Factors predicting recurrence after resection of pancreatic ductal carcinoma

Predicting Long-term Disease-free Survival After Resection of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Nationwide Cohort Study

OBJECTIVE

To develop a prediction model for long-term (≥5 years) disease-free survival (DFS) after the resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

BACKGROUND

Despite high recurrence rates, ~10% of patients have long-term DFS after PDAC resection. A model to predict long-term DFS may aid individualized prognostication and shared decision-making.

METHODS

This nationwide cohort study included all consecutive patients who underwent PDAC resection in the Netherlands (2014-2016). The best-performing prognostic model was selected by Cox-proportional hazard analysis and Akaike's Information Criterion, presented by hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Internal validation was performed, and discrimination and calibration indices were assessed.

RESULTS

In all, 836 patients with a median follow-up of 67 months (interquartile range 51-79) were analyzed. Long-term DFS was seen in 118 patients (14%). Factors predictive of long-term DFS were low preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (logarithmic; HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.10-1.32), no vascular resection (HR 1.33; 95% CI 1.12-1.58), T1 or T2 tumor stage (HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.14-2.04, and HR 1.17; 95% CI 0.98-1.39, respectively), well/moderate tumor differentiation (HR 1.44; 95% CI 1.22-1.68), absence of perineural and lymphovascular invasion (HR 1.42; 95% CI 1.11-1.81 and HR 1.14; 95% CI 0.96-1.36, respectively), N0 or N1 nodal status (HR 1.92; 95% CI 1.54-2.40, and HR 1.33; 95% CI 1.11-1.60, respectively), R0 resection margin status (HR 1.25; 95% CI 1.07-1.46), no major complications (HR 1.14; 95% CI 0.97-1.35) and adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 1.74; 95% CI 1.47-2.06). Moderate performance (concordance index 0.68) with adequate calibration (slope 0.99) was achieved.

CONCLUSIONS

The developed prediction model, readily available at www.pancreascalculator.com, can be used to estimate the probability of long-term DFS after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

Peritoneal Cell-Free Tumor DNA is a Biomarker of Locoregional and Peritoneal Recurrence in Resected Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinomas

BACKGROUND

Recurrence after curative-intent pancreatectomy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (PDAC) is quite frequent with locoregional and peritoneal recurrence in about one-third of cases. We hypothesize that peritoneal cell-free tumor DNA (ptDNA) present in the intraoperative peritoneal lavage (PL) fluid may be used as a predictive biomarker of locoregional and peritoneal recurrence.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Under institutional review board (IRB)-approved protocol, pre- and postresection PL fluids were collected from PDAC patients undergoing curative-intent pancreatectomy. PL fluids from PDAC patients with pathologically proven peritoneal metastasis were also collected as positive controls. Cell-free DNA was extracted from PL fluids. Droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) was performed using ddPCR KRAS G12/G13 screening kit. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) based on KRAS-mutant ptDNA level was determined using Kaplan-Meier methods.

RESULTS

KRAS-mutant ptDNA was detected in PL fluids from all PDAC patients. KRAS-mutant ptDNA was detected in 11/21 (52%) preresection and 15/18 (83%) postresection PL fluid samples. With a median follow-up of 23.6 months, 12 patients developed recurrence (8 locoregional/peritoneal recurrence, 9 pulmonary/hepatic recurrence); 5/8 (63%) and 6/6 (100%) patients with mutant allele frequency (MAF) of > 0.10% in pre- and postresection PL fluids, respectively, developed recurrence. Using a cutoff value of 0.10% MAF, the presence of KRAS-mutant ptDNA in postresection PL fluid predicted a significantly shortened time to locoregional and peritoneal recurrence (median RFS of 8.9 months versus not reached, P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that ptDNA in postresection PL fluids may be a useful biomarker to predict locoregional and peritoneal recurrence in resected PDAC patients.

Factors predicting recurrence after left‑sided pancreatectomy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Recurrence after resection is the main factor for poor survival. The relationship between clinicopathological factors and recurrence after curative distal pancreatectomy for PDAC has rarely been reported separately.

METHODS

Patients with PDAC after left‑sided pancreatectomy between May 2015 and August 2021 were retrospectively identified.

RESULTS

One hundred forty-one patients were included. Recurrence was observed in 97 patients (68.8%), while 44 (31.2%) patients had no recurrence. The median RFS was 8.8 months. The median OS was 24.9 months. Local recurrence was the predominant first detected recurrence site (n = 36, 37.1%), closely followed by liver recurrence (n = 35, 36.1%). Multiple recurrences occurred in 16 (16.5%) patients, peritoneal recurrence in 6 (6.2%) patients, and lung recurrence in 4 (4.1%) patients. High CA19-9 value after surgery, poor differentiation grade, and positive lymph nodes were found to be independently associated with recurrence. The patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy had a decreased likelihood of recurrence. In the high CA19-9 value cohort, the median PFS and OS of the patients with or without chemotherapy were 8.0 VS. 5.7 months and 15.6 VS. 13.8 months, respectively. In the normal CA19-9 value cohort, there was no significant difference in PFS with or without chemotherapy (11.7 VS. 10.0 months, P = 0.147). However, OS was significantly longer in the patients with chemotherapy (26.4 VS. 13.8 months, P = 0.019).

CONCLUSIONS

Tumor biologic characteristics, such as T stage, tumor differentiation and positive lymph nodes, affecting CA19-9 value after surgery are associated with patterns and timing of recurrence. Adjuvant chemotherapy significantly reduced recurrence and improved survival. Chemotherapy is strongly recommended in patients with high CA199 after surgery.

Dynamic Contrast-Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Measuring Perfusion in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma and Different Tumor Grade: A Preliminary Single Center Study

BACKGROUND

Dynamic contrast-enhanced magnetic resonance imaging is a noninvasive imaging modality that can supply information regarding the tumor anatomy and physiology. The aim of the study was to analyze DCE-MRI perfusion parameters in normal pancreatic parenchymal tissue and PDAC and to evaluate the efficacy of this diagnostic modality in determining the tumor grade.

METHODS

A single-center retrospective study was performed. A total of 28 patients with histologically proven PDAC underwent DCE-MRI; the control group enrolled 14 patients with normal pancreatic parenchymal tissue; the radiological findings were compared with histopathological data. The study patients were further grouped according to the differentiation grade (G value): well- and moderately differentiated and poorly differentiated PDAC.

RESULTS

The median values of K^trans, k_ep and iAUC were calculated lower in PDAC compared with the normal pancreatic parenchymal tissue (p < 0.05). The mean value of Ve was higher in PDAC, compared with the normal pancreatic tissue (p < 0.05). K^trans, k_ep and iAUC were lower in poorly differentiated PDAC, whereas Ve showed no differences between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Ve and iAUC DCE-MRI perfusion parameters are important as independent diagnostic criteria predicting the probability of PDAC; the Ktrans and iAUC DCE-MRI perfusion parameters may serve as effective independent prognosticators preoperatively identifying poorly differentiated PDAC.

A population-based study of synchronous distant metastases and prognosis in patients with PDAC at initial diagnosis

Objective

Cancer of the pancreas is a life-threatening condition and has a high distant metastasis (DM) rate of over 50% at diagnosis. Therefore, this study aimed to determine whether patterns of distant metastases correlated with prognosis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) with metastatic spread, and build a novel nomogram capable of predicting the 6, 12, 18-month survival rate with high accuracy.

Methods

We analyzed data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database for cases of PDAC with DM. Kaplan-Meier analysis, log-rank tests and Cox-regression proportional hazards model were used to assess the impact of site and number of DM on the cancer-specific survival (CSS) and over survival (OS). A total of 2709 patients with DM were randomly assigned to the training group and validation group in a 7:3 ratio. A nomogram was constructed by the dependent risk factors which were determined by multivariate Cox-regression analysis. An assessment of the discrimination and ability of the prediction model was made by measuring AUC, C-index, calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). In addition, we collected 98 patients with distant metastases at the time of initial diagnosis from Ningbo University Affiliated LiHuili Hospital to verify the efficacy of the prediction model.

Results

There was a highest incidence of liver metastases from pancreatic cancer (2387,74.36%), followed by lung (625,19.47%), bone (190,5.92%), and brain (8,0.25%). The prognosis of liver metastases differed from that of lung metastases, and the presence of multiple organ metastases was associated with poorer prognosis. According to univariate and multivariate Cox-regression analyses, seven factors (i.e., diagnosis age, tumor location, grade of tumor differentiation, T-stage, receipt of surgery, receipt of chemotherapy status, presence of multiple organ metastases) were included in our nomogram model. In internal and external validation, the ROC curves, C-index, calibration curves and DCA were calculated, which confirmed that this nomogram can precisely predict prognosis of PDAC with DM.

Conclusion

Metastatic PDAC patients with liver metastases tended to have a worse prognosis than those with lung metastases. The number of DM had significant effect on the overall survival rate of metastatic PDAC. This study had a high prediction accuracy, which was helpful clinicians to analyze the prognosis of PDAC with DM and implement individualized diagnosis and treatment.

A nationwide randomized controlled trial on additional treatment for isolated local pancreatic cancer recurrence using stereotactic body radiation therapy (ARCADE)

BACKGROUND

Disease recurrence is the main cause of mortality after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). In 20-30% of resected patients, isolated local PDAC recurrence occurs. Retrospective studies have suggested that stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) might lead to improved local control in these patients, potentially having a beneficial effect on both survival and quality of life. The "nationwide randomized controlled trial on additional treatment for isolated local pancreatic cancer recurrence using stereotactic body radiation therapy" (ARCADE) will investigate the value of SBRT in addition to standard of care in patients with isolated local PDAC recurrence compared to standard of care alone, regarding both survival and quality of life outcomes.

METHODS

The ARCADE trial is nested within a prospective cohort (Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Project; PACAP) according to the 'Trials within Cohorts' design. All PACAP participants with isolated local PDAC recurrence after primary resection who provided informed consent for being randomized in future studies are eligible. Patients will be randomized for local therapy (5 fractions of 8 Gy SBRT) in addition to standard of care or standard of care alone. In total, 174 patients will be included. The main study endpoint is survival after recurrence. The most important secondary endpoint is quality of life.

DISCUSSION

It is hypothesized that additional SBRT, compared to standard of care alone, improves survival and quality of life in patients with isolated local recurrence after PDAC resection.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov registration NCT04881487 . Registered on May 11, 2021.

Risk Factors of Early Liver Metastasis for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma after Radical Resection

Background

Liver metastasis arises in many postoperative patients with PDAC, occurring in the early stage appears to lead to a very poor prognosis.

Objective

We aimed to analyze the risk factors for early liver metastasis after radical resection for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and to indicate the poor prognosis of early liver metastasis.

Methods

Patients who underwent pancreatectomy for PDAC at the Ningbo Medical Centre Lihuili Hospital between January 2015 and June 2021 were included. The exclusion criteria were death within 30 days after the operation, complications with other malignancies, and a positive final resection margin (R1). Liver metastasis and its occurrence time were recorded, and risk factors for early (≤6 months) liver metastasis were analyzed by logistic regression models. The prognosis of patients with early liver metastasis and different recurrence patterns was analyzed by Kaplan–Meier curves and the log-rank test.

Results

From the identified cohort of 184 patients, 172 patients were included for further analysis. 55 patients developed early liver metastasis within 6 months after the operation. Univariate analysis showed that CA125 ≥ 30 IU/ml, tumor size ≥ 4 cm, poor tumor differentiation, and portal vein/superior mesenteric vein (PV/SMV) reconstruction were risk factors, and multivariate analysis showed that poor tumor differentiation and PV/SMV reconstruction were independent risk factors for early liver metastasis. The prognosis of liver metastasis was the worst among the different recurrence patterns. Early liver metastasis indicates a poor prognosis in patients with PDAC.

Conclusions

Poor differentiation and PV/SMV reconstruction are independent risk factors for early liver metastasis in patients with PDAC, and early liver metastasis indicates a poor prognosis.

Progression Patterns and Post-Progression Survival in Recurred Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma Patients: A Novel Prognostic Nomogram Based on Multicenter Cohorts

Background

The post-progression survival (PPS) of recurred intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) patients relates to the characteristics of tumor progression. Moreover, the prediction model of PPS in those patients has not been well established. This study aimed at developing a novel nomogram for predicting PPS in recurred iCCA patients.

Method

Clinical characteristics were retrospectively collected in 396 patients diagnosed with iCCA from cohorts of Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (SYSUCC) and the First Hospital of Dalian Medical University (FHDMU). The PPS in patients with different progression patterns was investigated. The nomogram of PPS was established with the Cox regression model in the primary cohort. Then the nomogram was verified in the external validation cohort.

Results

Liver progression was the commonest pattern (42.08%) in recurred iCCA patients, while patients with local LN progression had significantly better PPS than those with other patterns. The independent prognostic factors comprised elevated CEA levels, tumor differentiation, N stage 8th, adjuvant therapy, Local LN metastasis, Liver Metastasis only, and Multiple Metastasis. The nomogram constructed on these factors achieved satisfied C-indexes of 0.794 (95% CI 0.769–0.828) and 0.827 (0.779–0.876) for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. These values were significantly higher than those of the 8th TNM stage system (all p &lt; 0.001). The recurred iCCA patients could be precisely classified into high- and low-risk groups according to the cutoff point of this nomogram (p &lt; 0.01).

Conclusion

The investigation of progression patterns and the development of this nomogram can offer new evidence to precisely postoperative and post-progression management of iCCA patients.

Prediction of Recurrence Pattern of Pancreatic Cancer Post-Pancreatic Surgery Using Histology-Based Supervised Machine Learning Algorithms: A Single-Center Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) have poor prognosis and a high incidence of recurrence. Since further treatment is applicable for specific recurrent events, it is important to predict recurrence patterns after surgery. This study aimed to identify and predict early and late recurrence patterns of PC using a histology-based machine learning model.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients who underwent upfront curative surgery for PC between 2001 and 2014 were included. The timing of recurrence and prognosis of each first recurrence site were examined. A histology-based supervised machine learning method, which combined convolutional neural networks and random forest, was used to predict the recurrence and respective sites of metastasis. Accuracy was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

In total, 524 patients were included. Recurrence in the liver accounted for 47.8% of all recurrence events in the first year after surgery. Meanwhile, recurrence in the lung occurred later and could become apparent more than 5 years post-surgery, with indications for further surgery. In terms of substantial distant organ metastases, liver and lung metastases were identified as representative early and late recurrence events. The predictive AUCs of the machine learning model for training and test data were 1.000 and 0.861, respectively, and for predicting nonrecurrence were 1.000 for both.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified the liver and lung as early and late recurrence sites, which could be distinguished with high probability using a machine learning model. Prediction of recurrence sites using this model may be useful for further treatment of patients with PC.

Intraoperative Cytologic Sampling for Resected Pancreatic and Periampullary Adenocarcinoma with Implications for Locoregional Recurrence-Free Survival

BACKGROUND

We hypothesized that pancreatic and periampullary adenocarcinoma recurrence after surgical resection may be affected by the shedding of malignant epithelial cells during surgical dissection and that this may have implications for disease recurrence and survival.

STUDY DESIGN

In this ongoing, investigator-initiated prospective randomized controlled trial, patients with pancreatic and periampullary adenocarcinoma were randomized intraoperatively, postresection into 3 study arms: peritoneal lavage using 10 L normal saline or distilled water, or control group with no lavage. Peritoneal fluid was sampled for cytologic analysis (cytospin, cellblock, immunohistochemistry-Ber-EP4 antibody) at 4 stages: (1) abdominal entry pre-dissection, (2) resection bed after tumor extirpation, (3) ex vivo resected specimen, and (4) resection bed postlavage.

RESULTS

Between April 2016 and May 2018, 193 patients who underwent randomization for the study also underwent the described cytologic sampling. Of these, 167 patients (86.5%) were ultimately found to have pancreatic or periampullary adenocarcinoma. Before dissection (1) on cytospin analysis, 4.9% were positive, which rose to 10.2% intraoperatively (2), 16.7% ex vivo (3), and decreased to 4.3% (4) after lavage. Lymph node metastasis, margin involvement, and perineural invasion did not correlate with locoregional recurrence (LR). Tumor cells in the ex vivo cytospin (3) correlated with LR (odds ratio 3.8 [95% CI 1.6 to 9.2], p = 0.005) and LR disease-free survival (p = 0.007). Cox regression analysis revealed ex vivo cytospin positivity to be strongly associated with poorer LR disease-free survival (hazard ratio 2.26 [95% CI 1.16 to 4.42], p = 0.017).

CONCLUSIONS

Cytologic sampling from ex vivo specimen irrigation after surgical resection of pancreatic and periampullary adenocarcinoma may have implications for LR, survival, and treatment, suggesting a possible cancer cell shedding phenotype.

Comparative Recurrence Analysis of Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma after Resection

Purpose

The relation between tumor sites of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and recurrence was not fully investigated before. We aimed to describe the differences of recurrent patterns in PDAC of head and body/tail after curative surgery.

Methods

The recurrent patterns of PDAC were compared and the associations with clinical characteristics were analyzed in these patients. Prognostic factors of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed and validated. Predictive systems were constructed and measured by the area under the AUC curve and concordance index (C-index).

Results

A total of 302 PDAC patients were included in this study, including 247 patients with PDAC of head and another 55 patients with PDAC of body/tail. Patients who developed tumor recurrence within 24 months after resection had significantly shorter OS in both groups. Liver metastasis occupied most of the tumor progressions and diminished while local recurrence increased gradually over time. The variation trends were similar for patients in both groups while these changes were more pronounced for patients in the head group. Local recurrence and liver-only metastasis seemed to indicate a better OS. Furthermore, predictive systems for OS and PFS prediction based on independent risk factors were established and showed significant higher values of AUC and C-indexes compared with the TNM stage system.

Conclusions

Different characteristics of progressions for PDAC of head and body/tail suggested biological heterogeneity. The exploration of these variations helps to provide personalized management of recurrence in PDAC.

Clinical benefit of surveillance after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The value of routine surveillance after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is unclear, and expert guidelines offer conflicting recommendations. This study is a systematic review of evidence for surveillance programs.

METHODS

A systematic review of studies evaluating different surveillance methods was undertaken. A meta-analysis was performed for those studies reporting rates of asymptomatic recurrence, treatment of recurrence and overall survival, according to different surveillance methods.

RESULTS

Ten studies were included in the literature review, with five studies appropriate for meta-analysis (1596 patients). Patients within active surveillance programs were more likely to have recurrence detected at an asymptomatic stage (Pooled Rate: 49.3% vs. 19.1%, p = 0.043). Within studies reporting these outcomes, patients with asymptomatic recurrence were more likely to receive treatment for recurrence (Odds Ratio 3.49; 95% CI: 1.73-7.07; p < 0.001) and had longer overall survival (Mean Difference: 9.5 months; 95% CI: 4.1-14.8; p < 0.001) than those with symptoms at time of recurrence.

DISCUSSION

Routine surveillance after surgery for PDAC appears to detect more patients at an asymptomatic stage. Data from these non-randomised trials also suggest that treatment rates and survival may be superior in patients were recurrence is detected when asymptomatic. As such, these data suggest that routine surveillance may improve patient outcomes, although an appropriately conducted trial would be required to address concerns that various sources of bias may be affecting these results.

Expression of Calretinin, Marker of Mesothelial Differentiation, in Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Potential Diagnostic Pitfall

OBJECTIVE

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is one of the most common causes of "peritoneal carcinomatosis" and has an insidious growth pattern. Thus, it falls into the differential diagnosis of other peritoneal malignancies including malignant mesothelioma. Recently, we have encountered an undifferentiated pancreatic carcinoma presenting with peritoneal disease and exhibiting immunoreactivity to calretinin, mimicking mesothelioma. In this study, we explored the incidence of calretinin expression in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Calretinin immunohistochemical staining was performed on the tissue microarrays (TMAs), which were created using three 0.6 mm diameter punches per tumor (n=113). Distribution and intensity of expression were evaluated.

RESULTS

The TMAs contained 86 well/moderately differentiated and 27 poorly differentiated/undifferentiated carcinomas. Calretinin was positive in nine tumors (8%); six with diffuse and strong staining, three with focal and/or weak staining. The incidence of calretinin expression was 15% in poorly differentiated/undifferentiated carcinomas (vs. 6% in well/moderately differentiated carcinomas, p=0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas, especially when poorly differentiated/undifferentiated, may be diffusely and strongly positive for calretinin creating a potential diagnostic challenge with malignant mesothelioma. Therefore, caution should be exercised when using this marker to explore a diagnosis of malignant mesothelioma. Tumors expressing calretinin without other mesothelial markers should prompt a careful evaluation of the morphologic and immunohistochemical features to exclude other malignancies. If the diagnosis of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is considered, ductal differentiation can be demonstrated by using additional immunohistochemical markers such as mucin-related glycoproteins (MUC1, MUC5AC) and/or oncoproteins (CEA, B72.3, CA125).

Prediction of survival and recurrence in patients with pancreatic cancer by integrating multi-omics data

Predicting the prognosis of pancreatic cancer is important because of the very low survival rates of patients with this particular cancer. Although several studies have used microRNA and gene expression profiles and clinical data, as well as images of tissues and cells, to predict cancer survival and recurrence, the accuracies of these approaches in the prediction of high-risk pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAAD) still need to be improved. Accordingly, in this study, we proposed two biological features based on multi-omics datasets to predict survival and recurrence among patients with PAAD. First, the clonal expansion of cancer cells with somatic mutations was used to predict prognosis. Using whole-exome sequencing data from 134 patients with PAAD from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), we found five candidate genes that were mutated in the early stages of tumorigenesis with high cellular prevalence (CP). CDKN2A, TP53, TTN, KCNJ18, and KRAS had the highest CP values among the patients with PAAD, and survival and recurrence rates were significantly different between the patients harboring mutations in these candidate genes and those harboring mutations in other genes (p = 2.39E-03, p = 8.47E-04, respectively). Second, we generated an autoencoder to integrate the RNA sequencing, microRNA sequencing, and DNA methylation data from 134 patients with PAAD from TCGA. The autoencoder robustly reduced the dimensions of these multi-omics data, and the K-means clustering method was then used to cluster the patients into two subgroups. The subgroups of patients had significant differences in survival and recurrence (p = 1.41E-03, p = 4.43E-04, respectively). Finally, we developed a prediction model for prognosis using these two biological features and clinical data. When support vector machines, random forest, logistic regression, and L2 regularized logistic regression were used as prediction models, logistic regression analysis generally revealed the best performance for both disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) (accuracy [ACC] = 0.762 and area under the curve [AUC] = 0.795 for DFS; ACC = 0.776 and AUC = 0.769 for OS). Thus, we could classify patients with a high probability of recurrence and at a high risk of poor outcomes. Our study provides insights into new personalized therapies on the basis of mutation status and multi-omics data.

A Novel Nomogram to Predict Survival in Patients With Recurrence of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma After Radical Resection

The post-progression survival (PPS) of patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) after radical resection is varied and influenced by the characteristics of tumor progression. We aimed to establish and validate a nomogram to predict PPS for PDAC patients after surgery. A total of 302 PDAC patients who had undergone curative resection from 2008 to 2018 were enrolled in this study and randomly divided into training and validation cohorts at a ratio of 3:1. The nomogram was established based on independent prognostic factors selected by LASSO and Cox regression and measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the concordance index (C-index). Significant prognostic factors included carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9), lymph node (LN)9 metastasis, LN14 metastasis, LN16 metastasis, tumor differentiation, imaging-detected tumor size, local progression, liver-only metastasis, lung-only metastasis, and multiple metastases. The nomogram built on these factors showed powerful efficacy in PPS prediction, with C-index values of 0.751 (95% CI 0.692–0.0.810) and 0.710 (95% CI 0.645–0.755) for the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The AUC values for the 1-year and 2-year PSS rates were 0.745, 0.747, and 0.783, 0.748, respectively; these values were higher than those of the 8th tumor–node–metastasis (TNM) stage system. The exploration of risk factors and the establishment of a nomogram can provide new versions of personalized recurrence management for PDAC patients after surgery.

Evaluation of preoperative prognostic factors in patients with resectable invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Upfront surgery is the standard treatment for resectable invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma; however, recurrence is common. Therefore, we investigated the recurrence, surgical outcome, and preoperative prognostic factors for recurrence in patients with resectable invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma.

METHODS

We analyzed 111 patients who underwent upfront surgery for resectable invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma between 2000 and 2017 and evaluated the relationship among clinicopathologic factors, recurrence, and outcomes.

RESULTS

The 5-year recurrence-free survival and disease-specific survival rates were 61% and 74%, respectively. The median time to recurrence was 1.1 years. In multivariate analysis, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 ≥83 U/mL (hazard ratio: 2.8 and 3.1), tumor size ≥2.2 cm (hazard ratio: 3.5 and 4.7), and pathologic tubular adenocarcinoma grade 2 (hazard ratio: 3.1 and 5.2) were risk factors for a shorter recurrence-free survival and disease-specific survival, respectively. Lymph node metastasis (hazard ratio: 3.9) was also a risk factor for a shorter disease-specific survival. When examining outcomes according to preoperatively measurable factors (carbohydrate antigen 19-9 ≥83 U/mL and tumor size ≥2.2 cm), the 5-year recurrence rates in patients with none (n = 47), 1 (n = 46), and both (n = 18) risk factors were 17%, 48%, and 78%, respectively. Five-year disease-specific survival rates in patients with none, 1, and both preoperative risk factors were 95%, 69%, and 31%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Carbohydrate antigen 19-9 ≥83 U/mL and tumor size ≥2.2 cm were independent preoperative risk factors for poor outcomes in patients with resectable invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma.

A Quantitative Clinicopathological Signature for Predicting Recurrence Risk of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma After Radical Resection

Recurrence and distant metastases were main reasons of unfavorable outcomes for patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) after surgery. The aim of this study was to describe the patterns, timing, and predictors of recurrence or metastasis in PDAC patients after curative surgery. Patients with PDAC who underwent radical pancreatectomy were included. Associations between clinicopathological and radiological characteristics and specific pattern of progression were investigated. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and Cox regression were applied to assess the prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). A total of 302 patients were included into present study, and 173 patients were documented as recurrence after a median survival of 24.7 months. More than half of patients recurred after 12 months after surgery, and the liver was the most common metastatic site. Decreased time interval to progression, elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) level, and lymph node (LN)16 metastasis were independent predictors for reduced OS. Independent prognostic factors for PFS included elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level, local progression, liver or lung-only metastasis, local + distant progression, multiple metastases, LN16 metastasis, imaging tumor size, chemotherapy, and tumor–node–metastasis (TNM) stage. The predictive system showed valuable prediction performance with values of concordance indexes (C-indexes) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) over 0.80. Different survival curves and predictive factors for specific patterns of disease progression suggested the biological heterogeneity, providing new versions into personal management of recurrence in PDAC patients after surgery.

Comparison of patients with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma and invasive ductal carcinoma of the pancreas: a pathological type- and stage-matched analysis

Objective: We compared the pathological features and stage-matched outcomes of patients with invasive intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma (IPMC) and invasive ductal carcinoma (IDC) of the pancreas to identify the reasons for these diseases' differing prognoses.Methods: We analyzed 114 and 560 patients who underwent curative pancreatectomy for invasive IPMC and IDC, respectively, and analyzed their clinicopathological factors.Results: The disease-specific survival (DSS) of patients with invasive IPMC was significantly superior to that of patients with IDC exhibiting all pathological types at all stages. The DSS of patients with invasive IPMC exhibiting tubular adenocarcinoma was significantly superior to that of their counterparts with IDC only among those with stage IIB (p = .045). When comparing patients with stage IIB tubular adenocarcinoma-type invasive IPMC to their counterparts with IDC, the tumor size (2.6 cm vs. 3.3 cm, p = .010), serum level of carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (253 vs. 474 U/mL, p = .035), number of metastatic lymph nodes (3.1 vs. 4.5, p = .033), vascular invasion rate (14% vs. 41%, p = .0019) and local invasion rate (79% vs. 95%, p = .0045) were lower in the former group. Moreover, the frequency of pathological tubular adenocarcinoma grade 1 was higher in patients with invasive IPMC than in those with IDC (38% vs. 12%, p = .0004) as was the R0 resection rate (90% vs. 65%, p = .0027).Conclusions: In pathological type- and stage-matched analyses, invasive IPMC was associated with a better prognosis than IDC only in patients with stage IIB, as factors governing tumor aggressiveness were milder in the former group than in the latter.

Is There a Standard Adjuvant Therapy for Resected Pancreatic Cancer?

Surgical resection remains the only treatment that offers a potential chance of long-term survival. Unfortunately, about 80% of patients treated with curative intent will develop recurrence. Since 2001, adjuvant therapy with gemcitabine or 5-fluorouracyle was recommended. This approach allows a median overall survival (OS) of around 23 months, and 5-year survival of 22%. In recent years, two phase-3 trials investigating new chemotherapy regimens resulted in considerably improved survival times. The doublet gemcitabine-capecitabine has shown improvement in OS from 25.5 to 28 months (p = 0.032) compared to gemcitabine, in the ESPAC-4 trial. Later, preliminary results of PRODIGE 24 trial presented at the 2018 ASCO meeting showed a superiority of a combination chemotherapy regimen with fluorouracil, leucovorin, irinotecan, and oxaliplatin (mFOLFIRINOX) when compared to gemcitabine alone, both in terms of median disease-free survival (21.6 vs. 12.8 months, p < 0.0001) and OS (54.4 vs. 35 months, p = 0.003). Contrary to chemotherapy, the role of adjuvant radiotherapy is still controversial, even in the case of R1 surgery. A randomized trial exploring the role of chemoradiotherapy in this setting is now ongoing in the US (RTOG-0848). Overall, the management of localized pancreatic adenocarcinoma is evolving. In this review, we summarize the current status and the most up-to-date developments in adjuvant treatment.

Meta-analysis of recurrence pattern after resection for pancreatic cancer

Background

Initial recurrence mapping of resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) could help in stratifying patient subpopulations for optimal postoperative follow-up. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to investigate the initial recurrence patterns of PDAC and to correlate them with clinicopathological factors.

Methods

MEDLINE and Web of Science databases were searched systematically for studies reporting first recurrence patterns after PDAC resection. Data were extracted from the studies selected for inclusion. Pooled odds ratios (ORs) and 95 per cent confidence intervals were calculated to determine the clinicopathological factors related to the recurrence sites. The weighted average of median overall survival was calculated.

Results

Eighty-nine studies with 17 313 patients undergoing PDAC resection were included. The weighted median rates of initial recurrence were 20·8 per cent for locoregional sites, 26·5 per cent for liver, 11·4 per cent for lung and 13·5 per cent for peritoneal dissemination. The weighted median overall survival times were 19·8 months for locoregional recurrence, 15·0 months for liver recurrence, 30·4 months for lung recurrence and 14·1 months for peritoneal dissemination. Meta-analysis revealed that R1 (direct) resection (OR 2·21, 95 per cent c.i. 1·12 to 4·35), perineural invasion (OR 5·19, 2·79 to 9·64) and positive peritoneal lavage cytology (OR 5·29, 3·03 to 9·25) were significantly associated with peritoneal dissemination as initial recurrence site. Low grade of tumour differentiation was significantly associated with liver recurrence (OR 4·15, 1·71 to 10·07).

Conclusion

Risk factors for recurrence patterns after surgery could be considered for specific surveillance and treatments for patients with pancreatic cancer.

Evaluation of preoperative prognostic factors in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

Objective: Upfront surgery is the standard treatment for resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (R-PDACs); however, these tumors often recur. We investigated the factors governing recurrence and prognosis in patients with R-PDAC. Methods: We analyzed 359 patients who underwent upfront surgery for R-PDAC between 2000 and 2016, and evaluated the relationship between clinicopathological factors and recurrence/outcomes. Results: The rate of recurrence was 74% while the median time to recurrence was 1.2 years. On multivariate analysis, carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) >37 U/mL (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.02), tumor size >2.6 cm (HR: 1.50), pathological grade 3 (HR: 2.58), lymph node metastasis (LNM; HR: 1.65), residual tumor (HR: 1.47) and forgoing adjuvant chemotherapy (HR: 1.31) were risk factors for a shorter recurrence-free survival; the median survival time (MST) was 2.8 years. On multivariate analysis, CA19-9 > 37 U/mL (HR: 1.99), tumor size >2.6 cm (HR: 1.43), pathological grade 3 (HR: 2.93), pathological portal vein invasion (HR: 1.48), LNM (HR: 1.79) and forgoing adjuvant chemotherapy (HR: 1.39) were risk factors for shorter disease-specific survival intervals. When examining outcomes according to preoperatively measurable factors (CA19-9 > 37 U/mL and tumor size >2.6 cm), the median time to recurrence and MSTs of patients with none (n = 83), one (n = 112) and both (n = 164) risk factors were 3.2, 1.8 and 0.8 years; and 7.2, 4.0 and 1.7 years, respectively. Conclusions: CA19-9 > 37 U/mL and tumor size >2.6 cm were preoperative independent risk factors for early recurrence and poor outcomes in patients with R-PDAC. Therefore, preoperative treatment should be considered for such patients.

Postoperative surveillance of pancreatic cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study is to collect the best available evidence for diagnostic modalities, frequency, and duration of surveillance after resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC).

METHODS

PDAC guidelines published after 2015 were collected. Furthermore, a systematic search of the literature on postoperative surveillance was performed in PubMed and Embase from 2000 to 2019. Articles comparing different diagnostic modalities and frequencies of postoperative surveillance in PDAC patients with regard to survival, quality of life, morbidity and cost-effectiveness were selected.

RESULTS

The literature search resulted in 570 articles. A total of seven guidelines and twelve original clinical studies were eventually evaluated. PDAC guidelines increasingly recommend a combination of tumor marker testing and computed tomography (CT) imaging every three to six months during the first two years after resection. These guidelines are, however, based on expert opinion and other low-level evidence. Prospective studies comparing different surveillance strategies are lacking. According to recent studies, surveillance with tumor markers and imaging at regular intervals results in the detection of PDAC recurrence before the onset of symptoms and more frequent administration of further therapy, such as chemotherapy or radiotherapy.

CONCLUSION

Current evidence for recurrence-focused surveillance after PDAC resection is limited and contradictory. Consequently, recommendations on surveillance are conflicting. To define the clinical merit of recurrence-focused surveillance, patients who are most likely to benefit from early detection and treatment of PDAC recurrence need to be identified. To this purpose, well-designed prospective studies are needed, accounting for both economical and psychosocial implications of surveillance.

Prognostic value of preoperative fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography in patients with potentially resectable pancreatic cancer

PURPOSE

To evaluate the prognostic value of preoperative 18-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET)/computed tomography (CT) in patients with potentially resectable pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

The study included 103 consecutive patients with potentially resectable pancreatic cancer who underwent preoperative FDG-PET/CT. Age, sex, blood glucose level, tumor marker levels (carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9)), PET-related parameters (maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax)), and contrast-enhanced CT-related factors (tumor size, location, enhancement pattern, and CT-based T and N factors by tumor nodes metastasis (TNM) classification) were assessed for their ability to independently predict postoperative tumor recurrence using Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

Median follow-up was 23.1 months. Univariate analyses revealed that SUVmax (P = 0.0004), tumor size (P = 0.0002), T factor (P = 0.0102), N factor (P = 0.0049), and CA19-9 levels (P = 0.0059) were significantly associated with disease-free survival (DFS). In multivariate analysis, SUVmax (P = 0.0163) and CA19-9 levels (P = 0.0364) independently predicted DFS. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with low (< 2.5) SUVmax had a significantly better prognosis than those with higher SUVmax (P = 0.0006). The DFS in patients with SUVmax < 2.5 (n = 23) and SUVmax ≥ 2.5 (n = 80) was 61.9% and 9.7%, respectively, 3 years postoperatively.

CONCLUSIONS

SUVmax can predict DFS in patients with resectable pancreatic cancer. A SUVmax < 2.5 heralds a better prognosis.

Preoperative risk factors for early recurrence in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma after curative intent surgical resection

BACKGROUND

Postoperative early recurrence (ER) in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is frequently encountered after curative intent surgery. Nonetheless, clinical significance and risk factors of ER after surgery for PDAC have not been extensively investigated. The aim of this study was to determine preoperative risk predictors for ER in patients with PDAC after upfront surgery.

METHODS

Eighty-one consecutive patients with PDAC who underwent curative intent surgical resection at Kangbuk Samsung Hospital between January 2004 and May 2015 were enrolled. ER was defined as tumor relapse within 6 months after surgery.

RESULTS

ER occurred in 26 patients (32.1%), whereas 49 patients (60.5%) had late recurrence (≥ 6 months after surgery), and 6 patients had no recurrence (7.4%). Univariate analysis showed that C-reactive protein (CRP) > 3.0 mg/dL, modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) = 2, decrease of total lymphocyte count by > 50% of baseline value in the preoperative period, prognostic nutritional index (PNI) < 45, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) ≥ 3, and preoperative maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) were significantly associated with ER. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that CRP > 3.0 mg/dL, decrease of total lymphocyte count by > 50% of baseline value, and preoperative SUVmax were significant and independent contributors of ER in patients with resectable PDAC who underwent curative intent surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative ER for resectable PDAC was frequent with poor prognosis after curative intent upfront surgery. It is reasonable to suggest that there is a subgroup of resectable PDAC patients at high-risk of ER and neoadjuvant therapy should be considered in these patients in a clinical trial setting.

The diagnostic performance of CT versus FDG PET-CT for the detection of recurrent pancreatic cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

Radiologic surveillance after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) can provide information on the extent and location of disease recurrence. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to give an overview of the literature on the diagnostic performance of different imaging modalities for the detection of recurrent disease after surgery for PDAC.

METHODS

A systematic search was performed in PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane Library up to 20 December 2017. All studies reporting on the diagnostic value of imaging modalities for the detection of local and/or distant disease recurrence during follow-up after resection of PDAC were eligible. Both histologic confirmation of recurrent PDAC and clinical confirmation by disease progression on follow-up imaging were considered as suitable reference standard. The Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool was used for critical appraisal of methodological quality. Diagnostic accuracy data were extracted or calculated and presented in forest plots. A bivariate random-effects model was used to calculate pooled estimates of sensitivity and specificity.

RESULTS

A total of seven retrospective studies with 333 relevant patients were ultimately eligible for data extraction. Overall, the methodological quality of the included studies was acceptable. All seven articles described test results of contrast-enhanced CT, whilst five and three articles reported outcomes on diagnostic accuracy of FDG PET-CT and FDG PET-CT combined with contrast-enhanced CT, respectively. For CT, pooled estimates for sensitivity were 0.70 (95% CI 0.61-0.78) and for specificity 0.80 (95% CI 0.69-0.88). For FDG PET-CT, pooled estimates for sensitivity and specificity were 0.88 (95% CI 0.81-0.93) and 0.89 (95% CI 0.80-0.94), respectively. For FDG PET-CT in combination with contrast-enhanced CT, pooled estimates for sensitivity were 0.95 (95% CI 0.88-0.98) and for specificity 0.81 (95% CI 0.63-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

According to the current literature, post-operative CT has a moderate diagnostic accuracy in the detection of recurrent disease. FDG PET-CT imaging could be of additional value when disease recurrence is suspected despite negative or equivocal CT findings. Nevertheless, evidence supporting radiologic surveillance after resection of PDAC is limited. Future prospective studies are needed to optimize surveillance strategies after resection of pancreatic cancer.

Proposed preoperative risk factors for early recurrence in patients with resectable pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma after surgical resection: A multi-center retrospective study

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE

Although surgical resection remains the only chance for cure in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), postoperative early recurrence (ER) is frequently encountered. The purpose of this study is to determine the preoperative predictive factors for ER after upfront surgical resection.

METHODS

Between 2001 and 2012, 968 patients who underwent upfront surgery with R0 or R1 resection for PDAC at seven high-volume centers in Japan were retrospectively reviewed. ER was defined as relapse within 6 months after surgery. Study analysis stratified by resectable (R) and borderline resectable (BR) PDACs was conducted according to the National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines.

RESULTS

ER occurred in 239 patients (25%) with a median survival time (MST) of 8.8 months. Modified Glasgow prognostic score = 2 (odds ratio (OR) 2.06, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-3.95; P = 0.044), preoperative CA19-9 ≥300 U/ml (OR 1.94, 1.29-2.90; P = 0.003), and tumor size ≥30 mm (OR 1.72, 1.16-2.56; P = 0.006), were identified as preoperative independent predictive risk factors for ER in patients with R-PDAC. In the R-PDAC patients, MST was 35.5, 26.3, and 15.9 months in patients with 0, 1 and ≥2 risk factors, respectively. There were significant differences in overall survival between the three groups (P < 0.001). No preoperative risk factors were identified in BR-PDAC patients with a high rate of ER (39%).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a high-risk subset for ER even in patients with R-PDAC and a simple risk scoring system is useful for prediction of ER.

Prognostic factors associated with early mortality after surgical resection for pancreatic adenocarcinoma

Backgrounds/Aims

Identifying pancreatic cancer patients at high risk of early mortality following surgical resection for pancreatic cancer is important to make optimal treatment decisions in multidisciplinary setting. The purpose of this study was to identify the factors related to early mortality in patients who underwent pancreatic resection for pancreatic adenocarcinoma.

Methods

We reviewed our institution's experience with all consecutive patients who underwent pancreatectomy for pancreatic adenocarcinoma from January 2000 to December 2010. One thousand patients were eligible for our study. Fifty-three patients who did not meet the study criteria were excluded. Based on 12 months after surgery, patients were divided into early mortality group or the remaining group. We performed logistic regression analysis to identify predictors of early mortality.

Results

Among 947 patients who met our study criteria, 302 (31.9%) early mortality (defined as experiencing death within 12 months after surgery) occurred. Multivariate analysis revealed that patient age and surgery time period were statistically significant predictors of early mortality within six months after surgery. Poorly differentiated tumor and adjuvant chemotherapy were statistically significant predictors of early mortality within 12 months after surgery. Total pancreatectomy and lymphovascular invasion were significant (p<0.05) prognostic factors of early mortality within 6 or 12 months after surgery.

Conclusions

We suggest followings to avoid early mortality after pancreatic resection: patients with multiple risk factors related to early mortality after pancreatectomy should be considered for alternative treatment; patient's general condition and surgical technique improvement are important; and adjuvant therapy should be taken into consideration.

Reoxygenation from chronic hypoxia promotes metastatic processes in pancreatic cancer through the Hedgehog signaling

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is among the most deadly types of malignancies because of its high ability to metastasize. PDAC is thought to be under hypoxic condition. Therefore, to investigate the mechanism of metastatic processes, chronic-hypoxia-resistant PDAC cells were newly generated under hypoxic condition for 3–6 months and reoxygenation experiments were performed using these chronic-hypoxia-resistant PDAC cells in in vivo-mimicking conditions. Proliferation, invasiveness and tumorigenicity in PDAC cells were significantly increased by reoxygenation. A Hedgehog (Hh) signaling component, Gli1, was significantly increased by reoxygenation. Gli1 knockdown inhibited reoxygenation-induced increases in proliferation and tumorigenicity and decreased invasiveness through suppression of matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) 2 and MMP9. Moreover, inhibition of Sonic Hh and Smoothened abrogated reoxygenation induced increases in proliferation and invasiveness. These results suggest that metastatic processes in PDAC are induced through activation of the Hh signaling pathway. Therefore, the Hh signaling pathway may be a therapeutic target for refractory PDAC in metastatic processes induced by reoxygenation.

Pancreatic cancer: advances in treatment, results and limitations

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Pancreatic cancer remains a therapeutic challenge. Surgery is the only treatment with the chance of cure. The aim of this review is to summarize the present state-of-the-art surgical procedures in pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

The current literature was reviewed with regard to surgical approaches in pancreatic cancer. A focus was put on high-quality studies, reviews, systematic reviews and meta-analyses as well as recruiting studies highlighting innovative approaches.

RESULTS

Today, standard resections can be performed with mortality rates below 5% in specialized high-volume institutions. Extended approaches for locally advanced cancer are technically feasible, including venous resections, multivisceral resections and recurrence surgery. They can be carried out without increased morbidity and mortality, are not compromised by higher R1 or N+ rates, and can improve survival. Arterial tumor invasion is still regarded controversially and is oncologically questionable. All surgical approaches should be part of interdisciplinary multimodal treatment concepts to improve the patients' prognosis.

CONCLUSION

Surgery is the backbone of pancreatic cancer treatment in localized disease. Extended approaches are feasible in centers and show--except for arterial resections--good long-term outcome. Interdisciplinary therapy is an essential supplementation of all surgical approaches.

Loco-recurrence after resection for ductal adenocarcinoma of the pancreas: predictors and implications for adjuvant chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

Loco (regional)-recurrence rate after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains high, and the efficiency of adjuvant chemoradiotherapy is still debated. We aimed to assess predictors of loco-recurrence in order to tailor the indications for adjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

Patients who underwent PD for PDAC between January 2001 and December 2010 were retrieved from a prospective database. Tumor recurrence was categorized as either loco-recurrence or distant recurrence. Clinicopathological characteristics and survivals were compared between patients with different recurrence patterns. The predictors for loco-recurrence were assessed.

RESULTS

Seventy-nine patients were included. Loco-recurrence alone was identified in 22 patients (27.8%), distant recurrence alone in 33 (41.8%), both loco- and distant recurrences in 17 (21.5%) and no recurrence in 7 (8.9%). Median survival after recurrence (SAR) was significantly better in patients with loco-recurrence alone than in those with distant recurrence alone (10.4 vs. 5.0 months, P = 0.002) or in those with both loco- and distant recurrences (10.4 vs. 5.8 months, P = 0.044); the survival for patients with distant recurrence alone and those with both patterns was identical. Patients with early recurrence had a significantly poorer SAR than those with late recurrence (median, 5.5 vs. 9.0 months, P = 0.001). Logistic regression analysis revealed that positive resection margin (P = 0.001, HR = 14.532; 95% CI 7.399-38.466), early T stage (P = 0.018, HR = 0.014; 95% CI 0.000-0.475) and large tumor size (P = 0.030, HR = 4.345; 95% CI 1.152-16.391) were the determinant factors directly related to loco-recurrence alone.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with PDAC loco-recurrence alone had a significantly better SAR than those with distant recurrence. Adjuvant chemoradiotherapy should be considered to reduce loco-recurrence further and improve long-term survival.

Analysis of liver metastasis after resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

AIM: To investigate the risk factors affecting the liver metastasis (LM) of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) after resection.

METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 101 PDAC patients who underwent surgical resection at the Samsung Medical Center between January 2000 and December 2004. Forty one patients with LM were analyzed for the time of metastasis, prognostic factors affecting LM, and survival.

RESULTS: LM was found in 40.6%. The median time of the LM (n = 41) was 6.0 ± 4.6 mo and most LM occurred within 1 year. In univariate analysis, tumor size, preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9, and perineural invasion were factors affecting LM after resection. In multivariate analysis, tumor size was the most important factor for LM. In univariate analysis, tumor cell differentiation was significant to LM in low-risk groups.

CONCLUSION: LM after resection of PDAC occurs early and shows poor survival. Tumor size is the key indicator for LM after resection.

Factors affecting long-term survival after surgical resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

PURPOSE

Some patients who undergo surgical resection of pancreatic cancer survive longer than other patients. The purpose of this study was to identify the factors that affect long-term survival after resection of histopathologically confirmed pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma.

METHODS

A single-center, retrospective study was conducted among 164 patients who underwent surgical resection of pancreatic cancer, between May 1995 and December 2004. The patient follow-up process was conducted via telephone survey and review of electronic medical records for at least 5 years or until death.

RESULTS

We compared patients with long-term (≥60 months, n = 19) and short-term survival (<60 months, n = 145). Resection margin status, differentiation of the tumor, tumor stage, pre-operative serum level of albumin, total bilirubin and carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 level are related with survival difference (all factors, P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that a pre-operative serum total bilirubin level <7 mg/dL and a pre-operative serum CA19-9 level <37 U/mL is a statistically significant prognostic factor for long-term survival.

CONCLUSION

The preoperative serum total bilirubin and serum CA19-9 levels are associated with long-term survival after surgical resection of pancreatic cancer.

Current state of surgical management of pancreatic cancer

Pancreatic cancer is still associated with a poor prognosis and remains—as the fourth leading cause of cancer related mortality—a therapeutic challenge. Overall long-term survival is about 1–5%, and in only 10–20% of pancreatic cancer patients is potentially curative surgery possible, increasing five-year survival rates to approximately 20–25%. Pancreatic surgery is a technically challenging procedure and has significantly changed during the past decades with regard to technical aspects as well as perioperative care. Standardized resections can be carried out with low morbidity and mortality below 5% in high volume institutions. Furthermore, there is growing evidence that also more extended resections including multivisceral approaches, vessel reconstructions or surgery for tumor recurrence can be carried out safely with favorable outcomes. The impact of adjuvant treatment, especially chemotherapy, has increased dramatically within recent years, leading to significantly improved postoperative survival, making pancreatic cancer therapy an interdisciplinary approach to achieve best results.

Current and emerging therapies for the treatment of pancreatic cancer

Pancreatic adenocarcinoma carries a dismal prognosis and remains a significant cause of cancer morbidity and mortality. Most patients survive less than 1 year; chemotherapeutic options prolong life minimally. The best chance for long-term survival is complete resection, which offers a 3-year survival of only 15%. Most patients who do undergo resection will go on to die of their disease. Research in chemotherapy for metastatic disease has made only modest progress and the standard of care remains the purine analog gemcitabine. For resectable pancreatic cancer, presumed micrometastases provide the rationale for adjuvant chemotherapy and chemoradiation (CRT) to supplement surgical management. Numerous randomized control trials, none definitive, of adjuvant chemotherapy and CRT have been conducted and are summarized in this review, along with recent developments in how unresectable disease can be subcategorized according to the potential for eventual curative resection. This review will also emphasize palliative care and discuss some avenues of research that show early promise.

Beneficial effects of 5-Fluorouracil and heparin-based portal infusion chemotherapy combined with mitomycin C and cisplatin after curative resection of pancreatic cancer

AIMS

We retrospectively assessed the benefits of 5-fluorouracil (5-FU)- and heparin-based portal infusion chemotherapy combined with systemic administration of mitomycin C (MMC) and cisplatin (CDDP) for 4 weeks following surgery (PI4W). The goal was to determine if this treatment prevented liver metastasis and improved survival for patients with potentially curative resection of pancreatic cancer.

METHODS

68 patients who underwent pancreatectomy from January 1995 to August 2007 were treated. Of these cases, 22 patients received portal infusion with 5-FU (250 mg/day) for 2 weeks (PI2W) following surgery, while 25 patients received PI4W therapy (250 mg/day of 5-FU with 2,000 IU/day of heparin everyday for 4 weeks, 4 mg MMC on days 6, 13, 20, 27, and 10 mg CDDP on days 7, 14, 21, 28). The remaining 21 patients were treated without adjuvant therapy during the perioperative period.

RESULTS

All patients except one completed the portal infusion chemotherapy without toxicity. The cumulative liver metastasis-free survival rate in the PI4W group was significantly higher than those in the other two groups. Furthermore, in the PI4W group, 3-year survival was 82.9% and 5-year survival was 63.8%, rates which were significantly better than those observed in the other two groups.

CONCLUSION

PI4W therapy after surgery is feasible and could become a promising adjuvant therapy in patients with potentially curative resection of pancreatic cancer. and IAP.

Resectable pancreatic cancer: who really benefits from resection?

BACKGROUND

The 1-year disease-related mortality after resection for pancreatic cancer is approximately 30%. This study examined potential preoperative parameters that would help avoid unnecessary surgery.

METHODS

Among the patients resected at our institution from 1997 to 2006, a total of 228 underwent pancreatic resection for ductal adenocarcinoma. By means of a survival cutoff of 12 months, two groups were created: early death (ED) and long survivors. A logistic regression analysis was performed to identify perioperative predictors of ED.

RESULTS

Among 228 resected patients, postoperative mortality occurred in four cases (1.8%) that were excluded from the study. In the remaining 224 patients, 43 (19.2%) died of disease within 12 months from surgery (ED), and the remaining 181 (80.8%) had a longer survival. Multivariate analysis selected duration of preoperative symptoms > 40 days, CA 19-9 > 200 U/mL, pathological grading G3-G4, and R2 resection as independent predictors of ED.

CONCLUSIONS

Duration of symptoms, CA 19-9 serum level, and pathological grading possibly retrieved by endoscopic ultrasound-guided biopsy can be preoperatively used to identify patients with disease that is not suitable for up-front surgery, even if deemed resectable by high-quality imaging.

Portal vein resection in surgery for cancer of biliary tract and pancreas: special reference to the relationship between the surgical outcome and site of primary tumor

BACKGROUND

Early and late outcomes after superior mesenteric-portal vein resection (VR) combined with pancreaticoduodenectomy, major hepatectomy, or both for pancreaticobiliary carcinoma were retrospectively evaluated. VR is the most frequently used vascular procedure in this field, but an exact role of VR has not been compared according to the primary site of tumor.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Postoperative outcomes were compared between surgery with and without VR in each of the three disease-based groups: hilar cholangiocarcinoma and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma with hilar extension (HIC, 56), middle and distal cholangiocarcinoma and gallbladder carcinoma (DGC, 118), and pancreatic head adenocarcinoma (PHC, 77).

RESULTS

VR was performed in 19.6% of HIC, 8.5% of DGC, and 45.5% of PHC. In-hospital death was 7.1% (4 of 56) patients with VR (3 of DGC and 1 of PHC). Operations with VR in DGC showed a larger amount of blood loss and more increased ratio of R1operation than those with no VR. In HIC, DGC, and PHC, median survival time of patients with VR was 37, 6.8, and 20 months and that of patients without VR was 42.9, 28.6, and 20.3 months, respectively. VR did not affect survival either in HIC or in PHC; however, in DGC, VR was accompanied with dismal outcome compared with no VR (p=0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Aggressive surgery with VR can be justified both in HIC and in PHC but should not be recommended for DGC. Surgical outcomes of VR differed considerably, depending on the sites of the primary tumor.

Postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy improves survival after surgical resection for pancreatic carcinoma

Pancreatic carcinoma is one of the most aggressive types of gastrointestinal malignancy, and its prognosis remains extremely dismal. The aim of this study was to identify useful prognostic factors for patients undergoing surgical resection for pancreatic carcinoma. Medical records of 89 patients with pancreatic carcinoma who underwent surgical resection were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariate models were used to analyze the effect of various clinicopathological factors on long-term survival. There were no operative deaths. Overall 1-, 2-, and 5-year survival rates were 59, 28, and 7%, respectively (median survival time, 12.1 months). Univariate analysis revealed that postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy, portal vein invasion, lymph node metastasis, extrapancreatic nerve plexus invasion, surgical margin status, UICC pT factor, and UICC stage were significantly associated with long-term survival (P<0.01). Furthermore, use of postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy and absence of extrapancreatic nerve plexus invasion were found to be significant independent predictors of a favorable prognosis using a Cox proportional hazard regression model (P<0.05). These results suggest that postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy may improve survival after surgical resection for pancreatic carcinoma and that extrapancreatic nerve plexus invasion indicates a poor prognosis for long-term survival.