Factors Associated With Mortality in Low-Risk Pediatric Critical Care Patients in The Netherlands

Adverse Events in Pediatric Critical Care Nonsurvivors With a Low Predicted Mortality Risk: A Multicenter Case Control Study

OBJECTIVES

Some patients with a low predicted mortality risk in the PICU die. The contribution of adverse events to mortality in this group is unknown. The aim of this study was to estimate the occurrence of adverse events in low-risk nonsurvivors (LN), compared with low-risk survivors (LS) and high-risk PICU survivors and nonsurvivors, and the contribution of adverse events to mortality.

DESIGN

Case control study. Admissions were selected from the national Dutch PICU registry, containing 53,789 PICU admissions between 2006 and 2017, in seven PICUs. PICU admissions were stratified into four groups, based on mortality risk (low/high) and outcome (death/survival). Random samples were selected from the four groups. Cases were "LN." Control groups were as follows: "LS," "high-risk nonsurvivors" (HN), and "high-risk survivors" (HS). Adverse events were identified using the validated trigger tool method.

SETTING

Patient chart review study.

PATIENTS

Children admitted to the PICU with either a low predicted mortality risk (< 1%) or high predicted mortality risk (≥ 30%).

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

In total, 419 patients were included (102 LN, 107 LS, 104 HN, and 106 HS). LN had more complex chronic conditions (93.1%) than LS (72.9%; p < 0.01), HN (49.0%; p < 0.001), and HS (48.1%; p < 0.001). The occurrence of adverse events in LN (76.5%) was higher than in LS (13.1%) and HN (47.1%) ( p < 0.001). The most frequent adverse events in LN were hospital-acquired infections and drug/fluid-related adverse events. LN suffered from more severe adverse events compared with LS and HS ( p < 0.001). In 30.4% of LN, an adverse event contributed to death. In 8.8%, this adverse event was considered preventable.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant and preventable adverse events were found in low-risk PICU nonsurvivors. 76.5% of LN had one or more adverse events. In 30.4% of LN, an adverse event contributed to mortality.

The magnitude of pediatric mortality and determinant factors in intensive care units in a low-resource country, Ethiopia: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Pediatric mortality after being admitted to a pediatric intensive care unit in Ethiopia is high when compared to high-income countries. There are limited studies regarding pediatric mortality in Ethiopia. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the magnitude and predictors of pediatric mortality after being admitted to an intensive care unit in Ethiopia.

Methods

This review was conducted in Ethiopia after retrieving peer-reviewed articles and evaluating their quality using AMSTAR 2 criteria. An electronic database was used as a source of information, including PubMed, Google Scholar, and Africa Journal of Online Databases, using AND/OR Boolean operators. Random effects of the meta-analysis were used to show the pooled mortality of pediatric patients and its predictors. A funnel plot was used to assess the publication bias, and heterogeneity was also checked. The final result were expressed as an overall pooled percentage and odds ratio with a 95% confidence interval (CI) of < 0.05%.

Results

In our review, eight studies were used for the final analysis with a total population of 2,345. The overall pooled mortality of pediatric patients after being admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit was 28.5% (95% CI: 19.06, 37.98). The pooled mortality determinant factors were included the use of a mechanical ventilator with an odds ratio (OR) of 2.64 (95% CI: 1.99, 3.30); the level of Glasgow Coma Scale <8 with an OR of 2.29 (95% CI: 1.38, 3.19); the presence of comorbidity with an OR of 2.18 (95% CI: 1.41, 2.95); and the use of inotropes with an OR of 2.36 (95% CI: 1.65, 3.06).

Conclusion

In our review, the overall pooled mortality of pediatric patients after being admitted to the intensive care unit was high. Particular caution should be taken in patients on the use of mechanical ventilators, the level of Glasgow Coma Scale of <8, the presence of comorbidity, and the use of inotropes.

Systematic review registration

https://www.researchregistry.com/browse-the-registry#registryofsystematicreviewsmeta-analyses/, identifier: 1460.

Factors Associated with the Outcome of a Pediatric Patients Admitted to Intensive Care Unit in Resource-Limited Setup: Cross-Sectional Study

Background

Critical care is a multidisciplinary and interprofessional specialty devoted to treating patients who already have or are at danger of developing acute, life-threatening organ dysfunction. Due to the higher disease load and mortality from preventable illness, patient outcomes in intensive care units are challenging in settings with inadequate resources. This study aimed to determine factors associated with outcomes of pediatric patients admitted to intensive care units.

Methods

A cross-sectional study was conducted at Wolaita Sodo and Hawassa University teaching hospitals in southern Ethiopia. Data were entered and analyzed using SPSS version 25. Normality tests using the Shapiro-Wilk and Kolmogorov-Smirnov data were normally distributed. The frequency, percentage, and cross-tabulation of the different variables were then determined. Finally, the magnitude and associated factors were first analyzed using binary logistic regression and then multivariate logistic regression. Statistical significance was set at P < 0.05.

Results

A total of 396 Pediatric ICU patients were included in this study, and 165 (41.7%) deaths were recorded. The odds of patients from urban areas (AOR = 45%, CI 95%: 8%, 67% p-value = 0.025) were less likely to die than those in rural areas. Patients with co morbidities (AOR = 9.4, CI 95%: 4.5, 19.7, p = 0.000) were more likely to die than pediatric patients with no co-morbidities. Patients admitted with Acute respiratory distress syndrome (AOR = 12.86, CI 95%: 4.3, 39.2, p = 0.000) were more likely to die than those with not. Pediatric patients on mechanical ventilation (AOR = 3, CI 95%: 1.7, 5.9, p = 0.000) more likely to die than not mechanically ventilated.

Conclusion

Mortality of paediatric ICU patients was high (40.7%) in this study. Co-morbid disease, residency, the use of inotropes, and the length of ICU stay were all statistically significant predictors of death.

Validation of an adapted Pediatric Sepsis Score in children admitted to PICU with invasive infection and sepsis: a retrospective analysis of a Dutch national cohort

We validated an adapted form of the Pediatric Sepsis Score (aPSS), a disease-specific severity score available within 60 min of PICU admission, in children with invasive infection. aPSS consist of all components of PSS except lactate. aPSS predicted mortality in children with invasive infection (n = 4096; AUC 0.70 (95% CI 0.67–0.73)) and in children with sepsis (n = 1690; AUC 0.71 (0.67–0.76)). aPSS can be an adequate tool to predict outcome in children admitted to PICU with invasive infection or sepsis, especially in situations where lactate is not available within 60 min.

The Child With Severe Chronic Illness in the ICU: A Concise Review

OBJECTIVES

Children with severe chronic illness are a prevalent, impactful, vulnerable group in PICUs, whose needs are insufficiently met by transitory care models and a narrow focus on acute care needs. Thus, we sought to provide a concise synthetic review of published literature relevant to them and a compilation of strategies to address their distinctive needs.

DATA SOURCES

English language articles were identified in MEDLINE using a variety of phrases related to children with chronic conditions, prolonged admissions, resource utilization, mortality, morbidity, continuity of care, palliative care, and other critical care topics. Bibliographies were also reviewed.

STUDY SELECTION

Original articles, review articles, and commentaries were considered.

DATA EXTRACTION

Data from relevant articles were reviewed, summarized, and integrated into a narrative synthetic review.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Children with serious chronic conditions are a heterogeneous group who are growing in numbers and complexity, partly due to successes of critical care. Because of their prevalence, prolonged stays, readmissions, and other resource use, they disproportionately impact PICUs. Often more than other patients, critical illness can substantially negatively affect these children and their families, physically and psychosocially. Critical care approaches narrowly focused on acute care and transitory/rotating care models exacerbate these problems and contribute to ineffective communication and information sharing, impaired relationships, subpar and untimely decision-making, patient/family dissatisfaction, and moral distress in providers. Strategies to mitigate these effects and address these patients' distinctive needs include improving continuity and communication, primary and secondary palliative care, and involvement of families. However, there are limited outcome data for most of these strategies and little consensus on which outcomes should be measured.

CONCLUSIONS

The future of pediatric critical care medicine is intertwined with that of children with serious chronic illness. More concerted efforts are needed to address their distinctive needs and study the effectiveness of strategies to do so.

Nutritional screening tool for critically ill children: a systematic review

CONTEXT

Nutritional screening tools (NSTs) are used to identify patients who are at risk of nutritional status (NS) deterioration and associated clinical outcomes. Several NSTs have been developed for hospitalized children; however, none of these were specifically developed for Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (PICU) patients.

OBJECTIVE

A systematic review of studies describing the development, application, and validation of NSTs in hospitalized children was conducted to critically appraise their role in PICU patients.

DATA SOURCES

PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, SciELO, LILACS, and Google Scholar were searched from inception to December 11, 2020.

DATA EXTRACTION

The review included 103 studies that applied NSTs at hospital admission. The NST characteristics collected included the aims, clinical setting, variables, and outcomes. The suitability of the NSTs in PICU patients was assessed based on a list of variables deemed relevant for this population.

DATA ANALYSIS

From 19 NSTs identified, 13 aimed to predict NS deterioration. Five NSTs were applied in PICU patients, but none was validated for this population. NSTs did not include clinical, NS, laboratory, or dietary variables that were deemed relevant for the PICU population.

CONCLUSION

None of the available NSTs were found to be suitable for critically ill children, so a new NST should be developed for this population. AQ6.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO registration no. CRD42020167898.

Retrospective cohort study on factors associated with mortality in high-risk pediatric critical care patients in the Netherlands

Background

High-risk patients in the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) contribute substantially to PICU-mortality. Complex chronic conditions (CCCs) are associated with death. However, it is unknown whether CCCs also increase mortality in the high-risk PICU-patient. The objective of this study is to determine if CCCs or other factors are associated with mortality in this group.

Methods

Retrospective cohort study from a national PICU-database (2006–2012, n = 30,778). High-risk PICU-patients, defined as patients < 18 years with a predicted mortality risk > 30% according to either the recalibrated Pediatric Risk of Mortality-II (PRISM) or the Paediatric Index of Mortality 2 (PIM2), were included. Patients with a cardiac arrest before PICU-admission were excluded.

Results

In total, 492 high-risk PICU patients with mean predicted risk of 24.8% (SD 22.8%) according to recalibrated PIM2 and 40.0% (SD 23.8%) according to recalibrated PRISM were included of which 39.6% died. No association was found between CCCs and non-survival (odds ratio 0.99; 95% CI 0.62–1.59). Higher Glasgow coma scale at PICU admission was associated with lower mortality (odds ratio 0.91; 95% CI 0.87–0.96).

Conclusions

Complex chronic conditions are not associated with mortality in high-risk PICU patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12887-019-1646-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Relation between Baseline Total Serum Cortisol Level and Outcome in Pediatric Intensive Care Unit

Elevated cortisol level is an component of the stress response. However, some patients have low cortisol levels; a condition termed: critical illness-related corticosteroid insufficiency (CIRCI). Basal cortisol levels during PICU admission may be related to outcome. This prospective cohort study aimed to assess basal total serum cortisol levels and their relation to outcome in PICU. The study included 81 children over 6 months. Total serum cortisol was assessed using an early morning sample. The severity of illness was assessed using the PRISM-III score. Outcome measures included mechanical ventilation duration, use of inotropic support, length of stay, mortality. Comparison between patients' subgroups according to total serum cortisol levels revealed significantly higher PRISM-III score in patients with total serum cortisol levels. In addition, those patients had a significantly higher mortality rate when compared with patients with low and normal total serum cortisol levels. Multivariate logistic regression analysis recognized high total serum cortisol level and PRISM-III score as significant predictors of mortality. We concluded that PRISM-III score and elevated total serum cortisol levels are significant predictors of mortality in the PICU. Although CIRCI is prevalent in this population, it wasn't associated with an increased mortality rate.

Predictors of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support after surgery for adult congenital heart disease in children's hospitals

OBJECTIVE

Adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) patients who undergo cardiac surgery are at risk for poor outcomes, including extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support (ECMO) and death. Prior studies have demonstrated risk factors for mortality, but have not fully examined risk factors for ECMO or death without ECMO (DWE). We sought to identify risk factors for ECMO and DWE in adults undergoing congenital heart surgery in tertiary care children's hospitals.

DESIGN

All adults (≥18 years) undergoing congenital heart surgery in the Pediatric Health Information System (PHIS) database between 2003 and 2014 were included. Patients were classified into three groups: ECMO-free survival, requiring ECMO, and DWE. Univariate analyses were performed, and multinomial logistic regression models were constructed examining ECMO and DWE as independent outcomes.

SETTING

Tertiary care children's hospitals.

RESULTS

A total of 4665 adult patients underwent ACHD surgery in 39 children's hospitals with 51 (1.1%) patients requiring ECMO and 64 (1.4%) patients experiencing DWE. Of the 51 ECMO patients, 34 (67%) died. Increasing patient age, surgical complexity, diagnosis of single ventricle heart disease, preoperative hospitalization, and the presence of noncardiac complex chronic conditions (CCC) were risk factors for both outcomes. Additionally, low and medium hospital ACHD surgical volume was associated with an increased risk of DWE in comparison with ECMO.

CONCLUSIONS

There are overlapping but separate risk factors for ECMO support and DWE among adults undergoing congenital heart surgery in pediatric hospitals.

Nutritional support in the recovery phase of critically ill children

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The metabolic stress response of a critically ill child evolves over time and thus it seems reasonable that nutritional requirements change during their course of illness as well. This review proposes strategies and considerations for nutritional support during the recovery phase to gain optimal (catch-up) growth with preservation of lean body mass.

RECENT FINDINGS

Critical illness impairs nutritional status, muscle mass and function, and neurocognition, but early and high intakes of artificial nutrition during the acute phase cannot resolve this. Although (parenteral) nutrient restriction during the acute phase appears to be beneficial, persistent nutrient restriction, when the metabolic stress response resolves, has short-term and long-term detrimental consequences. Requirements increase markedly during the recovery phase to enable recovery and catch-up growth. Such large amounts of intake demand for alternate approach, especially when intestinal problems constitute a barrier for full enteral feeding. As part of the nutritional recovery, mobilization and exercise are essential to achieve catch-up growth with an optimal body composition.

SUMMARY

During the recovery phase of paediatric critical illness (catch-up) growth and muscle recovery require nutritional intakes at least two times the resting energy expenditure.

Causes of death in critically ill paediatric patients in Japan: a retrospective multicentre cohort study

OBJECTIVES

The primary objective is to clarify the clinical profiles of paediatric patients who died in intensive care units (ICUs) or paediatric intensive care units (PICUs), and the secondary objective is to ascertain the demographic differences between patients who died with and without chronic conditions.

METHODS

In this retrospective multicentre cohort study, we collected data on paediatric death from the Japanese Registry of Pediatric Acute Care (JaRPAC) database. We included patients who were ≤16 years of age and had died in either a PICU or an ICU of a participating hospital between April 2014 and March 2017. The causes of death were compared between patients with and without chronic conditions.

RESULTS

Twenty-three hospitals participated, and 6199 paediatric patients who were registered in the JaRPAC database were included. During the study period, 126 (2.1%) patients died (children without chronic illness, n=33; children with chronic illness, n=93). Twenty-five paediatric patients died due to an extrinsic disease, and there was a significant difference in extrinsic diseases between the two groups (children without chronic illness, 15 (45%); children with chronic illness, 10 (11%); p<0.01). Cardiovascular disease was the most common chronic condition (27/83, 29%). Eighty-three patients (85%) in the chronic group died due to an intrinsic disease, primarily congenital heart disease (14/93, 15%), followed by sepsis (13/93, 14%).

CONCLUSIONS

The majority of deaths were in children with a chronic condition. The major causes of death in children without a chronic illness were due to intrinsic factors such as cardiovascular and neuromuscular diseases, and the proportion of deaths due to extrinsic causes was higher in children without chronic illness.

Risk stratification to improve Pediatric Early Warning Systems: it is all about the context

Early recognition of critically ill patients is of paramount importance to reduce pediatric mortality and morbidity. We created a risk stratification system combining vital parameters and predefined risk factors aimed at reducing the risk of unrecognized clinical deterioration compared with conventional Pediatric Early Warning Systems (PEWS). This single-center retrospective case cohort study included infants (gestational age ≥ 37 weeks) to adolescents (aged <18 years) with unplanned pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission between April 01, 2014, and February 28, 2018. The sensitivity in the 24 h prior to endpoint of the Pediatric Risk Evaluation and Stratification System (PRESS) was compared with that of the conventional PEWS and calculated as the proportion of study patients who received a high-risk score. Seventy-four PICU admissions were included. PRESS and PEWS sensitivities at 2 h prior to endpoint were 0.70 (95%CI 0.59 to 0.80) and 0.30 (95%CI 0.20 to 0.42) respectively (p < 0.001). Excluding patients with seizures, PRESS sensitivity increased to 0.75 (95%CI 0.64 to 0.85). Forty-nine patients (66%) scored positive on at least one high-risk factor, and "worried sign" was scored in 31 patients (42%).Conclusion: Risk stratification seems advantageous for a faster detection of clinical deterioration, providing opportunity for earlier intervention. What is Known: • Prompt detection of clinical deterioration is of essential importance to reduce morbidity and mortality. • Conventional Pediatric Early Warning Systems (PEWS) have limited sensitivity and a short window of detection of 1 to 2 h. What is New: • Risk stratification based on context factors allows earlier identification of patients at risk, well before deviation of vital signs. • Risk stratification combined with continuous monitoring of deteriorating trends in vital signs could lead to the development of next-generation warning systems achieving true patient safety.

The occurrence of adverse events in low-risk non-survivors in pediatric intensive care patients: an exploratory study

We studied the occurrence of adverse events (AEs) in low-risk non-survivors (LNs), compared to low-risk survivors (LSs), high-risk non-survivors (HNs), and high-risk survivors (HSs) in two pediatric intensive care units (PICUs). The study was performed as a retrospective patient record review study, using a PICU-trigger tool. A random sample of 48 PICU patients (0-18 years) was chosen, stratified into four subgroups of 12 patients: LNs, LSs, HNs, and HSs. Primary outcome was the occurrence of AEs. The severity, preventability, and nature of the indentified AEs were determined. In total, 45 AEs were found in 20 patients. The occurrence of AEs in the LN group was significantly higher compared to that in the LS group and HN group (AE occurrence: LN 10/12 patients, LS 1/12 patients; HN 2/12 patients; HS 7/12 patients; LN-LS difference, p < 0.001; LN-HN difference, p < 0.01). The AE rate in the LN group was significantly higher compared to that in the LS and HN groups (median [IQR]: LN 0.12 [0.07-0.29], LS 0 [0-0], HN 0 [0-0], and HS 0.03 [0.0-0.17] AE/PICU day; LN-LS difference, p < 0.001; LN-HN difference, p < 0.01). The distribution of the AEs among the four groups was as follows: 25 AEs (LN), 2 AEs (LS), 8 AEs (HN), and 10 AEs (HS). Fifteen of forty-five AEs were preventable. In 2/12 LN patients, death occurred after a preventable AE.

CONCLUSION

The occurrence of AEs in LNs was higher compared to that in LSs and HNs. Some AEs were severe and preventable and contributed to mortality. What is Known: • 59-76% of all PICU patients encounter at least one adverse event during their PICU stay. • It is unknown if adverse events play a role in death of low-risk PICU patients. What is New: • In low-risk PICU non-survivors, occurrence of adverse events is higher compared to low-risk PICU survivors and to high-risk PICU non-survivors. • Severe and preventable adverse events occur in low-risk PICU non-survivors, some contributing to mortality.

Children with severe acute asthma admitted to Dutch PICUs: A changing landscape

The number of children requiring pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission for severe acute asthma (SAA) around the world has increased.

OBJECTIVES

We investigated whether this trend in SAA PICU admissions is present in the Netherlands.

METHODS

A multicenter retrospective cohort study across all tertiary care PICUs in the Netherlands. Inclusion criteria were children (2-18 years) hospitalized for SAA between 2003 and 2013. Data included demographic data, asthma diagnosis, treatment, and mortality.

RESULTS

In the 11-year study period 590 children (660 admissions) were admitted to a PICU with a threefold increase in the number of admissions per year over time. The severity of SAA seemed unchanged, based on the first blood gas, length of stay and mortality rate (0.6%). More children received highflow nasal cannula (P < 0.001) and fewer children needed invasive ventilation (P < 0.001). In 58% of the patients the maximal intravenous (IV) salbutamol infusion rate during PICU admission was 1 mcg/kg/min. However, the number of patients treated with IV salbutamol in the referring hospitals increased significantly over time (P = 0.005). The proportion of steroid-naïve patients increased from 35% to 54% (P = 0.004), with a significant increase in both age groups (2-4 years [P = 0.026] and 5-17 years [P = 0.036]).

CONCLUSIONS

The number of children requiring PICU admission for SAA in the Netherlands has increased. We speculate that this threefold increase is explained by an increasing number of steroid-naïve children, in conjunction with a lowered threshold for PICU admission, possibly caused by earlier use of salbutamol IV in the referring hospitals.