"I Was Worried About the Patient, but I Wasn't Feeling Worried": How Physicians Judge Their Comfort in Settings of Uncertainty

'Walking together': How relationships shape physicians' clinical reasoning

INTRODUCTION

The clinical reasoning literature has increasingly considered context as an important influence on physicians' thinking. Physicians' relationships with patients, and their ongoing efforts to maintain these relationships, are important influences on how clinical reasoning is contextualised. The authors sought to understand how physicians' relationships with patients shaped their clinical reasoning.

METHODS

Drawing from constructivist grounded theory, the authors conducted semi-structured interviews with primary care physicians. Participants were asked to reflect on recent challenging clinical experiences, and probing questions were used to explore how participants attended to or leveraged relationships in conjunction with their clinical reasoning. Using constant comparison, three investigators coded transcripts, organising the data into codes and conceptual categories. The research team drew from these codes and categories to develop theory about the phenomenon of interest.

RESULTS

The authors interviewed 15 primary care physicians with a range of experience in practice and identified patient agency as a central influence on participants' clinical reasoning. Participants drew from and managed relationships with patients while attending to patients' agency in three ways. First, participants described how contextualised illness constructions enabled them to individualise their approaches to diagnosis and management. Second, participants managed tensions between enacting their typical approaches to clinical problems and adapting their approaches to foster ongoing relationships with patients. Finally, participants attended to relationships with patients' caregivers, seeing these individuals' contributions as important influences on how their clinical reasoning could be enacted within patients' unique social contexts.

CONCLUSION

Clinical reasoning is influenced in important ways by physicians' efforts to both draw from, and maintain, their relationships with patients and patients' caregivers. Such efforts create tensions between their professional standards of care and their orientations toward patient-centredness. These influences of relationships on physicians' clinical reasoning have important implications for training and clinical practice.

Prevalence and characteristics of the 'bad feeling' among healthcare professionals in the context of emergency situations: A Bi-Hospital Survey

INTRODUCTION

Clinical decision-making is based on objective and subjective criteria, including healthcare workers impressions and feelings. This research examines the perception and implications of a 'bad feeling' experienced by healthcare professionals, focusing on its prevalence and characteristics.

METHODS

A cross-sectional paper-based survey was conducted from January to July 2023 at the University Medicine Greifswald and the hospital Sömmerda involving physicians, nurses, medical students and trainees from various specialties. With ethics committee approval, participants were recruited and surveyed at regular clinical events. Data analysis was performed using SPSS® Statistics. The manuscript was written using the Strobe checklist.

RESULTS

Out of 250 questionnaires distributed, 217 were valid for analysis after a 94.9% return rate and subsequent exclusions. Sixty-five per cent of respondents experience the 'bad feeling' occasionally to frequently. There was a significant positive correlation between the frequency of 'bad feeling' and work experience. The predominant cause of this feeling was identified as intuition, reported by 79.8% of participants, with 80% finding it often helpful in their clinical judgement. Notably, in 16.1% of cases, the 'bad feeling' escalated in the further clinical course into an actual emergency. Furthermore, 60% of respondents indicated that this feeling occasionally or often serves as an early indicator of a potential, yet unrecognised, emergency in patient care.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates the relevance of clinical experience to decision-making. As an expression of this, there is a correlation between the frequency of a 'bad feeling' and the number of years of experience. It is recommended that the 'bad feeling' be deliberately acknowledged and reinforced as an early warning signal for emergency situations, given its significant implications for patient safety. Future initiatives could include advanced training and research, as well as tools such as pocket maps, to better equip healthcare professionals in responding to this intuition.

'I was uncertain, but I was acting on it': A longitudinal qualitative study of medical students' responses to uncertainty

PURPOSE

Uncertainty is ubiquitous within medical practice. Accordingly, how individuals respond to uncertainty, termed uncertainty tolerance (UT), is increasingly considered a medical graduate competency. Despite this, aspects of the UT construct are debated, which may relate to research focused on measuring UT, rather than understanding students' experiences. Therefore, we asked (1) how do medical students describe their responses to uncertainty, (2) how (if at all) do described responses change over time and (3) how do described responses contribute to understanding the UT construct.

METHODS

Engaging an interpretivist worldview, we conducted a longitudinal qualitative study throughout 2020 with 41 clinical medical students at an Australian medical school. Participants completed reflective diary entries across six in-semester time-points (n = 41, 40, 39, 38, 37 and 35) and semi-structured interviews at the end of both semesters (n = 20 per semester). We analysed data using framework analysis.

RESULTS

Although participants communicated accepting health care uncertainties, described cognitive appraisals of uncertainty ranged from threatening (e.g. challenging credibility) to opportunistic (e.g. for learning and growth). Emotions in response to uncertainty were predominately described in negative terms, including worry and anxiety. Participants described a range of maladaptive and adaptive behavioural responses, including avoiding versus actively engaging with uncertainty. Despite describing typically negative emotions across time, participants' cognitive and behavioural response descriptions shifted from self-doubt and avoidance, towards acceptance of, and engagement despite uncertainty.

CONCLUSIONS

Students' descriptions of responses to uncertainty suggest existing UT conceptualisations may not holistically reflect medical students' experiences of what it means to be uncertainty 'tolerant', especially pertaining to conceptualisations of 'tolerance' centred on emotions (e.g. stress) rather than how uncertainty is ultimately managed. Extending from this study, the field could consider redefining characteristics of uncertainty 'tolerance' to focus on adaptive cognitive and behavioural responses, rather than emotional responses as key indicators of 'tolerance'.

Twelve tips for developing healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty is pervasive throughout healthcare practice. Uncertainty tolerance (i.e. adaptively responding to perceived uncertainty) is considered to benefit practitioner wellbeing, encourage person-centred care, and support judicious healthcare resource utilisation. Accordingly, uncertainty tolerance development is increasingly referenced within training frameworks. Practical approaches to support healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance development, however, are lacking.

AIMS

Drawing on findings across the literature, and the authors' educational experiences, twelve tips for promoting healthcare learners' uncertainty tolerance were developed.

RESULTS

Tips are divided into 1. Tips for Learners, 2. Tips for Educators and Supervisors, and 3. Tips for Healthcare Education Institutions and Systems. Each tip summarises relevant research findings, alongside applications to educational practice.

CONCLUSIONS

Approaches to developing uncertainty tolerance balance factors supporting learners through uncertain experiences, with introducing challenges for learners to further develop uncertainty tolerance. These tips can reassure healthcare education stakeholders that developing learner uncertainty tolerance, alongside core knowledge, is achievable.

"You may think that the consultants are great, and they know everything, but they don't": exploring how new emergency medicine consultants experience uncertainty

BACKGROUND

Uncertainty is particularly obvious in emergency medicine (EM) due to the characteristics of the patient cohort, time constraints, and busy environment. Periods of transition are thought to add to uncertainty. Managing uncertainty is recognised as a key ability for medical practice, but is often not addressed explicitly. This study explored how new consultants in EM experience uncertainty, with the aim of making explicit what is often hidden and potentially informing support for doctors to manage the uncertainty they face.

METHODS

This was a qualitative study using interpretive phenomenological analysis (IPA). Five consultants working in the UK within one year of achieving a certificate of completion of training were interviewed online during 2021, these were transcribed and analysed using IPA.

RESULTS

Three superordinate themes were identified: 'transition and performance as a source of uncertainty', 'uncertainty and decision-making in the context of the emergency department' and 'sharing uncertainty and asking for help'. The transition created uncertainty related to their professional identity that was compounded by a lack of useful feedback. There was tension between perceived expectations of certainty and the recognition of uncertainty in practice. EM doctors were seen as experts in managing uncertainty, with responses to uncertainty including gathering information, sharing uncertainty and seeking help. Expressing uncertainty was viewed as necessary for good patient care but could be risky to credibility, with psychological safety and role modelling behaviour making it easier for the participants to express uncertainty.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the need for new consultants to have psychologically safe, reflective spaces to think through uncertainties with others. This appears to reduce uncertainty, and also act as a source of feedback. The study adds to the existing calls to address uncertainty more explicitly in training, and challenge the expectations of certainty that exist within medicine.

Fostering Adaptive Expertise Through Simulation

Technology-enhanced simulation has been used to tackle myriad challenges within health professions education. Recently, work has typically adopted a mastery learning orientation that emphasizes trainees' sequential mastery of increasingly complex material. Doing so has privileged a focus on performance and task completion, as captured by trainees' observable behaviors and actions. Designing simulation in these ways has provided important advances to education, clinical care, and patient safety, yet also placed constraints around how simulation-based activities were enacted and learning outcomes were measured. In tracing the contemporary manifestations of simulation in health professions education, this article highlights several unintended consequences of this performance orientation and draws from principles of adaptive expertise to suggest new directions. Instructional approaches grounded in adaptive expertise in other contexts suggest that uncertainty, struggle, invention, and even failure help learners to develop deeper conceptual understanding and learn innovative approaches to novel problems. Adaptive expertise provides a new lens for simulation designers to think intentionally around how idiosyncrasy, individuality, and inventiveness could be enacted as central design principles, providing learners with opportunities to practice and receive feedback around the kinds of complex problems they are likely to encounter in practice. Fostering the growth of adaptive expertise through simulation will require a fundamental reimagining of the design of simulation scenarios, embracing the power of uncertainty and ill-defined problem spaces, and focusing on the structure and pedagogical stance of debriefing. Such an approach may reveal untapped potential within health care simulation.

Identifying validity evidence for uncertainty tolerance scales: A systematic review

PURPOSE

Uncertainty tolerance (UT) is increasingly valued as a medical graduate attribute and broadly measured among medical student populations. However, the validity evidence underpinning UT scale implementation has not been summarised across studies. The present work evaluates UT scale validity evidence to better inform when, why and how UT scales ought to be used and to identify remaining validity evidence gaps.

METHODS

A literature search for psychometric studies of UT scales was completed in 2022. Records were included if they implemented one of the four most cited UT scales (i.e. Physicians' Reactions to Uncertainty scale 1990 [PRU1990] or 1995 [PRU1995], Tolerance for Ambiguity [TFA] scale or Tolerance of Ambiguity in Medical Students and Doctors scale [TAMSAD]) in a population of physicians and/or medial students and presented validity evidence according to the Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing framework. Included studies were rated and analysed according to evidence for test content, response processes, internal structure, relations to other variables and consequences of testing.

RESULTS

Among the investigated scales, 'relations to other variables' and 'internal structure' were the most commonly reported forms of validity evidence. No evidence of 'response processes' or 'consequences of testing' was identified. Overall, the PRU1990 and PRU1995 demonstrated the strongest validity evidence, although evidence primarily related to physician populations.

CONCLUSIONS

None of the studied scales demonstrated evidence for all five sources of validity. Future research would benefit from assessing validity evidence for 'response processes' and 'consequences of testing' among physicians and medical students at different training/career stages to better understand UT construct conceptualisation in these populations. Until further and stronger validity evidence for UT scales is established, we caution against implementing UT scales outside of research settings (e.g. for higher stakes decision making).

Navigating Challenging Conversations: The Interplay Between Inquiry and Knowledge Drives Preparation for Future Learning

Introduction

While some physicians hone their skills through informal learning in clinical practice, others do not. There is a lack of understanding of why some physicians seek improvement and how they use the workplace context to build their capabilities. Because physicians rarely pursue formal professional development activities to improve communication skills, examining physician-patient communication offers a powerful opportunity to illuminate important aspects of preparation for future learning in the workplace.

Methods

This qualitative observational study involved over 100 hours of observation of eight pediatric rehabilitation physicians as they interacted with patients and families at an academic teaching hospital in 2018-2020. Detailed field notes of observations, post-observation interviews, and exit interviews were the data sources. Data collection and analysis using a constructivist grounded theory approach occurred iteratively, and themes were identified through constant comparative analysis.

Results

Through their daily work, experienced physicians employ 'habits of inquiry' by constantly seeking a better understanding of how to navigate challenging conversations in practice through monitoring and attuning to situational and contextual cues, taking risks and navigating uncertainty while exploring new and varied ways of practicing, and seeking why their strategies are successful or not.

Discussion

Engaging in communication challenges drives physician learning through an interplay between habits of inquiry and knowledge: inquiry into how to improve their communication supported by existing conceptual knowledge to generate new strategies. These 'habits of inquiry' prompt continual reinvestment in problem solving to refine existing knowledge and to build new skills for navigating communication challenges in practice.

Exploring factors influencing coping with uncertainties in medical practice: insights from residents' experience

PURPOSE

Despite attempts to teach medical students and trainees about uncertainty in medical practice and how to tolerate it, studies on how to promote tolerance to uncertainty remain scarce. this study aims to investigate factors that could foster residents' tolerance to uncertainty.

METHODS

The authors used data sources, including semi-structured individual in-depth interviews with 20 medical residents working in two tertiary university hospitals. Inductive analysis of interview records determined key themes, identified categories, and performed a theoretical-type analysis of the participants' coping behaviors according to the attributes of uncertainty tolerance.

RESULTS

Two characteristics of residents which could lead to constructive coping with uncertainty were discovered: (1) communicative/collaborative behavior with their colleagues, superiors, and patients and (2) self-reflective/self-directed attitude in their medical practice. Both were used to classify four types of uncertainty coping behaviors: adaptive, self-contained, submissive, and isolated.

CONCLUSION

Fostering communicative/collaborative behaviors and self-reflective/self-directed attitude throughout the training period may result in residents being more tolerant of uncertainties in medical practice.

Conversations on Diagnostic Uncertainty and Its Management Among Pediatric Acute Care Physicians

OBJECTIVE

Diagnosis is a complex, iterative, and nonlinear process, often occurring over time. When presenting signs, symptoms, and diagnostic testing cannot be integrated into a diagnosis, clinicians are confronted with diagnostic uncertainty. Our aim was to study the self-reported cognitive, communication, and management behaviors of pediatric emergency medicine (PEM) and pediatric hospital medicine (PHM) physicians regarding diagnostic uncertainty.

METHODS

A qualitative study was conducted through focus groups with PEM and PHM physicians in a large academic pediatric medical center. Four focus groups were conducted. Interviews were recorded, deidentified, and transcribed by a team member. Thematic analysis was used to review the transcripts, highlight ideas, and organize ideas into themes.

RESULTS

Themes were categorized using the model of the diagnostic process from the National Academy of Sciences. "Red flags" and "gut feelings" were prominent during the information, integration, and interpretation phases. To combat diagnostic uncertainty, physicians employed strategies such as "the diagnostic pause" and having a set of "fresh eyes" to review the data. It was important to all clinicians to rule out any "cannot miss" diagnoses. Interphysician communication was direct; communication with patient and families about uncertainty was less direct because of physician concern of being thought of as untrustworthy. Contingency planning, "disposition over diagnosis" by ensuring patient safety, the "test of time," and availability of resources were techniques used by physicians to manage diagnostic uncertainty.

CONCLUSIONS

Physicians shared common mitigation strategies, which included consulting colleagues and targeting cannot miss diagnoses, but gaps remain regarding communicating diagnostic uncertainty to families.

Navigating the uncertainty of health advocacy teaching and evaluation from the trainee's perspective

BACKGROUND

There may be no competency more shrouded in uncertainty than health advocacy (HA), raising questions about the robustness of advocacy training in postgraduate medical education. By understanding how programs currently train HA, we can identify whether trainees' learning needs are being met.

METHODS

From 2017 to 2019, we reviewed curricular documents across nine direct-entry specialties at all Ontario medical schools, comparing content for the HA and communicator roles to delineate role-specific challenges. We then conducted semi-structured interviews with trainees (n = 9) and faculty (n = 6) to review findings and discuss their impact. Data were analyzed using thematic content analysis.

RESULTS

Curricular documents revealed vague objectives and ill-defined modes of assessment for both intrinsic roles. This uncertainty was perceived as more problematic for HA, in part because HA seemed both undervalued in, and disconnected from, clinical learning. Trainees felt that the onus was on them to figure out how to develop and demonstrate HA competence, causing many to turn their learning attention elsewhere.

DISCUSSION

Lack of curricular focus seems to create the perception that advocacy isn't valuable, deterring trainees-even those keen to become competent advocates-from developing HA skills. Such ambivalence may have troubling downstream effects for both patient care and trainees' professional development.

Confidence-competence alignment and the role of self-confidence in medical education: A conceptual review

CONTEXT

There have been significant advances in competency-based medical education (CBME) within health professions education. While most of the efforts have focused on competency, less attention has been paid to the role of confidence as a factor in preparing for practice. This paper seeks to address this deficit by exploring the role of confidence and the calibration of confidence with regard to competence.

METHODS

This paper presents a conceptual review of confidence and the calibration of confidence in different medical education contexts. Building from an initial literature review, the authors engaged in iterative discussions exploring divergent and convergent perspectives, which were then supplemented with targeted literature reviews. Finally, a stakeholder consultation was conducted to situate and validate the provisional findings.

RESULTS

A series of axioms were developed to guide perceptions and responses to different states of confidence in health professionals: (a) confidence can shape how we act and is optimised when it closely corresponds to reality; (b) self-confidence is task-specific, but also inextricably influenced by the individual self-conceptualisation, the surrounding system and society; (c) confidence is shaped by many external factors and the context of the situation; (d) confidence must be considered in conjunction with competence and (e) the confidence-competence ratio (CCR) changes over time. It is important to track learners' CCRs and work with them to maintain balance.

CONCLUSION

Confidence is expressed in different ways and is shaped by a variety of modifiers. While CBME primarily focuses on competency, proportional confidence is an integral component in ensuring safe and professional practice. As such, it is important to consider both confidence and competence, as well as their relationship in CBME. The CCR can serve as a key construct in developing mindful and capable health professionals. Future research should evaluate strategies for assessing CCR, identify best practices for teaching confidence and guiding self-calibration of CCR and explore the role of CCR in continuing professional development for individuals and teams.

Investigating cognitive factors and diagnostic error in a presentation of complicated multisystem disease

OBJECTIVES

To use a case review approach for investigating the types of cognitive error identifiable following a complicated patient admission with a multisystem disorder in an acute care setting where diagnosis was difficult and delayed.

METHODS

A case notes review was undertaken to explore the cognitive factors associated with diagnostic error in the case of an 18-year-old male presenting acutely unwell with myalgia, anorexia and vomiting. Each clinical interaction was analysed and identified cognitive factors were categorised using a framework developed by Graber et al.

RESULTS

Cognitive factors resulting in diagnostic errors most frequently occurred within the first five days of hospital admission. The most common were premature closure; failure to order or follow up an appropriate test; over-reliance on someone else's findings or opinion; over-estimating or underestimating usefulness or salience of a finding, and; ineffective, incomplete or faulty history and physical examination. Cognitive factors were particularly frequent around transitions of care and patient transfers from one clinical area to another. The presence of senior staff did not necessarily mitigate against diagnostic error from cognitive factors demonstrated by junior staff or diagnostic errors made out-of-hours.

CONCLUSIONS

Cognitive factors are a significant cause of diagnostic error within the first five days after admission, especially around transitions of care between different clinical settings and providers. Medical education interventions need to ensure clinical reasoning training supports individuals and teams to develop effective strategies for mitigating cognitive factors when faced with uncertainty over complex patients presenting with non-specific symptoms in order to reduce diagnostic error.

Trainee Uncertainty around Intervening When Patients Decompensate

Background

Trainees in acute care specialties often grapple with the decision to perform an invasive procedure in a rapidly decompensating patient, for whom the benefits and risks are inherently uncertain. The difference between trainees who know when to act and when to seek supervision and those who do not is often linked to individual trainee psychological and cultural perceptions of uncertainty. But how much comfort with uncertainty relates to the situational context rather than the trainee traits is underexplored.

Objective

The objective of this study was to explore trainee actions around decompensating patients and assess the degree to which invasive intervention and supervision seeking depend on situational certainty or individual trait-based perceptions of uncertainty.

Methods

A total of 41 internal medicine residents completed a survey to measure anxiety related to uncertainty using the Physicians’ Reactions to Uncertainty (PRU) tool and to measure uncertainty avoidance using the Values Survey Module (VSM) before responding to 14 written emergency situations. Half of the scenarios contain sufficient diagnostic certainty to warrant aggressive intervention, and half lack sufficient diagnostic clarity to offset the risk of intervention. Mixed multivariable modeling was used to identify the relationship between planned invasive intervention, situational uncertainty, and trait-based perceptions of uncertainty measured in the PRU and VSM.

Results

Trainees’ first actions were appropriate in 60% of cases. Multivariable modeling suggested that situational certainty was more predictive of upfront intervention (odds ratio [OR], 30.5; P < 0.0001) than trait-based PRU (OR, 1.22; P = 0.05) and VSM (OR, 1.73; P < 0.0001). Similarly, situational certainty was more predictive of reduced supervision seeking (OR, 0.20; P < 0.0001) than trait-based PRU (OR, 2.03; P < 0.001) and VSM (P = not significant).

Conclusions

Situation-specific certainty was more strongly correlated with invasive intervention in cases of decompensated patients than individual trainee traits. Focusing on trainee contextual understanding of procedural risk–benefit ratios in decompensating patients holds more promise for improving trainee actions and supervision seeking than tackling their perceptions around uncertainty.

Supported Independence: The Role of Supervision to Help Trainees Manage Uncertainty

PURPOSE

Safe and effective supervised practice requires a negotiated partnership between trainees and their supervisors. Substantial work has explored how supervisors make judgments about trainees' readiness to safely engage in critical professional activities, yet less is known about how trainees leverage the support of supervisors when they perceive themselves to be at the limits of their abilities. The purpose of this study is to explore how trainees use supervisory support to navigate experiences of clinical uncertainty.

METHOD

Using a constructivist grounded theory approach, the authors explored how novice emergency medicine trainees conceptualized the role of their supervisors during experiences of clinical uncertainty. They employed a critical incident technique to elicit stories from participants immediately following clinical shifts between July and September 2020, and asked participants to describe their experiences of uncertainty within the context of supervised practice. Using constant comparison, 2 investigators coded line-by-line and organized these stories into focused codes. The relationships between these codes were discussed by the research team, and this enabled them to theorize about the relationships between the emergent themes.

RESULTS

Participants reported a strong desire for supported independence, where predictable and accessible supervisory structures enabled them to work semiautonomously through challenging clinical situations. They described a process of borrowing their supervisors' comfort during moments of uncertainty and mechanisms to strategically broadcast their evolving understanding of a situation to implicitly invoke (the right level of) support from their supervisors. They also highlighted challenges they faced when they felt insufficiently supported.

CONCLUSIONS

By borrowing comfort from-or deliberately projecting their thinking to-supervisors, trainees aimed to strike the appropriate balance between independence for the purposes of learning and support to ensure safety. Understanding these strategic efforts could help educators to better support trainees in their growth toward self-regulation.

Tolerance for Uncertainty and Professional Development: a Normative Analysis

Scholars from a range of disciplines including medicine, sociology, psychology, and philosophy have addressed the concepts of ambiguity and uncertainty in medical practice and training. Most of this scholarship has been descriptive, focusing on defining and measuring ambiguity and uncertainty tolerance or tracking clinicians' responses to ambiguous and uncertain situations. Meanwhile, scholars have neglected some fundamental normative questions: Is tolerance of uncertainty good; if so, to what extent? Using a philosophical approach to these questions, we show that neither tolerance nor intolerance of uncertainty is necessarily a good or bad trait. Rather, both tolerance and intolerance of uncertainty can give physicians advantages while at the same time exposing them to pitfalls in clinical practice. After making this case, we argue that cultivating certain virtues-like courage, diligence, and curiosity-could help clinicians avoid the dangers of excessive tolerance and intolerance of uncertainty. Finally, we suggest that medical educators develop curricula and career counseling beginning with matriculation and proceeding through specialty choice and residency training that explicitly address trainees' responses to clinical uncertainty. These programs should encourage trainees, students and residents, to be mindful of their reactions to uncertainty and help them develop virtues that will allow them to avoid the hazards of extreme tolerance or intolerance of uncertainty.

Skeptical self-regulation: Resident experiences of uncertainty about uncertainty

OBJECTIVES

Managing uncertainty is central to expert practice, yet how novice trainees navigate these moments is likely different than what has been described by experienced clinicians. Exploring trainees' experiences with uncertainty could therefore help explicate the unique cues that they attend to, how they appraise their comfort in these moments and how they enact responses within the affordances of their training environment.

METHODS

Informed by constructivist grounded theory, we explored how novice emergency medicine trainees experienced and managed clinical uncertainty in practice. We used a critical incident technique to prompt participants to reflect on experiences with uncertainty immediately following a clinical shift, exploring the cues they attended to and the approaches they used to navigate these moments. Two investigators coded line-by-line using constant comparison, organising the data into focused codes. The research team discussed the relationships between these codes and developed a set of themes that supported our efforts to theorise about the phenomenon.

RESULTS

We enrolled 13 trainees in their first two years of postgraduate training across two institutions. They expressed uncertainty about the root causes of the patient problems they were facing and the potential management steps to take, but also expressed a pervasive sense of uncertainty about their own abilities and their appraisals of the situation. This, in turn, led to challenges with selecting, interpreting and using the cues in their environment effectively. Participants invoked several approaches to combat this sense of uncertainty about themselves, rehearsing steps before a clinical encounter, checking their interpretations with others and implicitly calibrating their appraisals to those of more experienced team members.

CONCLUSIONS

Trainees' struggles with the legitimacy of their interpretations impact their experiences with uncertainty. Recognising these ongoing struggles may enable supervisors and other team members to provide more effective scaffolding, validation and calibration of clinical judgments and patient management.

How Physicians Manage Medical Uncertainty: A Qualitative Study and Conceptual Taxonomy

BACKGROUND

Medical uncertainty is a pervasive and important problem, but the strategies physicians use to manage it have not been systematically described.

OBJECTIVES

To explore the uncertainty management strategies employed by physicians practicing in acute-care hospital settings and to organize these strategies within a conceptual taxonomy that can guide further efforts to understand and improve physicians' tolerance of medical uncertainty.

DESIGN

Qualitative study using individual in-depth interviews.

PARTICIPANTS

Convenience sample of 22 physicians and trainees (11 attending physicians, 7 residents [postgraduate years 1-3), 4 fourth-year medical students), working within 3 medical specialties (emergency medicine, internal medicine, internal medicine-pediatrics), at a single large US teaching hospital.

MEASUREMENTS

Semistructured interviews explored participants' strategies for managing medical uncertainty and temporal changes in their uncertainty tolerance. Inductive qualitative analysis of audio-recorded interview transcripts was conducted to identify and categorize key themes and to develop a coherent conceptual taxonomy of uncertainty management strategies.

RESULTS

Participants identified various uncertainty management strategies that differed in their primary focus: 1) ignorance-focused, 2) uncertainty-focused, 3) response-focused, and 4) relationship-focused. Ignorance- and uncertainty-focused strategies were primarily curative (aimed at reducing uncertainty), while response- and relationship-focused strategies were primarily palliative (aimed at ameliorating aversive effects of uncertainty). Several participants described a temporal evolution in their tolerance of uncertainty, which coincided with the development of greater epistemic maturity, humility, flexibility, and openness.

CONCLUSIONS

Physicians and physician-trainees employ a variety of uncertainty management strategies focused on different goals, and their tolerance of uncertainty evolves with the development of several key capacities. More work is needed to understand and improve the management of medical uncertainty by physicians, and a conceptual taxonomy can provide a useful organizing framework for this work.

Warning bells: How clinicians leverage their discomfort to manage moments of uncertainty

OBJECTIVES

It remains unclear how medical educators can more effectively bridge the gap between trainees' intolerance of uncertainty and the tolerance that experienced physicians demonstrate in practice. Exploring how experienced clinicians experience, appraise and respond to discomfort arising from uncertainty could provide new insights regarding the kinds of behaviours we are trying to help trainees achieve.

METHODS

We used a constructivist grounded theory approach to explore how emergency medicine faculty experienced, managed and responded to discomfort in settings of uncertainty. Using a critical incident technique, we asked participants to describe case-based experiences of uncertainty immediately following a clinical shift. We used probing questions to explore cognitive, emotional and somatic manifestations of discomfort, how participants had appraised and responded to these cues, and how they had used available resources to act in these moments of uncertainty. Two investigators coded the data line by line using constant comparative analysis and organised transcripts into focused codes. The entire research team discussed relationships between codes and categories, and developed a conceptual framework that reflected the possible relationships between themes.

RESULTS

Participants identified varying levels of discomfort in their case descriptions. They described multiple cues alerting them to problems that were evolving in unexpected ways or problems with aspects of management that were beyond their abilities. Discomfort served as a trigger for participants to monitor a situation with greater attention and to proceed more intentionally. It also served as a prompt for participants to think deliberately about the types of human and material resources they might call upon strategically to manage these uncertain situations.

CONCLUSIONS

Discomfort served as a dynamic means to manage and respond to uncertainty. To be 'tolerant' of uncertainty thus requires clinicians to embrace discomfort as a powerful tool with which to grapple with the complex problems pervasive in clinical practice.

The Hiker's Guide to the RIME Supplement: Choosing Directions in Research

In this Commentary, the authors seek to build on prior RIME commentaries by considering how researchers transition from worldviews, focal lengths, and research goals to research directions and methodological choices. The authors use the analogy of a hiker to illustrate how different researchers studying a similar phenomenon can choose among different research directions, which lead down different paths and offer different perspectives on a problem. Following the hiker analogy, the authors use the "Research Compass" to categorize the 15 research papers included in the 2020 Research in Medical Education supplement according to their research aim and corresponding methodological approach. The authors then discuss implications of the relative balance of these study types within this supplement and within health professions education research at large, emphasizing the critical importance of studying a topic from multiple vantage points to construct a richer and more nuanced understanding of health professions education challenges. The authors conclude by recognizing the challenges we face in the current era of COVID-19 and by calling health professions education researchers and practitioners to continue our collective efforts to improve learner education and patient care, as we together navigate the unfamiliar terrain of the present day.