvement of multiple segments (P = 0.006), large metastases (P < 0.001), and bilobar distribution of metastases (P < 0.001). The estimated 5-year recurrence-free and overall survival rates were 22.4% and 34.2%, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that centrally located metastasis, primary tumor in the transverse colon, metastasis in regional lymph nodes, initial extrahepatic metastasis, synchronous liver metastasis, multiple lesions, poorly differentiated tumor, and resection margin <10 mm were significant poor prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival and overall survival. Cox regression analysis showed that inadequate resection margin and centrally located liver metastasis were significant predictors of shorter overall survival.

Conclusions

In colorectal cancer, centrally located liver metastasis represents a poor prognostic factor after hepatectomy, and is associated with early recurrence. Neoadjuvant chemotherapy may be used to downstage centrally located liver metastases to improve outcome.

Prognostic value of poorly differentiated clusters in the primary tumor in patients undergoing hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastasis

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to determine the prognostic value of a novel grading system based on the histologic assessment of poorly differentiated clusters (PDCs) in the primary lesions in patients with hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM). Preoperative survival predictors for CRLM are required to determine candidates for perioperative chemotherapy who would otherwise have a poor prognosis.

METHODS

In total, 411 consecutive patients undergoing curative resection of primary colorectal cancers and metastatic liver lesions at 2 institutions were enrolled. Cancer clusters comprising ≥ 5 cancer cells, lacking a gland-like structure, were defined as PDCs and quantifiably graded.

RESULTS

According to PDCs, 65, 127, and 219 patients were classified as being grades (G)1, G2, and G3, respectively. PDCs were associated with T and N stages and tumor budding in primary tumor, extrahepatic disease, and serum CEA levels (P ≤ .0001-.045), but not with the number and size of liver metastasis. PDC grade significantly influenced recurrence rate in extrahepatic sites, including the lung and peritoneum (P < .0001). The 2-year disease-free survival after hepatectomy was 64.6%, 38.8%, and 22.4% in G1, G2, and G3, respectively. Based on multivariate analysis, PDC grade was selected as an independent prognostic factor together with other conventional factors such as extrahepatic disease and the number of liver metastasis.

CONCLUSION

PDC grade in primary lesions is a novel potent prognostic indicator in CRLM independent of the anatomic extent of disease. Notably, PDC grade can bias survival rates in clinical studies targeting perioperative chemotherapy in CRLM.

Histologic categorization of fibrotic cancer stroma in the primary tumor is an independent prognostic index in resectable colorectal liver metastasis

Although the molecular mechanism of desmoplastic reaction (DR) for providing aggressive tumor characteristics is increasingly recognized, the prognostic role of DR has not been investigated in colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM). A pathologic review of 412 patients who underwent hepatectomy for CRLM at 2 independent institutions was conducted. DR in primary tumors was classified as mature, intermediate, or immature on the basis of the existence of keloid-like collagen and myxoid stroma-distinctive histologic products of extracellular matrix remodeling. With respect to DR, 137, 122, and 153 patients were classified as mature, intermediate, and immature, respectively. Immature DRs were associated with higher T and N stages, higher primary tumor grade, synchronous and larger size of liver metastasis, and extrahepatic disease (P≤0.0001 to 0.002). DR significantly influenced the rate of recurrence in extrahepatic sites, including the lung, peritoneum, and local region in the primary tumor (P≤0.0001 to 0.03), rather than the remnant liver. Five-year overall survival rates after hepatectomy were the highest in the mature group (58.9%), followed by intermediate (42.1%) and immature (26.7%) groups. A significant prognostic impact of DR was observed in subset analyses for institutions, primary tumor location, and timing and number of liver metastases. Multivariate analysis revealed that DR was an independent prognostic factor along with T stage of the primary tumor, size of liver metastasis, and extrahepatic disease. Characterizing DR in the primary tumor on the basis of histologic products of cancer-associated fibroblasts is valuable in evaluating prognostic outcome after hepatectomy in CRLM patients.

Identification of prognostic inflammatory factors in colorectal liver metastases

Background

The modified Glasgow Prognostic Score (mGPS) has been reported to be an important prognostic indicator in a number of tumor types, including colorectal cancer (CRC). The features of the inflammatory state thought to accompany elevated C-reactive protein (CRP), a key feature of mGPS, were characterized in patients with colorectal liver metastases. Additional inflammatory mediators that contribute to prognosis were explored.

Methods

In sera from 69 patients with colorectal liver metastases, a panel of 42 inflammatory mediators were quantified as a function of CRP levels, and as a function of disease-free survival. Multivariate statistical methods were used to determine association of each mediator with elevated CRP and truncated disease-free survival.

Results

Elevated CRP was confirmed to be a strong predictor of survival (HR 4.00, p = 0.001) and recurrence (HR 3.30, p = 0.002). The inflammatory state associated with elevated CRP was comprised of raised IL-1β, IL-6, IL-12 and IL-15. In addition, elevated IL-8 and PDGF-AB/BB and decreased eotaxin and IP-10 were associated with worse disease-free and overall survival.

Conclusions

Elevated CRP is associated with a proinflammatory state. The inflammatory state is an important prognostic indicator in CRC liver metastases. The individual contributions of tumor biology and the host to this inflammatory response will require further investigation.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/1471-2407-14-542) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Performance of prognostic scores in predicting long-term outcome following resection of colorectal liver metastases

BACKGROUND

Ten-year survival appears to define cure following resection of colorectal liver metastases (CRLMs). Various scores exist to predict outcome at 5 years. This study applied several scores to a patient cohort with 10 years of actual follow-up to assess their performance beyond 5 years.

METHODS

The study included consecutive patients who underwent liver resection at a single institution between 1992 and 2001. The ability of eight prognostic scoring systems to predict disease-free (DFS) and disease-specific (DSS) survival was analysed using the C-statistic.

RESULTS

Among 286 patients, the 1-, 3-, 5- and 10-year actual DSS rates were 86.6, 58.3, 39.5 and 24.5 per cent respectively. Seventy patients underwent 105 further resections for recurrent disease, of which 84.8 per cent were within 5 years of follow-up. Analysis of C-statistics showed only one score--the Rees postoperative index--to be a significant predictor of DFS and DSS at all time points. The remaining scores performed less well, and regularly showed no significant improvement in predictive accuracy over what would be expected by chance alone. No score yielded a C-statistic in excess of 0.8 at any time point.

CONCLUSION

Although available risk scores can predict DFS and DSS, none does so with sufficient discriminatory accuracy to identify all episodes of recurrent disease. A non-negligible proportion of patients develop recurrent disease beyond 5 years of follow-up and so surveillance beyond this point may be advantageous.

Surgery for colorectal liver metastases: The evolution of determining prognosis

Despite improvements in the multi-modality treatment of colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM), survival after resection remains varied. Determining prognosis after surgical resection has historically been predicated on preoperative clinicopathological factors such as primary tumor stage, carcinoembryonic antigen levels, number of liver metastases, presence of extrahepatic disease, as well as other factors. While scoring systems have been developed by combining certain preoperative factors, these have been inconsistent in accurately determining prognosis. There has been increasing interest in the use of biologic and molecular markers to predict prognosis following CRLM. The role of markers such as KRAS, BRAF, p53, human telomerase reverse transcriptase, thymidylate synthase, Ki-67, and hypoxia inducible factor-1α and their correlation with accurately predicting survival after surgical resection have been supported by several studies. Furthermore, other elements such as pathological response to chemotherapy and the presence of circulating tumor cells have shown promise in accurately determining prognosis after resection for colorectal liver metastasis. We herein review past, present, and possible future markers of prognosis among colorectal cancer patients with liver metastasis undergoing resection with curative intent.

Prognostic factors after resection of colorectal liver metastases: from morphology to biology

Despite improved overall survival rates after potentially curative liver resection (~50-58% at 5 years), almost half of patients experience disease recurrence highlighting the need for a precise definition of outcomes to stratify patients for clinical trials and to guide treatment decisions. In the past, several factors, such as an advanced primary T stage, the primary N+ status, a large tumor size, multiple tumors, a disease-free interval of <12 months, an elevated carcinoembryonic antigen level, the presence of an extrahepatic disease, and the margin width (<1 cm) and status (positive), have been recognized to predict poor outcomes, but most of them lack the sensitivity for accurate individual prognostication. Thus, in recent years, new factors, such as response to chemotherapy, either clinical or pathological, that more closely reflect tumor biology have been established and adopted in the clinical practice. Similarly, biomarkers of poor prognosis, especially mutations in KRAS and BRAF and the expression of thymidylate synthase, have been studied, yielding promising results. However, robust evidence of their prognostic utility awaits prospective validation.

New invasive patterns as a prognostic factor for superficial esophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

Prognostic factors for superficial esophageal cancer cannot be limited to such factors as lymph node metastasis (N factor), depth of tumor invasion (T factor), and genetic alterations. The purpose of this study was to examine whether invasive growth patterns of tumors, such as infiltrative growth pattern c (INFc) and budding, represent new useful prognostic factors for superficial esophageal cancer.

METHODS

We investigated 87 cases of superficial esophageal cancer in patients treated with radical surgery. First, the invasive growth pattern of the tumor was pathologically evaluated based on the traditional infiltrative growth pattern (INF) classification. Next, new INF criteria were proposed, and the invasive pattern was re-evaluated. We also investigated budding (Bud) in the stroma of the invasive frontal lesion.

RESULTS

When the patients were divided into two groups, with and without an INFc component, the group with an INFc component had a poorer outcome than the group without an INFc component. When the group with an INFc component was defined as "new INFc", new INFc was correlated with the T factor (p = 0.006) and the ly factor (lymphatic invasion) (p = 0.041). Bud was correlated with the T factor (p = 0.001), the N factor (p = 0.030), and new INFc (p < 0.001). An analysis of survival revealed new INFc (p = 0.002) and Bud (p = 0.006) to be prognostic factors. The survival of the group with new INFc(+)/Bud(+) was poorer than that with new INFc(-)/Bud(-) (p = 0.007).

CONCLUSIONS

New INFc and Bud, which represent new invasive patterns, were prognostic factors for superficial esophageal cancer.

Survival after liver resection in metastatic colorectal cancer: review and meta-analysis of prognostic factors

Background

Hepatic metastases develop in approximately 50% of colorectal cancer (CRC) cases. We performed a review and meta-analysis to evaluate survival after resection of CRC liver metastases (CLMs) and estimated the summary effect for seven prognostic factors.

Methods

Studies published between 1999 and 2010, indexed on Medline, that reported survival after resection of CLMs, were reviewed. Meta-relative risks for survival by prognostic factor were calculated, stratified by study size and annual clinic volume. Cumulative meta-analysis results by annual clinic volume were plotted.

Results

Five- and 10-year survival ranged from 16% to 74% (median 38%) and 9% to 69% (median 26%), respectively, based on 60 studies. The overall summary median survival time was 3.6 (range: 1.7–7.3) years. Meta-relative risks (95% confidence intervals) by prognostic factor were: node positive primary, 1.6 (1.5–1.7); carcinoembryonic antigen level, 1.9 (1.1–3.2); extrahepatic disease, 1.9 (1.5–2.4); poor tumor grade, 1.9 (1.3–2.7); positive margin, 2.0 (1.7–2.5); >1 liver metastases, 1.6 (1.4–1.8); and >3 cm tumor diameter, 1.5 (1.3–1.8). Cumulative meta-analyses by annual clinic volume suggested improved survival with increasing volume.

Conclusion

The overall median survival following CLM liver resection was 3.6 years. All seven investigated prognostic factors showed a modest but significant predictive relationship with survival, and certain prognostic factors may prove useful in determining optimal therapeutic options. Due to the increasing complexity of surgical interventions for CLM and the inclusion of patients with higher disease burdens, future studies should consider the potential for selection and referral bias on survival.

Management of colorectal cancer patients after resection of liver metastases: can we offer a tailored treatment?

Surgical resection remains the only option of cure for patients with colorectal liver metastases, and no patient should be precluded from surgery. There is much controversy not only regarding the most appropriate therapeutic approach in the neoadjuvant setting but also after surgery is performed. Many patients will experience early relapses but others will be long survivors. We need to establish reliable prognostic and predictive factors to offer a tailored treatment. Several prognostic factors after metastasectomy have been identified: high C-reactive protein levels, a high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, elevated neutrophil count and low serum albumin are related to a worst outcome. Elevated CEA and Ki 67 levels, intrahepatic and perihepatic lymph node invasion are also some of the markers related to a worst outcome. In contrast, the administration of preoperative chemotherapy has been associated with a better prognosis after hepatectomy. The administration of adjuvant chemotherapy should be done taking in consideration these factors. Regarding predictive factors, determination of ERCC1, TS, TP and DPD and UGT1 polymorphisms assessment could be considered prior to chemotherapy administration. This would avoid treatment related toxicities and increase this population quality of life.

Implications of clinical risk score to predict outcomes of liver-confined metastasis of colorectal cancer

OBJECTIVE/BACKGROUND

We investigated the usefulness of a clinical risk scoring system (CRS) for guiding management and defining prognosis for patients with colorectal liver met"astases (CLM).

METHOD

We retrospectively analyzed data about the correlation between outcomes and Fong's CRS from 1989 to 2010 for patients treated for CLM at the Severance Hospital.

RESULTS

Of 566 patients, 232 received adjuvant treatment after liver resection. Of these patients, 185 (81%) had a low CRS (0-2) and 47 (19%) had a high CRS (3-5). Stratification into high and low CRS allowed significant distinction between Kaplan-Meier curves for outcome. The 5-year survival rate was 88.5% and 11.5% among patients with a low and high CRS, respectively (P < 0.001). Seventy patients with initially unresectable CLM underwent liver resection after tumor downsizing by induction chemotherapy. Shifting of the CRS from high to low (8 patients; 11.4%) improved disease-free survival and overall survival.

CONCLUSION

High CRS is associated with worse survival after resection in resectable and unresectable disease. The CRS may be used for risk assessment when recommending oncological surgical timing in initially unresectable disease and treatment options for perioperative or adjuvant treatment in resectable disease.

Is neoadjuvant chemotherapy necessary for patients with initially resectable colorectal liver metastases in the era of effective chemotherapy?

Backgrounds/Aims

Hepatic resection has only guaranteed long-term survival in patients with colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM) even in the era of effective chemotherapy. The definite role of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NCT) is to improve outcomes of unresectable CRLMs, but it its role has not been defined for initially resectable CRLMs (IR-CRLMs).

Methods

We reviewed the medical records of 226 patients, who had been diagnosed and treated for IR-CRLM between 2003 and 2008; the patients had the following pathologies: 10% had more than 4 nodules, 11% had tumors larger than 5 cm, and 61% had synchronous CRMLs. Among these patients, 20 patients (Group Y) were treated with NCT, and 206 (Group N) did not receive NCT according to their physician's preference. The median follow-up time was 34.1 months.

Results

The initial surgical plans were changed after NCT to further resection in 20% and to limited resection in 10% of 20 patients. Complication rates of Groups Y (30%) were indifferent from Group N (23%) (p=0.233), but intraoperative transfusions were more frequent in Group N (15%) than in Group Y (5%) (p=0.006). There was one case of hospital mortality (0.44%). Disease-free survival rates in Groups Y and N were 23% and 39%, respectively, and patient survival rates were 42% and 66% (p>0.05). By multivariate analysis, old age (≥60 years), differentiation of primary tumor (poorly/mucinous), resection margin involvement, and no adjuvant chemotherapy were associated with poor patient survival; the number of CRLMs (≥4) was associated with poor disease-free survival.

Conclusions

NCT had neither a positive impact nor a negative impact on survival, even with intraoperative transfusion, as observed on operative outcomes for patients with IR-CRLM. Further study is required to elucidate the role of NCT for treatment of patient with IR-CRLMs.

Prognostic models for outcome following liver resection for colorectal cancer metastases: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Liver resection provides the best chance for cure in colorectal cancer (CRC) liver metastases. A variety of factors that might influence survival and recurrence have been identified. Predictive models can help in risk stratification, to determine multidisciplinary treatment and follow-up for individual patients.

AIMS

To systematically review available prognostic models described for outcome following resection of CRC liver metastases and to assess their differences and applicability.

METHODS

The Pubmed, Embase and Cochrane Library databases were searched for articles proposing a prognostic model or risk stratification system for resection of CRC liver metastases. Search terms included 'colorectal', 'liver', 'metastasis', 'resection', 'prognosis' and 'prediction'. The articles were systematically reviewed.

RESULTS

Fifteen prognostic systems were identified, published between 1996 and 2009. The median study population was 305 patients and the median follow-up was 32 months. All studies used Cox proportional hazards for multi-variable analysis. No prognostic factor was common in all models, though there was a tendency towards the number of metastases, CRC spread to lymph nodes, maximum size of metastases, preoperative CEA level and extrahepatic spread as representing independent risk factors. Seven models assigned more weight to selected factors considered of higher predictive value.

CONCLUSION

The existing predictive models are diverse and their prognostic factors are often not weighed according to their impact. For the development of future predictive models, the complex relations within datasets and differences in relevance of individual factors should be taken into account, for example by using artificial neural networks.