Recurrence Risk Stratification After Preoperative Chemoradiation of Esophageal Adenocarcinoma

Long-Term Survival and Recurrence Patterns in Locally Advanced Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients with Pathologic Complete Response After Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy Followed by Surgery

BACKGROUND

The higher pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy compared with neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) has not translated into significant gains in overall survival. Data on the long-term survival of patients who obtained a pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy are scarce. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the long-term prognosis and recurrence patterns in these patients.

METHODS

The study enrolled patients with locally advanced ESCC after neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery in the authors' hospital between January 2007 and December 2020. The factors predictive of pCR were analyzed. Furthermore, propensity score-matching was performed for those who did and those who did not have a pCR using 1:5 ratio for a long-term survival analysis. Finally, the survival and recurrence patterns of patients obtaining pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy were analyzed.

RESULTS

A pCR was achieved for 61 (8.70%) of the 701 patients in the study. Univariate analysis showed that the patients without alcohol drinking had a higher possibility of obtaining a pCR, although multivariate analysis failed to confirm the difference as significant. After propensity score-matching, the 5-year overall survival was 84.50% for the patients who had a pCR and 52.90% for those who did not (p < 0.001). Among the 61 patients with a pCR, 9 patients (14.80%) experienced recurrence, including 6 patients with locoregional recurrence and 3 patients with distant metastasis.

CONCLUSION

Advanced ESCC patients with pCR after neoadjuvant chemotherapy had a favorable prognosis, yet some still experienced recurrence, particularly locoregional recurrence. Therefore, for this group of patients, regular follow-up evaluation also is needed.

Locoregional Recurrence of Esophageal Cancer Treated with Curative Intent Local Salvage Therapy: A Single Center Experience

PURPOSE

Locoregional recurrence of esophageal carcinoma after neoadjuvant therapy and en bloc esophagectomy, although uncommon, is challenging to manage. Currently, there are no standard treatment approaches prompting many health care providers to adopt a palliative approach. We describe our experience and outcomes of treating this specific group of patients with a focus on salvage curative intent local therapy.

METHODS

All patients undergoing en bloc esophagectomy following neoadjuvant therapy between 2007 and 2017 at the McGill University Health Centre, a tertiary referral center for esophageal cancer, were identified. Patient follow-up included a structured surveillance protocol with serial endoscopic and cross-sectional imaging studies. Local recurrence was defined as histologically confirmed recurrences at the anastomosis. Regional recurrence was defined as radiological evidence of celiac, mediastinal, or para-esophageal/conduit lymphadenopathy. Demographic, pathologic, therapeutic variables were extracted as well as disease free and overall survival.

RESULTS

Of 755 patients identified, locoregional recurrences occurred in 27 patients (3.6%) of whom 18 were included in the analysis. The median disease-free survival post index operation was 15 months (IQR 10-23). The sites of recurrence were local (6/18, 33.3%); regional (8/18, 44.4%); and locoregional (4, 22.2%). Chemoradiation was the most common modality used to treat recurrence (10/18, 55.6%) whilst 4 (22.2%) underwent surgery. Following treatment for locoregional recurrence, 1-year overall survival was 61.1% and at 5 years was 22.2%.

CONCLUSION

Consolidative salvage local therapy for locoregional recurrence after en bloc esophagectomy is feasible and can entail prolonged survival in a subset of patients.

A phase II clinical trial of toripalimab combined with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (NEOCRTEC1901)

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of toripalimab combined with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

In this single arm, phase II trial, 44 ESCC patients were enrolled from December 2019 to July 2021 at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center (Guangzhou, China). All patients received concurrent radiotherapy (44 Gy in 20 fractions), chemotherapy (paclitaxel 50 mg/m2 and cisplatin 25 mg/m2 on days 1, 8, 15, and 22), and toripalimab (240 mg on days 1 and 22). Within 6-8 weeks of neoadjuvant treatment, patients underwent surgery. The results of the study patients were compared with those of 86 matched patients between July 2015 and March 2022. The primary endpoint was pathological complete response (pCR) rate, and the secondary endpoints were treatment-related adverse events and R0 rates. This trail was registered with ClinicalTrails.gov, NCT04006041.

FINDINGS

All patients received neoadjuvant treatment, and 42 completed esophagectomy. Of the 42 patients, 21 (50%; 95% CI 35-65) achieved pCR and 2 (5%) patients were ypT0N+. The R0 resection rate was 98% (41/42). Nine (20%) of 44 patients had grade 3/4 adverse events. Among the perioperative complications (n = 42), anastomotic leakage occurred in five cases (12%), tracheal fistula in three cases (7%), and postoperative death in one case (2%) due to tracheal fistula. Compared with the control cohort, the pCR rate of the study group was higher but without significant difference (50% vs. 36%, P = 0.19).

INTERPRETATION

Toripalimab combined with NCRT failed to show significantly better pCR rate than historical data. Nevertheless, considering the signs of efficacy and acceptable safety of this regimen, further evaluation in phase III randomized trials might be warranted.

FUNDING

National Natural Science Foundation of China.

Re-irradiation for local primary-recurrence esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with IMRT/VMAT

PURPOSE

Local primary-recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after definitive treatment has the potential for increasing overall survival with re-irradiation (Re-RT), especially with advanced technique. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and toxicities of Re-RT using intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT)/volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) for local primary-recurrence of ESCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 130 ESCC patients with local primary-recurrence from Xijing hospital between 2008 and 2021 were enrolled and 30 patients underwent IMRT/VMAT based salvage Re-RT. Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) and after recurrence survival (ARS). The toxicities of 30 patients receiving Re-RT were also assessed.

RESULTS

The median OS and ARS of the 130 recurrent patients were 21 months (1-164 months) and 6 months (1-142 months). The 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS rates were 81.5%, 39.2%, and 23.8%, respectively. Besides, the 1-, 2-, and 3-year ARS rates were 30.0%, 10%, and 6.2%. Multivariate analysis showed that Re-RT ± chemotherapy (p = 0.043) and chemotherapy alone (p < 0.001) and esophageal stents (p = 0.004) were independent prognostic factors for OS. The median OS of 30 patients treated with Re-RT were significantly better than that of 29 patients treated with chemotherapy (34.5 months vs. 22 months, p = 0.030). Among 30 ESCC patients treated with Re-RT, the median OS and ARS were 34.5 months (range 12-163 months) and 6 months (range 1-132 months), respectively. The recurrence-free interval (RFI) (> 12 months) and initial radiation dose (> 60 Gy) were significantly associated with improved OS. Radiation esophagitis (Grade 1-2) occurred in 16 patients and myelosuppression (Grade1-2) occurred in 10 patients. Grade 3 toxicities (radiation esophagitis and myelosuppression) were only 13.3%. There were no grade 4 toxicities.

CONCLUSION

Our results demonstrated that IMRT/VMAT-based Re-RT was an effective therapeutic option for ESCC patients with local primary-recurrence compared with chemotherapy alone or without any treatment. Re-RT had improved OS but unfavorable ARS.

Risk stratification of postoperative cardiopulmonary toxicity after trimodality therapy for esophageal cancer

Purpose/objective

Postoperative toxicity for esophageal cancer impacts patient quality of life and potentially overall survival (OS). We studied whether patient and toxicity parameters post-chemoradiation therapy predict for post-surgical cardiopulmonary total toxicity burden (CPTTB) and whether CPTTB was associated with short and long-term outcomes.

Materials/methods

Patients had biopsy-proven esophageal cancer treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiation and esophagectomy. CPTTB was derived from total perioperative toxicity burden (Lin et al. JCO 2020). To develop a CPTTB risk score predictive for major CPTTB, recursive partitioning analysis was used.

Results

From 3 institutions, 571 patients were included. Patients were treated with 3D (37%), IMRT (44%), and proton therapy (19%). 61 patients had major CPTTB (score ≥ 70). Increasing CPTTB was predictive of decreased OS (p<0.001), lengthier post-esophagectomy length of stay (LOS, p<0.001), and death or readmission within 60 days of surgery (DR60, p<0.001). Major CPTTB was also predictive of decreased OS (hazard ratio = 1.70, 95% confidence interval: 1.17-2.47, p=0.005). The RPA-based risk score included: age ≥ 65, grade ≥ 2 nausea or esophagitis attributed to chemoradiation, and grade ≥ 3 hematologic toxicity attributed to chemoradiation. Patients treated with 3D radiotherapy had inferior OS (p=0.010) and increased major CPTTB (18.5% vs. 6.1%, p<0.001).

Conclusion

CPTTB predicts for OS, LOS, and DR60. Patients with 3D radiotherapy or age ≥ 65 years and chemoradiation toxicity are at highest risk for major CPTTB, predicting for higher short and long-term morbidity and mortality. Strategies to optimize medical management and reduce toxicity from chemoradiation should be strongly considered.

Predicting the HER2 status in oesophageal cancer from tissue microarrays using convolutional neural networks

BACKGROUND

Fast and accurate diagnostics are key for personalised medicine. Particularly in cancer, precise diagnosis is a prerequisite for targeted therapies, which can prolong lives. In this work, we focus on the automatic identification of gastroesophageal adenocarcinoma (GEA) patients that qualify for a personalised therapy targeting epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2). We present a deep-learning method for scoring microscopy images of GEA for the presence of HER2 overexpression.

METHODS

Our method is based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) trained on a rich dataset of 1602 patient samples and tested on an independent set of 307 patient samples. We additionally verified the CNN's generalisation capabilities with an independent dataset with 653 samples from a separate clinical centre. We incorporated an attention mechanism in the network architecture to identify the tissue regions, which are important for the prediction outcome. Our solution allows for direct automated detection of HER2 in immunohistochemistry-stained tissue slides without the need for manual assessment and additional costly in situ hybridisation (ISH) tests.

RESULTS

We show accuracy of 0.94, precision of 0.97, and recall of 0.95. Importantly, our approach offers accurate predictions in cases that pathologists cannot resolve and that require additional ISH testing. We confirmed our findings in an independent dataset collected in a different clinical centre. The attention-based CNN exploits morphological information in microscopy images and is superior to a predictive model based on the staining intensity only.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrate that our approach not only automates an important diagnostic process for GEA patients but also paves the way for the discovery of new morphological features that were previously unknown for GEA pathology.

Association of Sialic Acid-Binding Immunoglobulin-Like Lectin 15 With Phenotypes in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma in the Setting of Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

IMPORTANCE

Sialic acid-binding immunoglobulin-like lectin 15 (Siglec-15) is a novel immune checkpoint molecule that is highly homologous to programmed cell death ligand 1 (PD-L1), but information remains limited about its role in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

OBJECTIVE

To explore the expression pattern and association of Siglec-15 with outcomes among patients with ESCC who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study was conducted at an academic institution in China. Participants included patients with ESCC who underwent neoadjuvant CRT and esophagectomy between June 2002 and December 2018. Multiplexed immunofluorescence staining was used to evaluate the expression of Siglec-15 and PD-L1 in tumor cells (TCs) or tumor-associated macrophages based on pre-CRT biopsies. Different immune phenotypes have been proposed and further validated in an independent cohort. Data analysis was conducted from January to May 2021.

EXPOSURES

Siglec-15 or PD-L1 positivity vs negativity.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Pathologic complete response (pCR), overall survival (OS), and recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

Of 130 participants (median [range] age, 56 [42-73] years; 108 [83.1%] male participants) in the primary cohort, 58 patients (44.6%) achieved a pCR after neoadjuvant CRT. Siglec-15 and PD-L1 were detected in both TCs and macrophages. The percentage of Siglec-15-positive macrophages was notably higher than that of Siglec-15-positive TCs (median [IQR]: 34.4% [12.7%-64.3%] vs 4.8% [0.7%-25.6%]; P < .001). TC-Siglec-15 expression was significantly and positively associated with macrophage-Siglec-15 expression (r = 0.78; P < .001). Siglec-15 positivity was significantly associated with a higher rate of pCR (37 of 70 [52.9%] vs 21 of 60 [35.0%]; P = .04), more favorable OS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.46; 95% CI, 0.25-0.85; P = .01), and RFS (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.26-0.88; P = .02). However, PD-L1 positivity in TCs was negatively associated with survival. Stratification analysis further revealed that patients with combined Siglec-15 positivity and PD-L1 negativity had better survival than those with other phenotypes. Major findings were reproducible in a validation cohort with 55 patients.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study of patients with ESCC receiving neoadjuvant CRT, Siglec-15 positivity was associated with a better pathological response and more favorable survival. Siglec-15 could serve as a novel biomarker to identify potential candidates that may benefit from immunotherapy combined with CRT.

Applying post-neoadjuvant pathologic stage as prognostic tool in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

It is still uncertain whether the newly released eighth American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) post-neoadjuvant pathologic (yp) tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage for esophageal carcinoma can perform well regarding patient stratification. The current study aimed to assess the prognostication ability of the eighth AJCC ypTNM staging system and attempted to explore how to facilitate the staging system for more effective evaluation of prognosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 486 patients treated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy/chemoradiotherapy (nRT/CRT) were enrolled. ypN stage was reclassified by recursive partitioning. Prognostic performance, monotonicity, homogeneity, and discriminatory of yp and modified yp (myp) staging systems were assessed by time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC), linear trend log-rank test, likelihood ratio χ2 test, Harrell's c statistic, and Akaike information criterion (AIC).

RESULTS

The ypT stage, ypN stage, and pathologic response were significant prognostic factors of overall survival. Survival was not discriminated well using the eighth AJCC ypN stage and ypTNM stage. Recursive partitioning reclassified mypN0-N2 as metastasis in 0, 1-2, and ≥3 regional lymph nodes. Applying the ypT stage, mypN stage, and pathologic response to construct the myp staging system, the myp stage performed better in time-dependent ROC, linear trend log-rank test, likelihood ratio χ2 test, Harrell's c statistic, and AIC.

CONCLUSIONS

The eighth AJCC ypTNM staging system performed well in differentiating prognosis to some extent. By reclassifying the ypN stage and enrolling pathologic response as a staging element, the myp staging system holds significant potential for prognostic discrimination.

Is postoperative radiotherapy an essential treatment for nonmetastatic lymphoepithelial carcinoma of the salivary gland?

BACKGROUND

Lymphoepithelial carcinoma of salivary gland (LECSG) is a rare malignant tumor. Whether postoperative radiotherapy (PORT) can improve locoregional control and which patients can benefit from PORT are unknown. This study aimed to evaluate the role of PORT and provide individualized suggestions for postoperative therapy in patients with LECSG.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients with nonmetastatic LECSG who underwent surgery with or without PORT. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was performed to categorize the patients and predict progression-free survival (PFS).

RESULTS

A total of 223 patients were included, 34 (15.2%) received surgery alone, whereas the remaining 189 (84.8%) underwent PORT in the initial treatment. Although patients in the PORT group were with advanced T stage and N stage, the PORT group had an advantage over the non-PORT group on 1-year, 5-year and 10-year PFS and locoregional control (LRC). PORT was an independent prognostic factor for PFS and LRC. Furthermore, compared with T stage and N stage, the size of the primary tumor and the number of positive lymph nodes were better prognostic predictors. The RPA model was generated according to the endpoint of PFS and categorized patients into 3 prognostic groups: low-risk (maximum diameter of primary lesion (≤3cm) and number of positive lymph nodes (≤2)), intermediate-risk (maximum diameter of primary lesion (>3cm) and number of positive lymph nodes (≤2)), and high-risk (number of positive lymph nodes (>2)), with corresponding 5-year PFS rates of 90.0%, 75.0%, and 51.0%, respectively. Significant improvement in PFS was observed in the PORT group among intermediate-risk (P=0.000) and high-risk patients (P=0.000).

CONCLUSIONS

PORT was shown to be a positive prognostic factor for PFS and LRC of LECSG. PORT was an essential treatment especially for patients with >3cm maximum diameter of primary lesion and/or >2 positive lymph nodes.

Long-Term Outcome After Histopathological Complete Response with and Without Nodal Metastases Following Multimodal Treatment of Esophageal Cancer

BACKGROUND

This study analyzed the long-term survival after pathological complete response (pCR) with and without nodal metastases and associated recurrence following multimodal treatment of esophageal cancer. The recurrence pattern after pCR is of importance for different postoperative surveillance strategies.

METHODS

A cohort of 890 patients with esophageal cancer received neoadjuvant therapy followed by transthoracic esophagectomy. Only patients with pCR of the primary tumor with and without nodal metastasis were analyzed. A clinicopathological database was set up and completed with long-term follow up information on recurrent disease.

RESULTS

The specimen of 201 patients (23%) demonstrated pCR, 84% without (ypT0N0) and 16% with residual nodal disease (ypT0N+). For ypT0N0 patients, the 5-year overall survival was significantly higher than for patients with metastatic nodes (77% vs. 24%) (p < 0.0001). Sixty-eight percent of patients had no evidence of tumor recurrence, whereas 32% had proven relapse. For patients with and without tumor recurrence, 5-year survival rates were 14% and 93%, respectively (p < 0.0001). For patients with recurrent disease, median survival time was 27 for locoregional, 44 for distant, and 24 months for combined recurrence (p = 0.302). In the multivariable Cox-regression analysis, node-positive disease predicted both locoregional and metastatic recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Pathological CR offers long-term survival in patients without nodal metastases but outcome significantly deteriorates with the presence of nodal metastases. Follow-up recommendations may therefore be adopted in patients with pCR. Furthermore, "watch-and-wait" surveillance strategies with suspected clinical complete response have to be considered with caution.

Prognostic Impact of Postoperative Lymph Node Metastases After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy for Locally Advanced Squamous Cell Carcinoma of Esophagus: From the Results of NEOCRTEC5010, a Randomized Multicenter Study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the prognostic impact of pathologic lymph node (LN) status and investigate risk factors of recurrence in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients with pathologic complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT).

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

There are no large-scale prospective study data regarding ypN status and recurrence after pCR in ESCC patients receiving NCRT.

METHODS

The NEOCRTEC5010 trial was a prospective multicenter trial that compared the survival and safety of NCRT plus surgery (S) with S in patients with locally advanced ESCC. The relationships between survival and cN, pN, and ypN status were assessed. Potential prognostic factors in patients with ypN+ and pCR were identified.

RESULTS

A total of 389 ESCC patients (NCRT: 182; S: 207) were included. Patients with pN+ in the S group and ypN+ in the NCRT group had decreased overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) compared with pN0 and ypN0 patients, respectively. Partial response at the primary site [hazard ratio (HR), 2.09] and stable disease in the LNs (HR, 3.26) were independent risk factors for lower DFS, but not OS. For patients with pCR, the recurrence rate was 13.9%. Patients with distant LN metastasis had a median OS and DFS of 16.1 months and 14.4 months, respectively. Failure to achieve the median total dose of chemotherapy was a significant risk factor of recurrence and metastasis after pCR (HR, 44.27).

CONCLUSIONS

Persistent pathologic LN metastasis after NCRT is a strong poor prognostic factor in ESCC. Additionally, pCR does not guarantee a cure; patients with pCR should undergo an active strategy of surveillance and adjuvant therapy.

Severe lymphopenia acquired during chemoradiotherapy for esophageal cancer: Incidence and external validation of a prediction model

BACKGROUND

The incidence of grade 4 lymphopenia in patients treated with chemoradiotherapy (CRT) according to Chemoradiotherapy for Oesophageal cancer followed by Surgery Study (CROSS) regimen is unclear. The primary aim was to determine the incidence of grade 4 lymphopenia during CROSS for esophageal cancer. Secondary aims were to externally validate a prediction model for grade 4 lymphopenia and compare overall survival between patients with and without grade 4 lymphopenia.

METHODS

Patients who underwent CRT for esophageal cancer between 2014 and 2019 were eligible for inclusion. Patients with a planned radiation dose of 41.4 Gy (CROSS) or 50.4 Gy ("extended-CROSS") and concurrent carboplatin and paclitaxel were included. The primary outcome was the incidence of grade 4 lymphopenia during CRT defined according to Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events version 5.0 (i.e. lymphocyte count nadir < 0.2 µL). The secondary outcome measures were the prediction model's external performance (i.e. discrimination and calibration). Overall survival for patients with versus without grade 4 lymphopenia was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 219 patients were included of whom 176 patients (80%) underwent CROSS and 43 patients (20%) extended-CROSS. The incidence of grade 4 lymphopenia was 11% in CROSS and 33% in extended-CROSS (p < 0.001). External discrimination yielded a c-statistic of 0.80 (95% confidence interval: 0.70-0.89). External calibration of the model was poor in CROSS but fair in extended-CROSS. Adjusted calibration using intercept correction (adjusted for the lower a-priori risk for grade 4 lymphopenia in CROSS) showed fair agreement between the observed and predicted risk for grade 4 lymphopenia. Median overall survival in patients with versus without grade 4 lymphopenia was 12.7 versus 42.5 months (p = 0.045).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of grade 4 lymphopenia is significantly higher in esophageal cancer patients receiving extended-CROSS compared to those receiving CROSS. The prediction model demonstrated good external performance in the setting of the CROSS-regimen and could be used to identify patients at high-risk for grade 4 lymphopenia who might be eligible for lymphopenia-mitigating strategies.

Clinical significance of risk stratification of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant chemoradiation and surgery

•

Neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NCRT) followed by surgery was regarded as the standard treatment of locally advanced esophageal cancer. However, studies have reported that almost 31%−50% of esophageal cancer patients still have local recurrence and or distant metastasis after NCRT and surgery. At present, there are few reports on the risk stratification of patients with esophageal carcinoma after NCRT and surgery. The valuable effect of adjuvant chemotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients underwent NCRT followed by surgery remains controversial. There is also no consensus that whether patients need adjuvant chemotherapy. Reasonable risk stratification is therefore required that helps postoperatively surveillance and classify patients suitable for adjuvant chemotherapy. There remains, however, no reliable forecasting system for ESCC patients after NCRT and surgery. Based on the current status, we carry out a noval risk stratification to predict survival, recurrence and classify patients at high risk that may benefit from adjuvant therapy according to clinicophological factors

Objective

Nowadays, there were few studies reporting the risk stratification of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiation (NCRT) and surgery. We aimed to establish a simple risk stratification to help postoperative detection and adjuvant treatment.

Methods

We included 146 patients with locally advanced ESCC who received NCRT followed by esophagectomy. The impacts of clinicopathological factors on overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) were analyzed. The recurrence site, time, and frequency were recorded as well.

Results

The median follow-up was 53 months. The pathological complete respond (pCR) group demonstrated better 5-year OS and DFS (78.6% and 77.0%) than the non-pCR group (44.8% and 35.2%, all P < 0.005). Multivariate analysis for the non-pCR group revealed perineural invasion (PNI) (HR:2.296, P = 0.013) and ypTNM stage (I/II vs III/IV) (HR:1.972, P = 0.046) were considered as independent unfavorable factors affecting OS, while PNI (HR:1.866, P = 0.045) and lymph vessel invasion (LVI) (HR:3.370, P < 0.001) were considered as independent adverse factors for DFS. Based on clinicopathological factors (including pCR, ypTNM stage, PNI, LVI), patients were divided into the low-risk (pCR), mediate-risk (non-pCR without PNI, LVI, stage III/IV), high-risk (non-pCR with one factor of PNI, LVI or stage III/IV (n = 45)), highest risk (non-pCR with two or more factors of PNI, LVI or stage III/IV) groups. The corresponding 5-year OS rates were 78.6%, 60.4%, 49.6%, 18.6%, respectively (P < 0.005) and 5-year DFS rates were 77.0%, 46.9%, 41.1%, 12.1%, respectively (P < 0.005). Adjuvant chemotherapy may improve survival in high or highest risk groups of patients with low prognostic nutritional index (< 49).

Conclusions

A novel risk stratification based on clinicopathological factors may be conducive to postoperative surveillance and guide adjuvant chemotherapy.

Prognostic factors for survival in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients with a complete regression of the primary tumor (ypT0) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by surgery

Background

There are also differences in survival prognosis among esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients with a complete regression of the primary tumor (ypT0) after Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT) followed by surgery. And the purpose of this study was to investigate influencing factors from these different prognostic outcomes and their possible causes.

Methods

The clinical data of 88 cases of ESCC patients with ypT0 after NCRT followed by surgery between 2011 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The clinical and pathological prognostic factors that affect the survival were analyzed.

Results

Sex, number of lymph nodes dissected, and pathologic positivity of lymph nodes may be significant in univariate analysis (P<0.1). Further multivariate analysis suggested that the pathologic positivity of the lymph nodes was an independent factor affecting prognosis (HR: 4.757, 95% CI: 2.195–10.313, P=0.000). Subsequently, the whole group was divided into a positive lymph node group (group LN+) and a negative lymph node group (group LN−) for comparison. The overall survival (OS) of group LN+ was significantly worse (HR: 0.211, 95% CI: 0.0336–0.239; P<0.0001), and recurrence-free survival (RFS) was significantly poorer in the LN+ group (HR: 0.0679, 95% CI: 0.0239–0.1923, P<0.0001). There were 14 cases of recurrence and metastasis in the LN+ group (14/21, 66.7%) and 10 cases in the group LN− (10/67, 14.9%). Among the sites of recurrence and metastasis, there were 10 (10/14, 71.4%) and 4 (4/14, 28.6%) cases of distant metastasis, respectively, and 4 (4/14, 28.6%) cases of local metastasis in the LN+ group; meanwhile, there were 8 (8/10, 80.0%) cases of distant metastasis and 2 (2/10, 20.0%) cases of local metastasis in the LN− group.

Conclusions

The independent risk factor for survival prognosis in ESCC patients with ypT0 after NCRT followed by surgery was positive postoperative pathological lymph nodes. The reason for the shortened survival time associated with this group of patients was their susceptibility to recurrence and metastasis.

Role of Postoperative Radiotherapy in Nonmetastatic Head and Neck Adenoid Cystic Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Head and neck adenoid cystic carcinoma (ACC) is a rare malignant tumor that is prone to local recurrence. The NCCN Guidelines for Head and Neck Cancers recommend that all patients with ACC receive postoperative radiotherapy (PORT). However, whether PORT can improve local control and which patients can benefit from PORT are unknown. This study aimed to assess the role of PORT and provide individualized suggestions for postoperative therapy in patients with ACC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed patients with nonmetastatic head and neck ACC who underwent surgery with or without PORT. Recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was performed to categorize the patients and predict local recurrence-free survival (LRFS). The survival outcome was compared between non-PORT and PORT groups.

RESULTS

A total of 319 patients were included. PORT was identified as a prognostic factor for LRFS in univariate (P=.01) and multivariate analysis (P<.01). However, it did not improve distant metastasis-free survival, disease-free survival, or overall survival in univariate analysis. RPA categorized patients into 3 prognostic groups: low-risk (negative margin, T1-T2, primary location = major or minor salivary gland), intermediate-risk (negative margin, T1-T2, primary location = other locations instead of a major or minor salivary gland; negative margin, T3-T4; positive margin, without bone invasion), and high-risk (positive margin, with bone invasion). Significant LRFS improvements in the PORT group were observed among intermediate-risk (P<.01) and high-risk patients (P<.05). LRFS improvements among low-risk patients were relatively insignificant (P=.10).

CONCLUSIONS

PORT was shown to be a positive prognostic factor for improved LRFS in ACC. Furthermore, PORT could significantly improve LRFS in intermediate-risk and high-risk patients with ACC, but whether low-risk patients could benefit from PORT needs further study.

Pretreatment Primary Tumor Stage is a Risk Factor for Recurrence in Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Who Achieve Pathological Complete Response After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

Background

Although pathological complete response (pCR) after multimodal treatment for esophageal cancer is associated to the best prognosis, recurrence may occur in 20–40% of cases. The present study investigated the recurrence pattern and predictive factors of recurrence after pCR in patients with esophageal cancer.

Methods

In this study, 427 patients received preoperative treatment for either esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) or adenocarcinoma at Verona University Hospital between 2000 and 2018. Of these, 145 patients (34%) achieved a pCR. Long-term prognosis, recurrence pattern, and risk factors for relapse in pCR patients were analysed.

Results

During a median follow-up of 52 months, 37 relapses (25.5%) occurred, mostly at distant level (n = 28). Nearly all locoregional relapses (8/9) were detected in SCC cases. The 5-year overall survival and cancer-related survival were 71.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] 62.6–78.9%) and 77.5% (95% CI 68.5–84.2%) respectively. Male sex, higher body mass index, and cT4 were significant risk factors for recurrence at univariate analysis. The multivariate analysis confirmed the role of cT4 as predictor of recurrence only in SCCs.

Conclusions

Esophageal cancer recurs in about one-fourth of pCR cases. A fair number of local recurrences occurs in SCCs, but the main problem is the systemic disease control. According to our analysis, SCCs patients with cT4 stage have an increased risk to recur, so they should be managed differently by a personalized approach in terms of adjuvant treatment and follow-up.

Recurrence patterns after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy compared with surgery alone in oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma: results from the multicenter phase III trial NEOCRTEC5010

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to compare recurrence patterns and prognostic factors for developing recurrences in patients with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT) followed by surgery or surgery alone from a multicenter phase III trial NEOCRTEC5010.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with locally advanced ESCC were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive neoadjuvant CRT plus surgery (CRT + S group) or surgery alone (S group). CRT consisted of two cycles of vinorelbine and cisplatin with concurrent radiotherapy of 40.0 Gy in 20 fractions. Recurrence patterns, sites, frequency, and timing and potential prognostic factors were compared.

RESULTS

Of the 451 patients enrolled from 2007 to 2014, 411 patients who underwent resection were analysed. After a median follow-up of 51.9 months, 62 patients (33.7%) in the CRT + S group versus 104 patients (45.8%) in the S group experienced recurrences (P = 0.013). The CRT + S group demonstrated a significantly better locoregional failure-free survival (P = 0.012) and a more favourable distant metastasis-free survival (P = 0.028) than the S group. Recurrences occurred earlier in the S group (P = 0.053), and late relapses were much more frequent in the CRT + S group (P = 0.029). On multivariate analysis, R1 resection and surgery alone were adverse factors for developing locoregional recurrences, whereas R1 resection was the only independent factor associated with distant metastases.

CONCLUSIONS

The neoadjuvant CRT regimen was associated with significantly reduced locoregional and distant recurrences compared with surgery alone. Recurrence patterns, sites and frequency were different between groups. TRIAL REGISTRATION CLINICALTRIALS.

GOV IDENTIFIER

NCT01216527.

Total Lesion Glycolysis Assessment Identifies a Patient Fraction With a High Cure Rate Among Esophageal Adenocarcinoma Patients Treated With Definitive Chemoradiation

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine whether tumor metabolism could be prognostic of cure in L-EAC patients who receive definitive chemoradiation.

SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA

Patients with inoperable localized esophageal adenocarcinoma (L-EAC) often receive definitive chemoradiation; however, biomarkers and/or imaging variables to prognosticate cure are missing.

METHODS

Two hundred sixty-six patients with L-EAC who had chemoradiation but not surgery were analyzed from the prospectively maintained EAC databases in the Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology at The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center (Texas, USA) between March 2002 and April 2015. Maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) from the positron emission tomography data were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 266 patients, 253 (95%) were men; the median age was 67 years (range 20-91 yrs) and 153 had poorly differentiated L-EAC. The median SUVmax was 10.3 (range 0-87) and the median TLG was 85.7 (range 0-3227). Both SUVmax and TLG were higher among those with: tumors >5 cm in length, high clinical stage, and high tumor and node categories by TNM staging (all P < 0.0001). Of 234 patients evaluable for cure, 60 (25.6%) achieved cure. In the multivariable logistic regression model, low TLG (but not low SUVmax) was associated with cure (continuous TLG value: odds ratio 0.70, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54-0.92). TLG was quantified into 4 quartile categorical variables; first quartile (Q1; <32), second quartile (Q2; 32.0-85.6), third quartile (Q3; 85.6-228.4), and fourth quartile (Q4; >228.4); the cure rate was only 10.3% in Q4 and 5.1% in Q3 but increased to 28.8% in Q2, and 58.6% in Q1. The cross-validation resulted in an average accuracy of prediction score of 0.81 (95% CI, 0.75-0.86).

CONCLUSIONS

In this cross-validated model, 59% of patients in the 1st quartile were cured following definitive chemoradiation. Baseline TLG could be pursued as one of the tools for esophageal preservation.

Changes in Indoleamine 2,3-Dioxygenase 1 Expression and CD8+ Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation Therapy and Prognostic Significance in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

PURPOSE

Despite good preclinical evidence, clinical data on the effect of neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy (CRT) on expression of immune markers in esophageal cancer are limited. This study aimed to evaluate the changes in indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase 1 (IDO1) expression, programmed cell death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression, and CD8+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte status after neoadjuvant CRT and the prognostic significance in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Between 2003 and 2017, 138 patients with ESCC who underwent neoadjuvant CRT and esophagectomy without achieving pathologic complete response were included for analysis. Both pre-CRT biopsies and post-CRT surgical specimens were available in 82 patients. Immunohistochemistry of IDO1, PD-L1, and CD8 density were analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 82 paired samples, the expression levels of IDO1 and PD-L1 and CD8 density increased significantly after neoadjuvant CRT (P < .01 for all). Patients with high IDO1 expression after CRT had poorer overall survival (P = .001) and recurrence-free survival (P < .001) than those with low IDO1 expression. High post-CRT CD8 density was significantly correlated with more favorable overall survival (P = .01) and recurrence-free survival (P = .008). Neither pre- nor post-CRT PD-L1 expression was an independent prognostic factor for survival. Stratification analysis revealed that patients with combined low IDO1 expression and high CD8 density after CRT were significantly associated with better survival than other subgroups. The major findings were reproducible in an independent validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

IDO1 and PD-L1 expression and CD8 density increased significantly after neoadjuvant CRT in ESCC. The post-CRT IDO1 expression and CD8 density could serve as prognostic biomarkers for survival.

Evidence in follow-up and prognosis of esophagogastric junction cancer

Five-year survival of tumors of the esophagogastric junction is 50%, in the most favourable stages and with the most effective adjuvant treatments. More than 40% of patients will have recurrences within a short period, usually the first year after potentially curative surgery. Survival after this recurrence is usually less than 6 months because treatment is not very effective, be it palliative chemotherapy, radiotherapy or surgical excision of single recurrences. As the detection of asymptomatic recurrences allows for earlier and more effective treatments to be used, the type and frequency of follow-up has an influence on survival.

HER2/neu (ERBB2) expression and gene amplification correlates with better survival in esophageal adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

HER2 (ERBB2 or HER2/neu) is a tyrosine-kinase increasing cell proliferation. Overexpression/amplification of HER2 is correlated with worse prognosis in solid malignancies. Consequently, HER2 targeting is established in breast and upper gastrointestinal tract cancer. There are conflicting data concerning the impact of HER2 overexpression on esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC), as most studies do not differ between cancers of the esophagus/gastroesophageal junction and the stomach. The aim of this study was to analyze the expression/amplification of HER2 in EAC in correlation to clinicopathological data to verify its prognostic impact.

METHODS

We analyzed 428 EAC patients that underwent transthoracic thoraco-abdominal esophagectomy between 1997 and 2014. We performed HER2 immunohistochemistry (IHC) according to the guidelines and fluorescence-in-situ-hybridization (FISH) for IHC score2+, using tissue micro arrays (TMA) with up to eight biopsies from the surface and infiltration area of a single tumor for evaluating HER2-heterogeneity and single-spot TMA. The HER2-status was correlated with clinicopathological data.

RESULTS

HER2-positivity was found in up to 14.9% in our cohort (IHC score 3+ or IHC score 2+ with gene amplification) and demonstrated a significantly better overall survival (OS) in correlation to HER2-negative tumors (median OS 70.1 vs. 24.6 months, p = 0.006). HER2-overexpression was more frequently seen in lower tumor stages (pT1/pT2, p = 0.038), in the absence of lymphatic metastases (pN0/pN+, p = 0.020), and was significantly associated with better histological grading (G1/G2) (p = 0.041).

CONCLUSION

We demonstrated a positive prognostic impact of HER2 overexpression in a large cohort of EAC, contrary to other solid malignancies including gastric cancer and breast cancer, but consistent to the results of a large study on EAC from 2012.

Patterns and risk of recurrence in patients with esophageal cancer with a pathologic complete response after chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery

OBJECTIVES

A pathologic complete response in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer after chemoradiotherapy and surgery is associated with improved overall and disease-free survival. Nevertheless, approximately one third of patients with a pathologic complete response still have a recurrence. The aim of this study was to evaluate risk factors and patterns of recurrence in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer who achieved a pathologic complete response after chemoradiotherapy and surgery.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of a single-institution database of 233 patients with stage II and III esophageal cancer with a pathologic complete response after chemoradiotherapy and surgery between 1997 and 2017. A multivariable competing risk-regression model was used to identify predictors of recurrence.

RESULTS

A total of 61 patients exhibited recurrence in this cohort, 43 with adenocarcinoma and 18 with squamous cell carcinoma. Five-year cumulative incidence of recurrence did not vary by histology. Univariable analysis revealed that poor tumor differentiation (hazard ratio, 2.28; P = .022) and advanced clinical stage (hazard ratio, 1.89; P = .042) are predictors of recurrence in the esophageal adenocarcinoma subgroup, whereas poor tumor differentiation remained the only independent predictor on multivariable analysis in the entire cohort (hazard ratio, 2.28; P = .009). Patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma had a higher incidence of distant recurrences, and patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma demonstrated a higher incidence of loco-regional recurrence (P = .039).

CONCLUSIONS

Poor tumor differentiation is an independent risk factor for recurrence in patients with esophageal cancer with a pathologic complete response. Although there is no difference in the cumulative incidence of recurrence between esophageal adenocarcinoma and esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, patterns of recurrence appear to differ. Thus, treatment and surveillance strategies may be tailored appropriately.

Recurrence Risk Based on Pathologic Stage After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma: Implications for Risk-Based Postoperative Surveillance Strategies

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the association between pathologic stage and recurrence risk and survival for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (CRT).

METHODS

This retrospective analysis consisted of two patient cohorts who had esophageal SCC treated with neoadjuvant CRT and esophagectomy at two major academic institutions between 2002 and 2015. The study included 174 patients in the training cohort and 51 patients in the validation cohort. Recurrence pattern, frequency, and survival according to pathologic stage were analyzed.

RESULTS

After surgery, patients in the training cohort had the following pathologic categories: stage 0 (44.8%, n = 78), stage 1 (6.9%, n = 12), stage 2 (35.6%, n = 62), and stage 3 (12.6%, n = 22). During a median follow-up period of 53.9 months, recurrences developed in 59 patients. The recurrence rates were 22.2% for stages 0 and 1, 38.7% for stage 2, and 68.2% for stage 3 (stages 0 and 1 vs. stage 2 [P = 0.028], stages 0 and 1 vs. stage 3 [P < 0.001], and stage 2 vs. stage 3 [P = 0.017]). More than 20% of patients with stages 0 and 1 or 2 disease experienced late relapses after 3 years of follow-up evaluation, whereas all the patients with pathologic stage 3 had recurrences within 2 years. The 5-year recurrence-free survival rate was 74.7% for the patients with pathologic stage 0 or 1, 61.4% for those with stage 2, and 20.9% for those with stage 3 disease (P < 0.001). These major findings were successfully reproduced in the Western validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with a higher pathologic stage were associated with a significantly higher risk of recurrences and worse survival. Multicenter and prospective validation is warranted.