Pre-AIDS mortality and its association with HIV disease progression in haemophilic men, injecting drug users and homosexual men

Mortality and its predictors among antiretroviral therapy naïve HIV-infected individuals with CD4 cell count ≥350 cells/mm(3) compared to the general population: data from a population-based prospective HIV cohort in Uganda

Background

Evidence exists that even at high CD4 counts, mortality among HIV-infected antiretroviral therapy (ART) naïve individuals is higher than that in the general population. However, many developing countries still initiate ART at CD4 ≤350 cells/mm³.

Objective

To compare mortality among HIV-infected ART naïve individuals with CD4 counts ≥350 cells/mm³ with mortality in the general Ugandan population and to investigate risk factors for death.

Design

Population-based prospective HIV cohort.

Methods

The study population consisted of HIV-infected people in rural southwest Uganda. Patients were reviewed at the study clinic every 3 months. CD4 cell count was measured every 6 months. Rate ratios were estimated using Poisson regression. Indirect methods were used to calculate standardised mortality ratios (SMRs).

Results

A total of 374 participants with CD4 ≥350 cells/mm³ were followed for 1,328 person-years (PY) over which 27 deaths occurred. Mortality rates (MRs) (per 1,000 PY) were 20.34 (95% CI: 13.95–29.66) among all participants and 16.43 (10.48–25.75) among participants aged 15–49 years. Mortality was higher in periods during which participants had CD4 350–499 cells/mm³ than during periods of CD4 ≥500 cells/mm³ although the difference was not statistically significant [adjusted rate ratio (aRR)=1.52; 95% CI: 0.71–3.25]. Compared to the general Ugandan population aged 15–49 years, MRs were 123% higher among participants with CD4 ≥500 cells/mm³ (SMR: 223%, 95% CI: 127–393%) and 146% higher among participants with CD4 350–499 cells/mm³ (246%, 117%–516). After adjusting for current age, mortality was associated with increasing WHO clinical stage (aRR comparing stage 3 or 4 and stage 1: 10.18, 95% CI: 3.82–27.15) and decreasing body mass index (BMI) (aRR comparing categories ≤17.4 Kg/m² and ≥18.5 Kg/m²: 6.11, 2.30–16.20).

Conclusion

HIV-infected ART naïve individuals with CD4 count ≥350 cells/mm³ had a higher mortality than the general population. After adjusting for age, the main predictors of mortality were WHO clinical stage and BMI.

Social and structural factors associated with HIV disease progression among illicit drug users: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review factors associated with HIV disease progression among illicit drug users, focusing on exposures exogenous to individuals that likely shape access and adherence to HIV treatment.

DESIGN

A systematic review of peer-reviewed English-language studies among HIV-seropositive illicit drug users with at least one of these endpoint of interest: a diagnosis of AIDS; death; changes/differences in CD4 cell counts; or changes/differences in plasma HIV-1 RNA levels.

METHODS

Articles were included if they reported factors associated with an outcome of interest among a group of illicit drug users. Studies were identified, screened and selected using systematic methods.

RESULTS

Of 2668 studies matching the search criteria, 58 (2%) met the inclusion criteria, all but one from North America or western Europe. Overall, 41 (71%) studies contained significant individual-level clinical characteristics or behaviors (e.g. illicit drug use) associated with disease progression. Fifteen studies (26%) identified significant social, physical, economic or policy-level exposures, including incarceration, housing status or lack of legal income.

CONCLUSION

Although past studies demonstrate important environmental exposures that appear to shape access to care and subsequent disease progression, the limited literature to examine these factors demonstrates the need for future research to consider risk environment characteristics and the role they may play in shaping health outcomes from HIV infection among drug users through determining access and adherence to evidence-based care.

Rapid dissemination of SIV follows multisite entry after rectal inoculation

Receptive ano-rectal intercourse is a major cause of HIV infection in men having sex with men and in heterosexuals. Current knowledge of the mechanisms of entry and dissemination during HIV rectal transmission is scarce and does not allow the development of preventive strategies. We investigated the early steps of rectal infection in rhesus macaques inoculated with the pathogenic isolate SIVmac251 and necropsied four hours to nine days later. All macaques were positive for SIV. Control macaques inoculated with heat-inactivated virus were consistently negative for SIV. SIV DNA was detected in the rectum as early as four hours post infection by nested PCR for gag in many laser-microdissected samples of lymphoid aggregates and lamina propria but never in follicle-associated epithelium. Scarce SIV antigen positive cells were observed by immunohistofluorescence in the rectum, among intraepithelial and lamina propria cells as well as in clusters in lymphoid aggregates, four hours post infection and onwards. These cells were T cells and non-T cells that were not epithelial cells, CD68⁺ macrophages, DC-SIGN⁺ cells or fascin⁺ dendritic cells. DC-SIGN⁺ cells carried infectious virus. Detection of Env singly spliced mRNA in the mucosa by nested RT-PCR indicated ongoing viral replication. Strikingly, four hours post infection colic lymph nodes were also infected in all macaques as either SIV DNA or infectious virus was recovered. Rapid SIV entry and dissemination is consistent with trans-epithelial transport. Virions appear to cross the follicle-associated epithelium, and also the digestive epithelium. Viral replication could however be more efficient in lymphoid aggregates. The initial sequence of events differs from both vaginal and oral infections, which implies that prevention strategies for rectal transmission will have to be specific. Microbicides will need to protect both digestive and follicle-associated epithelia. Vaccines will need to induce immunity in lymph nodes as well as in the rectum.

Impact of injecting drug use on response to highly active antiretroviral treatment in HIV-1-infected patients: a nationwide population-based cohort study

The objective of this study was to determine the effect of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients infected through injecting drug use (injecting drug users, IDUs) compared to patients infected via other routes (non-IDUs). We conducted a nationwide population-based cohort study of all HIV-infected patients who initiated HAART during the study period of 1 January 1995 to 31 December 2007. We compared changes in CD4(+) cell counts, percentage of full viral suppression (< 500 copies/ml) and mortality from start of HAART, as well as differences in initial HAART regimen. Three thousand six hundred and fifteen patients were included in the study, representing 22,804 person-y of observation. A total of 346 (9.6%) were categorized as IDUs. Of IDUs, 55% gained full viral control within the first y after HAART compared to 76% of non-IDUs (p = 0.0002). Absolute CD4(+) cell count and survival were lower for IDUs compared to non-IDUs (adjusted mortality rate ratio 3.6 (95% CI 2.9-4.3)). IDUs were more likely to receive a first regimen based on protease inhibitors (PIs) compared to non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NNRTI)-based regimens for non-IDUs, and IDUs initiated HAART later than non-IDUs. In conclusion, more than half of the HIV-infected patients in Denmark infected through injecting drug use gained full viral suppression after initiating HAART. Absolute CD4(+) cell count was lower and mortality higher among IDUs than non-IDUs.

Impact of injecting drug use on mortality in Danish HIV-infected patients: a nation-wide population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To estimate the impact of injecting drug use (IDU) on mortality in HIV-infected patients in the highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) era.

DESIGN

Population-based, nation-wide prospective cohort study in Denmark (the Danish HIV Cohort Study).

METHODS

A total of 4578 HIV-infected patients were followed from 1 January 1997 or date of HIV diagnosis. We calculated mortality rates stratified on IDU. One-, 5- and 10-year survival probabilities were estimated by Kaplan-Meier methods, and Cox regression analyses were used to estimate mortality rate ratios (MRR).

RESULTS

Of the patients, 484 (10.6%) were categorized as IDUs and 4094 (89.4%) as non-IDUs. IDUs were more likely to be women, Caucasian, hepatitis C virus (HCV) co-infected and younger at baseline; 753 patients died during observation (206 IDUs and 547 non-IDUs). The estimated 10-year survival probabilities were 53.2% [95% confidence interval (CI): 48.1-58.3] in the IDU group and 82.1% (95% CI: 80.7-83.6) in the non-IDU group. IDU as route of HIV infection more than tripled the mortality in HIV-infected patients (MRR: 3.2; 95% CI: 2.7-3.8). Adjusting for potential confounders did not change this estimate substantially. The risk of HIV-related death was not increased in IDUs compared to non-IDUs (MRR 1.1; 95% CI 0.7-1.7).

CONCLUSIONS

Although Denmark's health care system is tax paid and antiretroviral therapy is provided free of charge, HIV-infected IDUs still suffer from substantially increased mortality in the HAART era. The increased risk of death seems to be non-HIV-related and is due probably to the well-known risk factors associated with intravenous drug abuse.

Changes in mortality following HIV and AIDS and estimation of the number of people living with diagnosed HIV/AIDS in Australia, 1981-2003

OBJECTIVE

To investigate changes in mortality following HIV and AIDS in Australia.

METHODS

The results of a linkage between HIV/AIDS diagnoses and the National Death Index (NDI) to the end of 2003 were used to estimate mortality rates following HIV/AIDS. Standardised Mortality Ratios (SMRs) were calculated for deaths following HIV, with and without AIDS, in three periods of treatment; before antiretroviral therapy (< or =1989), pre- and early-HAART (1990-1996) and HAART (1997-2003). Crude mortality rates were calculated as the number of deaths per 1000 person-years. The total number of people living with HIV/AIDS was estimated.

RESULTS

There were 1789 deaths following HIV without AIDS and 6730 deaths after AIDS. For deaths following HIV without AIDS, the SMRs were 2.99, 1.22 and 1.6 during the periods before 1990, 1990-1996 and 1997-2003. For deaths after AIDS the SMRs were 137.84, 28.64 and 4.55 in the periods one to three, respectively. The crude death rate following HIV without AIDS increased from 16.8 before 1986 to 19.6 in 2003. Death rates after AIDS decreased from 958.7 up to 1986 to 60.4 in 2003. The number of new HIV diagnoses increased to 1276 in 1990 then decreased to 780 in 2003, while AIDS diagnoses increased to 950 in 1994 then decreased to 252 in 2003. The total number of people living with HIV was estimated to be 7873 in 1989, and 12828 in 2003.

CONCLUSION

Mortality following AIDS decreased while deaths before AIDS remained low. The number of people living with HIV/AIDS has increased.

Non-AIDS-defining deaths and immunodeficiency in the era of combination antiretroviral therapy

OBJECTIVE

To assess whether immunodeficiency is associated with the most frequent non-AIDS-defining causes of death in the era of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART).

DESIGN

Observational multicentre cohorts.

METHODS

Twenty-three cohorts of adults with estimated dates of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) seroconversion were considered. Patients were seroconverters followed within the cART era. Measurements were latest CD4, nadir CD4 and time spent with CD4 cell count less than 350 cells/microl. Outcomes were specific causes of death using a standardized classification.

RESULTS

Among 9858 patients (71 230 person-years follow-up), 597 died, 333 (55.7%) from non-AIDS-defining causes. Non-AIDS-defining infection, liver disease, non-AIDS-defining malignancy and cardiovascular disease accounted for 53% of non-AIDS deaths. For each 100 cells/microl increment in the latest CD4 cell count, we found a 64% (95% confidence interval 58-69%) reduction in risk of death from AIDS-defining causes and significant reductions in death from non-AIDS infections (32, 18-44%), end-stage liver disease (33, 18-46%) and non-AIDS malignancies (34, 21-45%). Non-AIDS-defining causes of death were also associated with nadir CD4 while being cART-naive or duration of exposure to immunosuppression. No relationship between risk of death from cardiovascular disease and CD4 cell count was found though there was a raised risk associated with elevated HIV RNA.

CONCLUSION

In the cART era, the most frequent non-AIDS-defining causes of death are associated with immunodeficiency, only cardiovascular disease was associated with high viral replication. Avoiding profound and mild immunodeficiency, through earlier initiation of cART, may impact on morbidity and mortality of HIV-infected patients.

The shifting pattern of cause-specific mortality in a cohort of human immunodeficiency virus-infected and non-infected injecting drug users

AIMS

To monitor changes in cause-specific mortality before and after 1997 according to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) serological status in a cohort of injecting drug users (IDUs) observed for a 17-year period (1987--2004).

DESIGN

Community-based prospective cohort study of IDUs recruited in three acquired immunodeficiency virus (AIDS) prevention centres (1987--96) and followed-up until to 2004.

METHODS

We obtained annual overall mortality rates and mortality rates by specific causes according to HIV status. Poisson regression models were adjusted to compare mortality rates between calendar periods. Significant changes in slope trends were evaluated by join-point regression. Disease-specific mortality rates were estimated using competing risk models.

FINDINGS

From 7186 IDUs recruited (80677.218 person-years), 1589 deaths were observed with an overall mortality rate of 19.7 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 18.8-20.7). This rate decreased from 22.9 per 1000 (95% CI, 21.4-24.7) before 1997 to 17.4 per 1000 (95% CI, 16.3-18.6) after 1997 [relative risk (RR) 0.83; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.75-0.92]. Risk of death for HIV-positive was four times higher than for HIV-negative (RR 4.08; 95% CI, 3.63-4.58). Among HIV-positive individuals a significantly decreased change point in trend was found in 1997 for both total and AIDS mortality. HIV-negative individuals showed a similar pattern for drug overdose, suicide and accident mortality. Both groups showed an increase in proportional mortality by liver-related causes, cardiovascular diseases and cancer. Furthermore, a progressively increasing trend was observed for the three causes. However, there were no significant differences according to serological groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Cardiovascular and cancer mortality are increasing among IDUs, but the increases are not related to HIV infection. We have not found a link between highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) introduction and increases in mortality for specific causes.

When to start antiretroviral therapy

The current literature is controversial in providing evidence to determine the optimal time to initiate therapy among patients with HIV. However, there is evidence that initiating early treatment might provide benefits by treating primary HIV infection, preserving normal immune function, suppressing HIV viral replication, deferring clinical progression, and reducing HIV transmission. The biggest challenges in initiating treatment early are issues related with long-term management, including toxicities, adherence, and drug resistance. However, the availability of superior new antiretroviral drugs and simplified regimens, the development of effective treatment strategy, and further improvement of adherence through directly observed treatment are addressing the issues and changing the balance towards earlier treatment.

Trends in AIDS and Mortality in HIV-Infected Subjects With Hemophilia From 1985 to 2003

OBJECTIVE

To study trends in progression to AIDS, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality (AIDS-related, liver disease, and hemorrhagic complications) over calendar periods with different exposure to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) in a cohort of hemophiliacs in Spain, taking into account the competing risks of the causes of death.

METHODS

Multicenter cohort of HIV-infected hemophiliacs. HIV seroconversion was estimated using mathematic techniques for interval-censored data from 1979 through 1985. Rates of AIDS and cause-specific death were calculated by Poisson regression, allowing for late entry, for the periods 1985 through 1992, 1993 through 1996, 1997 through 2000 (early HAART), and 2001 through 2003 (late HAART), also allowing for competing risks.

RESULTS

Of 585 subjects, 44% were younger than 15 years of age, 82% had severe hemophilia, 86% had type A hemophilia, and the median seroconversion date was October 1982. Calendar period and age at HIV seroconversion strongly influenced AIDS and death rates. Compared with 1993 through 1996, decreases of 75% (relative risk [RR] = 0.25, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.14 to 0.43) and 72% (RR = 0.28, 95% CI: 0.12 to 0.63) in the RR of AIDS were observed in early and late HAART. For all-cause mortality, 72% (RR = 0.28, 95% CI: 0.18 to 0.42) and 83% (RR = 0.17, 95% CI: 0.09 to 0.33) decreases were observed by 1997 through 2000 and 2001 through 2003. For liver-related deaths, increases were observed in the late-HAART period (RR = 2.80, 95% CI: 0.94 to 8.36) compared with 1993 through 1996, but using competing risks, this RR was substantially reduced (RR = 1.70, 95% CI: 0.57 to 5.04).

DISCUSSION

Major reductions in AIDS and death rates were observed from 1997 to 2003 in hemophiliacs. These survival improvements are largely attributable to decreases in AIDS-related deaths and have been accompanied by increases in liver disease death rates, which are overestimated if competing risks are not taken into account.

Effective therapy has altered the spectrum of cause-specific mortality following HIV seroconversion

INTRODUCTION

Although HAART has led to a reduction in overall mortality among HIV-infected individuals, its impact on death from specific causes is unknown.

METHODS

Twenty-two cohorts of HIV-infected individuals with known dates of seroconversion are pooled in the CASCADE collaboration. Causes of death (COD) were categorized into three AIDS-related and seven non-AIDS-related causes. The unknown causes were assigned a separate category. The cumulative incidence for each COD was calculated in the presence of the other competing COD, for the pre-HAART and HAART eras. A multivariate regression analyses for the cumulative rate of progression to the different COD was performed.

RESULTS

A total of 1938 of 7680 HIV-seroconverters died. Pre-HAART, AIDS opportunistic infections (OI) was the most common COD, followed by unknown and HIV/AIDS-unspecified. In the HAART era, the cumulative incidence for all AIDS-related COD decreased, OI remaining the most important. Large reductions in death due to other infections and organ failure were seen. Cumulative death risk decreased in the HAART era for most causes. The effect of HAART was not the same for all risk groups. The cumulative risk of death from AIDS-related malignancies, OI and non-AIDS-related malignancies decreased significantly among homosexual men (MSM), whereas the risk of dying from (un)-intentional death increased significantly among injecting drug users (IDU). A non-significant increase in hepatitis/liver-related death was seen in MSM, IDU and haemophiliacs.

CONCLUSION

Overall and cause specific mortality decreased following the introduction of HAART. OI remain the most common COD in the HAART era, suggesting that AIDS-related events will continue to be important in the future. Future trends in COD should be monitored using standardized guidelines.

Impact of hepatitis C infection on long-term mortality of injecting drug users from 1990 to 2002: differences before and after HAART

OBJECTIVE

To assess the impact of HIV and hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection on long-term mortality in injecting drug users (IDU).

DESIGN

Community-based prospective cohort study.

METHODS

Mortality data from follow-up in clinical sites and the Mortality Registry by December 2002 were collected for 3247 IDU who attended three centres for voluntary counselling and testing for HIV/AIDS, HCV and hepatitis B virus (HBV) in 1990-1996. Mortality rates by Poisson regression were adjusting for age, sex, duration of drug use, education, HBV and calendar period (1990-1997 and 1998-2002).

RESULTS

Overall, 11.2% were HIV/HCV negative, 43.7% positive only for HCV and 45.1% positive for both. During 26 772 person-years of follow-up, 585 deaths were detected (2.19/100 person-years). Before 1997, HIV/HCV-positive subjects had a five-fold increase in risk of death [relative risk (RR), 5.4; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.5-11.4] compared with those negative for both; after 1997, a three-fold increase was observed (RR, 2.7; 95% CI, 1.7-4.2). Being HCV positive/HIV negative was not associated with an increase in the risk of death either before (RR, 1.3; 95% CI, 0.6-2.9) or after (RR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8-1.9) 1997 compared with HCV/HIV negative. While increases in mortality were seen in those HCV/HIV negative (RR, 1.6; 95% CI, 0.7-3.7) and those only positive for HCV (RR, 1.5; 95% CI, 1.0-2.1), a 20% reduction among coinfected IDUs was observed after 1997 (interaction P = 0.033).

CONCLUSIONS

HCV/HIV coinfection has had a large impact on mortality in IDU. After 1997, mortality increased in HIV negative/HCV positive subjects and decreased in HIV positive/HCV positive.

Progression of HIV infection in the post-HAART era among a cohort of HIV+ Greek haemophilia patients

AIM

The study aims to describe the course of HIV-1 infection in the pre- and post-HAART period in a cohort of HIV+ haemophilia patients followed up for up to 21 years.

METHODS

The cohort includes 158 haemophilic men with known seroconversion dates followed up prospectively for a median time of 12 and 5.7 years in the pre- (1980-96) and post-HAART period (1997-2003), respectively.

RESULTS

The risk of developing AIDS was lowered by 56% in the post- as compared to the pre-HAART period. Of the 158 patients 69 developed AIDS in the pre-HAART period while of the 59 subjects still alive and AIDS free on 1/1/1997 six developed AIDS. The rate of PCP (12.0 cases per 1000 person-years) and NHL (5.4 cases per 1000 person-years), the most common causes of AIDS diagnosis in the pre-HAART era, were remarkably reduced in the post-HAART era (both rates: 2.8 cases per 1000 person-years). On the contrary, the corresponding risk for non-AIDS deaths was fourfold increased in the post-HAART period. Of the 38 non-AIDS related deaths in both periods, 13 occurred post-HAART. The predominant cause of non-AIDS mortality in both periods was end-stage liver disease (ESLD) (7 pre- and 4 post-HAART). The rate of non-AIDS related cancers was also increased during the post-HAART period.

CONCLUSION

In this haemophilia cohort the risk of AIDS has substantially reduced in the post-HAART period, but the rate of non-AIDS mortality tended to increase. Among haemophilia subjects, due to the high rates of HCV/HIV coinfection, ESLD, the predominant cause of non-AIDS mortality, will become an increasingly important clinical problem.

Do HIV Disease Progression and HAART Response Vary among Injecting Drug Users in Europe?

Prior to HAART availability, there was no evidence of a geographical variation in HIV disease progression among injecting drug users (IDU) from different European regions. Nowadays, factors of importance regarding HIV disease progression in the face of HAART availability, such as HAART access, adherence, and the organization of care for IDU may differ across Europe. Therefore we studied HIV disease progression in a European study of IDU with known dates of HIV-seroconversion. Results show that with ongoing HAART availability, the risk of HIV disease progression has continued to decrease. When accounting for pre-AIDS death (in AIDS analyses) and non-natural deaths (suicide, overdose, accidents and homicide, in analyses of death) which are common among IDU, the risk of AIDS and death has decreased by as much as 65% and 75%, respectively, in 2000/2001. Results show little geographic variation in progression to AIDS. All-cause mortality was higher in IDU from Glasgow than elsewhere, while in the Valencian region (Spain) IDU were at a significantly lower risk of non-natural deaths. The timing of HAART initiation by treatment-naïve IDU likewise differed across Europe: IDU in Amsterdam, Innsbruck, and Edinburgh started at significantly lower CD4 counts than IDU in Paris, Geneva, Glasgow, and the Valencian region, but the subsequent short-term immune response was similar. In conclusion, the risk in progression to AIDS or natural death is similar across western Europe although IDU across Europe differ in other factors, such as the risk of non-natural death and the timing of HAART initiation.

The role of substance abuse in HIV disease progression: reconciling differences from laboratory and epidemiologic investigations

From the onset of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, the use of licit and illicit drugs has been investigated for its potential impact on HIV disease progression. Findings from a large number of laboratory-based studies indicate that drug abuse may exacerbate HIV disease progression; however, epidemiological studies have shown mixed results. This article presents a review of findings from both laboratory-based and epidemiologic investigations. In addition, we provide a careful evaluation of methodological strengths and limitations inherent to both study designs in order to provide a more nuanced understanding of how these findings may complement one another.

Declining AIDS mortality in Amsterdam: contributions of declining HIV incidence and effective therapy

INTRODUCTION

We aimed to evaluate the impact of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) on AIDS mortality, taking into account earlier HIV incidence patterns.

METHODS

Using AIDS Surveillance data (1982-2000), we calculated the observed course of the AIDS epidemic among homosexual men in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. We used the HIV incidence patterns (1980-2000) among homosexual men participating in the hepatitis B vaccine trial and the Amsterdam Cohort Study and those attending the Amsterdam sexual transmitted infections clinic, together with the time from seroconversion to AIDS and death in the pre-HAART era, to estimate the natural course of the AIDS epidemic if HAART had not been introduced.

RESULTS

The estimated course of the AIDS epidemic without the benefits of HAART showed a decline in AIDS mortality, but this estimated decline was not as strong as the observed decline. Taking into account the HIV incidence over calendar time, we estimated that 331 deaths among homosexual men were prevented by HAART between 1996 and 2000 in Amsterdam.

CONCLUSION

The decline in AIDS mortality was the result of both HAART and a decline in the HIV incidence in the early 1980s. When evaluating the effect of HAART on mortality, changes in HIV incidence must also be considered.

Infection with concurrent multiple hepatitis C virus genotypes is associated with faster HIV disease progression

OBJECTIVE

To elucidate the importance of hepatitis C Virus (HCV) genotype in HIV disease progression.

DESIGN

This study was conducted among 126 HIV/HCV co-infected drug users with a known interval of HIV seroconversion whose HCV genotype was known early in HIV infection. Both clinical progression (to AIDS) and immunological progression (to a CD4+ T-cell count of 200 x 10(6) cells/l) by HCV genotype were studied using Cox proportional hazards analysis.

RESULTS

The median duration of follow-up was 7.3 years [interquartile range (IQR), 4.6-10.1 years]. The majority of the HCV infections concerned genotype 1 and genotype 3; The distribution was: HCV type 1: 48%, HCV type 3: 34%, HCV type 4: 13%, multiple HCV types: 5%. Concurrent multiple infections consisted of HCV genotypes 1b+3a, 1b+4 and 3a+4. HCV genotype 1 and multiple HCV genotype infections were associated with faster immunological progression [hazard ratio (HR), 2.02; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.04-3.92 and HR, 2.74; 95% CI, 0.95-7.90, respectively]. Multiple HCV genotype infection was also associated with faster clinical progression (HR, 3.36; 95% CI, 0.82-13.79). These hazard ratios increased further and were all significant when analyses were limited to data in the pre-HAART era (HR, 3.92; 95% CI, 1.51-10.20; HR, 4.38; 95% CI, 1.04-18.40 and HR, 6.54; 95% CI, 1.39-30.76, respectively).

CONCLUSION

HIV disease progression differs by HCV genotype and is especially faster in individuals whose HCV infection involves more than one HCV genotype. The effect of HCV genotype on HIV progression was greater in the pre-highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) era, suggesting that the effectiveness of HAART may diminish the effect of HCV genotype on HIV disease progression.

Service needs of patients with advanced HIV disease: a comparison of client and staff reports at three palliative care projects

Despite prolonged survival and improved quality of life as a result of treatment advances for HIV/AIDS, thousands still suffer with the disease and 15-16,000 a year die in the United States alone. Little is known about those patients with HIV/AIDS who still require palliative care services or the types of services needed. This paper describes the program elements and clients of three programs providing palliative care to persons with HIV/AIDS in Alabama (n = 41), Baltimore, Maryland, (n = 55), and New York City (n = 52). Also presented are the prevalence of need for 27 services as assessed by clients and staff, the level of agreement found between client and staff assessments at each site, and services for which prevalence of need varied among programs. Interviews were conducted between June 2000 and October 2002. The majority of clients at all programs were socioeconomically disadvantaged, persons of color, and had a history of substance abuse, although significant differences were noted in the distributions of clients at each program with regard to these characteristics. Greater differences were observed among programs in the prevalence of need reported than were found between reports of clients and staff at the same program. Despite these differences, a common set of medical (ambulatory/outpatient care, laboratory testing, pharmacy) and ancillary (nutritional counseling, transportation) services was identified by at least 25% of clients and staff at each program. These findings suggest that need, beyond a core of medical and ancillary services, is relative and best conceptualized as a mixture of need, demand, and supply. The need for a mix of "care" and "cure" services identified reflect the erratic disease trajectory experienced by some clients who move in and out of treatment as well as the vulnerability and marginalized lives of the clients served by these programs.

Progression of HIV infection and mortality by hepatitis C infection in patients with haemophilia over 20 years

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is an important cause of mortality in human immune deficiency virus (HIV)-positive haemophiliacs. This study describes progression to AIDS, death from HCV end-stage liver disease (ESLD) and all-cause mortality over 20 years. All HIV-positive haemophiliacs in La Paz University Hospital were included in this cohort. HIV seroconversion was estimated using mathematical techniques for interval-censored data from 1979 to 1985. Poisson regression was used to estimate rates of AIDS, death from ESLD and all causes in different periods: before 1988, 1988-89, 1990-91, 1992-93, 1994-95, 1996-97 and 1998-2001 using competing risk models. Among 383 cohort members, global AIDS incidence was 9.7 per 100 person-years, peaking in 1992-93 and dropping by 87% in 1998-2001 compared with before 1988 [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.13; 95% CI: 0.03-0.53]. Overall mortality was 7.5 per 100 person-years, was highest from 1992 to 1997, and fell by 66% in 1998-2001 compared with before 1988 (IRR 0.34; 95% CI: 0.14-0.81). Eighteen (5%) persons died of ESLD which represented 19% of deaths before 1988, 4% during 1988-89, 1990-91 and 1992-93, 2% in 1994-95, 10% in 1996-97 and 33% in 1998-2001. Overall death rate from ESLD was 0.5 cases per 100 person-years with no statistically significant trend observed over time. Important reductions in HIV disease progression to AIDS and death have been observed from 1998 to 2001, and can be attributed to highly active antiretroviral therapy. Although no increase in the rate of HCV-related deaths can be demonstrated, HCV accounts for an increasing proportion of deaths in the recent years.

Markers of HIV-1 disease progression in individuals with haemophilia coinfected with hepatitis C virus: a longitudinal study

BACKGROUND

Low serum albumin concentration is associated with short-term survival in individuals with HIV-1. However, few investigators have assessed whether individuals with a low serum albumin concentration have delayed progression to AIDS, or survive in the long term. We aimed to assess the relation between markers of liver function and progression to AIDS and death in individuals with haemophilia infected with HIV-1 and hepatitis C virus.

METHODS

We measured markers of liver function and took CD4 counts every 3 months in 111 patients registered at the Royal Free Hospital Haemophilia Centre, London, UK. HIV RNA concentrations were measured yearly and then every 3-6 months from 1996. We used Cox's regression models to assess the independent prognostic value of these markers for AIDS and death.

FINDINGS

As a fixed covariate, albumin concentrations measured shortly after HIV-1 seroconversion were associated with risk of AIDS (relative hazard 0.91 [95% CI 0.84-1.00], p=0.04) and death (0.89 [0.82-0.96], p=0.004) over a 15-year period. These findings were independent of the CD4 count and HIV-1 RNA concentration. As a time-updated covariate, after adjustment for CD4 count and HIV-1 RNA concentrations, albumin was not associated with progression to AIDS (0.96 [0.90-1.01], p=0.13), but was strongly associated with death (0.88 [0.84-0.93], p<0.0001) in the short term.

INTERPRETATION

Low concentrations of albumin in individuals infected with HIV-1 could indicate a poor outlook and should therefore prompt concern at any stage of infection.

Changes in the cause of death among HIV positive subjects across Europe: results from the EuroSIDA study

OBJECTIVES

The causes of death among HIV-positive patients may have changed since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). We investigated these changes, patients who died without an AIDS diagnosis and factors relating to pre-AIDS deaths.

METHODS

Analyses of 1826 deaths among EuroSIDA patients, an observational study of 8556 patients. Incidence rates of pre-AIDS deaths were compared to overall rates. Factors relating to pre-AIDS deaths were identified using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Death rates declined from 15.6 to 2.7 per 100 person-years of follow-up (PYFU) between 1994 and 2001. Pre-AIDS incidence declined from 2.4 to 1.1 per 100 PYFU. The ratio of overall to pre-AIDS deaths peaked in 1996 at 8.4 and dropped to < 3 after 1998. The adjusted odds of dying following one AIDS defining event (ADE) increased yearly (odds ratio, 1.53; P < 0.001), conversely the odds of dying following three or more ADE decreased yearly (odds ratio, 0.79; P < 0.001). The proportion of deaths that followed an HIV-related disease decreased by 23% annually; in contrast there was a 32% yearly increase in the proportion of deaths due to known causes other than HIV-related or suicides. Injecting drug users (IDU) were significantly more likely to die before an ADE than homosexuals (relative hazard, 2.97; P < 0.0001) and patients from northern/eastern Europe (relative hazard, 2.01; P < 0.0001) were more likely to die pre-AIDS than southern patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The proportion of pre-AIDS deaths increased from 1994 to 2001; however, the incidence of pre-AIDS deaths and deaths overall declined. IDU and subjects from northern/eastern Europe had an increased risk of pre-AIDS death. HIV-positive patients live longer therefore it is essential to continue to monitor all causes of mortality to identify changes.

Human immunodeficiency virus genotype and hypertriglyceridemia

Many HIV patients develop a progressive syndrome of abnormal body fat distribution accompanied by hypertriglyceridemia. Antiretroviral agents are thought to be etiologic in the syndrome, often termed "highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART)-associated lipodystrophy." In the course of clinical HIV genotype testing, we observed that our HIV patients with hypertriglyceridemia had viral genotypes that were more highly mutated than those of our therapy-matched control patients. Hypertriglyceridemia was statistically associated with predicted resistance for three nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors: zidovudine, abacavir, and stavudine. Statistical analysis of 51 patients in retrospect revealed a strong association of mutations at reverse transcriptase codons M41 and T215 with hypertriglyceridemia (chi-square (chi(2)) = 8.375, P=.0038; and chi(2)=7.445, P=.0064, respectively). This was in contrast to silent mutations, which occurred at equivalent rates in retroviral genotypes of patients with and without hypertriglyceridemia. The findings imply that the HIV genotype itself may be a significant etiologic factor in antiretroviral-associated lipodystrophy.

Some aspects of the natural history of HIV infection

Studying factors influencing the length of the incubation period of HIV/AIDS is important to our understanding of the natural history of the disease and for the decision when to start with anti-retroviral therapy. In a multicentre study among HIV-positive homosexual men with a known date of seroconversion, we found that the median survival time after HIV infection was 12.1 years. Age is an important determinant of the survival: the older the shorter the incubation period and survival. Gender does not seem to play a role, but women appear to have higher CD4 counts than men at seroconversion, AIDS and death. HIV-positive drug users often die before they 'reach' AIDS often from HIV-related causes e.g. bacterial infections. In a multicentre study we found that such pre-AIDS mortality is now also found among homosexual men and haemophiliacs but at a much lower level. Most studies show that HIV subtype does not influence the incubation period. On the other hand genetic factors do play an important role.