All-cause and liver-related mortality risk factors in excessive drinkers: Analysis of data from the UK biobank

A polygenic risk score for alcohol-associated cirrhosis among heavy drinkers with European ancestry

BACKGROUND

Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) based on results from genome-wide association studies offer the prospect of risk stratification for many common and complex diseases. We developed a PRS for alcohol-associated cirrhosis by comparing single-nucleotide polymorphisms among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis (ALC) versus drinkers who did not have evidence of liver fibrosis/cirrhosis.

METHODS

Using a data-driven approach, a PRS for ALC was generated using a meta-genome-wide association study of ALC (N=4305) and an independent cohort of heavy drinkers with ALC and without significant liver disease (N=3037). It was validated in 2 additional independent cohorts from the UK Biobank with diagnosed ALC (N=467) and high-risk drinking controls (N=8981) and participants in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort with alcohol-associated liver disease (N=121) and controls without liver disease (N=3239).

RESULTS

A 20-single-nucleotide polymorphisms PRS for ALC (PRSALC) was generated that stratified risk for ALC comparing the top and bottom deciles of PRS in the 2 validation cohorts (ORs: 2.83 [95% CI: 1.82 -4.39] in UK Biobank; 4.40 [1.56 -12.44] in Indiana Biobank Liver cohort). Furthermore, PRSALC improved the prediction of ALC risk when added to the models of clinically known predictors of ALC risk. It also stratified the risk for metabolic dysfunction -associated steatotic liver disease -cirrhosis (3.94 [2.23 -6.95]) in the Indiana Biobank Liver cohort -based exploratory analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

PRSALC incorporates 20 single-nucleotide polymorphisms, predicts increased risk for ALC, and improves risk stratification for ALC compared with the models that only include clinical risk factors. This new score has the potential for early detection of heavy drinking patients who are at high risk for ALC.

Different minimal alcohol consumption in male and female individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The relationship between moderate alcohol intake and health outcomes among individuals with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) is complex. Our aim was to investigate the association of minimal alcohol consumption with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among MAFLD individuals of different genders.

METHODS

Our study included 2630 MAFLD individuals from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the association between alcohol use measures and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Restricted cubic spline curves were used to evaluate the relationship between alcohol consumption per week and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

In the entire MAFLD cohort, we observed significant disparities in clinical characteristics between male and female individuals with MAFLD. Higher weekly alcohol consumption was significantly associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality (male, hazard ratios [HRs]: 1.009, 95% CIs: 1.004-1.014; female, HRs: 1.032, 95% CIs: 1.022-1.042). In males with MAFLD, a linear association with all-cause mortality was observed for weekly alcohol consumption (p for non-linearity = .21). Conversely, in females with MAFLD, the risk of all-cause mortality remained relatively stable until 2 drinks per week, after which it rapidly increased with each additional drink consumed, and the increase in mortality risk was higher than that observed in males (p for non-linearity < .05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings indicate that any increase in weekly alcohol consumption was associated with increased all-cause mortality in men with MAFLD. Conversely, consuming less than 2 drinks per week had minimal impact on the risk of mortality among female.