Long-term blood pressure variability, incidence of hypertension and changes in renal function in type 2 diabetes

Significance of blood pressure variability in normotensive individuals as a risk factor of developing hypertension

PURPOSE

Visit-to-visit blood pressure variability is a strong predictor of the incidence of cardiovascular events and target organ damage due to hypertension. The present study investigated whether year-to-year blood pressure variability predicts the risk of hypertension in the Japanese general population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study analysed 2806 normotensive individuals who participated in our physical check-up program for five years in a row from 2008 to 2013. The average, standard deviation, coefficient of variation, average real variability, and highest value of systolic blood pressure in the five consecutive visits were determined and used as baseline data. The participants were followed up for the next 6 years with the development of 'high blood pressure', an average blood pressure level of ≥140/90 mmHg or the use of antihypertensive medications, as the endpoint.

RESULT

During follow-up, 'high blood pressure' developed in 389 participants (13.9%, 29.5 per 1 000 person-years). The incidence increased across the quartiles of standard deviation and average real variability, while the average and highest systolic blood pressure had the most prominent impact on the development of 'high blood pressure'. Multivariate logistic regression analysis adjusted for possible risk factors indicated that the average, standard deviation, average real variability, and highest blood pressure, but not the coefficient of variation of systolic blood pressure, were significant predictors of 'high blood pressure'.

CONCLUSION

Increased year-to-year blood pressure variability predicts the risk of hypertension in the general normotensive population. The highest blood pressure in the preceding years may also be a strong predictor of the risk of hypertension.

Delta Shock Index and higher incidence of emergency surgery in older adults with blunt trauma

PURPOSE

Vital signs are important for predicting clinical outcomes in patients with trauma. However, their accuracy can be affected in older adults because hemodynamic changes are less obvious. This study aimed to examine the usefulness of changes in vital signs during transportation in predicting the need for hemostatic treatments in older patients with trauma.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from the Japan Trauma Data Bank (2004-2019). Patients aged ≥ 65 years who were hemodynamically stable at the scene were included in this study. The incidence of emergency surgery within 12 h after hospital arrival was compared between patients with delta Shock Index (dSI) > 0.1 and those with dSI ≤ 0.1. Predicting ability was examined after adjusting for patient demographics, comorbidities, vital signs at the scene and on hospital arrival, Injury Severity Score, and abbreviated injury scale in each region.

RESULTS

Among the 139,242 patients eligible for the study, 3,701 underwent urgent hemostatic surgery within 12 h. Patients with dSI > 0.1 showed a significantly higher incidence of emergency surgery than those with dSI ≤ 0.1 (871/16,549 [5.3%] vs. 2,830/84,250 [3.4%]; odds ratio (OR), 1.60 [1.48-1.73]; adjusted OR, 1.22 [1.08-1.38]; p = 0.001). The relationship between high dSI and a higher incidence of intervention was observed in patients with hypertension and those with decreased consciousness on arrival.

CONCLUSION

High dSI > 0.1 was significantly associated with a higher incidence of urgent hemostatic surgery in older patients.

Non-Haemodynamic Mechanisms Underlying Hypertension-Associated Damage in Target Kidney Components

Arterial hypertension (AH) is a global challenge that greatly impacts cardiovascular morbidity and mortality worldwide. AH is a major risk factor for the development and progression of kidney disease. Several antihypertensive treatment options are already available to counteract the progression of kidney disease. Despite the implementation of the clinical use of renin-angiotensin aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitors, gliflozins, endothelin receptor antagonists, and their combination, the kidney damage associated with AH is far from being resolved. Fortunately, recent studies on the molecular mechanisms of AH-induced kidney damage have identified novel potential therapeutic targets. Several pathophysiologic pathways have been shown to play a key role in AH-induced kidney damage, including inappropriate tissue activation of the RAAS and immunity system, leading to oxidative stress and inflammation. Moreover, the intracellular effects of increased uric acid and cell phenotype transition showed their link with changes in kidney structure in the early phase of AH. Emerging therapies targeting novel disease mechanisms could provide powerful approaches for hypertensive nephropathy management in the future. In this review, we would like to focus on the interactions of pathways linking the molecular consequences of AH to kidney damage, suggesting how old and new therapies could aim to protect the kidney.

Predicting the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus with the New Chinese Diabetes Risk Score in a Cohort Study

Objectives: The New Chinese Diabetes Risk Score (NCDRS) is a noninvasive tool to assess the risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in the Chinese population. Our study aimed to evaluate the performance of the NCDRS in predicting T2DM risk with a large cohort. Methods: The NCDRS was calculated, and participants were categorized into groups by optimal cutoff or quartiles. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidential intervals (CIs) in Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the association between the baseline NCDRS and the risk of T2DM. The performance of the NCDRS was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC). Results: The T2DM risk was significantly increased in participants with NCDRS ≥25 (HR = 2.12, 95% CI 1.88-2.39) compared with NCDRS <25 after adjusting for potential confounders. T2DM risk also showed a significant increasing trend from the lowest to the highest quartile of NCDRS. The AUC was 0.777 (95% CI 0.640-0.786) with a cutoff of 25.50. Conclusion: The NCDRS had a significant positive association with T2DM risk, and the NCDRS is valid for T2DM screening in China.

Change in albuminuria as a surrogate endpoint for cardiovascular and renal outcomes in patients with diabetes

For the purpose of predicting clinical outcomes in patients with diabetes and chronic kidney disease, change in albuminuria is a good candidate to be a surrogate marker for future cardiovascular events and progression of kidney disease. Spot urine albumin/creatinine ratio is convenient and recognized as a viable alternative to 24-h albumin, with some limitations. Although there is sufficient evidence to validate its use in clinical trials as a surrogate endpoint for renal outcomes, this is not yet the case for cardiovascular outcomes. While change in albuminuria as a primary or secondary endpoint is trial-specific, its use should be encouraged, nonetheless.

Baseline risk markers and visit-to-visit variability in relation to kidney outcomes - A post-hoc analysis of the PERL study

BACKGROUND

Baseline risk variables and visit-to-visit variability (VV) of systolic blood pressure (SBP), HbA_1c, serum creatinine, and uric acid (UA) are potential risk markers of kidney function decline in type 1 diabetes.

METHODS

Post-hoc analysis of a double-blind randomized placebo-controlled clinical trial investigating allopurinol's effect on iohexol-derived glomerular filtration rate (iGFR) in type 1 diabetes with elevated UA. Primary outcome was iGFR change over three years. Linear regression with backwards selection of baseline clinical variables was performed to identify an optimized model forecasting iGFR change. Furthermore, VVs of SBP, HbA_1c, serum creatinine, and UA were calculated using measurements from the run-in period; thereafter assessed by linear regression, with iGFR change as the dependent variable.

RESULTS

404 participants were included in the primary analyses. In the optimized baseline variable model, higher HbA_1c, SBP, iGFR, albuminuria, and heart rate, and mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist prescription were associated with greater iGFR decline. Higher VV of SBP was associated with greater iGFR decline (adjusted β (ml/min/1.73 m²/50 % increase): -0.79, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

We identified several risk markers for faster iGFR decline in a high-risk population with type 1 diabetes. While further research is needed, our results indicate possible new and clinically feasible measures to risk stratify for DKD in type 1 diabetes.

Recent Advances in the Emerging Therapeutic Strategies for Diabetic Kidney Diseases

Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) is one of the most common causes of end-stage renal disease worldwide. The treatment of DKD is strongly associated with clinical outcomes in patients with diabetes mellitus. Traditional therapeutic strategies focus on the control of major risk factors, such as blood glucose, blood lipids, and blood pressure. Renin–angiotensin–aldosterone system inhibitors have been the main therapeutic measures in the past, but the emergence of sodium–glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors, incretin mimetics, and endothelin-1 receptor antagonists has provided more options for the management of DKD. Simultaneously, with advances in research on the pathogenesis of DKD, some new therapies targeting renal inflammation, fibrosis, and oxidative stress have gradually entered clinical application. In addition, some recently discovered therapeutic targets and signaling pathways, mainly in preclinical and early clinical trial stages, are expected to provide benefits for patients with DKD in the future. This review summarizes the traditional treatments and emerging management options for DKD, demonstrating recent advances in the therapeutic strategies for DKD.

Long-Term Blood Pressure Variability and Kidney Function in Participants of the ASPREE Trial

BACKGROUND

Whether long-term blood pressure variability (BPV) predicts kidney function decline in generally healthy older adults is unknown. We investigated this association in ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) trial participants.

METHODS

Between 2010 and 2014, Australian and US individuals aged ≥70 years (≥65 if US minority) were recruited and followed with annual study visits for a median of 4.7 years. Time-to-event analyses and linear mixed effects models were used to examine associations between incident chronic kidney disease (CKD), and trajectories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and log albumin-creatinine ratio (log ACR) with systolic BPV as a continuous measure, and, by tertile of SD of systolic blood pressure (BP). BPV was estimated using systolic BP measures from baseline through the second annual visit, and kidney outcomes were assessed following this period.

RESULTS

Incident CKD occurred in 1,829 of 6,759 participants (27.2%), and more commonly in BPV tertiles 2 (27.4%) and 3 (28.3%) than tertile 1 (25.5%); however, the risk was not significantly increased after covariate adjustment (tertile 3 hazard ratio = 1.02; 95% confidence interval: 0.91-1.14). Analysis of eGFR (n = 16,193) and log ACR trajectories (n = 15,213) showed individuals in the highest BPV tertile having the lowest eGFR and highest log ACR, cross-sectionally. However, the trajectories of eGFR and log ACR did not differ across BPV tertiles.

CONCLUSIONS

CKD and markers of reduced kidney function occur more commonly in individuals with higher BPV; however, BPV does not influence trajectory of decline in kidney function over time in older adults who are in generally good health.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

Trial Number NCT01038583 and ISRCTN83772183.

Variability of risk factors and diabetes complications

Several studies suggest that, together with glucose variability, the variability of other risk factors, as blood pressure, plasma lipids, heart rate, body weight, and serum uric acid, might play a role in the development of diabetes complications. Moreover, the variability of each risk factor, when contemporarily present, may have additive effects. However, the question is whether variability is causal or a marker. Evidence shows that the quality of care and the attainment of the target impact on the variability of all risk factors. On the other hand, for some of them causality may be considered. Although specific studies are still lacking, it should be useful checking the variability of a risk factor, together with its magnitude out of the normal range, in clinical practice. This can lead to an improvement of the quality of care, which, in turn, could further hesitate in an improvement of risk factors variability.