Procalcitonin and Presepsin as Prognostic Markers After Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest

Biomarkers for neuroprognostication after standard versus extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation - A sub-analysis of Prague-OHCA study

BACKGROUND

Limited evidence exists for prognostic performance of biomarkers in patients resuscitated from out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) with extracorporeal CPR (ECPR). We hypothesized that (1) the time course and (2) prognostic performance of biomarkers might differ between CPR and ECPR in a sub-analysis of Prague-OHCA study.

METHODS

Patients received either CPR (n = 164) or ECPR (n = 92). The primary outcome was favorable neurologic survival at 180 days [cerebral performance category (CPC) 1-2]. Secondary outcomes included biomarkers of neurologic injury, inflammation and hemocoagulation.

RESULTS

Favorable neurologic outcome was not different between groups: CPR 29.3% vs. ECPR 21.7%; p = 0.191. Biomarkers exhibited similar trajectories in both groups, with better values in patients with CPC 1-2. Procalcitonin (PCT) was higher in ECPR group at 24-72 h (all p < 0.01). Neuron-specific enolase (NSE), C-reactive protein and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio did not differ between groups. Platelets, D-dimers and fibrinogen were lower in ECPR vs. CPR groups at 24-72 h (all p < 0.001). ROC analysis (24-48-72 h) showed the best performance of NSE in both CPR and ECPR groups (AUC 0.89 vs. 0.78; 0.9 vs. 0.9; 0.91 vs. 0.9). PCT showed good performance specifically in ECPR (0.72 vs. 0.84; 0.73 vs. 0.87; 0.73 vs. 0.86). Optimal cutoff points of NSE and PCT were higher in ECPR vs. CPR.

CONCLUSIONS

Biomarkers exhibited similar trajectories although absolute values tended to be higher in ECPR. NSE had superior performance in both groups. PCT showed a good performance specifically in ECPR. Additional biomarkers may have modest incremental value. Prognostication algorithms should reflect the resuscitation method.

Wolf Creek XVII Part 8: Neuroprotection

Introduction

Post-cardiac arrest brain injury (PCABI) is the primary determinant of clinical outcomes for patients who achieve return of spontaneous circulation after cardiac arrest (CA). There are limited neuroprotective therapies available to mitigate the acute pathophysiology of PCABI.

Methods

Neuroprotection was one of six focus topics for the Wolf Creek XVII Conference held on June 14-17, 2023 in Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA. Conference invitees included international thought leaders and scientists in the field of CA resuscitation from academia and industry. Participants submitted via online survey knowledge gaps, barriers to translation, and research priorities for each focus topic. Expert panels used the survey results and their own perspectives and insights to create and present a preliminary unranked list for each category that was debated, revised and ranked by all attendees to identify the top 5 for each category.

Results

Top 5 knowledge gaps included developing therapies for neuroprotection; improving understanding of the pathophysiology, mechanisms, and natural history of PCABI; deploying precision medicine approaches; optimizing resuscitation and CPR quality; and determining optimal timing for and duration of interventions. Top 5 barriers to translation included patient heterogeneity; nihilism & lack of knowledge about cardiac arrest; challenges with the translational pipeline; absence of mechanistic biomarkers; and inaccurate neuro-triage and neuroprognostication. Top 5 research priorities focused on translational research and trial optimization; addressing patient heterogeneity and individualized interventions; improving understanding of pathophysiology and mechanisms; developing mechanistic and outcome biomarkers across post-CA time course; and improving implementation of science and technology.

Conclusion

This overview can serve as a guide to transform the care and outcome of patients with PCABI. Addressing these topics has the potential to improve both research and clinical care in the field of neuroprotection for PCABI.

Inflammatory response after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest-Impact on outcome and organ failure development

BACKGROUND

Post-cardiac arrest syndrome that occurs in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients is characterized by inflammatory response. We conducted a scoping review of current evidence regarding several inflammatory markers' usefulness for assessment of patient outcome and illness severity. We also discuss the proposed underlying mechanisms leading to inflammatory response after OHCA.

METHODS

We searched the MEDLINE, PubMed Central, Cochrane CENTRAL and Web of Science Core Collection databases with the following search terms: ("inflammation" OR "cytokines") AND "out-of-hospital cardiac arrest." Each inflammatory marker found was combined with "out-of-hospital cardiac arrest" using "AND" to find further relevant studies. We included original studies measuring inflammatory markers in adult OHCA patients that assessed their prognostic capabilities for mortality, neurological outcome, or organ failure severity.

RESULTS

Fifty-nine studies met the inclusion criteria, covering in total 65 different markers. Interleukin-6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) were the most studied markers, and they were associated with poor outcomes in 13/15, 13/14 and 11/17 studies, respectively. Based on area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) value, the time point of best discriminatory capacity for poor outcome was ICU admission for IL-6 (median AUC 0.78, range 0.71-0.98) and day one after OHCA for PCT (median AUC 0.84, range 0.61-0.98). Seven studies reported AUCs for CRP (range 0.52-0.76) with no measurement time point being superior to others. The association of IL-6 and PCT with outcome appeared stronger in studies with more severely ill patients. Studies reported conflicting results regarding each marker's association with organ failure severity.

CONCLUSION

Inflammatory markers are potentially useful for early risk stratification after OHCA. PCT and IL-6 have moderate prognostic value during the first 24 h of the ICU stay. Predictive accuracy appears to be associated with the study overall event rate.

Blood pressure targets and management during post-cardiac arrest care

Blood pressure is one modifiable physiological target in patients treated in the intensive care unit after cardiac arrest. Current Guidelines recommend targeting a mean arterial pressure (MAP) of higher than 65-70 mmHg using fluid resuscitation and the use of vasopressors. Management strategies will vary based in the setting, i.e. the pre-hospital compared to the in-hospital phase. Epidemiological data suggest that some degree of hypotension requiring vasopressors occur in almost 50% of patients. A higher MAP could theoretically increase coronary blood flow but on the other hand the use of vasopressor may result in an increase in cardiac oxygen demand and arrhythmia. An adequate MAP is paramount for maintaining cerebral blood flow. In some cardiac arrest patients the cerebral autoregulation may be disturbed resulting in the need for higher MAP in order to avoid decreasing cerebral blood flow. Thus far, four studies including little more than 1000 patients have compared a lower and higher MAP target in cardiac arrest patients. The achieved mean difference of MAP between groups has varied from 10-15 mmHg. Based on these studies a Bayesian meta-analysis suggests that the posterior probability that a future study would find treatment effects higher than a 5% difference between groups to be less than 50%. On the other hand, this analysis also suggests, that the likelihood of harm with a higher MAP target is also low. Noteworthy is that all studies to date have focused mainly on patients with a cardiac cause of the arrest with the majority of patients being resuscitated from a shockable initial rhythm. Future studies should aim to include also non-cardiac causes and aim to target a wider separation in MAP between groups.

Comparison of Prognostic Performance between Procalcitonin and Procalcitonin-to-Albumin Ratio in Post Cardiac Arrest Syndrome

(1) Background: Post-cardiac arrest syndrome (PCAS) is a type of global ischemic reperfusion injury that occurs after the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). The procalcitonin to albumin ratio (PAR) has been studied as an independent prognostic factor of various diseases. There are no previous studies of PAR in patients with PCAS. We assessed if PAR is more effective than procalcitonin (PCT) in predicting prognosis for patients with PCAS. (2) Methods: This retrospective cohort study included a total of 187 patients with PCAS after non-traumatic out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) between January 2016 and December 2020. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to assess the association between PAR and PCAS prognosis. The predictive performance of PAR was compared with PCT via the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and DeLong test.; (3) Results: PAR at 24 and 48 h after hospital admission were independently associated with one-month neurological outcome (OR: 1.167, 95% CI: 1.023-1.330; OR: 1.077, 95% CI: 1.012-1.146, p < 0.05). By ROC analysis, PAR showed better performance over PCT at 48 h after admission in predicting one-month CPC (0.763 vs. 0.772, p = 0.010). (4) Conclusions: Our findings suggest that PAR at 48 h after admission is more effective in predicting a one-month neurological outcome than PCT at 48 h after admission in patients with PCAS after OHCA.

Markers of neutrophil mediated inflammation associate with disturbed continuous electroencephalogram after out of hospital cardiac arrest

BACKGROUND

Achieving an acceptable neurological outcome in cardiac arrest survivors remains challenging. Ischemia-reperfusion injury induces inflammation, which may cause secondary neurological damage. We studied the association of ICU admission levels of inflammatory biomarkers with disturbed 48-hour continuous electroencephalogram (cEEG), and the association of the daily levels of these markers up to 72 h with poor 6-month neurological outcome.

METHODS

This is an observational, post hoc sub-study of the COMACARE trial. We measured serum concentrations of procalcitonin (PCT), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), osteopontin (OPN), myeloperoxidase (MPO), resistin, and proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) in 112 unconscious, mechanically ventilated ICU-treated adult OHCA survivors with initial shockable rhythm. We used grading of 48-hour cEEG monitoring as a measure for the severity of the early neurological disturbance. We defined 6-month cerebral performance category (CPC) 1-2 as good and CPC 3-5 as poor long-term neurological outcome. We compared the prognostic value of biomarkers for 6-month neurological outcome to neurofilament light (NFL) measured at 48 h.

RESULTS

Higher OPN (p = .03), MPO (p < .01), and resistin (p = .01) concentrations at ICU admission were associated with poor grade 48-hour cEEG. Higher levels of ICU admission OPN (OR 3.18; 95% CI 1.25-8.11 per ln[ng/ml]) and MPO (OR 2.34; 95% CI 1.30-4.21) were independently associated with poor 48-hour cEEG in a multivariable logistic regression model. Poor 6-month neurological outcome was more common in the poor cEEG group (63% vs. 19% p < .001, respectively). We found a significant fixed effect of poor 6-month neurological outcome on concentrations of PCT (F = 7.7, p < .01), hsCRP (F = 4.0, p < .05), and OPN (F = 5.6, p < .05) measured daily from ICU admission to 72 h. However, the biomarkers did not have independent predictive value for poor 6-month outcome in a multivariable logistic regression model with 48-hour NFL.

CONCLUSION

Elevated ICU admission levels of OPN and MPO predicted disturbances in cEEG during the subsequent 48 h after cardiac arrest. Thus, they may provide early information about the risk of secondary neurological damage. However, the studied inflammatory markers had little value for long-term prognostication compared to 48-hour NFL.

LDH, CRP and ALB predict nucleic acid turn negative within 14 days in symptomatic patients with COVID-19

AIMS

To search for biochemical indicators that can identify symptomatic patients with COVID-19 whose nucleic acid could turn negative within 14 days, and assess the prognostic value of these biochemical indicators in patients with COVID-19.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We collected the clinical data of patients with COVID-19 admitted to our hospital, by using logistic regression analysis and AUC curves, explored the relationship between biochemical indicators and nucleic acid positive duration, the severity of COVID-19, and hospital stay respectively.

RESULTS

A total of two hundred and thirty-three patients with COVID-19 were enrolled in the study. We found patients whose nucleic acid turned negative within 14 days had lower LDH, CRP and higher ALB (P < 0.05). ROC curve results indicated that lower LDH, TP, CRP and higher ALB predicted the nucleic acid of patients turned negative within 14 days with statistical significance(P < 0.05), AST, LDH, CRP and PCT predicted the severe COVID-19 with statistical significance, and CRP predicted hospital stay >31days with statistical significance (P < 0.05). After verification, the probability of nucleic acid turning negative within 14 days in patients with low LDH (<256 U/L), CRP (<44.5 mg/L) and high ALB (>35.8 g/L) was about 4 times higher than that in patients with high LDH, CRP and low ALB (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

LDH, CRP and ALB are useful prognostic marker for predicting nucleic acid turn negative within 14 days in symptomatic patients with COVID-19.

The Prognostic Value of Presepsin for Sepsis in Abdominal Surgery: A Prospective Study

INTRODUCTION

Rapid diagnosis accompanied by appropriate treatment is essential in the therapy of sepsis. However, there is no blood marker available, which reliably predicts sepsis and associated mortality. Therefore, the aim of the present study was to evaluate presepsin and endotoxin in comparison with established blood markers in patients undergoing emergency visceral surgery for abdominal infection.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This prospective study included 31 patients with abdominal infection undergoing emergency surgery between March and August 2014. The Sepsis-2 and Sepsis-3 definitions of sepsis were used. Blood markers (presepsin, endotoxin, C-reactive protein, procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin 6 (IL-6), white blood count) were analyzed preoperatively and correlated with the clinical course and mortality. Additionally, a combination of the three markers, which performed best, was tested.

RESULTS

Twenty patients (64.5%) in the analyzed cohort developed sepsis from an abdominal focus according to the latest sepsis definition. Out of the analyzed blood markers, presepsin exhibited the highest area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity for the prediction of the development of sepsis. Moreover, presepsin had the highest predictive value for mortality as opposed to both endotoxin and previously established blood markers (i.e., PCT, IL-6). The multimarker approach, which included PCT, IL-6, and presepsin, showed no additional predictive value over presepsin alone.

CONCLUSION

The present study suggests that presepsin is a novel predictor of sepsis and mortality from sepsis in patients undergoing surgery for intra-abdominal infections. The findings of the present study should be validated in a larger cohort.

Procalcitonin in special patient populations: Guidance for antimicrobial therapy

PURPOSE

Procalcitonin (PCT) is an endogenous hormone that increases reliably in response to bacterial infection, and measurement of serum PCT levels is recommended to help guide antimicrobial therapy. The utility of PCT assessment in special patient populations (eg, patients with renal dysfunction, cardiac compromise, or immunocompromised states and those undergoing acute care surgery) is less clear. The evidence for PCT-guided antimicrobial therapy in special populations is reviewed.

SUMMARY

In the presence of bacterial infection, nonneuroendocrine PCT is produced in response to bacterial toxins and inflammatory cytokines, resulting in markedly elevated levels of serum PCT. Cytokine induction in nonbacterial inflammatory processes activated by acute care surgery may alter the interpretation of PCT levels. The reliability of PCT assessment has also been questioned in patients with renal dysfunction, cardiac compromise, or immunosuppression. In many special populations, serum PCT may be elevated at baseline and increase further in the presence of infection; thus, higher thresholds for diagnosing infection or de-escalating therapy should be considered, although the optimal threshold to use in a specific population is unclear. Procalcitonin-guided antimicrobial therapy may be recommended in certain clinical situations.

CONCLUSION

Procalcitonin may be a reliable marker of infection even in special populations with baseline elevations in serum PCT. However, due to unclear threshold values and the limited inclusion of special populations in relevant clinical trials, PCT levels should be considered along with clinical criteria, and antibiotics should never be initiated or withheld based on PCT values alone. Procalcitonin measurement may have a role in guiding de-escalation of antibiotic therapy in special populations; however, the clinician should be aware of disease states and concomitant therapies that may affect interpretation of results.

Serum fibroblast growth factor 21 levels after out of hospital cardiac arrest are associated with neurological outcome

Fibroblast growth factor (FGF) 21 is a marker associated with mitochondrial and cellular stress. Cardiac arrest causes mitochondrial stress, and we tested if FGF 21 would reflect the severity of hypoxia-reperfusion injury after cardiac arrest. We measured serum concentrations of FGF 21 in 112 patients on ICU admission and 24, 48 and 72 h after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest with shockable initial rhythm included in the COMACARE study (NCT02698917). All patients received targeted temperature management for 24 h. We defined 6-month cerebral performance category 1–2 as good and 3–5 as poor neurological outcome. We used samples from 40 non-critically ill emergency room patients as controls. We assessed group differences with the Mann Whitney U test and temporal differences with linear modeling with restricted maximum likelihood estimation. We used multivariate logistic regression to assess the independent predictive value of FGF 21 concentration for neurologic outcome. The median (inter-quartile range, IQR) FGF 21 concentration was 0.25 (0.094–0.91) ng/ml in controls, 0.79 (0.37–1.6) ng/ml in patients at ICU admission (P < 0.001 compared to controls) and peaked at 48 h [1.2 (0.46–2.5) ng/ml]. We found no association between arterial blood oxygen partial pressure and FGF 21 concentrations. We observed with linear modeling an effect of sample timepoint (F 5.6, P < 0.01), poor neurological outcome (F 6.1, P = 0.01), and their interaction (F 3.0, P = 0.03), on FGF 21 concentration. In multivariate logistic regression analysis, adjusting for relevant clinical covariates, higher average FGF 21 concentration during the first 72 h was independently associated with poor neurological outcome (odds ratio 1.60, 95% confidence interval 1.10–2.32). We conclude that post cardiac arrest patients experience cellular and mitochondrial stress, reflected as a systemic FGF 21 response. This response is higher with a more severe hypoxic injury but it is not exacerbated by hyperoxia.

Initial red cell distribution width as a predictor of poor neurological outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors in a prospective, multicenter observational study (the KoCARC study)

This study aimed to investigate whether the initial red cell distribution width (RDW) at the emergency department (ED) is associated with poor neurological outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors. We performed a prospective observational analysis of patients admitted to the ED between October 2015 and June 2018 from the Korean Cardiac Arrest Research Consortium registry. We included OHCA patients who visited the ED and achieved return of spontaneous circulation. Initial RDW values were measured at the time of the ED visit. The primary outcome was a poor neurological (Cerebral Performance Category, or CPC) score of 3–5. A total of 1008 patients were ultimately included in this study, of whom 712 (70.6%) had poor CPC scores with unfavorable outcomes. Higher RDW quartiles (RDW 13.6–14.9%, RDW ≥ 15.0%), older age, female sex, nonshockable initial rhythm at the scene, unwitnessed cardiac arrest, bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR), medical history, low white blood cell counts and high glucose levels were associated with poor neurological outcomes in univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis, the highest RDW quartile was independently associated with poor neurological outcomes (odds ratio 2.04; 95% confidence interval 1.12–3.69; p = 0.019) at hospital discharge after adjusting for other confounding factors. Other independent factors including age, initial rhythm, bystander CPR and high glucose were also associated with poor neurological outcomes. These results show that an initial RDW in the highest quartile as of the ED visit is associated with poor neurological outcomes at hospital discharge among OHCA survivors.

The predictive value of serum procalcitonin level as a prognostic marker for outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest patients

Background:

Patients who have successful return of spontaneous circulation after cardiac arrest may experience post-cardiac arrest syndrome. Procalcitonin can be used to assess the severity of post-cardiac arrest syndrome. The association between procalcitonin and outcomes in Asian patients with post-cardiac arrest syndrome has not been extensively studied.

Objective:

This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of serum procalcitonin level in the prognosis of patients hospitalized after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

Methods:

A retrospective observational study using the multicenter Korean Cardiac Arrest Research Consortium registry between October 2015 and June 2018 was performed. Serum procalcitonin level at the early phase of hospital presentation was obtained from the patients hospitalized after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. In-hospital mortality and neurologic outcomes at hospital discharge were estimated. The relationship between serum procalcitonin level and in-hospital mortality and neurologic outcomes of patients was analyzed.

Results:

A total of 254 patients hospitalized after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest were included. Serum procalcitonin level was significantly elevated in non-survivors compared to survivors (0.17 (0.05–0.18) ng/dL vs. 0.10 (0.05–0.39) ng/dL, p = 0.017, respectively). In addition, serum procalcitonin level was significantly elevated in patients with unfavorable outcomes at hospital discharge compared to those with favorable outcomes (0.16 (0.06–1.10) ng/dL vs. 0.07 (0.04–0.22) ng/dL, p < 0.001, respectively). However, serum procalcitonin level had a weak predictive value for in-hospital mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.587, 95% confidence interval: 0.517–0.657, p = 0.017, cut-off = 0.12 ng/dL, specificity = 57.4%) and unfavorable outcomes (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.646, 95% confidence interval: 0.571–0.721, p < 0.001, cut-off = 0.11 ng/dL, specificity = 62.3%).

Conclusion:

Elevated serum procalcitonin level in patients hospitalized after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest at the early phase of hospital presentation is associated with poor outcomes. However, serum procalcitonin level had weak diagnostic accuracy for predicting in-hospital mortality and unfavorable outcomes.

Cardiac arrest: An interdisciplinary review of the literature from 2018

OBJECTIVES

The Interdisciplinary Cardiac Arrest Research Review (ICARE) group was formed in 2018 to conduct a systematic annual search of peer-reviewed literature relevant to cardiac arrest (CA). The goals of the review are to illustrate best practices and help reduce knowledge silos by disseminating clinically relevant advances in the field of CA across disciplines.

METHODS

An electronic search of PubMed using keywords related to CA was conducted. Title and abstracts retrieved by these searches were screened for relevancy, separated by article type (original research or review), and sorted into 7 categories. Screened manuscripts underwent standardized scoring of overall methodological quality and importance. Articles scoring higher than 99 percentiles by category-type were selected for full critique. Systematic differences between editors and reviewer scores were assessed using Wilcoxon signed-rank test.

RESULTS

A total of 9119 articles were identified on initial search; of these, 1214 were scored after screening for relevance and deduplication, and 80 underwent full critique. Prognostication & Outcomes category comprised 25% and Epidemiology & Public Health 17.5% of fully reviewed articles. There were no differences between editor and reviewer scoring.

CONCLUSIONS

The total number of articles demonstrates the need for an accessible source summarizing high-quality research findings to serve as a high-yield reference for clinicians and scientists seeking to absorb the ever-growing body of CA-related literature. This may promote further development of the unique and interdisciplinary field of CA medicine.

Procalcitonin as a prognostic marker for outcomes in post-cardiac arrest patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

This study aimed to seek evidence for the usefulness of the procalcitonin as a prognostic blood biomarker for outcomes in post-cardiac arrest patients.

METHODS

We systematically searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library (search date: 8 January, 2019). Studies on patients who experienced return of spontaneous circulation, who had out of hospital cardiac arrest and had their level of procalcitonin measured and outcomes assessed at and after hospital discharge, were included. We additionally performed subgroup analyses for confounding factors affecting patients' outcomes. To assess the risk of bias of each included study, the Quality in Prognosis Studies tool was used.

RESULTS

A total of 1065 patients from 10 studies were finally included. Elevated procalcitonin level during hospital admission (at 0-24 h) was associated with in-hospital mortality (standardized mean difference (SMD) 0.64, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.33-0.95, I² = 26%). The elevation of procalcitonin level (at 0-48 h) was also associated with poor neurologic outcomes (at 0-24 h, SMD 0.61; 95% CI 0.44-0.79, I² = 0%; at 24-48 h, SMD 0.58, 95% CI 0.35-0.82, I² = 0%) as well as at 1-6 months (at 24-48 h, SMD 0.62; 95% CI 0.36-0.88, I² = 0%).

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the findings suggested that an elevated procalcitonin level measured at 0-48 h of post-cardiac arrest syndrome was associated with poor outcomes.

High Serum Procalcitonin Concentrations in Patients With Hemorrhagic Fever With Renal Syndrome Caused by Hantaan Virus

Objective: This study analyzed the significance of procalcitonin (PCT) in patients with hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) caused by Hantaan virus.

Methods: The demographics and clinical and laboratory data including PCT at hospital admission in 146 adults with HFRS were retrospectively analyzed.

Results: PCT level was significantly higher in severe patients (n = 72) than in mild patients (n = 74, p < 0.001) and independently associated with disease severity (OR 2.544, 95% CI 1.330–4.868, p = 0.005). PCT had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) value of 0.738 (95% CI 0.657–0.820, p < 0.001) for predicting severity. PCT level was significantly increased in patients with bacterial infection (n = 87) compared with those without (n = 59, p = 0.037) and associated with bacterial infection (OR 1.685, 95% CI 1.026–2.768, p = 0.039). The AUC value of PCT for predicting bacterial infection was 0.618 (95% CI 0.524–0.711, p = 0.016). PCT level was significantly elevated in non-survivors (n = 13) compared with survivors (n = 133, p < 0.001) and independently associated with mortality (OR 1.075, 95% CI 1.003–1.152, p = 0.041). The AUC value of PCT for predicting mortality was 0.819 (95% CI 0.724–0.914, p < 0.001).

Conclusion: PCT concentrations at admission would be predictive of disease severity, secondary bacterial infection and mortality in patients with HFRS caused by Hantaan virus.