Factors Influencing Outcome After Deceased Heart Beating Donor Kidney Transplantation in the United Kingdom: An Evidence Base for a New National Kidney Allocation Policy

Impact of Asian and Black Donor and Recipient Ethnicity on the Outcomes After Deceased Donor Kidney Transplantation in the United Kingdom

Patients of Asian and black ethnicity face disadvantage on the renal transplant waiting list in the UK, because of lack of human leucocyte antigen and blood group matched donors from an overwhelmingly white deceased donor pool. This study evaluates outcomes of renal allografts from Asian and black donors. The UK Transplant Registry was analysed for adult deceased donor kidney only transplants performed between 2001 and 2015. Asian and black ethnicity patients constituted 12.4% and 6.7% of all deceased donor recipients but only 1.6% and 1.2% of all deceased donors, respectively. Unadjusted survival analysis demonstrated significantly inferior long-term allograft outcomes associated with Asian and black donors, compared to white donors. On Cox-regression analysis, Asian donor and black recipient ethnicities were associated with poorer outcomes than white counterparts, and on ethnicity matching, compared with the white donor-white recipient baseline group and adjusting for other donor and recipient factors, 5-year graft outcomes were significantly poorer for black donor-black recipient, Asian donor-white recipient, and white donor-black recipient combinations in decreasing order of worse unadjusted 5-year graft survival. Increased deceased donation among ethnic minorities could benefit the recipient pool by increasing available organs. However, it may require a refined approach to enhance outcomes.

HLA-based banking of induced pluripotent stem cells in Saudi Arabia

BACKGROUND

Human iPSCs' derivation and use in clinical studies are transforming medicine. Yet, there is a high cost and long waiting time associated with autologous iPS-based cellular therapy, and the genetic engineering of hypo-immunogenic iPS cell lines is hampered with numerous hurdles. Therefore, it is increasingly interesting to create cell stocks based on HLA haplotype distribution in a given population. This study aimed to assess the potential of HLA-based iPS banking for the Saudi population.

METHODS

In this study, we interrogated the HLA database of the Saudi Stem Cell Donor Registry (SSCDR), containing high-resolution HLA genotype data from 64,315 registered Saudi donors at the time of analysis. This database was considered to be a representative sample of the Saudi population. The most frequent HLA haplotypes in the Saudi population were determined, and an in-house developed iterative algorithm was used to identify their HLA matching percentages in the SSCDR database and cumulative coverage. Subsequently, to develop a clinically relevant protocol for iPSCs generation, and to illustrate the applicability of the concept of HLA-based banking for cell therapy purposes, the first HLA-based iPS cell line in Saudi Arabia was generated. Clinically relevant methods were employed to generate the two iPS clones from a homozygous donor for the most prevalent HLA haplotype in the Saudi population. The generated lines were then assessed for pluripotency markers, and their ability to differentiate into all three germ layers, beating cardiomyocytes, and neural progenitors was examined. Additionally, the genetic stability of the HLA-iPS cell lines was verified by comparing the mutational burden in the clones and the original blood sample, using whole-genome sequencing. The standards set by the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG) were used to determine the clinical significance of identified variants.

RESULTS

The analysis revealed that the establishment of only 13 iPSC lines would match 30% of the Saudi population, 39 lines would attain 50% coverage, and 596 lines would be necessary for over 90% coverage. The proof-of-concept HLA-iPSCs, which cover 6.1% of the Saudi population, successfully demonstrated pluripotency and the ability to differentiate into various cell types including beating cardiomyocytes and neuronal progenitors. The comprehensive genetic analysis corroborated that all identified variants in the derived iPSCs were inherently present in the original donor sample and were classified as benign according to the standards set by the ACMG.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study sets a road map for introducing iPS-based cell therapy in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It underscores the pragmatic approach of HLA-based iPSC banking which circumvents the limitations of autologous iPS-based cellular therapies. The successful generation and validation of iPSC lines based on the most prevalent HLA haplotype in the Saudi population signify a promising step toward broadening the accessibility and applicability of stem cell therapies and regenerative medicine in Saudi Arabia.

Risk of prolonged ischemic time linked to use of cardiopulmonary bypass during implantation for lung transplantation in the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

Some degree of ischemia is inevitable in organ transplantation, and for most, if not all organs, there is a relationship between ischemic time and transplant outcome. The contribution of ischemic time to lung injury is unclear, with conflicting recent data. In this study, we investigate the impact of ischemia time on survival after lung transplantation in a large national cohort.

METHODS

We studied the outcomes for 1,565 UK adult lung transplants over a 12-year period, for whom donor, transplant, and recipient data were available from the UK Transplant Registry. We examined the effect of ischemia time (defined as donor cross-clamp to recipient reperfusion) and whether standard cardiopulmonary bypass was used using Cox proportional hazards models, adjusting for other risk factors.

RESULTS

The total ischemic time increased from a median under 5 hours in 2003 to over 6.2 hours in 2013. Our findings show that, when the cardiopulmonary bypass was used, there was an increase in the hazard of death (of 13% [95% CI: 5%-21%] for 1-year patient survival) for each hour of total ischemic time. However, if the cardiopulmonary bypass was not used for implantation, this link disappeared-there was no statistically significant change in mortality with increasing ischemic time.

CONCLUSIONS

We document that avoidance of bypass may remove ischemic time, within the limits of our observed range of ischemic times, as a risk factor for poor outcomes. Our data add to the evidence that bypass may be harmful to the donor lung.

Effect of Long Cold Ischemia Time of Kidneys from Aged Donors on Prognosis of Kidney Transplantation

With the increasing incidence of end-stage renal disease (ESRD), patients' life span and life quality are significantly reduced. Kidney transplantation has gradually become the ideal method for treating ESRD, and the shortage of organ sources has become the main problem. In recent years, China has successfully realized the transformation of organ sources. Voluntary donation after the death of citizens has increased year by year, and the number of kidney transplantations has increased, which alleviates the organ shortage to a certain extent, but compared with the past, the increasing proportion of aged donors has also become an inevitable global problem. At the same time, due to the sudden and widespread distribution of voluntary donation, most donor kidneys have the problem of longer cold ischemic time (CIT). The probability of adverse events, such as delayed renal function recovery after transplantation, was also significantly increased. At present, there is little research on the effect of donor's aging and long CIT on the prognosis of renal transplantation. This paper reviews the literature in recent years and explore this problem from 2 aspects: the elderly donor and the long CIT.

Mitochondria as Therapeutic Targets in Transplantation

Advances in surgical procedures, technology, and immune suppression have transformed organ transplantation. However, the metabolic changes that occur during organ retrieval, storage, and implantation have been relatively neglected since the developments many decades ago of cold storage organ preservation solutions. In this review we discuss how the metabolic changes that occur within the organ during transplantation, particularly those associated with mitochondria, may contribute to the outcome. We show how a better understanding of these processes can lead to changes in surgical practice and the development of new drug classes to improve the function and longevity of transplanted grafts, while increasing the pool of organs available for transplantation.

Outcomes of Patients Suspended From the National Kidney Transplant Waiting List in the United Kingdom Between 2000 and 2010

BACKGROUND

In the United Kingdom, 1 in 3 patients on the National Kidney Transplant Waiting List (NKTWL) is suspended from the list at least once during their wait. The mortality of this large cohort of patients remains underreported and poorly described.

METHODS

We linked patient records from the UK transplant registry to mortality data from the Office of National Statistics and evaluated the impact of a clinically induced suspension event by estimating hazard ratios (HRs) that compared mortality and graft survival between those who had experienced a suspension event and those who had not.

RESULTS

Between January 1, 2000, and December 31, 2010, 16.7% (2221/13 322) of all patients registered on the NKTWL were suspended. Forty-eight percent (588/1225) of those who were suspended and who were never transplanted died, most often from cardiothoracic causes. A suspension event was associated with increased mortality from the time of listing (adjusted HR [aHR], 1.79; 1.64-1.95) and from the time of transplantation (aHR, 1.20; 1.06-1.37; P = 0.005). Graft survival was also poorer in those who had been suspended (aHR, 1.13; 1.01-1.28; P = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients suspended on the NKTWL have a significantly higher rate of mortality both on the waiting list and following transplantation. Earlier prioritization of patients at risk of experiencing a suspension event may improve their outcomes.

Impact of HLA polymorphisms among cadaveric donors on kidney graft allocation

This study provides data on HLA-A, -B, and -DRB1 frequencies among 861 end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients from Croatia and estimates the benefit of the kidney exchange program by comparing HLA distribution and assessing HLA mismatches (MMs) within a group of ESRD patients who received kidney grafts from 707 cadaveric donors (422 from Croatia and 285 from Eurotransplant). Patients positive for HLA-B*07, -B*08, or -B*44 genes more often received a kidney from ET donors, while HLA-DRB1*11 and -DRB1*16 positive patients more frequently received a kidney from CRO donors. ABDR MM 000 was more frequently present in the case of transplantation from ET donors, while MM 222 was significantly more frequent when the donor was from Croatia. Sensitized patients received kidney more frequently from ET donors (P < .0001). A large pool of organ donors with different HLA gene distributions allows for a higher probability of transplantation from HLA highly matched donor.

Overview of the Evolution of the UK Kidney Allocation Schemes

Purpose of Review

Allocation of deceased donor kidneys for transplantation has evolved since the first utilitarian approach in 1989. This review looks at how the schemes have evolved over the ensuing three decades.

Recent Findings

Four kidney offering schemes have been used in the last 30 years. Successive schemes have evolved from offering only one donor kidney for a nationally prioritised patient to offering both kidneys, from addressing only kidneys from donors after brain death (DBD) to offering kidneys from both DBD and circulatory death donors (DCD) and from prioritising purely on the basis of zero class 2 and minimising class 1 mismatches to a more relaxed approach for older donors and more difficult to match patients while introducing the concept of longevity matching.

Summary

UK kidney offering schemes have evolved through a series of evidence-based analyses to try to optimally address the principles of utility and fairness in kidney offering.

Multiply imputing missing values arising by design in transplant survival data

In this article, we address a missing data problem that occurs in transplant survival studies. Recipients of organ transplants are followed up from transplantation and their survival times recorded, together with various explanatory variables. Due to differences in data collection procedures in different centers or over time, a particular explanatory variable (or set of variables) may only be recorded for certain recipients, which results in this variable being missing for a substantial number of records in the data. The variable may also turn out to be an important predictor of survival and so it is important to handle this missing-by-design problem appropriately. Consensus in the literature is to handle this problem with complete case analysis, as the missing data are assumed to arise under an appropriate missing at random mechanism that gives consistent estimates here. Specifically, the missing values can reasonably be assumed not to be related to the survival time. In this article, we investigate the potential for multiple imputation to handle this problem in a relevant study on survival after kidney transplantation, and show that it comprehensively outperforms complete case analysis on a range of measures. This is a particularly important finding in the medical context as imputing large amounts of missing data is often viewed with scepticism.

'Off-the-shelf' allogeneic CAR T cells: development and challenges

Autologous chimeric antigen receptor (CAR) T cells have changed the therapeutic landscape in haematological malignancies. Nevertheless, the use of allogeneic CAR T cells from donors has many potential advantages over autologous approaches, such as the immediate availability of cryopreserved batches for patient treatment, possible standardization of the CAR-T cell product, time for multiple cell modifications, redosing or combination of CAR T cells directed against different targets, and decreased cost using an industrialized process. However, allogeneic CAR T cells may cause life-threatening graft-versus-host disease and may be rapidly eliminated by the host immune system. The development of next-generation allogeneic CAR T cells to address these issues is an active area of research. In this Review, we analyse the different sources of T cells for optimal allogeneic CAR-T cell therapy and describe the different technological approaches, mainly based on gene editing, to produce allogeneic CAR T cells with limited potential for graft-versus-host disease. These improved allogeneic CAR-T cell products will pave the way for further breakthroughs in the treatment of cancer.

T Follicular Regulatory Cells and Antibody Responses in Transplantation

De novo donor-specific antibody (DSA) formation is a major problem in transplantation, and associated with long-term graft decline and loss as well as sensitization, limiting future transplant options. Forming high-affinity, long-lived antibody responses involves a process called the germinal center (GC) reaction, and requires interaction between several cell types, including GC B cells, T follicular helper (Tfh) and T follicular regulatory (Tfr) cells. T follicular regulatory cells are an essential component of the GC reaction, limiting its size and reducing nonspecific or self-reactive responses.An imbalance between helper function and regulatory function can lead to excessive antibody production. High proportions of Tfh cells have been associated with DSA formation in transplantation; therefore, Tfr cells are likely to play an important role in limiting DSA production. Understanding the signals that govern Tfr cell development and the balance between helper and regulatory function within the GC is key to understanding how these cells might be manipulated to reduce the risk of DSA development.This review discusses the development and function of Tfr cells and their relevance to transplantation. In particular how current and future immunosuppressive strategies might allow us to skew the ratio between Tfr and Tfh cells to increase or decrease the risk of de novo DSA formation.

Impact of distance between donor and recipient hospitals on cadaveric kidney transplantation outcomes

BACKGROUND

The impact of distance between donor and recipient hospitals on outcomes in cadaveric kidney transplantations is unknown. We investigated the association between inter-hospital distance and outcomes in cadaveric kidney transplantations in Japan.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 363 cadaveric kidney transplantations between 2002 and 2017 in Japan. Inter-hospital distance, graft transport time, total ischemic time (TIT), and graft survival were compared between our hospital and national transplantation cohort in Japan. Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) 1 month and 1 year after transplantation was compared between cadaveric and living-donor kidney transplantations in our hospitals. Additionally, inter-hospital distances among the seven geographical regions in Japan were assessed.

RESULTS

There were 12 and 351 cadaveric kidney transplantations at our hospital and in Japan, respectively. Mean inter-hospital distance at our hospital (217 ± 121 km) was significantly longer than that of the national cohort (53 ± 80 km; P < 0.001). Mean TIT and graft survival for our hospital and national cohort were 539 ± 200 min and 91% and 491 ± 193 min and 81%, respectively. Mean eGFRs 1 year after cadaveric and living-donor transplantations at our hospitals were comparable (47 ± 16 vs. 47 ± 15 mL/min/1.73 m²). The comparison among seven regions in Japan indicated a regional difference in inter-hospital distance with an association between area (km²) and inter-hospital distance (km).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the longer inter-hospital distance at our hospital, TIT and transplant outcomes were acceptable in our cases. In addition, geographical inequity in graft allocation in Japan was suggested.

Liver Transplant Recipients With End-Stage Renal Disease Largely Benefit From Kidney Transplantation

BACKGROUND

The incidence of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) after liver transplant (LT) has increased. The actual benefit of kidney transplantation (KT) is not completely understood in LT recipients with ESRD.

METHODS

We analyzed Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data for all KT candidates with prior LT from 1998 to 2014; the benefits of KT relative to remaining on dialysis were compared by means of multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.

RESULTS

The number of these KT candidates with prior LT has tripled from 98 in 1998 to 323 in 2015; LT recipients with ESRD remaining on dialysis have a 2.5-times increase in the risk of liver graft failure and a 3.6-times increase in the risk of patient death compared with these patients receiving KT. The adjusted liver graft and patient survival rates after donors from donation after cardiac death or expanded-criteria donor kidney transplantation were significantly higher than in patients remaining on dialysis in LT recipients with ESRD.

CONCLUSIONS

The number of referrals to KT with prior LT is increasing at a rapid rate. Remaining on dialysis in LT recipients with ESRD has profound increased risks of liver graft failure and patient death in comparison to receiving a KT. LT recipients with ESRD can benefit from expanded-criteria donor and donation after cardiac death kidney transplantation.

What is the impact of human leukocyte antigen mismatching on graft survival and mortality in renal transplantation? A meta-analysis of 23 cohort studies involving 486,608 recipients

Background

The magnitude effects of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) mismatching on post-transplant outcomes of kidney transplantation remain controversial. We aim to quantitatively assess the associations of HLA mismatching with graft survival and mortality in adult kidney transplantation.

Methods

We searched PubMed, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library from their inception to December, 2016. Priori clinical outcomes were overall graft failure, death-censored graft failure and all-cause mortality.

Results

A total of 23 cohort studies covering 486,608 recipients were selected. HLA per mismatch was significant associated with increased risks of overall graft failure (hazard ratio (HR), 1.06; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05–1.07), death-censored graft failure (HR: 1.09; 95% CI 1.06–1.12) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.02–1.07). Besides, HLA-DR mismatches were significant associated with worse overall graft survival (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 1.05–1.21). For HLA-A locus, the association was insignificant (HR: 1.06; 95% CI: 0.98–1.14). We observed no significant association between HLA-B locus and overall graft failure (HR: 1.01; 95% CI: 0.90–1.15). In subgroup analyses, we found recipient sample size and ethnicity maybe the potential sources of heterogeneity.

Conclusions

HLA mismatching was still a critical prognostic factor that affects graft and recipient survival. HLA-DR mismatching has a substantial impact on recipient’s graft survival. HLA-A mismatching has minor but insignificant impact on graft survival outcomes.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12882-018-0908-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

The impact of human leukocyte antigen mismatching on graft survival and mortality in adult renal transplantation: A protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Human leukocyte antigen (HLA) was important biological barrier to a successful transplantation. Quantitative evaluations of the effect of HLA mismatching on heart, liver, umbilical cord blood, and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, have previously been reported. In new era of immunosuppression, the reported magnitude effect of HLA mismatching on survival outcomes of kidney transplantation was controversial. In addition, the current kidney allocation guideline recommendations in different countries were inconsistent in term of HLA mismatching. We undertake this study to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess the magnitude effect of HLA mismatching in adult kidney transplantation, with a particular focus on graft survival and mortality.

METHODS

The present systematic review and meta-analysis protocol was conducted following the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology protocol (MOOSE-P) and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis protocol (PRISMA-P). PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane library Database will be searched without language restriction. Studies fulfill the following criteria will be eligible: included study cohorts comprising adult recipients; reported the association between HLA mismatching (per mismatches or HLA-A, -B, -DR mismatches) and posttransplant survival outcomes; provided effect estimates of hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence interval (CIs). The incidence of measured outcomes was defined according to the European Renal Best Practice Transplantation Guidelines and Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes Guidelines.

RESULTS

This study will quantitatively assess the association of HLA per mismatches, DR-antigen mismatches, A-antigen mismatches, and B-antigen mismatches with survival outcomes of overall graft failure, death-censored graft failure, all-cause mortality, and mortality with a functioning graft.

CONCLUSION

This study will determine the issues on what extent HLA compatibility influenced recipient and graft survival and which HLA antigen plays a more important role in kidney transplantation.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42017071894.

HLA Matching in Pediatric Kidney Transplantation: HLA Poorly Matched Living Donor Transplants Versus HLA Well-Matched Deceased Donor Transplants

BACKGROUND

Based on an analysis of 542 pediatric kidney transplants recorded by the UK Transplant Registry from 2000 to 2012, it was concluded that the survival rate of HLA poorly matched living donor transplants is not inferior to that of HLA well-matched deceased donor transplants.

METHODS

We analyzed the impact of HLA matching on kidney graft survival in 3627 pediatric living donor transplants performed during 2000 to 2015 using the data of the Collaborative Transplant Study. The impact of HLA mismatches on graft survival was analyzed and survival rates of transplants from poorly matched living donors were compared with those from well-matched deceased donors. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to account for the influence of confounders.

RESULTS

HLA matching had a statistically significant impact on graft survival of pediatric kidney transplants (P < 0.001). Ten-year graft survival of pediatric transplants from living donors with 4 to 6 HLA-A+B+DR mismatches was significantly worse than that of transplants from well-matched deceased donors with 0 to 1 HLA mismatch (log rank, P = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

In pediatric kidney transplantation, graft survival of kidneys from deceased donors with 0 to 1 HLA mismatches compares favorably with that of grafts from living donors with 4 to 6 HLA mismatches. If possible, living donor pediatric kidney transplants should be performed from donors with fewer than 4 HLA-A+B+DR mismatches.

The impact of distance from transplant unit on outcomes following kidney transplantation

BACKGROUND

Following transplantation, many patients travel long distances for follow-up care. Many studies have examined the influence of distance from transplant centre on access to transplantation, but few have examined post-transplant outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Distance from transplant centre was calculated for all kidney transplant recipients transplanted over a 5-year period. Outcomes measured were rates of acute rejection, graft and patient survival.

RESULTS

Complete follow up data was available for 571 of the 585 kidney transplants performed over the study period. Distance from home to transplant centre ranged from 1.3 to 257.4 km (median 33.7 km). Patients were divided into quartiles according to their distance from the transplant centre. Distance from the transplant centre did not influence rates of acute rejection (p = 0.102). One-year graft survival for 'nearest' and 'farthest' quartiles was 99% and 97% respectively and five-year graft survival was 78% and 89% respectively (log rank p-value of 0.212). There were no differences in patient survival at 1 and 5 years between the 'nearest' and 'farthest' groups.

CONCLUSION

Distance from transplant centre does not affect early outcomes following kidney transplantation. The centralized practice which involves a low threshold for rapid assessment and readmission of patients post-transplantation appears to provide good outcomes for kidney transplant recipients.

A National Registry Analysis of Kidney Allografts Preserved With Marshall's Solution in the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

The preservation fluids most commonly used for renal allograft preservation in the UK are University of Wisconsin Solution (UW, £120 per liter) and Marshall's Solution (hyperosmolar citrate, £10 per liter). The aim of this study was to compare the outcomes of deceased donor renal allografts preserved with these fluids using data from the UK national transplant registry.

METHODS

Data regarding transplants performed between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2008, was analyzed (n = 5027 kidneys). Kidneys from Donation after Brain Death (DBD) and Donation after Circulatory Death (DCD) were included. After univariate analysis, multivariate logistic and linear regression models were fitted for adult recipients of first grafts (n = 3703 kidneys).

RESULTS

Marshall's solution was associated with longer cold ischemic time, older donors, kidney-only donors, donors with hypertension, and DBD (all P < 0.01). After adjusting for confounding, the choice of preservation fluid was not associated with the risk of PNF (OR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.46-1.46; P = 0.50), DGF (OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.96-1.56; P = 0.11), acute rejection (OR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.76-1.19; P = 0.63), renal function at 1 year (coefficient, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.91-1.04; P = 0.41), or graft survival (DBD HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.46-1.10; P = 12; DCD HR, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.58-1.73; P = 1.00).

CONCLUSIONS

Marshall's solution has been used for the preservation of large numbers of kidneys in the UK. It is associated with transplant outcomes that are equivalent to those with UW solution. Thus, on the basis of this analysis and cost, a strong case can be made for the continued use of Marshall's solution as a preferred fluid for renal allograft preservation.

Transplantation of Kidneys From Donors With Acute Kidney Injury: Friend or Foe?

The gap between supply and demand in kidney transplantation has led to increased use of marginal kidneys; however, kidneys with acute kidney injury are often declined/discarded. To determine whether this policy is justified, we analyzed outcomes of donor kidneys with acute kidney injury (AKI) in a large UK cohort. A retrospective analysis of the UK Transplant Registry evaluated deceased donors between 2003 and 2013. Donors were classified as no AKI, or AKI stage 1-3 according to Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN) criteria. Relationship of AKI with delayed graft function/primary nonfunction (DGF/PNF), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), and graft-survival at 90 days and 1 year was analyzed. There were 11 219 kidneys (1869 [17%] with AKI) included. Graft failure at 1 year is greater for donors with AKI than for those without (graft survival 89% vs. 91%, p = 0.02; odds ratio (OR) 1.20 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.03-1.41]). DGF rates increase with donor AKI stage (p < 0.005), and PNF rates are significantly higher for AKIN stage 3 kidneys (9% vs. 4%, p = 0.04) Analysis of association between AKI and recipient eGFR suggests a risk of inferior eGFR with AKI versus no AKI (p < 0.005; OR 1.25 [95% CI: 1.08-1.31]). We report a small reduction in 1-year graft-survival of kidneys from donors with AKI. We conclude that AKI stage 1 or 2 kidneys should be used; however, caution is advised for AKI stage 3 donors.

Predicting patient survival after deceased donor kidney transplantation using flexible parametric modelling

BACKGROUND

The influence of donor and recipient factors on outcomes following kidney transplantation is commonly analysed using Cox regression models, but this approach is not useful for predicting long-term survival beyond observed data. We demonstrate the application of a flexible parametric approach to fit a model that can be extrapolated for the purpose of predicting mean patient survival. The primary motivation for this analysis is to develop a predictive model to estimate post-transplant survival based on individual patient characteristics to inform the design of alternative approaches to allocating deceased donor kidneys to those on the transplant waiting list in the United Kingdom.

METHODS

We analysed data from over 12,000 recipients of deceased donor kidney or combined kidney and pancreas transplants between 2003 and 2012. We fitted a flexible parametric model incorporating restricted cubic splines to characterise the baseline hazard function and explored a range of covariates including recipient, donor and transplant-related factors.

RESULTS

Multivariable analysis showed the risk of death increased with recipient and donor age, diabetic nephropathy as the recipient's primary renal diagnosis and donor hypertension. The risk of death was lower in female recipients, patients with polycystic kidney disease and recipients of pre-emptive transplants. The final model was used to extrapolate survival curves in order to calculate mean survival times for patients with specific characteristics.

CONCLUSION

The use of flexible parametric modelling techniques allowed us to address some of the limitations of both the Cox regression approach and of standard parametric models when the goal is to predict long-term survival.

Transplanting the elderly: Balancing aging with histocompatibility

Across the world, the proportions of senior citizens (i.e. those ≥65years) increase rapidly and are predicted to constitute over 25% of the general population by 2050. In 2012 already 48% of the population with end stage renal disease (ESRD) was aged 65years or older. Transplantation is considered the preferred treatment option for ESRD offering survival advantage over long-term dialysis in the majority of patients. Indeed, acceptable outcomes have been documented for selected patients over the age of 70years or even cases over 80years. The reality of organ scarcity and prolonged waiting times for a deceased donor kidney transplantation, however, indicate that at best 50% of the selected elderly may have realistic expectations to receive a timely transplant offer. By choice or medical selection, access to transplantation also decreases with increasing age. In order to expedite the chance for elderly to receive a kidney transplant dedicated allocation systems have been developed. These allocation systems, like the Eurotransplant Senior Program (ESP), support preferential local allocation of kidneys from older donors to older patients in order to match recipient and graft life while disregarding histocompatibility for HLA antigens. The consequence has been more acute rejection episodes and an increase in immunosuppressive load. In the elderly, the most common cause of graft loss is death with functioning graft and death from infectious diseases is one of the dominant causes. The Eurotransplant Senior DR-compatible Program (ESDP) was designed to further improve the perspective of successful transplantation in the elderly in terms of life and quality of life by re-introducing matching criteria for HLA-DR in the old-for-old algorithm.

Geographic Variation in Cold Ischemia Time: Kidney vs. Liver Transplantation in the United States, 2003-2011

Background

Regional variations in kidney and liver transplant outcomes have been reported, but their causes remain largely unknown. This study investigated variations in kidney and liver cold ischemia times (CITs) across organ procurement organizations (OPO) as potential causes of variations in transplant outcomes.

Methods

This retrospective study analyzed the Standard Transplant Analysis and Research data of deceased donor kidney (n = 61,335) and liver (n = 39,285) transplants performed between 2003 and 2011. The CIT variations between the 2 types of organs were examined and compared. Factors associated with CIT were explored using multivariable regressions. Spearman rank tests were used to associate CIT with graft failure at the OPO level.

Results

Significant CIT variations were found across OPOs for both organs (P < 0.05). The variation was particularly large for kidney CIT. Those OPOs with longer average kidney CIT were likely to have a lower graft survival rate (P = 0.01). For liver, this association was insignificant (P = 0.23). The regression analysis revealed sharp contrasts between the factors associated with kidney and liver CITs. High-risk kidney transplant recipients and marginal kidneys were associated with longer average CIT. The reverse was true for liver transplants.

Conclusions

Large variations in kidney CIT compared to liver CIT may indicate that there is a room to reduce kidney CIT. Reducing kidney CIT through managerial improvements could be a cost-effective way to improve the current transplant system.

A group-specific sequencing approach to investigate the presence of atypical human leucocyte antigen alleles

Accurate human leucocyte antigen (HLA) typing results are essential in determining the degree of compatibility between donor and recipient in both solid organ (SO) and hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) transplantation. Current HLA typing methodologies can generate ambiguous results which may need resolving. This group-specific sequencing approach allowed investigation into the presence of the low expressor HLA-A*24:02:01:02L allele and the rare HLA-A*02:64 allele in a SO transplant recipient and a HSC transplant recipient, respectively. Locus-specific amplification of HLA-A was performed. Exons 2 and 3 were sequenced in both directions followed by group-specific sequencing to resolve ambiguities. Hemizygous sequence data of intron 2 generated from the HLA-A*24 allele indicated the presence of the HLA-A*24:02:01:01 allele. HLA-A*02:64 was identified by sequencing the allele in isolation over exons 2 and 3 and allowed confirmation of this allele sequence with the IMGT/HLA database (Accession number AY297166). This approach is cost efficient and can be modified to sequence alleles at other HLA loci. It has also been adapted to characterize the novel HLA-DQB1*06:48 allele (Accession number HE647646) as well as the non-HLA gene, UGT2B17, making it a useful tool to augment existing typing methodologies.

Effect of donor age and cold storage time on outcome in recipients of kidneys donated after circulatory death in the UK: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Use of kidneys donated after controlled circulatory death has increased the number of transplants undertaken in the UK but there remains reluctance to use kidneys from older circulatory-death donors and concern that kidneys from circulatory-death donors are particularly susceptible to cold ischaemic injury. We aimed to compare the effect of donor age and cold ischaemic time on transplant outcome in kidneys donated after circulatory death versus brain death.

METHODS

We used the UK transplant registry to select a cohort of first-time recipients (aged ≥ 18 years) of deceased-donor kidneys for transplantations done between Jan 1, 2005, and Nov 1, 2010. We did univariate comparisons of transplants from brain-death donors versus circulatory-death donors with χ tests for categorical data and Wilcoxon tests for non-parametric continuous data. We used Kaplan-Meier curves to show graft survival. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to adjust for donor and recipient factors associated with graft-survival with tests for interaction effects to establish the relative effect of donor age and cold ischaemia on kidneys from circulatory-death and brain-death donors.

FINDINGS

6490 deceased-donor kidney transplants were done at 23 centres. 3 year graft survival showed no difference between circulatory-death (n=1768) and brain-death (n=4127) groups (HR 1·14, 95% CI 0·95-1·36, p=0·16). Donor age older than 60 years (compared with <40 years) was associated with an increased risk of graft loss for all deceased-donor kidneys (2·35, 1·85-3·00, p<0·0001) but there was no increased risk of graft loss for circulatory-death donors older than 60 years compared with brain-death donors in the same age group (p=0·30). Prolonged cold ischaemic time (>24 h vs <12 h) was not associated with decreased graft survival for all deceased-donor kidneys but was associated with poorer graft survival for kidneys from circulatory-death donors than for those from brain-death donors (2·36, 1·39-4·02, p for interaction=0·004).

INTERPRETATION

Kidneys from older circulatory-death donors have equivalent graft survival to kidneys from brain-death donors in the same age group, and are acceptable for transplantation. However, circulatory-death donor kidneys tolerate cold storage less well than do brain-death donor kidneys and this finding should be considered when developing organ allocation policy.

FUNDING

UK National Health Service Blood and Transplant; Cambridge National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre.

Generating an iPSC bank for HLA-matched tissue transplantation based on known donor and recipient HLA types

The likelihood for immunological rejection of Human Leukocyte Antigens (HLA)-mismatched induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) limits their therapeutic potential. Here we show how a tissue bank from 150 selected homozygous HLA-typed volunteers could match 93% of the UK population with a minimal requirement for immunosuppression. Our model provides a practical approach for using existing HLA-typed samples to generate an iPSC stem cell bank that circumvents prospective typing of a large number of individuals.

Compatibility and kidney transplantation: the way to go

Long lasting debates in the past questioned the relevance of any sort of compatibility in post mortal kidney transplantation. It is for no say that fully compatible transplants have the highest chances for a long patient and graft survival. In the present report the use of HLA-DR as a representative of the Major Histocompatibility Complex class II genes in the allocation of organs is discussed. The major arguments are the easiness to offer to patients a compatible graft in a relatively short waiting time, an increase in graft survival, the less sensitization during the transplantation period, and the lower waiting time for a retransplant. Even if the number of organ donors remains the same a lowering of the mean waiting time is expected because of the longer period of graft survival.

The influence of low donor age, living related donation and pre-emptive transplantation on end-organ damage based on arterial hypertension after paediatric kidney transplantation

BACKGROUND

To date, no study has described the pre-transplant and transplant risk factors for end-organ damage based on arterial hypertension in children after kidney transplantation (KTX).

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was performed of 206 children with KTX between 1991 and 2007. Patients<120 cm were excluded as no validated percentiles for 24-h ambulant blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) exist. Complete data sets were available for 116 patients. Data were recorded at 12, 24 and 36 months post- KTX. We analysed the influence of donor age, age at transplantation, pre-emptive transplantation, living or deceased transplantation and glomerular filtration rate (GFR) on the presence of end-organ damage, ABPM, ABPM standard deviation score and the numbers of anti-hypertensives used.

RESULTS

Lower donor age and the decade of transplantation were associated with less detection of end-organ damage (P=0.001). A lower need for anti-hypertensive medication (P=0.001) was detected in children who received organs from living donors and from deceased donors with a donor age<35 years and who were transplanted pre-emptively. Low recipient age was the only factor associated with lower ABPM (P=0.001). In our study, the type of immunosuppressive regimen and the GFR had no influence on the blood pressure.

CONCLUSIONS

It may be speculated that the risk of arterial hypertension and associated end-organ damage in children after KTX could be reduced by using organs from young donors with an advantage for living related and pre-emptive donation.

Expansion of the kidney donor pool by using cardiac death donors with prolonged time to cardiorespiratory arrest

Donation after Cardiac Death (DCD) is an increasingly important source of kidney transplants, but because of concerns of ischemic injury during the agonal phase, many centers abandon donation if cardiorespiratory arrest has not occurred within 1 h of controlled withdrawal of life-supporting treatment (WLST). We report the impact on donor numbers and transplant function using instead a minimum 'cut-off' time of 4 h. The agonal phase of 173 potential DCD donors was characterized according to the presence or absence of: acidemia; lactic acidosis; prolonged (>30 min) hypotension, hypoxia or oliguria, and the impact of these characteristics on 3- and 12-month transplant outcome evaluated by multivariable regression analysis. Of the 117 referrals who became donors, 27 (23.1%) arrested more than 1 h after WLST. Longer agonal-phase times were associated with greater donor instability, but surprisingly neither agonal-phase instability nor its duration influenced transplant outcome. In contrast, 3- and 12-month eGFR in the 190 transplanted kidneys was influenced independently by donor age, and 3-month eGFR by cold ischemic time. DCD kidney numbers are increased by 30%, without compromising transplant outcome, by lengthening the minimum waiting time after WLST from 1 to 4 h.

Analysis of factors that affect outcome after transplantation of kidneys donated after cardiac death in the UK: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

A third of all kidneys from deceased donors in the UK are donated after cardiac death, but concerns have been raised about the long-term outcome of such transplants. We aimed to establish these outcomes for kidneys donated after controlled cardiac death versus brain death, and to identify the factors that affect graft survival and function.

METHODS

We used data from the UK transplant registry to select a cohort of deceased kidney donors and the corresponding transplant recipients (aged ≥18 years) for transplantations done between Jan 1, 2000, and Dec 31, 2007. Kaplan-Meier estimates were used to assess graft survival, and multivariate analyses were used to identify factors associated with graft survival and with long-term renal function, which was measured from estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).

FINDINGS

9134 kidney transplants were done in 23 centres; 8289 kidneys were donated after brain death and 845 after controlled cardiac death. First-time recipients of kidneys from cardiac-death donors (n=739) or brain-death donors (n=6759) showed no difference in graft survival up to 5 years (hazard ratio 1·01, 95% CI 0·83 to 1·19, p=0·97), or in eGFR at 1-5 years after transplantation (at 12 months -0·36 mL/min per 1·73 m(2), 95% CI -2·00 to 1·27, p=0·66). For recipients of kidneys from cardiac-death donors, increasing age of donor and recipient, repeat transplantation, and cold ischaemic time of more than 12 h were associated with worse graft survival; grafts from cardiac-death donors that were poorly matched for HLA had an association with inferior outcome that was not significant, and delayed graft function and warm ischaemic time had no effect on outcome.

INTERPRETATION

Kidneys from controlled cardiac-death donors provide good graft survival and function up to 5 years in first-time recipients, and are equivalent to kidneys from brain-death donors. Allocation policy for kidneys from cardiac-death donors should reduce cold ischaemic time, avoid large age mismatches between donors and recipients, and restrict use of kidneys poorly matched for HLA in young recipients.

FUNDING

UK National Health Service Blood and Transplant, and Cambridge National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre.