Changes in use of antiretroviral therapy in regions of Europe over time. EuroSIDA Study Group

Favourable evolution of virological and immunological profiles in treated and untreated patients in Italy in the period 1998-2008

BACKGROUND

This study provides an estimate of the proportion of HIV-positive patients in Italian clinics showing an 'adverse prognosis' (defined as a CD4 count ≤ 200 cells/μL or an HIV RNA >50 HIV-1 RNA copies/mL) over time, and investigates whether this proportion varied according to patients' characteristics.

METHODS

We estimated the annual proportion of patients with a CD4 count ≤ 200 cells/μL or HIV RNA > 50 copies/mL out of the total number of patients in the Icona Foundation cohort seen in any given year, both overall and after stratifying by demographical and treatment status groups. Generalized estimating equation models for Poisson regression were applied.

RESULTS

In 1998-2008, the prevalence of patients with a CD4 count ≤ 200 cells/μL decreased from 14 to 6% [adjusted relative risk (RR) 0.86/year; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.84-0.88; P<0.0001]. The prevalence of HIV RNA > 50 copies/mL decreased from 66 to 40% (adjusted RR 0.95/year; 95% CI 0.95-0.96; P<0.0001) in all patients and from 38 to 12% in the subgroup of patients who had previously received antiretroviral therapy (ART) for ≥ 6 months (adjusted RR 0.89/year; 95% CI 0.88-0.90; P<0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

There was a substantial increase in the success rate of ART in Italy in 1998-2008, resulting in a lower percentage of patients with adverse prognosis in recent years. The use of ART seemed to be the most important determinant of viral load outcome, regardless of mode of transmission. Although injecting drug users showed a less marked improvement in CD4 cell count over time than other risk groups, they showed a similar improvement in detectable viral load.

Blood haemoglobin measurement as a predictive indicator for the progression of HIV/AIDS in resource-limited setting

Background

Anaemia is a frequent complication of infection with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and may have multiple causes. The objective of this study was to find out if blood haemoglobin measurement could be used as an indicator for the progression of HIV/AIDS in resource-limited setting.

Methods

Two hundred and twenty-eight (228) consented People Living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHAs) who were placed in three groups according to their CD4 counts were used in the study. The three groups were those with CD4 counts (1) ≥ 500 mm-³; (2) 200-499 mm-³; and (3) <200 mm-³. One hundred (100) sex, age-matched and healthy HIV-seronegative individuals were used as control subjects. Blood haemoglobin, blood haematocrit, Red cell indices which included Mean Cell Volume, Mean Cell Haemoglobin Concentration and Mean Cell Haemoglobin and CD4 count were analysed in all subjects.

Results

The mean blood haemoglobin concentrations in those with CD4 counts <200 mm-³, 200-499 mm-³ and ≥ 500 mm-³ (8.83 ± 0.22 g/dl, 10.03 ± 0.31 g/dl and 11.3 ± 0.44 g/dl respectively) were significantly lower when compared with the control group (14.29 ± 0.77 g/dl) (p < 0.0001). The mean blood haematocrit levels in those with CD4 counts <200 mm-³, 200-499 mm-³ and ≥ 500 mm-³ (23.53 ± 0.85%, 28.28 ± 0.77% and 33.54 ± 1.35% respectively) were also significantly lower when compared with the control group (41.15 ± 2.15%) (p < 0.0001). The red cell indices were also lower in the subjects when compared with the control group. Using the Pearson's correlation, there was a significant and positive correlation between the blood haemoglobin level and their CD4 counts (r² = 0.1755; p < 0.0001).

Conclusion

Anaemia in People Living with HIV/AIDS, if persistent, is associated with substantially decreased survival. From our analysis, there was a decrease in the blood haemoglobin, levels as the HIV infection progressed and our findings are consistent with those of other studies of anaemia as a prognostic factor in HIV infection. Haemoglobin levels could be measured easily where resources for more sophisticated laboratory markers such as viral load or even CD4 lymphocyte count are not available given that measurement of the CD4 lymphocyte count requires flow cytometry, an expensive technique unavailable in many developing countries. Regular measurements could help to determine which patients are at greatest risk of disease progression, allowing these patients to be identified for closer monitoring or therapeutic intervention.

Trends in uptake of recently approved antiretrovirals within a national healthcare system

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to describe Veterans Healthcare Administration (VHA) system-wide uptake of three HIV protease inhibitors: atazanavir, darunavir and tipranavir.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study evaluated VHA uptake of three target antiretrovirals and lopinavir/ritonavir in each complete 90-day quarter since approval to December 2007 using VHA HIV Clinical Case Registry data. We assessed uptake using number of new prescriptions, number of providers and facilities prescribing target agents, provider type, clinic type, facility size and location within four US regions.

RESULTS

Overall, 6551 HIV-infected veterans received target antiretrovirals. Uptake was generally greatest within the first year after Food and Drug Administration (FDA) approval, and then slightly declined and plateaued. Geographically, early adoption of new antiretroviral drugs tended to occur in the Western USA, as evidenced by comparison of uptake patterns of new antiretrovirals to use of all antiretroviral agents. A small percentage of prescribers of all antiretrovirals were responsible for new prescriptions for target medications, particularly for darunavir and tipranavir. Providers at almost 50% of VHA facilities were prescribing these agents within the first year.

CONCLUSIONS

Uptake of new antiretrovirals in the VHA generally reflected overall prescribing of all antiretrovirals, suggesting a lack of VHA impediments to new antiretrovirals in the healthcare system. Some regional variation in uptake among the targeted antiretrovirals occurred over time but tended to resolve after the first several months. Providers responsible for early prescribing of the target medications were limited to a fraction of providers who tended to be physicians who practised in infectious disease (ID) clinics at medium-sized facilities.

Tuberculosis incidence and risk factors among patients living with HIV/AIDS in public health service institutions in Brasilia, Federal District

In order to estimate the incidence of and risk factors for developing tuberculosis, the clinical charts of a retrospective cohort of 281 HIV-positive adults, who were notified to the AIDS Program of the Health Department of Brasilia in 1998, were reviewed in 2003. All the patients were treatment-naive regarding antiretroviral therapy at the time of inclusion in the cohort. Twenty-nine patients were identified as having tuberculosis at the start of the study. Thirteen incident tuberculosis cases were identified during the 60 months of follow-up, with an incidence density rate of 1.24/100 person-years. Tuberculosis incidence was highest among patients with baseline CD4+ T-lymphocyte counts < or = 200 cells/microl who were not using antiretroviral therapy (incidence = 5.47; 95% CI = 2.73 to 10.94). Multivariate analysis showed that baseline CD4+ T-lymphocyte counts < or = 200 cells/microl (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR] = 5.09; 95% CI = 1.27 to 20.37; p = 0.02) and non-use of antiretroviral therapy (AHR = 12.17; 95% CI = 2.6 to 56.90; p = 0.001) were independently associated with increased risk of tuberculosis.

Assessment of mother-to-child HIV-1 and HIV-2 transmission: an AIDS reference laboratory collaborative study

OBJECTIVE

A prospective study was carried out to assess HIV-1 and HIV-2 mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) rates in Portugal between 1999 and 2005 by analysing the proportion of diagnosed infected children born to HIV-positive mothers.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Serial blood samples were collected from 1315 children at risk of HIV-1 infection, 131 children at risk of HIV-2 infection and six children at risk of both HIV-1 and HIV-2 infections attending 25 Health Institutions. HIV proviral DNA was detected by nested polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and statistical analysis was performed using spss.

RESULTS

DNA PCR using HIV-1 and HIV-2 long terminal repeat (LTR) primers amplified 92.5% and 75% of maternal HIV infections, respectively. Overall, MTCT occurred in 3.4% [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.5-4.6%] of HIV-1 and 1.5% (95% CI 0.2-5.4%) of HIV-2 mother-child pairs. A significant decrease in HIV-1 MTCT was observed with time, from 7.0% (95% CI 2.6-14.6%) in 1999 to 0.5% (95% CI 0.0-2.5%) in 2005. HIV MTCT was associated with an absence of antiretroviral therapy in infected pregnant women (P<0.0001). Of the 48 infected children (46 with HIV-1 and two with HIV-2), the schedule of blood sample collection was followed for only 26 children. In 14 (53.8%) of those 26 children the infections were diagnosed in the first sample collected before they were 48 h old, suggesting in utero transmission. Despite the national recommendations for antenatal HIV testing, a high overall proportion (22.2% for HIV-1 and 44.3% for HIV-2) of mothers did not access any MTCT prevention measures, mostly because of late diagnosis in pregnancy. A small but significant proportion of HIV-2 infection was found in mothers with no identifiable link with West Africa.

CONCLUSION

HIV-2 transmission rates are low (1.5% in this study), and this may have led to a lower uptake of interventions, but in the absence of interventions transmission does occur. HIV-1 transmission was also associated with a lack of intervention, mostly as a result of late presentation. Use of primers restricted to a single sequence led to false-negative maternal results in a significant proportion of cases. In part this may have been attributable to very low HIV DNA loads as well as primer template mismatches. HIV infection was not documented in children born to mothers with negative HIV DNA PCR results.

Health systems' responses to 25 years of HIV in Europe: inequities persist and challenges remain

Europe is currently experiencing the fastest rate of growth of HIV of any region of the world. An analysis of policy and health system responses to the HIV epidemic in Europe and central Asia (hereafter referred to as Europe) over the last 25 years reveals considerable heterogeneity. In general, while noting hazards of broad generalisations and the differences that exist across countries in a particular grouping, effective policies to control HIV have been implemented more widely in western than in central and eastern Europe. However, the evidence suggests persistence of inequalities in access to preventive and treatment services, with those at highest risk, such as commercial sex workers, prisoners, intravenous drug users, and migrants often particularly disadvantaged, despite many targeted programmes. Responses in individual countries, especially in the early stages of the epidemic, were influenced by specific cultural and political factors. Strong leadership and active involvement by civil society organisations emerge as important factors for success but also a limiting factor to the response observed in eastern Europe, where civil society or NGO culture is weak as compared to western Europe. Scaling up of effective responses in many countries in eastern Europe will be challenging-where increased financial resources will have to be accompanied by broader changes to health system organization with greater involvement of the civil society in planning and delivery of client-focused services.

Regional Changes Over Time in Initial Virologic Response Rates to Combination Antiretroviral Therapy Across Europe

BACKGROUND

Changes in virologic response to initial combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) over calendar time may indicate improvements in cART or emergence of primary resistance. Regional variations may identify differences in available antiretroviral drugs or patient management.

METHODS

Virologic response (viral load < 500 copies/mL) 6 to 12 months after starting cART was analyzed in antiretroviral-naive EuroSIDA patients. Analyses were stratified by region (south, central west, north, east) or time started cART (early, 1996-1997; mid, 1998-1999; late, 2000-1904).

RESULTS

Virologic suppression was achieved by 60% of 2102 patients: 57% south (n = 560), 61% central west (n = 466), 63% north (n = 606), 58% east (n = 470) (P = 0.091). An increase was observed over time: 52% early cART, 56% mid cART, 69% late cART (P < 0.001). Overall, there were significant effects of region (P = 0.026) and time (P < 0.001) on virologic response after adjustment for confounders. Stratified by period, regional differences were less evident (early cART, P = 0.967; mid cART, P = 0.291; late cART, P = 0.163). Stratified by region, temporal changes were observed (south, P = 0.061; central west, P < 0.001; north: P = 0.070; east, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

There was some evidence of regional differences in initial virologic response to cART. Improvements over time were observed, suggesting that so far, the effect of primary resistance has not been of sufficient magnitude to prevent increasing suppression rates.

Changes in hospital admissions across Europe: 1995-2003. Results from the EuroSIDA study

OBJECTIVES

To describe changes in the proportions of patients admitted to hospital and the duration of admission during the month of March between 1995 and 2003 and to describe the factors related to admission for 9802 patients from EuroSIDA, a pan-European, observational cohort study.

METHODS

Generalized estimating equations were used to determine changes over time in the proportion of patients admitted and the median duration of admission. Logistic regression was used to determine factors related to admission in March 1995, March 1998 and March 2001.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients admitted during March declined from 7.4% in 1995 to 2.6% in 2003. After adjustment, the estimated reduction in the proportion of patients admitted was 5.5% per year [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.5-8.5%; P=0.0004], a 26% reduction. The median duration of hospital admission declined by 58% from 12 days in 1995 [interquartile range (IQR) 5-19 days] to 5 days in 2003 (IQR 3-12 days), a significant decline of 0.7 days per year after adjustment (95% CI 0.5-0.9 days; P=0.031). Patients with a lower CD4 lymphocyte count, and with an AIDS diagnosis made within the 3 months prior to March, all had increased odds of admission during March 1995, 1998 or 2001. In March 2001, patients whose treatment regimen was changed as a consequence of toxicities had increased odds of admission [odds ratio (OR) 2.34; 95% CI 1.26-4.37; P=0.0074]. In addition, patients who were hepatitis C virus-positive during March 2001 (OR 1.66; 95% CI 1.02-2.68; P=0.041) had increased odds of admission.

CONCLUSIONS

There has been a considerable decline in both the proportion of patients admitted to hospital and the median duration of the stay. Patients with hepatitis C had increased odds of admission, but there was little evidence of an increase in admissions among patients taking highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) associated with serious adverse events, although longer follow up is required.

The health and social environment of uninfected infants born to HIV-infected women

Against a background of increasing numbers of uninfected children born to HIV-infected women in Europe, we describe the social environment and occurrence of infectious disease in 1,667 infants enrolled in the European Collaborative Study (ECS) and followed prospectively. In the ECS, the proportion of children born to black women from Sub-Saharan Africa who acquired their HIV infection heterosexually has increased since the mid-1980s, while the proportion of those born to white women with a history of illicit drug use has decreased, in both northern and southern Europe. The percentage of children who had been in alternative (non-parental) care decreased from 17% (82/469) in 1985-1989 to 5% (23/436) in 1999-2002. A total of 135 infants (with 1,475 child-years of follow-up) experienced at least one moderate/severe infective or febrile episode requiring medical attention in the first year of life; there was little correlation with recorded sociodemographic and child characteristics. The rate of hospitalization remained relatively stable over the study period at between 243-299 admissions per 1,000 child-years. Description of disease burden and social circumstances of uninfected children is needed, not only because of their increasing numbers but also because they are often used as controls in studies addressing vertically-acquired HIV infection.

Predictors of trend in CD4-positive T-cell count and mortality among HIV-1-infected individuals with virological failure to all three antiretroviral-drug classes

BACKGROUND

Treatment strategies for patients in whom HIV replication is not suppressed after exposure to several drug classes remain unclear. We aimed to assess the inter-relations between viral load, CD4-cell count, and clinical outcome in patients who had experienced three-class virological failure.

METHODS

We undertook collaborative joint analysis of 13 HIV cohorts from Europe, North America, and Australia, involving patients who had had three-class virological failure (viral load >1000 copies per mL for >4 months). Regression analyses were used to quantify the associations between CD4-cell-count slope, HIV-1 RNA concentration, treatment information, and demographic characteristics. Predictors of death were analysed by Cox's proportional-hazards models.

FINDINGS

2488 patients were included. 2118 (85%) had started antiretroviral therapy with single or dual therapy. During 5015 person-years of follow-up, 276 patients died (mortality rate 5.5 per 100 person-years; 3-year mortality risk 15.3% (95% CI 13.5-17.3). Risk of death was strongly influenced by the latest CD4-cell count with a relative hazard of 15.8 (95% CI 9.28-27.0) for counts below 50 cells per microL versus above 200 cells per microL. The latest viral load did not independently predict death. For any given viral load, patients on treatment had more favourable CD4-cell-count slopes than those off treatment. For patients on treatment and with stable viral load, CD4-cell counts tended to be increasing at times when the current viral load was below 10000 copies per mL or 1.5 log10 copies per mL below off-treatment values.

INTERPRETATION

In patients for whom viral-load suppression to below the level of detection is not possible, achievement and maintenance of a CD4-cell count above 200 per microL becomes the primary aim. Treatment regimens that maintain the viral load below 10000 copies per mL or at least provide 1.5 log10 copies per mL suppression below the off-treatment value do not seem to be associated with appreciable CD4-cell-count decline.

The changing pattern of Kaposi sarcoma in patients with HIV, 1994-2003: the EuroSIDA Study

BACKGROUND

The introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) has radically changed the clinical course of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. The goals of the current study were to assess the change in the incidence of Kaposi sarcoma (KS) among European patients with HIV since the introduction of HAART and to identify the factors associated with the development of KS among patients receiving HAART.

METHODS

The incidence of KS and the factors associated with the development of this malignancy in patients receiving HAART were evaluated using Poisson regression. Patients examined in the current study were among the 9803 individuals with HIV who were enrolled in the EuroSIDA study, a pan-European multicenter investigation.

RESULTS

There was an estimated annual reduction of 39% (95% confidence interval [CI], 35-43%; P < 0.0001) in the incidence of KS between 1994 and 2003. The proportion of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) diagnoses made due to KS during prospective follow-up ranged from 4.1% to 7.5%, and there was no significant change over time in this figure (P = 0.97). Four thousand fourteen patients began receiving HAART during prospective follow-up; 41 of these 4014 were subsequently diagnosed with KS (1.0%). After adjustment in multivariate analyses, patients with higher current CD4 counts were found to have a decreased incidence of KS (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.60; 95% CI, 0.53-0.68; P < 0.0001), as were those for whom more time had elapsed since the initiation of HAART (IRR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.60-0.98; P = 0.037). In contrast, homosexual men were found to have a significantly increased incidence of KS (IRR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.00-4.54; P = 0.050)

CONCLUSIONS

The current incidence of KS among patients with HIV is less than 10% of the incidence reported in 1994; the proportion of AIDS diagnoses made on the basis of KS diagnoses remains near 6%. Most individuals who developed KS while receiving HAART began treatment with low CD4 cell counts and developed KS within 6 months of the initiation of HAART. There continues to be an increased incidence of KS among homosexual men and a greatly reduced incidence of KS among patients with higher CD4 counts.

HIV Cohort Collaborations: Proposal for Harmonization of Data Exchange

HIV cohort studies have provided useful information on the natural history of HIV infection and the effects of antiretroviral therapy. It has become increasingly common to combine data from several cohorts into one dataset in order to address certain specific questions with more statistical power than can be achieved with the individual studies. This requires each cohort to map data into a standard format before merging. Until recently, this standard format has differed for each such collaborative analysis. We have therefore developed the HIV Cohort Data Exchange Protocol (HICDEP), which is freely available at http://www.cphiv.dk/HICDEP.pdf . Once individual cohorts have set up a means of transfering data into this format, as and when required, this should greatly facilitate data merging for future joint analyses. The HICDEP incorporates data from HIV drug resistance tests, which have been particularly challenging for cohorts to integrate into databases.

Changing incidence of central nervous system diseases in the EuroSIDA cohort

A drastic decrease in incidence has been observed for most human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-related opportunistic manifestations after use of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). We assessed the trend of incidence of central nervous system (CNS) diseases in a prospective multicenter observational study involving 9,803 patients across Europe in the period 1994 to 2002 and analyzed patient and treatment variables associated with these conditions. Overall, 568 patients (5.8%) received a diagnosis of a new CNS disease. Incidence decreased significantly from 5.9 per 100 person-year in 1994 to 0.5 in 2002. Overall, the decrease was 40% per calendar year, and it was similar to that of non-CNS diseases and less evident after year 1998. In multivariable models, low CD4 cell count and high plasma viral load, but not HAART or calendar year, were significantly associated with risk to develop CNS disease, indicating that the effect of HAART was likely mediated by both improved immunological conditions and inhibition of viral replication. In contrast, use of nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors, irrespective of use of protease inhibitors or non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors, appeared to protect specifically against acquired immunodeficiency disease syndrome dementia complex, suggesting that, in this condition, therapy might have a direct, additive effect in the CNS.

Decline in the AIDS and death rates in the EuroSIDA study: an observational study

BACKGROUND

Since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), little is known about whether changes in HIV-1 mortality and morbidity rates have been sustained. We aimed to assess possible changes in these rates across Europe.

METHODS

We analysed data for 9803 patients in 70 European HIV centres including ones in Israel and Argentina. Incidence rates of AIDS or death were calculated for overall and most recent CD4 count in 6-monthly periods and in three treatment eras (pre-HAART, 1994-1995; early-HAART, 1996-1997; and late-HAART, 1998-2002).

FINDINGS

The incidence of AIDS or death fell after September, 1998, by 8% per 6-month period (rate ratio 0.92, 95% CI 0.88-0.95, p<0.0001). When AIDS and death were analysed separately, the incidence of all deaths during the late-HAART era was significantly lower than that during the early-HAART era in patients whose latest CD4 count was 20 cells/microL or less (0.43, 0.35-0.53, p<0.0001), but at higher CD4 counts, did not differ between early-HAART and late-HAART. Incidence of AIDS was about 50% lower in late-HAART than in early-HAART, irrespective of latest CD4 count (p<0.0001). In multivariate Cox's models, with early-HAART as the reference, there was an increased risk of AIDS (relative hazard 1.39; 95% CI 1.16-1.67, p=0.0004) and all deaths (1.29; 1.08-1.56, p=0.0065) in the pre-HAART era, and a reduced risk of AIDS (0.62; 0.50-0.77, p<0.0001) and all deaths (0.66; 0.53-0.82, p=0.0002) in the late-HAART era.

INTERPRETATION

The initial drop in mortality and morbidity after the introduction of HAART has been sustained. Potential long-term adverse effects associated with HAART have not altered its effectiveness in treating AIDS.

Patterns of antiretroviral use in the United States of America: analysis of three observational databases

OBJECTIVE

To characterize patterns of antiretroviral use in HIV-infected patients and explore variation by patient characteristics and disease stage.

METHODS

Three large patient databases recording information derived from routine clinical attendance were analyzed: HIV Insight (n = 10 873), Target Management Services (n = 2226) and Clinical Partners (n = 1505). Each database records the dates of starting and stopping individual antiretroviral agents over time, measurements of CD4 T-cell counts and HIV-RNA levels at approximately 6-monthly intervals, and the demographic characteristics of patients. The number, frequency and duration of different antiretroviral combinations over time and their relationship to stage of HIV-disease and demographic characteristics were explored.

RESULTS

Over 2000 different combinations of antiretroviral agents are recorded. From 1987 onwards, the use of zidovudine increased, with 23% of patients receiving monotherapy by 1990. The majority of treated patients remained on monotherapy until the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in 1996. By 1999, the standard of care was HAART, with 84% of patients beginning antiretroviral therapy with HAART. Those of African American race (odds ratio 0.59) and funded by Medicaid (odds ratio 0.72) were significantly less likely to begin antiretroviral therapy on HAART. Until 1995, there was a significant decrease in CD4 T-cell count when starting antiretroviral therapy. No significant trend was observed in either CD4 T-cell count or viral load after this time. Those starting on HAART therapies were significantly less likely to stop or switch regimens than those on nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI)-only therapies (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Complex patterns of antiretroviral treatment are observed in this large population. Changes over time mirror the introduction of the new antiretroviral agents.

Viral replication under combination antiretroviral therapy: a comparison of four different regimens

A mathematical model of the interaction among CD4+ T-cells, HIV-1, and antiretroviral drugs was fitted to the viral load decline following initiation of combination therapy to estimate differences in the residual reproductive capacity of virus (R(0)) in the average patient in each group. Four regimens were studied: 12 patients on 5-drug nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTIs), nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTIs) and protease inhibitor (PI)-containing combination therapy, 11 patients on PI-containing triple therapy, 10 patients on double NRTI therapy, and 10 patients on NNRTI-containing triple therapy. Model fits were used to estimate R(0). The NNRTI-containing triple therapy and the 5-drug regimen blocked viral replication to the greatest extent (R(0) = 0.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.79-0.91; and 0.90, 95% CI, 0.82-0.98, respectively), with the former being significantly better than the PI-containing triple regimen (R(0) = 0.98; 95% CI, 0.92-1.03; p =.007). Both the NNRTI-containing and the 5-drug regimen, as well as the PI-containing triple therapy, were significantly better at blocking viral replication than the double NRTI therapy (R(0) = 1.04; 95% CI, 1.0-1.07). Measurement of viral load after approximately 7 days provided the most accurate measure of the degree of viral suppression induced by a given drug regimen.

Antiretroviral therapy in HIV-infected individuals in clinical practice: are the criteria for initiating and choosing the type of drug regimen based only on immunologic and virologic values?

OBJECTIVES

To determine factors associated with beginning antiretroviral therapy and with the number of drugs used.

METHODS

Longitudinal study of 3169 HIV-infected individuals naïve from antiretroviral drugs at enrollment in 65 infectious disease clinics in Italy. Initiation of antiretroviral therapy and number of drugs used (i.e., < 3 vs. > or = 3 drugs) were the main outcome measures. Adjusted odds ratios were calculated by logistic models to establish cofactors of these two measures.

RESULTS

From January 1997 to December 1998, 1288 (40.6%) individuals started therapy, 58.0% of whom were given a triple combination regimen. This regimen became more frequent over time. By multivariate analysis, high levels of HIV-RNA and low CD4 counts were the most important independent predictors of starting any type of therapy. A significant association was also found with HIV exposure category, reason for being antiretroviral-naïve, presence/absence of liver disease, presence/absence of a new AIDS-defining disease, and clinical centre. High levels of HIV-RNA and low CD4 counts were also the most important predictors of starting with > or = 3 drugs, compared to < 3 drugs, and men had an independent higher probability of starting with > or = 3 drugs, compared to women. The probability of starting with > or = 3 drugs significantly increased with calendar time.

CONCLUSIONS

CD4 and HIV-RNA were the main cofactors of initiating both any type of therapy and therapy with > or = 3 drugs. The large variability among clinical centres suggests that clinicians are uncertain as to the exact timing of beginning therapy and the specific regimen, especially among women.

Prognostic factors of combined viral load and CD4+ cell count responses under triple antiretroviral therapy, Aquitaine cohort, 1996-1998

OBJECTIVE

To describe the viroimmunologic response and its prognostic factors 6 months after initiating triple antiretroviral therapy in a cohort of HIV-1-infected patients.

METHODS

Positive virologic response during follow-up (VL+) was defined as plasma HIV RNA level <500 copies/ml and positive immunologic response (CD4+) as an increase of CD4+ count of at least 50 cells/mm3. Four categories of response were defined: VL+/CD4+; VL+/CD4-; VL-/CD4+ and VL-/CD4-. Prognostic factors were studied through a polytomous logistic regression (VL-/CD4-, as reference).

RESULTS

Baseline characteristics of the 478 studied patients were: 22% at AIDS stage, 77% pretreated, median CD4+ cell count 195/mm3 and HIV RNA level 4.42 log. At 6 months 37.5% were VL+/CD4+; 15.7% VL+/CD4-; 23.8% VL-/CD4+ and 23.0% VL-/CD4-. Baseline HIV RNA level was associated to a higher risk of VL-/CD4+ response. More advanced age was associated with a higher risk of isolated immunologic failure (VL+/CD4-), whereas pretreatment and saquinavir therapy were associated with a lower frequency of positive virologic response independently of immunologic response.

CONCLUSION

HIV-RNA level, pretreatment, and saquinavir therapy were already known to be linked to therapeutic response. Based on our results, a high baseline HIV-RNA level is associated with isolated immunologic response; moreover, age should be of importance in treatment decision.

Clinical outcome among HIV-infected patients starting saquinavir hard gel compared to ritonavir or indinavir

OBJECTIVE

To compare the clinical response among patients who initiate protease inhibitor therapies with different virological potency.

DESIGN

We analysed patients who started indinavir, ritonavir or saquinavir hard gel capsule (hgc) as part of at least triple therapy during prospective follow-up within the EuroSIDA study.

METHODS

Changes in plasma viral load (pVL) and CD4 cell count from baseline were compared between treatment groups. Time to new AIDS-defining events and death were compared in Kaplan--Meier models, and Cox models were established to further assess differences in clinical progression (new AIDS/death). Adjustment was made for differences in baseline parameters, in particular pVL, CD4 cell count, and region of Europe.

RESULTS

A total of 2708 patients (median follow-up: 30 months) were included, of which 556 started ritonavir (21%), 1342 indinavir (50%), and 810 saquinavir hgc (30%). The three groups were fairly evenly balanced at baseline regarding CD4 count, previous diagnosis of AIDS and pVL, After 12 months, the median changes in CD4 cell count were 90, 96 and 74 x 10(6) cells/l, respectively;P < 0.001, the proportions of patients with pVL < 500 copies/ml were 47, 54 and 41%; P < 0.001, and the proportions with clinical progression were 11.9, 9.2 and 11.9%, respectively; P = 0.20 (log-rank test). In multivariate models the relative risk of clinical progression for indinavir compared with saquinavir hgc was: 0.77 (0.60--0.99); P = 0.043, and for ritonavir 0.83 (0.62--1.11); P = 0.20.

CONCLUSIONS

Saquinavir hgc was associated with an inferior long-term clinical response relative to indinavir, which was consistent with the observed differences in virological and immunological responses.

Changing clinical presentation and survival in HIV-associated tuberculosis after highly active antiretroviral therapy

OBJECTIVE

To assess changes in clinical presentation and outcome of HIV-associated tuberculosis (TB) before and after widespread implementation of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART).

METHODS

We reviewed clinical charts of HIV-infected patients with culture-confirmed pulmonary TB in two referral clinical centers in Rome, Italy. The 67 patients diagnosed in 1995 to 1996 were compared with 51 patients diagnosed in 1997 to 1998. To analyze factors associated with survival we used a Cox model including antiretroviral therapy as a time-dependent covariate.

RESULTS

Patients diagnosed in 1997 to 1998 were more likely to have TB as the first AIDS-defining illness (78% versus 58%, p <.05), to have HIV diagnosed <2 months before TB (33% vs. 7%, p <.005) and to have typical chest radiograph pattern (45% vs. 25%, p <.05), and had a higher CD4(+) count (median 105 vs. 43, p <.005). Survival at 1 year was 80% for patients diagnosed in 1997 to 1998 vs. 65% for those diagnosed in 1995 to 1996 (p by log-rank =.02). After adjusting at multivariate analysis, time period of diagnosis was not confirmed as associated with survival (hazard ratio, 1.05; 95% confidence interval, 0.39--2.81). Age, CD4+ cell count <25/mm(3), and AIDS-defining illnesses before TB diagnosis were all associated with an higher risk of death, whereas a decreased risk of death was observed in patients starting a triple combination antiretroviral therapy after TB diagnosis (hazard ratio, 0.14; 95% confidence interval, 0.03--0.57).

CONCLUSIONS

Cases of HIV-associated TB occurring in patients with advanced immunosuppression and presenting with atypical radiologic appearance tend to be relatively less common in the HAART era. HAART is a major factor in prolonging survival in these patients.

Risk of lipodystrophy in HIV-1-infected patients treated with protease inhibitors: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Risk factors for lipodystrophy in patients infected with HIV-1 treated with highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) containing HIV-1 protease inhibitors are poorly understood. We aimed to identify the risk factors for lipodystrophy in antiretroviral-naive HIV-1-infected adults on HAART.

METHODS

Moderate or severe body-fat changes were clinically assessed and categorised as subcutaneous lipoatrophy, central obesity, or both, in all consecutive antiretroviral-naïve HIV-1-infected adults who began HAART with two nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors plus at least one protease inhibitor from October, 1996, to September, 1999. A person-years analysis was used to calculate the incidence of types of lipodystrophy, and Cox proportional hazards models were used to describe the univariate and multivariate factors associated with progression to any lipodystrophy.

FINDINGS

After a median follow-up of 18 months, 85 (17%) of the 494 patients developed some type of lipodystrophy. The incidences of any lipodystrophy, lipodystrophy with subcutaneous lipoatrophy, and lipodystrophy with central obesity were 11.7 (95% CI 9.2-14.2), 9.2 (7.0-11.4), and 7.7 (5.7-9.7) per 100 patient-years. An increased risk for any lipodystrophy was found among women as compared with men (relative hazard 1.87 [1.07-3.28]), heterosexuals (2.86 [1.50-5.48]), and homosexuals (2.17 [1.07-4.42]) as compared with intravenous drug users, with increasing age (1.33 per 10 years older [1.08-1.62]), and with the duration of exposure to antiretroviral therapy (1.57 per 6 months extra [1.30-1.88]) but not with any individual antiretroviral agent. The factors associated with an increased risk for lipodystrophy with subcutaneous lipoatrophy or lipodystrophy with central obesity were very similar to those associated with any lipodystrophy. The duration of indinavir use may represent an additional contribution for the development of lipodystrophy with central obesity (1.26 per 6 months extra [0.99-1.60]); p=0.064).

INTERPRETATION

Risk factors associated with development of any lipodystrophy, lipodystrophy with subcutaneous lipoatrophy, and tipodystrophy with central obesity in patients infected with HIV-1 who were receiving HAART containing protease inhibitors are multifactorial and overlapping, and cannot be exclusively ascribed to the duration of exposure to an particular antiretroviral agent.

Impact of combination antiretroviral therapy on the risk of tuberculosis among persons with HIV infection

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association between use of different antiretroviral regimens and incidence of tuberculosis among HIV-infected individuals.

DESIGN

Observational, multicenter, prospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PATIENTS

Twenty-eight infectious diseases hospital units in Italy. A total of 2160 HIV-infected persons were considered for enrolment in a study on the implementation of tuberculosis preventive therapy between 1 May 1995 and 30 April 1996. The 1360 subjects who completed tuberculin screening at base-line were included in this analysis. Information on the use of antiretroviral therapies over time was collected. The median duration of follow-up was 104 weeks and 997 subjects (73.3%) completed the study.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Incidence of active tuberculosis according to different types of antiretroviral therapy.

RESULTS

Eighteen cases of tuberculosis were observed with an overall incidence rate of 0.79 per 100 person-years of observation [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.51-1.31]. Tuberculin positivity and low CD4+ lymphocyte count were the only base-line variables independently associated with the risk of tuberculosis. During follow-up, 637 patients took double combination antiretroviral therapy and 387 took triple combination therapy. After adjusting for base-line characteristics of enrolled individuals, the relative hazard of tuberculosis was 0.16 (95% CI, 0.03-0.74) for double combination therapy and 0.08 (95% CI, 0.01-0.88) for triple combination therapy compared with no therapy or monotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Combination antiretroviral therapy significantly reduced the risk of tuberculosis in HIV-infected persons. In industrialized countries, the widespread use of this treatment may determine a decrease in the incidence of HIV-associated tuberculosis, possibly contributing to a reduction in the overall incidence of tuberculosis.

Infections with Mycobacterium tuberculosis and Mycobacterium avium among HIV-infected patients after the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy. EuroSIDA Study Group JD

The impact of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) among human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients on the incidences of mycobacterial infections has not been studied in detail. We assessed incidences of mycobacterial diseases among HIV- infected patients following the introduction of HAART, using data from the EuroSIDA study, a European, multicenter observational cohort of more than 7,000 patients. Overall incidences of Mycobacterium tuberculosis (TB) and Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) were 0.8 and 1.4 cases/100 person-years of follow-up (PYF), decreasing from 1.8 (TB) and 3.5 cases/100 PYF (MAC) before September 1995 to 0.3 and 0.2 cases/100 PYF after March 1997. After adjustment for changes in CD4 cell count and use of antiretroviral treatment in Cox proportional hazards models, the risk of MAC decreased with increasing calendar time (hazard ratio per calendar year; HR = 0.58 [95% confidence intervals: 0.45-0.74], whereas this was not the case for TB; 0.95 [0.74-1.22]). In conclusion, we documented marked decreases in the incidence of TB and to an even larger extent of MAC among HIV-infected patients from 1994 to 1999. The decrease in TB was associated with the introduction of HAART and changes in CD4 cell count. These factors could also explain some of the decrease in MAC over time, though there remained a significantly lower risk of MAC than expected.

AIDS across Europe, 1994-98: the EuroSIDA study

BACKGROUND

The clinical presentation of HIV-1 related diseases could have changed after the introduction of highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART). We aimed to assess changes over time in the incidence of ADIs overall and within CD4 lymphocyte count strata, the relationship with treatment and degree of immunodeficiency at diagnosis of ADIs.

METHODS

We did a prospective observational multicentre study of over 7300 patients in 52 European HIV-1 outpatient clinics. Incidence rates per 100 patient-years of observation were calculated.

FINDINGS

In total, we recorded 1667 new ADIs; the incidence of ADIs declined from 30.7 per 100 patient-years of observation during 1994 (95% CI 28.0-33.4) to 2.5 per 100 patient-years of observation during 1998 (95% CI 2.0-3.0, p<0.0001, test for trend). Median CD4 lymphocyte count at diagnosis of a new ADI increased from 28 cells/microL to 125 cells/microL between 1994 and 1998 (p<0.0001), yet a steep decline in the rate of ADIs was seen after stratification by latest CD4 lymphocyte count within each year (< or = 50, 51-200, and > 200 cells/microL). Patients on HAART had a lower rate of ADIs than patients not on this treatment within each CD4 lymphocyte count strata. The proportion of ADIs attributable to cytomegalovirus retinitis and Mycobacterium avium complex declined over time (p=0.0058 and 0.0022, respectively), whereas the proportion of diagnoses attributable to non-Hodgkin lymphoma has increased (p<0.0001). In 1994, less than 4% of ADIs were non-Hodgkin lymphoma, in 1998 the proportion was almost 16%. This condition has become one of the most common ADIs in patients on HAART.

INTERPRETATION

Our findings lend support to the idea that treatment regimens can lower the incidence of ADIs. The immediate risk of an ADI for a given CD4 lymphocyte count has declined over time and is lower among patients on HAART. Long-term follow-up of patients on combination treatment is essential to monitor the incidence of new and emerging diagnoses.

Physician experience in the care of HIV-infected persons is associated with earlier adoption of new antiretroviral therapy

OBJECTIVE

Recent advances in antiretroviral therapy have led to effective but increasingly complex strategies for the treatment of HIV infection. In a previous study, we demonstrated that physicians' experience in the care of patients with AIDS improves survival. We conducted this study to determine whether greater physician experience is associated with earlier adoption and appropriate use of new antiretroviral treatment regimens.

DESIGN

Retrospective medical record review of a population-based sample of HIV-infected individuals who received antiretroviral treatment between December 1995 and May 1997 by primary care physicians practicing throughout the state of Washington. We classified antiretroviral regimens observed into one of four categories based on national treatment guidelines.

RESULTS

The use of new antiretroviral treatment regimens significantly increased during the study period; 22% of patients were treated with a protease inhibitor (PI)-based regimen or an alternative PI- or nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based regimen between December 1995 and November 1996, compared with 57% between April and May 1997 (p < .001). After controlling for CD4 count and the calendar period of treatment, patients cared for by physicians with greater HIV experience were significantly more likely to receive PI-based regimens or alternative PI- or NNRTI-based antiretroviral regimens (p = .02). Use of PI-based regimens was also associated with lower CD4 count (p < .001) and treatment after January 1997 (p = .02), but independent of patient demographic characteristics and the geographic location of physicians' practices.

CONCLUSIONS

Greater physician experience in the care of persons with HIV infection is associated with earlier adoption of new antiretroviral treatment regardless of whether physicians practice in a rural or urban area.

Epidemiology of HIV infection in the newborn

Vertical transmission of HIV infection can take place in utero, during delivery and postnatally through breastfeeding, with about three-quarters of infections occurring around the time of delivery in non-breastfeeding populations. In Europe, in the absence of specific interventions, the vertical transmission rate was 15-20%. High maternal load is the major risk factor for both intra-uterine and intra-partum mother-to-child transmission. Prematurity is the most common adverse neonatal outcome associated with maternal HIV infection. Earlier diagnosis of paediatric HIV infection than previously available is now possible with virological tests, particularly HIV DNA polymerase chain reaction. An estimated one fifth of infected children will have been diagnosed with AIDS or have died by 12 months of age, rising to a third by 6 years of age. Surgical and therapeutic interventions are effective in reducing vertical transmission risk, in addition to the avoidance of breastfeeding. Caesarean section delivery before labour and before rupture of membranes approximately halves the risk of transmission, while prophylactic zidovudine therapy according to the ACTG076 regimen reduces transmission by up to two-thirds, transmission is reduced even further with both interventions. Trials of short-course zidovudine regimens show their effectiveness in reducing vertical transmission, in breastfeeding and non-breastfeeding populations. Nevirapine has been shown to be significantly more effective than short course zidovudine regimens in breastfeeding populations, but is still under evaluation in non-breastfeeding populations additionally receiving routine anti-retroviral prophylaxis. Reports of a small number of serious adverse events in uninfected children exposed in utero or neonatally to antiretroviral therapy need further investigation. Trials of vitamin A supplementation to reduce vertical transmission have had negative results, while the effectiveness of vaginal lavage and passive immune therapy in reducing vertical transmission remains uncertain.

Fat distribution evaluated by computed tomography and metabolic abnormalities in patients undergoing antiretroviral therapy: preliminary results of the LIPOCO study

BACKGROUND

Fat distribution abnormalities have been reported in patients treated with various antiretroviral drug regimens. The LIPOCO study is an ongoing observational study of unselected HIV-infected patients which aims to better characterize such disorders and their metabolic correlations.

METHODS

Cross-sectional analysis of data collected at baseline in the first 154 male patients included. Investigators divided patients into four predetermined clinical categories of fat distribution: lipoatrophy, obesity, mixed condition and normal. Body composition (tetrapolar bioelectrical impedance analysis and skinfold thickness), fat distribution [computed tomography (CT) scan], plasma glucose and insulin concentrations both fasting and during an oral glucose tolerance test and endocrine and lipid profile were measured and compared between the four groups.

RESULTS

Patients in the lipoatrophy group had significantly decreased abdominal and mid-thigh subcutaneous fat area values and elevated levels of plasma triglycerides. Patients in the obese and mixed groups had significantly increased intra-abdominal fat area values and elevated levels of plasma insulin and C-peptide. The CT scans identified some patients with isolated subcutaneous fat accumulation but no other alterations in fat distribution and no insulin resistance. Visceral adipose tissue measured by CT scan was positively correlated with fasting insulin and the sum of insulin levels (P < 0.0001). Fasting insulin as well as the sum of insulin levels were negatively correlated with the delta HIV-RNA (log(10)). In a multivariate logistic regression model, the use of stavudine significantly correlated with fat wasting in both nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor and protease inhibitor groups: odds ratio (OR), 413 [95% confidence interval (CI), 5.2-999; P = 0.0068] and OR, 2.08 (95% CI, 0.92-7.0; P = 0.058) respectively, when compared with the use of zidovudine. Neither lamivudine or didanosine use, nor the use of protease inhibitors were significantly associated with fat distribution abnormalities or fat wasting.

CONCLUSIONS

These preliminary results suggest that three major types of fat distribution abnormalities may occur in isolation or in association in HIV-infected patients undergoing active antiretroviral therapy: a fat depletion or 'lipoatrophy' syndrome which might be related to the use of stavudine; a mixed or fat redistribution syndrome related to an unusual side-product of effective virus control; and a subcutaneous adiposity syndrome reflecting increase in caloric intake.

Intravenous drug use, relationship with providers, and stage of HIV disease influence the prescription rates of protease inhibitors

OBJECTIVE

To assess rates of prescriptions of protease inhibitors (PI) and determinants of not being prescribed PIs in a cohort of HIV-infected people eligible (according to published guidelines) for highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART).

DESIGN

Cross-sectional survey.

METHODS

A total of 684 patients with CD4+ counts <500 cells/microl were enrolled from seven Italian HIV treatment centers from October 1997 to April 1998. A questionnaire on health-related quality of life (MOS-HIV) and patient ratings of the quality of care was administered. Sociodemographic variables, HIV disease-related factors, and prescribed antiretroviral therapy were also recorded.

RESULTS

61% of those enrolled were prescribed PI (median, 7.5 months). In addition, 75% of patients had previously received antiretroviral therapy. Fewer than 1% were prescribed nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs). Using multivariable logistic regression considering those with CD4+ counts <500 cells/microl, patients reporting the least information received (odds ratio [OR], 1.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23-2.58), injecting drug users (IDUs; OR, 1.73; 95% CI, 1.18-2.54), people with CD4+ counts >200 cells/microl (OR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.19-2.61), and patients with early stage disease (OR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.73-2.90) were less likely to have be prescribed PIs.

CONCLUSIONS

Of patients eligible for HAART, only 61% were prescribed PIs. People who wanted more information, IDUs, and patients in earlier disease stages are significantly less likely to be prescribed PIs. Access to HAART remains a critical issue in the management of HIV disease.

A comparison of exposure groups in the EuroSIDA study: starting highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), response to HAART, and survival

BACKGROUND

Concerns have been raised that intravenous drug users may be less likely to start highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) and that adherence to therapy may be poor among this group of patients. Given the decreased mortality and incidence of AIDS-defining illnesses among patients with HIV who start HAART, this may lead to a poorer prognosis among intravenous drug users.

PURPOSE

To compare homosexual men, intravenous drug users, and heterosexuals in EuroSIDA, a prospective European cohort of 7331 patients with HIV in terms of starting a HAART treatment regimen, immunologic and virologic response to therapy, and survival.

METHODS

6645 patients were included in this analysis. Logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models were used to investigate the factors associated with use of HAART regimens and survival following recruitment to the EuroSIDA study.

RESULTS

In a multivariate logistic regression model, intravenous drug users were significantly less likely to be receiving HAART at recruitment to EuroSIDA (odds ratio [OR], 0.48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.37-0.62; p<.0001) when compared with homosexual men. Similarly, during follow-up, intravenous drug users were at a 27% reduced risk of starting HAART, after adjustment for other factors related to starting HAART (relative hazard [RH], 0.73; 95% CI, 0.64-0.82; p<.0001). There were no differences between heterosexual and homosexual patients, and similar results were found within regions of Europe (South, Central and Northern). Among those patients who started HAART, there were no significant differences between exposure groups in CD4 lymphocyte count response to HAART or virologic response to HAART. After adjustment for factors related to survival, intravenous drug users were at a small, but nonsignificant increased risk of death compared with homosexuals (RH 1.16; 95% CI, 0.99-1.38; p = .074).

CONCLUSIONS

Intravenous drug users were significantly less likely to start HAART, but among those who did, response to therapy was similar to that of other exposure groups. There were no differences in risk of death. If intravenous drug users continue to use HAART less commonly than other exposure groups, it may result in a poorer prognosis, a different spectrum of AIDS-defining illnesses, and differential long-term clinical needs.

Regional survival differences across Europe in HIV-positive people: the EuroSIDA study

OBJECTIVES

To analyse the survival differences between macro-regions of Europe (northern, central and southern Europe) between 1994 and early 1999, and their possible association with antiretroviral treatment differences.

DESIGN

From September 1994 the EuroSIDA study has prospectively followed non-selected HIV-infected people from 50 clinical sites in 18 European countries (n = 7331).

METHODS

Cox proportional hazards models were used to compare death rates between regions and to investigate the relationship between treatment usage and regional mortality rates. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to compare survival from the first CD4 lymphocyte count of < 200 x 10(6)/l or < 50 x 10(6)/l.

RESULTS

At the time of analysis, the median follow-up was 21 months and there was a total of 1544 deaths. In people with a CD4+ cell count that fell below 200 or 50 x 10(6)/l those from central Europe had a better prognosis compared with those from the two other regions (P < 0.05). Patients from central Europe were more frequently exposed to reverse transcriptase inhibitors and protease inhibitors compared with patients from other regions (P < 0.001). There was a significant difference in risk of death between regions after adjustment for baseline differences in demography, presence of AIDS and level of immunodeficiency (risk of death in central Europe was 37% lower than that in southern Europe (P < 0.0001) and 33% lower than in northern Europe (P < 0.0001)). After adjustment for use of individual antiretroviral agents, intensity of treatment regimen, CD4 lymphocyte count, weight, haemoglobin and development of AIDS as time-dependent covariates, the differences became much smaller (risk in central Europe 13% lower than that in southern Europe (P = 0.071) and 15% lower than in northern Europe (P = 0.054).

CONCLUSION

Antiretroviral therapy has been used more aggressively in Europe in recent years, resulting in improved prognosis. In this study we observed that the HIV mortality rate in central Europe was significantly lower than those in northern and southern Europe in the period 1994 to early 1999. This finding appears to be due to the effect on survival of different treatment policies and drug availability in the three regions of Europe during this time period, with central European countries, on average, having introduced more aggressive treatment strategies earlier.

Effects of mutations in Pneumocystis carinii dihydropteroate synthase gene on outcome of AIDS-associated P. carinii pneumonia

BACKGROUND

Sulpha drugs are widely used for the treatment and long-term prophylaxis of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP) in HIV-1-infected individuals. Sulpha resistance in many microorganisms is caused by point mutations in dihydropteroate synthase (DHPS), an enzyme that is essential for folate biosynthesis. We assessed whether mutations in the DHPS gene of P. carinii were associated with exposure to sulpha drugs and influenced outcome from PCP.

METHODS

We studied bronchoalveolar samples collected in 1989-99 from a prospective cohort of HIV-1-infected patients who had PCP. In 144 patients with 152 episodes of PCP, we analysed portions of DHPS using PCR and direct sequencing. The relation between survival, P. carinii DHPS mutations, and other predictors of treatment failure was assessed by Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox regression analysis.

FINDINGS

P. carinii DHPS mutations were found in 31 (20.4%) of 152 PCP episodes. 3-month survival was significantly lower in patients infected with mutant P. carinii DHPS strains than in those with wild-type strains (p=0.002). After adjustment for other prognostic variables, presence of DHPS mutations remained the most important predictor of mortality (hazard ratio 3.1 [95% CI 1.2-8.1]). DHPS mutations were significantly more common in patients who had previous exposure to sulpha drugs (18 of 29 [62%]) than in those who had no exposure (13 of 123 [10.5%]; p<0.0001). A significant increase with time in the rate of DHPS mutations (p=0.01 for trend) was closely correlated with the rate of previous or current use of sulpha drugs as chemoprophylaxis.

INTERPRETATION

Mutations in DHPS are associated with impaired prognosis in PCP, and may develop as a result of exposure to sulpha drugs.

Changing treatment patterns among patients with HIV: Royal Free Hospital 1987-97

OBJECTIVE

Following the publication of results of large-scale clinical trials, antiretroviral treatment for HIV has changed dramatically. The aim of this study was to describe changes in antiretroviral treatment and the way treatments were combined among 1806 patients with HIV seen at a single centre at the Royal Free Hospital, London, UK.

DESIGN AND METHOD

Each calendar year was divided into quarters, and the number of patients receiving treatment and participating in clinical trials was determined.

RESULTS

The proportion of patients on no therapy decreased from over 90% at the beginning of 1988 to under 15% at the end of 1997. Monotherapy was the only form of treatment available before 1992 but its use dropped to 2% by the end of 1997. The standard of care at the end of 1997 was triple combination therapy, used in over 40% of patients. There were dramatic changes in the use of individual agents; use of zidovudine decreased from 50% during 1989 to 25% during 1997, while use of lamivudine and stavudine saw an exponential rise in 1997. The protease inhibitors were used in equal proportions in this clinic population; the use of dual protease therapy began in 1997 and was rising rapidly by the end of the year.

CONCLUSIONS

There have been major changes in the use of antiretroviral therapy at this centre, particularly during 1996 and 1997. The long-term cost implications and side-effects of intensive treatment regimens remain to be addressed.

Anaemia is an independent predictive marker for clinical prognosis in HIV-infected patients from across Europe. EuroSIDA study group

OBJECTIVES

To describe changes in haemoglobin over time and to determine the joint prognostic value of the current haemoglobin, CD4 lymphocyte count and viral load among patients from across Europe.

PATIENTS

The analysis included 6725 patients from EuroSIDA, an observational, prospective cohort of patients with HIV from across Europe.

METHODS

Normal haemoglobin was defined as haemoglobin greater than 14 g/dl for men and 12 g/dl for women; mild anaemia was 8-14 g/dl for men and 8-12 g/dl for women; severe anaemia was defined as less than 8 g/dl for both males and females. Linear regression techniques were used to estimate the annual change in haemoglobin; standard survival techniques were used to describe disease progression and risk of death.

RESULTS

At recruitment to the study, 40.4% had normal levels of haemoglobin, 58.2% had mild anaemia and 1.4% had severe anaemia. At 12 months after recruitment, the proportion of patients estimated to have died was 3.1% [95% confidence interval (CI) 2.3-3.9] for patients without anaemia, 15.9% for patients with mild anaemia (95% CI 14.5-17.2) and 40.8% for patients with severe anaemia (95% CI 27.9-53.6; P < 0.0001). In a multivariate, time-updated Cox proportional hazards model, adjusted for demographic factors, AIDS status and each antiretroviral treatment as time-dependent covariates, a 1 g/dl decrease in the latest haemoglobin level increased the hazard of death by 57% [relative hazard (RH) 1.57; 95% CI 1.41-1.75; P < 0.0001], a 50% drop in the most recent CD4 lymphocyte count increased the hazard by 51% (RH 1.51; 95% CI 1.35-1.70; P < 0.0001) and a log increase in the latest viral load increased the hazard by 37% (RH 1.37; 95% CI 1.15-1.63; P = 0.0005).

CONCLUSIONS

Severe anaemia occurred infrequently among these patients but was associated with a much faster rate of disease progression. Among patients with similar CD4 lymphocyte counts and viral load, the latest value of haemoglobin was a strong independent prognostic marker for death.

Discontinuation of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia prophylaxis after start of highly active antiretroviral therapy in HIV-1 infection. EuroSIDA Study Group

BACKGROUND

Highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) has improved rates of CD4-lymphocyte recovery and decreased the incidence of HIV-1-related morbidity and mortality. We assessed whether prophylaxis against Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP) can be safely discontinued after HAART is started.

METHODS

We investigated 7333 HIV-1-infected patients already enrolled in EuroSIDA, a continuing prospective observational cohort study in 52 centres across Europe and Israel. We did a person-years analysis of the rate of discontinuation of PCP prophylaxis and of the incidence of PCP after the introduction of HAART into clinical practice from July, 1996.

FINDINGS

The rate of discontinuation of primary and secondary PCP prophylaxis increased up to 21.9 discontinuations per 100 person-years of follow-up after March, 1998. 378 patients discontinued primary (319) or secondary (59) prophylaxis a median of 10 months after starting HAART. At discontinuation for primary and secondary prophylaxis, respectively, the median CD4-lymphocyte counts were 274 cells/microL and 270 cells/microL, the median plasma HIV-1 RNA load 500 copies/mL, and the median lowest recorded CD4-lymphocyte counts 123 cells/microL and 60 cells/microL. During 247 person-years of follow-up, no patient developed PCP (incidence density 0 [95% CI 0-1.5]).

INTERPRETATION

The risk of PCP after stopping primary prophylaxis, especially in patients on HAART with a rise in CD4-lymphocyte count to more than 200 cells/microL, is sufficiently low to warrant discontinuation of primary PCP prophylaxis. Longer follow-up is needed to confirm a similarly low risk for stopping secondary PCP prophylaxis.

Changing patterns of mortality across Europe in patients infected with HIV-1. EuroSIDA Study Group

BACKGROUND

The introduction of combination antiretroviral therapy and protease inhibitors has led to reports of falling mortality rates among people infected with HIV-1. We examined the change in these mortality rates of HIV-1-infected patients across Europe during 1994-98, and assessed the extent to which changes can be explained by the use of new therapeutic regimens.

METHODS

We analysed data from EuroSIDA, which is a prospective, observational, European, multicentre cohort of 4270 HIV-1-infected patients. We compared death rates in each 6 month period from September, 1994, to March, 1998.

FINDINGS

By March, 1998, 1215 patients had died. The mortality rate from March to September, 1995, was 23.3 deaths per 100 person-years of follow-up (95% CI 20.6-26.0), and fell to 4.1 per 100 person-years of follow-up (2.3-5.9) between September, 1997, and March, 1998. From March to September, 1997, the death rate was 65.4 per 100 person-years of follow-up for those on no treatment, 7.5 per 100 person-years of follow-up for patients on dual therapy, and 3.4 per 100 person-years of follow-up for patients on triple-combination therapy. Compared with patients who were followed up from September, 1994, to March, 1995, patients seen between September, 1997, and March, 1998, had a relative hazard of death of 0.16 (0.08-0.32), which rose to 0.90 (0.50-1.64) after adjustment for treatment.

INTERPRETATION

Death rates across Europe among patients infected with HIV-1 have been falling since September, 1995, and at the beginning of 1998 were less than a fifth of their previous level. A large proportion of the reduction in mortality could be explained by new treatments or combinations of treatments.