Protocol core needle biopsy and histologic Chronic Allograft Damage Index (CADI) as surrogate end point for long-term graft survival in multicenter studies

Bortezomib for antibody-mediated rejection of kidney transplant in youth: Associations with donor-specific antibody

BACKGROUND

Antibody-mediated rejection is one of the most significant risk factors for allograft dysfunction and failure in children and adolescents with kidney transplants, yet optimal treatment remains unidentified. To date, there are mixed findings regarding the use of Bortezomib, a plasma cell apoptosis inducer, as an adjunct therapy in the treatment of antibody-mediated rejection.

METHODS

In a retrospective single center study, we reviewed the efficacy and tolerability of bortezomib as adjunct therapy for treatment-refractory antibody-mediated rejection.

RESULTS

Six patients with a median age of 14.6 years (range 6.9-20.1 years) received bortezomib at a mean of 71 months (range 15-83 months) post-kidney transplant. Four patients experienced decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from 4% to 42%. One patient started bortezomib while on hemodialysis and did not recover graft function, and another patient progressed to hemodialysis 6 months after receiving bortezomib. Although DSA did not completely resolve, there was a statistically significant decline in DSA MFI pre and 12-months post-BZ (p = .012, paired t-test) for the subjects who were not on dialysis at the time of bortezomib. Chronic Allograft Damage Index (CADI) score of ≥3 was seen in all six subjects at their biopsy prior to therapy. No adverse effects were reported.

CONCLUSIONS

Bortezomib was well tolerated and resulted in improvements in MFI of DSA among four pediatric subjects without allograft failure, although no effects were observed on eGFR trajectory. Further studies are needed to clarify whether earlier intervention with bortezomib could prevent renal failure progression.

Prognostic Biomarkers in Kidney Transplantation: A Systematic Review and Critical Appraisal

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT

Why are there so few biomarkers accepted by health authorities and implemented in clinical practice, despite the high and growing number of biomaker studies in medical research ? In this meta-epidemiological study, including 804 studies that were critically appraised by expert reviewers, the authors have identified all prognostic kidney transplant biomarkers and showed overall suboptimal study designs, methods, results, interpretation, reproducible research standards, and transparency. The authors also demonstrated for the first time that the limited number of studies challenged the added value of their candidate biomarkers against standard-of-care routine patient monitoring parameters. Most biomarker studies tended to be single-center, retrospective studies with a small number of patients and clinical events. Less than 5% of the studies performed an external validation. The authors also showed the poor transparency reporting and identified a data beautification phenomenon. These findings suggest that there is much wasted research effort in transplant biomarker medical research and highlight the need to produce more rigorous studies so that more biomarkers may be validated and successfully implemented in clinical practice.

BACKGROUND

Despite the increasing number of biomarker studies published in the transplant literature over the past 20 years, demonstrations of their clinical benefit and their implementation in routine clinical practice are lacking. We hypothesized that suboptimal design, data, methodology, and reporting might contribute to this phenomenon.

METHODS

We formed a consortium of experts in systematic reviews, nephrologists, methodologists, and epidemiologists. A systematic literature search was performed in PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library between January 1, 2005, and November 12, 2022 (PROSPERO ID: CRD42020154747). All English language, original studies investigating the association between a biomarker and kidney allograft outcome were included. The final set of publications was assessed by expert reviewers. After data collection, two independent reviewers randomly evaluated the inconsistencies for 30% of the references for each reviewer. If more than 5% of inconsistencies were observed for one given reviewer, a re-evaluation was conducted for all the references of the reviewer. The biomarkers were categorized according to their type and the biological milieu from which they were measured. The study characteristics related to the design, methods, results, and their interpretation were assessed, as well as reproducible research practices and transparency indicators.

RESULTS

A total of 7372 publications were screened and 804 studies met the inclusion criteria. A total of 1143 biomarkers were assessed among the included studies from blood ( n =821, 71.8%), intragraft ( n =169, 14.8%), or urine ( n =81, 7.1%) compartments. The number of studies significantly increased, with a median, yearly number of 31.5 studies (interquartile range [IQR], 23.8-35.5) between 2005 and 2012 and 57.5 (IQR, 53.3-59.8) between 2013 and 2022 ( P < 0.001). A total of 655 studies (81.5%) were retrospective, while 595 (74.0%) used data from a single center. The median number of patients included was 232 (IQR, 96-629) with a median follow-up post-transplant of 4.8 years (IQR, 3.0-6.2). Only 4.7% of studies were externally validated. A total of 346 studies (43.0%) did not adjust their biomarker for key prognostic factors, while only 3.1% of studies adjusted the biomarker for standard-of-care patient monitoring factors. Data sharing, code sharing, and registration occurred in 8.8%, 1.1%, and 4.6% of studies, respectively. A total of 158 studies (20.0%) emphasized the clinical relevance of the biomarker, despite the reported nonsignificant association of the biomarker with the outcome measure. A total of 288 studies assessed rejection as an outcome. We showed that these rejection studies shared the same characteristics as other studies.

CONCLUSIONS

Biomarker studies in kidney transplantation lack validation, rigorous design and methodology, accurate interpretation, and transparency. Higher standards are needed in biomarker research to prove the clinical utility and support clinical use.

Development and nationwide validation of kidney graft injury markers using urinary exosomes and microvesicles (complete English translation of the Japanese version)

BACKGROUND

Non-invasive, prompt, and proper detection tools for kidney graft injuries (KGIs) are awaited to ensure graft longevity. We screened diagnostic biomarkers for KGIs following kidney transplantation using extracellular vesicles (EVs; exosomes and microvesicles) from the urine samples of patients.

METHODS

One hundred and twenty-seven kidney recipients at 11 Japanese institutions were enrolled in this study; urine samples were obtained prior to protocol/episode biopsies. EVs were isolated from urine samples, and EV RNA markers were assayed using quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction. Diagnostic performance of EV RNA markers and diagnostic formulas comprising these markers were evaluated by comparison with the corresponding pathological diagnoses.

RESULTS

EV CXCL9, CXCL10, and UMOD were elevated in T-cell-mediated rejection samples compared with other KGI samples, while SPNS2 was elevated in chronic antibody-mediated rejection (cABMR) samples. A diagnostic formula developed through Sparse Logistic Regression analysis using EV RNA markers allowed us to accurately (with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve [AUC] of 0.875) distinguish cABMR from other KGI samples. EV B4GALT1 and SPNS2 were also elevated in cABMR, and a diagnostic formula using these markers was able to distinguish between cABMR and chronic calcineurin toxicity accurately (AUC 0.886). In interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) urine samples and those with high Banff chronicity score sums (BChS), POTEM levels may reflect disease severity, and diagnostic formulas using POTEM detected IFTA (AUC 0.830) and high BChS (AUC 0.850).

CONCLUSIONS

KGIs could be diagnosed with urinary EV mRNA analysis with relatively high accuracy.

Controlled Donation After Circulatory Death Using Normothermic Regional Perfusion Does Not Increase Graft Fibrosis in the First Year Posttransplant Surveillance Biopsy

OBJECTIVES

The number of kidney transplants obtained from controlled donations after circulatory death is increasing, with long-term outcomes similar to those obtained with donations after brain death. Extraction using normothermic regional perfusion can improve results with controlled donors after circulatory death; however, information on the histological impact and extraction procedure is scarce.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively investigated all kidney transplants performed from October 2014 to December 2019, in which a follow-up kidney biopsy had been performed at 1-year follow-up, comparing controlled procedures with donors after circulatory death and normothermic regional perfusion versus donors after brain death. Interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy was assessed by adding the values of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy, according to the Banff classification of renal allograft pathology.

RESULTS

When we compared histological data from 66 transplants with donations after brain death versus 24 transplants with donations after circulatory death and normothermic regional perfusion, no differences were found in the degree of fibrosis in the 1-year follow-up biopsy (1.7 ± 1.3 vs 1.7 ± 1.1; P = .971) or in the ratio of patients with increased fibrosis calculated as interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy >2 (18% vs 13%; P = .522). In our multivariate analysis, which included acute rejection, expanded criteria donation, and the type of donation, no variable was independently related to an increased risk of interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy >2.

CONCLUSIONS

The outcomes of kidney grafts procured in our center using controlled procedures with donors after circulatory death and normothermic regional perfusion were indistinguishable from those obtained from donors after brain death, showing the same degree of fibrosis in the 1-year posttransplant surveillance biopsy. Our data support the conclusion that normothermic regional perfusion should be the method of choice for extraction in donors after circulatory death.

Comparison of artificial intelligence and human-based prediction and stratification of the risk of long-term kidney allograft failure

BACKGROUND

Clinical decisions are mainly driven by the ability of physicians to apply risk stratification to patients. However, this task is difficult as it requires complex integration of numerous parameters and is impacted by patient heterogeneity. We sought to evaluate the ability of transplant physicians to predict the risk of long-term allograft failure and compare them to a validated artificial intelligence (AI) prediction algorithm.

METHODS

We randomly selected 400 kidney transplant recipients from a qualified dataset of 4000 patients. For each patient, 44 features routinely collected during the first-year post-transplant were compiled in an electronic health record (EHR). We enrolled 9 transplant physicians at various career stages. At 1-year post-transplant, they blindly predicted the long-term graft survival with probabilities for each patient. Their predictions were compared with those of a validated prediction system (iBox). We assessed the determinants of each physician's prediction using a random forest survival model.

RESULTS

Among the 400 patients included, 84 graft failures occurred at 7 years post-evaluation. The iBox system demonstrates the best predictive performance with a discrimination of 0.79 and a median calibration error of 5.79%, while physicians tend to overestimate the risk of graft failure. Physicians' risk predictions show wide heterogeneity with a moderate intraclass correlation of 0.58. The determinants of physicians' prediction are disparate, with poor agreement regardless of their clinical experience.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows the overall limited performance and consistency of physicians to predict the risk of long-term graft failure, demonstrated by the superior performances of the iBox. This study supports the use of a companion tool to help physicians in their prognostic judgement and decision-making in clinical care.

Improve in-depth immunological risk assessment to optimize genetic-compatibility and clinical outcomes in child and adolescent recipients of parental donor kidney transplants: protocol for the INCEPTION study

Background

Parental donor kidney transplantation is the most common treatment option for children and adolescents with kidney failure. Emerging data from observational studies have reported improved short- and medium-term allograft outcomes in recipients of paternal compared to maternal donors. The INCEPTION study aims to identify potential differences in immunological compatibility between maternal and paternal donor kidneys and ascertain how this affects kidney allograft outcomes in children and adolescents with kidney failure.

Methods

This longitudinal observational study will recruit kidney transplant recipients aged ≤18 years who have received a parental donor kidney transplant across 4 countries (Australia, New Zealand, United Kingdom and the Netherlands) between 1990 and 2020. High resolution human leukocyte antigen (HLA) typing of both recipients and corresponding parental donors will be undertaken, to provide an in-depth assessment of immunological compatibility. The primary outcome is a composite of de novo donor-specific anti-HLA antibody (DSA), biopsy-proven acute rejection or allograft loss up to 60-months post-transplantation. Secondary outcomes are de novo DSA, biopsy-proven acute rejection, acute or chronic antibody mediated rejection or Chronic Allograft Damage Index (CADI) score of > 1 on allograft biopsy post-transplant, allograft function, proteinuria and allograft loss. Using principal component analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression modelling, we will determine the associations between defined sets of immunological and clinical parameters that may identify risk stratification for the primary and secondary outcome measures among young people accepting a parental donor kidney for transplantation. This study design will allow us to specifically investigate the relative importance of accepting a maternal compared to paternal donor, for families deciding on the best option for donation.

Discussion

The INCEPTION study findings will explore potentially differential immunological risks of maternal and paternal donor kidneys for transplantation among children and adolescents. Our study will provide the evidence base underpinning the selection of parental donor in order to achieve the best projected long-term kidney transplant and overall health outcomes for children and adolescents, a recognized vulnerable population.

Trial registration

The INCEPTION study has been registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry, with the trial registration number of ACTRN12620000911998 (14th September 2020).

Application of the iBox prognostication system as a surrogate endpoint in the TRANSFORM randomised controlled trial: proof-of-concept study

OBJECTIVES

Development of pharmaceutical agents in transplantation is currently limited by long waits for hard endpoints. We applied a validated integrative risk-prognostication system integrative Box (iBox) as a surrogate endpoint to the TRANSFORM Study, a large randomised controlled trial, to project individual patient long-term kidney allograft survival from 1 year to 11 years after randomisation.

DESIGN

Post-hoc analysis of a randomised open-label controlled trial.

SETTING

Multicentre study including 186 centres in 42 countries worldwide.

PARTICIPANTS

2037 de novo kidney transplant recipients.

INTERVENTION

Participants were randomised (1:1) to receive everolimus with reduced-exposure calcineurin inhibitor (EVR+rCNI) or mycophenolic acid with standard-exposure CNI (MPA+sCNI).

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE

The iBox scores were computed for each participant at 1 year after randomisation using functional, immunological and histological parameters. Individual long-term death-censored allograft survival over 4, 6 and 11 years after randomisation was projected with the iBox risk-prognostication system.

RESULTS

Overall, 940 patients receiving EVR+rCNI and 932 receiving MPA+sCNI completed the 1-year visit. iBox scores generated at 1 year yielded graft survival prediction rates of 90.9% vs 92.1%, 87.9% vs 89.5%, and 80.0% vs 82.4% in the EVR+rCNI versus MPA+sCNI arms at 4, 6, and 11 years post-randomisation, respectively (all differences below the 10% non-inferiority margin defined by study protocol). Inclusion of immunological and histological Banff diagnoses parameters in iBox scores resulted in comparable and non-inferior predicted graft survival for both treatments.

CONCLUSIONS

This proof-of-concept study provides the first application of a validated prognostication system as a surrogate endpoint in the field of transplantation. The iBox system, by projecting kidney allograft survival up to 11 years post-randomisation, confirms the non-inferiority of EVR+rCNI versus MPA+sCNI regimen. Given the current process engaged for surrogate endpoints qualification, this study illustrates the potential to fast track development of pharmaceutical agents.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

TRANSFORM trial: NCT01950819.iBox prognostication system: NCT03474003.

Subclinical Rejection and Immunosuppression in Pediatric Kidney Transplant Recipients : Single Centre Study

Background: By the time of histological confirmation of rejection is achieved, renal scarring may for treatment as a realistic option . This study aims to study the subclinical pathological graft data and to evaluate the histopathological impact of different immunosuppression protocols in pediatric renal transplant recipients. Methods: This is a case series that included twenty living donor renal transplant recipients. All included cases received the classic triple immunotherapy for at least one month post-transplantation [Steroids, calconurine inhibitors (CNI), and mycofenlolic mofetile (MMF)]. Based on their immunological risk stratification; included cases were divided into 2 groups: group (A) continued on CNI based triple therapy protocol; group (B) shifted to evirolimus /low dose CNI protocol. Surveillance biopsies were done for all cases at one and four month post-transplantation. Results: One and four month biopsies revealed subclinical rejection (including borderline changes) in 4 (20%) cases and 6 (30%) cases respectively. The number of patients received tacrolimus/MMF therapy significantly increased (p=0.02) while that of patients on everloimus/low dose CNI significantly decreased (p=0.014) due to drug modifications based on four month surveillance biopsy data. Conclusion: Subclinical rejection is not uncommon in pediatric renal graft recipients which makes surveillance biopsy might be of help. Early usage of evirolimus/low CNI protocol is associated with higher rejection rate than triple therapy.

Kidney Allograft Fibrosis: Diagnostic and Therapeutic Strategies

Interstitial fibrosis with tubule atrophy (IF/TA) is the response to virtually any sustained kidney injury and correlates inversely with kidney function and allograft survival. IF/TA is driven by various pathways that include hypoxia, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system, transforming growth factor (TGF)-β signaling, cellular rejection, inflammation and others. In this review we will focus on key pathways in the progress of renal fibrosis, diagnosis and therapy of allograft fibrosis. This review discusses the role and origin of myofibroblasts as matrix producing cells and therapeutic targets in renal fibrosis with a particular focus on renal allografts. We summarize current trends to use multi-omic approaches to identify new biomarkers for IF/TA detection and to predict allograft survival. Furthermore, we review current imaging strategies that might help to identify and follow-up IF/TA complementary or as alternative to invasive biopsies. We further discuss current clinical trials and therapeutic strategies to treat kidney fibrosis.Supplemental Visual Abstract; http://links.lww.com/TP/C141.

AQP2 as a target of lycopene protects against atrazine-induced renal ionic homeostasis disturbance

Atrazine (ATR), a ubiquitous environmental contaminant in water and soil, causes environmental nephrosis. To reveal the toxic effect of ATR on the kidney and the potential chemical nephroprotective effect of lycopene (LYC), Kun-Ming mice of specific pathogen-free (SPF) grade were treated with LYC (5 mg kg-1) and/or ATR (50 mg kg-1 or 200 mg kg-1) for 21 days. The degree of renal injury was evaluated by measuring the ion concentration, ATPase activities and the mRNA expressions/levels of associated ATPase subunits. In addition, the expression of renal aquaporins (AQPs) was analyzed. The results showed that the renal tubular epithelial cells of ATR-exposed mice were swollen, the glomeruli were significantly atrophied, and the ion concentrations were obviously changed. The activity of Na+-K+-ATPase and the transcription of its subunits were downregulated. The activity of Ca2+-Mg2+-ATPase and the transcription of its subunits were upregulated. The expression of AQPs, especially the critical AQP2, was affected. Notably, ATR-induced nephrotoxicity was significantly improved by LYC supplementation. Therefore, LYC could protect the kidney against ATR-induced nephrotoxicity via maintaining ionic homeostasis, reversing the changes in ATPase activity and controlling the expression of AQPs on the cell membrane. These results suggested that AQP2 was a target of LYC and protected against ATR-induced renal ionic homeostasis disturbance.

Safety and Efficacy of a Steroid Avoidance Immunosuppression Regimen in Renal Transplant Patients With De Novo or Preformed Donor-Specific Antibodies: A Single-Center Study

Although interest in the role of donor-specific antibodies (DSAs) in kidney transplant rejection, graft survival, and histopathological outcomes is increasing, their impact on steroid avoidance or minimization in renal transplant populations is poorly understood. Primary outcomes of graft survival, rejection, and histopathological findings were assessed in 188 patients who received transplants between 2012 and 2015 at the Scripps Center for Organ Transplantation, which follows a steroid avoidance protocol. Analyses were performed using data from the United Network for Organ Sharing. Cohorts included kidney transplant recipients with de novo DSAs (dnDSAs; n = 27), preformed DSAs (pfDSAs; n = 15), and no DSAs (nDSAs; n = 146). Median time to dnDSA development (classes I and II) was shorter (102 days) than in previous studies. Rejection of any type was associated with DSAs to class I HLA (P < .05) and class II HLA (P < .01) but not with graft loss. Although mean fluorescence intensity (MFI) independently showed no association with rejection, an MFI >5000 showed a trend toward more antibody-mediated rejection (P < .06), though graft loss was not independently associated. Banff chronic allograft nephropathy scores and a modified chronic injury score were increased in the dnDSA cohort at 6 months, but not at 2 years (P < .001 and P < .08, respectively). Our data suggest that dnDSAs and pfDSAs impact short-term rejection rates but do not negatively impact graft survival or histopathological outcomes at 2 years. Periodic protocol post-transplant DSA monitoring may preemptively identify patients who develop dnDSAs who are at a higher risk for rejection.

Usefulness of morphometric image analysis with Sirius Red to assess interstitial fibrosis after renal transplantation from uncontrolled circulatory death donors

Early interstitial fibrosis (IF) correlates with long-term renal graft dysfunction, highlighting the need for accurate quantification of IF. However, the currently used Banff classification exhibits some limitations. The aim of our study was to precisely describe the progression of IF after renal transplantation using a new morphometric image analysis method relying of Sirius Red staining. The morphometric analysis we developed showed high inter-observer and intra-observer reproducibility, with ICC [95% IC] of respectively 0.75 [0.67–0.81] (n = 151) and 0.88 [0.72–0.95] (n = 21). We used this method to assess IF (mIF) during the first year after the kidney transplantation from 66 uncontrolled donors after circulatory death (uDCD). Both mIF and interstitial fibrosis (ci) according to the Banff classification significantly increased the first three months after transplantation. From M3 to M12, mIF significantly increased whereas Banff classification failed to highlight increase of ci. Moreover, mIF at M12 (p = 0.005) correlated with mean time to graft function recovery and was significantly associated with increase of creatininemia at M12 and at last follow-up. To conclude, the new morphometric image analysis method we developed, using a routine and cheap staining, may provide valuable tool to assess IF and thus to evaluate new sources of grafts.

Polymorphisms in vasoactive eicosanoid genes of kidney donors affect biopsy scores and clinical outcomes in renal transplantation

Cytochrome P450 (CYP) enzymes metabolize arachidonic acid to vasoactive eicosanoids such as epoxyeicosatrienoic acids (EETs) and 20-Hydroxyeicosatetraenoic acid (20-HETE), whilst soluble epoxide hydrolase, encoded by the EPHX2 gene, is in charge of EETs degradation. We aimed to analyze the influence of common, functional polymorphisms in four genes of the donor on the renal biopsy scores independently assigned by pathologists. Additionally, we examined whether this score or the presence of these SNPs were independent risk factors of clinical outcomes in the first year after grafting. A cohort of 119 recipients and their corresponding 85 deceased donors were included in the study. Donors were genotyped for the CYP4F2 V433M, CYP2C8*3, CYP2J2*7, EPHX2 3’UTR A>G, EPHX2 K55R and EPHX2 R287Q polymorphisms. The association of the donors’ SNPs with the biopsy scores and clinical outcomes was retrospectively evaluated by multivariate regression analysis. The CYP2C8*3 polymorphism in the donor was significantly associated with higher scores assigned to pretransplant biopsies [OR = 3.35 (1.03–10.93), p = 0.045]. In turn, higher scores were related to an increased risk of acute rejection [OR = 5.28 (1.32–21.13), p = 0.019] and worse glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (45.68±16.05 vs. 53.04±16.93 ml/min in patients whose grafts had lower scores, p = 0.010) one year after transplant. Patients whose donors carried the CYP4F2 433M variant showed lower eGFR values (48.96±16.89 vs. 55.94±18.62 ml/min in non-carriers, p = 0.038) and higher risk of acute rejection [OR = 6.18 (1.03–37.21), p = 0.047]. The CYP2J2*7 SNP in the donor was associated with elevated risk of delayed graft function [OR = 25.68 (1.52–43.53), p = 0.025]. Our results taken together suggest that donor genetic variability may be used as a predictor of tissue damage in the graft as well as to predict clinical outcomes and graft function in the recipient.

Use of intravoxel incoherent motion imaging to monitor a rat kidney chronic allograft damage model

BACKGROUND

Chronic allograft damage (CAD) is the leading cause of long-term graft dysfunction. A noninvasive method that can diagnose CAD early and monitor its development is needed.

METHODS

Kidneys from Fisher rats were transplanted into Lewis rats to establish a CAD model (n = 20). The control group underwent syngeneic kidney transplantation (n = 20). The serum creatinine of the rats was monitored. At 4, 12, and 20 weeks after modeling, a magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examination was performed. The apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), pseudo diffusion coefficient (D*), true diffusion coefficient (D) and perfusion fraction (f) of the two groups were analyzed. Chronic allograft damage index (CADI) scoring was used to evaluate the transplanted kidney specimens. Immunohistochemistry was used to detect the expression of fibrosis markers in the transplanted kidney tissues and to analyze their correlations with all MRI parameters.

RESULTS

The transplanted kidneys in the experimental group developed CAD changes before the appearance of elevated creatinine. The MRI parameters in the experimental group [ADC (1.460 ± 0.109 VS 2.095 ± 0.319, P < 0.001), D (1.435 ± 0.102 VS 1.969 ± 0.305, P < 0.001), and f (26.532 ± 2.136 VS 32.255 ± 4.013, P < 0.001)] decreased, and D* (20.950 ± 2.273 VS 21.415 ± 1.598, P = 0.131) was not significantly different from those in the control group. ADC, D and f were negatively correlated with the CADI and the α-SMA and vimentin expression levels.

CONCLUSION

Intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM) imaging could detect CAD earlier than creatinine and reflect the degree of fibrosis in grafts quantitatively.

Prediction system for risk of allograft loss in patients receiving kidney transplants: international derivation and validation study

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate an integrative system to predict long term kidney allograft failure.

DESIGN

International cohort study.

SETTING

Three cohorts including kidney transplant recipients from 10 academic medical centres from Europe and the United States.

PARTICIPANTS

Derivation cohort: 4000 consecutive kidney recipients prospectively recruited in four French centres between 2005 and 2014. Validation cohorts: 2129 kidney recipients from three centres in Europe and 1428 from three centres in North America, recruited between 2002 and 2014. Additional validation in three randomised controlled trials (NCT01079143, EudraCT 2007-003213-13, and NCT01873157).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Allograft failure (return to dialysis or pre-emptive retransplantation). 32 candidate prognostic factors for kidney allograft survival were assessed.

RESULTS

Among the 7557 kidney transplant recipients included, 1067 (14.1%) allografts failed after a median post-transplant follow-up time of 7.12 (interquartile range 3.51-8.77) years. In the derivation cohort, eight functional, histological, and immunological prognostic factors were independently associated with allograft failure and were then combined into a risk prediction score (iBox). This score showed accurate calibration and discrimination (C index 0.81, 95% confidence interval 0.79 to 0.83). The performance of the iBox was also confirmed in the validation cohorts from Europe (C index 0.81, 0.78 to 0.84) and the US (0.80, 0.76 to 0.84). The iBox system showed accuracy when assessed at different times of evaluation post-transplant, was validated in different clinical scenarios including type of immunosuppressive regimen used and response to rejection therapy, and outperformed previous risk prediction scores as well as a risk score based solely on functional parameters including estimated glomerular filtration rate and proteinuria. Finally, the accuracy of the iBox risk score in predicting long term allograft loss was confirmed in the three randomised controlled trials.

CONCLUSION

An integrative, accurate, and readily implementable risk prediction score for kidney allograft failure has been developed, which shows generalisability across centres worldwide and common clinical scenarios. The iBox risk prediction score may help to guide monitoring of patients and further improve the design and development of a valid and early surrogate endpoint for clinical trials.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinicaltrials.gov NCT03474003.

Long Non-coding RNA Expression Profiling in Biopsy to Identify Renal Allograft at Risk of Chronic Damage and Future Graft Loss

The loss of allograft from chronic damage is still the major risk that renal transplant recipients face today. Biomarkers for early detection of chronic damage are needed to improve the long-term graft survival. This study aimed to identify long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) biomarkers associated with chronic damage and graft loss after renal transplantation. Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) datasets including GSE57387 (n = 101), GSE21374 (n = 282), and GSE25902 (n = 24) from three high-quality studies were analyzed. By repurposing the publicly available array-based data coupled with Affymetrix Human Exon 1.0 ST and Human U133 Plus 2.0 arrays, we obtained expression profiles of 11323 and 3383 lncRNAs in biopsies after renal transplantation, respectively. The logistic regression model and Cox regression model were applied to identify lncRNAs associated with chronic damage and graft survival. High AC093673.5 expression was identified as significantly associated with the three endpoints including chronic damage, progressive chronic histological damage, and graft failure across these three datasets. A six-lncRNA signature was created to predict renal allograft at risk of chronic damage with a high predictive ability (AUC = 0.94). Gene set enrichment analysis (GSEA) indicated that our lncRNA signature was related with allograft rejection and immunity. Our study highlights the importance of lncRNAs in chronic graft damage and allograft loss, supporting their potential role as prognosis biomarkers.

Sonography of the renal allograft: Correlation between doppler sonographic resistance index (RI) and histopathology

INTRODUCTION

Allograft rejection (AR), chronic allograft injury (CAI) and acute tubular necrosis (ATN) can lead to renal allograft dysfunction after kidney transplantation. Interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (Banff classification 2005) describes chronic allograft injury with no specific etiology, thus explaining the common final endpoint of various (immunologic and non immunologic) etiologies. The aim of this study was to evaluate correlations between the Doppler sonographic RI-values and histopathological changes of renal allografts biopsies during rejection, acute tubular necrosis and chronic allograft injury as well as the influence of donor and recipient features on the intrarenal RI-values.

METHODS

102 allograft biopsies and ultrasound reports of 69 patients with kidney transplantation performed at the hospital Klinikum rechts der Isar (Technische Universität München, Germany) between 2009 and 2013 were analyzed retrospectively (41 biopsies of living donors, 61 biopsies of deceased donors). Chronic allograft injury was described using the IFTA (interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy) or the ECAI score (extended chronic allograft injury score). The ECAI score was built out of the chronic histological lesions glomerulopathy, interstitial fibrosis, tubular atrophy and fibrous intimal thickening (cg + ci + ct + cv) of the BANFF scoring.

RESULTS

Intrarenal RI-values were significantly higher in patients with allograft rejection than without rejection (median 0,79 vs. 0,73; inter quartile range: 0,20 vs. 0,13; p = 0,018). The same was found for T-and non-T cell mediated rejection (median 0,78 vs. 0,73; inter quartile range 0,20 vs. 0,13; p = 0,039). There were no significant differences in the RI-values between the subtypes of T-cell mediated rejection (type IA-IIB). Furthermore, there were no significant differences of RI-values regarding antibody-mediated rejection (present vs. not present) or type of rejection (T-cell- vs. antibody mediated rejection). Patients with rejection and simultaneously chronic allograft injury showed significantly higher RI-values than patients with only chronic allograft injury. Analyses using the IFTA or the ECAI score showed comparable results (IFTA p = 0,043; Score p = 0,021). The intrarenal RI-value was neither able to detect chronic allograft injury nor to distinguish between acute tubular necrosis and rejection. The intrarenal RI-value showed a significant correlation with recipient age (p < 0,001) but not with donor features.

CONCLUSION

In summary, the intrarenal RI-value can indicate a rejection but gives no clear hint to acute tubular necrosis and cannot differentiate from it. Since patients with rejection can have normal RI-values, a biopsy should always be performed in case of suspected rejection. The intrarenal RI-value has no unambiguous validity to determine intrinsic values of the renal allograft, but should rather be understood and interpreted as a systemic parameter influenced by multiple factors.

Effects of marine n-3 fatty acid supplementation in renal transplantation: A randomized controlled trial

Marine n-3 fatty acids (FAs) may exert beneficial effects on inflammation, fibrosis, and endothelial function, which could preserve renal graft function. In this randomized controlled trial, 132 Norwegian renal transplant recipients received either 2.6 g of marine n-3 FAs or olive oil (control) daily for 44 weeks, in addition to standard care. Thirty patients did not complete the trial. The primary endpoint was change (Δ) in measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) during follow-up. We found no significant difference in Δ mGFR between the marine n-3 FA group and controls (6.7 vs 3.8 mL/min per 1.73 m² , P = .15). Significant beneficial effects from marine n-3 FA supplementation were, however, seen in secondary endpoints plasma triglycerides, plasma high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and brachial artery flow-mediated dilation. In the per-protocol population, the renal graft indices percent interstitial fibrosis and Chronic Allograft Damage Index also were significantly lower in the marine n-3 FA group. The cumulative incidence of adverse events did not differ between the marine n-3 FA group (n = 218) and controls (n = 240). In conclusion, marine FA supplementation did not improve renal function compared with controls, but was safe, lowered plasma triglyceride and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels, and improved endothelial function (Clinical.Trials.gov identifier NCT01744067).

Biomarkers to detect rejection after kidney transplantation

Detecting acute rejection in kidney transplantation has been traditionally done using histological analysis of invasive allograft biopsies, but this method carries a risk and is not perfect. Transplant professionals have been working to develop more accurate or less invasive biomarkers that can predict acute rejection or subsequent worse allograft survival. These biomarkers can use tissue, blood or urine as a source. They can comprise individual molecules or panels, singly or in combination, across different components or pathways of the immune system. This review highlights the most recent evidence for biomarker efficacy, especially from multicenter trials.

The 1-year Renal Biopsy Index: a scoring system to drive biopsy indication at 1-year post-kidney transplantation

Surveillance biopsies after renal transplantation remain debatable. To drive the decision of such intervention, we propose a predictive score of abnormal histology at 1-year post-transplantation, named 1-year Renal Biopsy Index (1-RBI). We studied 466 kidney recipients from the DIVAT cohort alive with a functioning graft and a surveillance biopsy at 1-year post-transplantation. Patients displaying abnormal histology (49%) (borderline, acute rejection, interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy [IFTA] grade 2 or 3, glomerulonephritis) were compared to the normal or subnormal (IFTA grade 1) histology group. Obtained from a lasso penalized logistic regression, the 1-RBI was composed of recipient gender, serum creatinine at 3, 6, and 12 month post-transplantation and anticlass II immunization at transplantation (internal validation: AUC = 0.71, 95% CI [0.53-0.83]; external validation: AUC = 0.62, 95% CI [0.58-0.66]). While we could not determinate a threshold able to identify patients at high chance of normal or subnormal histology, we estimated and validated a discriminating threshold capable of identifying a subgroup of 15% of the patients with a risk of abnormal histology higher than 80%. The 1-RBI is computable online at www.divat.fr. The 1-RBI could be a useful tool to standardize 1-year biopsy proposal and may for instance help to indicate one in case of high risk of abnormal histology.

Pilot Analysis of Late Conversion to Belatacept in Kidney Transplant Recipients for Biopsy-Proven Chronic Tacrolimus Toxicity

BACKGROUND

Calcineurin inhibitors are associated with chronic nephrotoxicity, manifesting as interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy (IF/TA) and arteriolar hyalinosis. Conversion from tacrolimus to belatacept may be one strategy to preserve renal function.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of renal transplant patients followed at our institution who were converted to belatacept and found to have chronic tacrolimus toxicity on biopsy. The primary outcome was eGFR at conversion as compared to eGFR at 3, 6, 12, and 24 months after conversion. We also assessed incidence of infection and rates of allograft survival at 1 year.

RESULTS

The average time between transplant and conversion was 11.9 years. There was no decrease in eGFR at any postconversion time point as compared with preconversion. The mean eGFR at time of preconversion was 32.9 mL/min, as compared with 35.6 mL/min at 3 months (p = 0.09), 34.1 mL/min at 6 months (p = 0.63), 34.9 mL/min at 12 months (p = 0.57), and 39.6 mL/min at 24 months after conversion (p = 0.92). Four of 7 patients had increases in their eGFR after conversion. All grafts were functioning at 1 year after conversion.

CONCLUSION

While this study was limited by a small number of patients, belatacept conversion stabilized eGFR at all time points in patients with late allograft function due to chronic tacrolimus toxicity, with a trend towards increased eGFR at 3 months.

[Multidimensional approaches for risk stratification in transplantation]

Despite considerable progress in the short-term outcomes of renal transplantation, there has been little improvement over the last 15years on long-term survival. The main limitation is the lack of precise knowledge of the determinants of renal allograft loss and robust prognostic systems providing an individual prediction. Kidney transplantation must address a pressing clinical need to accurately define the determinants of kidney renal allograft survival in order to improve risk stratification. To achieve this goal, four steps need to be considered in the development of prognostic tools: the characterization and identification of the phenotype of the pathology, the assessment of prognostic factors of the event of interest in the population, the assessment of the additional value provided by a newly identified prognostic factor to conventional factors already known in clinical practice as well as the construction of prognostic tools, on the basis of multidimensional integrative models allowing a precise stratification of the risk, at individual and population scale.

Ischemia-Induced DNA Hypermethylation during Kidney Transplant Predicts Chronic Allograft Injury

Background Ischemia during kidney transplant causes chronic allograft injury and adversely affects outcome, but the underlying mechanisms are incompletely understood. In tumors, oxygen shortage reduces the DNA demethylating activity of the ten-11 translocation (TET) enzymes, yielding hypermethylated genomes that promote tumor progression. We investigated whether ischemia similarly induces DNA hypermethylation in kidney transplants and contributes to chronic injury.Methods We profiled genome-wide DNA methylation in three cohorts of brain-dead donor kidney allograft biopsy specimens: a longitudinal cohort with paired biopsy specimens obtained at allograft procurement (preischemia; n=13), after implantation and reperfusion (postischemia; n=13), and at 3 or 12 months after transplant (n=5 each); a cross-sectional cohort with preimplantation biopsy specimens (n=82); and a cross-sectional cohort with postreperfusion biopsy specimens (n=46).Results Analysis of the paired preischemia and postischemia specimens revealed that methylation increased drastically in all allografts on ischemia. Hypermethylation was caused by loss of 5-hydroxymethylcytosine, the product of TET activity, and it was stable 1 year after transplant. In the preimplantation cohort, CpG hypermethylation directly correlated with ischemia time and for some CpGs, increased 2.6% per additional hour of ischemia. Hypermethylation preferentially affected and reduced the expression of genes involved in suppressing kidney injury and fibrosis. Moreover, CpG hypermethylation in preimplantation specimens predicted chronic injury, particularly fibrosis and glomerulosclerosis, 1 year after transplant. This finding was validated in the independent postreperfusion cohort, in which hypermethylation also predicted reduced allograft function 1 year after transplant, outperforming established clinical variables.Conclusions We highlight a novel epigenetic basis for ischemia-induced chronic allograft injury with biomarker potential.

Inflammatory macrophage-associated 3-gene signature predicts subclinical allograft injury and graft survival

Late allograft failure is characterized by cumulative subclinical insults manifesting over many years. Although immunomodulatory therapies targeting host T cells have improved short-term survival rates, rates of chronic allograft loss remain high. We hypothesized that other immune cell types may drive subclinical injury, ultimately leading to graft failure. We collected whole-genome transcriptome profiles from 15 independent cohorts composed of 1,697 biopsy samples to assess the association of an inflammatory macrophage polarization-specific gene signature with subclinical injury. We applied penalized regression to a subset of the data sets and identified a 3-gene inflammatory macrophage-derived signature. We validated discriminatory power of the 3-gene signature in 3 independent renal transplant data sets with mean AUC of 0.91. In a longitudinal cohort, the 3-gene signature strongly correlated with extent of injury and accurately predicted progression of subclinical injury 18 months before clinical manifestation. The 3-gene signature also stratified patients at high risk of graft failure as soon as 15 days after biopsy. We found that the 3-gene signature also distinguished acute rejection (AR) accurately in 3 heart transplant data sets but not in lung transplant. Overall, we identified a parsimonious signature capable of diagnosing AR, recognizing subclinical injury, and risk-stratifying renal transplant patients. Our results strongly suggest that inflammatory macrophages may be a viable therapeutic target to improve long-term outcomes for organ transplantation patients.

Quantification of Interstitial Fibrosis in Renal Allografts and Clinical Correlates of Long-Term Graft Function

BACKGROUND

The present study investigated interstitial fibrosis (IF) in 144 kidney recipients 0 h and 1 year post transplantation and assessed relationships with Banff code scores, clinical parameters, and long-term graft function.

METHODS

A quantitative analysis of IF was performed using the computer-assisted imaging of Sirius red-stained biopsy samples. Percent IF (%IF) in the cortical region was assessed at 0 h and 1 year, and an increase in the ratio of %IF from 0 h to 1 year was calculated. The relationship between %IF and Banff code scores was analyzed. Demographics and trough concentrations of tacrolimus were tested as risk factors in the top 20 patients with increases in %IF. The influence of increases in the ratio of %IF at 1 year on long-term graft function and survival was also assessed in these 20 patients.

RESULTS

Median %IF at 0 h and 1 year were 1.55 and 2.80%, respectively. No correlation was found between %IF and Banff code scores. The mean increase in the ratio of %IF from 0 h to 1 year was 4.31-fold. The increase in %IF in the top 20 patients correlated with diabetes mellitus. Graft function, but not graft survival, was lower in the top 20 patients for 10 years post transplantation.

CONCLUSIONS

A correlation was not found between %IF and Banff code scores. Greater increases in %IF within 1 year post transplantation may influence long-term graft survival. Computer-analyzed increases in %IF at 1 year may be a surrogate marker for long-term graft function.

Kidney Fibrosis: Origins and Interventions

All causes of renal allograft injury, when severe and/or sustained, can result in chronic histological damage of which interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy are dominant features. Unless a specific disease process can be identified, what drives interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy progression in individual patients is often unclear. In general, clinicopathological factors known to predict and drive allograft fibrosis include graft quality, inflammation (whether "nonspecific" or related to a specific diagnosis), infections, such as polyomavirus-associated nephropathy, calcineurin inhibitors (CNI), and genetic factors. The incidence and severity of chronic histological damage have decreased substantially over the last 3 decades, but it is difficult to disentangle what effects individual innovations (eg, better matching and preservation techniques, lower CNI dosing, BK viremia screening) may have had. There is little evidence that CNI-sparing/minimization strategies, steroid minimization or renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system blockade result in better preservation of intermediate-term histology. Treatment of subclinical rejections has only proven beneficial to histological and functional outcome in studies in which the rate of subclinical rejection in the first 3 months was greater than 10% to 15%. Potential novel antifibrotic strategies include antagonists of transforming growth factor-β, connective tissue growth factor, several tyrosine kinase ligands (epidermal growth factor, platelet-derived growth factor, vascular endothelial growth factor), endothelin and inhibitors of chemotaxis. Although many of these drugs are mainly being developed and marketed for oncological indications and diseases, such as idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, a number may hold promise in the treatment of diabetic nephropathy, which could eventually lead to applications in renal transplantation.

Novel Therapeutics Identification for Fibrosis in Renal Allograft Using Integrative Informatics Approach

Chronic allograft damage, defined by interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IF/TA), is a leading cause of allograft failure. Few effective therapeutic options are available to prevent the progression of IF/TA. We applied a meta-analysis approach on IF/TA molecular datasets in Gene Expression Omnibus to identify a robust 85-gene signature, which was used for computational drug repurposing analysis. Among the top ranked compounds predicted to be therapeutic for IF/TA were azathioprine, a drug to prevent acute rejection in renal transplantation, and kaempferol and esculetin, two drugs not previously described to have efficacy for IF/TA. We experimentally validated the anti-fibrosis effects of kaempferol and esculetin using renal tubular cells in vitro and in vivo in a mouse Unilateral Ureteric Obstruction (UUO) model. Kaempferol significantly attenuated TGF-β1-mediated profibrotic pathways in vitro and in vivo, while esculetin significantly inhibited Wnt/β-catenin pathway in vitro and in vivo. Histology confirmed significantly abrogated fibrosis by kaempferol and esculetin in vivo. We developed an integrative computational framework to identify kaempferol and esculetin as putatively novel therapies for IF/TA and provided experimental evidence for their therapeutic activities in vitro and in vivo using preclinical models. The findings suggest that both drugs might serve as therapeutic options for IF/TA.

Early Kidney Allograft Dysfunction (Threatened Allograft): Comparative Effectiveness of Continuing Versus Discontinuation of Tacrolimus and Use of Sirolimus to Prevent Graft Failure: A Retrospective Patient-Centered Outcome Study

Supplemental digital content is available in the text.

Background

Due to lack of treatment options for early acute allograft dysfunction in the presence of tubular-interstitial injury without histological features of rejection, kidney transplant recipients are often treated with sirolimus-based therapy to prevent cumulative calcineurin inhibitor exposure and to prevent premature graft failure.

Methods

We analyzed transplant recipients treated with sirolimus-based (n = 220) compared with continued tacrolimus-based (n = 276) immunosuppression in recipients of early-onset graft dysfunction (threatened allograft) with the use of propensity score-based inverse probability treatment weighted models to balance for potential confounding by indication between 2 nonrandomized groups.

Results

Weighted odds for death-censored graft failure (odds ratio [OR], 1.20; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 0.66-2.19, P = 0.555) was similar in the 2 groups, but a trend for increased risk of greater than 50% loss in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline in sirolimus group (OR, 1.90; 95% CI, 0.96-3.76; P = 0.067) compared with tacrolimus group. Sirloimus group compared with tacrolimus group had increased risk for death with functioning graft (OR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.29-3.14; P = 0.002) as well as increased risk of late death (death after graft failure while on dialysis) (OR, 2.39; 95% CI, 1.59-3.59; P < 0.001). Analysis of subgroups based on the absence or presence of T cell–mediated rejection or tubulointerstitial inflammation in the index biopsy, or the use of different types of induction agents, and all subgroups had increased risk of death with functioning graft and late death if exposed to sirolimus-based therapy.

Conclusions

Use of sirolimus compared with tacrolimus in recipients with early allograft dysfunction during the first year of transplant may not prevent worsening of allograft function and could potentially lead to poor survival along with increased risk of late death.

Biopsy transcriptome expression profiling to identify kidney transplants at risk of chronic injury: a multicentre, prospective study

BACKGROUND

Chronic injury in kidney transplants remains a major cause of allograft loss. The aim of this study was to identify a gene set capable of predicting renal allografts at risk of progressive injury due to fibrosis.

METHODS

This Genomics of Chronic Allograft Rejection (GoCAR) study is a prospective, multicentre study. We prospectively collected biopsies from renal allograft recipients (n=204) with stable renal function 3 months after transplantation. We used microarray analysis to investigate gene expression in 159 of these tissue samples. We aimed to identify genes that correlated with the Chronic Allograft Damage Index (CADI) score at 12 months, but not fibrosis at the time of the biopsy. We applied a penalised regression model in combination with permutation-based approach to derive an optimal gene set to predict allograft fibrosis. The GoCAR study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00611702.

FINDINGS

We identified a set of 13 genes that was independently predictive for the development of fibrosis at 1 year (ie, CADI-12 ≥2). The gene set had high predictive capacity (area under the curve [AUC] 0·967), which was superior to that of baseline clinical variables (AUC 0·706) and clinical and pathological variables (AUC 0·806). Furthermore routine pathological variables were unable to identify which histologically normal allografts would progress to fibrosis (AUC 0·754), whereas the predictive gene set accurately discriminated between transplants at high and low risk of progression (AUC 0·916). The 13 genes also accurately predicted early allograft loss (AUC 0·842 at 2 years and 0·844 at 3 years). We validated the predictive value of this gene set in an independent cohort from the GoCAR study (n=45, AUC 0·866) and two independent, publically available expression datasets (n=282, AUC 0·831 and n=24, AUC 0·972).

INTERPRETATION

Our results suggest that this set of 13 genes could be used to identify kidney transplant recipients at risk of allograft loss before the development of irreversible damage, thus allowing therapy to be modified to prevent progression to fibrosis.

FUNDING

National Institutes of Health.

Protocol Biopsies: Utility and Limitations

As both T cell and antibody-mediated rejection can have a subclinical phase, protocol biopsies provide an early opportunity to intervene before the onset of clinical allograft dysfunction. Protocol biopsies are usually done after reperfusion to establish baseline, between 3 and 6 months to identify subclinical rejection, and at 6-12 months to assess chronicity and persistent inflammation that have prognostic implication. Treatment of both subclinical T cell and antibody-mediated rejection prevents progression of rejection and development of interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy or transplant glomerulopathy. Although subclinical rejection has become less frequent in low-risk patients on triple immunosuppression containing tacrolimus, protocol biopsies may still be useful in selected population. Protocol biopsies are more likely to benefit patients at higher risk for rejection, including those who are highly sensitized, transplanted across donor-specific antibody barriers, or on calcineurin inhibitor/corticosteroids sparing regimens. Interstitial fibrosis on protocol biopsies, especially in conjunction with persistent inflammation, predicts lower allograft survival.

Surveillance biopsies after paediatric kidney transplantation: A review

Kidney transplantation is the most effective means of treating children with end-stage kidney disease, and yet, there continues to be a limited "life span" of transplanted kidneys in paediatric recipients. Early graft monitoring, using the surveillance biopsy, has the potential to extend renal allograft survival in paediatric recipients. The surveillance biopsy provides important and timely information about acute and chronic graft pathology, particularly SCR and calcineurin inhibitor-induced nephrotoxicity, which can subsequently guide management decisions and improve long-term graft survival. The ostensible value of the surveillance biopsy is furthered by the limitations of conventional renal functional studies. However, there is still much debate surrounding the surveillance biopsy in paediatric recipients, particularly in regard to its overall utility, safety and timing. This review discusses the current literature regarding the utility, safety, and potential predictive value of surveillance biopsies for guiding post-transplant management in paediatric renal allograft recipients, as well as the viability of other potentially newer non-invasive strategies for renal allograft monitoring.

Total inflammation in early protocol kidney graft biopsies does not predict progression of fibrosis at one year post-transplant

INTRODUCTION

There is an uncertainty whether total inflammation in early protocol kidney graft biopsies is associated with fibrosis progression. We investigated whether total inflammation, both in fibrotic and non-fibrotic areas, at week 6 would predict fibrosis progression at one yr post-transplant.

METHODS

We included 156 single adult ABO compatible kidney recipients with adequate week 6 and one yr transplant protocol biopsies (312 biopsies). Biopsies were scored according to the current Banff criteria. In addition, fibrosis and inflammation in fibrotic and non-fibrotic areas were scored in a 10-grade semi-quantitative eyeballing system from 0% to 100%.

RESULTS

Fibrosis increased significantly from week 6 to one yr both by the 10-grade scoring system from 0.69 ± 1.07 to 1.45 ± 1.86, (mean ± SD), p < 0.001 and by Banff interstitial fibrosis (ci) scoring 0.81 ± 0.65 to 1.13 ± 0.87, p < 0.001. The 10-grade scoring system detected a larger proportion of fibrosis progressors than the Banff scoring 40.4% vs. 35.5%, p < 0.001. No significant positive association was found between inflammation at week 6 and progression of fibrosis in either of the scoring systems.

CONCLUSIONS

Total inflammation in kidney transplant biopsies at week 6 did not predict progression of fibrosis at one yr post-transplant.

Renal Graft Fibrosis and Inflammation Quantification by an Automated Fourier-Transform Infrared Imaging Technique

Renal interstitial fibrosis and interstitial active inflammation are the main histologic features of renal allograft biopsy specimens. Fibrosis is currently assessed by semiquantitative subjective analysis, and color image analysis has been developed to improve the reliability and repeatability of this evaluation. However, these techniques fail to distinguish fibrosis from constitutive collagen or active inflammation. We developed an automatic, reproducible Fourier-transform infrared (FTIR) imaging-based technique for simultaneous quantification of fibrosis and inflammation in renal allograft biopsy specimens. We generated and validated a classification model using 49 renal biopsy specimens and subsequently tested the robustness of this classification algorithm on 166 renal grafts. Finally, we explored the clinical relevance of fibrosis quantification using FTIR imaging by comparing results with renal function at 3 months after transplantation (M3) and the variation of renal function between M3 and M12. We showed excellent robustness for fibrosis and inflammation classification, with >90% of renal biopsy specimens adequately classified by FTIR imaging. Finally, fibrosis quantification by FTIR imaging correlated with renal function at M3, and the variation in fibrosis between M3 and M12 correlated well with the variation in renal function over the same period. This study shows that FTIR-based analysis of renal graft biopsy specimens is a reproducible and reliable label-free technique for quantifying fibrosis and active inflammation. This technique seems to be more relevant than digital image analysis and promising for both research studies and routine clinical practice.

The effect of anastomosis time on outcome in recipients of kidneys donated after brain death: a cohort study

Whether warm ischemia during the time to complete the vascular anastomoses determines renal allograft function has not been investigated systematically. We investigated the effect of anastomosis time on allograft outcome in 669 first, single kidney transplantations from brain-dead donors. Anastomosis time independently increased the risk of delayed graft function (odds ratio per minute [OR] 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.07, p < 0.001) and independently impaired allograft function after transplantation (p = 0.009, mixed-models repeated-measures analysis). In a subgroup of transplant recipients, protocol-specified biopsies at 3 months (n = 186), 1 year (n = 189), and 2 years (n = 153) were blindly reviewed. Prolonged anastomosis time independently increased the risk of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy on these protocol-specified biopsies posttransplant (p < 0.001, generalized linear models). In conclusion, prolonged anastomosis time is not only detrimental for renal allograft outcome immediately after transplantation, also longer-term allograft function and histology are affected by the duration of this warm ischemia.

A Three-Gene Assay for Monitoring Immune Quiescence in Kidney Transplantation

Organ transplant recipients face life-long immunosuppression and consequently are at high risk of comorbidities. Occasionally, kidney transplant recipients develop a state of targeted immune quiescence (operational tolerance) against an HLA-mismatched graft, allowing them to withdraw all immunosuppression and retain stable graft function while resuming immune responses to third-party antigens. Methods to better understand and monitor this state of alloimmune quiescence by transcriptional profiling may reveal a gene signature that identifies patients for whom immunosuppression could be titrated to reduce patient and graft morbidities. Therefore, we investigated 571 unique peripheral blood samples from 348 HLA-mismatched renal transplant recipients and 101 nontransplant controls in a four-stage study including microarray, quantitative PCR, and flow cytometry analyses. We report a refined and highly validated (area under the curve, 0.95; 95% confidence interval, 0.92 to 0.97) peripheral blood three-gene assay (KLF6, BNC2, CYP1B1) to detect the state of operational tolerance by quantitative PCR. The frequency of predicted alloimmune quiescence in stable renal transplant patients receiving long-term immunosuppression (n=150) was 7.3% by the three-gene assay. Targeted cell sorting of peripheral blood from operationally tolerant patients showed a significant shift in the ratio of circulating monocyte-derived dendritic cells with significantly different expression of the genes constituting the three-gene assay. Our results suggest that incorporation of patient screening by specific cellular and gene expression assays may support the safety of drug minimization trials and protocols.

Sterile leukocyturia is associated with interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy in kidney allograft protocol biopsies

Kidney allograft interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IF/TA) is associated with a poorer renal function and outcome. In the current clinical practice, an early diagnosis can only be provided by invasive tests. We aimed to investigate the association of sterile leukocyturia with Banff criteria histological findings in kidney allograft protocol biopsies. We studied 348 allograft biopsies from two different European countries performed at 8.5 + 3.5 months after transplantation. In these cases, the presence of sterile leukocyturia (Leuc+, n = 70) or no leukocyturia (Leuc-, n = 278) was analyzed and related to Banff elementary lesions. Only IF/TA was significantly different between Leuc+ and Leuc- groups. IF/TA was present in 85.7% of Leuc+ and 27.7% of Leuc- patients (p < 0.001). IF/TA patients had higher serum creatinine and presence of proteinuria (p < 0.05). Independent predictors of IF/TA were donor age, donor male sex, serum creatinine and Leuc+ (hazard ratio 18.2; 95% confidence interval, 8.1-40.7). The positive predictive value of leukocyturia for predicting IF/TA was 85.7% whereas the negative predictive value was 72.3%. These studies suggest that leukocyturia is a noninvasive and low-cost test to identify IF/TA. An early diagnosis may allow timely interventional measures directed to minimize its impact and improve graft outcome.

Intrarenal resistive index after renal transplantation

BACKGROUND

The intrarenal resistive index is routinely measured in many renal-transplantation centers for assessment of renal-allograft status, although the value of the resistive index remains unclear.

METHODS

In a single-center, prospective study involving 321 renal-allograft recipients, we measured the resistive index at baseline, at the time of protocol-specified renal-allograft biopsies (3, 12, and 24 months after transplantation), and at the time of biopsies performed because of graft dysfunction. A total of 1124 renal-allograft resistive-index measurements were included in the analysis. All patients were followed for at least 4.5 years after transplantation.

RESULTS

Allograft recipients with a resistive index of at least 0.80 had higher mortality than those with a resistive index of less than 0.80 at 3, 12, and 24 months after transplantation (hazard ratio, 5.20 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 2.14 to 12.64; P<0.001]; 3.46 [95% CI, 1.39 to 8.56; P=0.007]; and 4.12 [95% CI, 1.26 to 13.45; P=0.02], respectively). The need for dialysis did not differ significantly between patients with a resistive index of at least 0.80 and those with a resistive index of less than 0.80 at 3, 12, and 24 months after transplantation (hazard ratio, 1.95 [95% CI, 0.39 to 9.82; P=0.42]; 0.44 [95% CI, 0.05 to 3.72; P=0.45]; and 1.34 [95% CI, 0.20 to 8.82; P=0.76], respectively). At protocol-specified biopsy time points, the resistive index was not associated with renal-allograft histologic features. Older recipient age was the strongest determinant of a higher resistive index (P<0.001). At the time of biopsies performed because of graft dysfunction, antibody-mediated rejection or acute tubular necrosis, as compared with normal biopsy results, was associated with a higher resistive index (0.87 ± 0.12 vs. 0.78 ± 0.14 [P=0.05], and 0.86 ± 0.09 vs. 0.78 ± 0.14 [P=0.007], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The resistive index, routinely measured at predefined time points after transplantation, reflects characteristics of the recipient but not those of the graft. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01879124 .).

Early changes in scores of chronic damage on transplant kidney protocol biopsies reflect donor characteristics, but not future graft function

The amount of irreversible injury on renal allograft biopsy predicts function, but little is known about the early evolution of this damage. In a single-center cohort, we examined the relationship between donor-, recipient-, and transplantation-associated factors and change in a morphometric index of chronic damage (ICD) between protocol biopsies performed at implantation and at 2-3 months. We then investigated whether early delta ICD predicted subsequent biochemical outcomes. We found little evidence to support differences between the study group, who had undergone serial biopsies, and a contemporaneous control group, who had not. In allografts with serial biopsies (n = 162), there was an increase in ICD between implantation (median: 2%, IQR:0-8) and 2-3 months post-transplant (median 8% IQR:4-15; p < 0.0001). Donation from younger or live donors was independently associated with smaller early post-transplant increases in ICD. There was no evidence for a difference in delta ICD between donation after cardiac death vs. donation after brain death, nor association with length of cold ischemia. After adjustment for GFR at the time of the second biopsy, delta ICD after three months did not predict allograft function at one yr. These findings suggest that graft damage develops shortly after transplantation and reflects donor factors, but does not predict future biochemical outcomes.

A common rejection module (CRM) for acute rejection across multiple organs identifies novel therapeutics for organ transplantation

A set of 11 genes, termed the common rejection module, predicts acute graft rejection in solid organ transplant patients and may help to identify novel drug targets in transplantation.

Using meta-analysis of eight independent transplant datasets (236 graft biopsy samples) from four organs, we identified a common rejection module (CRM) consisting of 11 genes that were significantly overexpressed in acute rejection (AR) across all transplanted organs. The CRM genes could diagnose AR with high specificity and sensitivity in three additional independent cohorts (794 samples). In another two independent cohorts (151 renal transplant biopsies), the CRM genes correlated with the extent of graft injury and predicted future injury to a graft using protocol biopsies. Inferred drug mechanisms from the literature suggested that two FDA-approved drugs (atorvastatin and dasatinib), approved for nontransplant indications, could regulate specific CRM genes and reduce the number of graft-infiltrating cells during AR. We treated mice with HLA-mismatched mouse cardiac transplant with atorvastatin and dasatinib and showed reduction of the CRM genes, significant reduction of graft-infiltrating cells, and extended graft survival. We further validated the beneficial effect of atorvastatin on graft survival by retrospective analysis of electronic medical records of a single-center cohort of 2,515 renal transplant patients followed for up to 22 yr. In conclusion, we identified a CRM in transplantation that provides new opportunities for diagnosis, drug repositioning, and rational drug design.

Efficacy and safety of combined vs. single renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system blockade in chronic kidney disease: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Although dual blockade of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) has gained popularity for the treatment of kidney disease, its benefits and potential risks have not been fully elucidated. We conducted a meta-analysis of all randomized controlled trials comparing the efficacy and safety of combined vs. single RAAS blockade therapy in chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

We performed a literature search using MEDLINE, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, ClinicalTrials.gov, scientific abstracts from meetings, and bibliographies of retrieved articles. We used random-effects models to compute net changes and rate differences in variables.

RESULTS

Fifty-nine (25 crossover and 34 parallel-arm) randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing the efficacy and safety of combined vs. single RAAS blockade therapy in CKD were identified (4,975 patients). Combined RAAS blockade therapy was associated with a significant net decrease in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) (-1.8ml/min or ml/min/1.73 m(2); P = 0.005), albuminuria (-90mg/g of creatinine; P = 0.001 or -32mg/day; P = 0.03), and proteinuria (-291mg/g; P = 0.003 or -363mg/day; P < 0.001). Combined RAAS blockade therapy was associated with a 9.4% higher rate of regression to normoalbuminuria and a 5% higher rate of achieving the blood pressure (BP) goal (as defined in individual trials). However, combined RAAS blockade therapy was associated with a significant net increase in serum potassium level, a 3.4% higher rate of hyperkalemia, and a 4.6% higher rate of hypotension. There was no effect on doubling of the serum creatinine level, hospitalization, or mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Although combined RAAS blockade therapy in CKD is associated with a decrease in albuminuria and proteinuria, it is associated with a decrease in GFR and a higher incidence of hyperkalemia and hypotension relative to monotherapy. The potential long-term kidney benefits of combined RAAS blockade therapy require further study.

Chronic histological damage in early indication biopsies is an independent risk factor for late renal allograft failure

The impact of early histological lesions of renal allografts on long-term graft survival remains unclear. We included all renal allograft recipients transplanted at a single center from 1991 to 2001 (N = 1197). All indication biopsies performed within the first year after transplantation were rescored according to the current Banff classification. Mean follow-up time was 14.8 ± 2.80 years. In multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, arteriolar hyalinosis and transplant glomerulopathy were independently associated with death-censored graft survival, adjusted for baseline demographic covariates. Arteriolar hyalinosis correlated with interstitial fibrosis, tubular atrophy, mesangial matrix increase, vascular intimal thickening and glomerulosclerosis. Clustering of the patients according to these chronic lesions, reflecting the global burden of chronic injury, associated better with long-term graft survival than each of the chronic lesions separately. Early chronic histological damage was an independent risk factor for late graft loss, irrespective whether a specific, progressive disease was diagnosed or not, while T cell-mediated rejection did not. We conclude that individual chronic lesions like arteriolar hyalinosis, tubular atrophy, interstitial fibrosis, glomerulosclerosis, mesangial matrix increase and vascular intimal thickening cannot be seen as individual entities. The global burden of early chronic histological damage within the first year after transplantation importantly affects the fate of the allografts.

Non-HLA antibodies to immunogenic epitopes predict the evolution of chronic renal allograft injury

Chronic allograft injury (CAI) results from a humoral response to mismatches in immunogenic epitopes between the donor and recipient. Although alloantibodies against HLA antigens contribute to the pathogenesis of CAI, alloantibodies against non-HLA antigens likely contribute as well. Here, we used high-density protein arrays to identify non-HLA antibodies in CAI and subsequently validated a subset in a cohort of 172 serum samples collected serially post-transplantation. There were 38 de novo non-HLA antibodies that significantly associated with the development of CAI (P<0.01) on protocol post-transplant biopsies, with enrichment of their corresponding antigens in the renal cortex. Baseline levels of preformed antibodies to MIG (also called CXCL9), ITAC (also called CXCL11), IFN-γ, and glial-derived neurotrophic factor positively correlated with histologic injury at 24 months. Measuring levels of these four antibodies could help clinicians predict the development of CAI with >80% sensitivity and 100% specificity. In conclusion, pretransplant serum levels of a defined panel of alloantibodies targeting non-HLA immunogenic antigens associate with histologic CAI in the post-transplant period. Validation in a larger, prospective transplant cohort may lead to a noninvasive method to predict and monitor for CAI.

New computerized color image analysis for the quantification of interstitial fibrosis in renal transplantation

BACKGROUND

Chronic allograft injury, the primary cause of late allograft failure in renal transplantation, can be diagnosed early at a preclinical stage by histopathological changes such as interstitial fibrosis (IF). Currently, assessed by semiquantitative analysis in the Banff classification, IF quantification is limited by pathologist's subjective interpretation.

METHODS

We have designed algorithms dedicated to quantify IF by computerized color image analysis. This innovative and objective software automatically extracts the green areas characteristic of IF in Masson's trichrome based on color image segmentation followed by removal of nonspecific IF staining (capsula, sclerosis glomeruli and normal glomeruli, normal basement membrane) and computes an index. It also counts automatically the number of glomeruli. Sixty-seven Masson stained renal transplant biopsies at various IF stages were imaged using a digital color camera mounted on a microscope. We tested the robustness of the method against varying acquisition parameters.

RESULTS

We demonstrated that the parameters do not have an impact on this quantification and that the algorithm is able to handle biopsy color variations. The intra- and interobserver reproducibility was good (P<0.003). The kappa coefficient that was performed on another set of 90 biopsies to evaluate the concordance of our method with an expert Banff quantification was 0.68, indicating a substantial agreement. Finally, the computerized IF correlated with renal function.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates that computerized color image analysis is a reliable and reproducible method to evaluate renal IF in routine practice and in multi-centric studies.

Progressive histological damage in renal allografts is associated with expression of innate and adaptive immunity genes

The degree of progressive chronic histological damage is associated with long-term renal allograft survival. In order to identify promising molecular targets for timely intervention, we examined renal allograft protocol and indication biopsies from 120 low-risk pediatric and adolescent recipients by whole-genome microarray expression profiling. In data-driven analysis, we found a highly regulated pattern of adaptive and innate immune gene expression that correlated with established or ongoing histological chronic injury, and also with development of future chronic histological damage, even in histologically pristine kidneys. Hence, histologically unrecognized immunological injury at a molecular level sets the stage for the development of chronic tissue injury, while the same molecular response is accentuated during established and worsening chronic allograft damage. Irrespective of the hypothesized immune or nonimmune trigger for chronic allograft injury, a highly orchestrated regulation of innate and adaptive immune responses was found in the graft at the molecular level. This occurred months before histologic lesions appear, and quantitatively below the diagnostic threshold of classic T-cell or antibody-mediated rejection. Thus, measurement of specific immune gene expression in protocol biopsies may be warranted to predict the development of subsequent chronic injury in histologically quiescent grafts and as a means to titrate immunosuppressive therapy.

Interstitial fibrosis evolution on early sequential screening renal allograft biopsies using quantitative image analysis

Screening renal biopsies (RB) may assess early changes of interstitial fibrosis (IF) after transplantation. The aim of this study was to quantify IF by automatic color image analysis on sequential RB. We analyzed RB performed at day (D) 0, month (M) 3 and M12 from 140 renal transplant recipients with a program of color segmentation imaging. The mean IF score was 19 ± 9% at D0, 27 ± 11% at M3 and 32 ± 11% at M12 with a 8% progression during the first 3 months and 5% between M3 and M12. IF at M3 was correlated with estimated glomerular rate (eGFR) at M3, 12 and 24 (p < 0.02) and IF at M12 with eGFR at M12 and 48 (p < 0.05). Furthermore, IF evolution between D0 and M3 (ΔIFM3-D0) was correlated with eGFR at M24, 36 and 48 (p < 0.03). IF at M12 was significantly associated with male donor gender and tacrolimus dose (p = 0.03). ΔIFM3-D0 was significantly associated with male donor gender, acute rejection episodes (p = 0.04) and diabetes mellitus (p = 0.02). Thus, significant IF is already present before transplantation. IF evolution is more important during the first 3 months and has some predictive ability for change in GFR. Intervention to decrease IF should be applied early, i.e. before 3 months, after transplantation.