Predictive Factors of Mortality in Older Adult Residents of Long-Term Care Facilities

Family-oriented interventions in long-term care residential facilities for older people: A scoping review of the characteristics and outcomes

INTRODUCTION

Family-oriented interventions in long-term care (LTC) residential facilities are heterogenous in design, characteristics, and outcomes.

OBJECTIVES

To synthesize characteristics (e.g., type, provider, and duration) and outcomes of family-oriented interventions in LTC residential facilities.

METHODS

We followed the JBI methodology and searched seven databases for quantitative, qualitative, and mixed method studies that reported family-oriented interventions in LTC residential settings for older people; defined in this review as ≥60 years. Interventions that included residents, resident families, health professionals, or any combinations of these three were included if the study reported post-intervention assessment of at least one family-related outcome.

RESULTS

Thirteen studies met the inclusion criteria. Interventions were found to be multifaceted, and education was the most common element. Nurses were the most common intervenors, and most interventions had more than one target (residents, resident families, or staff). Most outcomes were related to family involvement, satisfaction with care, quality of life, communication, symptom management, and shared decision making, and none of the studies reported a negative impact.

CONCLUSIONS

Family-oriented interventions were associated with high care quality and better resident-staff-family partnership. Staff education and staff-family conversation are relatively cheap interventions to help family involvement, facilitate shared decision-making, and improve family satisfaction.

Risk factors for in-hospital death in elderly patients over 65 years of age with dementia: A retrospective cross-sectional study

As the population continues to age, dementia is becoming a huge social, economic, and healthcare burden. However, the risk factors for in-hospital death in elderly patients over 65 years of age with dementia are not well understood. Identifying factors that affect their prognosis could help clinicians with scientific decision-making. To examine the risk factors for in-hospital death in elderly patients over 65 years of age with dementia in the Geriatric Department of West China Hospital. In this retrospective, cross-sectional study, we analyzed inpatients aged ≥65 years with dementia between 2010 and 2016 using electronic medical records from the Information Center of West China Hospital. The risk factors for death were assessed using multivariable logistic regression. Out of a total of 2986 inpatients with dementia, 3.4% died. Patient deaths were related to digestive diseases, respiratory diseases, circulatory diseases, urinary diseases, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, whereas patient survival was associated with osteoporosis and Parkinson disease. Patients with a mean length of hospital stay of ≥60 days had an increased risk of death (all P <.05). In the multiple logistic regression analysis, age ≥80 years, digestive diseases, respiratory diseases, urinary diseases, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and ≥7 comorbidities were risk factors for death. Mortality in hospitalized older patients with dementia is low, but some risk factors may be easily ignored. These findings could raise awareness among clinicians and caregivers about risk factors in hospitalized older patients, particularly hospitalized elderly patients with multiple comorbidities. Therefore, to reduce mortality, early prevention and management of potential risks are necessary.

The association between low calf circumference and mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

Low calf circumference is an important indicator of malnutrition and has been widely studied, especially among older adults. However, data on the association between low calf circumference and mortality have been inconsistent. This systematic review was aimed to quantify this association.

METHODS

The internet databases (PubMed, Embase, ScienceDirect and Cochrane Library databases) were systematically searched from inception to November 01, 2021 for studies investigating the association between low calf circumference and mortality. A random effects model was adopted to pool the relevant data.

RESULTS

Low calf circumference was associated with a higher risk of mortality than normal calf circumference, with a pooled HR of 2.42 (95% CI 1.97-2.97, I² = 74.3%). In addition, this association between low calf circumference and morality was still statistically significant in the subgroup analysis across different settings, including hospitals (pooled HR = 2.63, 95% CI 1.93-3.58), nursing homes (pooled HR = 2.49, 95% CI 1.76-3.54), and communities (pooled HR = 2.22, 95% CI 1.60-3.07). Other subgroup analyses based on different cutoffs of calf circumference showed that, compared to individual with normal calf circumference, participants with low calf circumference had an increased risk of mortality (pooled HR = 2.66, 95% CI 2.06-3.43) when using the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) criterion (≤ 34 cm for males and ≤ 33 cm for females). Similar results were found when the Mini Nutritional Assessment (MNA) criterion (≤ 31 cm) was used, with a pooled HR of 2.11 (95% CI 1.59-2.81).

CONCLUSION

Calf circumference, which is simple and convenient to measure, could be used to stratify the high-risk group, as low calf circumference was significantly associated with mortality among patients. Interventions, including exercise and nutrition programs, could be conducted promptly once low calf circumference is detected.

Calf Circumference and All-Cause Mortality: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Based on Trend Estimation Approaches

OBJECTIVES

To perform a systematic review and meta-analysis and quantify the associations of total mortality with calf circumference (CC) in adults 18 years and older via combining various analyses based on empirical dichotomic CC, continuous CC, and dose-response CC.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic search of relevant studies in PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science published through April 12, 2022. This systematic review includes longitudinal observational studies reporting the relationships of total mortality with CC. We calculated the pooled relative risk (RR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of total mortality with CC per 1 cm for each study and combined the values using standard meta-analysis approaches. Newcastle-Ottawa scale (NOS), Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluations approach (GRADE), and the Instrument for assessing the Credibility of Effect Modification Analyses (ICEMAN) were assessed for meta-analyses.

RESULTS

Our analysis included a total of 37 cohort studies involving 62,736 participants, across which moderate heterogeneity was observed (I2=75.7%, P<0.001), but no publication bias was found. Study quality scores ranged from 6 to 9 (mean 7.7), with only three studies awarded a score of 6 (fair quality). We observed an inverse trend between total death risk and CC per 1 cm increase (RR, 0.95, 95% CI, 0.94-0.96; P<0.001; GRADE quality=high). Only a very slight difference was found among residents of nursing homes (6.9% mortality risk reduction per one cm CC increase), community-dwellers (5.4%), and those living in hospitals (4.8%), respectively (P for meta-regression=0.617). Low credible subgroup difference was found based on the ICEMAN tool.

CONCLUSIONS

Calf circumference is a valid anthropometric measure for mortality risk prediction in a community, nursing home, or hospital.

Estimation of Life Expectancy for Dependent Population in a Multi-State Context

Population statistics show that there was an increase in life expectancy during the last century. However, this fact hides that this increase was not equal for all groups of the population. One of the most problematic cases for measuring this increase is that of the dependent population because of the absence of specific statistics. This paper describes a methodology for calculating life expectancy using multistate models that take into account the diversity of situations considered by Spanish legislation. For this purpose, statistical information contained in the national survey on disability and dependency (EDAD 2008) is used. The results suggest that life expectancies are lower than those of the general population and that they differ according to gender and intensity of suffering from this contingency. The calculations were made considering the legal framework currently existing in Spain. This fact conditions the definition of dependent person and, therefore, the set of individuals, their characteristics, and therefore, their final results.

Overall mortality in older people receiving physician-led home visits: a multicentre prospective study in Japan

BACKGROUND

Japan has the most rapidly ageing population in the world. The Japanese government has, therefore, promoted physician-led home health care for frail and disabled people.

OBJECTIVES

To describe mortality among older people receiving physician-led health care at home or at a nursing home in Japan and to identify risk factors.

METHODS

This was a multicentre prospective cohort study. Participants were aged ≥65 years and had started to receive regular physician-led health care at home or at nursing homes from 13 facilities between 1 February 2013 and 31 January 2016. The observation period ended on 31 January 2017. We used a biopsychosocial approach for exploratory analysis of 13 variables to identify mortality risk factors.

RESULTS

The median (25th to 75th percentile) observation time was 417 (121-744) days. Of 825 participants, 380 died. The total cumulative survival for 180, 360, 720 and 1440 days was 73.4% (95% confidence interval: 70.2-76.3), 64.2% (60.8-67.5), 52.6% (48.8-56.3) and 34.6% (23.5-46.0). The Kaplan-Meier cumulative survival curve showed a steep drop during the first 6 months of observation. A multivariate Cox proportional hazard model showed that sex (male), high Charlson Comorbidity Index score, low serum albumin level, low Barthel Index score, receipt of oxygen therapy, high Cornell Scale for Depression in Dementia score and non-receipt of public assistance were associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall mortality in physician-led home visits in Japan was described and mortality risk factors identified. Public assistance receipt was associated with lower mortality.

Comparing the Performance of Calf Circumference, Albumin, and BMI for Predicting Mortality in Immobile Patients

Background

Immobile patients often suffer from malnutrition and low calf circumference (CC), a potential surrogate marker of low muscle mass, which has been widely explored as a link with mortality among patients with inconsistent results. In addition, studies comparing CC, BMI, and albumin to predict mortality among immobile patients are limited. The aim of our study was to compare the performance of these three parameters for predicting mortality among immobile patients.

Methods

This is a secondary analysis of our previous study consisting of immobile patients, age>18 years. Data were collected between November 2015 and March 2016 by trained nurses through a case report form (CRF) that included clinical data and sociodemographic variables. In addition, anthropometric parameters, including body weight, height and calf circumference, were also measured. The outcome of our study was mortality with follow-up length being 90 days. Multivariate linear and logistic regression analysis were adopted to identify the association between CC and mortality, and a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was also used to compare the performance of CC, BMI, and albumin.

Results

Of the 387 patients who were included (51.42% male), with an average age of 61.22 (SD=15.18), the prevalence of mortality was 5.43%. The results showed that, after full adjustment, calf circumference was a protective factor for reducing the risk of mortality (OR=0.79; 95%CI:0.65–0.96). Meanwhile, immobile patients with low calf circumference had an increased risk of mortality, compared to those whose condition was normal (OR=4.24; 95%CI:1.07–16.74). Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that CC combined with albumin (AUC=0.812; 95% CI=0.733–0.890) had the highest AUC value compared to calf circumference (AUC=0.759; 95%CI:0.662–0.856), BMI (AUC=0.653; 95%CI:0.538–0.767) and albumin (AUC=0.735; 95% CI:0.638–0.832), respectively, in predicting mortality in immobile patients.

Conclusion

The relationship between calf circumference and mortality was significantly negative and low calf circumference was associated with a high risk of 90-day mortality, compared to those with normal calf circumference. The combined calf circumference with albumin had good discrimination in predicting mortality among immobile patients. Therefore, it can routinely be used in a clinical setting by medical staff to predict mortality in immobile patients, as it is easy to obtain.

Urinary Incontinence Is Associated With Increased All-Cause Mortality in Older Nursing Home Residents: A Meta-Analysis

PURPOSE

Urinary incontinence is a syndrome common in older adults, but it is not clear whether urinary incontinence is associated with the risk for mortality in elderly nursing home residents.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis in PubMed, Cochrane, Embase, the Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), and Web of Science databases. The Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) was used to assess the quality of the included studies. The meta-analysis was summarized using a random-effects or fixed-effects model, and the heterogeneity among studies was examined using the I2 statistic.

FINDINGS

Six cohort studies with 1,656 participants were included in the final analysis. The NOS score for each study was greater than 6. Urinary incontinence was significantly associated with a higher risk for mortality in nursing homes, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.20 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12-1.28, I² = 41.6%). The significant association of urinary incontinence with increased mortality risk was observed in subgroup analysis according to region, status of dementia, and follow-up period, with a pooled HR of 2.02 (95% CI 1.32-3.11, I² = 0%) for Asian countries, 1.18 (95% CI 1.11-1.26, I² = 41.6%) for Western countries, 1.17 (95% CI 1.09-1.26, I² = 0%) for patients with dementia, 1.35 (95% CI 1.13-1.60, I² = 58.9%) for patients without dementia, 1.16 (95% CI 1.07-1.25, I² = 43.2%) for studies with a follow-up period of 1 year, and 1.30 (95% CI 1.15-1.48, I² = 24.5%) for studies with a follow-up period of more than 1 year.

CONCLUSIONS

Urinary incontinence is associated with an increased risk for death among residents of care facilities. Therefore, it was necessary to screen the elderly dwelling in nursing homes who were experiencing or at risk for urinary incontinence with useful tools (e.g., overactive bladder symptom score, bladder control self-assessment questionnaire, three incontinence questions). In addition, early interventions strategies, such as weight loss, stopping smoking, pelvic floor muscle training, and medical and surgical treatments would contribute to decreasing the risk for urinary incontinence and preventing adverse outcomes in nursing home residents.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE

In our study, we found that the elderly with urinary incontinence who resided in nursing homes had a higher risk for mortality than those without urinary incontinence. Therefore, urinary incontinence in the elderly residing in nursing homes is of particular concern. Early detection and intervention are important for the elderly with urinary incontinence, and caregivers should be made aware of this importance.