Natural history of branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: a multicenter study in Japan

Prospective multicenter surveillance study of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas; risk of dual carcinogenesis

BACKGROUND

The natural history of branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous cystic neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) in the pancreas remains unclear. This study aimed to answer this clinical question by focusing on the development of concomitant pancreatic ductal adenocarcinomas (cPDAC).

METHODS

The Japan Pancreas Society conducted a prospective multicenter surveillance study of BD-IPMN every six months for five years. The primary endpoints were progression of BD-IPMN, progression to high-grade dysplasia/invasive carcinoma (HGD/IC), and cPDAC. Factors predicting the progression of BD-IPMN to HGD/IC and development of cPDAC were also assessed as secondary endpoints.

RESULTS

Among the 2104 non-operated patients, 348 (16.5 %) showed progression of primary BD-IPMN. Cumulative incidences of BD-IPMN with HGD/IC and cPDAC during the 5.17-year surveillance period were 1.90 % and 2.11 %, respectively, and standard incidence ratios of BD-IPMN with HGD/IC and cPDAC were 5.28 and 5.73, respectively. Of 38 cPDACs diagnosed during surveillance, 25 (65.8 %) were resectable. The significant predictive characteristics of BD-IPMN for progression to HGD/IC were larger cyst size (p = 0.03), larger main pancreatic duct size (p < 0.01), and mural nodules (p = 0.02). Significant predictive characteristics for the development of cPDAC were male sex (p = 0.03) and older age (p = 0.02), while the size of IPMN was not significant.

CONCLUSION

Careful attention should be given to "dual carcinogenesis" during BD-IPMN surveillance, indicating the progression of BD-IPMN to HGD/IC and development of cPDAC distinct from BD-IPMN, although the establishment of risk factors that predict cPDAC development remains a challenge (UMIN000007349).

Endoscopic Ultrasound-Guided Ablation of Pancreatic Mucinous Cysts

Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) has rapidly evolved from a diagnostic to a therapeutic tool with applications for various pancreaticobiliary diseases. As part of this evolution, EUS-guided chemoablation for neoplastic pancreatic cysts is developing as a minimally invasive treatment option for appropriately selected mucinous cysts, which can spare patients major resective surgery and may reduce progression to pancreatic cancer. Chemotherapeutic cyst ablation has demonstrated encouraging complete resolution rates, while an alcohol-free chemoablation protocol has demonstrated a significant decrease in adverse events without a compromise to complete ablation rates when compared with previous alcohol-based protocols. Most pancreatic cysts are small, low risk, and best managed by surveillance per accepted guidelines. Cysts with features suggestive of overt malignancy are best discussed by a multidisciplinary committee, and surgery is considered if appropriate. However, for patients in the middle ground with cysts that are structurally suitable for chemoablation, alcohol-free chemoablation has been shown to allow effective, safe, and durable results especially for those who are not ideal operative candidates. EUS-guided alcohol-free chemoablation is promising and continues to evolve; however, as a relatively novel treatment option it has areas of uncertainty that will require further investigation and development.

Identifying predictors for comorbidities related mortality versus pancreatic cancer related mortality in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

BACKGROUNDS

Few data are available for surveillance decisions focusing on factors related to mortality, as the primary outcome, in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) patients.

AIMS

We aimed to identify imaging features and patient backgrounds associated with mortality risks by comparing pancreatic cancer (PC) and comorbidities.

METHODS

We retrospectively conducted a multicenter long-term follow-up of 1864 IPMN patients. Competing risk analysis was performed for PC- and comorbidity-related mortality.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up period of 5.5 years, 14.0% (261/1864) of patients died. Main pancreatic duct ≥5 mm and mural nodules were significantly related to all-cause and PC-related mortality, whereas cyst ≥30 mm did not relate. In 1730 patients without high-risk imaging features, 48 and 180 patients died of PC and comorbidity. In the derivation cohort, a prediction model for comorbidity-related mortality was created, comprising age, cancer history, diabetes mellitus complications, chronic heart failure, stroke, paralysis, peripheral artery disease, liver cirrhosis, and collagen disease in multivariate analysis. If a patient had a 5 score, 5- and 10-year comorbidity-related mortality is estimated at 18.9% and 50.2%, respectively, more than 7 times higher than PC-related mortality. The model score was also significantly associated with comorbidity-related mortality in a validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrates main pancreatic duct dilation and mural nodules indicate risk of PC-related mortality, identifying patients who need periodic examination. A comorbidity-related mortality prediction model based on the patient's age and comorbidities can stratify patients who do not require regular tests, especially beyond 5 years, among IPMN patients without high-risk features.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

T2022-0046.

Successful EUS-guided pancreatic cyst chemoablation safely allows reduction in the frequency of radiographic surveillance: long-term follow-up of randomized prospective data

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Endoscopic ultrasound-guided pancreatic cyst chemoablation is safe and effective for appropriately selected patients; however, the proper frequency of radiographic surveillance after successful chemoablation is unknown. Here we report the long-term follow-up of 2 randomized prospective Chemotherapy for Ablation and Resolution of Mucinous Pancreatic Cysts (ChARM) clinical trials. In addition, the performance of a postablation-reduced radiographic surveillance protocol was evaluated according to clinical and economic outcomes and patient experience metrics.

METHODS

Patients who successfully completed 1 of the 2 ChARM randomized control trials were evaluated for durability of response and clinical outcomes. Patients were eligible if 2 years or more of follow-up were available and complete. We calculated economic outcomes according to Medicare allowable costs applicable to endoscopic ultrasound, magnetic resonance imaging, and outpatient clinic visits. We modeled costs of a patient followed by the ChARM Post-treatment Reduced Radiographic Surveillance Protocol compared with a similar patient followed under Fukuoka or American College of Gastroenterology (ACG) guidelines over 5 years. In addition, patients under long-term surveillance in our clinic were interviewed via a 4-question Likert-type questionnaire.

RESULTS

A total of 52 patients were eligible and included in the study. At the most recent follow-up of the 52 patients, 36 (69.2%) achieved complete response, an additional 11 (21.2%) showed partial response, and only 5 (9.6%) showed nonresponse. All patients were successfully reduced to annual or less surveillance without recurrence or the development of cyst-associated malignancy. Compared with Fukukoa or ACG guidelines, a patient treated and followed under the ChARM Post-treatment Reduced Radiographic Surveillance Protocol incurred a Medicare allowable cost of $7200.00 versus $19,437.44 and $12,526.52 if untreated and observed under Fukukoa and ACG guidelines, respectively. The patient experience questionnaire was returned completed by 49 participants.

CONCLUSIONS

The ChARM Post-treatment Reduced Radiographic Surveillance Protocol safely allows a reduction in radiographic surveillance. A reduction in cost associated with cyst management under the ChARM protocol, compared with management following Fukukoa or ACG guidelines, was shown. According to the questionnaire, most patients reported a moderate level of logistical and emotional burden associated with magnetic resonance imaging surveillance, and a majority were in favor of reducing the frequency of radiographic surveillance if it could be done without a marked increase in oncologic risk.

Systematic review on surveillance for non-resected branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas

BACKGROUND

The management of branch-duct type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) varies in existing guidelines. This study investigated the optimal surveillance protocol and safe discontinuation of surveillance considering natural history in non-resected IPMN, by systematically reviewing the published literature.

METHODS

This review was guided by PRISMA. Research questions were framed in PICO format "CQ1-1: Is size criteria helpful to determine surveillance period? CQ1-2: How often should surveillance be carried out? CQ1-3: When should surveillance be discontinued? CQ1-4: Is nomogram predicting malignancy useful during surveillance?". PubMed was searched from January-April 2022.

RESULTS

The search generated 2373 citations. After screening, 83 articles were included. Among them, 33 studies were identified for CQ1-1, 19 for CQ1-2, 26 for CQ1-3 and 12 for CQ1-4. Cysts <1.5 or 2 cm without worrisome features (WF) were described as more indolent, and most studies advised an initial period of surveillance. The median growth rate of cysts <2 cm ranged from 0.23 to 0.6 mm/year. Patients with cysts <2 cm showing no morphological changes and no WF after 5-years of surveillance have minimal malignancy risk of 0-2%. Two nomograms created with over 1000 patients had AUCs of around 0.8 and appear to be feasible in a real-world practice.

CONCLUSIONS

For patients with suspected BD-IPMN <2 cm and no other WF, less frequent surveillance is recommended. Surveillance may be discontinued for cysts that remain stable during 5-year surveillance, with consideration of patient condition and life expectancy. With this updated surveillance strategy, patients with non-worrisome BD-IPMN should expect more streamlined management and decreased healthcare utilization.

Investigating the early diagnosis of pancreatic cancer by surveillance of patients with "K-sign" of the pancreas by computed tomography: A prospective study

BACKGROUND

We previously conducted a retrospective study investigating pancreatic morphological abnormalities that lead to early diagnosis of pancreatic cancer (PC) using computed tomography (CT). We reviewed 41 of 308 PC patients between 2011 and 2017 who had previously undergone CT to look for morphological changes leading to cancer development. In 24 patients (58.5%), a K-shaped constriction of the pancreas ("K-sign") was observed before the appearance of cancer. This study aimed to investigate whether an early PC diagnosis is possible by prospective CT follow-up of patients with the K-sign.

METHODS

We investigated PC development through prospective surveillance of patients exhibiting K-signs identified on CT.

RESULTS

Of approximately 87 000 CT scans performed between April 2019 and August 2022, the K-sign was observed in 54 patients. A total of 30 patients provided informed consent and were subsequently monitored using CT. Five patients (16.7%) were diagnosed with PC and underwent surgery after 3-24 months follow-up. Pathologically, four of five patients (80%) were diagnosed with early-stage pancreatic cancer (stage 0-IA). All patients exhibited defects in acinar structure, fibrous tissue, fat replacement, and inflammatory cells, suggesting their potential involvement in PC development.

CONCLUSION

The detection and surveillance of the K-sign may be helpful for early PC diagnosis.

International evidence-based Kyoto guidelines for the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas

This study group aimed to revise the 2017 international consensus guidelines for the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas, and mainly focused on five topics; the revision of high-risk stigmata (HRS) and worrisome features (WF), surveillance of non-resected IPMN, surveillance after resection of IPMN, revision of pathological aspects, and investigation of molecular markers in cyst fluid. A new development from the prior guidelines is that systematic reviews were performed for each one of these topics, and published separately to provide evidence-based recommendations. One of the highlights of these new "evidence-based guidelines" is to propose a new management algorithm, and one major revision is to include into the assessment of HRS and WF the imaging findings from endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and the results of cytological analysis from EUS-guided fine needle aspiration technique, when this is performed. Another key element of the current guidelines is to clarify whether lifetime surveillance for small IPMNs is required, and recommends two options, "stop surveillance" or "continue surveillance for possible development of concomitant pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma", for small unchanged BD-IPMN after 5 years surveillance. Several other points are also discussed, including identifying high-risk features for recurrence in patients who underwent resection of non-invasive IPMN with negative surgical margin, summaries of the recent observations in the pathology of IPMN. In addition, the emerging role of cyst fluid markers that can aid in distinguishing IPMN from other pancreatic cysts and identify those IPMNs that harbor high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma is discussed.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: Uncommon imaging presentation, evolution and comparison of guidelines

Pancreatic cystic lesions are often asymptomatic, incidentally detected and include a range of entities with varying degrees of concern for malignancy. Among these, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are considered premalignant pancreatic lesions, with a broad pathological spectrum ranging from lesions without dysplasia, which can be managed conservatively, to malignant lesions that require surgical resection. The increasing use of CT and MRI has led to increased recognition of this entity incidentally, with branch-duct IPMN representing the most common subtype and the most challenging lesions in terms of patient management. The main imaging modality involved in diagnosis and surveillance of IPMN is MRI. Radiologists play an important role in the management of patients with IPMN, including lesion detection, characterization, follow-up and prognostication, allowing early MRI identification of features that are concerning for malignancy. The main aim of this pictorial review is to illustrate MRI features of IPMN and to discuss risk stratification scores based on different guidelines, with a main focus on branch-duct IPMN. The secondary aims include the presentation of common and uncommon imaging evolution of BD-IPMN as well as the discussion on current controversies on the appropriate management of IPMN.

A comparative study between computed tomography and endoscopic ultrasound in the detection of a mural nodule in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm -Multicenter observational study in Japan

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

The detection of malignancy is a major concern in the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). The height of the mural nodule (MN), estimated using endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and computed tomography (CT), has been considered crucial for predicting malignant IPMN. Currently, whether surveillance using CT or EUS alone is sufficient for detecting MNs remains unclear. This study aimed to compare the ability of CT and EUS to detect MNs in IPMN.

METHODS

This multicenter, retrospective observational study was conducted in 11 Japanese tertiary institutions. Patients who underwent surgical resection of IPMN with MN after CT and EUS examinations were eligible to participate. The MN detection rates between CT and EUS were examined.

RESULTS

Two-hundred-and-forty patients who underwent preoperative EUS and CT had pathologically confirmed MNs. The MN detection rates of EUS and CT were 83% and 53%, respectively (p < 0.001). Additionally, the MN detection rate of EUS was significantly higher than that of CT regardless of morphological type (76% vs. 47% in branch-duct-type IPMN; 90% vs. 54% in mixed IPMN; 98% vs. 56% in main-duct-type IPMN; p < 0.001). Further, pathologically confirmed MNs ≥5 mm were more frequently observed on EUS than on CT (95% vs. 76%, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

EUS was superior to CT for the detection of MN in IPMN. EUS surveillance is essential for the detection of MNs.

Pancreatic Cysts: Radiology

This article reviews the types of pancreatic cysts encountered in Radiologic practice. It summarizes the malignancy risk of each of the following: serous cystadenoma, mucinous cystic tumor, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm main duct and side branch, and some miscellaneous cysts such as neuroendocrine tumor and solid pseudopapillary epithelial neoplasm. Specific reporting recommendations are given. The choice between radiology follow-up versus endoscopic analysis is discussed.

Standardization of MRI Screening and Reporting in Individuals With Elevated Risk of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Consensus Statement of the PRECEDE Consortium

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is one of the most aggressive malignancies, with a dismal survival rate. Screening the general population for early detection of PDAC is not recommended, but because early detection improves survival, high-risk individuals, defined as those meeting criteria based on a family history of PDAC and/or the presence of known pathogenic germline variant genes with PDAC risk, are recommended to undergo screening with MRI and/or endoscopic ultrasound at regular intervals. The Pancreatic Cancer Early Detection (PRECEDE) Consortium was formed in 2018 and is composed of gastroenterologists, geneticists, pancreatic surgeons, radiologists, statisticians, and researchers from 40 sites in North America, Europe, and Asia. The overarching goal of the PRECEDE Consortium is to facilitate earlier diagnosis of PDAC for high-risk individuals to increase survival of the disease. A standardized MRI protocol and reporting template are needed to enhance the quality of screening examinations, improve consistency of clinical management, and facilitate multiinstitutional research. We present a consensus statement to standardize MRI screening and reporting for individuals with elevated risk of pancreatic cancer.

Cystic Neoplasms of the Pancreas: Differential Diagnosis and Radiology Correlation

Although the probability of pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) being detected is raising year by year, their differential diagnosis and individualized treatment are still a challenge in clinical work. PCNs are tumors containing cystic components with different biological behaviors, and their clinical manifestations, epidemiology, imaging features, and malignant risks are different. Some are benign [e.g., serous cystic neoplasms (SCNs)], with a barely possible that turning into malignant, while others display a low or higher malignant risk [e.g., solid pseudopapillary neoplasms (SPNs), intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs), and mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs)]. PCN management should concentrate on preventing the progression of malignant tumors while preventing complications caused by unnecessary surgical intervention. Clinically, various advanced imaging equipment are usually combined to obtain a more reliable preoperative diagnosis. The challenge for clinicians and radiologists is how to accurately diagnose PCNs before surgery so that corresponding surgical methods and follow-up strategies can be developed or not, as appropriate. The objective of this review is to sum up the clinical features, imaging findings and management of the most common PCNs according to the classic literature and latest guidelines.

Imaging Features for Predicting High-Grade Dysplasia or Malignancy in Branch Duct Type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The consensus guidelines for branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (BD-IPMN) of the pancreas are mostly based on imaging features. This study aimed to determine imaging features and their diagnostic accuracy for predicting high-grade dysplasia (HGD)/malignancy in BD-IPMN, including mixed type.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane databases were searched, and data were extracted from relevant studies. As the main diagnostic accuracy index, diagnostic odds ratios (DORs) of imaging features for diagnosing HGD/malignancy in BD-IPMNs were pooled using the random-effects model. A bivariate random-effects approach was used to construct summary receiver operating characteristic curves for sensitivity and specificity estimation.

RESULTS

The pooled DOR was the highest for the enhanced solid component/mural nodule (MN) (DOR, 12.21; 95 % confidence interval [CI], 6.14-24.27), followed by a main pancreatic duct (MPD) diameter of 10 mm or greater (DOR, 7.93; 95 % CI, 3.02-20.83), solid component (DOR, 4.85; 95 % CI, 2.49-9.42), lymphadenopathy (DOR, 4.84; 95 % CI, 1.11-21.06), MN (DOR, 4.48; 95 % CI, 3.15-6.39), an MPD diameter of 5 mm or greater (DOR, 3.69; 95 % CI, 2.62-5.19), abrupt change in MPD caliber with distal pancreatic atrophy (DOR, 2.65; 95 % CI, 1.66-4.24), thickened/enhancing walls (DOR, 2.38; 95 % CI, 1.57-3.60), and cyst size of 3 cm or larger (DOR, 1.98; 95 % CI, 1.48-2.64). The largest area under the curve (0.89 and 0.95, respectively) and high specificity (0.95 and 0.98, respectively) also were found for enhanced solid component/MN and an MPD diameter of 10 mm or greater, albeit with low sensitivity (0.38 and 0.14, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The aforementioned imaging features could aid in predicting HGD/malignancy of BD-IPMN. Furthermore, enhanced solid component/MN and an MPD diameter of 10 mm or greater were the most important predictors of HGD/malignancy in BD-IPMN and should be considered as indications for surgery.

Narrative review of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: pathogenesis, diagnosis, and treatment of a true precancerous lesion

OBJECTIVE

Although considerable progress has been made in our understanding of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas, there are still some problems to be solved.

BACKGROUND

IPMN is one of the most important precancerous lesions of pancreatic cancer, but the relationship between IPMN and pancreatic cancer, and the specific mechanism of the development from IPMN to invasive carcinoma, remain to be explored in depth. With the development of imaging, the detection rate of IPMN has been greatly improved. However, the degree of malignancy of IPMN is difficult to assess, and its classification criteria and surgical treatment strategies are still controversial. Therefore, there is an urgent need for the best treatment plan for IPMN and research that can better predict IPMN recurrence and tumor malignancy.

METHODS

From the online database Web of Science (https://webofknowledge.com/) and PubMed (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/), we use specific retrieval strategies to retrieve relevant articles based on the topics we discussed, and we review and discuss them.

CONCLUSIONS

This paper discusses the related research and progress of IPMN in recent years to improve the understanding of the incidence, diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis of this disease. The follow-up and monitoring of IPMN is particularly important, but the specific strategy also remains controversial.

Systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies on BD-IPMNS progression to malignancy

BACKGROUND

The vast majority of presumed branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) of the pancreas are referred to a surveillance program due to the relatively low risk of malignancy. We aim to evaluate all available data from observational studies focused on the risks of BD-IPMN progression and malignancy to provide vital insights into its management in clinical practice.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was conducted at PubMed, Cochrane, Web of Science and Embase for observational studies published before January 1st, 2020. The progression of BD-IPMN was defined as the development of worrisome features (WFs) or high-risk stigmata (HRS) during surveillance. Overall malignancy was defined as all malignancies, such as malignant IPMN, concomitant pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and other malignancies, including BD-IPMN with high-grade sec. Baltimore consensus 2015 or BD-IPMN with high-grade dysplasia (carcinoma in situ) sec. WHO 2010. A meta-analysis was performed to investigate the presence of a mural nodule as a possible predictor of malignancy.

RESULTS

Twenty-four studies were included, with a total of 8941 patients with a presumed BD-IPMN. The progression rate was 20.2%, and 11.8% underwent surgery, 29.5% of whom showed malignancy at the final pathology. Of those, 78% had malignant IPMNs, and 22% had concomitant pancreatic cancer. Overall, 0.5% had distant metastasis. The meta-analysis showed that the risk of malignancy in the presence of a mural nodule >5 mm had a RR of 5.457 (95% CI 1.404-21.353), while a nonenhancing mural nodule or an enhancing mural nodule < 5 mm had a RR of 5.286 (95% CI 1.805-15.481) of harboring malignancy.

CONCLUSION

Most presumed BD-IPMNs entering surveillance do not become malignant. Of those submitted to surgery, concomitant PDAC adds to the overall risk of detecting malignancy.

Diagnostic Accuracy of MRI for Differentiation of Benign and Malignant Pancreatic Cystic Lesions Compared to CT and Endoscopic Ultrasound: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Differentiation of benign and malignant pancreatic cystic lesions on MRI, computed tomography (CT), and endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) is critical for determining management.

PURPOSE

To perform a systematic review evaluating the diagnostic accuracy of MRI for diagnosing malignant pancreatic cystic lesions, and to compare the accuracy of MRI to CT and EUS.

STUDY TYPE

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Web of Science, and Scopus were searched until February 2020 for studies reporting MRI accuracy for assessing pancreatic cystic lesions.

FIELD STRENGTH

1.5T or 3.0T.

ASSESSMENT

Methodologic and outcome data were extracted by two reviewers (AU and MA, 2 years of experience each). All studies of pancreatic cystic lesions on MRI were identified. Studies with incomplete MRI technique were excluded. Risk of bias was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS)-2 tool.

STATISTICAL TESTS

Sensitivity/specificity was pooled using bivariate random-effects meta-analysis with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). Pairwise-comparison of MRI to CT and EUS was performed. The impact of gadolinium-based contrast agents, mucinous lesions, and risk of bias were explored using meta-regression.

RESULTS

MRI pooled sensitivity was 76% (95%CI 67% to 84%) and specificity was 80% (95%CI 74% to 85%) for distinguishing benign and malignant lesions. MRI and CT had similar sensitivity (P = 0.822) and specificity (P = 0.096), but MRI was more specific than EUS (80% vs. 75%, P < 0.05). Studies including only contrast-enhanced MRI were more sensitive than those including unenhanced exams (P < 0.05). MRI sensitivity and specificity did not differ for mucinous lesions (P = 0.537 and P = 0.384, respectively) or for studies at risk of bias (P = 0.789 and P = 0.791, respectively).

DATA CONCLUSION

MRI and CT demonstrate comparable accuracy for diagnosing malignant pancreatic cystic lesions. EUS is less specific than MRI, which suggests that, in some cases, management should be guided by MRI findings rather than EUS.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 TECHNICAL EFFICACY STAGE: 2.

A case of endoscopic ultrasound-guided hepaticogastrostomy for obstructive jaundice caused by intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm-associated pancreatobiliary fistula

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) sometimes forms fistulas with other organs due to high pressure of pancreatic duct filled with huge amount of mucus. Pancreatobiliary fistula may cause obstructive jaundice due to the mucus and it is hard to manage the jaundice by endoscopic biliary stenting because of high viscosity of the bile. We report a case of IPMN with pancreatobiliary fistula managed by endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided hepaticogastrostomy (HGS). The patient was 87 years old and presented with obstructive jaundice. As a transpapillary biliary stent was considered to have a risk of migration due to the absence of bile duct stenosis, a nasobiliary catheter was placed as an initial drainage. However, the catheter was frequently obstructed by mucus. The patient was intolerable for surgery because of his age. Considering the intrahepatic bile was serous, EUS-HGS was performed and jaundice improved successfully. This case study revealed that EUS-HGS might be a therapeutic option for obstructive jaundice caused by an IPMN-associated pancreatobiliary fistula.

Comparison of Preoperative Evaluation with the Pathological Report in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: A Single-Center Experience

The key to the successful management of pancreatic cystic neoplasm (PCN), among which intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is the one with the highest risk of advanced neoplasia in resected patients, is a careful combination of clinical, radiological, and histopathological findings. This study aims to perform the comparison of a preoperative evaluation with pathological reports in IPMN and further, to evaluate and compare the diagnostic performance of European evidence-based guidelines on pancreatic cystic neoplasms (EEBGPCN) and Fukuoka Consensus guidelines (FCG). We analyzed 106 consecutive patients diagnosed with different types of PCN, among whom 68 had IPMN diagnosis, at the Clinical Center of Serbia. All the patients diagnosed with IPMNs were stratified concerning the presence of the absolute and relative indications according to EEBGPCN and high-risk stigmata and worrisome features according to FCG. Final histopathology revealed that IPMNs patients were further divided into malignant (50 patients) and benign (18 patients) groups, according to the pathological findings. The preoperative prediction of malignancy according to EEBGPCN criteria was higher than 70% with high sensitivity of at least one absolute or relative indication for resection. The diagnostic performance of FCG was shown as comparable to EEBGPCN. Nevertheless, the value of false-positive rate for surgical resection showed that in some cases, overtreating patients or treating them too early cannot be prevented. A multidisciplinary approach is essential to adequately select patients for the resection considering at the same time both the risks of surgery and malignancy.

Cost-effectiveness of consensus guideline based management of pancreatic cysts: The sensitivity and specificity required for guidelines to be cost-effective

BACKGROUND

Detection of cystic lesions of the pancreas has outpaced our ability to stratify low-grade cystic lesions from those at greater risk for pancreatic cancer, raising a concern for overtreatment.

METHODS

We developed a Markov decision model to determine the cost-effectiveness of guideline-based management for asymptomatic pancreatic cysts. Incremental costs per quality-adjusted life year gained and survival were calculated for current management guidelines. A sensitivity analysis estimated the effect on cost-effectiveness and mortality if overtreatment of low-grade cysts is avoided, and the sensitivity and specificity thresholds required of methods of cyst stratification to improve costs expended.

RESULTS

"Surveillance" using current management guidelines had an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $171,143/quality adjusted life year compared with no surveillance or operative treatment ("do nothing"). An incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for surveillance decreases to $80,707/quality adjusted life year if the operative overtreatment of low-grade cysts was avoided. Assuming a societal willingness-to-pay of $100,000/quality adjusted life year, the diagnostic specificity for high-risk cysts must be >67% for surveillance to be preferred over surgery and "do nothing." Changes in sensitivity alone cannot make surveillance cost-effective. Most importantly, survival in surveillance is worse than "do nothing" for 3 years after cyst diagnosis, although long-term survival is improved. The disadvantage is eliminated when overtreatment of low-grade cysts is avoided.

CONCLUSION

Current management of pancreatic cystic lesions is not cost-effective and may increase mortality owing to overtreatment of low-grade cysts. The specificity for risk stratification for high-risk cysts must be greater than 67% to make surveillance cost-effective.

Predictive Features of Malignancy in Branch Duct Type Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas: A Meta-Analysis

Simple Summary

Currently, there are several guidelines that are widely used to establish the treatment strategy for branch duct type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms. Although there are some common grounds, there are discrepancies on which features they adopt, how much each feature is weighted, and how the features are combined. Furthermore, some of the features are based on lower level evidences or expert opinions. The aim of this meta-analysis was to investigate important clinical, radiological, and biochemical risk factors for malignancy and their impact as predictors. This study found symptom, size, cyst wall thickening, presence of mural nodule, change in main pancreatic duct caliber, lymphadenopathy, CA 19-9, and CEA as risk factors. Lymphadenopathy (odd ratio [OR]: 8.55), abrupt caliber change (OR: 7.41), and mural nodule (OR: 4.10) had the highest odd ratios. We expect the higher level evidences of this study to help shape better guidelines and reduce discrepancies among future guidelines.

Abstract

The current guidelines on branch duct type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (BD-IPMN) recommend various predictive features of malignancy as well as different treatment strategies. This study aimed to identify the risk factors for malignancy with higher level of evidence. A meta-analysis was performed on 40 literatures published between 2000 and 2019. These literatures included 6301 patients with pathologically proven IPMN. Malignancy was defined as high-grade dysplasia and invasive carcinoma. It was significantly associated with symptoms (odds ratio [OR] 1.35, confidence interval [CI] 1.01–1.79), size ≥ 3 cm (OR 1.90, CI 1.51–2.40), cystic wall thickening (OR 2.53, CI 1.50–4.27), mural nodule (OR 4.10, CI 3.38–4.97), main pancreatic duct dilatation (OR 2.98, CI 2.11–4.21), abrupt caliber change of the pancreatic duct (OR 7.41, CI 2.49–22.06), lymphadenopathy (OR 8.55, CI 3.25–22.51), elevated carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (OR 4.01, CI 2.55–6.28), and elevated carcinoembryonic antigen (OR 2.04, CI 1.60–2.61). Multilocular cysts and multiple cysts did not show a significant association with malignancy. This study examined the clinical, radiological, and biochemical features of BD-IPMN, often used as malignancy predictors according to the widely used guidelines. The results confirmed that all the features currently being used are valid.

Prospective Study Using Plasma Apolipoprotein A2-Isoforms to Screen for High-Risk Status of Pancreatic Cancer

Simple Summary

Apolipoprotein A2 isoforms (apoA2-i) have been identified as minimally invasive biomarkers for detecting pancreatic cancer (PC) and high-risk individuals for PC. We investigated the efficiency of an enrichment strategy for high-risk individuals using a combination of blood testing for apoA2-i with imaging examinations in the general population. We enrolled 5120 subjects in experimental pancreatic cancer screening, with 84 subjects (1.3%) showing abnormal results for apoA2-i. Pancreatic diseases were recognized in about 30% of subjects with an apoA2-ATQ/AT level of ≤35 μg/mL. Among them, 1 pancreatic cancer and 15 high-risk individuals with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm were detected. ApoA2-i has the potential to enrich PC and high-risk status by increasing the diagnostic probability before imaging examinations.

Abstract

Apolipoprotein A2-ATQ/AT (apoA2-ATQ/AT) has been identified as a minimally invasive biomarker for detecting pancreatic cancer (PC) and high-risk (HR) individuals for PC. To establish an efficient enrichment strategy for HR, we carried out a plasma apoA2-ATQ/AT level-based prospective screening study among the general population. The subjects for the screening study were recruited at six medical check-up facilities in Japan between October 2015 and January 2017. We evaluated the positive predictive value (PPV) of the plasma apoA2-ATQ/AT level of ≤35 μg/mL for detecting PC and HR. Furthermore, we prospectively confirmed its diagnostic accuracy with another post-diagnosis population in a cross-sectional study. We enrolled 5120 subjects in experimental screening, with 84 subjects (1.3%) showing positive results for apoA2-ATQ/AT. Pancreatic abnormalities were recognized in 26 of the 84 subjects from imaging examinations. Pancreatic abnormalities detected included 1 PC and 15 HR abnormalities, such as cystic lesions including intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm. The PPV of apoA2-ATQ/AT for detecting PC and HR was 33.3%. Moreover, a combination study with another cross-sectional study revealed that the area under the curve for apoA2-ATQ/AT to distinguish PC from healthy controls was 0.903. ApoA2-ATQ/AT has the potential to enrich PC and HR by increasing the diagnostic probability before imaging examinations.

New Model for Predicting Malignancy in Patients With Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm

OBJECTIVE

To create a simple, objective model to predict the presence of malignancy in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN), which can be easily applied in daily practice and, importantly, adopted for any lesion types.

BACKGROUND

No predictive model for malignant IPMN has been widely applied in clinical practice.

METHODS

The clinical details of 466 patients with IPMN who underwent pancreatic resection at 3 hospitals were retrospectively analyzed for model development. Then, the model was validated in 664 surgically resected patients at 8 hospitals in Japan.In the preoperative examination, endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) was considered to be essential to observe mural nodules in both the model development and external validation sets. Malignant IPMNs were defined as those with high-grade dysplasia and associated invasive carcinoma.

RESULTS

Of the 466 patients, 258 (55%) had malignant IPMNs (158 high-grade dysplasia, 100 invasive carcinoma), and 208 (45%) had benign IPMNs. Logistic regression analysis resulted in 3 variables (mural nodule size, main pancreatic duct diameter, and cyst size) being selected to construct the model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the model was 0.763. In external validation sets, the pathological diagnosis was malignant and benign IPMN in 351 (53%) and 313 (47%) cases, respectively. For the external validation, the malignancy prediction ability of the model corresponded to an AUC of 0.725.

CONCLUSION

This predictive model provides important information for physicians and patients in assessing an individual's risk for malignancy and may help to identify patients who need surgery.

Risk Factors for Pancreatic Cancer and the Necessity of Long-Term Surveillance in Patients With Pancreatic Cystic Lesions

OBJECTIVES

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are a risk factor for pancreatic cancer (PC). Which PCLs should be surveilled and necessity of long-term observation are still controversial.

METHODS

From January 2000 to March 2016, we enrolled 1137 patients with PCLs observed for 1 year. We defined PCLs with cyst size of greater than 30 mm, main pancreatic duct (MPD) of greater than 5 mm or mural nodule as high-risk group, and others as low-risk group (LRG). Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard model were applied to assess incidence and risk factors of PC.

RESULTS

In 107 high-risk group and 1030 LRG patients, mean observation period was 4.3 years and 5.0 years, respectively, and 5-year PC incidence was 12.0% and 2.8%, respectively. In LRG, MPD of greater than 3 mm, diabetes mellitus, and presumed branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia (BD-IPMN), defined as PCLs fulfilling any of multilocular formation, multiplicity, or MPD communication, were independent risk factors for PC. In 450 LRG observed for 5 years, 10-year PC incidence was higher in PCLs with our identified risk factors. There was no PC occurrence in PCLs not presumed BD-IPMN after 5-year observation.

CONCLUSIONS

Continuous surveillance is needed after 5-year observation, especially in LRG with our identified risk factors. For discontinuing surveillance, PCLs not presumed BD-IPMN at fifth year could be candidates.

Long-term Risk of Malignancy in Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Long-term outcomes of patients with branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs), particularly those after 5 years of surveillance, have not been fully evaluated in large studies. We analyzed incidences of IPMN-derived carcinoma and concomitant ductal adenocarcinoma (pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma [PDAC]) over 20 years in a large population of patients.

METHODS

We identified 1404 consecutive patients (52% women; mean age, 67.5 years) with a diagnosis of branch-duct IPMN, from 1994 through 2017, at the University of Tokyo in Japan. Using a competing risk analysis, we estimated cumulative incidence of pancreatic carcinoma, overall and by carcinoma type. We used competing risks proportional hazards models to estimate subdistribution hazard ratios (SHRs) for incidences of carcinomas. To differentiate IPMN-derived and concomitant carcinomas, we collected genomic DNA from available paired samples of IPMNs and carcinomas and detected mutations in GNAS and KRAS by polymerase chain reaction and pyrosequencing.

RESULTS

During 9231 person-years of follow-up, we identified 68 patients with pancreatic carcinomas (38 patients with IPMN-derived carcinomas and 30 patients with concomitant PDACs); the overall incidence rates were 3.3%, 6.6%, and 15.0% at 5, 10, and 15 years, respectively. Among 804 patients followed more than 5 years, overall cumulative incidence rates of pancreatic carcinoma were 3.5% at 10 years and 12.0% at 15 years from the initial diagnosis. The size of the IPMN and the diameter of the main pancreatic duct associated with incidence of IPMN-derived carcinoma (SHR 1.85; 95% confidence interval 1.38-2.48 for a 10-mm increase in the IPMN size and SHR 1.56; 95% confidence interval 1.33-1.83 for a 1-mm increase in the main pancreatic duct diameter) but not with incidence of concomitant PDAC.

CONCLUSIONS

In a large long-term study of patients with branch-duct IPMNs, we found the 5-year incidence rate of pancreatic malignancy to be 3.3%, reaching 15.0% at 15 years after IPMN diagnosis. We observed heterogeneous risk factor profiles between IPMN-derived and concomitant carcinomas.

Value of endoscopy for early diagnosis of pancreatic carcinoma

Despite recent advances in diagnostic imaging modalities, most cases of pancreatic carcinoma are discovered at an unresectable stage, resulting in poor prognosis. Early diagnosis is essential to ensure curative treatment and improve the prognosis of pancreatic carcinoma. Imaging modalities with high diagnostic ability are necessary for the early diagnosis of pancreatic carcinoma. Endoscopic ultrasonography is a reliable and efficient diagnostic modality because it provides superior spatial resolution and should be incorporated into screening programs in patients at high risk of pancreatic carcinoma. Endoscopy facilitates cytopathological diagnosis based on samples collected via endoscopic ultrasonography-guided fine-needle aspiration and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography. Cytodiagnosis with endoscopic naso-pancreatic drainage is useful in patients with carcinoma in situ. In this review, we highlight the potential role of endoscopy in the early diagnosis of pancreatic carcinoma. We provide an overview of the endoscopy tools used for the diagnosis of pancreatic carcinoma, discuss the diagnostic ability of these tools for small carcinomas and carcinomas in situ, and propose a strategy for endoscopy-based screening of early pancreatic carcinoma.

Pancreatic Cysts in the Elderly

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Incidental pancreatic cysts are common, and management strategies continue to evolve. This review summarizes diagnostic and management recommendations in older patients with these lesions based on guidelines and best clinical evidence.

RECENT FINDINGS

Diagnosis of cyst type has been enhanced with improved imaging and cyst fluid analysis and visualization. Recent outcome studies indicate that certain cyst types should be followed independent of patient age as long as certain criteria which are reviewed are met. Differentiation of pancreatic cyst type is important as this dictates the need for long-term follow-up. Because most cyst-related neoplasia occurs in older patients, surveillance should continue within certain guidelines.

Diffusion-weighted image improves detectability of magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma concomitant with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm

The present study is aimed to clarify the utility of magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP) and the additional value of diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) in diagnosing pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) concomitant with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN).This retrospective study involved 38 patients with PDAC concomitant with IPMN and 114 patients (control) who were randomly selected from 320 patients with IPMN without PDAC and were matched with cases for magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) strength (1.5 T/3.0 T). Two radiologists reviewed the 2 MR image sets with relevant clinical information blinded, first MRCP alone and then combined MRI set including DWI. Diagnostic capability and interobserver agreement were assessed by using receiver operating characteristics curve (Az) analysis and weighted κ statistics.Az values for the 2 observers were 0.834 and 0.821 for MRCP alone and 0.964 and 0.926 for the combined MRI (P < .001 and P < .001), respectively. The sensitivity of MRCP alone was 61% (23/38), with both observers failing to diagnose PDACs located at the end of tail or away from the pancreatic duct. Meanwhile, with combined MRI, sensitivity was significantly increased for both observers (61% to 92%, P = .002; 61% to 87%, P = .004). Moreover, the interobserver agreement was higher with combined MRI (κ = 0.85) than MRCP alone (κ = 0.59).MRCP and DWI might be a superior option with a higher diagnostic capability of PDAC concomitant with IPMN than MRCP alone, especially for tumors away from the pancreatic duct.

Usefulness of septal thickness measurement on endoscopic ultrasound as a predictor of malignancy of branched-duct and mixed-type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Septal thickness (ST) can predict a malignant branch-duct (BD) and mixed-type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas, but its cut-off value has not been established. The aim of the present study was to determine the optimal ST cut-off value to predict malignancy using endoscopic ultrasound (EUS).

METHODS

We retrospectively identified 200 patients with IPMN, including 132 with BD- and mixed-IPMN, who underwent surgical resection between 1989 and 2017. ST was defined as the septum or lesion wall with the maximum diameter in BD- and mixed-IPMN. The possibility of ST as a malignant predictor was examined, as well as the diagnostic ability of ST combined with mural nodule (MN) height for malignant IPMN.

RESULTS

Among the 132 IPMN patients, pathological diagnosis was benign in 81 (61.4%) and malignant in 51 (38.6%). Area under the curve for the diagnosis of malignancy using ST was 0.74 for pathological specimens, 0.70 for EUS and 0.56 for computed tomography. Multivariate analysis showed that the odds ratios for ST ≥2.5 mm and MN height ≥5 mm were 3.51 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.55-7.97, P = 0.003] and 3.36 (95% CI, 1.52-7.45, P = 0.003), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Septal thickness was an independent predictive factor similar to MN height for malignant IPMN in a multivariate analysis. The ST on EUS appeared to be the thickness of a fibrotic septum associated with the malignant transformation of IPMN. An ST cut-off value of 2.5 mm might provide an accurate prediction of malignant IPMN.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas: clinicopathological features and long-term outcomes following a pancreatectomy

OBJECTIVE

the objective of this study was to analyze the anatomical and clinical features and long-term oncologic outcomes of 25 patients that underwent surgery due to intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

patients undergoing surgery for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas were identified from a prospective database of pancreatic resections. Demographic data, symptoms, type of surgery and type of lesion (branch type, main duct or mixed) were recorded. The lesions were classified into invasive (high grade dysplasia and carcinoma) and noninvasive (low- or intermediate-grade dysplasia). Postoperative complications were analyzed as well as the pattern of recurrence and disease-free survival at five and ten years.

RESULTS

the most common symptoms in the 25 patients (14 males and eleven females) were abdominal pain and weight loss. Eight (32%) cases were diagnosed incidentally. Twelve (48%) of the lesions were of the branch type, three affected the main duct and ten (40%) were mixed. Twelve cephalic duodenopancreatectomies and seven total pancreatectomies were performed; three were central; two, distal; and one, enucleation. Seven cases (32%) had an invasive phenotype. Three patients had locoregional and distant recurrence at six, 16 and 46 months after surgery with a median follow-up of 7.7 years. Disease-free survival at five and ten years for the noninvasive type was 94% and 57% for invasive phenotypes (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm is a heterogeneous entity with well differentiated phenotypes, which requires a tailored strategy and treatment, as established in the current consensus guidelines due to its malignant potential.

Endoscopic ultrasonography for the evaluation of pancreatic cystic neoplasms

Endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) is a modality with high spatial resolution that enables comprehensive observation of the entire pancreas and plays an important role in the diagnosis of pancreatic lesions. Recent advances in diagnostic imaging methods such as ultrasound, computed tomography, and magnetic resonance imaging have increased the incidental detection of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs). EUS has been recognized as an essential diagnostic method for the detection and evaluation of PCLs. EUS has two important roles: as a detailed (high-resolution) imaging diagnostic method and as an approach for collecting cyst fluid content by EUS-guided fine needle aspiration for pathological diagnosis or biomarker evaluation. Furthermore, in recent years, the usefulness of contrast-enhanced EUS for the differential diagnosis of PCLs or evaluation of grade of malignancy, and a novel imaging technique called needle-based confocal laser endomicroscopy to observe intraductal structures through a needle, has been reported. An understanding of the morphological characteristics of PCLs depicted by ultrasound imaging and of the benefits and limitations of EUS diagnosis in daily practice is needed.

Role of transabdominal ultrasonography in the diagnosis of pancreatic cystic lesions

Pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are incidental findings that are being increasingly identified because of recent advancements in abdominal imaging technologies. PCLs include different entities, with each of them having a peculiar biological behavior, and they range from benign to premalignant or malignant neoplasms. Therefore, accurate diagnosis is important to determine the best treatment strategy. As transabdominal ultrasonography (US) is noninvasive, inexpensive, and widely available, it is considered to be the most appropriate imaging modality for the initial evaluation of abdominal diseases, including PCLs, and for follow-up assessment. We present a review of the possibilities and limits of US in the diagnosis of PCLs, the technical development of US, and the ultrasonographic characteristics of PCLs.

Mutational Patterns in Pancreatic Juice of Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms and Concomitant Pancreatic Cancer

OBJECTIVES

The aims of this study were to identify genetic characteristics of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN)-associated pancreatic ductal carcinoma (PDC) and to detect these markers using pancreatic juice.

METHODS

From 76 cases, 102 tissues were obtained: 29 cases were noninvasive IPMN, 18 were PDC derived from IPMN (D-PDC; noninvasive part, n = 16; invasive part, n = 18), and 29 were PDC concomitant with IPMN (C-PDC; IPMN part, n = 10; PDC part, n = 29). Moreover, pancreatic juice samples from 28 cases were obtained (noninvasive IPMN, n = 13; D-PDC, n = 7; C-PDC, n = 8). Fifty-one cancer-related genes were analyzed by next-generation sequencing.

RESULTS

TP53 mutation rates in D-PDC, C-PDC, and noninvasive IPMN were 67%, 66%, and 10%, respectively. Moreover, KRAS mutational patterns between 2 simultaneous tumors differed in 1 (6.3%) of the 16 D-PDC cases and in 8 (80%) of the 10 C-PDC cases (P = 0.0006). TP53 or multiple KRAS mutations were detected using pancreatic juice more frequently in C-PDC cases than in noninvasive IPMN cases (75% and 23%, respectively, P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple KRAS mutations along with TP53 mutation are genetic markers for C-PDC, which could be detected using pancreatic juice preoperatively.

Follow-up of Incidentally Detected Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms: Do Baseline MRI and CT Features Predict Cyst Growth?

Background Incidental detection of pancreatic cystic neoplasm (PCN) has increased. Since a small percentage of PCNs possess malignant potential, management is challenging. The recently revised American College of Radiology (ACR) recommendations define PCN measurement and growth for different categories based on baseline cyst size. However, no data are available regarding PCN growth rate under the ACR-defined size categories. Purpose To assess growth of incidentally detected PCNs on long-term imaging follow-up using revised ACR recommendations and to evaluate the association between baseline imaging features and growth. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included PCNs with baseline imaging performed between January 2002 and May 2017, with two or more cross-sectional imaging studies performed at least 12 months apart. PCN assessment was based on ACR 2017 recommendations. Cyst features, including location, septations, and mural nodules and multiplicity, were noted. Time to cyst progression (growth by ACR criteria) was examined by using baseline PCN size, among other factors. Results A total of 646 cysts in 390 patients were followed up for a median of 50 months (range, 12-186 months). A total of 184 (28.5%) cysts increased in size, 52 (8.1%) decreased in size, and 410 (63.4%) remained stable. For groups in which baseline PCN size was smaller than 5 mm, 5-14 mm, 15-25 mm, and larger than 25 mm, growth was noted in seven (13.2%), 106 (28.9%), 49 (32.2%), and 22 (29.7%) cysts, respectively. ACR baseline size categories (subhazard ratio: 2.8 [5-14-mm PCN group], 3.4 [15-25-mm PCN group], and 2.7 [>25 mm group], as compared with the <5 mm PCN group; P < .05 for each) demonstrated association with growth. Presence of mural nodules, septations, or lesion multiplicity failed to demonstrate association with growth. Among PCNs smaller than 5 mm at baseline, 100% of PCNs at 3-year follow-up and 94.2% of PCNs at 5-year follow-up were likely to remain stable. Conclusion American College of Radiology baseline size category of 15-25-mm pancreatic cystic neoplasms (PCNs) demonstrated the highest (3.1 times) likelihood of growth, as compared with the category of PCNs smaller than 5 mm. PCNs smaller than 5 mm at baseline did not demonstrate growth at 3-year imaging follow-up. © RSNA, 2019 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Natural History of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma Diagnosed During Observation of Other Organ Cancers

BACKGROUND Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a rapidly progressive malignancy that exhibits an extremely poor prognosis, with most cases diagnosed at an advanced stage. To date, few reports have explored the natural history of PDAC, and the period leading up to the detection of PDAC as a tumor with contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT) remains unclear. Here, we report 3 PDAC cases diagnosed incidentally by repeating imaging examinations during observation of other organ cancers. CASE REPORT Two patients were undergoing postoperative follow-up for colorectal cancer; owing to the elevation of serum CA19-9 or dilatation of the main pancreatic duct, both cases were finally diagnosed with PDAC. Another patient was administered neoadjuvant chemotherapy for a gastrointestinal stromal tumor; the fluorodeoxyglucose uptake in the pancreas with fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography for the treatment assessment led to the diagnosis of PDAC. All patients underwent frequent CECT for assessment of other diseases, and PDAC became visible with CECT within 3-4 months of the appearance of indirect findings of PDAC. CONCLUSIONS The period leading up to the detection of PDAC as a tumor with CECT was approximately 3-4 months. These cases suggest that additional imaging examinations should be performed when the indirect findings of PDAC are noted. This report adds value to the literature by elucidating the natural course of PDAC.

EUS-Guided Pancreatic Cyst Ablation: a Clinical and Technical Review

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Pancreatic cystic lesions represent a growing public health dilemma, particularly as our population ages and cross-sectional imaging becomes more sensitive. Mucinous cysts carry a clinically significant risk of developing pancreatic cancer, which carries an extremely poor prognosis. Determining which cysts will develop cancer may be challenging, and surgical resection of the pancreas carries significant morbidity. The goal of this paper is to review the rationale for cyst ablation and discuss prior and current research on cyst ablation techniques and efficacy. Indications, contraindications, and factors related to optimal patient selection are outlined.

RECENT FINDINGS

Endoscopic ultrasound-guided chemoablation of pancreatic cysts has been performed in neoplastic cysts, with varying levels of efficacy. Safety concerns arose due to the risk of pancreatitis in alcohol-based treatments; however, the most recent data using a non-alcohol chemoablation cocktail suggests that ablation is effective without the need for alcohol, resulting in a significantly more favorable adverse event profile. Endoscopic ultrasound-guided chemoablation of neoplastic pancreatic cysts is a promising, minimally invasive approach for treatment of cysts, with recent significant advances in safety and efficacy, suggesting that it should play a role in the treatment algorithm.

Endoscopic ultrasound findings and pathological features of pancreatic carcinoma in situ

Background and study aims Few studies have evaluated detection of pancreatic carcinoma in situ (PCIS). We evaluated findings of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and pathological features of PCIS.

Patients and methods We histopathologically studied 16 patients with PCIS following EUS. Diagnostic features evaluated retrospectively included stricture of the main pancreatic duct (MPD) on EUS, presence or absence of hypoechoic areas surrounding the MPD stricture on EUS, the noncancerous part (pancreas of background) on EUS and histopathology, and histological findings adjacent to the area of PCIS.

Results On EUS, stricture of the MPD was found in 15 patients (93.8 %). Hypoechoic areas surrounding the MPD stricture were observed in 9 patients (56.3 %), including three (18.8 %) with a 10- to 11-mm hypoechoic mass. EUS findings of the noncancerous part indicated chronic pancreatitis in six patients (37.5 %), pancreatic fatty infiltration in seven (43.8 %), early chronic pancreatitis in two (12.5 %), and normal pancreas in one (6.3 %). Histological findings of the noncancerous part (proximal to the MPD stricture) indicated chronic pancreatitis in 13 patients (81.3 %) and pancreatic fatty infiltration in five patients (31.3 %). Histopathologically, subepithelial inflammatory cell infiltration and fibrosis were present in all 16 patients with PCIS.

Conclusions PCIS frequently causes localized changes in inflammation and fibrosis around the pancreatic duct. PCIS often accompanies chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic fatty infiltration in the background of the pancreas. EUS offers sufficient resolution to demonstrate pancreatic changes of PCIS.

Pancreatic cancer screening in patients with presumed branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms

Because delayed diagnosis is one of the causes of poor prognosis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), early detection is a key for overall improvement of prognosis. Towards this end, periodic screening is recommended for individuals considered high-risk for PDAC. Advances in diagnostic imaging modalities have increased the frequency of incidental findings of pancreatic cysts, including the intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) - a major risk factor of PDAC, having 1% annual prevalence of concomitance with IPMN. Proper retainment of patients with IPMN and regular follow-up by routine imaging examination will likely improve early detection and better prognosis of PDAC. Unfortunately, current guidelines only address management of PDAC derived from IPMN and overlook PDAC concomitant with IPMN. Screening of patients with IPMN, by endoscopic ultrasonography (currently the most reliable modality for detecting small PDAC), may facilitate early detection of both IPMN-derived and -concomitant PDAC. Prospective studies to evaluate the usefulness of endoscopic ultrasonography in screening of IPMN-concomitant PDAC will also help in determining the optimal surveillance strategy for more widespread applications.

Predictors of Malignancy in "Pure" Branch-Duct Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas without Enhancing Mural Nodules on CT Imaging: A Nationwide Multicenter Study

Background/Aims

Presence of enhanced mural nodules, which can be visualized using computed tomography (CT), is one of high-risk stigmata in branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs). Conversely, the absence of enhanced mural nodules on preoperative imaging does not exclude malignant risk. The present study aimed to investigate other morphological features as predictors of malignancy in "pure" BD-IPMNs without enhanced mural nodules on CT.

Methods

This retrospective study included 180 patients with surgically confirmed "pure" BD-IPMNs of the pancreas and no enhanced mural nodules on preoperative CT. The study was conducted at 15 tertiary referral centers throughout South Korea. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to identify significant predictors of malignancy.

Results

BD-IPMNs with low-grade (n=84) or moderate-grade (n=76) dysplasia were classified as benign; those with high-grade dysplasia (n=8) or invasive carcinoma (n=12) were classified as malignant. The multivariate analysis revealed that cyst size ≥30 mm (odds ratio, 8.6; p=0.001) and main pancreatic duct diameter ≥5 mm (odds ratio, 4.1; p=0.01) were independent risk factors for malignancy in "pure" BD-IPMNs without enhanced mural nodules on CT. Endoscopic ultrasound detected enhanced mural nodules (6/82) that had been missed on CT, and two IPMNs with enhanced mural nodules were malignant.

Conclusions

In patients with "pure" BD-IPMNs who have no enhanced mural nodules on CT, cyst size ≥30 mm and main pancreatic duct diameter ≥5 mm may be associated with malignancy.

Testing for Verification Bias in Reported Malignancy Risks for Side-Branch Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms: A Simulation Modeling Approach

OBJECTIVE

The objective of our study was to test for the possibility that published malignancy risks for side-branch intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) are overestimates, likely due to verification bias.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We tested for possible verification bias using simulation modeling techniques. First, in age-defined hypothetical cohorts of 10 million persons, we projected the frequency of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) arising from side-branch IPMNs over 5 years using published estimates of their prevalence (4.4%) and rate of malignant transformation (1.9%). Second, we projected the total number of PDAC cases in corresponding cohorts over the same time horizon using national cancer registry data. For each cohort, we determined whether the percentage of all PDAC cases that arose from side-branch IPMNs (i.e., side-branch IPMN-associated PDAC cases) was clinically plausible using an upper limit of 10% to define plausibility, as estimated from the literature. Model assumptions and parameter uncertainty were evaluated in sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

Across all cohorts, percentages of side-branch IPMN-associated PDACs greatly exceeded 10%. In the base case (mean age = 55.7 years), 80% of PDAC cases arose from side-branch IPMNs (7877/9786). In the oldest cohort evaluated (mean age = 75 years), this estimate was 76% (14,227/18,714). In a secondary analysis, we found that if an upper limit threshold of 10% for side-branch IPMN-associated PDAC was imposed, the model-predicted rate of malignancy for side-branch IPMNs would be less than 0.24% over a 5-year time horizon, substantially lower than most literature-based estimates.

CONCLUSION

Our results suggest that reported malignancy risks associated with side-branch IPMNs are likely to be overestimates and imply the presence of verification bias.

Clinical Management and Surgical Decision-Making of IPMN of the Pancreas

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is the most common pancreatic cystic neoplasm (PCN). The increased attention to IPMN is due to its unique features of malignant progression, being different between main duct IPMN and branch duct IPMN, and increased de novo development of conventional pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma elsewhere in the pancreas. The increased interest in IPMN led to publication of many guidelines on its clinical management. This chapter aims to summarize and compare characteristics of nine guidelines on the clinical management of IPMN and other PCNs published in the English literature and further to show a current strategy for surgical decision making in the management of IPMN.

Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms of the pancreas: a clinical challenge

The incidental detection rate of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) has significantly increased. However, little is known about the natural history of these tumors. Their optimal management and appropriate follow-up are still unclear. We have, therefore, reviewed the available literature on IPMN focusing on their diagnosis, treatment according to the risk of malignant transformation, and follow-up. Areas covered: Bibliographical searches were performed in PubMed for the terms 'intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm' and 'natural history' and 'diagnosis' and 'treatment' and 'surgery' and 'follow-up' and 'prognosis.' PubMed was used to search for all the relevant articles published over the last 10 years. A total of 7244 records were identified. After filtering for year range, English language, human studies, article types, and removing duplicates, 74 articles were left with the strongest level of evidence. Expert commentary: Available guidelines for IPMN management are mainly based on expert opinions and may lack strong evidence. Further studies are warranted to better predict the risk of recurrence/future malignancy and to establish standardized guidelines. IPMNs management should be based on multidisciplinary discussion and treatment should be tailored to an individual patient according to patient and tumor characteristics.

Association between chronological depressive changes and physical symptoms in postoperative pancreatic cancer patients

Background

Pancreatic cancer (PC) has poorer prognosis and higher surgical invasiveness than many other cancers, with associated psychiatric symptoms including depression and anxiety. Perioperative depression has not been investigated in PC patients regarding surgical stress and relevant interventions.

Methods

We evaluated chronological depressive changes and subjective physical symptoms in surgically treated PC patients preoperatively and at 3 and 6 months postoperatively.

Enrolled patients undergoing pancreatic tumor surgery completed questionnaires based on the Self-Rating Depression Scale (SDS) and Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy for Patients with Hepatobiliary Cancer (FACT-Hep) preoperatively, and at 3 and 6 months postoperatively. Responses were analyzed with JMP® Pro using one-way and two-way ANOVA, Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient, and multiple regression analysis.

Results

Malignancy was diagnosed in 73 of 101 patients postoperatively; SDS score was significantly higher in these patients than in those with benign tumors at all timepoints: malignant/benign, 41.8/37.9 preoperatively (p = 0.004); 43.5/37.8 3 months postoperatively (p = 0.006); and 42.9/37.7 6 months postoperatively (p = 0.020). SDS scores were significantly higher in patients < 65 years old with malignancy at 3 months than at 6 months postoperatively (44.6/42.5, p = 0.046) and in patients with malignancy who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy at 3 months postoperatively than preoperatively (43.4/41.1; p = 0.028). SDS scores moderately correlated with 8 physical symptom-related FACT-Hep items 3 months postoperatively (p < 0.05), showing low-to-moderate correlation with 16 physical symptom-related FACT-Hep items at 6 months postoperatively (p < 0.05). Multiple regression analysis of FACT-Hep symptoms significantly correlated with SDS scores revealed the following significant variables: “lack of energy” (p < 0.000) and “pain” (p = 0.018) preoperatively (R² = 0.43); “able to perform usual activities” (p = 0.031) and “lack of energy” (p < 0.000) at 3 months postoperatively (R² = 0.51); and “stomach swelling or cramps” (p = 0.034) and “bowel control” (p = 0.049) at 6 months postoperatively (R² = 0.52).

Conclusions

PC patients experience persistently high levels of depression preoperatively through 6 months postoperatively, with associated subjective symptoms including pain and gastrointestinal symptoms.

Trial registration

UMIN Clinical Trials Registry 000009592, Registered 20 December 2012.

Risk of Neoplastic Progression in Individuals at High Risk for Pancreatic Cancer Undergoing Long-term Surveillance

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Screening of individuals who have a high risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), because of genetic factors, frequently leads to identification of pancreatic lesions. We investigated the incidence of PDAC and risk factors for neoplastic progression in individuals at high risk for PDAC enrolled in a long-term screening study.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 354 individuals at high risk for PDAC (based on genetic factors of family history), enrolled in Cancer of the Pancreas Screening cohort studies at tertiary care academic centers from 1998 through 2014 (median follow-up time, 5.6 years). All subjects were evaluated at study entry (baseline) by endoscopic ultrasonography and underwent surveillance with endoscopic ultrasonography, magnetic resonance imaging, and/or computed tomography. The primary endpoint was the cumulative incidence of PDAC, pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3, or intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm with high-grade dysplasia (HGD) after baseline. We performed multivariate Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses.

RESULTS

During the follow-up period, pancreatic lesions with worrisome features (solid mass, multiple cysts, cyst size > 3 cm, thickened/enhancing walls, mural nodule, dilated main pancreatic duct > 5 mm, or abrupt change in duct caliber) or rapid cyst growth (>4 mm/year) were detected in 68 patients (19%). Overall, 24 of 354 patients (7%) had neoplastic progression (14 PDACs and 10 HGDs) over a 16-year period; the rate of progression was 1.6%/year, and 93% had detectable lesions with worrisome features before diagnosis of the PDAC or HGD. Nine of the 10 PDACs detected during routine surveillance were resectable; a significantly higher proportion of patients with resectable PDACs survived 3 years (85%) compared with the 4 subjects with symptomatic, unresectable PDACs (25%), which developed outside surveillance (log rank P < .0001). Neoplastic progression occurred at a median age of 67 years; the median time from baseline screening until PDAC diagnosis was 4.8 years (interquartile range, 1.6-6.9 years).

CONCLUSIONS

In a long-term (16-year) follow-up study of individuals at high-risk for PDAC, we found most PDACs detected during surveillance (9/10) to be resectable, and 85% of these patients survived for 3 years. We identified radiologic features associated with neoplastic progression.