Prediction of Acute Kidney Injury on Admission to Pediatric Intensive Care

Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Incidence of Chronic Kidney Disease After Pediatric Critical Illness

OBJECTIVE

Survivors of pediatric critical illnesses are at risk of significant long-term organ sequelae. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a complication of critical illness (and ICU interventions) associated with growth impairment, cardiovascular disease, and early death. Our objective was to synthesize the evidence on the incidence of CKD among survivors of pediatric critical illness.

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE, Embase, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, and Cochrane Register of Controlled Trials from inception to February 2024.

STUDY SELECTION

Observational studies reporting the incidence of de novo CKD among survivors of pediatric critical illness.

DATA EXTRACTION

Two reviewers independently extracted data on study design, setting, population, demographics, diagnostic criteria, and outcome.

DATA SYNTHESIS

Meta-analysis was used to describe the incidence of CKD among survivors, risk of bias (RoB) assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute Tool, and strength and reliability of evidence assessed with GRADE (Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluations). CKD was quantified as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) less than 90 mL/min/1.73 m2 (outcome 1), eGFR less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (outcome 2), and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) as eGFR less than 15 mL/min per 1.73 m2 (outcome 3). Twelve studies (3642 patients) met selection criteria and reported at least one measure of CKD. The median duration of follow-up was 2, 3.6, and 5 years, respectively, for outcomes 1, 2, and 3. For each threshold, the pooled estimate of CKD incidence was 24% (95% CI, 16-32%) for eGFR less than 90, 14% (95% CI, 6-23%) less than 60, and 4% (95% CI, 0-7%) for ESRD. The overall quality assessment indicated a moderate RoB.

CONCLUSIONS

Among a heterogenous population of pediatric critical illness survivors, an important minority of survivors developed CKD or ESRD. This study highlights the importance of diagnostic criteria for reporting, a greater focus on postcritical care surveillance and follow-up to identify those with CKD. Further study would facilitate the delineation of high-risk groups and strategies for improved outcomes.

Application of multimodal ultrasonography to predicting the acute kidney injury risk of patients with sepsis: artificial intelligence approach

The occurrence of acute kidney injury in sepsis represents a common complication in hospitalized and critically injured patients, which is usually associated with an inauspicious prognosis. Thus, additional consequences, for instance, the risk of developing chronic kidney disease, can be coupled with significantly higher mortality. To intervene in advance in high-risk patients, improve poor prognosis, and further enhance the success rate of resuscitation, a diagnostic grading standard of acute kidney injury is employed to quantify. In the article, an artificial intelligence-based multimodal ultrasound imaging technique is conceived by incorporating conventional ultrasound, ultrasonography, and shear wave elastography examination approaches. The acquired focal lesion images in the kidney lumen are mapped into a knowledge map and then injected into feature mining of a multicenter clinical dataset to accomplish risk prediction for the occurrence of acute kidney injury. The clinical decision curve demonstrated that applying the constructed model can help patients whose threshold values range between 0.017 and 0.89 probabilities. Additionally, the metrics of model sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and area under the curve (AUC) are computed as 67.9%, 82.48%, 76.86%, and 0.692%, respectively, which confirms that multimodal ultrasonography not only improves the diagnostic sensitivity of the constructed model but also dramatically raises the risk prediction capability, thus illustrating that the predictive model possesses promising validity and accuracy metrics.

Renal angina index for early identification of risk of acute kidney injury in critically ill children

BACKGROUND

The main objective was to test whether the Renal Angina Index (RAI), calculated on patient admission to the pediatric intensive care unit (PICU), is associated with the risk of acute kidney injury (AKI) based on the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) (stage ≥ 2) in 72 h. The specific aim was to analyze the performance of the RAI at a specialized oncology PICU.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study involving two pediatric intensive care units located within a general hospital and an oncology hospital. Children aged ≥ 3 months to < 18 years admitted to the intensive care units in 2017 with a length of stay ≥ 72 h were included.

RESULTS

The sample included 249 patients, of which 51% were male (127 patients), with median age of 77 months, and mean ICU stay of 5 days. Of the total admissions, 141 were clinical (57%) and 108 surgical. The rate of AKI was 15% and death rate within 30 days was 13%. Having a positive RAI on admission showed a statistically significant association with AKI at Day 3 (OR = 18.5, 95%CI = 4.3 - 78.9, p < 0.001) and with death (OR = 3.9, 95%CI = 1.6 - 9.9, p = 0.004). The accuracy of the RAI in the cancer population was 0.81 on the ROC curve (95%CI 0.74, 0.88).

CONCLUSIONS

The RAI is a useful tool for predicting AKI and death in critically ill children, including in oncology units.

External validation of the modified sepsis renal angina index for prediction of severe acute kidney injury in children with septic shock

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) occurs commonly in pediatric septic shock and increases morbidity and mortality. Early identification of high-risk patients can facilitate targeted intervention to improve outcomes. We previously modified the renal angina index (RAI), a validated AKI prediction tool, to improve specificity in this population (sRAI). Here, we prospectively assess sRAI performance in a separate cohort.

METHODS

A secondary analysis of a prospective, multicenter, observational study of children with septic shock admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit from 1/2019 to 12/2022. The primary outcome was severe AKI (≥ KDIGO Stage 2) on Day 3 (D3 severe AKI), and we compared predictive performance of the sRAI (calculated on Day 1) to the original RAI and serum creatinine elevation above baseline (D1 SCr > Baseline +). Original renal angina fulfillment (RAI +) was defined as RAI ≥ 8; sepsis renal angina fulfillment (sRAI +) was defined as RAI ≥ 20 or RAI 8 to < 20 with platelets < 150 × 103/µL.

RESULTS

Among 363 patients, 79 (22%) developed D3 severe AKI. One hundred forty (39%) were sRAI + , 195 (54%) RAI + , and 253 (70%) D1 SCr > Baseline + . Compared to sRAI-, sRAI + had higher risk of D3 severe AKI (RR 8.9, 95%CI 5-16, p < 0.001), kidney replacement therapy (KRT) (RR 18, 95%CI 6.6-49, p < 0.001), and mortality (RR 2.5, 95%CI 1.2-5.5, p = 0.013). sRAI predicted D3 severe AKI with an AUROC of 0.86 (95%CI 0.82-0.90), with greater specificity (74%) than D1 SCr > Baseline (36%) and RAI + (58%). On multivariable regression, sRAI + retained associations with D3 severe AKI (aOR 4.5, 95%CI 2.0-10.2, p < 0.001) and need for KRT (aOR 5.6, 95%CI 1.5-21.5, p = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Prediction of severe AKI in pediatric septic shock is important to improve outcomes, allocate resources, and inform enrollment in clinical trials examining potential disease-modifying therapies. The sRAI affords more accurate and specific prediction than context-free SCr elevation or the original RAI in this population.

Diagnostic accuracy of renal angina index alone or in combination with biomarkers for predicting acute kidney injury in children

Early recognition of patients at risk for severe acute kidney injury (AKI) by renal angina index (RAI) may help in the early institution of preventive measures. Objective was to evaluate performance of RAI alone or in combination with biomarkers in predicting severe AKI (KDIGO stage 2 and 3 or equivalent) and receipt of kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in critically ill children. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Sciences, and CENTRAL for studies published till May 2021. Search terms included acute kidney injury, pediatrics, adolescent, renal angina index, and biomarker. Proceedings of relevant conferences and references of included studies were also scrutinized. Two reviewers independently assessed the study eligibility. Cohort and cross-sectional studies evaluating the diagnostic performance of RAI in predicting AKI or receipt of KRT in children were included. Eligible participants were the children less than 18 years with RAI assessment on day 0 ofadmission. We followed PRISMA-DTA guidelines and used the QUADAS-2 tool for quality assessment. A bivariate model for meta-analysis was used to calculate the summary estimates of diagnostic parameters. Major outcomes were the diagnostic accuracy of RAI (≥ 8) alone or with biomarkers in predicting severe AKI and KRT receipt. Diagnostic accuracy was reported using summary sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC). Overall, 22 studies (24 reports, 14,001 participants) were included. RAI ≥ 8 on day 0 has summary sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.77-0.92), 0.77 (0.68-0.83), and 0.88 (0.85-0.91) respectively for prediction of severe AKI on day 3. In comparison, a combination of RAI and urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) showed summary sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of 0.76 (0.62-0.85), 0.89 (0.74-0.96), and 0.87 (0.84-0.90) respectively for predicting severe AKI. The sensitivity, specificity, and AUC of RAI for predicting receipt of KRT were 0.82 (0.71-0.90), 0.74 (0.66-0.81), and 0.85 (0.81-0.88) respectively. In meta-regression, only the study setting (sepsis vs. heterogenous) was associated with heterogeneity. We observed substantial heterogeneity among eligible studies. Five studies had concerns in patient selection, and seven studies also had applicability concerns in patient selection for this review. Moderate certainty evidence showed that RAI ≥ 8 has good predicting ability in recognizing children at risk of severe AKI and receipt of KRT. The combination of urinary NGAL and RAI further improves the predicting ability (low-certainty evidence). Further studies are required on the context-driven assessment of novel biomarkers in the early prediction of AKI in RAI-positive children. Systematic review registration number: CRD4202122268. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.

Assessment of the renal angina index for the prediction of acute kidney injury in patients admitted to a European pediatric intensive care unit

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with worse outcomes and increased morbidity and mortality in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) patients. The renal angina index (RAI) has been proposed as an early prediction tool for AKI development.

OBJECTIVES

The objective was to evaluate outcomes of RAI-positive patients and to compare RAI performance with traditional AKI markers across different patient groups (medical/post-surgical). This was an observational retrospective study. All children admitted to a tertiary hospital PICU over a 3-year period were included. Electronic medical records were reviewed. Day 1 RAI was calculated, as was the presence and staging of day 3 AKI.

RESULTS

A total of 593 patients were included; 56% were male, the mean age was 55 months, and 17% had a positive RAI. This was associated with day 3 AKI development and worse outcomes, such as greater need for kidney replacement therapy, longer duration of mechanical ventilation, vasoactive support and PICU stay, and higher mortality. For all-stage kidney injury, RAI presented a sensitivity of 87.5% and a specificity of 88.1%. Prediction of day 3 all-stage AKI by RAI had an AUC=0.878; its performance increased for severe AKI (AUC = 0.93). RAI was superior to serum creatinine increase and KDIGO AKI staging on day 1 in predicting severe AKI development. The performance remained high irrespective of the type of admission.

CONCLUSIONS

The RAI is a simple and inexpensive tool that can be used with medical and post-surgical PICU patients to predict AKI development and anticipate complications, allowing for the adoption of preventive measures.

Acute kidney injury: epidemiology and course in critically ill children

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in critically ill children. The aim of this paper was to describe the prevalence and course of AKI in critically ill children and to compare different AKI classification criteria.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective observational study in our multi-disciplinary Pediatric Intensive Care Unit (ICU) from January 2015 to December 2018. All patients from birth to 16 years of age who were admitted to the pediatric ICU were included. The Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) definition was considered as the reference standard. We compared the incidence data assessed by KDIGO, pediatric risk, injury, failure, loss of kidney function and end- stage renal disease (pRIFLE) and pediatric reference change value optimised for AKI (pROCK).

RESULTS

Out of 7505 patients, 9.2% developed AKI by KDIGO criteria. The majority (59.8%) presented with stage 1 AKI. Recovery from AKI was observed in 70.4% of patients within 7 days from diagnosis. Both pRIFLE and pROCK were less sensitive compared to KDIGO criteria for the classification of AKI. Patients who met all three-KDIGO, pRIFLE and pROCK criteria had a high mortality rate (35.0%).

CONCLUSION

Close to one in ten patients admitted to the pediatric ICU met AKI criteria according to KDIGO. In about 30% of patients, AKI persisted beyond 7 days. Follow-up of patients with persistent kidney function reduction at hospital discharge is needed to reveal the long-term morbidity due to AKI in the pediatric ICU.

Re-evaluating Renal Angina Index: An Authentic, Evidence-Based Instrument for Acute Kidney Injury Assessment: Critical Appraisal

Background/Introduction: Renal angina index (RAI) used to calculate and accurately predict risk for the development of acute kidney injury (AKI) has been heavily explored. AKI is traditionally diagnosed by an increase in serum creatinine (SCr) concentration or oliguria, both of which are neither specific nor sensitive, especially among children. An RAI score may be calculated by combining objective signs of kidney dysfunction (such as SCr) and patient context, such as AKI risk factors, thus potentially serving as a more accurate indicator for AKI. Objective: Due to the propitious and novel nature of RAI, this editorial commentary aims to analyze the current literature on RAI and determine how well RAI serves as a predictor of AKI outcomes. Method: A comprehensive literature search was conducted in PubMed/Medline and Google Scholar between January 2012 and July 2020. Literature included the prognostic aspect of early prediction of AKI in the pediatric and adult population via RAI. Results: The initial literature search included 149 studies, and a total of 10 studies reporting the outcomes of interest were included. The overall sample size across these studies was 11,026. The predictive ability of RAI had a pooled (95% CI) sensitivity of 79.21%, specificity of 73.22%, and negative predictive value of 94.83%. Conclusion: RAI shows benefit in the prediction of AKI among adult and pediatric populations. However, there is a lack of sufficient data, and further prospective studies are needed in pediatric populations to use RAI as a principal AKI indicator among clinicians.