Theory Is Critical in Understanding the Risks of Acquiring HIV

Rethinking the role of the local community in HIV epidemic spread in sub-Saharan Africa: a proximate-determinants approach

The spread of HIV in sub-Saharan Africa continues largely unabated. To improve prevention interventions, a better understanding of the determinants of HIV infection is required. Conceptual frameworks can guide epidemiological investigation and prevent a misguided focus on single risk factors in isolation. Existing frameworks of HIV infection focus on transmission. However, the transmitting individual is rarely known. By contrast, data on individual HIV acquisition are available from longitudinal studies and tests for recent HIV infection. From the perspective of individuals susceptible to HIV, it is important to distinguish between factors determining the individual's biological disposition and sexual behavior and community-level factors, which can affect both HIV acquisition and the likelihood that a sex partner chosen from a community will be infected with HIV and transmit the infection. We propose a framework that takes the susceptible individual as a starting point and links distal, proximate and biological determinants of HIV infection at both the individual and the community level. We describe three necessary ingredients for the use of the framework (identification of the relevant community, multilevel analysis and methods for causal inference).

Denialism undermines AIDS prevention in sub-Saharan Africa

Some denialists, widely reviled, contend that HIV does not cause AIDS. Other denialists, widely respected, contend that HIV transmits so poorly through trace blood exposures that iatrogenic infections are rare. This second group of denialists has had a corrosive effect on public health and HIV programmes in sub-Saharan Africa. Guided by this second group of denialists, no African government has investigated unexplained HIV infections. Denialists have withheld and ignored research findings showing that non-sexual risks account for substantial proportions of HIV infections in Africa. Denialists have promoted invasive procedures for HIV prevention in Africa--injections for sexually transmitted infections, and adult male circumcision--without addressing unreliable sterilization of reused instruments. By denying that health care causes more than rare infections, denialists blame (stigmatize) HIV-positive African adults for causing their own infections through sexual behaviour. Denialism must be overcome to ensure safe health care and to combat HIV-related stigma in Africa.

Coming to terms with complexity: a call to action for HIV prevention

A quarter of a century of AIDS responses has created a huge body of knowledge about HIV transmission and how to prevent it, yet every day, around the world, nearly 7000 people become infected with the virus. Although HIV prevention is complex, it ought not to be mystifying. Local and national achievements in curbing the epidemic have been myriad, and have created a body of evidence about what works, but these successful approaches have not yet been fully applied. Essential programmes and services have not had sufficient coverage; they have often lacked the funding to be applied with sufficient quality and intensity. Action and funding have not necessarily been directed to where the epidemic is or to what drives it. Few programmes address vulnerability to HIV and structural determinants of the epidemic. A prevention constituency has not been adequately mobilised to stimulate the demand for HIV prevention. Confident and unified leadership has not emerged to assert what is needed in HIV prevention and how to overcome the political, sociocultural, and logistic barriers in getting there. We discuss the combination of solutions which are needed to intensify HIV prevention, using the existing body of evidence and the lessons from our successes and failures in HIV prevention.