Prognostic value of γ-glutamyl transpeptidase to albumin ratio combined with aspartate aminotransferase to lymphocyte ratio in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

Development and comprehensive validation of a predictive prognosis model for very early HCC recurrence within one year after curative resection: a multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND

The high incidence of early recurrence after liver resection (LR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the main obstacle in achieving good long-term survival outcomes. The aim of the present study is to develop a prognostic model in predicting the risk of very early (1-year) recurrence.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Consecutive patients who underwent LR for HCC with curative intent at multicenters in China were enrolled in this study. The VERM-pre (the Preoperative Very Early Recurrence Model of HCC) with good performance was derived and validated by internal and external cohorts retrospectively and by another two-center cohort prospectively.

RESULTS

Seven thousand four hundred one patients were enrolled and divided randomly into three cohorts. Eight variables (tumor diameter, tumor number, macrovascular invasion, satellite nodule, alpha-fetoprotein, level of HBV-DNA, γ-GT, and prothrombin time) were identified as independent risk factors for recurrence-free survival on univariate and multivariate analyses. The VERM-pre model was developed which showed a high capacity of discrimination (C-index: 0.722; AUROC at 1-year: 0.722)) and was validated comprehensively by the internal, external, and prospective cohorts, retrospectively. Calibration plots showed satisfactory fitting of probability of early HCC recurrence in the cohorts. Three risk strata were derived to have significantly different recurrence-free survival rates (low-risk: 80.4-85.4%; intermediate-risk: 59.7-64.8%; high-risk: 32.6-42.6%). In the prospective validation cohort, the swimming plot illustrated consistent outcomes with the beginning predictive score.

CONCLUSION

The VERM-pre model accurately predicted the 1-year recurrence rates of HCC after LR with curative intent. The model was retrospectively and prospectively validated and then developed as the online tool.

The Role of Aspartate Aminotransferase-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Index (ALRI) in Predicting Mortality in SARS-CoV-2 Infection

COVID-19 has a mortality rate exceeding 5.4 million worldwide. The early identification of patients at a high risk of mortality is essential to save their lives. The AST-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) is a novel biomarker of survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, an organ susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 infection. For this study, the prognostic value of ALRI as a marker of COVID-19 mortality was evaluated. For this purpose, ALRI was compared with the main biomarkers for COVID-19 mortality (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio [NLR], systemic immune-inflammation index [SII], platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio [PLR], lactate dehydrogenase (LDH)/lymphocyte ratio [LDH/LR]). A retrospective cohort of 225 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection and without chronic liver disease was evaluated. In the non-survival group, the ALRI, NLR, SII, and LDH/LR were significantly higher than in the survival group (pcorrected < 0.05). ALRI had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.81, a sensitivity of 70.37%, and a specificity of 75%, with a best cut-off value >42.42. COVID-19 patients with high ALRI levels had a mean survival time of 7.8 days. Multivariate Cox regression revealed that ALRI > 42.42 (HR = 2.32, 95% CI: 1.35-3.97; pcorrected = 0.01) was a prognostic factor of COVID-19 mortality. These findings prove that ALRI is an independent predictor of COVID-19 mortality and that it may help identify high-risk subjects with SARS-CoV-2 infection upon admission.

Prognostic Significance of Serum Albumin Level and Albumin-Based Mono- and Combination Biomarkers in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the predominant form of primary liver cancer. Although many surgical and nonsurgical therapeutic options have been established for treating HCC, the overall prognosis for HCC patients receiving different treatment modalities remains inadequate, which causes HCC to remain among the most life-threatening human cancers worldwide. Therefore, it is vitally important and urgently needed to develop valuable and independent prognostic biomarkers for the early prediction of poor prognosis in HCC patients, allowing more time for more timely and appropriate treatment to improve the survival of patients. As the most abundant protein in plasma, human serum albumin (ALB) is predominantly expressed by the liver and exhibits a wide variety of essential biological functions. It has been well recognized that serum ALB level is a significant independent biomarker for a broad spectrum of human diseases including cancer. Moreover, ALB has been commonly used as a potent biomaterial and therapeutic agent in clinical settings for the treatment of various human diseases. This review provides a comprehensive summary of the evidence from the up-to-date published literature to underscore the prognostic significance of serum ALB level and various ALB-based mono- and combination biomarkers in the prediction of the prognosis of HCC patients after treatment with different surgical, locoregional, and systemic therapies.

Prognostic significance of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to albumin ratio in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma after hepatectomy

Inflammation has been reported to play an important role in tumour progression and prognosis. In this study, we evaluated the prognostic significance of γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) to albumin ratio (GAR) in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) after hepatectomy. We retrospectively analysed 650 ICC patients underwent hepatectomy at three Chinese medical centres between January 2009 and September 2017. Patients were classified into derivation cohort (n = 509) and validation cohort (n = 141). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to determine the optimal cut-off value for GAR. Survival curve and cox regression analysis were applied to assess the prognostic power of GAR. The prognostic accuracy of GAR was compared with other variables by ROC curve. The optimal cut-off value for GAR was 1.3655. Preoperative high GAR was closely related to tumour number, lymph node invasion and GGT. The survival curve of derivation and validation cohorts showed that patients in the high GAR group had significantly shorter overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) than patients in the low GAR group. Multivariate analysis in the derivation cohort confirmed that GAR was an independent prognostic factor for survival outcomes. Moreover, the ROC curve revealed that GAR had better predictive accuracy than other variables. High GAR predicted poor OS and DFS in ICC patients after hepatectomy. GAR may be a novel, simple and effective prognostic marker for ICC patients.

Non-linear relationship of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to lymphocyte count ratio with the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma with staging I-II: a retrospective cohort study

Background

High recurrence rate was a major factor for the poor postoperative prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The present study was intended to evaluate the association of gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase to lymphocyte count ratio (GLR) and the recurrence of HCC with staging I–II in Chinese.

Methods

The retrospective cohort data was derived from the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from January 2014 to December 2018 on 496 patients who underwent radical resection of HCC with staging I–II. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to determine hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the recurrence of HCC with staging I–II of each GLR tertile category. The restricted cubic spline model was used to find out the threshold effect.

Results

With the low tertile of GLR as the reference, multivariable-adjusted HR and 95% CI of the middle and high tertile categories were 1.748 (1.170–2.612) and 2.078 (1.339–3.227). In addition, there was a positive correlation (HR 1.002; 95% CI 1.001–1.004) and a non-liner relationship was found, whose point was 27.5. When the GLR was less than 27.5, the risk of recurrence increased, obviously with the increase in GLR levels (HR 1.041; 95% CI 1.014–1.068).

Conclusions

The GLR was independently associated with the recurrence of HCC patients with staging I–II. Furthermore, the relationship was positive and no-linear.

New Insights Into a Classification-Based Microvascular Invasion Prediction Model in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Multicenter Study

Background and Aims

Most microvascular invasion (MVI)-predicting models have not considered MVI classification, and thus do not reflect true MVI effects on prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to develop a novel MVI-predicting model focused on MVI classification, hoping to provide useful information for clinical treatment strategy decision-making.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted with data from two Chinese medical centers for 800 consecutive patients with HCC (derivation cohort) and 250 matched patients (external validation cohort). MVI-associated variables were identified by ordinal logistic regression. Predictive models were constructed based on multivariate analysis results and validated internally and externally. The models' discriminative ability and calibration ability were examined.

Results

Four factors associated independently with MVI: tumor diameter, tumor number, serum lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) ≥ 176.58 U/L, and γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (γ-GGT). Area under the curve (AUC)s for our M2, M1, and M0 nomograms were 0.864, 0.648, and 0.782. Internal validation of all three models was confirmed with AUC analyses in D-sets (development datasets) and V-sets (validation datasets) and C-indices for each cohort. GiViTI calibration belt plots and Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) chi-squared calibration values demonstrated good consistency between observed frequencies and predicted probabilities for the M2 and M0 nomograms. Although the M1 nomogram was well calibrated, its discrimination was poor.

Conclusion

We developed and validated MVI prediction models in patients with HCC that differentiate MVI classification and may provide useful guidance for treatment planning.

Novel Nomogram Based on Inflammatory Markers for the Preoperative Prediction of Microvascular Invasion in Solitary Primary Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose

We aimed to develop and to validate a novel nomogram based on inflammatory markers to preoperatively predict microvascular invasion (MVI) in patients with solitary primary hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Patients and Methods

Data from 658 patients with solitary primary HCC who underwent hepatectomy at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University from June 2018 to October 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were divided into training (n=441) and validation (n=217) cohorts according to surgical data. Independent risk factors for MVI were identified via univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses in the training cohort. A novel nomogram was developed based on the independent risk factors identified. Its accuracy was evaluated using a calibration curve and concordance index (C-index). The predictive value was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results

Preoperative alpha-fetoprotein >969 µg/L (P<0.001), tumor size (P=0.002), neutrophil >1.8×10⁹/L (P=0.002), gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-platelet ratio (GPR) >0.32 (P=0.001), aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio (APR) >0.18 (P<0.001), gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-albumin ratio (GAR) >2.30 (P=0.001), and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase-to-lymphocyte ratio >29.58 (P<0.001) were identified as preoperative independent risk factors for MVI and were used to establish the nomogram. The C-index of the training and validation cohorts were 0.788 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.744–0.831) and 0.735 (95% CI: 0.668–0.802), respectively. The calibration curve analysis revealed that the standard curve fit well with the predicted curve. ROC curve analysis demonstrated high efficiency of the nomogram. DCA verified that the nomogram had notable clinical value.

Conclusion

Preoperative GPR >0.32, APR >0.18, and GAR >2.30 were independent risk factors for MVI in patients with solitary primary HCC, suggesting their utility as preoperative predictors of MVI. The novel nomogram developed and validated in this study may aid in determining optimal therapeutic approaches for patients with solitary HCC at risk for MVI.

Prognostic and Clinical Significance of Aspartate Aminotransferase-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Index in Individuals with Liver Cancer: A Meta-Analysis

Objective

This study was aimed at exploring the prognostic and clinicopathological roles of aspartate aminotransferase-to-lymphocyte ratio index (ALRI) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma via a meta-analysis.

Methods

The PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang, and VIP databases were comprehensively searched from inception to November 20, 2021. Pooled hazard ratio (HR) and corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI) were used to evaluate the relationship between ALRI and overall survival (OS) as well as progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Odds ratio (OR) and the corresponding 95% CI were also used to investigate correlations between clinical factors and ALRI in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.

Results

A total of 3914 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma from eleven retrospective cohorts were included in this meta-analysis. The combined results revealed that patients with hepatocellular carcinoma with elevated ALRI tended to have unfavorable OS (HR 1.53 [95% CI 1.25–1.82]; P < 0.001). Pooled HRs revealed that high ALRI was an independent risk factor for inferior PFS in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HR 1.36 [95% CI 1.10–1.63]; P < 0.001). In addition, high ALRI was strongly associated with male sex (OR 1.32 [95% CI 1.02–1.70]; P = 0.035), presence of cirrhosis (OR 1.68 [95% CI 1.01–2.81]; P = 0.046), larger tumor size (OR 2.25 [95% CI 1.31–3.88]; P < 0.001), presence of portal vein tumor thrombus (OR 2.50 [95% CI 1.52–4.11]; P < 0.001), and distant metastasis (OR 1.72 [95% CI 1.05-2.82]; P = 0.031).

Conclusion

Elevated ALRI in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma predicted inferior survival outcomes and was strongly associated with some important features of hepatocellular carcinoma.

Predictive value of preoperative C-reactive protein/serum albumin ratio and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase for early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after resection

BACKGROUND

In recent years, some studies have reported that increased C-reactive protein/serum albumin ratio (CRP/Alb) and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) predict a poor prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after treatment; however, there are few studies on their predictive value for the prognosis after HCC resection.

AIM

To evaluate the predictive value of preoperative CRP/Alb and GGT for early recurrence in patients with HCC after resection.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on the clinical data of 80 initially treated patients who were pathologically confirmed as having hepatocellular carcinoma after radical resection at our hospital from January 1, 2016 to January 20, 2019 and then followed for the prognosis. The patients were divided into either an early recurrence group or a non-early recurrence group based on the presence of recurrence in 2 years or not. The χ² test was used for univariate analysis, and Cox proportional hazards model was used for multivariate analysis. The tumor-free survival curves of independent risk factors were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method, and log-rank method was used to compare their difference.

RESULTS

The best cut-off values of CRP/Alb and GGT were 0.041 and 75.5 U/L, respectively, according to the results of ROC curve analysis. The recurrence-free survival rates within 1 and 2 years were 70% and 56.25%, respectively, in this group of patients. Univariate analysis showed that microvascular invasion (MVI), CRP/Alb, and GGT were risk factors for early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after resection. Multivariate analysis showed that MVI and GGT were independent risk factors for early recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after resection. The tumor-free survival time of HCC patients with MVI was significantly shorter than that of patients without (P ＜ 0.001). The tumor-free survival time in the GGT > 75.5 U/L group was significantly shorter than that of the GGT ≤ 75.5 U/L group (P = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

CRP/Alb, GGT, and MVI have potential predictive value for early tumor recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after resection.