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Tu Y, Zhang J, Zhao M, He F. Nomogram establishment for short-term survival prediction in ICU patients with aplastic anemia based on the MIMIC-IV database. Hematology 2024; 29:2339778. [PMID: 38625693 DOI: 10.1080/16078454.2024.2339778] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/24/2024] [Accepted: 03/27/2024] [Indexed: 04/17/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To establish an efficient nomogram model to predict short-term survival in ICU patients with aplastic anemia (AA). METHODS The data of AA patients in the MIMIC-IV database were obtained and randomly assigned to the training set and testing set in a ratio of 7:3. Independent prognosis factors were identified through univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. The variance inflation factor was calculated to detect the correlation between variables. A nomogram model was built based on independent prognostic factors and risk scores for factors were generated. Model performance was tested using C-index, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA) and Kaplan-Meier curve. RESULTS A total of 1,963 AA patients were included. A nomogram model with 7 variables was built, including SAPS II, chronic pulmonary obstructive disease, body temperature, red cell distribution width, saturation of peripheral oxygen, age and mechanical ventilation. The C-indexes in the training set and testing set were 0.642 and 0.643 respectively, indicating certain accuracy of the model. ROC curve showed favorable classification performance of nomogram. The calibration curve reflected that its probabilistic prediction was reliable. DCA revealed good clinical practicability of the model. Moreover, the Kaplan-Meier curve showed that receiving mechanical ventilation could improve the survival status of AA patients in the short term but did not in the later period. CONCLUSION The nomogram model of the short-term survival rate of AA patients was built based on clinical characteristics, and early mechanical ventilation could help improve the short-term survival rate of patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yan Tu
- Department of Hematology, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua, People's Republic of China
| | - Jingcheng Zhang
- Department of Hematology, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua, People's Republic of China
| | - Mingzhe Zhao
- Department of Hematology, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua, People's Republic of China
| | - Fang He
- Department of Hematology, Affiliated Jinhua Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Jinhua, People's Republic of China
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Barade A, Lakshmi KM, Korula A, Abubacker FN, Kulkarni UP, Abraham A, Mathews V, George B, Edison ES. Comparison of telomere length in patients with bone marrow failure syndromes and healthy controls. Eur J Haematol 2024; 112:810-818. [PMID: 38213291 DOI: 10.1111/ejh.14173] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2023] [Revised: 01/02/2024] [Accepted: 01/03/2024] [Indexed: 01/13/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION During normal aging, telomeric DNA is gradually lost in dividing somatic cells, and critically short telomeres lead to replicative senescence, apoptosis, or chromosomal instability. We studied telomere length in bone marrow failure syndromes (BMFS) compared to normal healthy population. METHODS Peripheral blood was collected from the participants, and genomic DNA was extracted. Relative telomere length was measured using a quantitative polymerase chain reaction. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS and GraphPad Prism 8.2 software. RESULTS The median age of normal Indian population was 31 (0-60) years. As expected, telomere length (TL) showed a decline with age and no difference in TL between males and females. The median age of 650 patients with aplastic anemia (AA) was 30 (1-60) years. TL was significantly shorter in patients with AA compared to healthy controls (p < .001). In FA and MDS patients, TL was significantly shorter than age-matched healthy controls (p = .028; p < .001), respectively. There was no difference between the median TL in age-matched AA and FA patients (p = .727). However, patients with MDS had shorter TL than age-matched AA (p = .031). CONCLUSION TL in BMF syndrome patients was significantly shorter than age-matched healthy controls.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aruna Barade
- Department of Haematology, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India
- Sree Chitra Tirunal Institute for Medical Sciences and Technology, Thiruvananthapuram, India
| | - Kavitha M Lakshmi
- Department of Haematology, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India
| | - Anu Korula
- Department of Haematology, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India
| | | | - Uday P Kulkarni
- Department of Haematology, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India
| | - Aby Abraham
- Department of Haematology, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India
| | - Vikram Mathews
- Department of Haematology, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India
| | - Biju George
- Department of Haematology, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India
| | - Eunice S Edison
- Department of Haematology, Christian Medical College, Vellore, India
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Piekarska A, Pawelec K, Szmigielska-Kapłon A, Ussowicz M. The state of the art in the treatment of severe aplastic anemia: immunotherapy and hematopoietic cell transplantation in children and adults. Front Immunol 2024; 15:1378432. [PMID: 38646536 PMCID: PMC11026616 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2024.1378432] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/01/2024] [Accepted: 03/22/2024] [Indexed: 04/23/2024] Open
Abstract
Acquired aplastic anemia (AA) is an immune-mediated bone marrow (BM) failure where marrow disruption is driven by a cytotoxic T-cell-mediated autoimmune attack against hematopoietic stem cells. The key diagnostic challenge in children, but also in adults, is to exclude the possible underlying congenital condition and myelodysplasia. The choice of treatment options, either allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) or immunosuppressive therapy (IST), depends on the patient's age, comorbidities, and access to a suitable donor and effective therapeutic agents. Since 2022, horse antithymocyte globulin (hATG) has been available again in Europe and is recommended for IST as a more effective option than rabbit ATG. Therefore, an update on immunosuppressive strategies is warranted. Despite an improved response to the new immunosuppression protocols with hATG and eltrombopag, some patients are not cured or remain at risk of aplasia relapse or clonal evolution and require postponed alloHCT. The transplantation field has evolved, becoming safer and more accessible. Upfront alloHCT from unrelated donors is becoming a tempting option. With the use of posttransplant cyclophosphamide, haploidentical HCT offers promising outcomes also in AA. In this paper, we present the state of the art in the management of severe AA for pediatric and adult patients based on the available guidelines and recently published studies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Agnieszka Piekarska
- Department of Hematology and Transplantology, Medical University of Gdansk, Gdansk, Poland
| | - Katarzyna Pawelec
- Department of Oncology, Pediatric Hematology, Clinical Transplantology and Pediatrics, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland
| | | | - Marek Ussowicz
- Department of Pediatric Bone Marrow Transplantation, Oncology and Hematology, Wroclaw Medical University, Wroclaw, Poland
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Lai TP, Verhulst S, Dagnall CL, Hutchinson A, Spellman SR, Howard A, Katki HA, Levine JE, Saber W, Aviv A, Gadalla SM. Decoupling blood telomere length from age in recipients of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant in the BMT-CTN 1202. Front Immunol 2022; 13:966301. [PMID: 36263045 PMCID: PMC9574912 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.966301] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/10/2022] [Accepted: 08/26/2022] [Indexed: 11/13/2022] Open
Abstract
The age of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) donors and their hematopoietic cell telomere length (TL) might affect recipients’ outcomes. Our goals were to examine the possible effect of these donors’ factors on the recipients’ hematopoietic cell TL and quantify hematopoietic cell TL shortening in the critical first three-month post-HCT. We measured hematopoietic cell TL parameters in 75 recipient-donor pairs, from the Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network (protocol#1202), by Southern blotting (SB), the Telomeres Shortest Length Assay (TeSLA), and quantitative PCR (qPCR). Recipients’ hematopoietic cell TL parameters post-HCT correlated with donors’ age (p<0.001 for all methods), but not recipients’ own age, and with donors’ pre-HCT hematopoietic cell TL (p<0.0001 for all). Multivariate analyses showed that donors’ hematopoietic cell TL pre-HCT, independent of donors’ age, explained most of the variability in recipients’ hematopoietic cell TL post-HCT (81% for SB, 56% for TeSLA, and 65% for qPCR; p>0.0001 for all). SB and TeSLA detected hematopoietic cell TL shortening in all recipients post-HCT (mean=0.52kb and 0.47kb, respectively; >15-fold the annual TL shortening in adults; p<0.00001 for both), but qPCR detected shortening only in 57.5% of recipients. TeSLA detected a buildup of post-HCT of telomeres <3 kb in 96% of recipients (p<0.0001). In conclusion, HCT decouples hematopoietic cell TL in the recipients from their own age to reflect the donors’ age. The potential donors’ age effect on outcomes of HCT might be partially mediated by short hematopoietic cell TL in older donors. qPCR-based TL measurement is suboptimal for detecting telomere shortening post-HCT.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tsung-Po Lai
- Center of Human Development and Aging, New Jersey Medical School, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, Newark, NJ, United States
| | - Simon Verhulst
- Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences, University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands
| | - Casey L. Dagnall
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, United States
- Leidos Biomedical Research, Inc., Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research, Frederick, MD, United States
| | - Amy Hutchinson
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, United States
- Leidos Biomedical Research, Inc., Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research, Frederick, MD, United States
| | - Stephen R. Spellman
- Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, National Marrow Donor Program, Minneapolis, MN, United States
| | - Alan Howard
- Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, National Marrow Donor Program, Minneapolis, MN, United States
| | - Hormuzd A. Katki
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, United States
| | - John E. Levine
- Tisch Cancer Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
| | - Wael Saber
- Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, WI, United States
| | - Abraham Aviv
- Center of Human Development and Aging, New Jersey Medical School, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey, Newark, NJ, United States
| | - Shahinaz M. Gadalla
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, United States
- *Correspondence: Shahinaz M. Gadalla,
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