Donor KIR genotype based outcome prediction after allogeneic stem cell transplantation: no land in sight

Optimizing natural killer (NK) cell alloreactivity could further improve outcome after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT). The donor's Killer-cell Immunoglobulin-like Receptor (KIR) genotype may provide important information in this regard. In the past decade, different models have been proposed aiming at maximizing NK cell activation by activating KIR-ligand interactions or minimizing inhibitory KIR-ligand interactions. Alternative classifications intended predicting outcome after alloHCT by donor KIR-haplotypes. In the present study, we aimed at validating proposed models and exploring more classification approaches. To this end, we analyzed samples stored at the Collaborative Biobank from HLA-compatible unrelated stem cell donors who had donated for patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) or myelodysplastic neoplasm (MDS) and whose outcome data had been reported to EBMT or CIBMTR. The donor KIR genotype was determined by high resolution amplicon-based next generation sequencing. We analyzed data from 5,017 transplants. The median patient age at alloHCT was 56 years. Patients were transplanted for AML between 2013 and 2018. Donor-recipient pairs were matched for HLA-A, -B, -C, -DRB1, and -DQB1 (79%) or had single HLA mismatches. Myeloablative conditioning was given to 56% of patients. Fifty-two percent of patients received anti-thymocyte-globulin-based graft-versus-host disease prophylaxis, 32% calcineurin-inhibitor-based prophylaxis, and 7% post-transplant cyclophosphamide-based prophylaxis. We tested several previously reported classifications in multivariable regression analyses but could not confirm outcome associations. Exploratory analyses in 1,939 patients (39%) who were transplanted from donors with homozygous centromeric (cen) or telomeric (tel) A or B motifs, showed that the donor cen B/B-tel A/A diplotype was associated with a trend to better event-free survival (HR 0.84, p=.08) and reduced risk of non-relapse mortality (NRM) (HR 0.65, p=.01). When we further dissected the contribution of B subtypes, we found that only the cen B01/B01-telA/A diplotype was associated with a reduced risk of relapse (HR 0.40, p=.04) while all subtype combinations contributed to a reduced risk of NRM. This exploratory finding has to be validated in an independent data set. In summary, the existing body of evidence is not (yet) consistent enough to recommend use of donor KIR genotype information for donor selection in routine clinical practice.

Phenotypic and genetically predicted leucocyte telomere length and lung cancer risk in the prospective UK Biobank

We investigated phenotypic leucocyte telomere length (LTL), genetically predicted LTL (gTL), and lung cancer risk among 371 890 participants, including 2829 incident cases, from the UK Biobank. Using multivariable Cox regression, we found dose-response relationships between longer phenotypic LTL (p-trendcontinuous=2.6×10-5), longer gTL predicted using a polygenic score with 130 genetic instruments (p-trendcontinuous=4.2×10-10), and overall lung cancer risk, particularly for adenocarcinoma. The associations were prominent among never smokers. Mendelian Randomization analyses supported causal associations between longer telomere length and lung cancer (HRper 1 SD gTL=1.87, 95% CI: 1.49 to 2.36, p=4.0×10-7), particularly adenocarcinoma (HRper 1 SD gTL=2.45, 95%CI: 1.69 to 3.57, p=6.5×10-6).

Comparison of Vital Status, Cause of Death, and Follow-Up after Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation in Linked Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research and California Cancer Registry Data, 1991 to 2018

Assessing outcomes following hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) poses challenges due to the necessity for systematic and often prolonged patient follow-up. Linking the HCT database of the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) with cancer registry data may improve long-term outcome ascertainment, but the reliability of mortality data in death certificates from cancer registries among HCT recipients remains unknown. We compared the classification of vital status and primary cause of death (COD), as well as the length of follow-up between the CIBMTR and California Cancer Registry (CCR) to assess the possibility of supplementing the CIBMTR with cancer registry data. This retrospective study leveraged a linked CIBMTR-CCR dataset. We included patients who were California residents at the time of HCT and received a first allogeneic (allo) or autologous (auto) HCT for a hematologic malignancy diagnosed during 1991-2016. Follow-up was through 2018. We analyzed 18,450 patients (alloHCT, n = 8232; autoHCT, n = 10,218). The Vital status agreement was 97.7% for alloHCT and 97.2% for autoHCT. Unknown COD was higher in CIBMTR (12.9%) than in CCR (1.6%). After excluding patients with unknown COD information, the overall agreement of primary COD (cancer versus noncancer) was 53.7% for alloHCT and 83.2% for autoHCT. This agreement was lower within the first 100 days post-HCT (alloHCT, 31.0%; autoHCT, 54.6%). Compared with CIBMTR, deaths due to cancer were higher in CCR (alloHCT, 90.0%; autoHCT, 90.1% versus alloHCT, 47.3%; autoHCT, 82.5% in CIBMTR). CIBMTR reports more frequently noncancer-related deaths, including graft-versus-host disease and infections. The cumulative incidence of cancer-specific mortality at 20 years differed, particularly for alloHCT (CCR, 53.7%; CIBMTR, 27.6%). The median follow-up among alive patients was longer in CCR (alloHCT, 6.0 years; autoHCT, 4.7 years) than in CIBMTR (alloHCT, 5.0 years; autoHCT, 3.8 years). Our findings highlight the completeness of vital status data in CIBMTR but reveal substantial disagreement in primary COD. Consequently, caution is required when interpreting HCT studies that use only death certificates to estimate cause-specific mortality outcomes. Improving the accuracy of COD registration and follow-up completeness by developing communication pathways between cancer registries and hospital-based cohorts may enhance our understanding of late effects and long-term outcomes among HCT survivors.

JAK2 V617F mutation and associated chromosomal alterations in primary and secondary myelofibrosis and post-HCT outcomes

JAK2 V617F is the most common driver mutation in primary or secondary myelofibrosis for which allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is the only curative treatment. Knowledge of the prognostic utility of JAK2 alterations in the HCT setting is limited. We identified all patients with MF who received HCT between 2000 and 2016 and had a pre-HCT blood sample (N = 973) available at the Center of International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research biorepository. PacBio sequencing and single nucleotide polymorphism-array genotyping were used to identify JAK2V617F mutation and associated mosaic chromosomal alterations (mCAs), respectively. Cox proportional hazard models were used for HCT outcome analyses. Genomic testing was complete for 924 patients with MF (634 primary MF [PMF], 135 postpolycythemia vera [PPV-MF], and 155 postessential thrombocytopenia [PET-MF]). JAK2V617F affected 562 patients (57.6% of PMF, 97% of PPV-MF, and 42.6% of PET-MF). Almost all patients with mCAs involving the JAK2 region (97.9%) were JAK2V617-positive. In PMF, JAK2V617F mutation status, allele burden, or identified mCAs were not associated with disease progression/relapse, nonrelapse mortality (NRM), or overall survival. Almost all PPV-MF were JAK2V617F-positive (97%), with no association between HCT outcomes and mutation allele burden or mCAs. In PET-MF, JAK2V617F high mutation allele burden (≥60%) was associated with excess risk of NRM, restricted to transplants received in the era of JAK inhibitors (2013-2016; hazard ratio = 7.65; 95% confidence interval = 2.10-27.82; P = .002). However, allele burden was not associated with post-HCT disease progression/relapse or survival. Our findings support the concept that HCT can mitigate the known negative effect of JAK2V617F in patients with MF, particularly for PMF and PPV-MF.

The distribution and accumulation of the shortest telomeres in telomere biology disorders

Individuals with telomere biology disorders (TBDs) have very short telomeres, high risk of bone marrow failure (BMF), and reduced survival. Using data from TBD patients, a mean leukocyte Southern blot telomere length (TL) of 5 kilobases (kb) was estimated as the 'telomere brink' at which human survival is markedly reduced. However, the shortest telomere, not the mean TL, signals replicative senescence. We used the Telomere Shortest Length Assay (TeSLA) to tally TL of all 46 chromosomes in blood-derived DNA and examined its relationship with TBDs. Patients (n = 18) had much shorter mean TL (TeSmTL) (2.54 ± 0.41 kb vs. 4.48 ± 0.52 kb, p < 0.0001) and more telomeres <3 kb than controls (n = 22) (70.43 ± 8.76% vs. 33.05 ± 6.93%, p < 0.0001). The proportion of ultrashort telomeres (<1.6 kb) was also higher in patients than controls (39.29 ± 10.69% vs. 10.40 ± 4.09%, p < 0.0001). TeS <1.6 kb was associated with severe (n = 11) compared with non-severe (n = 7) BMF (p = 0.027). Patients with multi-organ manifestations (n = 10) had more telomeres <1.6 kb than those with one affected organ system (n = 8) (p = 0.029). Findings suggest that TBD clinical manifestations are associated with a disproportionately higher number of haematopoietic cell telomeres reaching a telomere brink, whose length at the single telomere level is yet to be determined.

HLA Class I Genotype Is Associated with Relapse Risk after Allogeneic Stem Cell Transplantation for NPM1-Mutated Acute Myeloid Leukemia

Mutation-bearing peptide ligands from mutated nucleophosmin-1 (NPM1) protein have been empirically found to be presented by HLA class I in acute myeloid leukemia (AML). We hypothesized that HLA genotype may impact allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HCT) outcomes in NPM1-mutated AML owing to differences in antigen presentation. We evaluated the effect of the variable of predicted strong binding to mutated NPM1 peptides using HLA class I genotypes from matched donor-recipient pairs on transplant recipients' overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) as part of the primary objectives and cumulative incidence of relapse and nonrelapse mortality (NRM) as part of secondary objectives. Baseline and outcome data reported to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research from a study cohort of adult patients (n = 1020) with NPM1-mutated de novo AML in first (71%) or second (29%) complete remission undergoing 8/8 matched related (18%) or matched unrelated (82%) allo-HCT were analyzed retrospectively. Class I alleles from donor-recipient pairs were analyzed for predicted strong HLA binding to mutated NPM1 using netMHCpan 4.0. A total of 429 (42%) donor-recipient pairs were classified as having predicted strong-binding HLA alleles (SBHAs) to mutated NPM1. In multivariable analyses adjusting for clinical covariates, the presence of predicted SBHAs was associated with a lower risk of relapse (hazard ratio [HR], .72; 95% confidence interval [CI], .55 to .94; P = .015). OS (HR, .81; 95% CI, .67 to .98; P = .028) and DFS (HR, .84; 95% CI, .69 to 1.01; P = .070) showed a suggestion of better outcomes if predicted SBHAs were present but did not meet the prespecified P value of <.025. NRM did not differ (HR, 1.04; P = .740). These hypothesis-generating data support further exploration of HLA genotype-neoantigen interactions in the allo-HCT context.

Prevalence of cancer risk factors among transgender and gender diverse individuals: a cross-sectional analysis using UK primary care data

BACKGROUND

Transgender and gender diverse (TGD) individuals experience an incongruence between their assigned birth sex and gender identity. They may have a higher prevalence of health conditions associated with cancer risk than cisgender people.

AIM

To examine the prevalence of several cancer risk factors among TGD individuals compared with cisgender individuals.

DESIGN AND SETTING

A cross-sectional analysis was conducted using data from the UK's Clinical Practice Research Datalink to identify TGD individuals between 1988-2020, matched to 20 cisgender men and 20 cisgender women on index date (date of diagnosis with gender incongruence), practice, and index age (age at index date). Assigned birth sex was determined from gender-affirming hormone use and procedures, and sex-specific diagnoses documented in the medical record.

METHOD

The prevalence of each cancer risk factor was calculated and the prevalence ratio by gender identity was estimated using log binomial or Poisson regression models adjusted for age and year at study entry, and obesity where appropriate.

RESULTS

There were 3474 transfeminine (assigned male at birth) individuals, 3591 transmasculine (assigned female at birth) individuals, 131 747 cisgender men, and 131 827 cisgender women. Transmasculine people had the highest prevalence of obesity (27.5%) and 'ever smoking' (60.2%). Transfeminine people had the highest prevalence of dyslipidaemia (15.1%), diabetes (5.4%), hepatitis C infection (0.7%), hepatitis B infection (0.4%), and HIV infection (0.8%). These prevalence estimates remained elevated in the TGD populations compared with cisgender persons in the multivariable models.

CONCLUSION

Multiple cancer risk factors are more prevalent among TGD individuals compared with cisgender individuals. Future research should examine how minority stress contributes to the increased prevalence of cancer risk factors in this population.

Impact of the HLA Immunopeptidome on Survival of Leukemia Patients After Unrelated Donor Transplantation

PURPOSE

Immunopeptidome divergence between mismatched HLA-DP is a determinant of T-cell alloreactivity and clinical tolerability after fully HLA-A, -B, -C, -DRB1, -DQB1 matched unrelated donor hematopoietic cell transplantation (UD-HCT). Here, we tested this concept in HLA-A, -B, and -C disparities after single class I HLA-mismatched UD-HCT.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We studied 2,391 single class I HLA-mismatched and 14,426 fully HLA-matched UD-HCT performed between 2008 and 2018 for acute leukemia or myelodysplastic syndromes. Hierarchical clustering of experimentally determined peptide-binding motifs (PBM) was used as a proxy for immunopeptidome divergence of HLA-A, -B, or -C disparities, allowing us to classify 1,629/2,391 (68.1%) of the HLA-mismatched UD-HCT as PBM-matched or PBM-mismatched. Risks associated with PBM-matching status were assessed by Cox proportional hazards models, with overall survival (OS) as the primary end point.

RESULTS

Relative to full matches, bidirectional or unidirectional PBM mismatches in graft-versus-host (GVH) direction (PBM-GVH mismatches, 60.7%) were associated with significantly lower OS (hazard ratio [HR], 1.48; P < .0001), while unidirectional PBM mismatches in host-versus-graft direction or PBM matches (PBM-GVH matches, 39.3%) were not (HR, 1.13; P = .1017). PBM-GVH mismatches also had significantly lower OS than PBM-GVH matches in direct comparison (HR, 1.32; P = .0036). The hazards for transplant-related mortality and acute and chronic graft-versus-host disease but not relapse increased stepwise from full HLA matches to single PBM-GVH matches, and single PBM-GVH mismatches. A webtool for PBM-matching of single class I HLA-mismatched donor-recipient pairs was developed.

CONCLUSION

PBM-GVH mismatches inform mortality risks after single class I HLA-mismatched UD-HCT, suggesting that prospective consideration of directional PBM-matching status might improve outcome. These findings highlight immunopeptidome divergence between mismatched HLA as a driver of clinical tolerability in UD-HCT.

Buildup from birth onward of short telomeres in human hematopoietic cells

Telomere length (TL) limits somatic cell replication. However, the shortest among the telomeres in each nucleus, not mean TL, is thought to induce replicative senescence. Researchers have relied on Southern blotting (SB), and techniques calibrated by SB, for precise measurements of TL in epidemiological studies. However, SB provides little information on the shortest telomeres among the 92 telomeres in the nucleus of human somatic cells. Therefore, little is known about the accumulation of short telomeres with age, or whether it limits the human lifespan. To fill this knowledge void, we used the Telomere-Shortest-Length-Assay (TeSLA), a method that tallies and measures single telomeres of all chromosomes. We charted the age-dependent buildup of short telomeres (<3 kb) in human hematopoietic cells from 334 individuals (birth-89 years) from the general population, and 18 patients with dyskeratosis congenita-telomere biology disorders (DC/TBDs), whose hematopoietic cells have presumably reached or are close to their replicative limit. For comparison, we also measured TL with SB. We found that in hematopoietic cells, the buildup of short telomeres occurs in parallel with the shortening with age of mean TL. However, the proportion of short telomeres was lower in octogenarians from the general population than in patients with DC/TBDs. At any age, mean TL was longer and the proportion of short telomeres lower in females than in males. We conclude that though converging to the TL-mediated replicative limit, hematopoietic cell telomeres are unlikely to reach this limit during the lifespan of most contemporary humans.

Whole-genome sequencing identifies novel predictors for hematopoietic cell transplant outcomes for patients with myelodysplastic syndrome: a CIBMTR study

Recurrent mutations in TP53, RAS pathway and JAK2 genes were shown to be highly prognostic of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (alloHCT) outcomes in myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). However, a significant proportion of MDS patients has no such mutations. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) empowers the discovery of novel prognostic genetic alterations. We conducted WGS on pre-alloHCT whole-blood samples from 494 MDS patients. To nominate genomic candidates and subgroups that are associated with overall survival, we ran genome-wide association tests via gene-based, sliding window and cluster-based multivariate proportional hazard models. We used a random survival forest (RSF) model with build-in cross-validation to develop a prognostic model from identified genomic candidates and subgroups, patient-, disease- and HCT-related clinical factors. Twelve novel regions and three molecular signatures were identified with significant associations to overall survival. Mutations in two novel genes, CHD1 and DDX11, demonstrated a negative impact on survival in AML/MDS and lymphoid cancer data from the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). From unsupervised clustering of recurrent genomic alterations, genomic subgroup with TP53/del5q is characterized with the significant association to inferior overall survival and replicated by an independent dataset. From supervised clustering of all genomic variants, more molecular signatures related to myeloid malignancies are characterized from supervised clustering, including Fc-receptor FCGRs, catenin complex CDHs and B-cell receptor regulators MTUS2/RFTN1. The RSF model with genomic candidates and subgroups, and clinical variables achieved superior performance compared to models that included only clinical variables.

Abstract 4220: Occupational pesticide use and relative leukocyte telomere length in the biomarkers of exposure and effect in agriculture study

Background: Previous epidemiologic studies have reported increased risks of certain cancers in relation to specific pesticide exposures, although the mechanisms underlying many of these associations remain poorly understood. Within the Biomarkers of Exposure and Effect in Agriculture (BEEA) study, a molecular epidemiologic investigation of pesticide applicators in Iowa and North Carolina, we examined whether occupational use of pesticides is associated with alterations in leukocyte telomere length. Telomeres are essential in maintaining chromosomal stability and altered telomere length has been linked to various malignancies.

Methods: Relative telomere length (RTL) was measured using quantitative PCR in leukocytes from 1,539 male pesticide applicators ≥50 years of age. Using self-reported information on pesticide use, we characterized lifetime use of specific pesticides in terms of ever use and intensity-weighted lifetime days (IWLDs), a metric integrating total lifetime days of use and other factors influencing exposure. Multivariable linear regression models were used to estimate differences in geometric mean RTL (and corresponding 95% confidence intervals) by ever vs. never use of 48 pesticides and in exposure-response analyses for IWLDs of use of 46 pesticides, adjusting for age, state of residence, race/ethnicity, body mass index, and cigarette smoking status and pack-years.

Results: Among ever users of the insecticides lindane and aldicarb, mean RTL was significantly longer compared to never users (p=0.01 and 0.03, respectively); in exposure-response analyses, we also observed a suggestive but non-statistically significant trend between increasing IWLDs of lindane use and longer RTL (p-trend=0.07). Higher IWLDs of use of the insecticide diazinon was also associated with longer RTL (p-trend=0.03) while increasing IWLDs of the insecticide heptachlor and the herbicide 2,4,5-TP were associated with shorter RTL (p-trends=0.04 and 0.03, respectively).

Conclusions: This is, to our knowledge, the largest investigation of occupational pesticide use and RTL to date. Our findings provide novel evidence suggesting that use of certain pesticides could be associated with altered leukocyte telomere length. Notably, diazinon and lindane have previously been associated with increased risks of lung and lymphoid malignancies, respectively, and longer leukocyte telomere length has been implicated in the development of these cancers.

Citation Format: Patricia A. Erickson, Vicky C. Chang, Casey L. Dagnall, Kedest Teshome, Mitchell J. Machiela, Kathryn H. Barry, Shahinaz M. Gadalla, Laura E. Beane Freeman, Gabriella Andreotti, Jonathan N. Hofmann. Occupational pesticide use and relative leukocyte telomere length in the biomarkers of exposure and effect in agriculture study. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 4220.

Survival Modelling For Data From Combined Cohorts: Opening the Door to Meta Survival Analyses and Survival Analysis using Electronic Health Records

Non-parametric estimation of the survival function using observed failure time data depends on the underlying data generating mechanism, including the ways in which the data may be censored and/or truncated. For data arising from a single source or collected from a single cohort, a wide range of estimators have been proposed and compared in the literature. Often, however, it may be possible, and indeed advantageous, to combine and then analyze survival data that have been collected under different study designs. We review non-parametric survival analysis for data obtained by combining the most common types of cohort. We have two main goals: (i) To clarify the differences in the model assumptions, and (ii) to provide a single lens through which some of the proposed estimators may be viewed. Our discussion is relevant to the meta analysis of survival data obtained from different types of study, and to the modern era of electronic health records.

Prognostic landscape of mitochondrial genome in myelodysplastic syndrome after stem-cell transplantation

Despite mitochondrial DNA (mtDNA) mutations are common events in cancer, their global frequency and clinical impact have not been comprehensively characterized in patients with myelodysplastic neoplasia (also known as myelodysplastic syndromes, MDS). Here we performed whole-genome sequencing (WGS) on samples obtained before allogenic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) from 494 patients with MDS who were enrolled in the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research. We evaluated the impact of mtDNA mutations on transplantation outcomes, including overall survival (OS), relapse, relapse-free survival (RFS), and transplant-related mortality (TRM). A random survival forest algorithm was applied to evaluate the prognostic performance of models that include mtDNA mutations alone and combined with MDS- and HCT-related clinical factors. A total of 2666 mtDNA mutations were identified, including 411 potential pathogenic variants. We found that overall, an increased number of mtDNA mutations was associated with inferior transplantation outcomes. Mutations in several frequently mutated mtDNA genes (e.g., MT-CYB and MT-ND5) were identified as independent predictors of OS, RFS, relapse and/or TRM after allo-HCT. Integration of mtDNA mutations into the models based on the Revised International Prognostic Scores (IPSS-R) and clinical factors related to MDS and allo-HCT could capture more prognostic information and significantly improve the prognostic stratification efforts. Our study represents the first WGS effort in MDS receiving allo-HCT and shows that there may be clinical utility of mtDNA variants to predict allo-HCT outcomes in combination with more standard clinical parameters.

Impact of Donor Age in Haploidentical-PTCy Versus MUD-PTCy HCT in AML patients

Haploidentical hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) with post-transplant cyclophosphamide (PTCy) graft-versus-host-disease (GVHD) prophylaxis is associated with inferior overall survival (OS) compared to HLA-matched unrelated donor (MUD) HCT with PTCy prophylaxis in patients undergoing reduced-intensity conditioning (RIC). Given prognostic implications of donor age, we investigated the differences in outcomes of patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML, n=775) undergoing RIC-HCT with a younger MUD (donor age <35 years, n=84) versus younger haploidentical (donor age <35 years, n=302) versus an older haploidentical (≥35 years, n=389) donor. The older MUD group was excluded due to small numbers. Patients in the younger haploidentical group (median age 59.5 years) were somewhat younger than the younger MUD (median 66.8 years) and the older haploidentical (median 64.7 years) groups. More patients in the MUD group received peripheral blood grafts (82%) compared to the haploidentical groups (55-56%). In multivariate analysis, as compared to the younger MUD group, the younger haploidentical [hazard ratio (HR) 1.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.22-3.12, p=0.005)] and the older haploidentical (HR 2.36, 95% CI 1.50-3.71, p<0.001) groups had a significantly inferior OS, and the younger haploidentical (HR 3.72, 95% CI 1.39-9.93, p=0.009) and older haploidentical group (HR 6.91, 95% CI 2.75-17.39, p<0.001) had a significantly higher risk of NRM. The older haploidentical group had a significantly higher risk of grade II-IV acute GVHD (HR 2.29, 95% CI 1.38-3.80, p=0.001) and grade III-IV acute GVHD (HR 2.70, 95% CI 1.09-6.71, p=0.03). There were no significant differences in chronic GVHD or relapse between the groups. Among adult AML patients in CR undergoing RIC-HCT with PTCy prophylaxis, a young MUD may be preferred over a younger haploidentical donor.

Haploidentical Versus Matched Unrelated Donor Transplants Using Post-Transplantation Cyclophosphamide for Lymphomas

When using post-transplantation cyclophosphamide (PTCy) graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) prophylaxis for lymphoma patients, it is currently unknown whether a matched unrelated donor (MUD) or a haploidentical related donor is preferable if both are available. In this study we wanted to test whether using a haploidentical donor has the same results of a MUD. A total of 2140 adults (34% Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, 66% European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation registry) aged ≥18 years who received their first haploidentical hematopoietic cell transplantation (haplo-HCT) or MUD-HCT (8/8 match at HLA-loci A, B, C, and DRB1) for lymphoma using PTCy-based GVHD prophylaxis from 2010 to 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The majority of both MUD and haploidentical HCTs received reduced intensity/nonmyeloablative conditioning (74% and 77%, respectively) and used a peripheral blood stem cell graft (91% and 60%, respectively) and a 3-drug GVHD prophylaxis (PTCy + calcineurin inhibitor + MMF in 54% and 90%, respectively). Haploidentical HCT has less favorable results versus MUD cohort in terms of overall mortality (hazard ratio [HR= = 1.69; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-2.27; P < .001), progression-free survival (HR=1.39; 95% CI, 1.10-1.79; P = .008), nonrelapse mortality (HR = 1.93; 95% CI, 1.21-3.07; P = .006), platelet engraftment (HR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.59-0.80; P < .001), acute grade 2-4 GVHD incidence (HR = 1.65; 95% CI, 1.28-2.14; P < .001), and chronic GVHD (HR = 1.79; 95% CI, 1.30-2.48, P < .001). No significant differences were observed in terms of relapse and neutrophil engraftment. Adjusting for propensity score yielded similar results. Whenever MUD is available in a timely manner, it should be preferred over a haploidentical donor when using PTCy-based GVHD prophylaxis for patients with lymphoma.

Association of Telomere Length with Colorectal Cancer Risk and Prognosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

(1) Background: Colorectal cancer risk and survival have previously been associated with telomere length in peripheral blood leukocytes and tumor tissue. A systematic review and meta-analysis of the literature was conducted. The PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science databases were searched through March 2022. (2) Methods: Relevant studies were identified through database searching following PRISMA guidelines. Risk estimates were extracted from identified studies; meta-analyses were conducted using random effects models. (3) Results: Fourteen studies were identified (eight on risk; six on survival) through systematic review. While no association was observed between circulating leukocyte telomere length and the risk of colorectal cancer [overall OR (95% CI) = 1.01 (0.82-1.24)], a worse survival for those with shorter telomeres in leukocytes and longer telomeres in tumor tissues was observed [Quartile1/Quartile2-4 overall HR (95% CI) = 1.41 (0.26-7.59) and 0.82 (0.69-0.98), respectively]. (4) Conclusions: Although there was no association with colorectal cancer risk, a poorer survival was observed among those with shorter leukocyte telomere length. Future larger studies evaluating a potentially non-linear relationship between telomeres and colorectal cancer are needed.

Analysis of Mortality Among Transgender and Gender Diverse Adults in England

IMPORTANCE

Limited prior research suggests that transgender and gender diverse (TGD) people may have higher mortality rates than cisgender people.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate overall and cause-specific mortality among TGD persons compared with cisgender persons.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This population-based cohort study used data from general practices in England contributing to the UK's Clinical Practice Research Datalink GOLD and Aurum databases. Transfeminine (assigned male at birth) and transmasculine (assigned female at birth) individuals were identified using diagnosis codes for gender incongruence, between 1988 and 2019, and were matched to cisgender men and women according to birth year, practice, and practice registration date and linked to the Office of National Statistics death registration. Data analysis was performed from February to June 2022.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Cause-specific mortality counts were calculated for categories of disease as defined by International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, Tenth Revision chapters. Overall and cause-specific mortality rate ratios (MRRs) were estimated using Poisson models, adjusted for index age, index year, race and ethnicity, Index of Multiple Deprivation, smoking status, alcohol use, and body mass index.

RESULTS

A total of 1951 transfeminine (mean [SE] age, 36.90 [0.34] years; 1801 White [92.3%]) and 1364 transmasculine (mean [SE] age, 29.20 [0.36] years; 1235 White [90.4%]) individuals were matched with 68 165 cisgender men (mean [SE] age, 33.60 [0.05] years; 59 136 White [86.8%]) and 68 004 cisgender women (mean [SE] age, 33.50 [0.05] years; 57 762 White [84.9%]). The mortality rate was 528.11 deaths per 100 000 person-years (102 deaths) for transfeminine persons, 325.86 deaths per 100 000 person-years (34 deaths) for transmasculine persons, 315.32 deaths per 100 000 person-years (1951 deaths) for cisgender men, and 260.61 deaths per 100 000 person-years (1608 deaths) for cisgender women. Transfeminine persons had a higher overall mortality risk compared with cisgender men (MRR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.06-1.68) and cisgender women (MRR, 1.60; 95% CI, 1.27-2.01). For transmasculine persons, the overall MMR was 1.43 (95% CI, 0.87-2.33) compared with cisgender men and was 1.75 (95% CI, 1.08-2.83) compared with cisgender women. Transfeminine individuals had lower cancer mortality than cisgender women (MRR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.32-0.83) but an increased risk of external causes of death (MRR, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.05-3.50). Transmasculine persons had higher mortality from external causes of death than cisgender women (MRR, 2.77; 95% CI, 1.15-6.65). Compared with cisgender men, neither transfeminine nor transmasculine adults had a significantly increased risk of deaths due to external causes.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study of primary care data, TGD persons had elevated mortality rates compared with cisgender persons, particularly for deaths due to external causes. Further research is needed to examine how minority stress may be contributing to deaths among TGD individuals to reduce mortality.

Pathogenicity and impact of HLA class I alleles in aplastic anemia patients of different ethnicities

Acquired aplastic anemia (AA) is caused by autoreactive T cell-mediated destruction of early hematopoietic cells. Somatic loss of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class I alleles was identified as a mechanism of immune escape in surviving hematopoietic cells of some patients with AA. However, pathogenicity, structural characteristics, and clinical impact of specific HLA alleles in AA remain poorly understood. Here, we evaluated somatic HLA loss in 505 patients with AA from 2 multi-institutional cohorts. Using a combination of HLA mutation frequencies, peptide-binding structures, and association with AA in an independent cohort of 6,323 patients from the National Marrow Donor Program, we identified 19 AA risk alleles and 12 non-risk alleles and established a potentially novel AA HLA pathogenicity stratification. Our results define pathogenicity for the majority of common HLA-A/B alleles across diverse populations. Our study demonstrates that HLA alleles confer different risks of developing AA, but once AA develops, specific alleles are not associated with response to immunosuppression or transplant outcomes. However, higher pathogenicity alleles, particularly HLA-B*14:02, are associated with higher rates of clonal evolution in adult patients with AA. Our study provides insights into the immune pathogenesis of AA, opening the door to future autoantigen identification and improved understanding of clonal evolution in AA.

Decoupling blood telomere length from age in recipients of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant in the BMT-CTN 1202

The age of allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) donors and their hematopoietic cell telomere length (TL) might affect recipients’ outcomes. Our goals were to examine the possible effect of these donors’ factors on the recipients’ hematopoietic cell TL and quantify hematopoietic cell TL shortening in the critical first three-month post-HCT. We measured hematopoietic cell TL parameters in 75 recipient-donor pairs, from the Blood and Marrow Transplant Clinical Trials Network (protocol#1202), by Southern blotting (SB), the Telomeres Shortest Length Assay (TeSLA), and quantitative PCR (qPCR). Recipients’ hematopoietic cell TL parameters post-HCT correlated with donors’ age (p<0.001 for all methods), but not recipients’ own age, and with donors’ pre-HCT hematopoietic cell TL (p<0.0001 for all). Multivariate analyses showed that donors’ hematopoietic cell TL pre-HCT, independent of donors’ age, explained most of the variability in recipients’ hematopoietic cell TL post-HCT (81% for SB, 56% for TeSLA, and 65% for qPCR; p>0.0001 for all). SB and TeSLA detected hematopoietic cell TL shortening in all recipients post-HCT (mean=0.52kb and 0.47kb, respectively; >15-fold the annual TL shortening in adults; p<0.00001 for both), but qPCR detected shortening only in 57.5% of recipients. TeSLA detected a buildup of post-HCT of telomeres <3 kb in 96% of recipients (p<0.0001). In conclusion, HCT decouples hematopoietic cell TL in the recipients from their own age to reflect the donors’ age. The potential donors’ age effect on outcomes of HCT might be partially mediated by short hematopoietic cell TL in older donors. qPCR-based TL measurement is suboptimal for detecting telomere shortening post-HCT.

Senescence plays a role in Myotonic Dystrophy type 1

Myotonic dystrophy type 1 (DM1; MIM #160900) is an autosomal dominant disorder, clinically characterized by progressive muscular weakness and multisystem degeneration. The broad phenotypes observed in patients with DM1 resemble the appearance of an accelerated aging process. However, the molecular mechanisms underlying these phenotypes remain largely unknown. Transcriptomic analysis of fibroblasts derived from patients with DM1 and healthy individuals revealed a decrease in cell cycle activity, cell division, and DNA damage response in DM1, all of which related to the accumulation of cellular senescence. The data from transcriptome analyses were corroborated in human myoblasts and blood samples, as well as in mouse and Drosophila models of the disease. Serial passage studies in vitro confirmed the accelerated increase in senescence and the acquisition of a senescence-associated secretory phenotype in DM1 fibroblasts, whereas the DM1 Drosophila model showed reduced longevity and impaired locomotor activity. Moreover, functional studies highlighted the impact of BMI1 and downstream p16^INK4A/RB and ARF/p53/p21^CIP pathways in DM1-associated cellular phenotypes. Importantly, treatment with the senolytic compounds Quercetin, Dasatinib, or Navitoclax reversed the accelerated aging phenotypes in both DM1 fibroblasts in vitro and in Drosophila in vivo. Our results identify the accumulation of senescence as part of DM1 pathophysiology and, therefore, demonstrate the efficacy of senolytic compounds in the preclinical setting.

Genetic testing in severe aplastic anemia is required for optimal hematopoietic cell transplant outcomes

Patients with severe aplastic anemia (SAA) can have an unrecognized inherited bone marrow failure syndrome (IBMFS) because of phenotypic heterogeneity. We curated germline genetic variants in 104 IBMFS-associated genes from exome sequencing performed on 732 patients who underwent hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) between 1989 and 2015 for acquired SAA. Patients with pathogenic or likely pathogenic (P/LP) variants fitting known disease zygosity patterns were deemed unrecognized IBMFS. Carriers were defined as patients with a single P/LP variant in an autosomal recessive gene or females with an X-linked recessive P/LP variant. Cox proportional hazard models were used for survival analysis with follow-up until 2017. We identified 113 P/LP single-nucleotide variants or small insertions/deletions and 10 copy number variants across 42 genes in 121 patients. Ninety-one patients had 105 in silico predicted deleterious variants of uncertain significance (dVUS). Forty-eight patients (6.6%) had an unrecognized IBMFS (33% adults), and 73 (10%) were carriers. No survival difference between dVUS and acquired SAA was noted. Compared with acquired SAA (no P/LP variants), patients with unrecognized IBMFS, but not carriers, had worse survival after HCT (IBMFS hazard ratio [HR], 2.13; 95% confidence interval[CI], 1.40-3.24; P = .0004; carriers HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.62-1.50; P = .86). Results were similar in analyses restricted to patients receiving reduced-intensity conditioning (n = 448; HR IBMFS = 2.39; P = .01). The excess mortality risk in unrecognized IBMFS attributed to death from organ failure (HR = 4.88; P < .0001). Genetic testing should be part of the diagnostic evaluation for all patients with SAA to tailor therapeutic regimens. Carriers of a pathogenic variant in an IBMFS gene can follow HCT regimens for acquired SAA.

Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes of COVID-19 in Pediatric and Early Adolescent and Young Adult Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplant Recipients: A Cohort Study

Adult hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) recipients are at a high risk of adverse outcomes after COVID-19. Although children have had better outcomes after COVID-19 compared to adults, data on risk factors and outcomes of COVID-19 among pediatric HSCT recipients are lacking. We describe outcomes of HSCT recipients who were ≤21 years of age at COVID-19 diagnosis and were reported to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research between March 27, 2020, and May 7, 2021. The primary outcome was overall survival after COVID-19 diagnosis. We determined risk factors of COVID-19 as a secondary outcome in a subset of allogeneic HSCT recipients. A total of 167 pediatric HSCT recipients (135 allogeneic; 32 autologous HSCT recipients) were included. Median time from HSCT to COVID-19 was 15 months (interquartile range [IQR] 7-45) for allogeneic HSCT recipients and 16 months (IQR 6-59) for autologous HSCT recipients. Median follow-up from COVID-19 diagnosis was 53 days (range 1-270) and 37 days (1-179) for allogeneic and autologous HSCT recipients, respectively. Although COVID-19 was mild in 87% (n = 146/167), 10% (n = 16/167) of patients required supplemental oxygen or mechanical ventilation. The 45-day overall survival was 95% (95% confidence interval [CI], 90-99) and 90% (74-99) for allogeneic and autologous HSCT recipients, respectively. Cox regression analysis showed that patients with a hematopoietic cell transplant comorbidity index (HCT-CI) score of 1-2 were more likely to be diagnosed with COVID-19 (hazard ratio 1.95; 95% CI, 1.03-3.69, P = .042) compared to those with an HCT-CI of 0. Pediatric and early adolescent and young adult HSCT recipients with pre-HSCT comorbidities were more likely to be diagnosed with COVID-19. Overall mortality, albeit higher than the reported general population estimates, was lower when compared with previously published data focusing on adult HSCT recipients.

Telomere length and epigenetic clocks as markers of cellular aging: a comparative study

Telomere length (TL) and DNA methylation-based epigenetic clocks are markers of biological age, but the relationship between the two is not fully understood. Here, we used multivariable regression models to evaluate the relationships between leukocyte TL (LTL; measured by qPCR [n = 635] or flow FISH [n = 144]) and five epigenetic clocks (Hannum, DNAmAge pan-tissue, PhenoAge, SkinBlood, or GrimAge clocks), or their epigenetic age acceleration measures in healthy adults (age 19-61 years). LTL showed statistically significant negative correlations with all clocks (qPCR: r =  - 0.26 to - 0.32; flow FISH: r =  - 0.34 to - 0.49; p < 0.001 for all). Yet, models adjusted for age, sex, and race revealed significant associations between three of five clocks (PhenoAge, GrimAge, and Hannum clocks) and LTL by flow FISH (p < 0.01 for all) or qPCR (p < 0.001 for all). Significant associations between age acceleration measures for the same three clocks and qPCR or flow FISH TL were also found (p < 0.01 for all). Additionally, LTL (by qPCR or flow FISH) showed significant associations with extrinsic epigenetic age acceleration (EEAA: p < 0.0001 for both), but not intrinsic epigenetic age acceleration (IEAA; p > 0.05 for both). In conclusion, the relationships between LTL and epigenetic clocks were limited to clocks reflecting phenotypic age. The observed association between LTL and EEAA reflects the ability of both measures to detect immunosenescence. The observed modest correlations between LTL and epigenetic clocks highlight a possible benefit from incorporating both measures in understanding disease etiology and prognosis.

The mutational landscape in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia and its impact on allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation outcomes: a Center for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Research (CIBMTR) analysis

Somatic mutations are recognized as an important prognostic factor in chronic myelomonocytic leukemia (CMML). However, limited data are available regarding their impact on outcomes after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). In this registry analysis conducted in collaboration with the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplantation Registry database/sample repository, we identified 313 adult patients with CMML (median age: 64 years, range, 28- 77) who underwent allogeneic HCT during 2001-2017 and had an available biospecimen in the form of a peripheral blood sample obtained prior to the start of conditioning. In multivariate analysis, a CMML-specific prognostic scoring system (CPSS) score of intermediate-2 (HR=1.46, P=0.049) or high (HR=3.22, P=0.0004) correlated significantly with overall survival. When the molecularly informed CPSS-Mol prognostic model was applied, a high CPSS-Mol score (HR=2 P=0.0079) correlated significantly with overall survival. The most common somatic mutations were in ASXL1 (62%), TET2 (35%), KRAS/NRAS (33% combined), and SRSF2 (31%). DNMT3A and TP53 mutations were associated with decreased overall survival (HR=1.70 [95% CI: 1.11-2.60], P=0.0147 and HR=2.72 [95% CI: 1.37-5.39], P=0.0042, respectively) while DNMT3A, JAK2, and TP53 mutations were associated with decreased disease-free survival (HR=1.66 [95% CI: 1.11-2.49], P=0.0138, HR=1.79 [95% CI: 1.06-3.03], P=0.0293, and HR=2.94 [95% CI: 1.50-5.79], P=0.0018, respectively). The only mutation associated with increased relapse was TP53 (HR=2.94, P=0.0201). Nonetheless, the impact of TP53 mutations specifically should be interpreted cautiously given their rarity in CMML. We calculated the goodness of fit measured by Harrell's C-index for both the CPSS and CPSS-Mol, which were very similar. In summary, via registry data we have determined the mutational landscape in patients with CMML who underwent allogeneic HCT, and demonstrated an association between CPSS-Mol and transplant outcomes although without major improvement in the risk prediction beyond that provided by the CPSS.

HLA informs risk predictions after haploidentical stem cell transplantation with posttransplantation cyclophosphamide

Hematopoietic cell transplantation from HLA-haploidentical related donors is increasingly used to treat hematologic cancers; however, characteristics of the optimal haploidentical donor have not been established. We studied the role of donor HLA mismatching in graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), disease recurrence, and survival after haploidentical donor transplantation with posttransplantation cyclophosphamide (PTCy) for 1434 acute leukemia or myelodysplastic syndrome patients reported to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research. The impact of mismatching in the graft-versus-host vector for HLA-A, -B, -C, -DRB1, and -DQB1 alleles, the HLA-B leader, and HLA-DPB1 T-cell epitope (TCE) were studied using multivariable regression methods. Outcome was associated with HLA (mis)matches at individual loci rather than the total number of HLA mismatches. HLA-DRB1 mismatches were associated with lower risk of disease recurrence. HLA-DRB1 mismatching with HLA-DQB1 matching correlated with improved disease-free survival. HLA-B leader matching and HLA-DPB1 TCE-nonpermissive mismatching were each associated with improved overall survival. HLA-C matching lowered chronic GVHD risk, and the level of HLA-C expression correlated with transplant-related mortality. Matching status at the HLA-B leader and HLA-DRB1, -DQB1, and -DPB1 predicted disease-free survival, as did patient and donor cytomegalovirus serostatus, patient age, and comorbidity index. A web-based tool was developed to facilitate selection of the best haploidentical-related donor by calculating disease-free survival based on these characteristics. In conclusion, HLA factors influence the success of haploidentical transplantation with PTCy. HLA-DRB1 and -DPB1 mismatching and HLA-C, -B leader, and -DQB1 matching are favorable. Consideration of HLA factors may help to optimize the selection of haploidentical related donors.

Menopausal hormone therapy and risk of biliary tract cancers

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Gallbladder cancer (GBC) has a female predominance, whereas the other biliary tract cancers (BTCs) have a male predominance, suggesting that sex hormones may be involved in carcinogenesis. We sought to evaluate the association between menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) and the risk of BTC in women.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This nested case-control study was conducted in the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink. Cases diagnosed between 1990 and 2017 with incident primary cancers of the gallbladder (GBC), cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), ampulla of Vater (AVC), and mixed type were matched to 5 controls on birth year, diagnosis year, and years in the general practice using incidence density sampling. Conditional logistic regression was used to calculate ORs and 95% CIs for associations between MHT use and BTC type. The sample consisted of 1,682 BTC cases (483 GBC, 870 CCA, 105 AVC, and 224 mixed) and 8,419 matched controls with a mean age of 73 (SD, 11) years. Combined formulations (estrogen-progesterone) were associated with an increased GBC risk (OR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.08, 3.59). Orally administered MHT was associated with an increased GBC risk (OR, 2.28; 95% CI, 1.24, 4.17). Estrogen-only formulations (OR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.34, 0.93) and cream or suppository administrations (OR, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.34, 0.95) were associated with decreased CCA risk. The number of prescriptions, dose, duration of use, and time since last use were not associated with GBC or CCA risk. MHT use was not associated with risk of AVC or mixed cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

Combination MHT formulations and oral administrations were associated with increased GBC risk, whereas estrogen-only formulations were associated with a lower CCA risk. MHT formulation and administration should be carefully considered when prescribing.

Number of HLA-Mismatched Eplets Is Not Associated with Major Outcomes in Haploidentical Transplantation with Post-Transplantation Cyclophosphamide: A Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research Study

The number of haploidentical hematopoietic stem cell transplantations (haplo-HSCT) performed has increased substantially in recent years. Previous single-center studies using in silico algorithms to quantitively measure HLA disparity have shown an association of the number of HLA molecular mismatches with relapse protection and/or increased risk of acute graft-versus-host disease (GVHD) in haplo-HSCT. However, inconsistent results from small studies have made it difficult to understand the full clinical impact of molecular mismatch in haplo-HSCT. In this study, we investigated the potential of the HLA class I and II mismatched eplet (ME) score measured by HLAMatchmaker, as well as ME load at a specific locus to predict outcomes in a registry-based cohort of haplo-HSCT recipients. We analyzed data from 1287 patients who underwent their first haplo-HSCT for acute lymphoblastic leukemia, acute myelogenous leukemia, or myelodysplastic syndrome between 2013 and 2017, as entered in the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research database. ME load at each HLA locus and total class I and II were scored using the HLAMatchmaker module incorporated in HLA Fusion software v4.3, which identifies predicted eplets based on the crystalized HLA molecule models and identifies ME by comparing donor and recipient eplets. In the study cohort, ME scores derived from total HLA class I or class II loci or individual HLA loci were not associated with overall survival, disease-free survival, nonrelapse mortality, relapse, acute GVHD, or chronic GVHD (P < .01). An unexpected strong association was identified between total class II ME load in the GVH direction and slower neutrophil engraftment (hazard ratio [HR], 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75 to 0.91; P < .0001) and platelet engraftment (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.72 to 0.88; P < .0001). This was likely attributable to ME load at the HLA-DRB1 locus, which was similarly associated with slower neutrophil engraftment (HR, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.73 to 0.92; P = .001) and slower platelet engraftment (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.84; P < .0001). Additional analyses suggested that this effect is attributable to a match versus a mismatch in the graft-versus-host direction and not to ME load, as a dose effect was not identified. These findings contradict those of previous relatively small studies reporting an association between ME load, as quantified by HLAMatchmaker, and haplo-HSCT outcomes. This study failed to demonstrate the predictive value of ME from HLA molecules for major clinical outcomes, and other molecular mismatch algorithms in haplo-HSCT settings should be tested.

Drug-Wide Association Study (DWAS): Challenges and Opportunities

Cancer risk associations with commonly prescribed medications have been mainly evaluated in hypothesis-driven studies that focus on one drug at a time. Agnostic drug-wide association studies (DWAS) offer an alternative approach to simultaneously evaluate associations between a large number of drugs with one or more cancers using large-scale electronic health records. Although cancer DWAS approaches are promising, a number of challenges limit their applicability. This includes the high likelihood of false positivity; lack of biological considerations; and methodological shortcomings, such as inability to tightly control for confounders. As such, the value of DWAS is currently restricted to hypothesis generation with detected signals needing further evaluation. In this commentary, we discuss those challenges in more detail and summarize the approaches to overcome them by using published cancer DWAS studies, including the accompanied article by Støer and colleagues. Despite current concerns, DWAS future is filled with opportunities for developing innovative analytic methods and techniques that incorporate pharmacology, epidemiology, cancer biology, and genetics.See related article by Støer et al., p. 682.

Prognostic impact of pre-transplant chromosomal aberrations in peripheral blood of patients undergoing unrelated donor hematopoietic cell transplant for acute myeloid leukemia

To improve risk stratification and treatment decisions for patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) undergoing hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT). We used SNP-array data from the DISCOVeRY-BMT study to detect chromosomal aberrations in pre-HCT peripheral blood (collected 2–4 weeks before the administration of conditioning regimen) from 1974 AML patients who received HCT between 2000 and 2011. All aberrations detected in ≥ 10 patients were tested for their association with overall survival (OS), separately by remission status, using the Kaplan–Meier estimator. Cox regression models were used for multivariable analyses. Follow-up was through January 2019. We identified 701 unique chromosomal aberrations in 285 patients (7% of 1438 in complete remission (CR) and 36% of 536 not in CR). Copy-neutral loss-of-heterozygosity (CNLOH) in chr17p in CR patients (3-year OS = 20% vs. 50%, with and without chr17p CNLOH, p = 0.0002), and chr13q in patients not in CR (3-year OS = 4% vs. 26%, with and without chr13q CNLOH, p < 0.0001) are risk factors for poor survival. Models adjusted for clinical factors showed approximately three-fold excess risk of post-HCT mortality with chr17p CNLOH in CR patients (hazard ratio, HR = 3.39, 95% confidence interval CI 1.74–6.60, p = 0.0003), or chr13q CNLOH in patients not in CR (HR = 2.68, 95% CI 1.75–4.09, p < 0.0001). The observed mortality was mostly driven by post-HCT relapse (HR = 2.47, 95% CI 1.01–6.02, p = 0.047 for chr17p CNLOH in CR patients, and HR = 2.58, 95% CI 1.63–4.08, p < 0.0001 for chr13q CNLOH in patients not in CR. Pre-transplant CNLOH in chr13q or chr17p predicts risk of poor outcomes after unrelated donor HCT in AML patients. A large prospective study is warranted to validate the results and evaluate novel strategies to improve survival in those patients.

Impact of Previously Unrecognized HLA Mismatches Using Ultrahigh Resolution Typing in Unrelated Donor Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation

PURPOSE

Ultrahigh resolution (UHR) HLA matching is reported to result in better outcomes following unrelated donor hematopoietic cell transplantation, improving survival and reducing post-transplant complications. However, most studies included relatively small numbers of patients. Here we report the findings from a large, multicenter validation study.

METHODS

UHR HLA typing was available on 5,140 conventionally 10 out of 10 HLA-matched patients with malignant disease transplanted between 2008 and 2017.

RESULTS

After UHR HLA typing, 82% of pairs remained 10 out of 10 UHR-matched; 12.3% of patients were 12 out of 12 UHR HLA-matched. Compared with 12 out of 12 UHR-matched patients, probabilities of grade 2-4 acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) were significantly increased with UHR mismatches (overall P = .0019) and in those patients who were HLA-DPB1 T-cell epitope permissively mismatched or nonpermissively mismatched (overall P = .0011). In the T-cell-depleted subset, the degree of UHR HLA mismatch was only associated with increased transplant-related mortality (TRM) (overall P = .0068). In the T-cell-replete subset, UHR HLA matching was associated with a lower probability of aGVHD (overall P = .0020); 12 out of 12 UHR matching was associated with reduced TRM risk when compared with HLA-DPB1 T-cell epitope permissively mismatched patients, whereas nonpermissive mismatching resulted in a greater risk (overall P = .0003).

CONCLUSION

This study did not confirm that UHR 12 out of 12 HLA matching increases the probability of overall survival but does demonstrate that aGVHD risk, and in certain settings TRM, is lowest in UHR HLA-matched pairs and thus warrants consideration when multiple 10 out of 10 HLA-matched donors of equivalent age are available.

Measurement of Telomere Length for Longitudinal Analysis: Implications of Assay Precision

Researchers increasingly wish to test hypotheses concerning the impact of environmental or disease exposures on telomere length (TL), and they use longitudinal study designs to do so. In population studies, TL is usually measured with a quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR)-based method. This method has been validated by calculating its correlation with a gold standard method such as Southern blotting (SB) in cross-sectional data sets. However, in a cross-section, the range of true variation in TL is large, and measurement error is introduced only once. In a longitudinal study, the target variation of interest is small, and measurement error is introduced at both baseline and follow-up. In this paper, we present results from a small data set (n = 20) in which leukocyte TL was measured twice 6.6 years apart by means of both qPCR and SB. The cross-sectional correlations between qPCR and SB were high at both baseline (r = 0.90) and follow-up (r = 0.85), yet their correlation for TL change was poor (r = 0.48). Moreover, the qPCR data but not the SB data showed strong signatures of measurement error. Through simulation, we show that the statistical power gain from performing a longitudinal analysis is much greater for SB than for qPCR. We discuss implications for optimal study design and analysis.

Bile acid synthesis, modulation, and dementia: A metabolomic, transcriptomic, and pharmacoepidemiologic study

BACKGROUND

While Alzheimer disease (AD) and vascular dementia (VaD) may be accelerated by hypercholesterolemia, the mechanisms underlying this association are unclear. We tested whether dysregulation of cholesterol catabolism, through its conversion to primary bile acids (BAs), was associated with dementia pathogenesis.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We used a 3-step study design to examine the role of the primary BAs, cholic acid (CA), and chenodeoxycholic acid (CDCA) as well as their principal biosynthetic precursor, 7α-hydroxycholesterol (7α-OHC), in dementia. In Step 1, we tested whether serum markers of cholesterol catabolism were associated with brain amyloid accumulation, white matter lesions (WMLs), and brain atrophy. In Step 2, we tested whether exposure to bile acid sequestrants (BAS) was associated with risk of dementia. In Step 3, we examined plausible mechanisms underlying these findings by testing whether brain levels of primary BAs and gene expression of their principal receptors are altered in AD. Step 1: We assayed serum concentrations CA, CDCA, and 7α-OHC and used linear regression and mixed effects models to test their associations with brain amyloid accumulation (N = 141), WMLs, and brain atrophy (N = 134) in the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (BLSA). The BLSA is an ongoing, community-based cohort study that began in 1958. Participants in the BLSA neuroimaging sample were approximately 46% male with a mean age of 76 years; longitudinal analyses included an average of 2.5 follow-up magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) visits. We used the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) (N = 1,666) to validate longitudinal neuroimaging results in BLSA. ADNI is an ongoing, community-based cohort study that began in 2003. Participants were approximately 55% male with a mean age of 74 years; longitudinal analyses included an average of 5.2 follow-up MRI visits. Lower serum concentrations of 7α-OHC, CA, and CDCA were associated with higher brain amyloid deposition (p = 0.041), faster WML accumulation (p = 0.050), and faster brain atrophy mainly (false discovery rate [FDR] p = <0.001-0.013) in males in BLSA. In ADNI, we found a modest sex-specific effect indicating that lower serum concentrations of CA and CDCA were associated with faster brain atrophy (FDR p = 0.049) in males.Step 2: In the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) dataset, covering >4 million registrants from general practice clinics in the United Kingdom, we tested whether patients using BAS (BAS users; 3,208 with ≥2 prescriptions), which reduce circulating BAs and increase cholesterol catabolism, had altered dementia risk compared to those on non-statin lipid-modifying therapies (LMT users; 23,483 with ≥2 prescriptions). Patients in the study (BAS/LMT) were approximately 34%/38% male and with a mean age of 65/68 years; follow-up time was 4.7/5.7 years. We found that BAS use was not significantly associated with risk of all-cause dementia (hazard ratio (HR) = 1.03, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.72-1.46, p = 0.88) or its subtypes. We found a significant difference between the risk of VaD in males compared to females (p = 0.040) and a significant dose-response relationship between BAS use and risk of VaD (p-trend = 0.045) in males.Step 3: We assayed brain tissue concentrations of CA and CDCA comparing AD and control (CON) samples in the BLSA autopsy cohort (N = 29). Participants in the BLSA autopsy cohort (AD/CON) were approximately 50%/77% male with a mean age of 87/82 years. We analyzed single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-Seq) data to compare brain BA receptor gene expression between AD and CON samples from the Religious Orders Study and Memory and Aging Project (ROSMAP) cohort (N = 46). ROSMAP is an ongoing, community-based cohort study that began in 1994. Participants (AD/CON) were approximately 56%/36% male with a mean age of 85/85 years. In BLSA, we found that CA and CDCA were detectable in postmortem brain tissue samples and were marginally higher in AD samples compared to CON. In ROSMAP, we found sex-specific differences in altered neuronal gene expression of BA receptors in AD. Study limitations include the small sample sizes in the BLSA cohort and likely inaccuracies in the clinical diagnosis of dementia subtypes in primary care settings.

CONCLUSIONS

We combined targeted metabolomics in serum and amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) and MRI of the brain with pharmacoepidemiologic analysis to implicate dysregulation of cholesterol catabolism in dementia pathogenesis. We observed that lower serum BA concentration mainly in males is associated with neuroimaging markers of dementia, and pharmacological lowering of BA levels may be associated with higher risk of VaD in males. We hypothesize that dysregulation of BA signaling pathways in the brain may represent a plausible biologic mechanism underlying these results. Together, our observations suggest a novel mechanism relating abnormalities in cholesterol catabolism to risk of dementia.

Genetics of HLA Peptide Presentation and Impact on Outcomes in HLA-Matched Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation

Minor histocompatibility antigens (mHAs), recipient-derived peptide epitopes presented on the cell surface, are known to mediate graft-versus-host disease (GVHD); however, there are no current methods to associate mHA features with GVHD risk. This deficiency is due in part to the lack of technological means to accurately predict, let alone confirm, the tremendous number of potential mHAs in each individual transplant. Previous studies have shown that different HLA molecules present varying fractions of candidate peptide epitopes; however, the genetic "distance" between HLA-matched donors and recipients is relatively constrained. From these 2 observations, it is possible that the HLA type for a donor-recipient pair (DRP) would provide a surrogate measurement of the number of predicted mHAs, which could be related to GVHD risk. Because different HLA molecules present variable numbers of peptide antigens, a predicted cumulative peptide-binding efficiency can be calculated for individual DRP based on the pair's HLA type. The purpose of this study was to test whether cumulative peptide-binding efficiency is associated with the risk of acute GVHD (aGVHD) or relapse. In this retrospective Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research study, a total of 3242 HLA-matched DRPs were analyzed for predicted cumulative peptide-binding efficiency using their HLA types and were divided into tertiles based on their scores. Univariable and multivariable analyses was performed to test for associations between cumulative peptide-binding efficiency for DRPs, divided into the HLA-matched related donor (MRD) and HLA-matched unrelated donor (MUD) cohorts, and the primary outcomes of aGVHD and relapse. Secondary outcomes investigated included overall survival, disease-free survival, and transplantation-related mortality. Using a computationally generated peptidome as a test dataset, the tested series of HLA class I displayed peptide-binding frequencies ranging from 0.1% to 3.8% of the full peptidome, and HLA class II molecules had peptide-binding frequencies of 12% to 77% across the HLA-DRB1 allotypes. By increasing binding efficiency tertile, the cumulative incidence of aGVHD at 6 months for MUD patients was 41%, 41%, and 45% for HLA class I (P = .336) and 44%, 41%, and 42% for HLA class II (P = .452). The cumulative incidences of relapse at 3 years for MUD transplant recipients were 36%, 38%, and 38% for HLA class I (P = .533) and 37%, 37%, and 38% for HLA class II (P = .896). The findings were similar for MRD transplant recipients. Multivariable analysis did not identify any impact of peptide-binding efficiency on aGVHD or relapse in MUD or MRD transplant recipients. Whereas GVHD is mediated by minor antigen mismatches in the context of HLA-matched allo-HCT, peptide-binding efficiency, which was used as a surrogate measurement for predicted number of binding antigens, did not provide additional clinical information for GVHD risk assessment. The negative result may be due to the limitations of this surrogate marker, or it is possible that GVHD is driven by a subset of immunogenic mHAs. Further research should be directed at direct mHA epitope and immunogenicity prediction.

Epigenetic Aging and Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation in Patients With Severe Aplastic Anemia

Cellular aging in hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is important in the context of immune reconstitution and age-related complications. Recently, several DNA-methylation (DNAm)-based biomarkers of aging known as "epigenetic clocks" have been introduced as novel tools to predict cellular age. Here, we used Cox proportional hazards models to assess the possible associations of donor pre-HCT DNAm age, and its post-HCT changes, using the recently published lifespan-associated epigenetic clock known as "DNAm-GrimAge," with outcomes among patients with severe aplastic anemia (SAA). The study included 732 SAA patients from the Transplant Outcomes in Aplastic Anemia project, who underwent unrelated donor HCT and for whom a donor pre-HCT blood DNA sample was available; 41 also had a post-HCT sample collected at day 100. In multivariable analyses, we found similar associations for donor chronological age and pre-HCT DNAm-GrimAge with post-HCT survival (hazard ratio [HR] per decade = 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.99-1.28; P = .07 and HR = 1.14; 95% CI, 0.99-1.28; P = .06, respectively). In donors with 10+ years of GrimAge acceleration (ie, deviation from expected DNAm age for chronological age), elevated risks of chronic graft versus host disease (HR = 2.4; 95% CI, 1.21-4.65; P = .01) and possibly post-HCT mortality (HR = 1.79; 95% CI, 0.96-3.33; P = .07) were observed. In the subset with post-HCT samples, we observed a significant increase in DNAm-GrimAge in the first 100 days after HCT (median change 12.5 years, range 1.4 to 26.4). Higher DNAm-GrimAge after HCT was associated with inferior survival (HR per year = 1.11; 95% CI, 1.02-1.21; P = .01), predominantly within the first year after HCT. This study highlights the possible role cellular aging may play in HCT outcomes.

Impact of Pretransplantation Renal Dysfunction on Outcomes after Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplantation

Renal dysfunction is a recognized risk factor for mortality after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT), yet our understanding of the effect of different levels of renal dysfunction at time of transplantation on outcomes remains limited. This study explores the impact of different degrees of renal dysfunction on HCT outcomes and examines whether the utilization of incremental degrees of renal dysfunction based on estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) improve the predictability of the hematopoietic cell transplantation comorbidity index (HCT-CI). The study population included 2 cohorts: cohort 1, comprising patients age ≥40 years who underwent alloHCT for treatment of hematologic malignancies between 2008 and 2016 (n = 13,505; cohort selected given a very low incidence of renal dysfunction in individuals age <40 years), and cohort 2, comprising patients on dialysis at the time of HCT (n = 46). eGFR was measured using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) method. The patients in cohort 1 were assigned into 4 categories-eGFR ≥90 mL/min (n = 7062), eGFR 60 to 89 mL/min (n = 5264), eGFR 45 to 59 mL/min (n = 897), and eGFR <45 mL/min (n=282)-to assess the impact of degree of renal dysfunction on transplantation outcomes. Transplantation outcomes in patients on dialysis at the time of alloHCT were analyzed separately. eGFR <60 mL/min was associated with an increased risk for nonrelapse mortality (NRM) and requirement for dialysis post-HCT. Compared with the eGFR ≥90 group, the hazard ratio (HR) for NRM was 1.46 (P = .0001) for the eGFR 45 to 59 mL/min group and 1.74 (P = .004) for the eGFR <45 mL/min group. Compared with the eGFR ≥90 mL/min group, the eGFR 45 to 59 mL/min group (HR, 2.45; P < .0001) and the eGFR <45 mL/min group (HR, 3.09; P < .0001) had a higher risk of renal failure necessitating dialysis after alloHCT. In addition, eGFR <45 mL/min was associated with an increased overall mortality (HR, 1.63; P < .0001). An eGFR-based revised HCT-CI was also developed and shown to be predictive of overall survival (OS) and NRM, with predictive performance similar to the original HCT-CI. Among 46 patients on dialysis at alloHCT, the 1-year probability of OS was 20%, and that of NRM was 67%. The degree of pretransplantation renal dysfunction is an independent predictor of OS, NRM, and probability of needing dialysis after alloHCT. An eGFR-based HCT-CI is a validated index for predicting outcomes in adults with hematologic malignancies undergoing alloHCT. The outcomes of alloHCT recipients on dialysis are dismal; therefore, one should strongly weigh the significant risks of being on hemodialysis as a factor in determining alloHCT candidacy.

Method comparison studies of telomere length measurement using qPCR approaches: A critical appraisal of the literature

Use of telomere length (TL) as a biomarker for various environmental exposures and diseases has increased in recent years. Various methods have been developed to measure telomere length. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based methods remain wide-spread for population-based studies due to the high-throughput capability. While several studies have evaluated the repeatability and reproducibility of different TL measurement methods, the results have been variable. We conducted a literature review of TL measurement cross-method comparison studies that included a PCR-based method published between January 1, 2002 and May 25, 2020. A total of 25 articles were found that matched the inclusion criteria. Papers were reviewed for quality of methodologic reporting of sample and DNA quality, PCR assay characteristics, sample blinding, and analytic approaches to determine final TL. Overall, methodologic reporting was low as assessed by two different reporting guidelines for qPCR-based TL measurement. There was a wide range in the reported correlation between methods (as assessed by Pearson’s r) and few studies utilized the recommended intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) for assessment of assay repeatability and methodologic comparisons. The sample size for nearly all studies was less than 100, raising concerns about statistical power. Overall, this review found that the current literature on the relation between TL measurement methods is lacking in validity and scientific rigor. In light of these findings, we present reporting guidelines for PCR-based TL measurement methods and results of analyses of the effect of assay repeatability (ICC) on statistical power of cross-sectional and longitudinal studies. Additional cross-laboratory studies with rigorous methodologic and statistical reporting, adequate sample size, and blinding are essential to accurately determine assay repeatability and replicability as well as the relation between TL measurement methods.

Risk factors for inflammatory and non-inflammatory breast cancer in North Africa

PURPOSE

Studies of the etiology of inflammatory breast cancer (IBC), a rare but aggressive breast cancer, have been hampered by limited risk factor information. We extend previous studies by evaluating a broader range of risk factors.

METHODS

Between 2009 and 2015, we conducted a case-control study of IBC at six centers in Egypt, Tunisia, and Morocco; enrolled were 267 IBC cases and for comparison 274 non-IBC cases and 275 controls, both matched on age and geographic area to the IBC cases. We administered questionnaires and collected anthropometric measurements for all study subjects. We used multiple imputation methods to account for missing values and calculated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using polytomous logistic regression comparing each of the two case groups to the controls, with statistical tests for the difference between the coefficients for the two case groups.

RESULTS

After multivariable adjustment, a livebirth within the previous 2 years (OR 4.6; 95% CI 1.8 to 11.7) and diabetes (OR 1.8; 95% CI 1.1 to 3.0) were associated with increased risk of IBC, but not non-IBC (OR 0.9; 95% CI 0.3 to 2.5 and OR 0.9; 95% CI 0.5 to 1.6 for livebirth and diabetes, respectively). A family history of breast cancer, inflammatory-like breast problems, breast trauma, and low socioeconomic status were associated with increased risk of both tumor types.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified novel risk factors for IBC and non-IBC, some of which preferentially increased risk of IBC compared to non-IBC. Upon confirmation, these findings could help illuminate the etiology and aid in prevention of this aggressive cancer.

Association of donor IFNL4 genotype and non-relapse mortality after unrelated donor myeloablative haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation for acute leukaemia: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The interferon lambda 4 gene (IFNL4) regulates immune responses by controlling the production of IFNλ4, a type III interferon. We hypothesised that IFNλ4 could play a role in infection clearance or alloreactivity in patients with acute leukaemia who received a myeloablative 10/10 HLA-matched haematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT). Therefore, we aimed to assess the association between recipient and donor IFNL4 genotype with post-HSCT survival outcomes in patients with acute leukaemia.

METHODS

We did a two-stage retrospective cohort study using the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research (CIBMTR) repository and database, in which nearly all patients underwent the procedure in the USA. We included patients with acute myeloid leukaemia or acute lymphocytic leukaemia, who received a HSCT at any age from an unrelated 10/10 HLA-matched donor, with a myeloablative conditioning regimen, between Jan 1, 2000, and Dec 31, 2008, and had a pre-HSCT recipient or donor blood sample available. The discovery dataset included patients from an existing National Cancer Institute (NCI) cohort of the CIBMTR database, in which donor and recipient IFNL4 polymorphisms (rs368234815, rs12979860, and rs117648444) were genotyped with TaqMan assays. According to their genotype, donors and recipients were categorised into IFNL4-positive, if they had at least one copy of the allele that supports the production of IFNλ4, or IFNL4-null for the analyses. The findings were independently validated with patients from the DISCOVeRY-BMT cohort (validation dataset) with existing Illumina array genotype data. We also did a combined analysis using data from patients included in both the NCI and DISCOVeRY-BMT cohorts.

FINDINGS

We assessed 404 patients (who had a HSCT from Jan 9, 2004, to Dec 26, 2008) in the discovery dataset and 1245 patients in the validation dataset (HSCT Jan 7, 2000, to Dec 26, 2008). The combined analysis included 1593 overlapping participants in both cohorts. Donor, but not recipient IFNL4-positive genotype was associated with increased risk of non-relapse mortality (HR 1·60, 95% CI 1·23-2·10; p=0·0005 in the discovery dataset; 1·22, 1·05-1·40; p=0·0072 in the validation dataset; and 1·27, 1·12-1·45; p=0·0001 in the combined dataset). Associations with post-HSCT overall survival were as follows: HR 1·24, 95% CI 1·02-1·51; p=0·034 in the discovery dataset; 1·10, 0·98-1·20; p=0·10 in the validation dataset; and 1·11, 1·02-1·22; p=0·018 in the combined dataset.

INTERPRETATION

Prioritising HSCT donors with the IFNL4-null genotype might decrease non-relapse mortality and improve overall survival without substantially limiting the donor pool. If these findings are validated, IFNL4 genotype could be added to the donor selection algorithm.

FUNDING

The National Cancer Institute Intramural Research Program. For full funding list see Acknowledgments.

Specific Class I HLA Supertypes but Not HLA Zygosity or Expression Are Associated with Outcomes following HLA-Matched Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplant: HLA Supertypes Impact Allogeneic HCT Outcomes

Maximizing the probability of antigen presentation to T cells through diversity in HLAs can enhance immune responsiveness and translate into improved clinical outcomes, as evidenced by the association of heterozygosity and supertypes at HLA class I loci with improved survival in patients with advanced solid tumors treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors. We investigated the impact of HLA heterozygosity, supertypes, and surface expression on outcomes in adult and pediatric patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML), myelodysplastic syndrome, acute lymphoblastic leukemia, and non-Hodgkin lymphoma who underwent 8/8 HLA-matched, T cell replete, unrelated, allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplant (HCT) from 2000 to 2015 using patient data reported to the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research. HLA class I heterozygosity and HLA expression were not associated with overall survival, relapse, transplant-related mortality (TRM), disease-free survival (DFS), and acute graft-versus-host disease following HCT. The HLA-B62 supertype was associated with decreased TRM in the entire patient cohort (hazard ratio [HR], 0.79; 95% CI, 0.69 to 0.90; P = .00053). The HLA-B27 supertype was associated with worse DFS in patients with AML (HR = 1.21; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.32; P = .00005). These findings suggest that the survival benefit of HLA heterozygosity seen in solid tumor patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors does not extend to patients undergoing allogeneic HCT. Certain HLA supertypes, however, are associated with TRM and DFS, suggesting that similarities in peptide presentation between supertype members play a role in these outcomes. Beyond implications for prognosis following HCT, these findings support the further investigation of these HLA supertypes and the specific immune peptides important for transplant outcomes.

A Personalized Prediction Model for Outcomes after Allogeneic Hematopoietic Cell Transplant in Patients with Myelodysplastic Syndromes

Allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HCT) remains the only potentially curative option for myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). Mortality after HCT is high, with deaths related to relapse or transplant-related complications. Thus, identifying patients who may or may not benefit from HCT is clinically important. We identified 1514 patients with MDS enrolled in the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research Registry and had their peripheral blood samples sequenced for the presence of 129 commonly mutated genes in myeloid malignancies. A random survival forest algorithm was used to build the model, and the accuracy of the proposed model was assessed by concordance index. The median age of the entire cohort was 59 years. The most commonly mutated genes were ASXL1(20%), TP53 (19%), DNMT3A (15%), and TET2 (12%). The algorithm identified the following variables prior to HCT that impacted overall survival: age, TP53 mutations, absolute neutrophils count, cytogenetics per International Prognostic Scoring System-Revised, Karnofsky performance status, conditioning regimen, donor age, WBC count, hemoglobin, diagnosis of therapy-related MDS, peripheral blast percentage, mutations in RAS pathway, JAK2 mutation, number of mutations/sample, ZRSR2, and CUX1 mutations. Different variables impacted the risk of relapse post-transplant. The new model can provide survival probability at different time points that are specific (personalized) for a given patient based on the clinical and mutational variables that are listed above. The outcomes' probability at different time points may aid physicians and patients in their decision regarding HCT.