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Jovanka TU, Wilson NNA, Winnie BN, Paule NM, Paul T, Isabelle DB, Magloire BS. Predictive values of an immunological fecal occult blood test for the diagnosis of colorectal cancer compared using colonoscopy in symptomatic patients in Yaounde (Cameroon). BMC Gastroenterol 2024; 24:198. [PMID: 38877426 PMCID: PMC11179338 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-024-03292-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2023] [Accepted: 06/11/2024] [Indexed: 06/16/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The predictive value of immunological fecal occult blood (iFOB) testing for the screening of colorectal cancer has been well described in the Western world. However, its relevance in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is not well evaluated. It could be altered by the other causes of lower gastrointestinal bleeding such as parasitic infections. The aim of this study was to highlight the performance of an iFOB test for the prediction of colorectal cancer (CRC) during colonoscopy in SSA. METHODOLOGY We conducted an analytical cross-sectional study in two digestive endoscopic centers of Yaoundé (Cameroon) from the 1st July to the 31 November 2022. Patients presenting with an indication for colonoscopy without any overt gastrointestinal bleeding were included. Sociodemographic and clinical data were collected. All consenting patients underwent a qualitative immunologic occult test through the iFOB test before colonoscopy. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 23.0 software. The performance of the iFOB test for the diagnosis of CRC during colonoscopy was evaluated in terms of sensitivity (Se), specificity (Sp), positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV). RESULTS We included 103 patients during the study period with a male predominance and a sex ratio of 1.7. The median age [IQR] was 52 [38-65] years (range 1 - 84 years). The most common colonoscopic lesions were polyps in 23 patients (22.3%), CRC in 17 patients (16.5%) and hemorrhoids in 15 patients (14.6%). Patients testing positive for iFOB test accounted for 43.7% (45 patients). Among these patients, 31.1% (14 patients) had a CRC. The Se of the occult blood test for CRC detection was calculated to be 82.3% (95%CI: 56.7-96.2); the Sp was 63.9% (95% CI: 53-74); the PPV was 31.1% (95% CI: 24-39) and the NPV was 94.8% (95% CI: 86.6-98.1). CONCLUSION The iFOB test has a good NPV, but a poor PPV for the diagnosis of CRC in our study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tchuitcheu Ulrich Jovanka
- Department of Internal Medicine, Higher Institute of Medical Technology, University of Douala, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - Ndjitoyap Ndam Antonin Wilson
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, University of Yaoundé 1, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
- Hepatogastroenterology Unit, Internal Medicine Service, Yaoundé General Hospital, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
| | - Bekolo Nga Winnie
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Douala, Douala, Cameroon
| | - Ngogang Marie Paule
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Biomedical Sciences, University of Yaoundé 1, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - Talla Paul
- Hepatogastroenterology Unit, Internal Medicine Service, Yaoundé General Hospital, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - Dang Babagna Isabelle
- Hepatogastroenterology Unit, Internal Medicine Service, Yaoundé General Hospital, Yaoundé, Cameroon
| | - Biwole Sida Magloire
- Department of Internal Medicine, Higher Institute of Medical Technology, University of Douala, Yaoundé, Cameroon
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Zhu M, Zhong X, Liao T, Peng X, Lei L, Peng J, Cao Y. Efficient organized colorectal cancer screening in Shenzhen: a microsimulation modelling study. BMC Public Health 2024; 24:655. [PMID: 38429684 PMCID: PMC10905924 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18201-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2023] [Accepted: 02/23/2024] [Indexed: 03/03/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a global health issue with noticeably high incidence and mortality. Microsimulation models offer a time-efficient method to dynamically analyze multiple screening strategies. The study aimed to identify the efficient organized CRC screening strategies for Shenzhen City. METHODS A microsimulation model named CMOST was employed to simulate CRC screening among 1 million people without migration in Shenzhen, with two CRC developing pathways and real-world participation rates. Initial screening included the National Colorectal Polyp Care score (NCPCS), fecal immunochemical test (FIT), and risk-stratification model (RS model), followed by diagnostic colonoscopy for positive results. Several start-ages (40, 45, 50 years), stop-ages (70, 75, 80 years), and screening intervals (annual, biennial, triennial) were assessed for each strategy. The efficiency of CRC screening was assessed by number of colonoscopies versus life-years gained (LYG). RESULTS The screening strategies reduced CRC lifetime incidence by 14-27 cases (30.9-59.0%) and mortality by 7-12 deaths (41.5-71.3%), yielded 83-155 LYG, while requiring 920 to 5901 colonoscopies per 1000 individuals. Out of 81 screening, 23 strategies were estimated efficient. Most of the efficient screening strategies started at age 40 (17 out of 23 strategies) and stopped at age 70 (13 out of 23 strategies). Predominant screening intervals identified were annual for NCPCS, biennial for FIT, and triennial for RS models. The incremental colonoscopies to LYG ratios of efficient screening increased with shorter intervals within the same test category. Compared with no screening, when screening at the same start-to-stop age and interval, the additional colonoscopies per LYG increased progressively for FIT, NCPCS and RS model. CONCLUSION This study identifies efficient CRC screening strategies for the average-risk population in Shenzhen. Most efficient screening strategies indeed start at age 40, but the optimal starting age depends on the chosen willingness-to-pay threshold. Within insufficient colonoscopy resources, efficient FIT and NCPCS screening strategies might be CRC initial screening strategies. We acknowledged the age-dependency bias of the results with NCPCS and RS.
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Affiliation(s)
- Minmin Zhu
- Shenzhen Nanshan Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen City, 518054, Guangdong, China.
| | - Xuan Zhong
- Shenzhen Nanshan Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen City, 518054, Guangdong, China
| | - Tong Liao
- Harbin Institute of Technology Shenzhen, Shenzhen City, Guangdong, China
| | - Xiaolin Peng
- Shenzhen Nanshan Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen City, 518054, Guangdong, China
| | - Lin Lei
- Shenzhen Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen City, Guangdong, China
| | - Ji Peng
- Shenzhen Center for Chronic Disease Control, Shenzhen City, Guangdong, China
| | - Yong Cao
- Harbin Institute of Technology Shenzhen, Shenzhen City, Guangdong, China
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Chen H, Shi J, Lu M, Li Y, Du L, Liao X, Wei D, Dong D, Gao Y, Zhu C, Ying R, Zheng W, Yan S, Xiao H, Zhang J, Kong Y, Li F, Zou S, Liu C, Wang H, Zhang Y, Lu B, Luo C, Cai J, Tian J, Miao X, Ding K, Brenner H, Dai M. Comparison of Colonoscopy, Fecal Immunochemical Test, and Risk-Adapted Approach in a Colorectal Cancer Screening Trial (TARGET-C). Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2023; 21:808-818. [PMID: 35964896 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2022.08.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2022] [Revised: 07/30/2022] [Accepted: 08/02/2022] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS The screening yield and related cost of a risk-adapted screening approach compared with established screening strategies in population-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening are not clear. METHODS We randomly allocated 19,373 participants into 1 of the 3 screening arms in a 1:2:2 ratio: (1) one-time colonoscopy (n = 3883); (2) annual fecal immunochemical test (FIT) (n = 7793); (3) annual risk-adapted screening (n = 7697), in which, based on the risk-stratification score, high-risk participants were referred for colonoscopy and low-risk ones were referred for FIT. Three consecutive screening rounds were conducted for both the FIT and the risk-adapted screening arms. Follow-up to trace the health outcome for all the participants was conducted over the 3-year study period. The detection rate of advanced colorectal neoplasia (CRC and advanced precancerous lesions) was the main outcome. The trial was registered in the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (number: ChiCTR1800015506). RESULTS In the colonoscopy, FIT, and risk-adapted screening arms over 3 screening rounds, the participation rates were 42.4%, 99.3%, and 89.2%, respectively; the detection rates for advanced neoplasm (intention-to-treat analysis) were 2.76%, 2.17%, and 2.35%, respectively, with an odds ratio (OR)colonoscopy vs FIT of 1.27 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.99-1.63; P = .056), an ORcolonoscopy vsrisk-adapted screening of 1.17 (95% CI, 0.91-1.49; P = .218), and an ORrisk-adapted screeningvs FIT of 1.09 (95% CI, 0.88-1.35; P = .438); the numbers of colonoscopies needed to detect 1 advanced neoplasm were 15.4, 7.8, and 10.2, respectively; the costs for detecting 1 advanced neoplasm from a government perspective using package payment format were 6928 Chinese Yuan (CNY) ($1004), 5821 CNY ($844), and 6694 CNY ($970), respectively. CONCLUSIONS The risk-adapted approach is a feasible and cost-favorable strategy for population-based CRC screening and therefore could complement the well-established one-time colonoscopy and annual repeated FIT screening strategies. (Chinese Clinical Trial Registry; ChiCTR1800015506).
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Affiliation(s)
- Hongda Chen
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jufang Shi
- Office of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Ming Lu
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yanjie Li
- Office of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Lingbin Du
- Department of Cancer Prevention, Institute of Cancer and Basic Medicine, Chinese Academy of Sciences/Cancer Hospital of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences/Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Xianzhen Liao
- Department of Cancer Prevention, Hunan Cancer Hospital, Changsha, China
| | - Donghua Wei
- Department of Cancer Prevention, Anhui Provincial Cancer Hospital, Hefei, China
| | - Dong Dong
- Office of Cancer Prevention and Treatment, Xuzhou Cancer Hospital, Xuzhou, China
| | - Yi Gao
- Department of Colorectum Surgery, Tumor Hospital of Yunnan Province/Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, China
| | - Chen Zhu
- Department of Cancer Prevention, Institute of Cancer and Basic Medicine, Chinese Academy of Sciences/Cancer Hospital of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences/Zhejiang Cancer Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Rongbiao Ying
- Department of Surgical Oncology, Taizhou Cancer Hospital, Taizhou, China
| | - Weifang Zheng
- Department of Colorectal Surgery and Oncology, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Intervention, Ministry of Education, The Second Department of Proctology, Lanxi Red Cross Hospital, Jinhua, China
| | - Shipeng Yan
- Department of Cancer Prevention, Hunan Cancer Hospital, Changsha, China
| | - Haifan Xiao
- Department of Cancer Prevention, Hunan Cancer Hospital, Changsha, China
| | - Juan Zhang
- Department of Cancer Prevention, Anhui Provincial Cancer Hospital, Hefei, China
| | - Yunxin Kong
- Office of Cancer Prevention and Treatment, Xuzhou Cancer Hospital, Xuzhou, China
| | - Furong Li
- Department of Colorectum Surgery, Tumor Hospital of Yunnan Province/Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University, Kunming, China
| | - Shuangmei Zou
- Department of Pathology, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Chengcheng Liu
- Department of Colorectal Surgery and Oncology, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Intervention, Ministry of Education, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China
| | - Hong Wang
- Department of Cancer Epidemiology, Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University/Henan Cancer Hospital, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Yuhan Zhang
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Bin Lu
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Chenyu Luo
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jie Cai
- Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jianbo Tian
- School of Public Health, Taikang Center for Life and Medical Sciences, Wuhan University; Research Center of Public Health, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Xiaoping Miao
- School of Public Health, Taikang Center for Life and Medical Sciences, Wuhan University; Research Center of Public Health, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China
| | - Kefeng Ding
- Department of Colorectal Surgery and Oncology, Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Intervention, Ministry of Education, The Second Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China; Cancer Center, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Hermann Brenner
- Division of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany; Division of Preventive Oncology, German Cancer Research Center and National Center for Tumor Diseases, Heidelberg, Germany; German Cancer Consortium, German Cancer Research Center, Heidelberg, Germany
| | - Min Dai
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China.
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Gong Y, Zheng Y, Wu R, Liu M, Li H, Zeng Q. Detection rates of adenomas, advanced adenomas, and colorectal cancers among the opportunistic colonoscopy screening population: a single-center, retrospective study. Chin Med J (Engl) 2023; 136:159-166. [PMID: 36692899 PMCID: PMC10106243 DOI: 10.1097/cm9.0000000000002435] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2022] [Indexed: 01/25/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Colorectal cancer (CRC) screening is effective in reducing CRC incidence and mortality. The aim of this study was to retrospectively determine and compare the detection rate of adenomas, advanced adenomas (AAs) and CRCs, and the number needed to screen (NNS) of individuals in an average-risk Chinese population of different ages and genders. METHODS This was a retrospective study performed at the Institute of Health Management, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital. Colonoscopy results were analyzed for 53,152 individuals finally enrolled from January 2013 to December 2019. The detection rate of adenomas, AAs, or CRCs was computed and the characteristics between men and women were compared using chi-squared test. RESULTS The average age was 48.8 years (standard deviation [SD], 8.5 years) for men and 50.0 years (SD, 9.0 years) for women, and the gender rate was 66.27% (35,226) vs . 33.73% (17,926). The detection rates of adenomas, AAs, serrated adenomas, and CRCs were 14.58% (7750), 3.09% (1641), 1.23% (653), and 0.59% (313), respectively. Men were statistically significantly associated with higher detection rates than women in adenomas (17.20% [6058/35,226], 95% confidence interval [CI] 16.74-17.53% vs . 9.44% [1692/17,926], 95% CI 8.94-9.79%, P < 0.001), AAs (3.72% [1309], 95% CI 3.47-3.87% vs . 1.85% [332], 95% CI 1.61-2.00%, P < 0.001), and serrated adenomas (1.56% [548], 95% CI 1.43-1.69% vs . 0.59% [105], 95% CI 0.47-0.70%, P < 0.001). The detection rate of AAs in individuals aged 45 to 49 years was 3.17% (270/8510, 95% CI 2.80-3.55%) in men and 1.69% (69/4091, 95% CI 1.12-1.86%) in women, and their NNS was 31.55 (95% CI 28.17-35.71) in men and 67.11 (95% CI 53.76-89.29) in women. The NNS for AAs in men aged 45 to 49 years was close to that in women aged 65 to 69 years (29.07 [95% CI 21.05-46.73]). CONCLUSIONS The detection rates of adenomas, AAs, and serrated adenomas are high in the asymptomatic population undergoing a physical examination and are associated with gender and age. Our findings will provide important references for effective population-based CRC screening strategies in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yan Gong
- Department of Health Medicine, The Second Medical Center and National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disease, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Yansong Zheng
- Health Examination Center, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Rilige Wu
- Medical Big Data Research Center, Medical Innovation Research Division of Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Miao Liu
- Graduate School of Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Hong Li
- Department of Health Medicine, The Second Medical Center and National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disease, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Qiang Zeng
- Health Management Institute, The Second Medical Center and National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disease, Chinese People's Liberation Army General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
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Lu M, Zhang Y, Cai J, Lu B, Luo C, Chen H, Dai M. Head-to-head comparison of a risk-adapted screening strategy using various risk prediction models in detecting colorectal neoplasm. J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2022; 37:1244-1252. [PMID: 35263809 DOI: 10.1111/jgh.15825] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/12/2021] [Revised: 01/26/2022] [Accepted: 03/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIM The risk-adapted screening strategy showed satisfying colorectal cancer (CRC) screening yield and efficiency. We therefore further explored the diagnostic performance variation of this strategy using different risk prediction models. METHODS A literature search was conducted to identify studies evaluating risk models for advanced colorectal neoplasm (ACN). The included models were retrospectively validated in a subset sample (N = 3219) from a population-based CRC screening trial in China. Diagnosis-related indictors were compared between the risk-adapted screening strategy using different models and the fecal immunochemical test (FIT)-only strategy. For simulated populations with ACN prevalence of 3% to 12%, the trade-off of additional false positives for each additional true positive were calculated. RESULTS We included 14 eligible risk models with the area under the curves ranging 0.570 to 0.652 in the validation set. The overall sensitivities of the risk-adapted screening strategy using different risk models for ACN varied from 46.0% to 69.8%, higher than FIT (21.9%), but at the expense of specificities (51.6% to 78.3% vs 97.1%). For population having ACN prevalence of 3%, risk-adapted screening strategies needed 20.5 to 31.1 additional false positives for each additional true positive compared with FIT, and respective number would substantially reduce (4.7 to 7.1) as the ACN prevalence increased to 12%. CONCLUSIONS Risk-adapted screening strategy using the current risk models showed improved sensitivity for ACN compared with FIT, at the cost of increased colonoscopy workload. The optimal strategy for screening practice should be tailored considering the disease burden and availability of healthcare resources.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ming Lu
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yuhan Zhang
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jie Cai
- Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Bin Lu
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Chenyu Luo
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Hongda Chen
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Min Dai
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
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Wang L, Chen H, Zhu Y, Lu M, Wang Y, Chen X, Ma W, Du L, Chen W. One-sample quantitative and two-sample qualitative faecal immunochemical tests for colorectal cancer screening: a cross-sectional study in China. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e059754. [PMID: 35589365 PMCID: PMC9121484 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-059754] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Quantitative faecal immunochemical tests (FITs) are widely used for colorectal cancer (CRC) screening in the Western countries, whereas qualitative FITs are preferred in China. The present study aimed to compare the screening yield between one-sample quantitative FIT and two-sample qualitative FIT for CRC screening. DESIGN A cross-sectional study. SETTING A population-based CRC screening programme was conducted in 28 communities in Haining City, Zhejiang Province, China. PARTICIPANTS Consecutive participants aged 40-74 years were invited to undergo the CRC screening programme. Two-sample qualitative FITs were offered between January 2019 and December 2019, and one-sample quantitative FIT was offered between August 2019 and February 2020. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES Primary outcomes were detection rates of advanced neoplasms, including CRCs and advanced adenomas. Secondary outcomes were positivity rates and colonoscopy resource demand for the two FITs. The positivity thresholds were 20 µg and 1-5 µg haemoglobin per gram of faeces for the quantitative and qualitative FITs, respectively. RESULTS A total of 19 131 and 28 804 invitees were assigned to the two-sample qualitative and one-sample quantitative groups, respectively. Positivity rates were 14.2% for the two-sample qualitative FIT and 5.4% for the one-sample quantitative FIT. Detection rates of advanced colorectal neoplasms at colonoscopy using one-sample quantitative FIT and two-sample qualitative FIT were 17.6% (95% CI: 14.6% to 20.6%) and 10.5% (95% CI: 8.7% to 12.4%), respectively. Both detection rates of cancer and advanced adenoma were higher in the one-sample quantitative FIT group than those in the two-sample qualitative FIT group. Moreover, one-sample quantitative FIT significantly reduced the colonoscopy load for detection of one advanced neoplasm case (5, 95% CI: 5 to 7) than the two-sample qualitative FIT (10, 95% CI: 8 to 11). CONCLUSIONS The one-sample quantitative FIT for CRC screening increases the detection rate of advanced neoplasia and reduces the colonoscopy workload compared with the two-sample qualitative FIT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Le Wang
- Department of Cancer Prevention, The Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Institute of Basic Medicine and Cancer (IBMC), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Hongda Chen
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yunfeng Zhu
- Haining Cancer Prevention and Treatment Research Institute, Haining Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Haining, Zhejiang, China
| | - Ming Lu
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Youqing Wang
- Department of Cancer Prevention, The Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Institute of Basic Medicine and Cancer (IBMC), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Xinmin Chen
- Haining Cancer Prevention and Treatment Research Institute, Haining Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Haining, Zhejiang, China
| | - Weihua Ma
- Haining Cancer Prevention and Treatment Research Institute, Haining Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Haining, Zhejiang, China
| | - Lingbin Du
- Department of Cancer Prevention, The Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Institute of Basic Medicine and Cancer (IBMC), Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Wanqing Chen
- Office of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
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Lu B, Wang L, Lu M, Zhang Y, Cai J, Luo C, Chen H, Dai M. Microsimulation Model for Prevention and Intervention of Coloretal Cancer in China (MIMIC-CRC): Development, Calibration, Validation, and Application. Front Oncol 2022; 12:883401. [PMID: 35530306 PMCID: PMC9072786 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.883401] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/25/2022] [Accepted: 03/24/2022] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction A microsimulation model provides important references for decision-making regarding colorectal cancer (CRC) prevention strategies, yet such a well-validated model is scarce in China. Methods We comprehensively introduce the development of MIcrosimulation Model for the prevention and Intervention of Colorectal Cancer in China (MIMIC-CRC). The MIMIC-CRC was first constructed to simulate the natural history of CRC based on the adenoma-carcinoma pathway. The parameters were calibrated and validated using data from population-based cancer registry data and CRC screening programs. Furthermore, to assess the model’s external validity, we compared the model-derived results to outcome patterns of a sigmoidoscopy screening trial in the UK [UK Flexible Sigmoidoscopy Screening (UKFSS) trial]. Finally, we evaluated the application potential of the MIMIC-CRC model in CRC screening by comparing the 8 different strategies. Results We found that most of the model-predicted colorectal lesion prevalence was within the 95% CIs of observed prevalence in a large population-based CRC screening program in China. In addition, model-predicted sex- and age-specific CRC incidence and mortality were equivalent to the registry-based data. The hazard ratios of model-estimated CRC-related incidence and mortality for sigmoidoscopy screening compared to no screening were 0.60 and 0.51, respectively, which were comparable to the reported results of the UKFSS trial. Moreover, we found that all 8 strategies could reduce CRC incidence and mortality compared to no screening. Conclusions The well-calibrated and validated MIMIC-CRC model may represent a valid tool to assess the comparative effectiveness of CRC screening strategies and will be useful for further decision-making to CRC prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bin Lu
- Office of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Le Wang
- Department of Cancer Prevention, Cancer Hospital of the University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Zhejiang Cancer Hospital), Institute of Cancer and Basic Medicine, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Hangzhou, China
| | - Ming Lu
- Office of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Yuhan Zhang
- Office of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Jie Cai
- Department of General Surgery, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Chenyu Luo
- Office of Cancer Screening, National Cancer Center/National Clinical Research Center for Cancer/Cancer Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
| | - Hongda Chen
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
- *Correspondence: Min Dai, ; Hongda Chen,
| | - Min Dai
- Medical Research Center, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China
- *Correspondence: Min Dai, ; Hongda Chen,
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