Postoperative Meld-Lactate and Isolated Lactate Values As Outcome Predictors Following Orthotopic Liver Transplantation

Validation and performance of three scoring systems for predicting primary non-function and early allograft failure after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Primary non-function (PNF) and early allograft failure (EAF) after liver transplantation (LT) seriously affect patient outcomes. In clinical practice, effective prognostic tools for early identifying recipients at high risk of PNF and EAF were urgently needed. Recently, the Model for Early Allograft Function (MEAF), PNF score by King's College (King-PNF) and Balance-and-Risk-Lactate (BAR-Lac) score were developed to assess the risks of PNF and EAF. This study aimed to externally validate and compare the prognostic performance of these three scores for predicting PNF and EAF.

METHODS

A retrospective study included 720 patients with primary LT between January 2015 and December 2020. MEAF, King-PNF and BAR-Lac scores were compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and the net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) analyses.

RESULTS

Of all 720 patients, 28 (3.9%) developed PNF and 67 (9.3%) developed EAF in 3 months. The overall early allograft dysfunction (EAD) rate was 39.0%. The 3-month patient mortality was 8.6% while 1-year graft-failure-free survival was 89.2%. The median MEAF, King-PNF and BAR-Lac scores were 5.0 (3.5-6.3), -2.1 (-2.6 to -1.2), and 5.0 (2.0-11.0), respectively. For predicting PNF, MEAF and King-PNF scores had excellent area under curves (AUCs) of 0.872 and 0.891, superior to BAR-Lac (AUC = 0.830). The NRI and IDI analyses confirmed that King-PNF score had the best performance in predicting PNF while MEAF served as a better predictor of EAD. The EAF risk curve and 1-year graft-failure-free survival curve showed that King-PNF was superior to MEAF and BAR-Lac scores for stratifying the risk of EAF.

CONCLUSIONS

MEAF, King-PNF and BAR-Lac were validated as practical and effective risk assessment tools of PNF. King-PNF score outperformed MEAF and BAR-Lac in predicting PNF and EAF within 6 months. BAR-Lac score had a huge advantage in the prediction for PNF without post-transplant variables. Proper use of these scores will help early identify PNF, standardize grading of EAF and reasonably select clinical endpoints in relative studies.

Effect of dexmedetomidine on the incidence of postoperative acute kidney injury in living donor liver transplantation recipients: a randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is one of the most common complications after living-donor liver transplantation (LDLT) that has great impact on recipient and graft outcomes. Dexmedetomidine is reported to decrease the incidence of AKI. In the current study, the authors investigated whether intraoperative dexmedetomidine infusion would reduce the AKI following LDLT.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

In total, 205 adult patients undergoing elective LDLT were randomly assigned to the dexmedetomidine group ( n =103) or the control group ( n =102). Dexmedetomidine group received continuous dexmedetomidine infusion at a rate of 0.4 mcg/kg/h after the anesthesia induction until 2 h after graft reperfusion. The primary outcome was to compare the incidence of AKI. Secondary outcomes included serial lactate levels during surgery, chronic kidney disease, major adverse cardiovascular events, early allograft dysfunction, graft failure, overall mortality, duration of mechanical ventilation, intensive care unit, and hospital length of stay. Intraoperative hemodynamic parameters were also collected.

RESULTS

Of 205 recipients, 42.4% ( n =87) developed AKI. The incidence of AKI was lower in the dexmedetomidine group (35.0%, n =36/103) compared with the control (50.0%, n =51/102) ( P =0.042). There were significantly lower lactate levels in the dexmedetomidine group after reperfusion [4.39 (3.99-4.8) vs 5.02 (4.62-5.42), P =0.031] until the end of surgery [4.23 (3.73-4.74) vs 5.35 (4.84-5.85), P =0.002]. There were no significant differences in the other secondary outcomes besides lactate. Also, intraoperative mean blood pressure, cardiac output, and systemic vascular resistance did not show any difference.

CONCLUSION

Our study suggests that intraoperative dexmedetomidine administration was associated with significantly decreased AKI incidence and lower intraoperative serum lactate levels in LDLT recipients, without untoward hemodynamic effects.

Lactate concentration at the end of liver transplant: Early predictor of graft function or just one piece of the puzzle?

BACKGROUND

The post-operative course after Liver Transplantation (LT) can be complicated by early allograft dysfunction (EAD), primary nonfunction (PNF) and death. A lactate concentration at the end of transplant of ≥5 mmol/L was recently proposed as a predictive marker of PNF, EAD, and mortality; this study aimed to validate these previous reports in a large single center cohort.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included adult liver transplant recipients who received grafts from deceased donors at our center between June 2012 and May 2021. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for the lactate concentration at the end of transplantation were computed to determine the AUC for PNF, EAD and mortality at 90 days.

RESULTS

In our cohort of 1137 cases, the AUCs for lactate to predict EAD, PNF and mortality were respectively .56 (95% confidence interval [CI]: .53-.60), .69 (95% CI: .52-.85), and .74 (95% CI: .63-.84).

CONCLUSION

The clinical value of lactate concentration at the end of transplantation to predict PNF, EAD and mortality at 90 days was, at best, modest, as shown by the relatively low AUCs. Our findings cannot validate previous reports that the lactate level alone is a good predictor of poor outcomes after liver transplantation.

MELD-Lactate Predicts Poor Outcome in Variceal Bleeding in Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Predictors of poor outcome associated with variceal bleeding remain suboptimal. In patients with cirrhosis, serum lactate combined with Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD-LA) improved prediction across heterogeneous populations. However, prognostic properties have not yet been assessed in the context of variceal bleeding.

AIMS

We aimed to evaluate the predictive performance of MELD-LA compared to MELD, lactate, and nadir hemoglobin in cirrhosis patients with variceal bleeding.

METHODS

In this multicenter study, we identified 472 patients with variceal bleeding from a German primary cohort (University Hospitals Hamburg/Frankfurt/Cologne), and two independent external validation cohorts [Veterans Affairs (VA), Baylor University]. Discrimination for 30-day mortality was analyzed and scores were compared. MELD-LA was evaluated separately in validation cohorts to ensure consistency of findings.

RESULTS

In contrast to nadir hemoglobin, MELD and peak-lactate at time of bleeding were significantly higher in 30-day non-survivors in the primary cohort (p = 0.708; p < 0.001). MELD-LA had excellent discrimination for 30-day mortality (AUROC 0.82, 95% CI 0.76-0.88), better than MELD and peak-lactate (AUROC 0.78, 95% CI 0.71-0.84; AUROC 0.73, 95% CI 0.66-0.81). MELD-LA predicted 30-day mortality independently of age, sex, severity of liver disease and vasopressor support (HR 1.29 per 1-point-increase of MELD-LA; 95% CI 1.19-1.41; p < 0.001). Similarly, MELD-LA demonstrated excellent discrimination for 30-day mortality in the VA (AUROC = 0.86, 95% CI 0.79-0.93) and Baylor cohort (AUROC = 0.85, 95% CI 0.74-0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

MELD-LA significantly improves discrimination of short-term mortality associated with variceal bleeding, compared to MELD, peak-lactate and nadir hemoglobin. Thus, MELD-LA might represent a useful and objective marker for risk assessment and therapeutic intervention in patients with variceal bleeding.

Establishment of MELD-lactate clearance scoring system in predicting death risk of critically ill cirrhotic patients

Background

To develop a scoring system related to the lactate clearance (ΔLA) to predict the mortality risk (MELD-ΔLA) for critically ill cirrhotic patients.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, 881 critically ill cirrhotic patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database were included eventually. The outcomes of our study were defined as ICU death, 28-day, 90-day and 1-year mortality. Predictors were identified by multivariate Cox analysis to develop the predictive scoring system. The C-index and area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC) were used to identify the predicting performance of the MELD-ΔLA, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA), the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), Child–Pugh, chronic liver failure consortium acute-on-chronic liver failure (CLIF-C ACLF), chronic liver failure consortium-acute decompensation (CLIF-C AD) and MELD-Na scoring systems. Additionally, subgroup analysis was also performed based on whether critically ill cirrhotic patients underwent liver transplantation.

Results

Creatinine, bilirubin, international normalized ratio (INR), lactate first, ΔLA and vasopressors were closely associated with ICU death of liver critically ill cirrhotic patients. The C-index of the MELD-ΔLA in ICU death was 0.768 (95% CI 0.736–0.799) and the AUC for the MELD-ΔLA scoring system in predicting 28-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality were 0.774 (95% CI 0.743–0.804), 0.765 (95% CI 0.735–0.796), and 0.757 (95% CI 0.726–0.788), suggested that MELD-ΔLA scoring system has a good predictive value than SOFA, CLIF-SOFA, MELD, Child–Pugh, CLIF-C ACLF, CLIF-C AD) and MELD-Na scoring systems. Additionally, the study also confirmed the good predictive value of MELD-ΔLA scoring system for critically ill cirrhotic patients regardless of undergoing liver transplantation.

Conclusion

The developed MELD-ΔLA score is a simple scoring system in predicting the risk of ICU death, 28-day, 90-day and 1-year mortality for critically ill cirrhotic patients, which may have a good predictive performance.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-022-02351-5.

Risk Factors and Outcomes for Postoperative Ileus After Small Intestinal Fistula Excision in Patients With Diffuse Extensive Abdominal Adhesions

Purpose: The study aimed to investigate the risk factors for postoperative ileus (POI) after small intestinal fistula excision (SIFE) in patients with diffuse extensive abdominal adhesions. Methods: From October 2010 to December 2019, we enrolled patients who underwent SIFE and had diffuse extensive abdominal adhesions. Patients were divided into the POI group and the non-POI group according to its occurrence. We then investigated and analyzed the clinical characteristics of both groups. Result: A total of 247 patients were enrolled into the study. There were 100 patients in the POI group, and 147 patients in the non-POI group. A multi-variable logistic regression analysis revealed that blood loss during SIFE (OR = 1.001; 95% CI: 1.000-1.259; P = 0.012), postoperative lactate(OR = 1.212; 95% CI: 1.001-1.304; P = 0.015), grade V abdominal adhesions (OR = 2.518; 95% CI: 1.814-3.44; P = 0.024), and time for recovery of lactate <2 mmol/L (OR = 2.079; 95% CI: 1.599-3.616; P = 0.026) were associated with POI. Moreover, POI was also associated with prolonged postoperative stay in the hospital (HR = 3.291; 95% CI: 2.511-4.172; P = 0.014). Conclusion: Blood loss during operation, grade V abdominal adhesions, positive fluid balance within 48 h of operation, and time for recovery of lactate were the risk factors for POI after SIFE in patients with diffuse extensive abdominal adhesions.

The prognostic value of peak arterial lactate levels within 72 h of lung transplantation in identifying patient outcome

Background

Lactic acidosis is often seen in lung transplantation (LTx). Postoperative lactate is frequently associated with poor outcome in postoperative and critically ill patients. Our aim was to evaluate the predictive value of postoperative peak lactate levels within 72 h of LTx for 30-day and late mortality.

Methods

We evaluated patients who underwent LTx from January 2015 to September 2017. All admitted patients were classified according to the peak lactate level (PL) within 72 h of surgery: PL <5 mmol/L (Group 1); PL =5–10 mmol/L (Group 2), and PL >10 mmol/L (Group 3). We performed logistic regression analysis and used Cox regression models to identify the peak lactate level as a predictive factor for 30-day and late mortality, respectively.

Results

Of 255 eligible patients, mean age 55.61±12.16, mean lactate 4.99±2.93 and 80% male, and 40% had hyperlactatemia (PL >5 mmol/L) after LTx. The 30-day mortality rate was 17.9%, 28.9% and 68.8% in the three groups, respectively (P<0.05). Multivariate regression analyses revealed postoperative PL as a notable predictor of 30-day mortality [odds ratio =2.62 (1.42–4.84), P=0.002] as well as for late mortality [hazard ratio =2.70 (1.13–6.42), P=0.025].

Conclusions

The postoperative peak lactate level within 72 h of surgery was an independent predictor for 30-day and late mortality in LTx patients.

Levels of serum IgG subclasses in patients with liver disease: A retrospective study

Viral and alcoholic liver disease, drug induced liver disease (DILD), primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) and autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) are among the most common liver diseases observed in clinical practice. These diseases lack unique clinical characteristics at the beginning of pathogenesis, which renders specific diagnosis difficult. Immunoglobulin G (IgG) subclasses are the main isoform of antibodies that can be found in the serum that serve important protective roles in immunity. The present study aimed to investigate the serum IgG subclass distribution in patients with the five common liver diseases aforementioned. The present study retrospectively recorded and analyzed the serum IgG subclass levels of different patients, who were grouped according to their clinical diagnosis. Serum IgG subclass levels were measured using immunonephelometric assays. IgG3 levels were found to be significantly increased whereas IgG4 levels were significantly decreased in patients with PBC. In patients with AIH, IgG1 levels were significantly increased. By contrast, IgG1/IgG level ratios in patients with viral liver disease were significantly increased. No clear pattern in the distribution characteristics of IgG subclasses could be observed in cohorts with alcoholic liver disease and DILD in the present study. Additionally, model for end-stage liver disease scores regarding IgG1 in patients with AIH shared a synergistic relationship. Anti-mitochondrial antibody subtype M2 (AMA-M2) and IgG3 in patients with PBC demonstrated a synergistic relationship. These results suggested that IgG subclasses may be used as biomarkers to further the understanding of liver disease, which could allow for early diagnosis.

Arterial Lactate Concentration at the End of Liver Transplantation Is an Early Predictor of Primary Graft Dysfunction

BACKGROUND

Although many prognostic factors of primary graft dysfunction after liver transplantation (LT) are available, it remains difficult to predict failure in a given recipient.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine whether the intraoperative assay of arterial lactate concentration at the end of LT (LCEOT) might constitute a reliable biological test to predict early outcomes [primary nonfunction (PNF), early graft dysfunction (EAD)].

METHODS

We reviewed data from a prospective database in a single center concerning patients transplanted between January 2015 and December 2016 (n = 296).

RESULTS

There was no statistical imbalance between the training (year 2015) and validation groups (year 2016) for epidemiological and perioperative feature. Ten patients (3.4%) presented with PNF, and EAD occurred in 62 patients (20.9%); 9 patients died before postoperative day (POD) 90. LCEOT ≥5 mmol/L was the best cut-off point to predict PNF (Se=83.3%, SP=74.3%, positive likelihood ratio (LR+)=3.65, negative likelihood ratio (LR-)=0.25, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR)=14.44) and was predictive of PNF (P = 0.02), EAD (P = 0.05), and death ≤ POD90 (P = 0.06). Added to the validated BAR-score, LCEOT improved its predictive value regarding POD 90 survival with a better AUC (0.87) than BAR score (0.74). The predictive value of LCEOT was confirmed in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSION

As a reflection of both hypoperfusion and tissue damage, the assay of arterial LCEOT ≥5 mmol/L appears to be a strong predictor of early graft outcomes and may be used as an endpoint in studies assessing the impact of perioperative management. Its accessibility and low cost could impose it as a reliable parameter to anticipate postoperative management and help clinicians for decision-making in the first PODs.

Peri-transplant lactate levels and delayed lactate clearance as predictive factors for poor outcomes after liver transplantation: A propensity score-matched study

This study aimed to investigate risk factors for early allograft dysfunction (EAD) and outcomes after liver transplantation (LT), focusing on peri-transplant lactate clearance. We reviewed patients who underwent deceased donor LTs between 2011 and 2014. Lactate levels were checked at reperfusion and at the time of intensive care unit admission. Early lactate clearance was defined as reduction rate of lactate between the times of reperfusion and immediately after LT. Patients were categorized into the normal and delayed clearance groups. We used propensity score matching (PSM) between these two groups to estimate an impact of lactate clearance on incidence of EAD and graft survival. A total of 256 recipients were eligible for this study. Cut-off value of lactate clearance to predict occurrence of EAD was determined at 0.2 mmol/L/h. After PSM, 120 patients in the normal clearance and 36 patients in the delayed clearance group were matched. Delayed lactate clearance was considered as an independent risk factor for EAD (Odds ratio 3.49, P = 0.002). The adjusted hazard of one-year graft loss was significantly increased in the delayed clearance group (hazard ratio 6.69, P = 0.001). In conclusion, peri-transplant delayed lactate clearance may be a strong predictor for EAD and poor liver graft outcomes.

Persistent acidosis after reperfusion-A prognostic indicator of increased 30-day and in-hospital postoperative mortality in liver transplant recipients

During liver transplantation, the patient is at risk of developing progressive lactic acidosis. Following reperfusion, correction of acidosis may occur. In some patients, acidosis will worsen, a phenomenon referred to as persistent acidosis after reperfusion (PAAR). We compared postoperative outcomes in patients who manifested PAAR vs those that did not. All adult patients undergoing liver transplantation from 2002 to 2015 were included. PAAR is defined by the presence of a significant negative slope coefficient for base excess values measured after hepatic artery anastomosis through 72 hours postoperatively. Primary outcome was a composite of 30-day and in-hospital mortality. Secondary outcomes included: ICU LOS, total hospital LOS, and re-transplantation rate within 7 days. PAAR occurred in 10% of the transplant recipients. Patients with PAAR had higher MELD, BMI, and eGFR and demonstrated a longer median ICU LOS and hospital median LOS with a trend toward mortality difference. But, after propensity matching, the mortality rate difference became significantly higher in patients with PAAR compared with matched controls while the ICU LOS differences disappeared. The re-transplantation rates were similar also between the PAAR and no PAAR groups. The cohort with PAAR had a significant 30-day and in-hospital increase in mortality after propensity score matching.