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Hammann AC, MacDonell S. Regression-based gap-filling methods show air temperature reductions and wind pattern changes during the 2019 total eclipse in Chile. Sci Rep 2022; 12:7718. [PMID: 35546153 PMCID: PMC9095667 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-10623-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/25/2021] [Accepted: 02/08/2022] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
Singular disruptive events like solar eclipses affect the measured values of meteorological variables at the earth’s surface. To quantify such an impact, it is necessary to estimate what value the parameter would have taken had the event not occurred. We design and compare several methods to perform such an estimate based on longer observational timeseries from individual meteorological surface stations. Our methods are based on regularised regressions (including a Bayesian variant) and provide both a point an associated error estimate of the disruptive event’s impact. With their help, we study the effect of the total solar eclipse of July 2nd, 2019, in the Coquimbo Region of Chile, on near-surface air temperatures and winds. The observational data used have been collected by the meteorological surface station network of the Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Áridas (CEAZA). Most stations inside the eclipse’s umbra registered a temperature drop of 1–2 \documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$^{\circ }$$\end{document}∘C, while the most extreme estimated temperature drop surpassed 6 \documentclass[12pt]{minimal}
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\begin{document}$$^{\circ }$$\end{document}∘C. The presence of an ‘eclipse cyclone’ can neither be proven nor refuted. Application of the regression methods to other comparable problems like volcanic eruptions, forest fires, or simply gap filling of observational data, are conceivable.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arno C Hammann
- Asiaq - Greenland Survey, Qatserisut 8, Nuuk, Greenland. .,Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Áridas, Raúl Bitrán 1305, La Serena, Chile.
| | - Shelley MacDonell
- Centro de Estudios Avanzados en Zonas Áridas, Raúl Bitrán 1305, La Serena, Chile.,Waterways Centre for Freshwater Management, University of Canterbury and Lincoln University, Private Bag 4800, Christchurch, New Zealand
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Moore GWK, Semple JL. Himalaya Air Quality Impacts From the COVID-19 Lockdown Across the Indo-Gangetic Plain. GEOHEALTH 2021; 5:e2020GH000351. [PMID: 34141977 PMCID: PMC8182764 DOI: 10.1029/2020gh000351] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/10/2020] [Revised: 03/08/2021] [Accepted: 03/10/2021] [Indexed: 06/12/2023]
Abstract
Starting in January 2020, the novel coronavirus, now known as acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) and the disease that it causes (COVID-19) has had significant impacts on human health, the environment, and the economy globally. The rapid lockdown that occurred as well as its well documented timing allows for an unprecedented opportunity to examine the impact of air pollution from densely populated regions has on adjacent and pristine environments. Here, we use in situ and satellite observations to show that there was a step function decrease in two key indicators of air quality, nitrogen dioxide and airborne particulates, in locations within the Indo-Gangetic Plan (IGP) as a result of the Spring 2020 lockdown. Based on anomaly patterns, we find a dipole response with a statistically significant reduction in air pollution along the western IGP and Himalaya and an increase in air pollution in the eastern IGP and Himalaya. We show that spatial variability in the reductions in economic activity across northern India and the adjoining countries of Nepal, Pakistan, and Bangladesh contributed to this dipole as did a persistent atmospheric circulation anomaly across the region during the lockdown.
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Affiliation(s)
- G. W. K. Moore
- Department of PhysicsUniversity of TorontoTorontoONCanada
- Department of Chemical and Physical SciencesUniversity of Toronto MississaugaMississaugaONCanada
| | - J. L. Semple
- Department of SurgeryUniversity of TorontoTorontoONCanada
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Variation of Low-Frequency Time-Code Signal Field Strength during the Annular Solar Eclipse on 21 June 2020: Observation and Analysis. SENSORS 2021; 21:s21041216. [PMID: 33572258 PMCID: PMC7914959 DOI: 10.3390/s21041216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/28/2020] [Revised: 02/04/2021] [Accepted: 02/06/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
Due to the occlusion of the moon, an annular solar eclipse will have an effect on the ionosphere above the earth. The change of the ionosphere, for the low-frequency time-code signal that relies on it as a reflection medium for long-distance propagation, the signal field strength, and other parameters will also produce corresponding changes, which will affect the normal operation of the low-frequency time-code time service system. This paper selects the solar eclipse that occurred in China on 21 June 2020, and uses the existing measurement equipment to carry out experimental research on the low-frequency time-code signal. We measured and analyzed the signal field strength from 20 June 2020 to 23 June 2020, and combined solar activity data, ionospheric data, and geomagnetic data, and attempted to explore the reasons and rules of the change of signal parameters. The results showed that the field strength of the low-frequency time-code signal changed dramatically within a short time period, the max growth value can reach up to 17 dBμV/m and the variation trend yielded 'three mutations'. This change in signal field strength is probably due to the occurrence of a solar eclipse that has an effect on the ionosphere. When the signal propagation conditions change, the signal strength will also change accordingly.
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Colligan T, Fowler J, Godfrey J, Spangrude C. Detection of stratospheric gravity waves induced by the total solar eclipse of July 2, 2019. Sci Rep 2020; 10:19428. [PMID: 33173164 PMCID: PMC7655831 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-020-75098-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/24/2019] [Accepted: 10/12/2020] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Atmospheric gravity waves generated by an eclipse were first proposed in 1970. Despite numerous efforts since, there has been no definitive evidence for eclipse generated gravity waves in the lower to middle atmosphere. Measuring wave characteristics produced by a definite forcing event such as an eclipse provides crucial knowledge for developing more accurate physical descriptions of gravity waves. These waves are fundamental to the transport of energy and momentum throughout the atmosphere and their parameterization or simulation in numerical models provides increased accuracy to forecasts. Here, we present the findings from a radiosonde field campaign carried out during the total solar eclipse of July 2, 2019 aimed at detecting eclipse-driven gravity waves in the stratosphere. This eclipse was the source of three stratospheric gravity waves. The first wave (eclipse wave #1) was detected 156 min after totality and the other two waves were detected 53 and 62 min after totality (eclipse waves #2 and #3 respectively) using balloon-borne radiosondes. Our results demonstrate both the importance of field campaign design and the limitations of currently accepted balloon-borne analysis techniques for the detection of stratospheric gravity waves.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Jennifer Fowler
- Montana Space Grant Consortium, University of Montana, 32 Campus Drive, Missoula, MT, 59812, USA.
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Wood JD, Sadler EJ, Fox NI, Greer ST, Gu L, Guinan PE, Lupo AR, Market PS, Rochette SM, Speck A, White LD. Land-Atmosphere Responses to a Total Solar Eclipse in Three Ecosystems With Contrasting Structure and Physiology. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH. ATMOSPHERES : JGR 2019; 124:530-543. [PMID: 31080699 PMCID: PMC6505711 DOI: 10.1029/2018jd029630] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2018] [Accepted: 12/21/2018] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
Mid-Missouri experienced up to 2 min 40 s of totality at around solar noon during the total eclipse of 2017. We conducted the Mid-Missouri Eclipse Meteorology Experiment to examine land-atmosphere interactions during the eclipse. Here, research examining the eclipse responses in three contrasting ecosystems (forest, prairie, and soybeans) is described. There was variable cloudiness around first and fourth contacts (i.e., the start and end of partial solar obscuration) at the forest and prairie; however, solar irradiance (K ↓) signals during the eclipse were relatively clean. Unfortunately, the eclipse forcing at the soybean field was contaminated by convective activity, which decreased K ↓ beginning about an hour before first contact and exposed the field to cold outflow ~30 min before second contact. Turbulence was suppressed during the eclipse at all sites; however, there was also an amplified signal at the soybean field during the passage of a gust front. The standard deviations of the horizontal and vertical wind velocities and friction velocities decreased by ~75% at the forest (aerodynamically rough), and ~60% at the prairie (aerodynamically smooth). The eddy fluxes of energy were highly coherent with the solar forcing with the latent and sensible heat fluxes approaching 0 W/m2 and changing in direction, respectively. For the prairie site, we estimated a canopy-scale time constant for the surface conductance light response of 10 min. Although the eclipse imparted large forcings on surface energy balances, the air temperature response was relatively muted (1.5-2.5 °C decrease) due to the absence of topographic effects and the relatively moist land and atmosphere.
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Affiliation(s)
- J. D. Wood
- School of Natural Resources, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - E. J. Sadler
- Cropping Systems and Water Quality Research Unit, USDA-ARS, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - N. I. Fox
- School of Natural Resources, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - S. T. Greer
- School of Natural Resources, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - L. Gu
- Environmental Sciences Division and Climate Change Institute, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, Tennessee, USA
| | - P. E. Guinan
- School of Natural Resources, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - A. R. Lupo
- School of Natural Resources, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - P. S. Market
- School of Natural Resources, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - S. M. Rochette
- Department of Earth Sciences, The College at Brockport, State University of New York, Brockport, New York, USA
| | - A. Speck
- Department of Physics and Astronomy, University of Missouri, Columbia, Missouri, USA
| | - L. D. White
- Department of Chemistry, Physics, and Atmospheric Science, Jackson State University, Jackson, Mississippi, USA
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Burt S. Meteorological responses in the atmospheric boundary layer over southern England to the deep partial eclipse of 20 March 2015. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS. SERIES A, MATHEMATICAL, PHYSICAL, AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES 2016; 374:rsta.2015.0214. [PMID: 27550762 PMCID: PMC5004047 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0214] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/15/2015] [Indexed: 06/01/2023]
Abstract
A wide range of surface and near-surface meteorological observations were made at the University of Reading's Atmospheric Observatory in central southern England (latitude 51.441° N, longitude 0.938° W, altitude 66 m above mean sea level) during the deep partial eclipse on the morning of 20 March 2015. Observations of temperature, humidity, radiation, wind speed and direction, and atmospheric pressure were made by computerized logging equipment at 1 Hz, supplemented by an automated cloud base recorder sampling at 1 min intervals and a high-resolution (approx. 10 m vertical interval) atmospheric sounding by radiosonde launched from the same location during the eclipse. Sources and details of each instrumental measurement are described briefly, followed by a summary of observed and derived measurements by meteorological parameter. Atmospheric boundary layer responses to the solar eclipse were muted owing to the heavily overcast conditions which prevailed at the observing location, but instrumental records of the event documented a large (approx. 80%) reduction in global solar radiation, a fall in air temperature of around 0.6°C, a decrease in cloud base height, and a slight increase in atmospheric stability during the eclipse. Changes in surface atmospheric moisture content and barometric pressure were largely insignificant during the event.This article is part of the themed issue 'Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse'.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stephen Burt
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading RG6 7BE, UK
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Gray SL, Harrison RG. Eclipse-induced wind changes over the British Isles on the 20 March 2015. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS. SERIES A, MATHEMATICAL, PHYSICAL, AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES 2016; 374:rsta.2015.0224. [PMID: 27550759 PMCID: PMC5004054 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0224] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 03/29/2016] [Indexed: 06/01/2023]
Abstract
The British Isles benefits from dense meteorological observation networks, enabling insights into the still-unresolved effects of solar eclipse events on the near-surface wind field. The near-surface effects of the solar eclipse of 20 March 2015 are derived through comparison of output from the Met Office's operational weather forecast model (which is ignorant of the eclipse) with data from two meteorological networks: the Met Office's land surface station (MIDAS) network and a roadside measurement network operated by Vaisala. Synoptic-evolution relative calculations reveal the cooling and increase in relative humidity almost universally attributed to eclipse events. In addition, a slackening of wind speeds by up to about 2 knots in already weak winds and backing in wind direction of about 20° under clear skies across middle England are attributed to the eclipse event. The slackening of wind speed is consistent with the previously reported boundary layer stabilization during eclipse events. Wind direction changes have previously been attributed to a large-scale 'eclipse-induced cold-cored cyclone', mountain slope flows, and changes in the strength of sea breezes. A new explanation is proposed here by analogy with nocturnal wind changes at sunset and shown to predict direction changes consistent with those observed.This article is part of the themed issue 'Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse'.
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Affiliation(s)
- S L Gray
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
| | - R G Harrison
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
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Harrison RG, Hanna E. The solar eclipse: a natural meteorological experiment. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS. SERIES A, MATHEMATICAL, PHYSICAL, AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES 2016; 374:rsta.2015.0225. [PMID: 27550768 PMCID: PMC5004055 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0225] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 05/23/2016] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
A solar eclipse provides a well-characterized reduction in solar radiation, of calculable amount and duration. This captivating natural astronomical phenomenon is ideally suited to science outreach activities, but the predictability of the change in solar radiation also provides unusual conditions for assessing the atmospheric response to a known stimulus. Modern automatic observing networks used for weather forecasting and atmospheric research have dense spatial coverage, so the quantitative meteorological responses to an eclipse can now be evaluated with excellent space and time resolution. Numerical models representing the atmosphere at high spatial resolution can also be used to predict eclipse-related changes and interpret the observations. Combining the models with measurements yields the elements of a controlled atmospheric experiment on a regional scale (10-1000 km), which is almost impossible to achieve by other means. This modern approach to 'eclipse meteorology' as identified here can ultimately improve weather prediction models and be used to plan for transient reductions in renewable electricity generation. During the 20 March 2015 eclipse, UK electrical energy demand increased by about 3 GWh (11 TJ) or about 4%, alongside reductions in the wind and photovoltaic electrical energy generation of 1.5 GWh (5.5 TJ).This article is part of the themed issue 'Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse'.
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Affiliation(s)
- R Giles Harrison
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, PO Box 239, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
| | - Edward Hanna
- Department of Geography, University of Sheffield, Winter Street, Sheffield S10 2TN, UK
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Clark MR. On the variability of near-surface screen temperature anomalies in the 20 March 2015 solar eclipse. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS. SERIES A, MATHEMATICAL, PHYSICAL, AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES 2016; 374:rsta.2015.0213. [PMID: 27550765 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0213] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/10/2015] [Indexed: 06/06/2023]
Abstract
Near-surface air temperature (NSAT) anomalies during the 20 March 2015 solar eclipse are investigated at 266 UK sites, using operational data. The high density of observing sites, together with the wide range of ambient meteorological conditions, provided an unprecedented opportunity for analysis of the spatial variability of NSAT anomalies under relatively uniform eclipse conditions. Anomalies ranged from -0.03°C to -4.23°C (median -1.02°C). The maximum (negative) anomaly lagged the maximum obscuration by 15 min on average. Cloud cover impacted strongly on NSAT anomalies, with larger anomalies in clear-sky situations (p<0.0001). Weaker, but statistically significant, correlations were found with wind speed (larger anomalies in weaker winds), proximity to coast (larger anomalies at inland sites), topography (larger anomalies in topographical low points) and land cover (larger anomalies over vegetated surfaces). In this mid-morning eclipse, the topographical influences on NSAT anomalies were apparently dominated by variations in residual nocturnal inversion strength, as suggested by significant correlations between post-sunrise temperature and NSAT anomaly at clear-sky sites (larger negative anomalies with lower post-sunrise temperatures). The largest NSAT anomaly occurred at a coastal site where flow transitioned from onshore to offshore during the eclipse, in a situation with large coastal temperature gradients associated with antecedent nocturnal cooling.This article is part of the themed issue 'Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse'.
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Harrison RG, Marlton GJ, Williams PD, Nicoll KA. Coordinated weather balloon solar radiation measurements during a solar eclipse. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS. SERIES A, MATHEMATICAL, PHYSICAL, AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES 2016; 374:rsta.2015.0221. [PMID: 27550757 PMCID: PMC5004051 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0221] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/20/2015] [Indexed: 06/01/2023]
Abstract
Solar eclipses provide a rapidly changing solar radiation environment. These changes can be studied using simple photodiode sensors, if the radiation reaching the sensors is unaffected by cloud. Transporting the sensors aloft using standard meteorological instrument packages modified to carry extra sensors, provides one promising but hitherto unexploited possibility for making solar eclipse radiation measurements. For the 20 March 2015 solar eclipse, a coordinated campaign of balloon-carried solar radiation measurements was undertaken from Reading (51.44°N, 0.94°W), Lerwick (60.15°N, 1.13°W) and Reykjavik (64.13°N, 21.90°W), straddling the path of the eclipse. The balloons reached sufficient altitude at the eclipse time for eclipse-induced variations in solar radiation and solar limb darkening to be measured above cloud. Because the sensor platforms were free to swing, techniques have been evaluated to correct the measurements for their changing orientation. In the swing-averaged technique, the mean value across a set of swings was used to approximate the radiation falling on a horizontal surface; in the swing-maximum technique, the direct beam was estimated by assuming that the maximum solar radiation during a swing occurs when the photodiode sensing surface becomes normal to the direction of the solar beam. Both approaches, essentially independent, give values that agree with theoretical expectations for the eclipse-induced radiation changes.This article is part of the themed issue 'Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse'.
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Affiliation(s)
- R G Harrison
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
| | - G J Marlton
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
| | - P D Williams
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
| | - K A Nicoll
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
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Barnard L, Portas AM, Gray SL, Harrison RG. The National Eclipse Weather Experiment: an assessment of citizen scientist weather observations. PHILOSOPHICAL TRANSACTIONS. SERIES A, MATHEMATICAL, PHYSICAL, AND ENGINEERING SCIENCES 2016; 374:rsta.2015.0220. [PMID: 27550767 PMCID: PMC5004050 DOI: 10.1098/rsta.2015.0220] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/10/2016] [Indexed: 05/27/2023]
Abstract
The National Eclipse Weather Experiment (NEWEx) was a citizen science project designed to assess the effects of the 20 March 2015 partial solar eclipse on the weather over the United Kingdom (UK). NEWEx had two principal objectives: to provide a spatial network of meteorological observations across the UK to aid the investigation of eclipse-induced weather changes, and to develop a nationwide public engagement activity-based participation of citizen scientists. In total, NEWEx collected 15 606 observations of air temperature, cloudiness and wind speed and direction from 309 locations across the UK, over a 3 h window spanning the eclipse period. The headline results were processed in near real time, immediately published online, and featured in UK national press articles on the day of the eclipse. Here, we describe the technical development of NEWEx and how the observations provided by the citizen scientists were analysed. By comparing the results of the NEWEx analyses with results from other investigations of the same eclipse using different observational networks, including measurements from the University of Reading's Atmospheric Observatory, we demonstrate that NEWEx provided a fair representation of the change in the UK meteorological conditions throughout the eclipse. Despite the simplicity of the approach adopted, robust reductions in both temperature and wind speed during the eclipse were observed.This article is part of the themed issue 'Atmospheric effects of solar eclipses stimulated by the 2015 UK eclipse'.
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Affiliation(s)
- L Barnard
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
| | - A M Portas
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
| | - S L Gray
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
| | - R G Harrison
- Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Earley Gate, PO Box 243, Reading RG6 6BB, UK
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